Likoma, Malawi

1. Sun4 PM80°9 mph
2. 5 PM79°5 mph
3. 6 PM79°5 mph
4. 7 PM79°7 mph
5. 8 PM79°7 mph
6. 9 PM78°6 mph
7. 10 PM78°7 mph
8. 11 PM80°10 mph
9. Mon12 AM80°12 mph
10. 1 AM79°15 mph
11. 2 AM78°16 mph
12. 3 AM78°14 mph
13. 4 AM77°15 mph
14. 5 AM76°17 mph
15. 6 AM76°16 mph
16. 7 AM76°17 mph
17. 8 AM79°16 mph
18. 9 AM81°13 mph
19. 10 AM81°9 mph
20. 11 AM80°11 mph
21. 12 PM80°11 mph
22. 1 PM80°12 mph
23. 2 PM80°11 mph
24. 3 PM80°9 mph
25. 4 PM81°5 mph
26. 5 PM80°4 mph
27. 6 PM80°7 mph
28. 7 PM80°7 mph
29. 8 PM79°9 mph
30. 9 PM80°10 mph
31. 10 PM82°10 mph
32. 11 PM82°12 mph
33. Tue12 AM81°14 mph
34. 1 AM80°15 mph
35. 2 AM79°17 mph
36. 3 AM79°18 mph
37. 4 AM77°15 mph
38. 5 AM77°18 mph
39. 6 AM77°19 mph
40. 7 AM78°20 mph
41. 8 AM79°21 mph
42. 9 AM81°17 mph
43. 10 AM82°14 mph
44. 11 AM82°11 mph
45. 12 PM82°13 mph
46. 1 PM80°14 mph
47. 2 PM80°13 mph
48. 3 PM80°11 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodaySep 2780°76°Mostly clear—wind 10 mph
2. MonSep 2881°77°Partly cloudy—wind 17 mph
3. TueSep 2982°77°Mostly clear—wind 21 mph
4. WedSep 3080°75°Light rain showers—0.03 inwind 23 mph
5. ThuOct 178°74°Rain showers—0.08 inwind 18 mph
6. FriOct 279°73°Partly cloudy—0.14 inwind 13 mph
7. SatOct 377°76°Partly cloudy—0.10 inwind 17 mph
8. SunOct 479°76°Mostly clear—wind 17 mph
9. MonOct 581°80°Partly cloudy—wind 19 mph
10. TueOct 680°78°Cloudy—wind 15 mph
11. WedOct 7~81°78°Model mean
12. ThuOct 8~84°79°Model mean
13. FriOct 9~82°79°Model mean0.03 in
14. SatOct 10~82°79°Model mean0.04 in
15. SunOct 11~82°79°Model mean0.02 in
16. MonOct 12~81°79°Model mean

• Feels like84°
• WindNNW 9 mph
• Humidity73%
• Dew point70°
• Pressure29.85 inHg
• UV index1 · Lowclear-sky peak 1 today
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
• Moonrise6:21 PMMoonset 5:41 AM
• Moon phaseFull moon99% lit

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Sun 4 PM to 11 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
• Mon 3 PM to 10 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
• Thu 2 AM to 4 AM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
• Fri 8 AM to 4 PM 8 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sat 2 AM to 8 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sun 2 PM to 8 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Mon 8 PM to Tue 2 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 8 PM to Wed 2 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

The best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index · Solunar tables for Likoma, by month

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

1. This Afternoon80° · N 5–9 mph

   Mostly clear. High near 27°C. North wind 8 to 14 km/h.

2. Tonight76° · ESE 5–17 mph

   Partly cloudy. Low near 24°C. Eastsoutheast wind 8 to 27 km/h.

3. Monday81° · NW 4–17 mph

   Partly cloudy. High near 27°C. Northwest wind 7 to 27 km/h.

4. Monday Night77° · ESE 7–18 mph

   Mostly clear. Low near 25°C. Eastsoutheast wind 12 to 29 km/h.

5. Tuesday82° · N 10–21 mph

   Mostly clear. High near 28°C. North wind 16 to 33 km/h.

6. Tuesday Night77° · SE 11–23 mph

   Clear. Low near 25°C. Southeast wind 17 to 37 km/h.

7. Wednesday80° · ESE 17–23 mph

   Light rain showers. High near 26°C. Eastsoutheast wind 27 to 37 km/h. Precipitation around 0.7 mm.

8. Wednesday Night75° · SSE 6–18 mph

   Partly cloudy. Low near 24°C. Southsoutheast wind 10 to 29 km/h.

9. Thursday78° · SE 13–14 mph

   Rain showers. High near 26°C. Southeast wind 21 to 22 km/h. Precipitation around 1.6 mm.

10. Thursday Night74° · SE 12–13 mph

    Light rain showers. Low near 23°C. Southeast wind 19 to 21 km/h. Precipitation around 0.6 mm.

11. Friday79° · SE 6–8 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 26°C. Southeast wind 10 to 13 km/h.

12. Friday Night73° · S 6–13 mph

    Heavy rain showers. Low near 23°C. South wind 9 to 21 km/h. Precipitation around 6 mm.

13. Saturday77° · SSE 14–17 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 25°C. Southsoutheast wind 22 to 27 km/h.

14. Saturday Night76° · SE 11–14 mph

    Mostly clear. Low near 25°C. Southeast wind 17 to 23 km/h.

15. Sunday79° · NNE 8–17 mph

    Mostly clear. High near 26°C. Northnortheast wind 13 to 27 km/h.

16. Sunday Night76° · ENE 14–19 mph

    Mostly clear. Low near 24°C. Eastnortheast wind 23 to 30 km/h.

17. Monday81° · N 11–15 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 27°C. North wind 18 to 24 km/h.

18. Monday Night80° · ENE 6–15 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 27°C. Eastnortheast wind 9 to 24 km/h.

19. Tuesday80° · N 11–14 mph

    Cloudy. High near 27°C. North wind 18 to 23 km/h.

20. Tuesday Night78° · E 4–16 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 26°C. East wind 6 to 26 km/h.

Climate of Likoma: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.