Santiago Peak mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 65°F and wind from the SW at 5 mph, Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT. The freezing level is at 16,001 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: mostly sunny, high 74°F at its grid elevation of 5,062 ft.
The summit on the map
Santiago Peak and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Santiago Peak
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 5,689 ft (1,734 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 5,062 ft (1,543 m)
- Summit temperature
- 65°F
- Summit wind
- SW 5 mph
- Freezing level
- 16,001 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 72°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 5,062 ft up 627 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT | 65°F | SW 5 mph | 16,001 ft | 10,312 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT | 66°F | S 6 mph | 15,666 ft | 9,977 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT | 66°F | SSW 13 mph | 14,990 ft | 9,301 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT | 64°F | SSW 10 mph | 14,862 ft | 9,173 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT | 62°F | SSW 10 mph | 12,635 ft | 6,946 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT | 61°F | SSW 11 mph | 14,734 ft | 9,045 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT | 62°F | SW 14 mph | 13,507 ft | 7,818 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT | 58°F | SSW 12 mph | 13,301 ft | 7,612 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT | 57°F | SW 11 mph | 12,907 ft | 7,218 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT | 55°F | SSW 9 mph | 12,215 ft | 6,526 ft above the summit | |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT | 56°F | WSW 7 mph | 11,900 ft | 6,211 ft above the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT, interpolated to 5,689 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Low 63°F | NW 5 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northwest wind around 5 mph. |
| Saturday | High 74°F | SW 0-10 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southwest wind 0 to 10 mph. |
| Saturday Night | Low 61°F | SW 5 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph. |
| Sunday | High 68°F | S 5-15 mph | Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. |
| Sunday Night | Low 52°F | S 0-10 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 52. South wind 0 to 10 mph. |
| Monday | High 61°F | S 0-10 mph | Sunny, with a high near 61. |
| Monday Night | Low 57°F | S 0-15 mph | Mostly clear, with a low around 57. |
| Tuesday | High 68°F | NW 0-15 mph | Sunny, with a high near 68. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 58°F | S 0-15 mph | Clear, with a low around 58. |
| Wednesday | High 69°F | S 0-15 mph | Sunny, with a high near 69. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (33.7105, -117.5340), by its office in San Diego, CA. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 5,062 ft (1,543 m), 627 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT | Partly Cloudy | 64°F / 37°F | 11,223 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT | Sunny | 68°F / 40°F | 11,441 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT | Sunny | 70°F / 45°F | 10,753 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 66°F / 34°F | 12,357 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM PDT | Mostly Cloudy | 64°F / 34°F | 11,906 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 63°F / 41°F | 10,065 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 61°F / 48°F | 8,019 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM PDT | Partly Cloudy | 59°F / 42°F | 8,935 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM PDT | Mostly Clear | 56°F / 40°F | 8,694 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM PDT | Mostly Sunny | 55°F / 42°F | 8,033 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM PDT | Sunny | 60°F / 46°F | 8,270 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM PDT | Mostly Clear | 58°F / 34°F | 10,512 ft | Base above the summit |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 6:16 AM | 6:41 AM | 6:42 PM | 7:07 PM | -12h -59m |
| September 27 | 6:17 AM | 6:42 AM | 6:41 PM | 7:06 PM | -13h -1m |
| September 28 | 6:18 AM | 6:43 AM | 6:40 PM | 7:05 PM | -13h -3m |
| September 29 | 6:18 AM | 6:43 AM | 6:38 PM | 7:03 PM | -13h -5m |
| September 30 | 6:19 AM | 6:44 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:02 PM | -13h -7m |
| October 1 | 6:20 AM | 6:45 AM | 6:36 PM | 7:00 PM | -13h -9m |
| October 2 | 6:21 AM | 6:45 AM | 6:34 PM | 6:59 PM | -13h -11m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 5,689 ft (1,734 m)
- Prominence
- 4,386 ft (1,337 m)
- Coordinates
- 33.7105, -117.5340
- Nearest town
- Trabuco Canyon
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.