Mount Spurr mountain forecast
At the summit’s height the GFS model has 9°F and wind from the SE at 30 mph, a wind chill of -14°F, Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT. The freezing level is at 4,003 ft, 7,067 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for today: heavy snow, high 18°F at its grid elevation of 10,049 ft.
The summit on the map
Mount Spurr and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.
- Mount Spurr
- Other summits
Now
- Summit
- 11,070 ft (3,374 m)
- Forecast grid ground
- 10,049 ft (3,063 m)
- Summit temperature
- 9°F
- Summit wind
- SE 30 mph
- Freezing level
- 4,003 ft
- High at the summit, by lapse rate
- 14°F
The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 10,049 ft up 1,021 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.
At the summit’s height
Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.
| Time | Temp | Wind | Wind chill | Freezing level | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | 9°F | SE 30 mph | -14°F | 4,003 ft | 7,067 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | 11°F | SE 27 mph | -10°F | 4,304 ft | 6,765 ft below the summit |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | 11°F | SE 33 mph | -12°F | 3,907 ft | 7,162 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | 9°F | SE 19 mph | -10°F | 3,786 ft | 7,283 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | 8°F | SE 16 mph | -10°F | 3,858 ft | 7,211 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | 8°F | SE 12 mph | -8°F | 4,524 ft | 6,545 ft below the summit |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | 8°F | ESE 11 mph | -7°F | 4,177 ft | 6,893 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | 8°F | ESE 9 mph | -5°F | 3,461 ft | 7,608 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | 9°F | E 9 mph | -4°F | 4,058 ft | 7,011 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | 9°F | NNE 4 mph | 2°F | 5,052 ft | 6,017 ft below the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | 9°F | NNE 5 mph | 0°F | 2,733 ft | 8,337 ft below the summit |
NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 11,070 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.
The National Weather Service forecast at the summit
| Period | Temp | Wind | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | High 18°F | SE 25 mph | Snow. Cloudy. High near 18, with temperatures falling to around 13 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 24 to 30 inches possible. |
| Tonight | Low 11°F | SE 10-25 mph | Snow before 4am, then a chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 11. Southeast wind 10 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible. |
| Sunday | High 18°F | E 10 mph | Widespread snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 18. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible. |
| Sunday Night | Low 10°F | NE 0-10 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. Northeast wind 0 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Monday | High 13°F | N 5-10 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 13. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. |
| Monday Night | Low 8°F | NW 0-20 mph | Scattered snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8. Northwest wind 0 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
| Tuesday | High 12°F | W 5-20 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible. |
| Tuesday Night | Low 7°F | W 5-10 mph | Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 7. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. |
| Wednesday | High 12°F | W 5-10 mph | Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. |
| Wednesday Night | Low 6°F | NW 5-10 mph | A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. |
The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (61.2997, -152.2514), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 10,049 ft (3,063 m), 1,021 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.
Cloud base and the summit
| Time | Sky | Temp and dew point | Cloud base | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT | Heavy Snow | 12°F / 12°F | 10,054 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT | Heavy Snow | 12°F / 12°F | 10,054 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT | Heavy Snow | 15°F / 14°F | 10,295 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 14°F / 13°F | 10,277 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 12°F / 10°F | 10,509 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 15°F / 15°F | 10,067 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT | Isolated Snow Showers | 15°F / 13°F | 10,523 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 11°F / 5°F | 11,402 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT | Chance Snow Showers | 10°F / 4°F | 11,425 ft | Base above the summit |
| Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 13°F / 11°F | 10,486 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 11°F / 7°F | 10,947 ft | Summit likely in cloud |
| Tue, Sep 29, 4:00 AM AKDT | Scattered Snow Showers | 9°F / 1°F | 11,863 ft | Base above the summit |
An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.
Snow
September 26: 67.2 in · September 27: 19.3 in · September 28: 2.1 in · September 29: 1.3 in · September 30: 4.4 in · October 1: 5.0 in · October 2: 8.8 in. 108.1 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,444 ft.
National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.
Sunrise and sunset
| Day | First light | Sunrise | Sunset | Last light | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 26 | 7:21 AM | 8:04 AM | 7:58 PM | 8:42 PM | -13h -6m |
| September 27 | 7:23 AM | 8:06 AM | 7:55 PM | 8:38 PM | -13h -11m |
| September 28 | 7:26 AM | 8:09 AM | 7:52 PM | 8:35 PM | -13h -17m |
| September 29 | 7:28 AM | 8:11 AM | 7:49 PM | 8:32 PM | -13h -22m |
| September 30 | 7:31 AM | 8:14 AM | 7:46 PM | 8:29 PM | -13h -28m |
| October 1 | 7:33 AM | 8:16 AM | 7:43 PM | 8:26 PM | -13h -33m |
| October 2 | 7:36 AM | 8:19 AM | 7:39 PM | 8:22 PM | -13h -40m |
For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.
- Elevation
- 11,070 ft (3,374 m)
- Prominence
- 1,919 ft (585 m)
- Coordinates
- 61.2997, -152.2514
- Nearest town
- Nikiski
What this means
- Why a summit forecast differs
- The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
- Freezing level
- The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
- Wind chill
- How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
- Cloud base
- Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
- Prominence
- How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.
Nearby
Summits
Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.