Regal Mountain mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 5°F and wind from the S at 12 mph, a wind chill of -11°F, Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT. The freezing level is at 3,737 ft, 10,108 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: chance light snow, high 16°F at its grid elevation of 12,123 ft.
The summit on the map
Regal Mountain and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Regal Mountain
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 13,845 ft (4,220 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 12,123 ft (3,695 m)
- Summit temperature
- 5°F
- Summit wind
- S 12 mph
- Freezing level
- 3,737 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 10°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 12,123 ft up 1,722 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | 5°F | S 12 mph | -11°F | 3,737 ft | 10,108 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | 5°F | S 16 mph | -14°F | 5,036 ft | 8,809 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | 4°F | S 25 mph | -20°F | 5,751 ft | 8,094 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | 2°F | S 30 mph | -23°F | 4,098 ft | 9,747 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | 4°F | S 25 mph | -19°F | 4,469 ft | 9,377 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | 1°F | SSE 17 mph | -19°F | 4,560 ft | 9,285 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | -1°F | SW 12 mph | -18°F | 5,505 ft | 8,340 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | -1°F | S 5 mph | -12°F | 4,078 ft | 9,767 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | -2°F | S 4 mph | -12°F | 3,363 ft | 10,482 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | -3°F | SSE 4 mph | -11°F | 3,907 ft | 9,938 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | -3°F | S 4 mph | -11°F | 5,157 ft | 8,688 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | -3°F | S 3 mph | -10°F | 3,084 ft | 10,761 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 13,845 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overnight | Low 1°F | SW 15 mph | Partly cloudy, with a low around 1. Southwest wind around 15 mph. |
| Saturday | High 16°F | S 15-20 mph | A chance of snow after 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 16. South wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
| Saturday Night | Low 3°F | S 20-30 mph | Snow likely before 4am, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy. Low around 3, with temperatures rising to around 11 overnight. South wind 20 to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. |
| Sunday | High 14°F | SW 15-25 mph | A chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 14. Southwest wind 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible. |
| Sunday Night | Low 2°F | W 0-15 mph | Widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 2. West wind 0 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Monday | High 6°F | NW 5-10 mph | Widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 6. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible. |
| Monday Night | Low -2°F | NW 5-10 mph | A chance of snow showers before 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
| Tuesday | High 3°F | NW 5-10 mph | Mostly cloudy, with a high near 3. |
| Tuesday Night | Low -2°F | W 5-10 mph | A slight chance of snow showers after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -2. |
| Wednesday | High 2°F | SW 5-10 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 2. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (61.7442, -142.8650), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 12,123 ft (3,695 m), 1,722 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 8°F / 3°F | 13,276 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 16°F / 12°F | 13,030 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | Chance Light Snow | 11°F / 7°F | 13,021 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 12°F / 8°F | 13,039 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 6°F / 4°F | 12,597 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 11°F / 10°F | 12,337 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | Isolated Snow Showers | 6°F / 1°F | 13,280 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | Widespread Snow Showers | 2°F / -5°F | 13,704 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 2°F / -6°F | 13,932 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 5°F / 0°F | 13,262 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 0°F / -10°F | 14,392 ft | Base above the summit |
| Tue, Sep 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Mostly Cloudy | -2°F / -11°F | 14,169 ft | Base above the summit |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 27: 9.0 in · September 28: 1.2 in · September 30: 0.3 in · October 1: 0.1 in · October 2: 1.8 in. 12.4 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,365 ft.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 6:42 AM | 7:26 AM | 7:21 PM | 8:05 PM | -13h -5m |
| September 27 | 6:45 AM | 7:29 AM | 7:18 PM | 8:01 PM | -13h -11m |
| September 28 | 6:48 AM | 7:31 AM | 7:14 PM | 7:58 PM | -13h -17m |
| September 29 | 6:50 AM | 7:34 AM | 7:11 PM | 7:55 PM | -13h -23m |
| September 30 | 6:53 AM | 7:37 AM | 7:08 PM | 7:52 PM | -13h -29m |
| October 1 | 6:55 AM | 7:39 AM | 7:05 PM | 7:48 PM | -13h -34m |
| October 2 | 6:58 AM | 7:42 AM | 7:02 PM | 7:45 PM | -13h -40m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 13,845 ft (4,220 m)
- Prominence
- 4,344 ft (1,324 m)
- Coordinates
- 61.7442, -142.8650
- Nearest town
- Tok
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.