Arizona mountains

Escudilla Mountain mountain forecast

10,915 ft (3,327 m) · prominence 2,372 ft (723 m) · Arizona

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 46°F and wind from the WSW at 7 mph, a wind chill of 42°F, Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM MST. The freezing level is at 14,442 ft, above the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: sunny, high 63°F at its grid elevation of 9,426 ft.

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The summit on the map

Escudilla Mountain and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
10,915 ft (3,327 m)
Forecast grid ground
9,426 ft (2,873 m)
Summit temperature
46°F
Summit wind
WSW 7 mph
Freezing level
14,442 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
58°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 9,426 ft up 1,489 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Fri, Sep 25, 11:00 PM MST46°FWSW 7 mph42°F14,442 ft3,527 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM MST45°FWSW 4 mph43°F14,626 ft3,711 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM MST48°FSSW 3 mph47°F15,876 ft4,961 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM MST52°FWSW 11 mph15,062 ft4,147 ft above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM MST49°FSSW 9 mph45°F16,289 ft5,374 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM MST48°FWSW 12 mph42°F15,325 ft4,409 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM MST49°FSW 14 mph44°F14,354 ft3,438 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM MST50°FSSW 12 mph15,243 ft4,327 ft above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM MST49°FSSW 16 mph43°F15,184 ft4,268 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM MST46°FSSW 17 mph39°F14,984 ft4,068 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM MST47°FSSW 19 mph40°F15,144 ft4,229 ft above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM MST46°FWSW 10 mph41°F14,826 ft3,911 ft above the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 5:00 PM MST, interpolated to 10,915 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 42°FSW 5 mphClear, with a low around 42. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
SaturdayHigh 63°FSW 5-10 mphSunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Saturday NightLow 45°FSW 8 mphMostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southwest wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
SundayHigh 61°FSW 7-13 mphA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday NightLow 47°FSW 6-13 mphShowers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southwest wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
MondayHigh 56°FSW 10-14 mphRain showers likely before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. Southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Monday NightLow 46°FS 9-15 mphShowers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
TuesdayHigh 51°FSW 13 mphShowers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51. Southwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday NightLow 39°FSW 10-17 mphShowers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southwest wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
WednesdayHigh 52°FW 9-16 mphA chance of rain showers before 11am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. West wind 9 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (33.9167, -109.1110), by its office in NWS Flagstaff, AZ. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 9,426 ft (2,873 m), 1,489 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 AM MSTClear42°F / 38°F10,356 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 AM MSTSunny57°F / 34°F14,671 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM MSTMostly Sunny60°F / 31°F16,051 ftBase above the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 11:00 PM MSTMostly Cloudy46°F / 31°F12,853 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 AM MSTMostly Cloudy45°F / 31°F12,607 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 AM MSTPartly Sunny58°F / 35°F14,648 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 5:00 PM MSTSlight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms58°F / 38°F13,964 ftBase above the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 11:00 PM MSTChance Rain Showers49°F / 41°F11,230 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 AM MSTRain Showers Likely47°F / 41°F10,779 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 AM MSTShowers And Thunderstorms54°F / 46°F11,240 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 5:00 PM MSTShowers And Thunderstorms52°F / 47°F10,561 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 11:00 PM MSTShowers And Thunderstorms50°F / 45°F10,565 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

No snow in the National Weather Service’s forecast for the summit’s grid cell over the next several days.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 265:43 AM6:07 AM6:09 PM6:34 PM-12h -58m
September 275:43 AM6:08 AM6:07 PM6:32 PM-13h -1m
September 285:44 AM6:09 AM6:06 PM6:31 PM-13h -3m
September 295:45 AM6:10 AM6:05 PM6:30 PM-13h -5m
September 305:45 AM6:10 AM6:03 PM6:28 PM-13h -7m
October 15:46 AM6:11 AM6:02 PM6:27 PM-13h -9m
October 25:47 AM6:12 AM6:01 PM6:25 PM-13h -11m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Elevation
10,915 ft (3,327 m)
Prominence
2,372 ft (723 m)
Coordinates
33.9167, -109.1110
Nearest town
Eagar

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.