Aqsay, Kazakhstan

1. Tue4 AM51°9 mph
2. 5 AM50°9 mph
3. 6 AM49°9 mph
4. 7 AM48°9 mph
5. 8 AM48°10 mph
6. 9 AM51°11 mph
7. 10 AM55°10 mph
8. 11 AM58°9 mph
9. 12 PM62°9 mph
10. 1 PM64°9 mph
11. 2 PM66°10 mph
12. 3 PM68°10 mph
13. 4 PM68°9 mph
14. 5 PM67°9 mph
15. 6 PM65°7 mph
16. 7 PM60°6 mph
17. 8 PM57°8 mph
18. 9 PM56°9 mph
19. 10 PM55°9 mph
20. 11 PM54°8 mph
21. Wed12 AM52°8 mph
22. 1 AM51°8 mph
23. 2 AM50°8 mph
24. 3 AM49°8 mph
25. 4 AM48°8 mph
26. 5 AM47°8 mph
27. 6 AM46°8 mph
28. 7 AM45°8 mph
29. 8 AM45°8 mph
30. 9 AM48°8 mph
31. 10 AM52°7 mph
32. 11 AM56°7 mph
33. 12 PM60°7 mph
34. 1 PM63°7 mph
35. 2 PM64°7 mph
36. 3 PM65°6 mph
37. 4 PM65°6 mph
38. 5 PM64°7 mph
39. 6 PM62°6 mph
40. 7 PM56°5 mph
41. 8 PM52°5 mph
42. 9 PM50°5 mph
43. 10 PM48°5 mph
44. 11 PM47°5 mph
45. Thu12 AM46°6 mph
46. 1 AM46°6 mph
47. 2 AM45°6 mph
48. 3 AM44°6 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodaySep 2968°50°Clear—wind 11 mph
2. WedSep 3065°42°Clear—wind 8 mph
3. ThuOct 164°44°Partly cloudy—wind 10 mph
4. FriOct 248°33°Light rain showers—0.02 inwind 10 mph
5. SatOct 342°38°Cloudy—0.02 inwind 13 mph
6. SunOct 449°43°Light rain—0.05 inwind 12 mph
7. MonOct 554°37°Partly cloudy—wind 10 mph
8. TueOct 656°42°Cloudy—wind 11 mph
9. WedOct 761°51°Partly cloudy—wind 14 mph
10. ThuOct 864°51°Mostly clear—wind 12 mph
11. FriOct 9~64°48°Model mean
12. SatOct 10~64°48°Model mean
13. SunOct 11~65°45°Model mean
14. MonOct 12~57°45°Model mean0.07 in
15. TueOct 13~65°45°Model mean
16. WedOct 14~64°46°Model mean

• Feels like47°
• WindE 9 mph
• Humidity58%
• Dew point36°
• Pressure30.32 inHg
• UV index0 · Lowclear-sky peak 3 today
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
• Moonrise7:43 PMMoonset 10:56 AM
• Moon phaseWaning gibbous92% lit

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Tue 4 AM to 8 AM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 10 AM to 2 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 3 PM to Fri 5 AM 62 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
• Fri 5 PM to 11 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sun 11 PM to Tue 5 AM 30 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 11 AM to 5 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 11 PM to Wed 11 AM 12 hours, every hour within the rules

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

The best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated good.

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index · Solunar tables for Aqsay, by month

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

1. Tonight50° · E 9 mph

   Clear. Low near 10°C. East wind around 14 km/h.

2. Tuesday68° · E 9–11 mph

   Clear. High near 20°C. East wind 14 to 17 km/h.

3. Tuesday Night47° · ENE 6–9 mph

   Clear. Low near 8°C. Eastnortheast wind 10 to 14 km/h.

4. Wednesday65° · NE 6–8 mph

   Clear. High near 18°C. Northeast wind 10 to 13 km/h.

5. Wednesday Night42° · N 5–6 mph

   Mostly clear. Low near 6°C. North wind 8 to 10 km/h.

6. Thursday64° · NNW 5–10 mph

   Partly cloudy. High near 18°C. Northnorthwest wind 8 to 16 km/h.

7. Thursday Night44° · NW 9–10 mph

   Mostly clear. Low near 6°C. Northwest wind 14 to 16 km/h.

8. Friday48° · NW 9–11 mph

   Light rain showers. High near 9°C. Northwest wind 15 to 17 km/h. Precipitation around 0.6 mm.

9. Friday Night33° · WNW 7–7 mph

   Mostly clear. Low near 1°C. Westnorthwest wind 11 to 12 km/h.

10. Saturday42° · W 12–13 mph

    Cloudy. High near 6°C. West wind 20 to 21 km/h.

11. Saturday Night38° · WSW 7–9 mph

    Light rain. Low near 3°C. Westsouthwest wind 12 to 15 km/h. Precipitation around 0.8 mm.

12. Sunday49° · NW 11–12 mph

    Light rain. High near 9°C. Northwest wind 18 to 19 km/h. Precipitation around 0.5 mm.

13. Sunday Night43° · NW 8–9 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 6°C. Northwest wind 13 to 14 km/h.

14. Monday54° · WNW 7–10 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 12°C. Westnorthwest wind 11 to 16 km/h.

15. Monday Night37° · SW 5–6 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 3°C. Southwest wind 8 to 9 km/h.

16. Tuesday56° · SW 8–11 mph

    Cloudy. High near 13°C. Southwest wind 13 to 17 km/h.

17. Tuesday Night42° · SSW 6–7 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 6°C. Southsouthwest wind 9 to 11 km/h.

18. Wednesday61° · SW 11–14 mph

    Partly cloudy. High near 16°C. Southwest wind 17 to 22 km/h.

19. Wednesday Night51° · SW 11–11 mph

    Cloudy. Low near 10°C. Southwest wind 17 to 18 km/h.

20. Thursday64° · SW 11–12 mph

    Mostly clear. High near 18°C. Southwest wind 18 to 19 km/h.

Climate of Aqsay: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.