Current weather · Sep 26, 8:49 PM PDT

43.3910, -124.1310

56°

Mostly CloudyFeels like 56° · Humidity 69%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Medford, OR · grid 74,130
High
63°
Low
46°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:09 AM
Sunset
7:06 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 8 PM56°56°46°69%0%N3 mph7 mph65%——
Sat 9 PM55°55°46°72%0%N3 mph6 mph57%——
Sat 10 PM53°53°45°74%0%N3 mph6 mph62%——
Sat 11 PM52°52°44°75%0%N3 mph6 mph48%——
Sun 12 AM52°52°44°75%0%N3 mph5 mph49%——
Sun 1 AM51°51°43°75%0%NNE2 mph5 mph34%——
Sun 2 AM50°50°43°77%0%NNE2 mph3 mph37%——
Sun 3 AM49°49°42°78%0%ENE1 mph3 mph29%——
Sun 4 AM48°48°42°80%0%E1 mph3 mph24%——
Sun 5 AM48°48°42°81%1%E1 mph2 mph20%——
Sun 6 AM47°47°42°84%1%ENE1 mph2 mph13%——
Sun 7 AM46°46°42°85%1%NE1 mph2 mph8%——
Sun 8 AM46°46°42°87%1%ENE1 mph3 mph6%——
Sun 9 AM49°49°43°79%1%N0 mph3 mph9%——
Sun 10 AM53°53°45°74%1%N0 mph3 mph11%——
Sun 11 AM57°57°46°66%0%NW1 mph3 mph8%——
Sun 12 PM60°60°46°60%1%NW2 mph5 mph7%——
Sun 1 PM61°61°47°59%1%NW3 mph7 mph9%——
Sun 2 PM62°62°48°59%1%NNW5 mph9 mph5%——
Sun 3 PM63°63°48°59%1%NNW6 mph12 mph5%——
Sun 4 PM61°61°48°62%1%NNW7 mph13 mph7%——
Sun 5 PM61°61°49°65%0%NNW6 mph12 mph8%——
Sun 6 PM59°59°50°71%0%NNW6 mph12 mph8%——
Sun 7 PM55°55°49°79%0%NNW6 mph12 mph8%——
Sun 8 PM54°54°50°85%0%N2 mph7 mph13%——
Sun 9 PM52°52°49°89%0%N2 mph7 mph13%——
Sun 10 PM51°51°49°92%0%N2 mph7 mph13%——
Sun 11 PM50°50°48°93%0%N2 mph5 mph16%——
Mon 12 AM49°49°47°93%0%N2 mph5 mph16%——
Mon 1 AM49°49°47°93%0%N2 mph5 mph16%——
Mon 2 AM48°48°46°94%0%NNE2 mph5 mph16%——
Mon 3 AM47°47°46°95%0%NNE2 mph5 mph16%——
Mon 4 AM47°47°46°95%0%NNE2 mph5 mph16%——
Mon 5 AM46°46°45°95%0%NE1 mph3 mph46%——
Mon 6 AM45°45°44°96%0%NE1 mph3 mph46%——
Mon 7 AM45°45°44°98%0%NE1 mph3 mph46%——
Mon 8 AM45°45°44°98%0%ENE1 mph3 mph25%——
Mon 9 AM48°48°46°92%0%ENE1 mph3 mph25%——
Mon 10 AM53°53°48°82%0%ENE1 mph3 mph25%——
Mon 11 AM57°57°48°73%0%N1 mph3 mph28%——
Mon 12 PM60°60°49°66%0%N1 mph3 mph28%——
Mon 1 PM62°62°48°61%0%N1 mph3 mph28%——
Mon 2 PM64°64°49°59%0%NNW5 mph8 mph18%——
Mon 3 PM64°64°50°60%0%NNW5 mph8 mph18%——
Mon 4 PM63°63°50°63%0%NNW5 mph8 mph18%——
Mon 5 PM62°62°51°68%0%NNW6 mph10 mph26%——
Mon 6 PM59°59°51°75%0%NNW6 mph10 mph26%——
Mon 7 PM57°57°52°83%0%NNW6 mph10 mph26%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 4:40 PM PDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2663°46°Partly Cloudy0%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  2. SunSep 2763°45°Sunny1%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  3. MonSep 2864°47°Mostly Sunny0%wind 6 mph
  4. TueSep 2967°53°Mostly Sunny6%wind 3 mph
  5. WedSep 3067°51°Mostly Sunny6%wind 6 mph
  6. ThuOct 165°49°Mostly Sunny4%wind 6 mph
  7. FriOct 265°49°Mostly Sunny4%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. SatOct 368°53°Sunny0%wind 6 mph
  9. SunOct 471°53°National Blend6%wind 3 mph
  10. MonOct 568°53°National Blend11%wind 3 mph
  11. TueOct 668°53°National Blend13%wind 3 mph
  12. WedOct 7~62°54°Model mean0.02 in
  13. ThuOct 8~61°55°Model mean0.17 in
  14. FriOct 9~61°54°Model mean0.16 in
  15. SatOct 10~60°53°Model mean0.07 in
  16. SunOct 11~67°57°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like56°
  • WindN 3 mphgusts 7 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity69%
  • Dew point46°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise6:56 PMMoonset 7:10 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 26—46°NWS grid 63° / 46°rain 0%wind 5 mph
  2. SunSep 2763°45°NWS grid 63° / 45°rain 2%wind 7 mph
  3. MonSep 2864°48°NWS grid 64° / 47°rain 0%wind 6 mph
  4. TueSep 2967°54°NWS grid 67° / 53°rain 4%wind 3 mph
  5. WedSep 3068°52°NWS grid 67° / 51°rain 2%wind 6 mph
  6. ThuOct 165°51°NWS grid 65° / 49°rain 3%wind 5 mph
  7. FriOct 264°50°NWS grid 65° / 49°rain 2%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. SatOct 368°52°NWS grid 68° / 53°rain 0%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  9. SunOct 471°53°Beyond the NWS gridrain 6%wind 3 mph
  10. MonOct 568°53°Beyond the NWS gridrain 11%wind 3 mph
  11. TueOct 668°53°Beyond the NWS gridrain 13%wind 3 mph
  12. WedOct 767°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 14%wind 3 mph
41°55°68°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 5:00 PM PDT · GFS Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT · GEFS Sep 26, 11:00 AM PDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 5:00 AM PDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°55°68°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2663° 46°65° 55°~62° 55°~63° 53°59° 52°~62° 50°
Sun Sep 2763° 45°65° 49°58° 50°61° 49°58° 52°~59° 51°
Mon Sep 2864° 47°65° 46°58° 49°60° 47°57° 50°~60° 51°
Tue Sep 2967° 53°—60° 52°64° 50°60° 52°~63° 51°
Wed Sep 3067° 51°—64° 56°66° 55°60° 55°~64° 56°0.01 in
Thu Oct 165° 49°—61° 55°64° 53°0.02 in59° 54°~61° 53°
Fri Oct 265° 49°—59° 53°0.02 in62° 52°~56° 55°~62° 53°
Sat Oct 368° 53°—67° 51°65° 50°~58° 55°0.02 in~63° 54°
Sun Oct 4——67° 55°74° 53°~65° 56°~60° 53°
Mon Oct 5——61° 55°69° 56°~59° 52°~61° 54°0.02 in
Tue Oct 6——68° 55°~66° 54°~59° 52°~62° 51°
Wed Oct 7——~61° 55°—~65° 56°0.07 in~62° 52°
Thu Oct 8——~61° 53°0.15 in—~62° 56°0.33 in~60° 55°0.02 in
Fri Oct 9——~62° 56°0.26 in—~58° 54°0.20 in~63° 53°
Sat Oct 10——~61° 57°0.17 in—~57° 49°0.02 in~63° 53°
Sun Oct 11——~67° 57°—~49° 49°~55° 55°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at North Bend (OTH) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean50%60%warmer 33% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2665° / 50°94° (2020)34° (1908)no outlookno outlook
Oct 365° / 48°91° (1907)29° (1916)50% chance above normal · days 6 to 1040% chance below normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 1065° / 47°95° (1991)26° (1930)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1762° / 47°91° (1925)30° (1928)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2461° / 44°84° (2003)27° (1919)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 3159° / 44°80° (1966)23° (1935)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 758° / 43°77° (1923)22° (1978)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1457° / 44°74° (1923)20° (1955)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2154° / 42°76° (1933)22° (1919)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2854° / 41°71° (2002)25° (2013)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 553° / 40°69° (1934)15° (1972)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1252° / 39°70° (1980)17° (1924)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1951° / 40°68° (1940)13° (1990)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltomorrowGoodcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoorpartly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowVery goodhumid
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
  • TickstomorrowHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowModeratehumid

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor8:42 PM to 5:34 AM1 of 9None100%Fair3 mph
SundayFair8:40 PM to 5:35 AM8 of 9None97%Poor9 h2 mph
MondayPoor8:38 PM to 5:37 AM0 of 9None93%9 h1 mph
TuesdayPoor8:36 PM to 5:38 AM0 of 9None87%9 h0 mph
WednesdayPoor8:34 PM to 5:39 AM0 of 9None79%8 h2 mph
ThursdayPoor8:32 PM to 5:40 AM0 of 9None69%9 h2 mph
FridayPoor8:30 PM to 5:41 AM0 of 10None59%6 h5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:40 AM to 6:51 AM6:51 AM to 7:46 AM6:29 PM to 7:24 PM7:24 PM to 7:35 PM
Sun6:41 AM to 6:52 AM6:52 AM to 7:47 AM6:27 PM to 7:22 PM7:22 PM to 7:33 PM
Mon6:42 AM to 6:53 AM6:53 AM to 7:49 AM6:25 PM to 7:20 PM7:20 PM to 7:31 PM
Tue6:43 AM to 6:54 AM6:54 AM to 7:50 AM6:23 PM to 7:18 PM7:18 PM to 7:29 PM
Wed6:45 AM to 6:56 AM6:56 AM to 7:51 AM6:21 PM to 7:16 PM7:16 PM to 7:27 PM
Thu6:46 AM to 6:57 AM6:57 AM to 7:52 AM6:19 PM to 7:15 PM7:15 PM to 7:26 PM
Fri6:47 AM to 6:58 AM6:58 AM to 7:53 AM6:18 PM to 7:13 PM7:13 PM to 7:24 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:09 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 7:06 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:56 PM, 81° E
  • MS Moonset 7:10 AM, 274° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sun 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:39 AM to sunrise 7:09 AM, and sunset 7:06 PM to 7:36 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 8 PMCaution38120%56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMCaution38110%55°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMCaution38110%53°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMCaution314160%52°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMCaution314150%52°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMCaution29110%51°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMCaution29100%50°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMCaution1570%49°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMCaution1570%48°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMCaution1561%48°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMCaution1561%47°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMCaution1131%46°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 8 AMGood1141%46°nothing against it
Sun 9 AMGood0031%49°nothing against it
Sun 10 AMGood0031%53°nothing against it
Sun 11 AMGood1140%57°nothing against it
Sun 12 PMGood2351%60°nothing against it
Sun 1 PMGood3481%61°nothing against it
Sun 2 PMGood55101%62°nothing against it
Sun 3 PMGood67131%63°nothing against it
Sun 4 PMGood79151%61°nothing against it
Sun 5 PMGood67130%61°nothing against it
Sun 6 PMGood67130%59°nothing against it
Sun 7 PMNo-fly623290%55°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 8 PM to Sun 1 AM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 1 PM to 8 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 2 PM to 7 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 2 PM to 6 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 2 PM to 8 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 2 PM to 7 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 11 AM to 8 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 11 AM to 2 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in50%7 mph8 dGood
SundayDry1%0.00 in59%7 mph7 d
MondayDry0%0.00 in59%6 mph6 d
TuesdayDry3%0.00 in64%3 mph5 d
WednesdayDry1%0.00 in67%6 mph4 d
ThursdayDry4%0.00 in67%6 mph3 d
FridayDry3%0.00 in65%7 mph2 d
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in57%6 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:47 PM to 1:47 AM12:09 PM to 2:09 PM6:40 AM to 7:40 AM6:26 PM to 7:26 PM 100%7:09 AM, 7:06 PM
Sun Best12:32 AM to 2:32 AM12:56 PM to 2:56 PM7:53 AM to 8:53 AM6:49 PM to 7:49 PM 98%7:10 AM, 7:04 PM
Mon Good1:21 AM to 3:21 AM1:47 PM to 3:47 PM9:09 AM to 10:09 AM7:15 PM to 8:15 PM 95%7:11 AM, 7:03 PM
Tue Good2:13 AM to 4:13 AM2:41 PM to 4:41 PM10:27 AM to 11:27 AM7:47 PM to 8:47 PM 89%7:12 AM, 7:01 PM
Wed Poor3:10 AM to 5:10 AM3:40 PM to 5:40 PM11:45 AM to 12:45 PM8:29 PM to 9:29 PM 82%7:13 AM, 6:59 PM
Thu Fair4:10 AM to 6:10 AM4:42 PM to 6:42 PM12:59 PM to 1:59 PM9:23 PM to 10:23 PM 73%7:14 AM, 6:57 PM
Fri Fair5:13 AM to 7:13 AM5:44 PM to 7:44 PM2:03 PM to 3:03 PM10:28 PM to 11:28 PM 63%7:15 AM, 6:55 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight46° · 1% · NE 3 mph

    Partly cloudy. Low around 46, with temperatures rising to around 48 overnight. Northeast wind around 3 mph.

  2. Sunday63° · 1% · NNE 0–7 mph

    Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. North northeast wind 0 to 7 mph.

  3. Sunday Night45° · NNE 1–6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North northeast wind 1 to 6 mph.

  4. Monday64° · NNE 1–6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. North northeast wind 1 to 6 mph.

  5. Monday Night47° · NNE 1–6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northeast wind 1 to 6 mph.

  6. Tuesday67° · 3% · NNE 0–3 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

  7. Tuesday Night53° · 6% · NNW 0–3 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.

  8. Wednesday67° · 1% · NNE 0–6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

  9. Wednesday Night51° · 4% · N 0–6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

  10. Thursday65° · 4% · N 0–6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

  11. Thursday Night49° · 4% · N 1–6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.

  12. Friday65° · 3% · N 1–7 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 65.

  13. Friday Night49° · NNE 2–7 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.

  14. Saturday68° · NNE 2–6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 68.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Medford, OR · issued Sep 26, 4:40 PM PDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

Aviation

27/00Z TAFs...VFR conditions are present across the area this afternoon, with increasing coverage high clouds ahead of an area of low pressure. Expect some north gusts to 25 knots at North Bend and near Cape Blanco into this evening, then again at the coast from Cape Blanco southward during Sunday afternoon into the early evening. VFR will persist tonight into Sunday, though a few patches of coastal or Umpqua Valley stratus are possible in the early morning as northeast low level winds back to north.

The low will move inland Sunday with conditions remaining VFR, but it could generate a few showers, virga, or an isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon and early evening, with a slight chance probability for western Siskiyou County and the Cascades.

Marine

Updated 100 PM PDT Saturday, September 26, 2026... A Small Craft Advisory for all of the waters has been extended into Monday morning, with steep seas to continue south of Cape Blanco through Monday evening. Conditions overall are not likely to change much into Thursday. A thermal trough pattern will keep gusty north winds over the coastal waters this weekend and then over the waters south of Cape Blanco, with steep short period seas. West-northwest swell arrives Monday with conditions improving a bit, especially north of Cape Blanco.

Prev Discussion

/Issued 200 PM PDT Sat Sep 26 2026/

KEY MESSAGES...

Cooler than normal temperatures continue this weekend.

Low chance(10-15%) of showers on Sunday over northern California and southern Oregon

Temperatures trend higher next week.

DISCUSSION...

High clouds are moving through the region this afternoon under this upper level zonal flow. We're also watching a thermal trough over Oregon this afternoon denoted by the inverted 850 mb heights and light east flow around 850mb. This isn't a very strong thermal trough, but one is located right over the Cascades this afternoon.

It'll be another cool one tonight with temperatures slightly lower than the climatological normal for this time of year. Lows in Medford will drop to 45 degrees, which is just 4 degrees cooler than the normal low of 49. Klamath Falls will reach a cool 34 degrees which is right around normal for late September.

An upper level wave will move into northern California and southern Oregon by Sunday afternoon. Ensembles are picking up on some light precipitation around Siskiyou and Modoc County. Looking at the GFS BUFR forecast sounding, we do see about 200 J/kg of convective available potential energy(CAPE) over AAT Sunday afternoon. However, the NBM thunderstorm probabilities are around 2%. So there is a chance for some convective showers tomorrow in northern California and perhaps southern Oregon. Those probabilities are around 10 to 20% in our opinion, while the NBM is going with about 7%. Overall, pretty minimal impacts unless you have some outside events Sunday afternoon.

By Monday, the trough will move eastwards with 500 mb heights starting to rise over southern Oregon. temperatures barely budge, although they do trend higher on Tuesday. By Wednesday, temperatures will end up around normal with highs in the lower 80's here in Medford with some 70's along the coast and east of the Cascades. This warm up is probably due to another thermal trough building along the southern Oregon coast as shown by the 12Z ECMWF model.

By Thursday, models show some progression with a short wave approaching southern Oregon. There is disagreement on when this wave will arrive with some models pushing it back towards Friday or perhaps even Friday night. This wave is looking dry, so we're not expecting any rain down here in southern Oregon and northern California.

Overall, pretty low impact weather continues around our area for the most of next week.

-Smith

MFR Watches / Warnings / Advisories

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT Monday for PZZ356-376.

Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM PDT Monday for PZZ350-370.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 2Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature50% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature60% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 10

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought removal likely

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, North Bend Rgnl AP

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around February 21 and the first fall freeze around December 9: a growing season of about 294 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 12; one spring in ten still has one after March 25.

Climate of 43.39, -124.13: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 31 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wind chill min46°45°47°49°49°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%1%1%3%1%0%
Snow level min4,400 ft5,100 ft5,200 ft9,200 ft9,000 ft8,700 ft7,800 ft8,200 ft
Mixing height max3,100 ft2,100 ft2,100 ft2,200 ft2,200 ft2,500 ft2,500 ft1,800 ft
Transport wind max14 mph13 mph13 mph12 mph13 mph14 mph15 mph13 mph
Haines index max5552

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · North Bend (OTH) · 6.0 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2663° / 46°68° / 49°91° (1918)36° (1924)
Sun Sep 2763° / 45°67° / 49°88° (1936)34° (1908)
Mon Sep 2864° / 47°67° / 50°94° (2020)34° (1929)
Tue Sep 2967° / 53°65° / 50°82° (1947)34° (1902)
Wed Sep 3067° / 51°65° / 50°81° (1923)34° (1919)
Thu Oct 165° / 49°64° / 48°87° (2022)37° (1999)
Fri Oct 265° / 49°64° / 48°88° (1958)37° (1921)
Sat Oct 368° / 53°63° / 47°83° (1917)34° (1919)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:40 AM7:09 AM7:06 PM7:35 PM11 h 57 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:41 AM7:10 AM7:04 PM7:33 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 98% lit
Mon6:42 AM7:11 AM7:03 PM7:31 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:43 AM7:12 AM7:01 PM7:29 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 89% lit
Wed6:45 AM7:13 AM6:59 PM7:27 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:46 AM7:14 AM6:57 PM7:26 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:47 AM7:15 AM6:55 PM7:24 PM11 h 40 min Waning gibbous · 63% lit
Sat6:48 AM7:17 AM6:54 PM7:22 PM11 h 37 min Last quarter · 52% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from