Lānaihale mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 67°F and wind from the ENE at 34 mph, Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM HST. The freezing level is at 17,054 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: tropical storm conditions possible, high 75°F at its grid elevation of 2,572 ft.
The summit on the map
Lānaihale and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Lānaihale
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 3,379 ft (1,030 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 2,572 ft (784 m)
- Summit temperature
- 67°F
- Summit wind
- ENE 34 mph
- Freezing level
- 17,054 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 72°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 2,572 ft up 807 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM HST | 67°F | ENE 34 mph | 17,054 ft | 13,675 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM HST | 67°F | E 40 mph | 17,041 ft | 13,661 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM HST | 67°F | ENE 33 mph | 17,293 ft | 13,914 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM HST | 66°F | E 44 mph | 17,405 ft | 14,026 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM HST | 67°F | E 39 mph | 17,785 ft | 14,406 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM HST | 67°F | E 35 mph | 17,671 ft | 14,291 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM HST | 68°F | E 33 mph | 17,336 ft | 13,957 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM HST | 68°F | E 26 mph | 16,624 ft | 13,245 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM HST | 68°F | E 27 mph | 17,044 ft | 13,665 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM HST | 68°F | E 19 mph | 16,886 ft | 13,507 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM HST | 69°F | E 19 mph | 17,211 ft | 13,832 ft above the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 2:00 PM HST, interpolated to 3,379 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonight | Low 70°F | NNE 25-29 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Saturday | High 75°F | NE 22-31 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Saturday Night | Low 69°F | NE 26-59 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible. |
| Sunday | High 75°F | ENE 44-59 mph | Tropical storm conditions possible. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. |
| Sunday Night | Low 70°F | ENE 28-32 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. East northeast wind 28 to 32 mph, with gusts as high as 47 mph. |
| Monday | High 76°F | ENE 24-30 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. East northeast wind 24 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. |
| Monday Night | Low 70°F | NE 16-20 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Northeast wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. |
| Tuesday | High 75°F | ENE 20 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. East northeast wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 70°F | E 14-20 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. East wind 14 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. |
| Wednesday | High 74°F | SE 24-28 mph | Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Southeast wind 24 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (20.8139, -156.8667), by its office in Honolulu, HI. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 2,572 ft (784 m), 807 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 AM HST | Tropical Storm Conditions Possible | 70°F / 66°F | 3,479 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 AM HST | Isolated Showers And Thunderstorms | 71°F / 67°F | 3,497 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 2:00 PM HST | Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms | 75°F / 67°F | 4,399 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 8:00 PM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 70°F / 67°F | 3,251 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 AM HST | Partly Cloudy | 69°F / 65°F | 3,502 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 AM HST | Mostly Sunny | 70°F / 64°F | 3,934 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2:00 PM HST | Partly Sunny | 75°F / 64°F | 5,083 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 8:00 PM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 71°F / 67°F | 3,497 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 AM HST | Partly Cloudy | 70°F / 64°F | 3,934 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 AM HST | Mostly Sunny | 71°F / 63°F | 4,408 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2:00 PM HST | Partly Sunny | 76°F / 67°F | 4,604 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 8:00 PM HST | Mostly Cloudy | 71°F / 68°F | 3,269 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 25 | 5:55 AM | 6:17 AM | 6:21 PM | 6:43 PM | -12h -56m |
| September 26 | 5:55 AM | 6:18 AM | 6:20 PM | 6:42 PM | -12h -58m |
| September 27 | 5:56 AM | 6:18 AM | 6:19 PM | 6:41 PM | -12h -59m |
| September 28 | 5:56 AM | 6:18 AM | 6:18 PM | 6:40 PM | -12h 0m |
| September 29 | 5:56 AM | 6:18 AM | 6:17 PM | 6:39 PM | -13h -1m |
| September 30 | 5:57 AM | 6:19 AM | 6:16 PM | 6:38 PM | -13h -3m |
| October 1 | 5:57 AM | 6:19 AM | 6:15 PM | 6:37 PM | -13h -4m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 3,379 ft (1,030 m)
- Prominence
- 3,379 ft (1,030 m)
- Coordinates
- 20.8139, -156.8667
- Nearest town
- Lanai City
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.