Current weather · Sep 28, 2:52 PM CDT

43.3720, -92.8330

68°

Mostly CloudyFeels like 68° · Humidity 84%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS La Crosse, WI · grid 11,41
High
70°
Low
57°
Rain today
1%
Sunrise
7:05 AM
Sunset
6:58 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Mon 2 PM68°68°63°84%0%SSE8 mph10 mph82%—10 mi1,500 ft
Mon 3 PM69°69°63°81%0%SSE8 mph12 mph75%—10 mi1,800 ft
Mon 4 PM69°69°63°81%0%SSE8 mph12 mph69%—10 mi2,000 ft
Mon 5 PM70°70°62°76%0%SSE7 mph12 mph65%—10 mi2,300 ft
Mon 6 PM68°68°62°81%0%SSE7 mph10 mph63%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 7 PM67°67°62°84%0%SSE6 mph10 mph63%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 8 PM64°64°62°93%0%SE6 mph12 mph62%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 9 PM62°62°61°97%0%SE7 mph12 mph61%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 10 PM61°61°61°100%0%SSE7 mph12 mph62%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 11 PM60°60°60°100%1%SSE7 mph13 mph65%1%—9 mi11,500 ft
Tue 12 AM60°60°59°96%1%SSE8 mph13 mph61%1%—9 mi-100 ft
Tue 1 AM59°59°59°100%1%SSE8 mph13 mph60%1%—9 mi14,400 ft
Tue 2 AM58°58°58°100%1%S8 mph13 mph62%1%—9 mi18,400 ft
Tue 3 AM58°58°58°100%1%S8 mph14 mph68%1%—9 mi19,300 ft
Tue 4 AM57°57°57°100%1%SSE8 mph15 mph68%1%—9 mi16,200 ft
Tue 5 AM57°57°56°96%1%SSE8 mph15 mph71%1%—8 mi12,200 ft
Tue 6 AM57°57°55°93%1%SSE9 mph15 mph69%1%—8 mi9,100 ft
Tue 7 AM55°55°55°100%2%S9 mph16 mph69%2%—8 mi-100 ft
Tue 8 AM57°57°55°93%2%S10 mph20 mph74%2%—8 mi10,900 ft
Tue 9 AM58°58°56°93%3%S12 mph21 mph77%2%—9 mi15,000 ft
Tue 10 AM61°61°57°87%4%S13 mph22 mph78%2%—10 mi18,200 ft
Tue 11 AM63°63°57°81%2%S14 mph21 mph86%2%—10 mi19,000 ft
Tue 12 PM64°64°58°81%3%S14 mph22 mph88%2%—10 mi17,700 ft
Tue 1 PM66°66°58°75%6%0.02 inS14 mph21 mph89%5%—10 mi15,400 ft
Tue 2 PM67°67°59°75%9%0.02 inS14 mph22 mph89%5%—10 mi13,300 ft
Tue 3 PMChance of light rain showers67°67°60°78%30%0.02 inS13 mph22 mph74%5%—10 mi11,300 ft
Tue 4 PMChance of light rain showers68°68°61°78%27%0.02 inS13 mph21 mph79%14%—10 mi9,600 ft
Tue 5 PMChance of light rain showers67°67°61°81%32%0.02 inS13 mph20 mph80%14%——
Tue 6 PMChance of moderate rain showers67°67°61°81%43%0.02 inS13 mph20 mph82%14%——
Tue 7 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms66°66°62°87%50%0.01 inS12 mph18 mph90%22%——
Tue 8 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°63°97%41%0.01 inS12 mph18 mph91%22%——
Tue 9 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°63°97%39%0.01 inS12 mph18 mph91%22%——
Tue 10 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°63°97%43%0.01 inS12 mph18 mph90%15%——
Tue 11 PMLight rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°64°100%75%0.01 inS12 mph17 mph88%15%——
Wed 12 AMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°64°100%73%0.01 inS9 mph16 mph89%15%——
Wed 1 AMModerate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°64°100%57%0.05 inS9 mph15 mph89%15%——
Wed 2 AMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms63°63°63°100%32%0.05 inS9 mph14 mph88%15%——
Wed 3 AMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms63°63°63°100%36%0.05 inS8 mph13 mph94%15%——
Wed 4 AMModerate rain showers likely63°63°63°100%71%0.05 inS7 mph12 mph94%14%——
Wed 5 AMModerate rain showers62°62°62°100%88%0.05 inS8 mph13 mph94%14%——
Wed 6 AMModerate rain showers63°63°63°100%89%0.05 inS7 mph13 mph95%14%——
Wed 7 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms63°63°63°100%89%0.08 inS7 mph12 mph96%15%——
Wed 8 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms63°63°63°100%89%0.08 inS8 mph13 mph93%15%——
Wed 9 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms65°65°65°100%89%0.08 inS9 mph14 mph94%15%——
Wed 10 AMModerate rain showers66°66°66°100%89%0.08 inS9 mph14 mph96%13%——
Wed 11 AMModerate rain showers67°67°66°97%89%0.08 inS10 mph15 mph96%13%——
Wed 12 PMModerate rain showers67°67°66°97%89%0.08 inS10 mph15 mph94%13%——
Wed 1 PMModerate rain showers68°68°66°93%86%0.07 inS10 mph15 mph93%10%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 28, 1:26 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2870°57°Mostly Cloudy1%wind 8 mph
  2. TueSep 2969°61°Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers75%0.15 inwind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  3. WedSep 3070°58°Showers And Thunderstorms89%1.70 inwind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  4. ThuOct 165°45°Rain Showers Likely73%0.39 inwind 14 mph · gusts 21 mph
  5. FriOct 264°45°Mostly Sunny8%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  6. SatOct 364°48°Mostly Sunny9%wind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
  7. SunOct 461°42°Mostly Sunny7%wind 14 mph · gusts 20 mph
  8. MonOct 559°42°2%wind 7 mph
  9. TueOct 663°49°National Blend9%wind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
  10. WedOct 764°48°National Blend14%0.07 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. ThuOct 863°46°National Blend6%wind 10 mph
  12. FriOct 9~63°47°Model mean
  13. SatOct 10~57°41°Model mean
  14. SunOct 11~60°40°Model mean
  15. MonOct 12~65°47°Model mean
  16. TueOct 13~53°37°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like68°
  • WindSSE 8 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity84%
  • Dew point63°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise7:37 PMMoonset 9:27 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous95% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2871°55°NWS grid 70° / 57°rain 3%wind 7 mph
  2. TueSep 2970°61°NWS grid 69° / 61°rain 78%thunder 22%0.16 inwind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
  3. WedSep 3070°57°NWS grid 70° / 58°rain 96%thunder 17%2.10 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  4. ThuOct 165°46°NWS grid 65° / 45°rain 50%thunder 10%0.31 inwind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
  5. FriOct 264°45°NWS grid 64° / 45°rain 7%wind 7 mph
  6. SatOct 364°49°NWS grid 64° / 48°rain 15%wind 10 mph
  7. SunOct 462°44°NWS grid 61° / 42°rain 13%0.03 inwind 12 mph
  8. MonOct 561°47°NWS grid 59° / 42°rain 7%wind 7 mph
  9. TueOct 663°49°Beyond the NWS gridrain 9%wind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
  10. WedOct 764°48°Beyond the NWS gridrain 14%0.07 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. ThuOct 863°46°Beyond the NWS gridrain 6%wind 10 mph
41°59°77°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT · GFS Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT · GEFS Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Sep 27, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 28, 7:00 AM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°55°77°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2870° 57°68° 60°71° 60°72° 59°70° 60°~69° 62°0.02 in
Tue Sep 2969° 61°0.15 in68° 55°0.20 in63° 55°0.69 in65° 56°0.48 in65° 59°0.44 in~67° 59°0.59 in
Wed Sep 3070° 58°1.70 in66° 64°0.61 in65° 63°0.87 in67° 64°1.42 in69° 64°0.69 in~71° 65°0.61 in
Thu Oct 165° 45°0.39 in—64° 53°0.11 in64° 55°0.46 in65° 55°0.02 in~68° 60°0.36 in
Fri Oct 264° 45°—60° 46°61° 47°0.08 in64° 49°~65° 47°
Sat Oct 364° 48°—63° 44°0.02 in61° 47°0.03 in67° 46°~66° 47°0.01 in
Sun Oct 461° 42°—62° 46°60° 48°0.02 in~61° 51°~65° 53°
Mon Oct 559° 42°—60° 44°58° 42°~62° 41°~56° 36°
Tue Oct 6——58° 39°60° 42°~67° 50°~62° 41°
Wed Oct 7——66° 48°0.03 in65° 48°0.02 in~71° 58°~67° 55°0.09 in
Thu Oct 8——~55° 45°~52° 48°0.01 in~63° 56°0.18 in~67° 41°
Fri Oct 9——~64° 43°—~51° 43°~74° 55°
Sat Oct 10——~57° 46°—~58° 37°~55° 40°
Sun Oct 11——~63° 41°—~58° 45°~60° 36°
Mon Oct 12——~54° 44°—~67° 45°~73° 51°
Tue Oct 13——~53° 37°——~58° 51°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Austin Municipal (AUM) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Tue Oct 13, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature leanwarmer 33% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec-20°0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2867° / 44°92° (1997)15° (2003)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 564° / 39°91° (1963)17° (2000)near normal most likely · days 6 to 1040% chance below normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 1256° / 36°89° (1947)13° (1952)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1956° / 33°88° (1947)11° (1952)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2651° / 32°81° (1955)10° (1952)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 248° / 29°79° (2020)-6° (1951)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 942° / 23°78° (2006)-10° (1959)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1640° / 24°70° (1939)-7° (1959)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2335° / 20°64° (1960)-25° (1977)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 3033° / 16°65° (1998)-30° (1940)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 729° / 11°60° (1946)-25° (1958)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1426° / 12°65° (2021)-31° (1983)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 2123° / 9°52° (1941)-30° (1990)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayVery goodhumid
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayFairhumid
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayVery goodhumid
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
  • TickstodayVery highwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
MondayPoor8:33 PM to 5:31 AM0 of 9None93%9 h8 mph
TuesdayPoor8:31 PM to 5:33 AM0 of 9None87%9 h12 mph
WednesdayPoor8:29 PM to 5:34 AM0 of 10None79%10 h7 mph
ThursdayPoor8:27 PM to 5:35 AM0 of 10None70%9 mph
FridayGood8:25 PM to 5:36 AM5 of 103 h from 8:00 PM60%Poor7 h5 mph
SaturdayPoor8:23 PM to 5:37 AM0 of 10None49%7 h7 mph
SundayGood8:22 PM to 5:39 AM10 of 105 h from 8:00 PM39%Fair1 h6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Mon6:37 AM to 6:48 AM6:48 AM to 7:43 AM6:20 PM to 7:15 PM7:15 PM to 7:26 PM
Tue6:38 AM to 6:49 AM6:49 AM to 7:44 AM6:18 PM to 7:13 PM7:13 PM to 7:24 PM
Wed6:39 AM to 6:50 AM6:50 AM to 7:46 AM6:16 PM to 7:11 PM7:11 PM to 7:22 PM
Thu6:40 AM to 6:51 AM6:51 AM to 7:47 AM6:14 PM to 7:10 PM7:10 PM to 7:21 PM
Fri6:42 AM to 6:53 AM6:53 AM to 7:48 AM6:12 PM to 7:08 PM7:08 PM to 7:19 PM
Sat6:43 AM to 6:54 AM6:54 AM to 7:49 AM6:11 PM to 7:06 PM7:06 PM to 7:17 PM
Sun6:44 AM to 6:55 AM6:55 AM to 7:50 AM6:09 PM to 7:04 PM7:04 PM to 7:15 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:05 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 6:58 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:37 PM, 65° ENE
  • MS Moonset 9:27 AM, 292° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 95% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Mon 2 PM to 6 PM, 4 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:35 AM to sunrise 7:05 AM, and sunset 6:58 PM to 7:28 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Mon6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Mon 2 PMGood812140%10 mi400 ft68°nothing against it
Mon 3 PMGood810140%10 mi400 ft69°nothing against it
Mon 4 PMGood810140%10 mi400 ft69°nothing against it
Mon 5 PMGood79130%10 mi400 ft70°nothing against it
Mon 6 PMNo-fly79120%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Mon 7 PMNo-fly614180%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 8 PMNo-fly614200%9 miup to 0 ft64°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 9 PMNo-fly710150%9 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 10 PMNo-fly710150%9 miup to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 11 PMCaution710161%9 mi400 ft60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 12 AMNo-fly812161%9 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 1 AMCaution812161%9 mi400 ft59°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 2 AMCaution812161%9 mi400 ft58°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 3 AMCaution812171%9 mi400 ft58°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 4 AMCaution812191%9 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 5 AMCaution812191%8 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 6 AMCaution913191%8 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 7 AMNo-fly912192%8 miup to 0 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Tue 8 AMCaution1013232%8 mi400 ft57°gusts near or over your limit
Tue 9 AMNo-fly1217263%9 mi400 ft58°gusts near or over your limit
Tue 10 AMNo-fly1318284%10 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Tue 11 AMNo-fly1420272%10 mi400 ft63°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Tue 12 PMNo-fly1420283%10 mi400 ft64°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Tue 1 PMNo-fly1420276%10 mi400 ft66°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Mon 3 PM to 7 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 7 PM to Fri 2 AM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 9 AM to 10 PM 13 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 11 AM to 9 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 5 PM to Mon 12 AM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 10 AM to 4 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
Mon6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
MondayDry1%0.00 in76%8 mph1 d
TuesdayShowers possible50%0.15 in75%14 mph
WednesdayWet89%1.70 in90%10 mph
ThursdayWet30%0.39 in62%14 mph
FridayDry4%0.00 in54%7 mph4 d
SaturdayDry9%0.00 in65%9 mph3 d
SundayDry5%0.00 in57%14 mph2 d
MondayDry2%0.00 in59%7 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Monday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Mon Good1:11 AM to 3:11 AM1:37 PM to 3:37 PM8:57 AM to 9:57 AM7:07 PM to 8:07 PM 95%7:05 AM, 6:58 PM
Tue Good2:03 AM to 4:03 AM2:31 PM to 4:31 PM10:15 AM to 11:15 AM7:39 PM to 8:39 PM 90%7:07 AM, 6:56 PM
Wed Poor3:00 AM to 5:00 AM3:29 PM to 5:29 PM11:33 AM to 12:33 PM8:20 PM to 9:20 PM 82%7:08 AM, 6:54 PM
Thu Fair4:00 AM to 6:00 AM4:31 PM to 6:31 PM12:47 PM to 1:47 PM9:13 PM to 10:13 PM 73%7:09 AM, 6:52 PM
Fri Fair5:02 AM to 7:02 AM5:34 PM to 7:34 PM1:53 PM to 2:53 PM10:17 PM to 11:17 PM 64%7:10 AM, 6:50 PM
Sat Fair6:05 AM to 8:05 AM6:35 PM to 8:35 PM2:45 PM to 3:45 PM 53%7:11 AM, 6:49 PM
Sun Fair7:05 AM to 9:05 AM7:33 PM to 9:33 PM11:31 PM to 12:31 AM3:26 PM to 4:26 PM 43%7:12 AM, 6:47 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon70° · S 8 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. South wind around 8 mph.

  2. Tonight55° · 1% · SE 8 mph

    Mostly cloudy. Low around 55, with temperatures rising to around 57 overnight. Southeast wind around 8 mph.

  3. Tuesday69° · 32% · S 9–14 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 3pm. Mostly cloudy. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 67 in the afternoon. South wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  4. Tuesday Night61° · 88% · S 7–13 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 7 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  5. Wednesday70° · 89% · S 7–10 mph

    Rain showers before 7am, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 70. South wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

  6. Wednesday Night58° · 86% · W 7 mph

    Rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 58. West wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

  7. Thursday65° · 59% · NW 9–14 mph

    Rain showers likely before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Northwest wind 9 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  8. Thursday Night45° · 12% · N 7–10 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. North wind 7 to 10 mph.

  9. Friday64° · 4% · NE 7 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind around 7 mph.

  10. Friday Night45° · 3% · E 6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 45. East wind around 6 mph.

  11. Saturday64° · 9% · S 5–9 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 5 to 9 mph.

  12. Saturday Night48° · 9% · W 7 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. West wind around 7 mph.

  13. Sunday61° · 7% · NW 8–14 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Northwest wind 8 to 14 mph.

  14. Sunday Night42° · 4% · NW 3–8 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS La Crosse, WI · issued Sep 28, 1:16 PM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Dry conditions continue through Tuesday morning.

Widespread rainfall potential increases Tuesday afternoon through Thursday. There are medium chances (40-60%) for rainfall totals to reach or exceed 2.5 inches south of I-90.

High temperatures will remain seasonal in the 60s to 70s.

Discussion

112 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

This afternoon into Tuesday Morning: Dry Conditions

Visible satellite early this afternoon shows low level clouds remaining across much of the region. The low clouds should slowly clear out today and temperatures should rise into the upper 60s to mid 70s this afternoon. Some patchy fog may develop once again tonight over portions of the Upper Midwest, but it is not expected to be as widespread or as dense as it was this morning. Some isolated locations could still see visibility drop down to a mile or less though.

Tuesday Afternoon through Thursday: Widespread Rainfall

An upper level low pressure system will begin to become cutoff over the Desert Southwest on Tuesday into Wednesday. Out ahead of the low, moisture will surge northward towards the Southern Plains and then eventually the Northern Plains to Great Lakes region. The increased moisture will even be aided by Hurricane Polo after it moves northeast out of Baja California into far northern Mexico. The combination of synoptic scale forcing and a rich moisture environment will lead to widespread heavy rain from the Desert Southwest, to the Plains, and portions of the Upper Midwest. Widespread totals of 2+ inches are possible throughout this entire area given this set-up.

As for our area, rain is expected to begin across western portions of the local forecast area on Tuesday afternoon. This initial round of rain will occur at the same time as PWAT values begin to increase upwards of 1.5-1.75 inches. MUCAPE values may only be as high as a few hundred joules throughout the entire time period, so moderate to heavy rain may occur at times aided by convective processes. It still appears the best potential for heavy rainfall that may lead to flooding concerns will be from Wednesday afternoon into the night. This will coincide with the stronger push of moisture and it will occur out ahead of a southeastward moving cold front. Model guidance continues to vary on where the highest rain totals may fall, ranging from just to the northwest of the FA or across the southern half of the FA. Based on the synoptic set-up, we are leaning towards the southern solutions panning out which would bring in heavier rainfall totals to northeastern IA into far southwestern WI. Most likely rainfall totals continue to be in the 1-3 inch range, with the higher totals (2.5-3 inches) across northeastern IA. For some isolated locations, higher totals of 3.5-4+ inches cannot be ruled out. These rainfall totals would lead to flooding concerns, especially for rivers and locations that had just received a lot of rainfall in the last few weeks. The rain potential will end from northwest to southeast on Thursday as the cold front moves through and the mid level moisture becomes displaced to the east/southeast of the region.

Friday into the Weekend: Drier and Trending Cooler

In the wake of the cold frontal passage, temperatures should slowly trend cooler this upcoming weekend as broad scale troughing attempts to dig south over the Great Lakes region. Daytime highs are not forecast to be all that much cooler, with temperatures remaining in the mid 60s. Where the cooler air will be more noticeable will be overnight, with overnight lows drop into the lower 40s to mid 30s. Dry conditions are currently expected but there may be a low chance for light rain on Saturday if moisture moves in quick enough out ahead of another southern surge in the upper level trough.

Aviation · 18Z TAFs Through 18Z Tuesday

1226 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

MVFR stratus deck continues to erode this morning but, as the boundary layer is becoming established following insolation, cumulus is developing at the top of the mixed layer, with this cumulus also at around 2500-3000 feet at issuance time. Have therefore continued to carry MVFR for at least 1-3 hours at RST/LSE. Tonight, some chance (20-60%) for fog to return, primarily to the Wisconsin River valley. Have refrained from inclusion in the TAFs with this cycle due to low confidence in occurrence and expected increase in wind speeds in the boundary layer overnight.

ARX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

WI...None. MN...None. IA...None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 28, 1:36 PM CDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KARX 281836
HWOARX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
136 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

IAZ008>011-018-019-029-030-MNZ079-086>088-094>096-WIZ017-029-
032>034-041>044-053>055-061-292245-
Mitchell-Howard-Winneshiek-Allamakee-Floyd-Chickasaw-Fayette-
Clayton-Wabasha-Dodge-Olmsted-Winona-Mower-Fillmore-Houston-
Taylor-Clark-Buffalo-Trempealeau-Jackson-La Crosse-Monroe-Juneau-
Adams-Vernon-Crawford-Richland-Grant-
136 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast
Minnesota...northeast Iowa and southwest into central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Heavy rainfall is possible Wednesday into Thursday which could
result in localized flooding and river rises. Flash flooding is
possible where showers and storms frequent. 

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

No action needed.

.EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION...

No webinar is scheduled.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 29General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 30General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Mon Oct 5No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 280.10 in
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 291.00 in
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 300.75 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 1–Oct 2Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 3–Oct 4Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 28Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 29Slight
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 30Slight
  4. Day 4 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
  5. Day 5 · Fri Oct 2Below marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 8
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 4–Oct 8
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 6–Oct 12
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 6–Oct 12

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Osage

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 9: a growing season of about 163 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 25; one spring in ten still has one after May 12.

Climate of 43.37, -92.83: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 26 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMon
Wet bulb globe temperature max68°65°68°64°59°60°57°55°
Heat index max70°
Wind chill min44°44°44°40°
Chance of thunder max3%22%17%14%1%6%7%2%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min0.6 mi8 mi
Mixing height max2,500 ft1,600 ft1,400 ft2,500 ft3,500 ft2,800 ft3,500 ft3,200 ft
Transport wind max12 mph18 mph18 mph21 mph12 mph16 mph16 mph15 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Austin Municipal (AUM) · 21 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Mon Sep 2870° / 57°69° / 44°85° (1952)20° (1942)
Tue Sep 2969° / 61°67° / 43°86° (1953)24° (1945)
Wed Sep 3070° / 58°69° / 43°88° (1952)21° (1939)
Thu Oct 165° / 45°67° / 44°90° (2023)24° (1958)
Fri Oct 264° / 45°64° / 40°91° (2023)16° (1974)
Sat Oct 364° / 48°64° / 41°92° (1997)15° (2003)
Sun Oct 461° / 42°65° / 40°88° (2005)22° (1989)
Mon Oct 559° / 42°62° / 40°90° (1963)26° (1952)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Mon6:37 AM7:05 AM6:58 PM7:26 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:38 AM7:07 AM6:56 PM7:24 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:39 AM7:08 AM6:54 PM7:22 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:40 AM7:09 AM6:52 PM7:21 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:42 AM7:10 AM6:50 PM7:19 PM11 h 40 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:43 AM7:11 AM6:49 PM7:17 PM11 h 38 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:44 AM7:12 AM6:47 PM7:15 PM11 h 35 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:45 AM7:14 AM6:45 PM7:14 PM11 h 31 min Waning crescent · 32% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from