Nolichucky River at Embreeville

1. 33.88 ftFlood of record from the 2024 Helene event, as established by high water marks.
2. 24.00 ftPrevious Flood of Record from 1901.
3. 21.50 ftA Bumpus Cove Road resident reported that the 1977 flood was said to have gotten into the house she lives in, which sits on a concrete slab, while it did not get into the house next door, which sits two feet higher atop a crawl space. This is a source of uncertainty of impacts at this location and its relation to gauge measurements downstream near the bridge and any effects of damming the bridge may cause near the gauge. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
4. 18.00 ftWater might threaten the lowest of a row of riverside homes along Bumpus Cove Road a half mile upstream from the bridge. Flows this high contain increasing uncertainty as to how the gauge readings downstream near the bridge are reflective of stream heights and impacts along Bumpus Cove Road. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
5. 17.00 ftLow spots along Hwy 107 between Embreeville and Erwin might flood.
6. 16.00 ftWater reaches the pad of the train car at KOA Campground. This campground was destructively impacted by Helene flooding; perhaps it will be restored.
7. 14.00 ftBack yards of riverside homes along Bumpus Cove Road take substantial water. These homes were destroyed by Helene flooding; perhaps some may be rebuilt.
8. 13.00 ftPortions of AJ Willis Road will flood.
9. 12.00 ftPasture land around the Highway 107 bridge floods. The channel narrows at the bridge just downstream of the gauge, which may elevate the river level at the gauge during higher flows due to damming effect.
10. 11.50 ftProperty at Bumpus Cove Road and Little Germany Road floods. Much of the Bumpus Cove area was destroyed by Helene flooding; some structures may gradually be rebuilt.
11. 11.00 ftThe main camping level of the KOA campground is covered by water. This campground was destructively impacted by Helene flooding; perhaps it will be restored.
12. 9.50 ftLow spots along Little Germany Road will begin to flood.
13. 8.50 ftKOA campground impacts increase as water flows through portions a little further in. A narrowing of the channel just downstream from the campground might elevate stream height in the campground during higher flows due to a damming effect.
14. 6.50 ftKOA campground begins to take precautions with sites closest to river.

Chance of flooding, October to December

The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 29, 2026.

Most recent crests

• September 27, 2024: 33.88 ft
• January 9, 2024: 8.74 ft
• August 18, 2021: 11.48 ft
• April 13, 2020: 10.02 ft
• April 19, 2019: 11.62 ft
• September 17, 2018: 8.81 ft
• May 30, 2018: 10.28 ft
• October 23, 2017: 8.95 ft
• December 2, 2015: 8.69 ft
• October 15, 2014: 9.01 ft

• UpstreamS Toe River at Celo
• DownstreamNolichucky River at Nolichucky Dam HW near Greenville 8SSW
• Big Limestone Creek at Limestone
• Watauga River at Elizabethton
• Doe River at Elizabethton
• South Fork Holston River at BOONE DAM - JOHNSON CITY
• Cane Creek at Bakersville
• Watauga River at Watauga Dam
• South Fork Holston River at Fort Patrick Henry Dam
• Cane River (NC) at Burnsville

Forecasts by the Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.

Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.