Current weather · Sep 27, 10:05 PM EDT
42.6980, -72.6050
55°
- High
- 58°
- Low
- 53°
- Rain today
- 93%
- Sunrise
- 6:43 AM
- Sunset
- 6:39 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 10 PM | Light rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 55° | 55° | 55° | 100% | 50% | 0.01 in | NNE | 12 mph | 18 mph | 84% | 7% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Sun 11 PM | Slight chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of light rain showers and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 50% | 0.01 in | NNE | 12 mph | 18 mph | 87% | 8% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 12 AM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 57% | 0.01 in | NNE | 12 mph | 18 mph | 90% | 8% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 1 AM | Light rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 67% | 0.01 in | NNE | 12 mph | 18 mph | 91% | 8% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 2 AM | Chance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 70% | 0.02 in | NNE | 10 mph | 18 mph | 90% | 9% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 3 AM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 68% | 0.02 in | NNE | 10 mph | 18 mph | 89% | 9% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 4 AM | Moderate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 53° | 96% | 70% | 0.02 in | NNE | 10 mph | 20 mph | 94% | 9% | — | 3 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 5 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 53° | 96% | 70% | 0.02 in | NNE | 10 mph | 20 mph | 94% | 13% | — | 3.0 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 6 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 73% | 0.02 in | NNE | 10 mph | 20 mph | 92% | 13% | — | 2.7 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 7 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 51° | 93% | 81% | 0.02 in | NNE | 9 mph | 18 mph | 89% | 13% | — | 1.8 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 8 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 52° | 52° | 52° | 100% | 87% | 0.03 in | NNE | 8 mph | 17 mph | 92% | 15% | — | 1.4 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 9 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 52° | 96% | 85% | 0.03 in | NNE | 8 mph | 17 mph | 90% | 15% | — | 1.5 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 10 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 80% | 0.03 in | NNE | 9 mph | 16 mph | 87% | 15% | — | 1.7 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 11 AM | Moderate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 76% | 0.03 in | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 88% | 10% | — | 2.8 mi | 300 ft | |
| Mon 12 PM | Light rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 79% | 0.03 in | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 88% | 10% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 1 PM | Moderate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 55° | 55° | 55° | 100% | 80% | 0.03 in | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 90% | 10% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 2 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated thunderstorms and patchy fog | 55° | 55° | 55° | 100% | 78% | 0.05 in | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 93% | 14% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 3 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated thunderstorms and patchy fog | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 78% | 0.05 in | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 91% | 14% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 4 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and isolated thunderstorms and patchy fog | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 81% | 0.05 in | NNE | 8 mph | 14 mph | 93% | 14% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 5 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 56° | 56° | 54° | 93% | 82% | 0.05 in | NNE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 91% | 11% | — | 3 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 6 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 55° | 55° | 54° | 96% | 76% | 0.05 in | N | 7 mph | 13 mph | 88% | 11% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 7 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 71% | 0.04 in | N | 7 mph | 13 mph | 91% | 11% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 8 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 62% | 0.02 in | N | 7 mph | 12 mph | 93% | 4% | — | 5 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 9 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 59% | 0.02 in | N | 7 mph | 12 mph | 95% | 4% | — | 5 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 10 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 56% | 0.02 in | N | 6 mph | 12 mph | 88% | 4% | — | 5 mi | 800 ft | |
| Mon 11 PM | Light rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 53% | 0.02 in | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 88% | 1% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Tue 12 AM | Light rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 41% | 0.01 in | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 91% | 1% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |
| Tue 1 AM | Light rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 29% | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 90% | 1% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | ||
| Tue 2 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 16% | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 82% | — | 3 mi | 800 ft | |||
| Tue 3 AM | Patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 12% | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 63% | — | 3 mi | 800 ft | |||
| Tue 4 AM | Slight chance of moderate rain showers and patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 9% | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 61% | — | 3 mi | 800 ft | |||
| Tue 5 AM | Patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 52° | 96% | 5% | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 82% | — | 3 mi | 800 ft | |||
| Tue 6 AM | Moderate rain showers likely and patchy fog | 52° | 52° | 52° | 100% | 4% | N | 6 mph | 10 mph | 78% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |||
| Tue 7 AM | Chance of moderate rain showers and patchy fog | 52° | 52° | 51° | 96% | 3% | NNW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 63% | — | 4 mi | 800 ft | |||
| Tue 8 AM | Patchy fog | 52° | 52° | 52° | 100% | 1% | NNW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 55% | — | 4 mi | 1,000 ft | |||
| Tue 9 AM | Patchy fog | 53° | 53° | 53° | 100% | 1% | N | 5 mph | 8 mph | 36% | — | 9 mi | ||||
| Tue 10 AM | 56° | 56° | 56° | 100% | 1% | N | 5 mph | 8 mph | 50% | — | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 11 AM | 59° | 59° | 57° | 93% | 1% | NNW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 64% | 1% | — | 9 mi | 1,000 ft | |||
| Tue 12 PM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 84% | 1% | NNW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 66% | 1% | — | 9 mi | 1,000 ft | |||
| Tue 1 PM | 64° | 64° | 57° | 78% | 1% | N | 5 mph | 9 mph | 69% | 1% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft | |||
| Tue 2 PM | 66° | 66° | 57° | 73% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 9 mph | 71% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft | ||||
| Tue 3 PM | 67° | 67° | 57° | 70% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 8 mph | 72% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft | ||||
| Tue 4 PM | 67° | 67° | 58° | 73% | 0% | NNW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 73% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft | ||||
| Tue 5 PM | 66° | 66° | 58° | 75% | 0% | NNW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 74% | — | 9 mi | 2,000 ft | ||||
| Tue 6 PM | 64° | 64° | 58° | 81% | 0% | NNW | 3 mph | 6 mph | 70% | — | 9 mi | 2,000 ft | ||||
| Tue 7 PM | 61° | 61° | 58° | 90% | 0% | NNW | 3 mph | 6 mph | 66% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft | ||||
| Tue 8 PM | 58° | 58° | 57° | 96% | 0% | NNW | 2 mph | 5 mph | 62% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft | ||||
| Tue 9 PM | 57° | 57° | 56° | 96% | 0% | NNW | 2 mph | 5 mph | 58% | — | 9 mi | 1,500 ft |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 27, 2:49 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 2758°53°Patchy Fogwind 13 mph · gusts 28 mph
- MonSep 2856°51°Patchy Fogwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
- TueSep 2967°52°Rain Showers Likely then Partly Sunnywind 6 mph
- WedSep 3072°53°Mostly Sunnywind 3 mph
- ThuOct 175°59°Partly Sunnywind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- FriOct 271°49°Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 6 mph · gusts 15 mph
- SatOct 364°44°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SunOct 462°46°Chance Rain Showerswind 3 mph
- MonOct 560°43°National Blendwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
- TueOct 658°41°National Blendwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- WedOct 761°43°National Blendwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- ThuOct 8~65°48°Model mean
- FriOct 9~61°47°Model mean
- SatOct 10~57°40°Model mean
- SunOct 11~57°41°Model mean
- MonOct 12~59°40°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like55°
- WindNNE 12 mphgusts 18 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity100%
- Dew point55°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility4 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
- Moonrise6:50 PMMoonset 7:45 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous99% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 27—52°NWS grid 58° / 53°wind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonSep 2856°52°NWS grid 56° / 51°wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
- TueSep 2966°52°NWS grid 67° / 52°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- WedSep 3071°53°NWS grid 72° / 53°wind 2 mph
- ThuOct 175°59°NWS grid 75° / 59°wind 5 mph · gusts 13 mph
- FriOct 273°49°NWS grid 71° / 49°wind 6 mph · gusts 15 mph
- SatOct 365°45°NWS grid 64° / 44°wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SunOct 462°46°NWS grid 62° / 46°wind 3 mph
- MonOct 560°43°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
- TueOct 658°41°Beyond the NWS gridwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- WedOct 761°43°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 27 | 58° 53°0.67 in | 56° 53°0.02 in | ~54° 52°0.25 in | ~56° 53°0.13 in | 57° 54°0.53 in | ~57° 55°0.39 in |
| Mon Sep 28 | 56° 51°0.69 in | 55° 53°0.95 in | 53° 51°0.92 in | 54° 53°0.78 in | 55° 52°0.53 in | ~55° 53°0.64 in |
| Tue Sep 29 | 67° 52°0.01 in | 64° 55° | 66° 52°0.01 in | 64° 53°0.02 in | 65° 51° | ~62° 53°0.02 in |
| Wed Sep 30 | 72° 53° | — | 72° 52° | 72° 50° | 72° 51° | ~67° 53° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 75° 59° | — | 78° 54° | 75° 54° | 74° 55°0.01 in | ~77° 57° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 71° 49° | — | 77° 56°0.06 in | 75° 58°0.05 in | 67° 56° | ~74° 65°0.03 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 64° 44° | — | 61° 42°0.05 in | 64° 50°0.13 in | ~62° 48° | ~66° 51° |
| Sun Oct 4 | 62° 46°0.13 in | — | 59° 38° | 60° 47°0.20 in | ~62° 42° | ~64° 42° |
| Mon Oct 5 | — | — | 48° 42°1.24 in | 60° 48°0.23 in | ~57° 50°0.87 in | ~66° 50°0.02 in |
| Tue Oct 6 | — | — | 59° 48° | 60° 44°0.08 in | ~57° 55°1.44 in | ~57° 37° |
| Wed Oct 7 | — | — | 54° 47°0.02 in | ~58° 41°0.03 in | ~66° 55°0.05 in | ~67° 40° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | ~54° 47°0.01 in | — | ~68° 50°0.02 in | ~72° 47° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | ~54° 36° | — | ~68° 55°0.33 in | ~60° 49°0.03 in |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~55° 40° | — | ~57° 44° | ~60° 37°0.12 in |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~56° 35° | — | ~56° 42° | ~58° 47°0.09 in |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~59° 40° | — | ~39° 38° | ~40° 37° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Orange (Asos) (ORE) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Mon Oct 12, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | 65° / 44° | 85° (2017) | 27° (2000) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 4 | 66° / 41° | 85° (2023) | 23° (1996) | near normal most likely · days 6 to 10 | 40% chance above normal · days 6 to 10 |
| Oct 11 | 63° / 40° | 78° (2000) | 22° (2012) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 18 | 61° / 36° | 80° (2024) | 16° (2015) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 25 | 53° / 35° | 80° (2023) | 17° (2001) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 1 | 52° / 28° | 79° (2024) | 15° (2012) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 8 | 50° / 31° | 73° (2020) | 12° (1996) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 15 | 46° / 25° | 68° (2006) | 7° (1996) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 22 | 45° / 25° | 63° (1999) | 1° (2018) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 29 | 42° / 25° | 66° (2006) | -6° (2025) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 6 | 37° / 18° | 69° (1998) | -8° (2025) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 13 | 37° / 19° | 64° (2010) | -13° (2005) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 20 | 39° / 22° | 66° (2015) | -8° (2004) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
- Common coldtomorrowLowmild
- FlutomorrowLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hModeratehumid
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
- SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtomorrowFairchance of rain
- HikingtomorrowFairchance of rain
- BikingtomorrowFairchance of rain
- GolftomorrowFairchance of rain
- FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtomorrowFairfog
- Beach and pooltomorrowPoorcool
- CampingtonightPoorrain overnight
- StargazingtonightPoorovercast
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hFairfog
- Drivingnext 24 hPoorlow visibility
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtomorrowPoorchance of rain
- GardeningtomorrowFairchance of rain
- Outdoor entertainingtomorrowPoorchance of rain
- Drying laundry outsidetomorrowPoorchance of rain
- Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowPoorchance of rain
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestomorrowVery highwarm
- TickstomorrowVery highwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststomorrowHighhumid
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | Poor | 8:13 PM to 5:10 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 98% | 9 h | 12 mph | |
| Monday | Poor | 8:11 PM to 5:11 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 94% | 9 h | 7 mph | |
| Tuesday | Poor | 8:09 PM to 5:12 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 88% | 9 h | 2 mph | |
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:07 PM to 5:14 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 80% | 9 h | 1 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:06 PM to 5:15 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 71% | 8 h | 5 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:04 PM to 5:16 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 61% | 6 h | 5 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:02 PM to 5:17 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 7 h | 3 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:00 PM to 5:18 AM | 0 of 1 | None | 39% | 2 mph |
The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 6:15 AM to 6:26 AM | 6:26 AM to 7:21 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:56 PM | 6:56 PM to 7:07 PM |
| Mon | 6:16 AM to 6:27 AM | 6:27 AM to 7:22 AM | 6:00 PM to 6:54 PM | 6:54 PM to 7:05 PM |
| Tue | 6:17 AM to 6:28 AM | 6:28 AM to 7:23 AM | 5:58 PM to 6:52 PM | 6:52 PM to 7:03 PM |
| Wed | 6:18 AM to 6:29 AM | 6:29 AM to 7:24 AM | 5:56 PM to 6:51 PM | 6:51 PM to 7:02 PM |
| Thu | 6:20 AM to 6:30 AM | 6:30 AM to 7:25 AM | 5:54 PM to 6:49 PM | 6:49 PM to 7:00 PM |
| Fri | 6:21 AM to 6:32 AM | 6:32 AM to 7:26 AM | 5:52 PM to 6:47 PM | 6:47 PM to 6:58 PM |
| Sat | 6:22 AM to 6:33 AM | 6:33 AM to 7:28 AM | 5:51 PM to 6:45 PM | 6:45 PM to 6:56 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:43 AM, 92° E
- SS Sunset 6:39 PM, 268° W
- MR Moonrise 6:50 PM, 74° ENE
- MS Moonset 7:45 AM, 282° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 99% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Tue 8 AM to 6 PM, 10 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:13 AM to sunrise 6:43 AM, and sunset 6:39 PM to 7:09 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 10 PM | Caution | 12 | 17 | 24 | 50% | 3.7 mi | up to 300 ft | 55° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 11 PM | Caution | 12 | 17 | 24 | 50% | 4.1 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 12 AM | Caution | 12 | 17 | 24 | 57% | 3.8 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 1 AM | No-fly | 12 | 17 | 24 | 67% | 3.8 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 2 AM | No-fly | 10 | 15 | 23 | 70% | 4.1 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 3 AM | No-fly | 10 | 15 | 23 | 68% | 4.1 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 4 AM | No-fly | 10 | 15 | 24 | 70% | 3.4 mi | up to 0 ft | 54° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 5 AM | No-fly | 10 | 15 | 24 | 70% | 3.0 mi | up to 0 ft | 54° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 6 AM | No-fly | 10 | 15 | 24 | 73% | 2.7 mi | up to 0 ft | 53° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 7 AM | No-fly | 9 | 13 | 23 | 81% | 1.8 mi | up to 0 ft | 53° | chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |
| Mon 8 AM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 21 | 87% | 1.4 mi | up to 0 ft | 52° | chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |
| Mon 9 AM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 21 | 85% | 1.4 mi | up to 0 ft | 53° | chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |
| Mon 10 AM | No-fly | 9 | 13 | 20 | 80% | 1.7 mi | up to 0 ft | 53° | chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |
| Mon 11 AM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 19 | 76% | 2.8 mi | up to 0 ft | 54° | chance of rain, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |
| Mon 12 PM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 19 | 79% | 3.6 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 1 PM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 19 | 80% | 4.0 mi | up to 300 ft | 55° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 2 PM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 19 | 78% | 4.1 mi | up to 300 ft | 55° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 3 PM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 19 | 78% | 3.9 mi | up to 300 ft | 56° | chance of rain, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 4 PM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 17 | 81% | 3.5 mi | up to 300 ft | 56° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 5 PM | No-fly | 7 | 10 | 17 | 82% | 3.3 mi | up to 300 ft | 56° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 6 PM | No-fly | 7 | 10 | 16 | 76% | 3.7 mi | up to 300 ft | 55° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |
| Mon 7 PM | No-fly | 7 | 10 | 16 | 71% | 4.3 mi | up to 300 ft | 54° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 8 PM | No-fly | 7 | 10 | 15 | 62% | 4.7 mi | up to 300 ft | 53° | chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 9 PM | Caution | 7 | 10 | 15 | 59% | 4.8 mi | up to 300 ft | 53° | chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Tue 1 PM to 7 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 2 PM to 6 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
- Thu 11 AM to 8 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Fri 11 AM to 9 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sat 10 AM to 7 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | Wet | 93% | 0.67 in | 93% | 13 mph | ||
| Monday | Wet | 87% | 0.69 in | 93% | 9 mph | ||
| Tuesday | Dry | 1% | 0.01 in | 70% | 5 mph | 5 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 61% | 3 mph | 4 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 3% | 0.00 in | 62% | 5 mph | 3 d | |
| Friday | Dry | 23% | 0.00 in | 59% | 6 mph | 2 d | |
| Saturday | Dry | 16% | 0.00 in | 50% | 5 mph | 1 d | |
| Sunday | Showers possible | 33% | 0.13 in | 56% | 3 mph |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | Best | 12:00 AM to 2:00 AM12:23 PM to 2:23 PM | 7:15 AM to 8:15 AM6:20 PM to 7:20 PM | 99% | 6:43 AM, 6:39 PM |
| Mon | Good | 12:48 AM to 2:48 AM1:13 PM to 3:13 PM | 8:30 AM to 9:30 AM6:46 PM to 7:46 PM | 95% | 6:44 AM, 6:37 PM |
| Tue | Good | 1:40 AM to 3:40 AM2:07 PM to 4:07 PM | 9:47 AM to 10:47 AM7:19 PM to 8:19 PM | 90% | 6:45 AM, 6:35 PM |
| Wed | Poor | 2:35 AM to 4:35 AM3:05 PM to 5:05 PM | 11:05 AM to 12:05 PM7:59 PM to 8:59 PM | 83% | 6:47 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 3:35 AM to 5:35 AM4:07 PM to 6:07 PM | 12:19 PM to 1:19 PM8:51 PM to 9:51 PM | 74% | 6:48 AM, 6:32 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:38 AM to 6:38 AM5:09 PM to 7:09 PM | 1:25 PM to 2:25 PM9:55 PM to 10:55 PM | 64% | 6:49 AM, 6:30 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:41 AM to 7:41 AM6:11 PM to 8:11 PM | 2:19 PM to 3:19 PM11:08 PM to 12:08 AM | 54% | 6:50 AM, 6:28 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedTonight52° · 70% · NE 12 mph
Patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then patchy fog and a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11pm and midnight, then patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 2am, then patchy fog and a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2am and 3am, then patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms between 3am and 4am, then patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Monday56° · 87% · NE 7–10 mph
Patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 56. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Monday Night51° · 76% · N 7 mph
Patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then patchy fog and a slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. North wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday67° · 4% · N 6 mph
Rain showers likely and patchy fog before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. North wind around 6 mph.
Tuesday Night52° · NW 3 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Wednesday72° · W 3 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind around 3 mph.
Wednesday Night53° · 1% · SW 2 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Thursday75° · 1% · SW 1–5 mph
Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Thursday Night59° · 8% · SW 5 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Friday71° · 23% · W 6 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. West wind around 6 mph.
Friday Night49° · 22% · NW 5 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday64° · 16% · NW 5 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night44° · 17% · NW 3 mph
A slight chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Sunday62° · 30% · NE 3 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Boston / Norton, MA · issued Sep 27, 3:06 PM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
What Has Changed
All wind advisories have expired. Coastal flood
KEY Messages
Windswept rain with minor coastal flooding/beach erosion continue into Monday. Localized urban and street flooding possible.
Minor coastal flooding continues through Monday evening.
Marked improvement Tuesday, followed by mainly dry and warmer weather through Friday. Forecast confidence decreases next weekend.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...Windswept rain with minor coastal flooding/beach erosion continue into Monday. Localized urban and street flooding possible.
Latest analysis of our Nor'easter has the low pressure center shifting into the NJ coastline. Viewing from satellite imagery, its general circulation is visible as it rotates, pivoting a band of convective-type clouds across portions of the Northeast, especially near its center. Over southern New England there are hints of convective type clouds which translate to the surface as pockets of moderate to heavy rainfall rates in east/central MA. The banded nature of this system has resulted in areas in central CT on the drier side today while other areas in eastern MA have been recieving rain much of the day.
Expect banded showers/rain to continue tonight and through Monday as the low pressure center weakens and slowly retrogrades back east toward southern New England. High-resolution guidance continues to indicate the potential for pockets of higher rain rates shifting across portions of RI, central/eastern MA, and CT. As the low exits to the northeast Monday night, rain will taper off. Some showers are possible through early Tuesday morning, mainly in east MA as there is some wrap around moisture behind the low. We've seen plenty of rain already, with a range of 2-6 inches across Rhode Island, southeast MA, and portions of central/east MA. We should likely see another 0.50 to 2.0" through early Tuesday morning. Urban poor drainage flooding will continue to be possible with additional rain, especially in the areas that have already recieved a larger amount of rain (east/southeast). We opted to keep the Flood Watch going given the continued prolonged rainfall and as we see river levels rising to action level and a few even to minor flood stage.
The 925mb LLJ oriented across southern New Engand will continue to slowly weaken tonight and Monday resulting in gradually decreasing gusts. Gusty NE/E winds will continue with gusts 25-35 mph and in the 20-30 mph range Monday.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Minor coastal flooding continues through Monday evening.
The persistent NE onshore flow combined with increasing astronomical tides and some wave action will lead to a continued risk for minor coastal flooding along multiple high-tidal cycles tonight, Monday and Monday night. Tidal gage observations indicate that observed storm surge values have been running about a quarter to one-half foot higher than forecast values; despite this, many tidal sites on the eastern coast have only reached into the minor flood stage range. Given those trends and that surge values are forecast to only slowly decrease - around 1.25 to 1.4 inches tonight, then slowly around a foot on Monday and a foot or less into Monday evening. Because of this, we opted to issue a Coastal Flood Advisory for the east coast and a Coastal Flood Statement with lesser impacts along the southern coast. The Monday daytime high tides (morning along the south coast, early afternoon for the eastern MA coast) have the highest astro tides, so that tide cycle has the best shot at seeing minor inundation on shoreline roads.
KEY MESSAGE 3...Marked improvement Tuesday, followed by mainly dry and warmer weather through Friday. Forecast confidence decreases next weekend.
The weekend's long-duration nor'easter exits east-northeast as the mid-level flow becomes less amplified and blocking diminishes. Through the remainder of the week, the mid-level flow becomes fairly zonal with a few weaker impulses passing through during the mid to late week. These may bring a low probability of a light shower or two, but otherwise mainly dry weather is expected. Expect marked improvement Tuesday as the decaying nor'easter exits the region and winds shift to the northwest. This northwest flow will advect lower PWATs into southern New England, bringing any lingering early morning showers to an end. While PWATs remain somewhat elevated into the afternoon, there is little forcing to support additional precipitation. Thus, clouds may hang tough through much of the afternoon before some breaks develop later in the day. Northwest flow will also keep temperatures a few degrees below climatological normals, though it will be noticeably warmer than this past weekend. Highs Tuesday reach the upper 60s to around 70 degrees.
A mid-level ridge builds across the southeastern CONUS this week, while surface high pressure settles south of the region Wednesday through Friday, leading to a stretch of quieter and warmer weather. Guidance hints at a weak northern-stream shortwave Wednesday night into early Thursday, followed by a secondary shortwave Thursday night into Friday. PWATs Wednesday night into Thursday remain below 1.2 inches and do not align particularly well with the best forcing. Outside of a brief light shower, would anticipate more clouds than anything. PWATs increase to around 1.5 inches Thursday night with the passage of the secondary weak shortwave, when a few light showers could brush the region. No significant impacts are anticipated with either disturbance. Temperatures trend warmer through the middle and latter half of the week, though the latest guidance has trended somewhat cooler compared to previous runs. Highs generally return to the lower and middle 70s, with Thursday potentially the warmest day as temperatures reach the middle to upper 70s. No notable cold is expected overnight, with lows generally falling into the 50s.
Forecast confidence decreases next weekend due to considerable disagreement among the guidance. Interestingly, some solutions depict a setup somewhat similar to earlier this week, with another strong area of high pressure over eastern Canada and low pressure developing off the Carolinas. Other guidance instead settles the high over New England while low pressure develops across the Ohio River Valley and approaches the region late in the weekend or early the following week. Given these significantly different scenarios at this range, expect changes to the forecast as guidance comes into better agreement.
Aviation · 18Z Sunday Through Friday
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.
18z TAF Update:
Through 00z Monday: High confidence.
IFR for most with wind-driven rain and mist, though MVFR/IFR at BDL with lighter/intermittent rain. NE winds gusting to around 20-25 kt for the interior, but upwards of 30-35 kt for eastern MA/RI.
Tonight: Moderate confidence.
IFR prevails with continued rain and enhanced NE winds. Ceilings could slip as low as LIFR tonight/overnight but confidence on if and when this happens is moderate. Gradual, very slow easing trends to NE gusts in the 25-30 kt range, strongest near the northeast coast.
Monday: Moderate confidence.
Continued IFR, though optimism for MVFR ceilings by afternoon as rain begins to taper to more intermittent showers. NE winds around 10-15 kt with gusts in the low 20s kt range.
Monday Night: Moderate confidence.
Categories should trend to MVFR with stratus lingering around but rain should be tapering off to drier conditions by early Tue AM. NE to N winds around 10 kt.
KBOS Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...Moderate confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Monday Night through Friday/...
Tuesday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Patchy BR.
Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible.
Wednesday Night: VFR.
Thursday: VFR. Breezy.
Thursday Night: VFR.
Friday: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.
Marine
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.
Through Monday...
The nor'easter will continue to weaken resulting in the gradual weakening of winds/gusts through Monday. Winds will still gust 25-30 kts tonight and into Monday. This will allow remaining Gale Warnings in the northern waters to expire this evening and convert to SCAs. SCAs also continue for the southern waters as well. Seas diminish to 6-10 ft tonight and 5-7 ft by Monday evening. Highest seas will linger across the northern waters Monday. Lingering higher seas will keep Small Craft conditions around through Tuesday, especially for the outer waters.
Outlook /Monday Night through Friday/...
Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Patchy fog.
Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.
Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Wednesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt.
Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.
BOX Watches / Warnings / Advisories
CT...None. MA...Flood Watch through late Monday night for MAZ004>007-012>024- 026. Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT Monday night for MAZ007-015-016-019-022>024. High Surf Advisory until 2 AM EDT Monday for MAZ007-015-016- 019-022>024. RI...Flood Watch through late Monday night for RIZ001>008. MARINE...Gale Warning until 9 PM EDT this evening for ANZ230-250-251- 280. Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for ANZ231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for ANZ232>235-237. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for ANZ254>256.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
- Day 2 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
- Day 3 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
- Day 4 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 5 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 6 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 7 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 8 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Sun Sep 270.75 in
- Day 2 · Mon Sep 280.01 in
- Day 3 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Sep 30–Oct 1Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 2–Oct 30.10 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 3–Oct 7
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 7
- Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 5–Oct 11
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 5–Oct 11
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Greenfield #3The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 11: a growing season of about 162 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 29; one spring in ten still has one after May 15.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 29 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 57° | 56° | 64° | 68° | 70° | 67° | 60° | 58° |
| Heat index max | 72° | 75° | 71° | |||||
| Wind chill min | 47° | 44° | ||||||
| Chance of thunder max | 16% | 15% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 600 ft | 300 ft | 800 ft | 2,000 ft | 12,000 ft | 2,000 ft | ||
| Visibility min | 2.2 mi | 1.4 mi | 3 mi | 9 mi | 9 mi | 9 mi | 9 mi | 9 mi |
| Mixing height max | 1,700 ft | 1,600 ft | 3,000 ft | 4,300 ft | 4,300 ft | 4,400 ft | 5,700 ft | 4,200 ft |
| Transport wind max | 22 mph | 17 mph | 12 mph | 8 mph | 14 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph | 8 mph |
| Low visibility risk max | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Orange (Asos) (ORE) · 18 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27 | 58° / 53° | 71° / 48° | 85° (2017) | 33° (2015) |
| Mon Sep 28 | 56° / 51° | 70° / 49° | 84° (2025) | 31° (2000) |
| Tue Sep 29 | 67° / 52° | 68° / 47° | 79° (2010) | 27° (2000) |
| Wed Sep 30 | 72° / 53° | 65° / 44° | 79° (2025) | 30° (2000) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 75° / 59° | 65° / 45° | 78° (2013) | 35° (2009) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 71° / 49° | 65° / 43° | 82° (2002) | 29° (1997) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 64° / 44° | 65° / 43° | 81° (2023) | 30° (1996) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 62° / 46° | 65° / 44° | 85° (2023) | 24° (1996) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 6:15 AM | 6:43 AM | 6:39 PM | 7:07 PM | 11 h 56 min | Waning gibbous · 99% lit |
| Mon | 6:16 AM | 6:44 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:05 PM | 11 h 53 min | Waning gibbous · 95% lit |
| Tue | 6:17 AM | 6:45 AM | 6:35 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 50 min | Waning gibbous · 90% lit |
| Wed | 6:18 AM | 6:47 AM | 6:33 PM | 7:02 PM | 11 h 46 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 6:20 AM | 6:48 AM | 6:32 PM | 7:00 PM | 11 h 44 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 6:21 AM | 6:49 AM | 6:30 PM | 6:58 PM | 11 h 41 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:22 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:28 PM | 6:56 PM | 11 h 38 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 6:23 AM | 6:51 AM | 6:26 PM | 6:55 PM | 11 h 35 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from