Flat Top Mountain mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 48°F and wind from the SW at 29 mph, a wind chill of 39°F, Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,799 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for sunday: partly sunny, high 56°F at its grid elevation of 10,354 ft.
The summit on the map
Flat Top Mountain and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Flat Top Mountain
- Other summits
- Ski area
Now
- Summit
- 10,614 ft (3,235 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 10,354 ft (3,156 m)
- Summit temperature
- 48°F
- Summit wind
- SW 29 mph
- Freezing level
- 13,799 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 55°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,354 ft up 260 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT | 48°F | SW 29 mph | 39°F | 13,799 ft | 3,186 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT | 46°F | SW 25 mph | 37°F | 13,461 ft | 2,848 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT | 45°F | SSW 25 mph | 36°F | 13,219 ft | 2,605 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT | 47°F | SSW 28 mph | 38°F | 13,501 ft | 2,887 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT | 43°F | SSW 30 mph | 33°F | 12,927 ft | 2,313 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT | 41°F | SW 22 mph | 31°F | 12,467 ft | 1,854 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT | 40°F | SSW 10 mph | 34°F | 12,333 ft | 1,719 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT | 39°F | S 7 mph | 34°F | 12,388 ft | 1,775 ft above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT | 39°F | ENE 12 mph | 32°F | 12,162 ft | 1,549 ft above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 AM MDT | 38°F | NNE 19 mph | 28°F | 12,021 ft | 1,407 ft above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 PM MDT | 39°F | NE 14 mph | 31°F | 12,864 ft | 2,251 ft above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT | 43°F | NNE 19 mph | 35°F | 13,944 ft | 3,330 ft above the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 10,614 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | Low 46°F | SSW 14-20 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South southwest wind 14 to 20 mph. |
| Sunday | High 56°F | SSW 16-23 mph | Partly sunny. High near 56, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 16 to 23 mph. |
| Sunday Night | Low 42°F | SSW 20-24 mph | A chance of rain showers after midnight. Partly cloudy. Low around 42, with temperatures rising to around 45 overnight. South southwest wind 20 to 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
| Monday | High 46°F | S 7-17 mph | A chance of rain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. South wind 7 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible. |
| Monday Night | Low 37°F | ENE 6-9 mph | A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a chance of rain and snow showers between 9pm and midnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. East northeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
| Tuesday | High 47°F | N 9-14 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 36°F | NNW 5-12 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 36. |
| Wednesday | High 51°F | NW 5-8 mph | Sunny, with a high near 51. |
| Wednesday Night | Low 38°F | W 3-7 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 38. |
| Thursday | High 54°F | SSW 5 mph | Sunny, with a high near 54. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (40.3725, -112.1892), by its office in Salt Lake City, UT. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,354 ft (3,156 m), 260 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT | Mostly Cloudy | 50°F / 25°F | 16,050 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT | Mostly Cloudy | 47°F / 27°F | 14,897 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT | Partly Sunny | 51°F / 28°F | 15,612 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT | Partly Cloudy | 52°F / 25°F | 16,501 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT | Slight Chance Rain Showers | 48°F / 29°F | 14,687 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT | Chance Rain Showers | 44°F / 33°F | 12,874 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT | Showers And Thunderstorms | 42°F / 35°F | 11,967 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT | Chance Showers And Thunderstorms | 40°F / 38°F | 10,791 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDT | Chance Rain And Snow Showers | 40°F / 36°F | 11,247 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 AM MDT | Partly Sunny | 37°F / 34°F | 11,047 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 PM MDT | Mostly Sunny | 43°F / 33°F | 12,628 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT | Mostly Clear | 43°F / 28°F | 13,767 ft | Base above the summit |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 6:54 AM | 7:21 AM | 7:19 PM | 7:46 PM | -13h -2m |
| September 27 | 6:55 AM | 7:22 AM | 7:17 PM | 7:44 PM | -13h -5m |
| September 28 | 6:56 AM | 7:23 AM | 7:16 PM | 7:43 PM | -13h -7m |
| September 29 | 6:57 AM | 7:24 AM | 7:14 PM | 7:41 PM | -13h -10m |
| September 30 | 6:58 AM | 7:25 AM | 7:12 PM | 7:39 PM | -13h -13m |
| October 1 | 6:59 AM | 7:26 AM | 7:11 PM | 7:38 PM | -13h -15m |
| October 2 | 7:00 AM | 7:27 AM | 7:09 PM | 7:36 PM | -13h -18m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 10,614 ft (3,235 m)
- Prominence
- 5,371 ft (1,637 m)
- Coordinates
- 40.3725, -112.1892
- Nearest town
- Cedar Valley
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Ski areas
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.