Wyoming mountains

Mount Fitzpatrick mountain forecast

10,906 ft (3,324 m) · prominence 2,228 ft (679 m) · Wyoming

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 42°F and wind from the WSW at 22 mph, a wind chill of 32°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT. The freezing level is at 12,825 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: sunny, high 56°F at its grid elevation of 10,384 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Fitzpatrick and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
10,906 ft (3,324 m)
Forecast grid ground
10,384 ft (3,165 m)
Summit temperature
42°F
Summit wind
WSW 22 mph
Freezing level
12,825 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
54°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,384 ft up 522 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT42°FWSW 22 mph32°F12,825 ft1,919 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT43°FWSW 25 mph34°F13,127 ft2,221 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT45°FSW 21 mph37°F13,737 ft2,831 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT44°FSW 21 mph35°F13,491 ft2,585 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT44°FSSW 21 mph35°F13,205 ft2,300 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT45°FSW 25 mph36°F13,432 ft2,526 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT42°FSSW 25 mph33°F12,805 ft1,900 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT41°FSW 26 mph31°F12,720 ft1,814 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT41°FSW 15 mph33°F12,621 ft1,716 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT42°FWNW 14 mph35°F12,828 ft1,923 ft above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT39°FNNW 8 mph33°F12,641 ft1,736 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT, interpolated to 10,906 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
TodayHigh 56°FWSW 10-21 mphSunny. High near 56, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. West southwest wind 10 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
TonightLow 40°FSSW 10-21 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 40. South southwest wind 10 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.
SundayHigh 57°FSSW 20 mphMostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South southwest wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunday NightLow 39°FSSE 12-18 mphA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then showers and thunderstorms likely between midnight and 3am, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South southeast wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
MondayHigh 51°FSW 9-14 mphA chance of rain showers before 9am, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and noon, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 51. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday NightLow 34°FNNW 6-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 34. North northwest wind 6 to 10 mph.
TuesdayHigh 52°FNNW 6-12 mphSunny, with a high near 52. North northwest wind 6 to 12 mph.
Tuesday NightLow 34°FWSW 7-10 mphMostly clear, with a low around 34.
WednesdayHigh 52°FW 8-14 mphSunny, with a high near 52.
Wednesday NightLow 34°FWSW 6-13 mphMostly clear, with a low around 34.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (42.7261, -110.7770), by its office in Western and Central Wyoming. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,384 ft (3,165 m), 522 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny50°F / 27°F15,624 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTPartly Cloudy51°F / 30°F15,187 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy40°F / 26°F13,555 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTPartly Sunny42°F / 29°F13,364 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy52°F / 27°F16,075 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTSlight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms52°F / 30°F15,392 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms Likely43°F / 29°F13,569 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTChance Rain Showers41°F / 35°F11,751 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTSlight Chance T-storms44°F / 34°F12,676 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTMostly Cloudy43°F / 35°F12,202 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy37°F / 31°F11,760 ftBase above the summit
Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 AM MDTSunny34°F / 28°F11,746 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:47 AM7:15 AM7:13 PM7:41 PM11h 58m
September 276:48 AM7:16 AM7:11 PM7:39 PM11h 55m
September 286:49 AM7:17 AM7:09 PM7:38 PM11h 52m
September 296:50 AM7:18 AM7:08 PM7:36 PM11h 50m
September 306:51 AM7:19 AM7:06 PM7:34 PM11h 47m
October 16:52 AM7:21 AM7:04 PM7:32 PM11h 43m
October 26:53 AM7:22 AM7:02 PM7:31 PM11h 40m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Mount Fitzpatrick is in the Salt River and Wyoming Ranges zone of the Bridger-Teton Avalanche Center. Status: off season.

Elevation
10,906 ft (3,324 m)
Prominence
2,228 ft (679 m)
Coordinates
42.7261, -110.7770
Nearest town
Afton

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.