Alaska mountains

Mount Marcus Baker mountain forecast

13,176 ft (4,016 m) · prominence 10,725 ft (3,269 m) · Alaska

At the summit’s height the GFS model has 6°F and wind from the SSE at 21 mph, a wind chill of -14°F, Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT. The freezing level is at 3,819 ft, 9,357 ft below the summit. The National Weather Service forecast for saturday: heavy snow, high 12°F at its grid elevation of 11,798 ft.

Live map with slope anglesKnik River forecast

The summit on the map

Mount Marcus Baker and the summits and ski areas around it. Each has its own page.

  • Mount Marcus Baker
  • Other summits

Open the live map with slope angles

Now

Summit
13,176 ft (4,016 m)
Forecast grid ground
11,798 ft (3,596 m)
Summit temperature
6°F
Summit wind
SSE 21 mph
Freezing level
3,819 ft
High at the summit, by lapse rate
7°F

The last tile carries the Weather Service’s high from its grid’s 11,798 ft up 1,378 ft to the summit at the standard atmosphere’s 6.5 °C per kilometer (about 3.6 °F per 1,000 ft). Real lapse rates vary: an inversion can make the summit warmer than the valley.

At the summit’s height

Temperature, wind and wind chill up there, and the freezing level, every six hours for three days.

TimeTempWindWind chillFreezing level
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDT6°FSSE 21 mph-14°F3,819 ft9,357 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDT3°FSSE 24 mph-20°F4,587 ft8,589 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDT4°FSSE 18 mph-16°F5,013 ft8,163 ft below the summit
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDT4°FSSE 19 mph-17°F3,865 ft9,311 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDT4°FSE 20 mph-16°F4,242 ft8,934 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDT1°FSSE 10 mph-15°F3,976 ft9,199 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDT1°FSSE 11 mph-16°F4,888 ft8,287 ft below the summit
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDT0°FSE 8 mph-14°F3,360 ft9,816 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDT0°FSSE 6 mph-12°F2,671 ft10,505 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDT1°FS 3 mph-7°F3,366 ft9,810 ft below the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDT1°FESE 2 mph4,984 ft8,192 ft below the summit

NOAA’s GFS model, run Fri, Sep 25, 4:00 PM AKDT, interpolated to 13,176 ft between its pressure levels: the free air over the summit, which on a ridge is close to what a climber feels and in a sheltered spot is more than it. Wind chill is the National Weather Service’s formula, given where the temperature is 50°F or less and the wind above 3 mph.

The National Weather Service forecast at the summit

PeriodTempWindForecast
OvernightLow 7°FS 35-40 mphSnow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. South wind 35 to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 16 inches possible.
SaturdayHigh 12°FS 25-40 mphSnow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 12. South wind 25 to 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible.
Saturday NightLow 3°FS 20-30 mphSnow before 4am, then widespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 3. South wind 20 to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 33 to 39 inches possible.
SundayHigh 8°FW 10-20 mphWidespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 8. West wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 10 to 14 inches possible.
Sunday NightLow 3°FNW 5-10 mphWidespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 3. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible.
MondayHigh 7°FN 5-10 mphWidespread snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 7. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
Monday NightLow 0°FN 5-10 mphWidespread snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
TuesdayHigh 5°FNW 5-10 mphA chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 5. New snow accumulation of around one inch possible.
Tuesday NightLow 0°FNW 5-10 mphSnow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 0. New snow accumulation of 5 to 9 inches possible.
WednesdayHigh 5°FW 5-10 mphSnow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 5. New snow accumulation of 13 to 19 inches possible.

The Weather Service’s forecast asked at the summit’s coordinates (61.4378, -147.7510), by its office in Anchorage East. Its grid cell is 2.5 km across and sits at 11,798 ft (3,596 m), 1,378 ft below the summit, so its temperatures and winds are for that height.

Cloud base and the summit

TimeSkyTemp and dew pointCloud base
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 AM AKDTHeavy Snow10°F / 6°F12,718 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 AM AKDTHeavy Snow8°F / 5°F12,495 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 4:00 PM AKDTHeavy Snow10°F / 7°F12,491 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sat, Sep 26, 10:00 PM AKDTHeavy Snow10°F / 6°F12,718 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers6°F / 4°F12,272 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers5°F / 2°F12,482 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 4:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers7°F / 4°F12,477 ftSummit likely in cloud
Sun, Sep 27, 10:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers6°F / 2°F12,728 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers5°F / -3°F13,621 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 AM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers3°F / -4°F13,397 ftBase above the summit
Mon, Sep 28, 4:00 PM AKDTWidespread Snow Showers7°F / 1°F13,160 ftSummit likely in cloud
Mon, Sep 28, 10:00 PM AKDTChance Snow Showers3°F / -4°F13,397 ftBase above the summit

An estimate: the height a rising parcel of the grid’s air would reach saturation, about 125 m for every degree Celsius between temperature and dew point (Espy’s rule), added to the grid’s ground. It fits cumulus and fog made on the spot, not a deck of stratus carried in from elsewhere.

Snow

September 25: 12.3 in · September 26: 58.0 in · September 27: 23.0 in · September 28: 4.2 in · September 29: 2.1 in · September 30: 18.6 in · October 1: 14.1 in · October 2: 21.0 in. 153.3 inches in all. Snow level as low as 2,152 ft.

National Weather Service snowfall at the grid cell over the summit.

Sunrise and sunset

DayFirst lightSunriseSunsetLast lightDaylight
September 267:02 AM7:46 AM7:40 PM8:24 PM-13h -6m
September 277:05 AM7:48 AM7:37 PM8:20 PM-13h -11m
September 287:07 AM7:51 AM7:34 PM8:17 PM-13h -17m
September 297:10 AM7:53 AM7:31 PM8:14 PM-13h -22m
September 307:13 AM7:56 AM7:28 PM8:11 PM-13h -28m
October 17:15 AM7:58 AM7:24 PM8:08 PM-13h -34m
October 27:18 AM8:01 AM7:21 PM8:04 PM-13h -40m

For a sea-level horizon at the summit’s position, local time. From a summit the horizon sits lower, so the sun is seen a few minutes before sunrise and after sunset; a ridge to the east or west does the opposite.

Elevation
13,176 ft (4,016 m)
Prominence
10,725 ft (3,269 m)
Coordinates
61.4378, -147.7510
Nearest town
Knik River

What this means

Why a summit forecast differs
The air cools with height, by about 3.6°F per 1,000 feet on average, and the wind above a ridge blows at the speed of the free atmosphere rather than slowed by the valley floor. A town’s forecast says little about the top of the mountain above it.
Freezing level
The height where the air is at 32°F (0°C). Above it precipitation falls as snow and wet rock freezes; the snow line usually sits a few hundred to a thousand feet below it.
Wind chill
How cold the air feels on exposed skin, from the temperature and the wind, by the National Weather Service’s 2001 formula.
Cloud base
Where cloud begins. When it is below the summit, the top is in cloud: no view, and in cold air, rime ice and poor visibility.
Prominence
How far a summit rises above the lowest contour line that encircles it and no higher summit: the measure of a mountain’s own height, not its neighbors’.

Nearby

Summits

Forecasts from the National Weather Service. Summit-height temperature, wind and freezing level from NOAA’s Global Forecast System on NOAA Open Data. Summits from Wikidata (CC0): prominence >= 600 m, or elevation >= 4267 m, or >= 12 Wikipedia editions; English Wikipedia article required; read 2026-09-25. Mountain weather changes fast; check the forecast again before you go.