Alaska mountains

Mount Sanford mountain forecast

16,237 ft (4,949 m) · prominence 7,638 ft (2,328 m) · Alaska

At the summit’s height the GFS model has -1°F and wind from the SSW at 9 mph, a wind chill of -16°F, Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT. The freezing level is at 4,393 ft, 11,844 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: partly sunny, high 13°F at its grid elevation of 11,736 ft.

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The summit on the map

Mount Sanford and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

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Now

Summit
16,237 ft (4,949 m)
Forecast grid ground
11,736 ft (3,577 m)
Summit temperature
-1°F
Summit wind
SSW 9 mph
Freezing level
4,393 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
-3°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 11,736 ft up 4,501 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Fri, Sep 25, 10:00 PM AKDT-1°FSSW 9 mph-16°F4,393 ft11,844 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT-2°FSSE 9 mph-17°F3,717 ft12,520 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT-3°FSSE 14 mph-23°F5,459 ft10,778 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT-5°FSSE 19 mph-28°F5,843 ft10,394 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT-8°FS 21 mph-32°F5,079 ft11,158 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT-7°FSSW 21 mph-32°F4,738 ft11,499 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT-8°FSSE 14 mph-29°F5,269 ft10,968 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT-10°FS 10 mph-29°F5,180 ft11,056 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT-12°FSSE 5 mph-24°F4,052 ft12,185 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT-13°FSE 4 mph-23°F3,615 ft12,621 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT-14°FSE 4 mph-25°F4,167 ft12,070 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT-14°FSW 6 mph-29°F4,715 ft11,522 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 16,237 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 8°FS 10-15 mphPartly cloudy, with a low around 8. South wind 10 to 15 mph.
SaturdayHigh 13°FS 10-15 mphPartly sunny, with a high near 13. South wind 10 to 15 mph.
Saturday NightLow 8°FSW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 8. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
SundayHigh 12°FW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 12. West wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday NightLow 6°FNW 5-15 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 6. Northwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
MondayHigh 6°FNW 5 mphWidespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 6. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Monday NightLow 3°FNW 5-10 mphA chance of snow showers before 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 3. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.
TuesdayHigh 7°FW 10 mphA slight chance of snow showers after 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 7.
Tuesday NightLow 1°FSW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 1.
WednesdayHigh 7°FSW 10-15 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 7. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (62.2139, -144.1289), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 11,736 ft (3,577 m), 4,501 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDTPartly Cloudy10°F / -2°F14,479 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDTMostly Cloudy12°F / 3°F13,791 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTMostly Sunny12°F / 5°F13,335 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDTPartly Cloudy11°F / 0°F14,229 ftBase below the summit if cloud forms
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers10°F / 2°F13,568 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers9°F / 2°F13,322 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDTScattered Snow Showers12°F / 8°F12,652 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDTIsolated Snow Showers8°F / 2°F13,117 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDTChance Snow Showers7°F / -2°F13,782 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers6°F / 1°F12,893 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers6°F / 5°F11,982 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDTScattered Snow Showers6°F / -4°F14,033 ftSummit likely in cloud

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 28: 2.7 in · September 30: 0.1 in · October 2: 0.1 in. 2.9 inches in all. Snow level as low as 1,260 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 266:47 AM7:31 AM7:26 PM8:10 PM-13h -5m
September 276:50 AM7:34 AM7:23 PM8:07 PM-13h -11m
September 286:52 AM7:37 AM7:19 PM8:04 PM-13h -18m
September 296:55 AM7:39 AM7:16 PM8:00 PM-13h -23m
September 306:57 AM7:42 AM7:13 PM7:57 PM-13h -29m
October 17:00 AM7:45 AM7:09 PM7:54 PM-13h -36m
October 27:03 AM7:47 AM7:06 PM7:50 PM-13h -41m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Elevation
16,237 ft (4,949 m)
Prominence
7,638 ft (2,328 m)
Coordinates
62.2139, -144.1289
Nearest town
Tok

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.