Colorado mountains

Hesperus Mountain mountain forecast

13,238 ft (4,035 m) · prominence 2,851 ft (869 m) · Colorado

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 34°F and wind from the NW at 12 mph, a wind chill of 25°F, Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT. The freezing level is at 13,681 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 52°F at its grid elevation of 10,840 ft.

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The summit on the map

Hesperus Mountain and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

  • Hesperus Mountain
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Now

Summit
13,238 ft (4,035 m)
Forecast grid ground
10,840 ft (3,304 m)
Summit temperature
34°F
Summit wind
NW 12 mph
Freezing level
13,681 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
43°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,840 ft up 2,398 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 AM MDT34°FNW 12 mph25°F13,681 ft443 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDT33°FNW 10 mph25°F13,323 ft85 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDT36°FWNW 3 mph33°F13,852 ft614 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT38°FWNW 1 mph14,505 ft1,266 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT37°FSSW 5 mph33°F14,321 ft1,083 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDT35°FSW 8 mph28°F13,829 ft591 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDT36°FS 10 mph29°F14,006 ft768 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDT34°FS 14 mph25°F13,530 ft292 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDT33°FSW 25 mph20°F13,291 ft52 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDT33°FSW 16 mph22°F13,110 ft128 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDT33°FSSW 18 mph22°F13,428 ft190 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDT33°FSW 16 mph23°F13,550 ft312 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 6:00 PM MDT, interpolated to 13,238 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 34°FNW 5 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 34. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
SaturdayHigh 52°FWNW 5-10 mphMostly sunny, with a high near 52. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday NightLow 36°FSSE 5-10 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 36. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
SundayHigh 50°FSSE 10-15 mphA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday NightLow 38°FSE 5-10 mphRain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
MondayHigh 41°FSSE 5-10 mphRain showers before noon, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Monday NightLow 37°FESE 5 mphShowers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 37.
TuesdayHigh 41°FE 5-10 mphA chance of thunderstorms and rain and snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 41.
Tuesday NightLow 34°FNE 5-10 mphShowers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
WednesdayHigh 46°FNW 5-10 mphA slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 46.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (37.4450, -108.0890), by its office in Grand Junction, CO. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,840 ft (3,304 m), 2,398 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 AM MDTSunny35°F / 34°F11,082 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 12:00 PM MDTSunny49°F / 36°F13,784 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDTPartly Cloudy47°F / 36°F13,333 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDTPartly Cloudy37°F / 31°F12,216 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 AM MDTMostly Sunny37°F / 31°F12,216 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sun, Sep 27, 12:00 PM MDTPartly Sunny48°F / 34°F14,034 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 6:00 PM MDTChance Rain Showers43°F / 34°F12,886 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 AM MDTRain Showers Likely39°F / 32°F12,439 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 AM MDTRain Showers39°F / 36°F11,528 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 12:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms39°F / 39°F10,845 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 6:00 PM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms39°F / 39°F10,845 ftSummit likely in cloud
Tue, Sep 29, 12:00 AM MDTShowers And Thunderstorms37°F / 37°F10,849 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:38 AM7:04 AM7:04 PM7:30 PM-12h 0m
September 276:39 AM7:05 AM7:03 PM7:29 PM-13h -2m
September 286:39 AM7:05 AM7:01 PM7:27 PM-13h -4m
September 296:40 AM7:06 AM7:00 PM7:26 PM-13h -6m
September 306:41 AM7:07 AM6:58 PM7:24 PM-13h -9m
October 16:42 AM7:08 AM6:57 PM7:23 PM-13h -11m
October 26:43 AM7:09 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM-13h -14m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Avalanche forecast

Hesperus Mountain is in the Colorado zone of the Colorado Avalanche Information Center. Status: information, no rating.

Elevation
13,238 ft (4,035 m)
Prominence
2,851 ft (869 m)
Coordinates
37.4450, -108.0890
Nearest town
Mancos

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Ski areas

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.