Current weather · Oct 2, 3:22 PM CDT

45.2380, -87.0910

61°

SunnyFeels like 61° · Humidity 46%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Green Bay, WI · grid 108,68
High
62°
Low
45°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
6:48 AM
Sunset
6:27 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Fri 3 PM61°61°40°46%0%NW7 mph12 mph2%—10 mi
Fri 4 PM61°61°40°46%0%NNW7 mph10 mph2%—10 mi
Fri 5 PM60°60°40°47%0%NNW6 mph9 mph3%—10 mi
Fri 6 PM59°59°40°49%0%N5 mph6 mph2%—10 mi
Fri 7 PM54°54°40°59%0%N3 mph6 mph3%—10 mi
Fri 8 PM52°52°41°66%0%N5 mph7 mph5%—10 mi
Fri 9 PM47°45°41°79%0%NNE5 mph7 mph4%—10 mi
Fri 10 PM47°45°42°83%0%NNE5 mph8 mph4%—10 mi
Fri 11 PM46°44°41°83%0%NNE5 mph8 mph4%—10 mi
Sat 12 AM44°41°41°89%0%NE5 mph7 mph3%—10 mi
Sat 1 AM46°45°42°86%0%NE3 mph7 mph3%—10 mi
Sat 2 AM46°45°42°86%0%NE3 mph6 mph3%—10 mi
Sat 3 AM46°46°42°86%0%ENE2 mph5 mph1%—10 mi
Sat 4 AM44°44°42°93%0%ENE2 mph5 mph2%—10 mi
Sat 5 AM44°44°43°96%0%ESE2 mph5 mph10%—10 mi
Sat 6 AM44°44°43°96%0%SSE2 mph5 mph20%—10 mi
Sat 7 AM46°45°44°93%2%SSE3 mph6 mph28%—10 mi
Sat 8 AM50°48°46°86%2%SSE5 mph8 mph26%—10 mi
Sat 9 AM55°55°46°72%3%S8 mph12 mph31%—10 mi
Sat 10 AM56°56°46°69%4%S10 mph14 mph30%—10 mi
Sat 11 AM57°57°45°64%5%S12 mph16 mph59%—10 mi15,700 ft
Sat 12 PM59°59°45°60%9%S13 mph17 mph62%—10 mi18,000 ft
Sat 1 PM60°60°45°58%12%0.00 inS13 mph18 mph75%1%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 2 PMSlight chance of light rain showers59°59°46°62%15%0.00 inS13 mph18 mph80%1%—10 mi11,000 ft
Sat 3 PMSlight chance of light rain showers60°60°45°58%15%0.00 inS13 mph18 mph78%1%—10 mi11,000 ft
Sat 4 PM60°60°45°58%11%0.00 inS12 mph17 mph86%1%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 5 PM59°59°45°60%7%0.00 inS12 mph17 mph75%1%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 6 PM58°58°45°62%4%0.00 inS10 mph16 mph84%1%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 7 PM55°55°45°69%0%S10 mph17 mph89%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 8 PM53°53°46°77%12%S10 mph20 mph92%2%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 9 PM53°53°47°80%2%S12 mph21 mph90%2%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sat 10 PM53°53°47°80%9%S12 mph21 mph93%3%—10 mi11,000 ft
Sat 11 PMChance of light rain showers53°53°48°83%28%S13 mph21 mph92%3%——
Sun 12 AMChance of light rain showers53°53°48°83%26%SSW13 mph21 mph89%3%——
Sun 1 AMLight rain showers likely53°53°49°86%58%0.01 inSSW13 mph22 mph84%7%——
Sun 2 AMLight rain showers likely53°53°50°89%63%0.01 inSSW13 mph22 mph88%7%——
Sun 3 AMChance of light rain showers52°52°50°93%27%0.01 inSW14 mph22 mph78%7%——
Sun 4 AMSlight chance of light rain showers51°51°50°96%19%0.01 inSW14 mph22 mph54%3%——
Sun 5 AM51°51°50°96%11%0.01 inWSW14 mph21 mph51%3%——
Sun 6 AM49°44°49°100%4%0.01 inWSW13 mph20 mph31%3%——
Sun 7 AM50°45°50°100%1%WSW13 mph20 mph11%1%——
Sun 8 AM53°53°51°93%1%W13 mph18 mph0%1%——
Sun 9 AM55°55°51°85%1%W13 mph18 mph15%1%——
Sun 10 AM57°57°50°77%1%WNW13 mph18 mph30%——
Sun 11 AM59°59°49°70%1%WNW13 mph18 mph26%——
Sun 12 PM60°60°47°62%1%NW13 mph18 mph23%——
Sun 1 PM61°61°46°58%0%NW13 mph18 mph19%——
Sun 2 PM62°62°45°54%0%NW13 mph18 mph15%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Oct 2, 2:56 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodayOct 262°45°Sunny0%wind 14 mph
  2. SatOct 361°48°Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers28%0.01 inwind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
  3. SunOct 463°44°Sunny63%0.06 inwind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  4. MonOct 559°44°Sunny0%wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  5. TueOct 662°47°Sunny0%wind 17 mph · gusts 25 mph
  6. WedOct 766°48°Mostly Sunny8%wind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
  7. ThuOct 865°46°Mostly Sunny7%wind 9 mph
  8. FriOct 962°47°12%wind 12 mph
  9. SatOct 1066°50°National Blend14%0.01 inwind 14 mph · gusts 25 mph
  10. SunOct 1164°46°National Blend22%0.10 inwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
  11. MonOct 1259°43°National Blend21%0.02 inwind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
  12. TueOct 13~58°53°Model mean0.22 in
  13. WedOct 14~55°51°Model mean0.32 in
  14. ThuOct 15~56°52°Model mean0.26 in
  15. FriOct 16~50°47°Model mean1.81 in
  16. SatOct 17~51°41°Model mean0.31 in

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like61°
  • WindNW 7 mphgusts 12 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity46%
  • Dew point40°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise10:14 PMMoonset 2:08 PM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous64% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodayOct 262°45°NWS grid 62° / 45°rain 0%wind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
  2. SatOct 361°48°NWS grid 61° / 48°rain 58%wind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
  3. SunOct 463°43°NWS grid 63° / 44°rain 31%0.02 inwind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  4. MonOct 558°44°NWS grid 59° / 44°rain 0%wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  5. TueOct 661°48°NWS grid 62° / 47°rain 2%wind 17 mph · gusts 28 mph
  6. WedOct 766°48°NWS grid 66° / 48°rain 7%wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  7. ThuOct 865°48°NWS grid 65° / 46°rain 9%thunder 14%wind 9 mph
  8. FriOct 964°48°NWS grid 62° / 47°rain 12%thunder 12%wind 10 mph
  9. SatOct 1066°50°Beyond the NWS gridrain 14%0.01 inwind 14 mph · gusts 25 mph
  10. SunOct 1164°46°Beyond the NWS gridrain 22%0.10 inwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
  11. MonOct 1259°43°Beyond the NWS gridrain 21%0.02 inwind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
41°55°68°SatSunMonTueWedThuFri

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT · GFS Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT · GEFS Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Oct 1, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Oct 2, 7:00 AM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°55°68°SatSunMonTueWedThuFri

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Oct 262° 45°59° 50°61° 53°59° 53°62° 55°~60° 55°
Sat Oct 361° 48°0.01 in59° 47°0.10 in61° 54°59° 53°~58° 54°0.06 in~59° 55°0.10 in
Sun Oct 463° 44°0.06 in57° 54°60° 56°0.01 in60° 56°0.02 in60° 56°0.07 in~60° 57°0.12 in
Mon Oct 559° 44°—56° 50°55° 50°57° 51°~56° 51°
Tue Oct 662° 47°—59° 50°57° 50°~60° 57°~61° 56°
Wed Oct 766° 48°—67° 56°63° 57°0.02 in65° 57°~64° 58°
Thu Oct 865° 46°—63° 56°0.02 in61° 56°0.04 in~62° 57°~60° 55°0.04 in
Fri Oct 962° 47°—57° 50°56° 52°~62° 57°0.65 in~55° 51°0.02 in
Sat Oct 10——67° 56°0.05 in62° 55°0.02 in~59° 56°~58° 50°0.14 in
Sun Oct 11——62° 55°62° 57°0.06 in~67° 64°~64° 61°
Mon Oct 12——~61° 54°0.05 in~55° 52°0.04 in~66° 61°~60° 54°0.78 in
Tue Oct 13——~58° 49°0.01 in—~65° 62°0.54 in~51° 49°0.10 in
Wed Oct 14——~59° 52°—~53° 53°0.47 in~53° 50°0.50 in
Thu Oct 15——~60° 54°0.63 in—~55° 50°0.06 in~55° 51°0.08 in
Fri Oct 16——~52° 49°3.62 in—~48° 46°~48° 45°0.01 in
Sat Oct 17——~51° 41°0.31 in——~43° 43°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Ephraim (3D2) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sat Oct 17, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%40%equal chances40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°TodayNov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Oct 2—78° (2023)31° (2008)equal chances · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 9—78° (2011)28° (2012)40% chance above normal · days 6 to 10near normal most likely · days 6 to 10
Oct 16—76° (2016)26° (2022)equal chances · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 23—68° (2023)26° (2022)equal chances · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 30—75° (2024)23° (2020)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 6—73° (2020)12° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 13—59° (2015)11° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 20—58° (2012)10° (2008)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 27—57° (2017)1° (2014)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 4—58° (2012)1° (2025)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 11—54° (2021)-2° (2013)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 18—51° (2015)-3° (2016)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 25—51° (2023)-11° (2013)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayModeratewarm
  • TickstodayModeratewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayLowcool

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight: 2 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
FridayFair8:05 PM to 5:11 AM9 of 92 h from 8:00 PM60%Poor2 h5 mph
SaturdayPoor8:03 PM to 5:12 AM0 of 9None50%3 h14 mph
SundayGood8:01 PM to 5:14 AM9 of 95 h from 8:00 PM39%Fair10 mph
MondayGood7:59 PM to 5:15 AM9 of 96 h from 8:00 PM29%Fair5 mph
TuesdayPoor7:57 PM to 5:16 AM0 of 9None20%15 mph
WednesdayPoor7:55 PM to 5:17 AM0 of 9None12%7 mph
ThursdayPoor7:53 PM to 5:19 AM0 of 9None6%7 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Fri6:18 AM to 6:30 AM6:30 AM to 7:27 AM5:47 PM to 6:45 PM6:45 PM to 6:56 PM
Sat6:20 AM to 6:31 AM6:31 AM to 7:28 AM5:46 PM to 6:43 PM6:43 PM to 6:54 PM
Sun6:21 AM to 6:32 AM6:32 AM to 7:30 AM5:44 PM to 6:41 PM6:41 PM to 6:52 PM
Mon6:22 AM to 6:34 AM6:34 AM to 7:31 AM5:42 PM to 6:39 PM6:39 PM to 6:50 PM
Tue6:23 AM to 6:35 AM6:35 AM to 7:32 AM5:40 PM to 6:37 PM6:37 PM to 6:49 PM
Wed6:25 AM to 6:36 AM6:36 AM to 7:34 AM5:38 PM to 6:35 PM6:35 PM to 6:47 PM
Thu6:26 AM to 6:37 AM6:37 AM to 7:35 AM5:36 PM to 6:34 PM6:34 PM to 6:45 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:48 AM, 94° E
  • SS Sunset 6:27 PM, 265° W
  • MR Moonrise 10:14 PM, 49° NE
  • MS Moonset 2:08 PM, 311° NW
  • Waning gibbous, 64% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Fri 3 PM to 6 PM, 3 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:18 AM to sunrise 6:48 AM, and sunset 6:27 PM to 6:57 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Fri6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Fri 3 PMGood79130%10 mi61°nothing against it
Fri 4 PMGood79120%10 mi61°nothing against it
Fri 5 PMGood67110%10 mi60°nothing against it
Fri 6 PMCaution518190%10 mi59°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 7 PMCaution314160%10 mi54°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 8 PMCaution518210%10 mi52°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 9 PMCaution518210%10 mi47°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 10 PMCaution518220%10 mi47°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 11 PMCaution518220%10 mi46°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 12 AMCaution518210%10 mi44°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 1 AMCaution314170%10 mi46°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 2 AMCaution314160%10 mi46°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 3 AMCaution29110%10 mi46°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 4 AMCaution29110%10 mi44°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 5 AMCaution29110%10 mi44°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 6 AMCaution29110%10 mi44°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 7 AMGood3462%10 mi46°nothing against it
Sat 8 AMGood5692%10 mi50°nothing against it
Sat 9 AMGood810143%10 mi55°nothing against it
Sat 10 AMGood1013174%10 mi56°nothing against it
Sat 11 AMCaution1217215%10 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit
Sat 12 PMCaution1318239%10 mi400 ft59°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit
Sat 1 PMNo-fly13182412%10 mi400 ft60°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sat 2 PMNo-fly13182415%10 mi400 ft59°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Fri 3 PM to 10 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 11 AM to Tue 4 AM 17 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 7 AM to 9 AM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 3 PM to Thu 4 AM 13 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 8 AM to Fri 4 AM 20 hours, every hour within the rules
Fri6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
FridayDry0%0.00 in46%14 mph2 dGood
SaturdayDry15%0.01 in58%13 mph1 d
SundayShowers possible1%0.06 in51%13 mph
MondayDry0%0.00 in42%10 mph5 dGood
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in55%17 mph4 d
WednesdayDry8%0.00 in54%12 mph3 d
ThursdayDry7%0.00 in50%9 mph2 dGood
FridayDry6%0.00 in53%12 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Wednesday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Fri Fair4:38 AM to 6:38 AM5:10 PM to 7:10 PM1:38 PM to 2:38 PM9:44 PM to 10:44 PM 64%6:48 AM, 6:27 PM
Sat Fair5:41 AM to 7:41 AM6:11 PM to 8:11 PM2:30 PM to 3:30 PM10:58 PM to 11:58 PM 53%6:49 AM, 6:25 PM
Sun Fair6:41 AM to 8:41 AM7:09 PM to 9:09 PM3:10 PM to 4:10 PM 43%6:50 AM, 6:23 PM
Mon Fair7:37 AM to 9:37 AM8:03 PM to 10:03 PM12:17 AM to 1:17 AM3:40 PM to 4:40 PM 32%6:52 AM, 6:21 PM
Tue Poor8:29 AM to 10:29 AM8:53 PM to 10:53 PM1:37 AM to 2:37 AM4:05 PM to 5:05 PM 23%6:53 AM, 6:19 PM
Wed Good9:17 AM to 11:17 AM9:40 PM to 11:40 PM2:53 AM to 3:53 AM4:25 PM to 5:25 PM 15%6:54 AM, 6:17 PM
Thu Good10:03 AM to 12:03 PM10:25 PM to 12:25 AM4:08 AM to 5:08 AM4:44 PM to 5:44 PM 8%6:55 AM, 6:16 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon62° · NNW 7 mph

    Sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. North northwest wind around 7 mph.

  2. Tonight44° · NE 5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

  3. Saturday61° · 15% · SSE 2–13 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers between 2pm and 4pm. Partly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. South southeast wind 2 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  4. Saturday Night48° · 63% · SSW 10–14 mph

    Rain showers likely between 11pm and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  5. Sunday63° · 4% · WNW 13 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 63. West northwest wind around 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

  6. Sunday Night44° · NW 10 mph

    Clear, with a low around 44.

  7. Monday59° · NNW 3–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 59.

  8. Monday Night44° · ESE 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

  9. Tuesday62° · SSW 6–17 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 62.

  10. Tuesday Night47° · SW 12–17 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

  11. Wednesday66° · 8% · WSW 8–12 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

  12. Wednesday Night48° · 6% · W 8 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.

  13. Thursday65° · 6% · W 9 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

  14. Thursday Night46° · 12% · W 7 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Green Bay, WI · issued Oct 2, 11:42 AM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Areas of frost north of Hwy 29 late tonight into Saturday morning. Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings have been issued.

More frost will be possible at times across northern Wisconsin Sunday night through early next week. Greatest chance for a widespread frost/freeze event will be Sunday night.

Chance of showers (30-70%) north of highway 29 late Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning. Otherwise mainly dry through middle of next week.

Discussion

1138 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Frost/freeze potential into early next week...Frost/freeze still on track for tonight. Light winds, clear skies with high pressure drifting overhead and PWATs down to 0.30 inch point to min temps bottoming out. MOS guidance typically does well on these type of nights and shows readings in the mid-upper 20s for sites in Vilas toward IMT. Converted the Frost Advisory to Freeze Warning along U.P. border and continued the Frost Advisory elsewhere north of highway 29. Mid-high clouds increase late from the west, which may allow for temps steadying out late tonight.

After a reprieve on Saturday night, next chance for another widespread frost/freeze is Sunday night into Monday morning, with temperatures in the mid 30s even sneaking down toward the Fox Valley. Chance of seeing temps less than 33F are 40-80% Sunday night and again on Monday night. Expect more frost/freeze headlines to be issued during this time.

Dry pattern ahead...Rain chances over the course of the extended will be sparse, with next chances for light rain arriving late Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening. Transient shortwave energy will accompany the passage of a clipper-like low over the upper Midwest Saturday evening and night, generating isentropically forced showers for areas mainly north of Hwy 29. Though low chance, MUCAPEs as high as 500J/kg into northwest WI late Saturday could support a rumble of thunder surviving into far northern WI early Saturday evening. Abundance of low level dry air will result in a meager 20-30% chance for receiving 0.25" of QPF through Sunday morning. Otherwise, high pressure will be the main driver of the synoptic pattern through at least the middle of next week, bringing abnormally dry weather from the Plains to the Midwest. This does not bode well for northern Wisconsin where D2 (Severe) to D4 (Exceptional) drought conditions exist. Next chances for more widespread rain don't arrive until Wednesday, though if this week is anything to go by, high pressure could end up putting up a good fight. Latest deterministic models have backed off on these chances compared to what was shown before.

Aviation

1138 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

for 18Z TAF Issuance

Just a few fair weather cu this afternoon (025-035). Otherwise, expect increasing mid clouds (120-150) from west to east on Saturday, with slight lowering to around 100 in the afternoon. A few light showers may occur over northern WI late in the day, with more organized showers crossing the area on Saturday night as CIGS drop to VFR or even MVFR, especially north.

Northwest winds should remain under 10 knots through this afternoon, becoming light and variable tonight. South winds increase to 10 kts on Saturday, with gusts 15-18 kts in the afternoon.

GRB Watches / Warnings / Advisories

Freeze Warning from 11 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Saturday for WIZ005-011>013.

Frost Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 7 AM CDT Saturday for WIZ010-018>021-073-074.

Hazardous weather outlook Oct 2, 11:49 AM CDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KGRB 021649
HWOGRB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
1149 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-031700-
Vilas-Oneida-Forest-Florence-Northern Marinette County-Lincoln-
Langlade-Menominee-Northern Oconto County-Door-Marathon-Shawano-
Wood-Portage-Waupaca-Outagamie-Brown-Kewaunee-Waushara-Winnebago-
Calumet-Manitowoc-Southern Marinette County-
Southern Oconto County-
1149 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north-central and northeast
Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Areas of frost are expected from north-central to far northeast 
Wisconsin late tonight into Saturday morning. Frost Advisories and
Freeze Warnings have been issued.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Frost is expected at times across parts of north-central and far 
northeast Wisconsin Sunday night and Monday night. Patchy frost 
may make it down into central and east-central Wisconsin.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

$$

LMZ521-522-541>543-031700-
The Bay of Green Bay south of a line from Cedar River MI to Rock
Island Passage-Lake Michigan from Washington Island to Sheboygan-
1149 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Lake
Michigan and the waters of Green Bay.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

Conditions hazardous to small craft may develop Saturday night
into Sunday morning. 

$$

JLA

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sat Oct 3General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Fri Oct 9No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Fri Oct 20.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sat Oct 30.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Sun Oct 4Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 7–Oct 8Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 8–Oct 12
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 8–Oct 12
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 10–Oct 16
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 10–Oct 16

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 29D0 Abnormally dry

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Ephraim 1NE-Wwtp

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around October 18: a growing season of about 155 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 1; one spring in ten still has one after May 28.

Climate of 45.24, -87.09: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementFriSatSunMonTueWedThuFri
Wet bulb globe temperature max56°56°58°53°57°60°59°57°
Wind chill min44°41°44°40°44°46°47°44°
Chance of thunder max0%3%7%0%0%8%5%4%
Cloud ceiling min11,000 ft
Visibility min10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max5,000 ft3,200 ft5,400 ft5,000 ft3,200 ft1,700 ft3,200 ft3,800 ft
Transport wind max21 mph20 mph22 mph15 mph20 mph17 mph15 mph15 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Ephraim (3D2) · 8.5 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Fri Oct 262° / 45°—76° (2023)33° (2009)
Sat Oct 361° / 48°—78° (2023)35° (2020)
Sun Oct 463° / 44°—78° (2023)31° (2008)
Mon Oct 559° / 44°—74° (2023)31° (2008)
Tue Oct 662° / 47°—77° (2011)38° (2012)
Wed Oct 766° / 48°—74° (2011)37° (2012)
Thu Oct 865° / 46°—72° (2011)32° (2022)
Fri Oct 962° / 47°—77° (2011)31° (2023)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Fri6:18 AM6:48 AM6:27 PM6:56 PM11 h 39 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:20 AM6:49 AM6:25 PM6:54 PM11 h 36 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:21 AM6:50 AM6:23 PM6:52 PM11 h 33 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:22 AM6:52 AM6:21 PM6:50 PM11 h 29 min Waning crescent · 32% lit
Tue6:23 AM6:53 AM6:19 PM6:49 PM11 h 26 min Waning crescent · 23% lit
Wed6:25 AM6:54 AM6:17 PM6:47 PM11 h 23 min Waning crescent · 15% lit
Thu6:26 AM6:55 AM6:16 PM6:45 PM11 h 21 min Waning crescent · 8% lit
Fri6:27 AM6:57 AM6:14 PM6:43 PM11 h 17 min Waning crescent · 3% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from