Current weather · Sep 29, 1:05 AM EDT

45.3440, -68.0950

54°

Widespread light rain showers and patchy fogFeels like 54° · Humidity 96%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Caribou, ME · grid 83,104
High
59°
Low
51°
Rain today
86%
Sunrise
6:28 AM
Sunset
6:16 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Tue 1 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog54°54°53°96%83%0.01 inENE7 mph14 mph97%10%—2.0 mi300 ft
Tue 2 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog54°54°53°96%85%0.04 inENE7 mph14 mph97%12%—2.0 mi300 ft
Tue 3 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog54°54°53°96%85%0.04 inENE7 mph14 mph97%12%—2.0 mi200 ft
Tue 4 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog53°53°52°96%86%0.04 inNE8 mph15 mph96%12%—2.0 mi200 ft
Tue 5 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog53°53°52°96%86%0.04 inNE8 mph15 mph96%6%—2.0 mi200 ft
Tue 6 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog52°52°51°96%83%0.04 inNE8 mph15 mph96%6%—2.0 mi200 ft
Tue 7 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog53°53°52°96%80%0.04 inNE8 mph15 mph95%6%—2.0 mi300 ft
Tue 8 AMWidespread light rain showers and patchy fog53°53°52°96%77%0.02 inNE7 mph15 mph95%9%—2.0 mi300 ft
Tue 9 AMNumerous light rain showers and patchy fog54°54°53°96%68%0.02 inNE7 mph14 mph95%9%—2.0 mi400 ft
Tue 10 AMNumerous light rain showers and patchy fog55°55°53°93%60%0.02 inNE7 mph14 mph95%9%—2.0 mi400 ft
Tue 11 AMScattered light rain showers and patchy fog55°55°54°96%51%0.02 inNE7 mph14 mph95%7%—2.0 mi400 ft
Tue 12 PMScattered light rain showers56°56°55°96%44%0.02 inNNE7 mph14 mph95%7%—3 mi400 ft
Tue 1 PMScattered light rain showers56°56°55°96%37%0.02 inNNE7 mph14 mph95%7%—3 mi500 ft
Tue 2 PMScattered light rain showers57°57°56°96%30%0.00 inNNE7 mph14 mph94%4%—3 mi400 ft
Tue 3 PMScattered light rain showers58°58°56°93%26%0.00 inNNE7 mph13 mph94%4%—3 mi500 ft
Tue 4 PMIsolated light rain showers58°58°55°90%22%0.00 inNNE6 mph13 mph93%4%—9 mi500 ft
Tue 5 PMIsolated light rain showers57°57°55°93%18%0.00 inNNE6 mph12 mph92%2%—9 mi400 ft
Tue 6 PM57°57°54°90%14%0.00 inNNE6 mph12 mph91%2%—10 mi600 ft
Tue 7 PM56°56°54°93%11%0.00 inNNE6 mph12 mph90%2%—10 mi800 ft
Tue 8 PM56°56°54°93%7%NNE6 mph12 mph89%—10 mi1,000 ft
Tue 9 PM56°56°54°93%5%NNE6 mph12 mph88%—10 mi900 ft
Tue 10 PM55°55°53°93%3%N6 mph12 mph86%—10 mi800 ft
Tue 11 PM55°55°53°93%1%N6 mph12 mph84%—10 mi700 ft
Wed 12 AM54°54°53°96%1%N6 mph12 mph82%—10 mi900 ft
Wed 1 AM54°54°52°93%0%N6 mph12 mph81%—10 mi1,000 ft
Wed 2 AM53°53°52°96%0%N6 mph12 mph79%—10 mi1,200 ft
Wed 3 AM53°53°52°96%0%N6 mph12 mph77%—10 mi
Wed 4 AM52°52°51°96%0%N5 mph10 mph75%—10 mi
Wed 5 AM52°52°51°96%0%N5 mph9 mph73%—10 mi
Wed 6 AM51°51°50°96%0%N5 mph7 mph72%—10 mi
Wed 7 AM52°52°51°96%0%N5 mph7 mph61%—10 mi
Wed 8 AM52°52°52°100%0%N3 mph7 mph51%—10 mi
Wed 9 AM55°55°53°93%0%N3 mph7 mph60%—10 mi
Wed 10 AM58°58°53°83%0%N3 mph7 mph55%—10 mi
Wed 11 AM59°59°53°80%0%NNW3 mph7 mph50%—10 mi
Wed 12 PM61°61°53°75%0%NNW3 mph7 mph54%—10 mi
Wed 1 PM63°63°53°70%0%NW2 mph5 mph58%—10 mi
Wed 2 PM65°65°53°65%0%WNW2 mph5 mph62%—10 mi
Wed 3 PM65°65°53°65%0%WNW1 mph2 mph64%—10 mi
Wed 4 PM65°65°54°68%0%W0 mph0 mph66%—10 mi
Wed 5 PM64°64°54°70%0%W0 mph0 mph68%—10 mi
Wed 6 PM61°61°54°78%0%WSW0 mph0 mph65%—10 mi
Wed 7 PM58°58°54°87%0%SW1 mph2 mph63%—10 mi
Wed 8 PM56°56°54°93%0%SSW1 mph2 mph60%—10 mi
Wed 9 PM55°55°54°96%0%SSW1 mph2 mph60%——
Wed 10 PM54°54°53°96%0%SSW2 mph5 mph59%——
Wed 11 PM54°54°53°96%0%SSW2 mph5 mph59%——
Thu 12 AM53°53°53°100%0%SSW2 mph5 mph54%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 28, 9:36 PM EDT to day 7, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2959°51°Widespread Rain Showers then Patchy Fog86%0.37 inwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
  2. WedSep 3065°52°Partly Sunny1%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. ThuOct 171°59°Mostly Sunny9%wind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
  4. FriOct 271°46°Mostly Sunny19%wind 7 mph · gusts 18 mph
  5. SatOct 362°42°Mostly Sunny18%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  6. SunOct 462°47°Chance Rain Showers51%wind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
  7. MonOct 561°40°Chance Rain Showers50%wind 12 mph · gusts 25 mph
  8. TueOct 656°37°National Blend6%wind 10 mph · gusts 22 mph
  9. WedOct 759°39°National Blend7%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. ThuOct 861°41°National Blend16%0.05 inwind 9 mph · gusts 20 mph
  11. FriOct 9~58°49°Model mean0.09 in
  12. SatOct 10~57°46°Model mean0.09 in
  13. SunOct 11~53°39°Model mean
  14. MonOct 12~57°39°Model mean0.06 in
  15. TueOct 13~51°42°Model mean
  16. WedOct 14~52°34°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like54°
  • WindENE 7 mphgusts 14 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity96%
  • Dew point53°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility2.0 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise7:21 PMMoonset 10:07 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2959°50°NWS grid 59° / 51°rain 97%thunder 14%0.35 inwind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
  2. WedSep 3067°51°NWS grid 65° / 52°rain 3%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. ThuOct 173°60°NWS grid 71° / 59°rain 9%wind 8 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. FriOct 272°47°NWS grid 71° / 46°rain 25%wind 7 mph · gusts 17 mph
  5. SatOct 362°42°NWS grid 62° / 42°rain 12%wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
  6. SunOct 461°45°NWS grid 62° / 47°rain 53%0.32 inwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
  7. MonOct 560°38°NWS grid 61° / 40°rain 38%0.19 inwind 12 mph · gusts 24 mph
  8. TueOct 656°37°Beyond the NWS gridrain 6%wind 10 mph · gusts 22 mph
  9. WedOct 759°39°Beyond the NWS gridrain 7%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. ThuOct 861°41°Beyond the NWS gridrain 16%0.05 inwind 9 mph · gusts 20 mph
  11. FriOct 960°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 26%wind 10 mph · gusts 21 mph
41°59°77°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°55°77°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2959° 51°0.37 in57° 55°0.58 in54° 52°0.15 in58° 54°0.43 in58° 54°0.55 in~58° 54°0.37 in
Wed Sep 3065° 52°64° 51°68° 52°68° 52°67° 54°~62° 55°
Thu Oct 171° 59°—68° 52°74° 53°73° 54°~73° 53°0.02 in
Fri Oct 271° 46°—66° 57°71° 58°0.05 in68° 57°0.06 in~67° 61°0.13 in
Sat Oct 362° 42°—61° 43°61° 44°0.05 in64° 50°~62° 49°
Sun Oct 462° 47°—59° 38°0.26 in57° 39°0.15 in~63° 47°~60° 39°0.03 in
Mon Oct 561° 40°—56° 43°0.44 in58° 44°0.43 in~55° 50°0.20 in~55° 49°0.59 in
Tue Oct 6——52° 35°51° 37°0.04 in~56° 46°~49° 42°0.02 in
Wed Oct 7——52° 31°54° 33°0.03 in~61° 46°~59° 37°
Thu Oct 8——54° 31°~59° 40°0.02 in~62° 48°~64° 41°
Fri Oct 9——~45° 38°0.07 in—~62° 55°0.17 in~66° 54°0.04 in
Sat Oct 10——~52° 44°0.02 in—~51° 45°0.06 in~67° 50°0.19 in
Sun Oct 11——~50° 34°—~57° 40°~52° 41°
Mon Oct 12——~59° 40°—~52° 44°0.19 in~59° 35°
Tue Oct 13——~51° 42°—~39° 39°~44° 44°
Wed Oct 14——~52° 34°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Millinocket Municipal (MLT) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%33%warmer 40% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec-20°0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2961° / 44°81° (1952)24° (1947)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 659° / 40°85° (2025)21° (1965)33% chance below normal · days 8 to 1433% chance above normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1356° / 38°83° (1947)22° (2000)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2049° / 35°80° (2007)18° (1946)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2748° / 33°77° (1947)17° (2002)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 349° / 33°72° (2022)11° (2002)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1042° / 26°74° (2020)8° (1971)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1741° / 26°69° (1953)0° (2018)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2439° / 25°62° (1953)1° (1996)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 136° / 22°60° (2020)-9° (1963)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 833° / 18°58° (1969)-16° (1970)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1530° / 15°59° (2023)-27° (1951)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 2231° / 16°59° (2020)-16° (1968)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayFairchance of rain
  • HikingtodayFairchance of rain
  • BikingtodayFairchance of rain
  • GolftodayFairchance of rain
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayGoodfog
  • Beach and pooltodayPoorcool
  • CampingtonightPoorrain overnight
  • StargazingtonightPoorovercast

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hGoodfog
  • Drivingnext 24 hFairfog

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayFairchance of rain
  • GardeningtodayGoodchance of rain
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayPoorchance of rain
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayPoorchance of rain
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayPoorchance of rain
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayVery highwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighhumid

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
TuesdayPoor7:55 PM to 4:51 AM0 of 9None88%9 h6 mph
WednesdayPoor7:53 PM to 4:52 AM0 of 9None80%9 h3 mph
ThursdayPoor7:51 PM to 4:53 AM0 of 9None71%7 h8 mph
FridayPoor7:49 PM to 4:55 AM0 of 9None61%5 mph
SaturdayPoor7:47 PM to 4:56 AM0 of 9None50%2 mph
SundayPoor7:45 PM to 4:57 AM0 of 9None40%5 h10 mph
MondayPoor7:43 PM to 4:59 AM0 of 1None29%9 mph

The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Tue5:59 AM to 6:10 AM6:10 AM to 7:07 AM5:37 PM to 6:34 PM6:34 PM to 6:46 PM
Wed6:00 AM to 6:11 AM6:11 AM to 7:09 AM5:35 PM to 6:33 PM6:33 PM to 6:44 PM
Thu6:01 AM to 6:13 AM6:13 AM to 7:10 AM5:33 PM to 6:31 PM6:31 PM to 6:42 PM
Fri6:02 AM to 6:14 AM6:14 AM to 7:11 AM5:31 PM to 6:29 PM6:29 PM to 6:40 PM
Sat6:04 AM to 6:15 AM6:15 AM to 7:12 AM5:30 PM to 6:27 PM6:27 PM to 6:38 PM
Sun6:05 AM to 6:16 AM6:16 AM to 7:14 AM5:28 PM to 6:25 PM6:25 PM to 6:36 PM
Mon6:06 AM to 6:18 AM6:18 AM to 7:15 AM5:26 PM to 6:23 PM6:23 PM to 6:35 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:28 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 6:16 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:21 PM, 57° ENE
  • MS Moonset 10:07 AM, 300° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 90% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 5:58 AM to sunrise 6:28 AM, and sunset 6:16 PM to 6:46 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Tue6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Tue 1 AMNo-fly7101783%2.0 miup to 0 ft54°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 2 AMNo-fly7101785%2.0 miup to 0 ft54°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 3 AMNo-fly7101785%2.0 miup to 0 ft54°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 4 AMNo-fly8121986%2.0 miup to 0 ft53°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 5 AMNo-fly8121986%2.0 miup to 0 ft53°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 6 AMNo-fly8121983%2.0 miup to 0 ft52°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Tue 7 AMNo-fly8121980%2.0 miup to 0 ft53°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Tue 8 AMNo-fly7101877%2.0 miup to 0 ft53°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Tue 9 AMNo-fly7101768%2.0 miup to 0 ft54°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 10 AMNo-fly7101760%2.0 miup to 0 ft55°chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 11 AMNo-fly7101751%2.0 miup to 0 ft55°visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), chance of rain
Tue 12 PMNo-fly7101744%3.0 miup to 0 ft56°low cloud limits height (107.51), chance of rain
Tue 1 PMNo-fly7101737%3.0 miup to 0 ft56°low cloud limits height (107.51), chance of rain
Tue 2 PMNo-fly7101730%3.0 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), chance of rain
Tue 3 PMNo-fly7101626%3.0 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 4 PMNo-fly681522%9 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 5 PMNo-fly681418%9 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 6 PMCaution681414%10 miup to 100 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 7 PMCaution681411%10 miup to 300 ft56°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 8 PMCaution68147%10 mi400 ft56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 9 PMCaution68145%10 mi400 ft56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 10 PMCaution68143%10 miup to 300 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 11 PMCaution68141%10 miup to 200 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 12 AMCaution68141%10 mi400 ft54°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 11 AM to 1 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 10 AM to 2 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 3 PM to Sat 6 AM 15 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 9 AM to 8 PM 11 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 9 AM to 1 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
Tue6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
TuesdayWet77%0.37 in90%7 mph
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in65%3 mph4 d
ThursdayDry3%0.00 in57%8 mph3 d
FridayDry15%0.00 in47%7 mph2 dGood
SaturdayDry9%0.00 in41%7 mph1 dGood
SundayShowers possible35%0.00 in51%8 mph
MondayShowers possible32%0.00 in51%12 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Tue Good1:21 AM to 3:21 AM1:48 PM to 3:48 PM9:37 AM to 10:37 AM6:51 PM to 7:51 PM 90%6:28 AM, 6:16 PM
Wed Poor2:17 AM to 4:17 AM2:46 PM to 4:46 PM10:57 AM to 11:57 AM7:29 PM to 8:29 PM 83%6:29 AM, 6:14 PM
Thu Fair3:17 AM to 5:17 AM3:48 PM to 5:48 PM12:13 PM to 1:13 PM8:20 PM to 9:20 PM 74%6:31 AM, 6:13 PM
Fri Fair4:19 AM to 6:19 AM4:51 PM to 6:51 PM1:19 PM to 2:19 PM9:23 PM to 10:23 PM 64%6:32 AM, 6:11 PM
Sat Fair5:22 AM to 7:22 AM5:52 PM to 7:52 PM2:12 PM to 3:12 PM10:38 PM to 11:38 PM 54%6:33 AM, 6:09 PM
Sun Fair6:22 AM to 8:22 AM6:50 PM to 8:50 PM2:52 PM to 3:52 PM 43%6:34 AM, 6:07 PM
Mon Fair7:18 AM to 9:18 AM7:45 PM to 9:45 PM11:57 PM to 12:57 AM3:23 PM to 4:23 PM 33%6:36 AM, 6:05 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight51° · 86% · NE 8 mph

    Widespread rain showers and patchy fog. Cloudy, with a low around 51. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  2. Tuesday59° · 83% · NE 8 mph

    Widespread rain showers and patchy fog before 11am, then patchy fog and scattered rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 59. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  3. Tuesday Night51° · 14% · N 6 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. North wind around 6 mph. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  4. Wednesday65° · NW 0–5 mph

    Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

  5. Wednesday Night52° · SW 0–3 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.

  6. Thursday71° · SW 3–8 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph.

  7. Thursday Night59° · 10% · SW 8 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southwest wind around 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

  8. Friday71° · 13% · W 7 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

  9. Friday Night46° · 19% · NW 5 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers between 7pm and 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  10. Saturday62° · 12% · NW 3–7 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.

  11. Saturday Night42° · 10% · N 3 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 42.

  12. Sunday62° · 30% · SE 2–8 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 10am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  13. Sunday Night47° · 51% · S 7–10 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  14. Monday61° · 42% · W 12 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 61.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Caribou, ME · issued Sep 28, 3:03 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

Have extended the Small Craft Advisory for the intra-coastal waters through 8 PM.

Increased confidence in rain showers moving in late week.

KEY Messages

1) The remnants of the noreaster will impact the region tonight into Tuesday with occasional rain.

2) Next round of rain showers expected for the end of next week. Drought relief unlikely.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1...The remnants of the noreaster will impact the region tonight into Tuesday with occasional rain.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... The vertically stacked noreaster will move to the Gulf of Maine tonight while the surface low slowly fills. A weakening band of rain to the north of the system is currently lifting across northern Maine. Another area of rain will expand across the region tonight with the approaching vertically stacked system. This system will cross the Gulf of Maine Tuesday. This will keep occasional rain or showers across the region through Tuesday. The system then begins to exit across the Maritimes Tuesday night, with surface/upper level ridging then starting to build across the region late. Any lingering showers should end Tuesday evening, leaving partly/mostly cloudy skies overnight. Additional rainfall tonight through Tuesday evening should generally range from around a quarter to half inch, with locally higher totals possible. We do not expect any flooding concerns anywhere given the D1-D3 drought conditions. In fact nearly all of the rainfall will likely be absorbed into the near surface ground and very unlikely any water gets into the rivers and streams. Rivers and streams are currently in the 1-15th percentile range with many approaching top 5 lowest flows on record.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Next round of rain showers expected for the end of next week. Drought relief unlikely.

KEY MESSAGE 2 DESCRIPTION... High pressure will build across the region behind current Noreaster, bringing dry conditions until late week. Low pressure to the northwest in Canada tracks eastward, bringing a relatively weak cold front through the state Thursday night into Friday. Not anticipating heavy rain or high rain totals at this time. Based on global models, PWATs seem to range from normal, to slight above normal. Rain approaches from the NW, and exits in the SE. High pressure builds in behind this frontal system over the weekend.

Aviation · 19Z Monday Through Saturday

Rest of today...Across Aroostook county terminals, generally VFR through early afternoon. VFR/MVFR later this afternoon with occasional rain or showers. Across Downeast areas, IFR/LIFR with occasional rain or showers. Across northern areas, northeast/east winds 5 to 10 knots. Across Downeast areas, northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots.

Tonight...Across northern areas, MVFR/IFR early then IFR/LIFR. Across Downeast areas, IFR/LIFR. Occasional rain or showers regionwide. Northeast/north winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts up to around 15 knots.

Tuesday...IFR/LIFR early, then becoming VFR/MVFR in the afternoon. Occasional rain or showers. North/northeast winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts up to around 15 knots.

Tuesday night...VFR. N winds 5 to 10 kts.

Tuesday night - Thursday...VFR. Light and variable winds turning SW at around 10kts by Thursday, gusting to 20 kts.

Thursday night - Friday...MVFR overnight in the north with rain showers, becoming MVFR area wide Friday. S winds Thursday night become W on Friday, with gusts 15 to 20 kts possible.

Friday night - Saturday...MVFR Friday night at Downeast terminals, as rain moves out of the region. VFR Saturday. NW winds around 5kts overnight, and 5 to 10 kts during the day.

Marine

Have extended the Small Craft Advisory on the intra-coastal waters through 8 PM. The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 2 AM for the coastal waters. Winds/seas below small craft advisory levels on all the waters Tuesday. Occasional rain/showers and patchy fog tonight into Tuesday.

Conditions below SCA criteria Wednesday into Friday. Seas generally 3-4 ft. Chance for coastal - 25nm waters to see a few 5ft seas on Friday. Chance for rain Friday into Friday night. N/NW winds shifting SW Wednesday night.

CAR Watches / Warnings / Advisories

ME...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ050-051. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ052.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 290.50 in
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 30.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 50.25 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 4–Oct 8
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 6–Oct 12
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 12

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D1 Moderate drought
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought removal likely

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Topsfield 2

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 8: a growing season of about 155 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 28; one spring in ten still has one after May 18.

Climate of 45.34, -68.09: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementTueWedThuFriSatSunMon
HeatRisk max0 · Little0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max58°63°67°66°57°56°56°
Heat index max71°71°
Wind chill min44°41°43°
Chance of thunder max12%0%1%2%2%3%3%
Cloud ceiling min200 ft900 ft
Visibility min2.0 mi10 mi
Mixing height max1,200 ft2,700 ft3,500 ft4,000 ft5,500 ft4,700 ft4,500 ft
Transport wind max14 mph9 mph16 mph15 mph13 mph16 mph17 mph
Twenty-foot wind max7 mph5 mph7 mph6 mph6 mph7 mph10 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Millinocket Municipal (MLT) · 35 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Tue Sep 2959° / 51°64° / 46°81° (1952)24° (1947)
Wed Sep 3065° / 52°64° / 42°76° (1950)28° (1953)
Thu Oct 171° / 59°63° / 43°78° (1950)27° (1964)
Fri Oct 271° / 46°61° / 44°79° (1968)26° (1949)
Sat Oct 362° / 42°62° / 40°81° (2023)27° (2022)
Sun Oct 462° / 47°60° / 41°79° (2001)27° (2002)
Mon Oct 561° / 40°61° / 39°80° (1946)26° (1996)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Tue5:59 AM6:28 AM6:16 PM6:46 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:00 AM6:29 AM6:14 PM6:44 PM11 h 45 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:01 AM6:31 AM6:13 PM6:42 PM11 h 42 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:02 AM6:32 AM6:11 PM6:40 PM11 h 39 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:04 AM6:33 AM6:09 PM6:38 PM11 h 36 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun6:05 AM6:34 AM6:07 PM6:36 PM11 h 33 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:06 AM6:36 AM6:05 PM6:35 PM11 h 29 min Waning crescent · 33% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from