Mount Fitzpatrick mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 42°F and wind from the WSW at 22 mph, a wind chill of 32°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT. The freezing level is at 12,825 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: sunny, high 56°F at its grid elevation of 10,384 ft.
The summit on the map
Mount Fitzpatrick and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mount Fitzpatrick
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 10,906 ft (3,324 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 10,384 ft (3,165 m)
- Summit temperature
- 42°F
- Summit wind
- WSW 22 mph
- Freezing level
- 12,825 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 54°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,384 ft up 522 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT | 42°F | WSW 22 mph | 32°F | 12,825 ft | 1,919 ft above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT | 43°F | WSW 25 mph | 34°F | 13,127 ft | 2,221 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT | 45°F | SW 21 mph | 37°F | 13,737 ft | 2,831 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT | 44°F | SW 21 mph | 35°F | 13,491 ft | 2,585 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT | 44°F | SSW 21 mph | 35°F | 13,205 ft | 2,300 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT | 45°F | SW 25 mph | 36°F | 13,432 ft | 2,526 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT | 42°F | SSW 25 mph | 33°F | 12,805 ft | 1,900 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT | 41°F | SW 26 mph | 31°F | 12,720 ft | 1,814 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT | 41°F | SW 15 mph | 33°F | 12,621 ft | 1,716 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT | 42°F | WNW 14 mph | 35°F | 12,828 ft | 1,923 ft above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT | 39°F | NNW 8 mph | 33°F | 12,641 ft | 1,736 ft above the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT, interpolated to 10,906 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | High 56°F | WSW 10-21 mph | Sunny. High near 56, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. West southwest wind 10 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. |
| Tonight | Low 40°F | SSW 10-21 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. South southwest wind 10 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. |
| Sunday | High 57°F | SSW 20 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. |
| Sunday Night | Low 39°F | SSE 12-18 mph | A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then showers and thunderstorms likely between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South southeast wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
| Monday | High 51°F | SW 9-14 mph | A chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
| Monday Night | Low 34°F | NNW 6-10 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. North northwest wind 6 to 10 mph. |
| Tuesday | High 52°F | NNW 6-12 mph | Sunny, with a high near 52. North northwest wind 6 to 12 mph. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 34°F | WSW 7-10 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 34. |
| Wednesday | High 52°F | W 8-14 mph | Sunny, with a high near 52. |
| Wednesday Night | Low 34°F | WSW 6-13 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 34. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (42.7261, -110.7770), by its office in Western and Central Wyoming. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,384 ft (3,165 m), 522 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT | Sunny | 50°F / 27°F | 15,624 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT | Partly Cloudy | 51°F / 30°F | 15,187 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT | Partly Cloudy | 40°F / 26°F | 13,555 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT | Partly Sunny | 42°F / 29°F | 13,364 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT | Mostly Cloudy | 52°F / 27°F | 16,075 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms | 52°F / 30°F | 15,392 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT | Showers And Thunderstorms Likely | 43°F / 29°F | 13,569 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT | Chance Rain Showers | 41°F / 35°F | 11,751 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT | Slight Chance T-storms | 44°F / 34°F | 12,676 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT | Mostly Cloudy | 43°F / 35°F | 12,202 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT | Partly Cloudy | 37°F / 31°F | 11,760 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 AM MDT | Sunny | 34°F / 28°F | 11,746 ft | Base above the summit |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 6:47 AM | 7:15 AM | 7:13 PM | 7:41 PM | 11h 58m |
| September 27 | 6:48 AM | 7:16 AM | 7:11 PM | 7:39 PM | 11h 55m |
| September 28 | 6:49 AM | 7:17 AM | 7:09 PM | 7:38 PM | 11h 52m |
| September 29 | 6:50 AM | 7:18 AM | 7:08 PM | 7:36 PM | 11h 50m |
| September 30 | 6:51 AM | 7:19 AM | 7:06 PM | 7:34 PM | 11h 47m |
| October 1 | 6:52 AM | 7:21 AM | 7:04 PM | 7:32 PM | 11h 43m |
| October 2 | 6:53 AM | 7:22 AM | 7:02 PM | 7:31 PM | 11h 40m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
Avalanche forecast
Mount Fitzpatrick is in the Salt River and Wyoming Ranges zone of the Bridger-Teton Avalanche Center. Status: off season.
- Elevation
- 10,906 ft (3,324 m)
- Prominence
- 2,228 ft (679 m)
- Coordinates
- 42.7261, -110.7770
- Nearest town
- Afton
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.