Current weather · Oct 2, 3:22 PM CDT
45.2380, -87.0910
61°
- High
- 62°
- Low
- 45°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 6:48 AM
- Sunset
- 6:27 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 3 PM | 61° | 61° | 40° | 46% | 0% | NW | 7 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 4 PM | 61° | 61° | 40° | 46% | 0% | NNW | 7 mph | 10 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 5 PM | 60° | 60° | 40° | 47% | 0% | NNW | 6 mph | 9 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 6 PM | 59° | 59° | 40° | 49% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 6 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 7 PM | 54° | 54° | 40° | 59% | 0% | N | 3 mph | 6 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 8 PM | 52° | 52° | 41° | 66% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 7 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 9 PM | 47° | 45° | 41° | 79% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 10 PM | 47° | 45° | 42° | 83% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Fri 11 PM | 46° | 44° | 41° | 83% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 12 AM | 44° | 41° | 41° | 89% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 1 AM | 46° | 45° | 42° | 86% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 2 AM | 46° | 45° | 42° | 86% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 3 AM | 46° | 46° | 42° | 86% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 1% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 4 AM | 44° | 44° | 42° | 93% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 5 AM | 44° | 44° | 43° | 96% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 10% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 6 AM | 44° | 44° | 43° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 20% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 7 AM | 46° | 45° | 44° | 93% | 2% | SSE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 28% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 8 AM | 50° | 48° | 46° | 86% | 2% | SSE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 26% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 9 AM | 55° | 55° | 46° | 72% | 3% | S | 8 mph | 12 mph | 31% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 10 AM | 56° | 56° | 46° | 69% | 4% | S | 10 mph | 14 mph | 30% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 11 AM | 57° | 57° | 45° | 64% | 5% | S | 12 mph | 16 mph | 59% | — | 10 mi | 15,700 ft | ||||
| Sat 12 PM | 59° | 59° | 45° | 60% | 9% | S | 13 mph | 17 mph | 62% | — | 10 mi | 18,000 ft | ||||
| Sat 1 PM | 60° | 60° | 45° | 58% | 12% | 0.00 in | S | 13 mph | 18 mph | 75% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | ||
| Sat 2 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 59° | 59° | 46° | 62% | 15% | 0.00 in | S | 13 mph | 18 mph | 80% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |
| Sat 3 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 60° | 60° | 45° | 58% | 15% | 0.00 in | S | 13 mph | 18 mph | 78% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |
| Sat 4 PM | 60° | 60° | 45° | 58% | 11% | 0.00 in | S | 12 mph | 17 mph | 86% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | ||
| Sat 5 PM | 59° | 59° | 45° | 60% | 7% | 0.00 in | S | 12 mph | 17 mph | 75% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | ||
| Sat 6 PM | 58° | 58° | 45° | 62% | 4% | 0.00 in | S | 10 mph | 16 mph | 84% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | ||
| Sat 7 PM | 55° | 55° | 45° | 69% | 0% | S | 10 mph | 17 mph | 89% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | ||||
| Sat 8 PM | 53° | 53° | 46° | 77% | 12% | S | 10 mph | 20 mph | 92% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | |||
| Sat 9 PM | 53° | 53° | 47° | 80% | 2% | S | 12 mph | 21 mph | 90% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | |||
| Sat 10 PM | 53° | 53° | 47° | 80% | 9% | S | 12 mph | 21 mph | 93% | 3% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |||
| Sat 11 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 53° | 53° | 48° | 83% | 28% | S | 13 mph | 21 mph | 92% | 3% | — | — | |||
| Sun 12 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 53° | 53° | 48° | 83% | 26% | SSW | 13 mph | 21 mph | 89% | 3% | — | — | |||
| Sun 1 AM | Light rain showers likely | 53° | 53° | 49° | 86% | 58% | 0.01 in | SSW | 13 mph | 22 mph | 84% | 7% | — | — | ||
| Sun 2 AM | Light rain showers likely | 53° | 53° | 50° | 89% | 63% | 0.01 in | SSW | 13 mph | 22 mph | 88% | 7% | — | — | ||
| Sun 3 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 52° | 52° | 50° | 93% | 27% | 0.01 in | SW | 14 mph | 22 mph | 78% | 7% | — | — | ||
| Sun 4 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 51° | 51° | 50° | 96% | 19% | 0.01 in | SW | 14 mph | 22 mph | 54% | 3% | — | — | ||
| Sun 5 AM | 51° | 51° | 50° | 96% | 11% | 0.01 in | WSW | 14 mph | 21 mph | 51% | 3% | — | — | |||
| Sun 6 AM | 49° | 44° | 49° | 100% | 4% | 0.01 in | WSW | 13 mph | 20 mph | 31% | 3% | — | — | |||
| Sun 7 AM | 50° | 45° | 50° | 100% | 1% | WSW | 13 mph | 20 mph | 11% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 8 AM | 53° | 53° | 51° | 93% | 1% | W | 13 mph | 18 mph | 0% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 9 AM | 55° | 55° | 51° | 85% | 1% | W | 13 mph | 18 mph | 15% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 10 AM | 57° | 57° | 50° | 77% | 1% | WNW | 13 mph | 18 mph | 30% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 11 AM | 59° | 59° | 49° | 70% | 1% | WNW | 13 mph | 18 mph | 26% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 12 PM | 60° | 60° | 47° | 62% | 1% | NW | 13 mph | 18 mph | 23% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 1 PM | 61° | 61° | 46° | 58% | 0% | NW | 13 mph | 18 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 2 PM | 62° | 62° | 45° | 54% | 0% | NW | 13 mph | 18 mph | 15% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Oct 2, 2:56 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodayOct 262°45°Sunnywind 14 mph
- SatOct 361°48°Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
- SunOct 463°44°Sunnywind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonOct 559°44°Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- TueOct 662°47°Sunnywind 17 mph · gusts 25 mph
- WedOct 766°48°Mostly Sunnywind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
- ThuOct 865°46°Mostly Sunnywind 9 mph
- FriOct 962°47°wind 12 mph
- SatOct 1066°50°National Blendwind 14 mph · gusts 25 mph
- SunOct 1164°46°National Blendwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonOct 1259°43°National Blendwind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
- TueOct 13~58°53°Model mean
- WedOct 14~55°51°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~56°52°Model mean
- FriOct 16~50°47°Model mean
- SatOct 17~51°41°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like61°
- WindNW 7 mphgusts 12 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity46%
- Dew point40°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise10:14 PMMoonset 2:08 PM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous64% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodayOct 262°45°NWS grid 62° / 45°wind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
- SatOct 361°48°NWS grid 61° / 48°wind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
- SunOct 463°43°NWS grid 63° / 44°wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonOct 558°44°NWS grid 59° / 44°wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- TueOct 661°48°NWS grid 62° / 47°wind 17 mph · gusts 28 mph
- WedOct 766°48°NWS grid 66° / 48°wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
- ThuOct 865°48°NWS grid 65° / 46°wind 9 mph
- FriOct 964°48°NWS grid 62° / 47°wind 10 mph
- SatOct 1066°50°Beyond the NWS gridwind 14 mph · gusts 25 mph
- SunOct 1164°46°Beyond the NWS gridwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonOct 1259°43°Beyond the NWS gridwind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT · GFS Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT · GEFS Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Oct 1, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 2 | 62° 45° | 59° 50° | 61° 53° | 59° 53° | 62° 55° | ~60° 55° |
| Sat Oct 3 | 61° 48°0.01 in | 59° 47°0.10 in | 61° 54° | 59° 53° | ~58° 54°0.06 in | ~59° 55°0.10 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 63° 44°0.06 in | 57° 54° | 60° 56°0.01 in | 60° 56°0.02 in | 60° 56°0.07 in | ~60° 57°0.12 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 59° 44° | — | 56° 50° | 55° 50° | 57° 51° | ~56° 51° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 62° 47° | — | 59° 50° | 57° 50° | ~60° 57° | ~61° 56° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 66° 48° | — | 67° 56° | 63° 57°0.02 in | 65° 57° | ~64° 58° |
| Thu Oct 8 | 65° 46° | — | 63° 56°0.02 in | 61° 56°0.04 in | ~62° 57° | ~60° 55°0.04 in |
| Fri Oct 9 | 62° 47° | — | 57° 50° | 56° 52° | ~62° 57°0.65 in | ~55° 51°0.02 in |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | 67° 56°0.05 in | 62° 55°0.02 in | ~59° 56° | ~58° 50°0.14 in |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | 62° 55° | 62° 57°0.06 in | ~67° 64° | ~64° 61° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~61° 54°0.05 in | ~55° 52°0.04 in | ~66° 61° | ~60° 54°0.78 in |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~58° 49°0.01 in | — | ~65° 62°0.54 in | ~51° 49°0.10 in |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~59° 52° | — | ~53° 53°0.47 in | ~53° 50°0.50 in |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~60° 54°0.63 in | — | ~55° 50°0.06 in | ~55° 51°0.08 in |
| Fri Oct 16 | — | — | ~52° 49°3.62 in | — | ~48° 46° | ~48° 45°0.01 in |
| Sat Oct 17 | — | — | ~51° 41°0.31 in | — | — | ~43° 43° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Ephraim (3D2) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sat Oct 17, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | — | 78° (2023) | 31° (2008) | equal chances · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 9 | — | 78° (2011) | 28° (2012) | 40% chance above normal · days 6 to 10 | near normal most likely · days 6 to 10 |
| Oct 16 | — | 76° (2016) | 26° (2022) | equal chances · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 23 | — | 68° (2023) | 26° (2022) | equal chances · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 30 | — | 75° (2024) | 23° (2020) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 6 | — | 73° (2020) | 12° (2019) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 13 | — | 59° (2015) | 11° (2019) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 20 | — | 58° (2012) | 10° (2008) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 27 | — | 57° (2017) | 1° (2014) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 4 | — | 58° (2012) | 1° (2025) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 11 | — | 54° (2021) | -2° (2013) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 18 | — | 51° (2015) | -3° (2016) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 25 | — | 51° (2023) | -11° (2013) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightGoodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayModeratewarm
- TickstodayModeratewarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayLowcool
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight: 2 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated fair.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday | Fair | 8:05 PM to 5:11 AM | 9 of 9 | 2 h from 8:00 PM | 60% | Poor | 2 h | 5 mph |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:03 PM to 5:12 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 3 h | 14 mph | |
| Sunday | Good | 8:01 PM to 5:14 AM | 9 of 9 | 5 h from 8:00 PM | 39% | Fair | 10 mph | |
| Monday | Good | 7:59 PM to 5:15 AM | 9 of 9 | 6 h from 8:00 PM | 29% | Fair | 5 mph | |
| Tuesday | Poor | 7:57 PM to 5:16 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 20% | 15 mph | ||
| Wednesday | Poor | 7:55 PM to 5:17 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 12% | 7 mph | ||
| Thursday | Poor | 7:53 PM to 5:19 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 6% | 7 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 6:18 AM to 6:30 AM | 6:30 AM to 7:27 AM | 5:47 PM to 6:45 PM | 6:45 PM to 6:56 PM |
| Sat | 6:20 AM to 6:31 AM | 6:31 AM to 7:28 AM | 5:46 PM to 6:43 PM | 6:43 PM to 6:54 PM |
| Sun | 6:21 AM to 6:32 AM | 6:32 AM to 7:30 AM | 5:44 PM to 6:41 PM | 6:41 PM to 6:52 PM |
| Mon | 6:22 AM to 6:34 AM | 6:34 AM to 7:31 AM | 5:42 PM to 6:39 PM | 6:39 PM to 6:50 PM |
| Tue | 6:23 AM to 6:35 AM | 6:35 AM to 7:32 AM | 5:40 PM to 6:37 PM | 6:37 PM to 6:49 PM |
| Wed | 6:25 AM to 6:36 AM | 6:36 AM to 7:34 AM | 5:38 PM to 6:35 PM | 6:35 PM to 6:47 PM |
| Thu | 6:26 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:35 AM | 5:36 PM to 6:34 PM | 6:34 PM to 6:45 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:48 AM, 94° E
- SS Sunset 6:27 PM, 265° W
- MR Moonrise 10:14 PM, 49° NE
- MS Moonset 2:08 PM, 311° NW
- Waning gibbous, 64% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Fri 3 PM to 6 PM, 3 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:18 AM to sunrise 6:48 AM, and sunset 6:27 PM to 6:57 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Fri | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 3 PM | Good | 7 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | nothing against it | ||
| Fri 4 PM | Good | 7 | 9 | 12 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | nothing against it | ||
| Fri 5 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | nothing against it | ||
| Fri 6 PM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | 59° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 7 PM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 16 | 0% | 10 mi | 54° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 8 PM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 21 | 0% | 10 mi | 52° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 9 PM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 21 | 0% | 10 mi | 47° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 10 PM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 22 | 0% | 10 mi | 47° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Fri 11 PM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 22 | 0% | 10 mi | 46° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 12 AM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 21 | 0% | 10 mi | 44° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 1 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 17 | 0% | 10 mi | 46° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 2 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 16 | 0% | 10 mi | 46° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 3 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 46° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 44° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 44° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 6 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 44° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 7 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 6 | 2% | 10 mi | 46° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 8 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 9 | 2% | 10 mi | 50° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 9 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 3% | 10 mi | 55° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 10 AM | Good | 10 | 13 | 17 | 4% | 10 mi | 56° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 11 AM | Caution | 12 | 17 | 21 | 5% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 57° | gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sat 12 PM | Caution | 13 | 18 | 23 | 9% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sat 1 PM | No-fly | 13 | 18 | 24 | 12% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit | |
| Sat 2 PM | No-fly | 13 | 18 | 24 | 15% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Fri 3 PM to 10 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 11 AM to Tue 4 AM 17 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 7 AM to 9 AM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 3 PM to Thu 4 AM 13 hours, every hour within the rules
- Thu 8 AM to Fri 4 AM 20 hours, every hour within the rules
| Fri | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 46% | 14 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Saturday | Dry | 15% | 0.01 in | 58% | 13 mph | 1 d | |
| Sunday | Showers possible | 1% | 0.06 in | 51% | 13 mph | ||
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 42% | 10 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 55% | 17 mph | 4 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 8% | 0.00 in | 54% | 12 mph | 3 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 7% | 0.00 in | 50% | 9 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Friday | Dry | 6% | 0.00 in | 53% | 12 mph | 1 d |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Wednesday, rated good.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | Fair | 4:38 AM to 6:38 AM5:10 PM to 7:10 PM | 1:38 PM to 2:38 PM9:44 PM to 10:44 PM | 64% | 6:48 AM, 6:27 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:41 AM to 7:41 AM6:11 PM to 8:11 PM | 2:30 PM to 3:30 PM10:58 PM to 11:58 PM | 53% | 6:49 AM, 6:25 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:41 AM to 8:41 AM7:09 PM to 9:09 PM | 3:10 PM to 4:10 PM | 43% | 6:50 AM, 6:23 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:37 AM to 9:37 AM8:03 PM to 10:03 PM | 12:17 AM to 1:17 AM3:40 PM to 4:40 PM | 32% | 6:52 AM, 6:21 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:29 AM to 10:29 AM8:53 PM to 10:53 PM | 1:37 AM to 2:37 AM4:05 PM to 5:05 PM | 23% | 6:53 AM, 6:19 PM |
| Wed | Good | 9:17 AM to 11:17 AM9:40 PM to 11:40 PM | 2:53 AM to 3:53 AM4:25 PM to 5:25 PM | 15% | 6:54 AM, 6:17 PM |
| Thu | Good | 10:03 AM to 12:03 PM10:25 PM to 12:25 AM | 4:08 AM to 5:08 AM4:44 PM to 5:44 PM | 8% | 6:55 AM, 6:16 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedThis Afternoon62° · NNW 7 mph
Sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. North northwest wind around 7 mph.
Tonight44° · NE 5 mph
Clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Saturday61° · 15% · SSE 2–13 mph
A slight chance of rain showers between 2pm and 4pm. Partly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 2 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday Night48° · 63% · SSW 10–14 mph
Rain showers likely between 11pm and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday63° · 4% · WNW 13 mph
Sunny, with a high near 63. West northwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Sunday Night44° · NW 10 mph
Clear, with a low around 44.
Monday59° · NNW 3–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 59.
Monday Night44° · ESE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Tuesday62° · SSW 6–17 mph
Sunny, with a high near 62.
Tuesday Night47° · SW 12–17 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.
Wednesday66° · 8% · WSW 8–12 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Wednesday Night48° · 6% · W 8 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Thursday65° · 6% · W 9 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.
Thursday Night46° · 12% · W 7 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Green Bay, WI · issued Oct 2, 11:42 AM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
Areas of frost north of Hwy 29 late tonight into Saturday morning. Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings have been issued.
More frost will be possible at times across northern Wisconsin Sunday night through early next week. Greatest chance for a widespread frost/freeze event will be Sunday night.
Chance of showers (30-70%) north of highway 29 late Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning. Otherwise mainly dry through middle of next week.
Discussion
1138 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
Frost/freeze potential into early next week...Frost/freeze still on track for tonight. Light winds, clear skies with high pressure drifting overhead and PWATs down to 0.30 inch point to min temps bottoming out. MOS guidance typically does well on these type of nights and shows readings in the mid-upper 20s for sites in Vilas toward IMT. Converted the Frost Advisory to Freeze Warning along U.P. border and continued the Frost Advisory elsewhere north of highway 29. Mid-high clouds increase late from the west, which may allow for temps steadying out late tonight.
After a reprieve on Saturday night, next chance for another widespread frost/freeze is Sunday night into Monday morning, with temperatures in the mid 30s even sneaking down toward the Fox Valley. Chance of seeing temps less than 33F are 40-80% Sunday night and again on Monday night. Expect more frost/freeze headlines to be issued during this time.
Dry pattern ahead...Rain chances over the course of the extended will be sparse, with next chances for light rain arriving late Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. Transient shortwave energy will accompany the passage of a clipper-like low over the upper Midwest Saturday evening and night, generating isentropically forced showers for areas mainly north of Hwy 29. Though low chance, MUCAPEs as high as 500J/kg into northwest WI late Saturday could support a rumble of thunder surviving into far northern WI early Saturday evening. Abundance of low level dry air will result in a meager 20-30% chance for receiving 0.25" of QPF through Sunday morning. Otherwise, high pressure will be the main driver of the synoptic pattern through at least the middle of next week, bringing abnormally dry weather from the Plains to the Midwest. This does not bode well for northern Wisconsin where D2 (Severe) to D4 (Exceptional) drought conditions exist. Next chances for more widespread rain don't arrive until Wednesday, though if this week is anything to go by, high pressure could end up putting up a good fight. Latest deterministic models have backed off on these chances compared to what was shown before.
Aviation
1138 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
for 18Z TAF Issuance
Just a few fair weather cu this afternoon (025-035). Otherwise, expect increasing mid clouds (120-150) from west to east on Saturday, with slight lowering to around 100 in the afternoon. A few light showers may occur over northern WI late in the day, with more organized showers crossing the area on Saturday night as CIGS drop to VFR or even MVFR, especially north.
Northwest winds should remain under 10 knots through this afternoon, becoming light and variable tonight. South winds increase to 10 kts on Saturday, with gusts 15-18 kts in the afternoon.
GRB Watches / Warnings / Advisories
Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Saturday for WIZ005-011>013.
Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Saturday for WIZ010-018>021-073-074.
Hazardous weather outlook Oct 2, 11:49 AM CDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS43 KGRB 021649 HWOGRB Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Green Bay WI 1149 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026 WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-031700- Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln- Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano- Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago- Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County- Southern Oconto County- 1149 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Areas of frost are expected from north-central to far northeast Wisconsin late tonight into Saturday morning. Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings have been issued. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Frost is expected at times across parts of north-central and far northeast Wisconsin Sunday night and Monday night. Patchy frost may make it down into central and east-central Wisconsin. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. $$ LMZ521-522-541>543-031700- The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan- 1149 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake Michigan and the waters of Green Bay. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Conditions hazardous to small craft may develop Saturday night into Sunday morning. $$ JLA
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 2 · Sat Oct 3General Thunderstorms Risk
- Day 3 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 4 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 5 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 6 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
- Day 7 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
- Day 8 · Fri Oct 9No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Fri Oct 20.01 in
- Day 2 · Sat Oct 30.01 in
- Day 3 · Sun Oct 4Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 7–Oct 8Under 0.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 8–Oct 12
- Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 8–Oct 12
- Days 8–14 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 10–Oct 16
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 10–Oct 16
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 29D0 Abnormally dry
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Ephraim 1NE-WwtpThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around October 18: a growing season of about 155 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 1; one spring in ten still has one after May 28.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 27 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 56° | 56° | 58° | 53° | 57° | 60° | 59° | 57° |
| Wind chill min | 44° | 41° | 44° | 40° | 44° | 46° | 47° | 44° |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 5% | 4% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 11,000 ft | |||||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 10 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 5,000 ft | 3,200 ft | 5,400 ft | 5,000 ft | 3,200 ft | 1,700 ft | 3,200 ft | 3,800 ft |
| Transport wind max | 21 mph | 20 mph | 22 mph | 15 mph | 20 mph | 17 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Ephraim (3D2) · 8.5 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Oct 2 | 62° / 45° | — | 76° (2023) | 33° (2009) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 61° / 48° | — | 78° (2023) | 35° (2020) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 63° / 44° | — | 78° (2023) | 31° (2008) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 59° / 44° | — | 74° (2023) | 31° (2008) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 62° / 47° | — | 77° (2011) | 38° (2012) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 66° / 48° | — | 74° (2011) | 37° (2012) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 65° / 46° | — | 72° (2011) | 32° (2022) |
| Fri Oct 9 | 62° / 47° | — | 77° (2011) | 31° (2023) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 6:18 AM | 6:48 AM | 6:27 PM | 6:56 PM | 11 h 39 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:20 AM | 6:49 AM | 6:25 PM | 6:54 PM | 11 h 36 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
| Sun | 6:21 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:23 PM | 6:52 PM | 11 h 33 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:22 AM | 6:52 AM | 6:21 PM | 6:50 PM | 11 h 29 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
| Tue | 6:23 AM | 6:53 AM | 6:19 PM | 6:49 PM | 11 h 26 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:25 AM | 6:54 AM | 6:17 PM | 6:47 PM | 11 h 23 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
| Thu | 6:26 AM | 6:55 AM | 6:16 PM | 6:45 PM | 11 h 21 min | Waning crescent · 8% lit |
| Fri | 6:27 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:14 PM | 6:43 PM | 11 h 17 min | Waning crescent · 3% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from