Current weather · Sep 26, 11:49 PM EDT

45.0290, -67.3230

57°

Light rain likelyFeels like 57° · Humidity 83%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Caribou, ME · grid 111,94
High
71°
Low
53°
Rain today
75%
Sunrise
6:21 AM
Sunset
6:19 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 11 PMLight rain likely57°57°51°83%71%0.02 inNE8 mph16 mph96%4%—5 mi8,200 ft
Sun 12 AMLight rain likely56°56°50°83%58%0.02 inNE9 mph17 mph98%4%—5 mi6,900 ft
Sun 1 AMChance of light rain55°55°50°86%54%0.02 inNE9 mph17 mph99%4%—7 mi6,700 ft
Sun 2 AMLight rain likely55°55°50°86%72%0.02 inNE9 mph17 mph100%6%—5 mi5,700 ft
Sun 3 AMLight rain likely55°55°50°83%70%0.02 inNE9 mph17 mph99%6%—5 mi5,000 ft
Sun 4 AMLight rain likely55°55°50°83%60%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph97%6%—5 mi4,500 ft
Sun 5 AMLight rain likely54°54°51°86%71%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph95%2%—5 mi4,900 ft
Sun 6 AMLight rain likely53°53°51°86%68%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph92%2%—5 mi5,000 ft
Sun 7 AMLight rain likely53°53°51°89%59%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph90%2%—5 mi3,900 ft
Sun 8 AMSlight chance of light rain54°54°51°90%18%0.00 inNE9 mph17 mph88%3%—9 mi3,800 ft
Sun 9 AM55°55°52°90%11%0.00 inNE10 mph20 mph87%3%—10 mi3,400 ft
Sun 10 AM56°56°52°86%10%0.00 inNE9 mph17 mph87%3%—10 mi3,200 ft
Sun 11 AM57°57°53°86%7%0.00 inENE9 mph17 mph87%2%—10 mi3,500 ft
Sun 12 PM59°59°52°78%6%0.00 inENE9 mph17 mph87%2%—10 mi3,300 ft
Sun 1 PM60°60°52°75%6%0.00 inENE9 mph17 mph87%2%—10 mi3,700 ft
Sun 2 PM61°61°52°72%5%ENE8 mph16 mph87%—10 mi3,700 ft
Sun 3 PM62°62°52°70%5%ENE8 mph16 mph87%—10 mi3,600 ft
Sun 4 PM62°62°52°70%5%ENE8 mph16 mph86%—10 mi3,500 ft
Sun 5 PM62°62°52°70%5%ENE8 mph16 mph86%—10 mi3,500 ft
Sun 6 PM61°61°52°72%5%ENE9 mph17 mph86%—10 mi3,800 ft
Sun 7 PM60°60°52°75%4%ENE10 mph20 mph85%—10 mi4,200 ft
Sun 8 PM59°59°52°78%1%ENE10 mph20 mph85%—10 mi4,500 ft
Sun 9 PM58°58°52°80%1%ENE12 mph22 mph77%—10 mi4,500 ft
Sun 10 PM57°57°51°80%0%ENE12 mph22 mph81%—10 mi4,300 ft
Sun 11 PM57°57°50°77%1%ENE12 mph22 mph84%1%—10 mi4,100 ft
Mon 12 AM56°56°49°77%3%ENE12 mph22 mph87%1%—10 mi4,000 ft
Mon 1 AM55°55°48°77%10%ENE12 mph22 mph86%1%—10 mi4,000 ft
Mon 2 AMLight rain likely54°54°48°80%64%0.02 inNE12 mph22 mph86%7%—5 mi3,900 ft
Mon 3 AMLight rain likely54°54°48°80%57%0.02 inENE12 mph22 mph86%7%—7 mi
Mon 4 AMChance of light rain53°53°48°83%52%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph85%7%—7 mi
Mon 5 AMChance of light rain52°52°48°86%53%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph85%7%—7 mi
Mon 6 AMLight rain likely51°51°49°93%58%0.02 inNE10 mph20 mph83%7%—7 mi
Mon 7 AMLight rain likely50°46°49°96%64%0.02 inNE9 mph17 mph80%7%—7 mi
Mon 8 AMLight rain likely52°52°51°96%69%0.03 inNE8 mph16 mph80%8%—7 mi
Mon 9 AMLight rain likely52°52°52°100%74%0.03 inNE8 mph16 mph83%8%—7 mi
Mon 10 AMLight rain53°53°53°100%80%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph87%8%—7 mi
Mon 11 AMLight rain54°54°54°100%85%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph90%7%—7 mi
Mon 12 PMLight rain55°55°55°100%86%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph91%7%—7 mi
Mon 1 PMLight rain56°56°56°100%87%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph92%7%—7 mi
Mon 2 PMLight rain56°56°56°100%89%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph93%2%—7 mi
Mon 3 PMLight rain56°56°56°100%90%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph94%2%—7 mi
Mon 4 PMLight rain56°56°56°100%91%0.03 inENE7 mph14 mph94%2%—7 mi
Mon 5 PMLight rain56°56°56°100%92%0.03 inENE7 mph14 mph95%1%—7 mi
Mon 6 PMLight rain56°56°56°100%88%0.03 inENE7 mph14 mph94%1%—7 mi
Mon 7 PMLight rain55°55°55°100%85%0.03 inENE8 mph16 mph93%1%—7 mi
Mon 8 PMLight rain55°55°55°100%81%0.01 inENE8 mph16 mph92%6%—9 mi
Mon 9 PMLight rain54°54°54°100%80%0.01 inENE8 mph16 mph92%6%—9 mi
Mon 10 PMLight rain54°54°54°100%79%0.01 inENE7 mph14 mph92%6%—9 mi

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 8:11 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2671°53°Light Rain Likely75%0.08 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  2. SunSep 2763°50°Light Rain Likely then Cloudy72%0.17 inwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
  3. MonSep 2857°52°Light Rain92%0.50 inwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
  4. TueSep 2959°49°Rain Showers Likely72%0.08 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. WedSep 3067°51°Mostly Sunny7%wind 2 mph
  6. ThuOct 171°54°Mostly Sunny10%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  7. FriOct 270°50°Mostly Sunny14%wind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
  8. SatOct 365°44°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny19%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  9. SunOct 462°45°National Blend36%0.16 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  10. MonOct 560°43°National Blend42%0.28 inwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. TueOct 658°40°National Blend26%0.38 inwind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
  12. WedOct 7~60°42°Model mean
  13. ThuOct 8~54°46°Model mean0.15 in
  14. FriOct 9~51°43°Model mean0.01 in
  15. SatOct 10~52°39°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~53°34°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like57°
  • WindNE 8 mphgusts 16 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity83%
  • Dew point51°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility5 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise6:04 PMMoonset 6:12 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 26—52°NWS grid 71° / 53°rain 84%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  2. SunSep 2763°49°NWS grid 63° / 50°rain 73%0.02 inwind 12 mph · gusts 24 mph
  3. MonSep 2857°50°NWS grid 57° / 52°rain 90%thunder 12%0.80 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. TueSep 2958°49°NWS grid 59° / 49°rain 63%thunder 10%0.09 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  5. WedSep 3067°50°NWS grid 67° / 51°rain 2%wind 3 mph
  6. ThuOct 171°54°NWS grid 71° / 54°rain 11%wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
  7. FriOct 269°48°NWS grid 70° / 50°rain 19%wind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
  8. SatOct 364°43°NWS grid 65° / 44°rain 17%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  9. SunOct 462°45°Beyond the NWS gridrain 36%0.16 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  10. MonOct 560°43°Beyond the NWS gridrain 42%0.28 inwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. TueOct 658°40°Beyond the NWS gridrain 26%0.38 inwind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
  12. WedOct 758°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 15%wind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
41°59°77°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°55°77°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2671° 53°0.08 in~60° 58°~70° 60°~69° 58°0.05 in70° 55°~69° 54°0.06 in
Sun Sep 2763° 50°0.17 in63° 55°60° 54°0.17 in60° 54°0.30 in64° 53°0.11 in~62° 56°0.16 in
Mon Sep 2857° 52°0.50 in56° 53°0.36 in55° 51°0.69 in55° 52°0.40 in56° 52°0.40 in~56° 53°0.79 in
Tue Sep 2959° 49°0.08 in—55° 53°0.04 in56° 53°0.17 in59° 54°0.37 in~58° 55°0.37 in
Wed Sep 3067° 51°—69° 52°67° 51°64° 53°~62° 55°
Thu Oct 171° 54°—71° 56°70° 53°0.01 in73° 51°~68° 53°
Fri Oct 270° 50°—63° 47°69° 54°0.02 in~68° 57°0.01 in~69° 58°0.01 in
Sat Oct 365° 44°—56° 40°61° 46°~59° 50°~59° 48°
Sun Oct 4——58° 39°0.01 in58° 43°0.08 in~58° 44°~57° 42°
Mon Oct 5——65° 51°0.80 in56° 47°0.52 in~58° 44°0.19 in~53° 46°0.10 in
Tue Oct 6——59° 47°~55° 46°0.15 in~49° 45°0.81 in~56° 45°
Wed Oct 7——~58° 46°—~61° 42°~60° 37°
Thu Oct 8——~53° 45°0.31 in—~53° 45°0.09 in~57° 47°0.04 in
Fri Oct 9——~47° 41°—~53° 40°~54° 49°0.04 in
Sat Oct 10——~45° 34°—~57° 39°~54° 44°0.02 in
Sun Oct 11——~53° 34°—~53° 51°~41° 40°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Bar Habor (BHB) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%warmer 40% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 26—81° (2014)34° (2022)no outlookno outlook
Oct 3—83° (2011)28° (2022)33% chance above normal · days 6 to 1040% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 10—78° (2018)28° (2012)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 17—75° (2024)23° (2015)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 24—74° (2023)20° (2024)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 31—72° (2024)20° (2020)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 7—72° (2022)12° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 14—60° (2016)9° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 21—57° (2014)5° (2018)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 28—60° (2011)6° (2025)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 5—57° (2021)-5° (2025)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 12—57° (2021)-10° (2013)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 19—54° (2018)-8° (2016)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowFairchance of rain
  • HikingtomorrowGoodchance of rain
  • BikingtomorrowGoodchance of rain
  • GolftomorrowFairchance of rain
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowVery goodwind
  • Beach and pooltomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • CampingtonightFairrain overnight
  • StargazingtonightPoorovercast

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowFairchance of rain
  • GardeningtomorrowGoodchance of rain
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowFairchance of rain
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowFairchance of rain
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
  • TickstomorrowVery highwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowModeratehumid

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor7:57 PM to 4:44 AM0 of 9None100%10 mph
SundayPoor7:55 PM to 4:45 AM0 of 9None98%12 mph
MondayPoor7:53 PM to 4:47 AM0 of 9None94%9 h8 mph
TuesdayPoor7:51 PM to 4:48 AM0 of 9None88%9 h2 mph
WednesdayPoor7:49 PM to 4:49 AM0 of 9None80%9 h1 mph
ThursdayPoor7:47 PM to 4:51 AM0 of 9None71%8 h3 mph
FridayPoor7:45 PM to 4:52 AM0 of 9None61%4 h5 mph
SaturdayPoor7:44 PM to 4:53 AM0 of 1None50%2 mph

The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat5:52 AM to 6:03 AM6:03 AM to 7:00 AM5:40 PM to 6:37 PM6:37 PM to 6:48 PM
Sun5:53 AM to 6:05 AM6:05 AM to 7:01 AM5:38 PM to 6:35 PM6:35 PM to 6:46 PM
Mon5:54 AM to 6:06 AM6:06 AM to 7:03 AM5:36 PM to 6:33 PM6:33 PM to 6:45 PM
Tue5:56 AM to 6:07 AM6:07 AM to 7:04 AM5:35 PM to 6:31 PM6:31 PM to 6:43 PM
Wed5:57 AM to 6:08 AM6:08 AM to 7:05 AM5:33 PM to 6:29 PM6:29 PM to 6:41 PM
Thu5:58 AM to 6:09 AM6:09 AM to 7:06 AM5:31 PM to 6:28 PM6:28 PM to 6:39 PM
Fri5:59 AM to 6:11 AM6:11 AM to 7:08 AM5:29 PM to 6:26 PM6:26 PM to 6:37 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:21 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 6:19 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:04 PM, 82° E
  • MS Moonset 6:12 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Tue 1 PM to 6 PM, 5 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 5:51 AM to sunrise 6:21 AM, and sunset 6:19 PM to 6:49 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 11 PMNo-fly8122071%5 mi400 ft57°chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMCaution9132158%5 mi400 ft56°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMCaution9132154%7 mi400 ft55°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMNo-fly9132172%5 mi400 ft55°chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMNo-fly9132170%5 mi400 ft55°chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMNo-fly10152460%5 mi400 ft55°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMNo-fly10152471%5 mi400 ft54°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMNo-fly10152468%5 mi400 ft53°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMNo-fly10152459%5 mi400 ft53°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain
Sun 8 AMCaution9132118%9 mi400 ft54°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 9 AMNo-fly10152411%10 mi400 ft55°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 10 AMCaution9132110%10 mi400 ft56°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 11 AMCaution913217%10 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 12 PMCaution913216%10 mi400 ft59°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 1 PMCaution913216%10 mi400 ft60°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 2 PMCaution812205%10 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 3 PMCaution812205%10 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 4 PMCaution812205%10 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 5 PMCaution812205%10 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 6 PMCaution913215%10 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 PMNo-fly1015244%10 mi400 ft60°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 8 PMNo-fly1015241%10 mi400 ft59°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 9 PMNo-fly1217271%10 mi400 ft58°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMNo-fly1217270%10 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Thu 11 AM to 8 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 6 PM to 10 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 9 AM to 5 PM 8 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SundayShowers possible18%0.17 in70%10 mph
MondayWet92%0.50 in96%8 mph
TuesdayShowers possible47%0.08 in100%5 mph
WednesdayDry2%0.00 in68%2 mph4 d
ThursdayDry5%0.00 in66%6 mph3 d
FridayDry14%0.00 in61%8 mph2 d
SaturdayDry10%0.00 in52%7 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:15 AM to 1:15 PM5:42 AM to 6:42 AM5:34 PM to 6:34 PM 100%6:21 AM, 6:19 PM
Sun Best11:38 PM to 1:38 AM12:01 PM to 2:01 PM6:56 AM to 7:56 AM5:55 PM to 6:55 PM 99%6:23 AM, 6:17 PM
Mon Good12:26 AM to 2:26 AM12:51 PM to 2:51 PM8:13 AM to 9:13 AM6:19 PM to 7:19 PM 95%6:24 AM, 6:15 PM
Tue Good1:18 AM to 3:18 AM1:45 PM to 3:45 PM9:32 AM to 10:32 AM6:49 PM to 7:49 PM 90%6:25 AM, 6:13 PM
Wed Poor2:14 AM to 4:14 AM2:43 PM to 4:43 PM10:53 AM to 11:53 AM7:27 PM to 8:27 PM 83%6:26 AM, 6:12 PM
Thu Fair3:13 AM to 5:13 AM3:45 PM to 5:45 PM12:08 PM to 1:08 PM8:18 PM to 9:18 PM 74%6:27 AM, 6:10 PM
Fri Fair4:16 AM to 6:16 AM4:47 PM to 6:47 PM1:15 PM to 2:15 PM9:22 PM to 10:22 PM 64%6:29 AM, 6:08 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight53° · 72% · NE 10 mph

    Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 53. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  2. Sunday63° · 68% · NE 10 mph

    Rain likely before 9am. Cloudy, with a high near 63. Northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  3. Sunday Night50° · 64% · NE 12 mph

    Rain likely after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northeast wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  4. Monday57° · 92% · NE 7–10 mph

    Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 57. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  5. Monday Night52° · 88% · NE 8 mph

    Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  6. Tuesday59° · 55% · N 6 mph

    Rain showers likely before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  7. Tuesday Night49° · 10% · N 3 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North wind around 3 mph.

  8. Wednesday67° · 3% · NW 2 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

  9. Wednesday Night51° · 1% · SW 1 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.

  10. Thursday71° · 3% · SW 1–6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

  11. Thursday Night54° · 12% · SW 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

  12. Friday70° · 14% · SW 3–8 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

  13. Friday Night50° · 19% · W 3–7 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  14. Saturday65° · 17% · NW 3–7 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Caribou, ME · issued Sep 26, 7:20 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

Increased confidence in rainfall totals.

720pm update...Update for 00z aviation discussion.

KEY Messages

1) A Noreaster will impact at least Downeast Maine this weekend into Monday and possibly Tuesday, bringing gusty winds, high surf, and periods of rain.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1...A Noreaster will impact at least Downeast Maine this weekend into Monday and possibly Tuesday, bringing gusty winds, high surf, and periods of rain.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... We are still expecting a strong Noreaster to impact our area from through the weekend and into Monday. However, we will be on the far northern fringe of the Noreaster with the center staying south of Massachusetts through Sunday, and impacts in Northern regions through Sunday will be much less than areas further south. Here is what to expect for the various components of the storm:

Periods of Rain...Rain chances will be far greater Downeast than northern areas for the storm, with rain persisting off and on into Tuesday. Short range model guidance remains resolute in the more southerly track from yesterday. As a result, periods of rain should reach the Downeast coast by late this afternoon extending across Bangor and the interior Downeast through tonight. Rainfall totals have now begun to paint a much clearer picture as the event approaches. Precipitation amounts between 0.75 inches and 1.25 inch are expected across the Bangor region and Downeast with localized totals up to 1.5 inches along the coast. Much of this will wait until Sunday night and Monday to occur, but even with these totals, we would not expect flooding. Sunday night and Monday, a much weaker version of the Noreaster finally lifts north and tracks into the Gulf of Maine, at which point rain chances and totals finally increase over the whole area. Northern Maine could finally see some rain late Monday into Tuesday, but it looks like it will be fairly light with maybe around one quarter inch.

Gusty Winds...Winds from the northeast will increase throughout tonight, before becoming gusty overnight and through Sunday, then diminishing through Monday. Winds will be stronger the further south you go but will top out around 25 mph across Bangor and the Downeast with the aforementioned southerly track of the system. Isolated higher amounts along the coast cannot be ruled out. We don't anticipate impacts from the wind other than maybe a very isolated outage Downeast.

High Surf...Seas near the shore will be fairly rough with 4-8 ft seas, much of it as a longer period south/southeast swell. We are not expecting impactful coastal flooding, though waves breaking on the rocks will be hazardous for any onlookers. Conditions should be a bit more hazardous for coastal Hancock than coastal Washington. Conditions slowly ease Sunday night into Monday.

Aviation · 00Z Sunday Through Thursday

Tonight...VFR over Aroostook terminals. BGR/BHB dropping to MVFR this evening in showers and low cigs. NE winds 10-15 gusting to 25kts through daybreak Downeast terminals with Aroostook terminals seeing NE winds 3-8kts overnight.

Sunday - Monday Morning...VFR at Northern terminals, VFR/MVFR Downeast with rain likely at times. Across northern terminals, NE winds 5 to 10 kts. Across southern terminals, NE winds 10 to 15 kts, gusting to 25kts.

Monday Afternoon and Monday Night...Generally MVFR areawide with rain likely. Possible IFR. NE wind 5-10 kts.

Tuesday night to Thursday...Mainly VFR with light winds.

Marine

Northeast winds slowly increase through tonight, peaking around 40kts in the outer waters and 35kts in the coastal waters by this afternoon and persisting through Sunday night. A gale warning is now in effect for both the coastal and outer waters and persisting through 8PM Sunday. The updated storm track has lowered the risk of gales in the inter coastal waters, but a small craft advisory remains in effect. Wave heights have also diminished with outer waters around 8-13ft and 4-8ft in the coastal waters. A High Surf Advisory is in effect for coastal Hancock County where large waves could pose a rip current risk and impact people on rock outcrops. Winds/seas gradually decrease beginning Sunday night and into Tuesday, and quiet conditions should remain through Thursday.

CAR Watches / Warnings / Advisories

ME...High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for MEZ029. MARINE...Gale Warning until 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ050-051-080-081. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for ANZ052.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26General Thunderstorms Risk
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 260.10 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 270.75 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 280.10 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 2Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D1 Moderate drought
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought removal likely

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Robbinston

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 13: a growing season of about 160 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 1; one spring in ten still has one after May 18.

Climate of 45.03, -67.32: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Wet bulb globe temperature max62°59°57°61°65°68°66°61°
Heat index max71°71°
Wind chill min46°50°49°
Chance of thunder max6%6%8%8%1%3%3%2%
Cloud ceiling min8,100 ft3,200 ft3,900 ft
Visibility min3 mi5 mi5 mi9 mi
Mixing height max2,900 ft1,800 ft1,800 ft1,700 ft3,300 ft4,500 ft3,200 ft4,800 ft
Transport wind max18 mph21 mph17 mph10 mph9 mph15 mph15 mph15 mph
Twenty-foot wind max7 mph9 mph9 mph6 mph2 mph6 mph7 mph6 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Bar Habor (BHB) · 65 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2671° / 53°—80° (2011)36° (2016)
Sun Sep 2763° / 50°—81° (2014)37° (2015)
Mon Sep 2857° / 52°—76° (2014)37° (2012)
Tue Sep 2959° / 49°—79° (2025)38° (2013)
Wed Sep 3067° / 51°—75° (2024)34° (2022)
Thu Oct 171° / 54°—75° (2013)34° (2017)
Fri Oct 270° / 50°—78° (2013)35° (2022)
Sat Oct 365° / 44°—82° (2023)31° (2017)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat5:52 AM6:21 AM6:19 PM6:48 PM11 h 58 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun5:53 AM6:23 AM6:17 PM6:46 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon5:54 AM6:24 AM6:15 PM6:45 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue5:56 AM6:25 AM6:13 PM6:43 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed5:57 AM6:26 AM6:12 PM6:41 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu5:58 AM6:27 AM6:10 PM6:39 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri5:59 AM6:29 AM6:08 PM6:37 PM11 h 39 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:01 AM6:30 AM6:06 PM6:35 PM11 h 36 min Last quarter · 54% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from