Escudilla Mountain mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 46°F and wind from the WSW at 7 mph, a wind chill of 42°F, Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM MST. The freezing level is at 14,442 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: sunny, high 63°F at its grid elevation of 9,426 ft.
The summit on the map
Escudilla Mountain and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Escudilla Mountain
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 10,915 ft (3,327 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 9,426 ft (2,873 m)
- Summit temperature
- 46°F
- Summit wind
- WSW 7 mph
- Freezing level
- 14,442 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 58°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 9,426 ft up 1,489 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM MST | 46°F | WSW 7 mph | 42°F | 14,442 ft | 3,527 ft above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM MST | 45°F | WSW 4 mph | 43°F | 14,626 ft | 3,711 ft above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM MST | 48°F | SSW 3 mph | 47°F | 15,876 ft | 4,961 ft above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM MST | 52°F | WSW 11 mph | 15,062 ft | 4,147 ft above the summit | |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM MST | 49°F | SSW 9 mph | 45°F | 16,289 ft | 5,374 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM MST | 48°F | WSW 12 mph | 42°F | 15,325 ft | 4,409 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM MST | 49°F | SW 14 mph | 44°F | 14,354 ft | 3,438 ft above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM MST | 50°F | SSW 12 mph | 15,243 ft | 4,327 ft above the summit | |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM MST | 49°F | SSW 16 mph | 43°F | 15,184 ft | 4,268 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM MST | 46°F | SSW 17 mph | 39°F | 14,984 ft | 4,068 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM MST | 47°F | SSW 19 mph | 40°F | 15,144 ft | 4,229 ft above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM MST | 46°F | WSW 10 mph | 41°F | 14,826 ft | 3,911 ft above the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM MST, interpolated to 10,915 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Low 42°F | SW 5 mph | Clear, with a low around 42. Southwest wind around 5 mph. |
| Saturday | High 63°F | SW 5-10 mph | Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. |
| Saturday Night | Low 45°F | SW 8 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. |
| Sunday | High 61°F | SW 7-13 mph | A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
| Sunday Night | Low 47°F | SW 6-13 mph | Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
| Monday | High 56°F | SW 10-14 mph | Rain showers likely before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Monday Night | Low 46°F | S 9-15 mph | Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. |
| Tuesday | High 51°F | SW 13 mph | Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 39°F | SW 10-17 mph | Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southwest wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
| Wednesday | High 52°F | W 9-16 mph | A chance of rain showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. West wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (33.9167, -109.1110), by its office in NWS Flagstaff, AZ. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 9,426 ft (2,873 m), 1,489 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM MST | Clear | 42°F / 38°F | 10,356 ft | Base below the summit if cloud forms |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM MST | Sunny | 57°F / 34°F | 14,671 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM MST | Mostly Sunny | 60°F / 31°F | 16,051 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM MST | Mostly Cloudy | 46°F / 31°F | 12,853 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM MST | Mostly Cloudy | 45°F / 31°F | 12,607 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM MST | Partly Sunny | 58°F / 35°F | 14,648 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM MST | Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms | 58°F / 38°F | 13,964 ft | Base above the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM MST | Chance Rain Showers | 49°F / 41°F | 11,230 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM MST | Rain Showers Likely | 47°F / 41°F | 10,779 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM MST | Showers And Thunderstorms | 54°F / 46°F | 11,240 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM MST | Showers And Thunderstorms | 52°F / 47°F | 10,561 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM MST | Showers And Thunderstorms | 50°F / 45°F | 10,565 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 5:43 AM | 6:07 AM | 6:09 PM | 6:34 PM | -12h -58m |
| September 27 | 5:43 AM | 6:08 AM | 6:07 PM | 6:32 PM | -13h -1m |
| September 28 | 5:44 AM | 6:09 AM | 6:06 PM | 6:31 PM | -13h -3m |
| September 29 | 5:45 AM | 6:10 AM | 6:05 PM | 6:30 PM | -13h -5m |
| September 30 | 5:45 AM | 6:10 AM | 6:03 PM | 6:28 PM | -13h -7m |
| October 1 | 5:46 AM | 6:11 AM | 6:02 PM | 6:27 PM | -13h -9m |
| October 2 | 5:47 AM | 6:12 AM | 6:01 PM | 6:25 PM | -13h -11m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 10,915 ft (3,327 m)
- Prominence
- 2,372 ft (723 m)
- Coordinates
- 33.9167, -109.1110
- Nearest town
- Eagar
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.