Oral, Kazakhstan

1. Sat5 PM69°8 mph
2. 6 PM67°7 mph
3. 7 PM64°6 mph
4. 8 PM60°6 mph
5. 9 PM58°9 mph
6. 10 PM58°9 mph
7. 11 PM56°8 mph
8. Sun12 AM54°6 mph
9. 1 AM52°6 mph
10. 2 AM51°6 mph
11. 3 AM50°6 mph
12. 4 AM49°6 mph
13. 5 AM49°6 mph
14. 6 AM48°6 mph
15. 7 AM47°6 mph
16. 8 AM47°6 mph
17. 9 AM50°7 mph
18. 10 AM54°6 mph
19. 11 AM59°7 mph
20. 12 PM62°8 mph
21. 1 PM65°9 mph
22. 2 PM65°8 mph
23. 3 PM65°8 mph
24. 4 PM66°7 mph
25. 5 PM65°7 mph
26. 6 PM64°7 mph
27. 7 PM60°6 mph
28. 8 PM57°6 mph
29. 9 PM56°6 mph
30. 10 PM54°6 mph
31. 11 PM53°6 mph
32. Mon12 AM52°5 mph
33. 1 AM51°5 mph
34. 2 AM49°5 mph
35. 3 AM48°6 mph
36. 4 AM47°5 mph
37. 5 AM47°5 mph
38. 6 AM46°5 mph
39. 7 AM45°5 mph
40. 8 AM46°6 mph
41. 9 AM49°6 mph
42. 10 AM53°6 mph
43. 11 AM58°6 mph
44. 12 PM62°8 mph
45. 1 PM64°9 mph
46. 2 PM65°8 mph
47. 3 PM66°7 mph
48. 4 PM66°7 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodaySep 2669°49°Clear—wind 9 mph
2. SunSep 2766°47°Partly cloudy—wind 9 mph
3. MonSep 2866°48°Mostly clear—wind 9 mph
4. TueSep 2966°46°Clear—wind 7 mph
5. WedSep 3065°48°Clear—wind 6 mph
6. ThuOct 164°47°Partly cloudy—wind 11 mph
7. FriOct 250°36°Cloudy—wind 14 mph
8. SatOct 344°40°Cloudy—0.01 inwind 17 mph
9. SunOct 452°36°Mostly clear—wind 15 mph
10. MonOct 553°37°Clear—wind 8 mph
11. TueOct 6~54°39°Model mean
12. WedOct 7~59°41°Model mean0.07 in
13. ThuOct 8~55°46°Model mean0.05 in
14. FriOct 9~55°43°Model mean0.02 in
15. SatOct 10~59°42°Model mean
16. SunOct 11~63°45°Model mean

• Feels like69°
• WindE 8 mph
• Humidity37%
• Dew point42°
• Pressure30.47 inHg
• UV index1 · Lowclear-sky peak 1 today
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
• Moonrise7:00 PMMoonset 6:54 AM
• Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Sat 5 PM to Mon 5 AM 36 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
• Mon 9 AM to Tue 5 AM 20 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
• Tue 11 AM to Wed 5 AM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
• Wed 11 AM to Thu 5 AM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
• Thu 11 AM to 5 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Thu 11 PM to Fri 11 AM 12 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sat 5 AM to 11 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sun 11 PM to Mon 5 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index · Solunar tables for Oral, by month

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

1. This Afternoon69° · E 7 mph

   Clear. High near 21°C. East wind around 12 km/h.

2. Tonight49° · E 6–9 mph

   Clear. Low near 9°C. East wind 9 to 15 km/h.

3. Sunday66° · ENE 6–9 mph

   Partly cloudy. High near 19°C. Eastnortheast wind 10 to 14 km/h.

4. Sunday Night47° · ENE 5–7 mph

   Clear. Low near 8°C. Eastnortheast wind 8 to 12 km/h.

5. Monday66° · ENE 6–9 mph

   Mostly clear. High near 19°C. Eastnortheast wind 9 to 14 km/h.

6. Monday Night48° · NE 5–7 mph

   Clear. Low near 9°C. Northeast wind 8 to 11 km/h.

7. Tuesday66° · ENE 6 mph

   Clear. High near 19°C. Eastnortheast wind around 10 km/h.

8. Tuesday Night46° · NE 6–6 mph

   Clear. Low near 8°C. Northeast wind 9 to 10 km/h.

9. Wednesday65° · NNE 6–6 mph

   Clear. High near 19°C. Northnortheast wind 9 to 10 km/h.

10. Wednesday Night48° · N 6–7 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 9°C. North wind 9 to 12 km/h.

11. Thursday64° · N 8–11 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 18°C. North wind 13 to 18 km/h.

12. Thursday Night47° · NNW 10 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 8°C. Northnorthwest wind around 16 km/h.

13. Friday50° · N 14 mph

    Cloudy. High near 10°C. North wind around 22 km/h.

14. Friday Night36° · NNW 9–10 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 2°C. Northnorthwest wind 14 to 16 km/h.

15. Saturday44° · NNW 14–17 mph

    Cloudy. High near 7°C. Northnorthwest wind 22 to 28 km/h.

16. Saturday Night40° · NW 15–16 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 5°C. Northwest wind 24 to 25 km/h.

17. Sunday52° · NNW 11–13 mph

    Mostly clear. High near 11°C. Northnorthwest wind 18 to 21 km/h.

18. Sunday Night36° · NW 6–8 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low near 2°C. Northwest wind 9 to 13 km/h.

19. Monday53° · W 4–7 mph

    Clear. High near 12°C. West wind 6 to 11 km/h.

20. Monday Night37° · SW 6 mph

    Clear. Low near 3°C. Southwest wind around 10 km/h.

Climate of Oral: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.