Ap Lei Chau Estate, Hong Kong

1. Mon3 PM86°13 mph
2. 4 PM85°17 mph
3. 5 PM85°17 mph
4. 6 PM83°22 mph
5. 7 PM81°24 mph
6. 8 PM79°24 mph
7. 9 PM78°24 mph
8. 10 PM76°22 mph
9. 11 PM75°21 mph
10. Tue12 AM74°20 mph
11. 1 AM74°19 mph
12. 2 AM74°19 mph
13. 3 AM73°19 mph
14. 4 AM73°19 mph
15. 5 AM73°18 mph
16. 6 AM73°18 mph
17. 7 AM73°18 mph
18. 8 AM73°17 mph
19. 9 AM75°17 mph
20. 10 AM77°17 mph
21. 11 AM79°17 mph
22. 12 PM80°16 mph
23. 1 PM80°15 mph
24. 2 PM81°14 mph
25. 3 PM81°12 mph
26. 4 PM81°12 mph
27. 5 PM81°14 mph
28. 6 PM80°16 mph
29. 7 PM78°17 mph
30. 8 PM78°17 mph
31. 9 PM77°16 mph
32. 10 PM77°16 mph
33. 11 PM77°16 mph
34. Wed12 AM77°16 mph
35. 1 AM76°17 mph
36. 2 AM76°16 mph
37. 3 AM76°16 mph
38. 4 AM75°16 mph
39. 5 AM75°16 mph
40. 6 AM74°16 mph
41. 7 AM74°17 mph
42. 8 AM75°17 mph
43. 9 AM76°17 mph
44. 10 AM78°18 mph
45. 11 AM79°18 mph
46. 12 PM80°19 mph
47. 1 PM80°18 mph
48. 2 PM81°17 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodayOct 586°73°Partly cloudy—wind 24 mph
2. TueOct 681°75°Cloudy—wind 20 mph
3. WedOct 781°78°Clear—wind 22 mph
4. ThuOct 880°80°Partly cloudy—wind 26 mph
5. FriOct 980°80°Clear—wind 18 mph
6. SatOct 1081°80°Clear—wind 13 mph
7. SunOct 1181°80°Clear—wind 14 mph
8. MonOct 1280°80°Clear—wind 14 mph
9. TueOct 1380°80°Mostly clear—wind 10 mph
10. WedOct 1483°82°Clear—wind 12 mph
11. ThuOct 15~81°79°Model mean0.10 in
12. FriOct 16~81°79°Model mean0.04 in
13. SatOct 17~79°77°Model mean
14. SunOct 18~80°77°Model mean0.03 in
15. MonOct 19~81°77°Model mean0.07 in
16. TueOct 20~79°74°Model mean2.74 in

• Feels like92°
• WindNNW 13 mph
• Humidity61%
• Dew point71°
• Pressure29.88 inHg
• UV index4 · Moderateclear-sky peak 4 today
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
• Moonrise12:45 AMMoonset 2:32 PM
• Moon phaseWaning crescent38% lit

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight: 5 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 7:00 PM. Rated good.

The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Mon 8 PM to Tue 2 PM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
• Tue 8 PM to Wed 8 AM 12 hours, every hour within the rules

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

The best-rated day this week is Friday, rated best.

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index · Solunar tables for Ap Lei Chau Estate, by month

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

1. This Afternoon86° · N 14–17 mph

   Partly cloudy. High near 30°C. North wind 22 to 28 km/h.

2. Tonight73° · NNE 19–24 mph

   Partly cloudy. Low near 23°C. Northnortheast wind 30 to 39 km/h.

3. Tuesday81° · NNE 12–19 mph

   Cloudy. High near 27°C. Northnortheast wind 19 to 30 km/h.

4. Tuesday Night75° · NNE 16–17 mph

   Partly cloudy. Low near 24°C. Northnortheast wind 25 to 28 km/h.

5. Wednesday81° · NE 16–20 mph

   Clear. High near 27°C. Northeast wind 26 to 32 km/h.

6. Wednesday Night78° · ENE 19–26 mph

   Light rain. Low near 25°C. Eastnortheast wind 31 to 42 km/h.

7. Thursday80° · ENE 16–25 mph

   Partly cloudy. High near 27°C. Eastnortheast wind 25 to 41 km/h.

8. Thursday Night80° · E 14–18 mph

   Partly cloudy. Low near 27°C. East wind 23 to 29 km/h.

9. Friday80° · ENE 14–17 mph

   Clear. High near 27°C. Eastnortheast wind 22 to 28 km/h.

10. Friday Night80° · E 11–13 mph

    Mostly clear. Low near 27°C. East wind 17 to 21 km/h.

11. Saturday81° · E 12–13 mph

    Clear. High near 27°C. East wind 20 to 21 km/h.

12. Saturday Night80° · E 10–11 mph

    Mostly clear. Low near 27°C. East wind 16 to 18 km/h.

13. Sunday81° · ENE 12–14 mph

    Clear. High near 27°C. Eastnortheast wind 20 to 22 km/h.

14. Sunday Night80° · E 12–12 mph

    Clear. Low near 27°C. East wind 19 to 20 km/h.

15. Monday80° · E 12–14 mph

    Clear. High near 27°C. East wind 20 to 22 km/h.

16. Monday Night80° · E 7–9 mph

    Clear. Low near 27°C. East wind 12 to 14 km/h.

17. Tuesday80° · ENE 6–11 mph

    Mostly clear. High near 27°C. Eastnortheast wind 9 to 17 km/h.

18. Tuesday Night80° · E 4–6 mph

    Clear. Low near 27°C. East wind 7 to 10 km/h.

19. Wednesday83° · NE 6–12 mph

    Clear. High near 28°C. Northeast wind 9 to 19 km/h.

20. Wednesday Night82° · E 11 mph

    No forecast. Low near 28°C. East wind around 18 km/h.

Climate of Ap Lei Chau Estate: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.