Current weather · Sep 30, 6:23 AM EDT
42.3990, -74.5900
48°
- High
- 66°
- Low
- 55°
- Rain today
- 1%
- Sunrise
- 6:54 AM
- Sunset
- 6:41 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 6 AM | Patchy fog | 48° | 45° | 48° | 100% | 0% | W | 6 mph | 7 mph | 53% | — | 1.5 mi | 1,100 ft | |||
| Wed 7 AM | Patchy fog | 48° | 45° | 47° | 96% | 0% | W | 6 mph | 7 mph | 54% | — | 1.3 mi | 1,100 ft | |||
| Wed 8 AM | Patchy fog | 49° | 47° | 48° | 96% | 1% | W | 6 mph | 8 mph | 62% | — | 2.5 mi | 1,800 ft | |||
| Wed 9 AM | Patchy fog | 50° | 48° | 50° | 100% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 7 mph | 60% | — | 9 mi | 5,400 ft | |||
| Wed 10 AM | 54° | 54° | 52° | 93% | 1% | W | 5 mph | 8 mph | 59% | — | 10 mi | 11,900 ft | ||||
| Wed 11 AM | 58° | 58° | 53° | 83% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 9 mph | 57% | — | 10 mi | 16,600 ft | ||||
| Wed 12 PM | 62° | 62° | 53° | 72% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 9 mph | 67% | — | 10 mi | 14,600 ft | ||||
| Wed 1 PM | 63° | 63° | 53° | 70% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 9 mph | 75% | — | 10 mi | 8,900 ft | ||||
| Wed 2 PM | 64° | 64° | 53° | 67% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 9 mph | 77% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | ||||
| Wed 3 PM | 66° | 66° | 54° | 65% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 9 mph | 71% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | ||||
| Wed 4 PM | 64° | 64° | 54° | 70% | 0% | W | 5 mph | 9 mph | 62% | — | 10 mi | 10,100 ft | ||||
| Wed 5 PM | 64° | 64° | 54° | 70% | 0% | W | 3 mph | 8 mph | 68% | — | 10 mi | 14,600 ft | ||||
| Wed 6 PM | 62° | 62° | 55° | 78% | 0% | W | 3 mph | 6 mph | 75% | — | 10 mi | 15,300 ft | ||||
| Wed 7 PM | 58° | 58° | 55° | 90% | 0% | WSW | 3 mph | 6 mph | 73% | — | 10 mi | 17,300 ft | ||||
| Wed 8 PM | 57° | 57° | 54° | 90% | 0% | WSW | 5 mph | 6 mph | 78% | — | 10 mi | 17,800 ft | ||||
| Wed 9 PM | 57° | 57° | 55° | 93% | 0% | WSW | 6 mph | 7 mph | 80% | — | 10 mi | 17,800 ft | ||||
| Wed 10 PM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 0% | SW | 7 mph | 8 mph | 82% | — | 10 mi | 17,400 ft | ||||
| Wed 11 PM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 1% | WSW | 8 mph | 9 mph | 84% | — | 10 mi | 18,400 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 2% | SW | 9 mph | 10 mph | 82% | — | 10 mi | 18,700 ft | ||||
| Thu 1 AM | 56° | 56° | 54° | 93% | 3% | SW | 9 mph | 10 mph | 79% | — | 10 mi | 14,300 ft | ||||
| Thu 2 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 4% | WSW | 10 mph | 12 mph | 77% | — | 10 mi | 9,900 ft | ||||
| Thu 3 AM | 57° | 57° | 55° | 93% | 4% | SW | 10 mph | 12 mph | 78% | — | 10 mi | 8,400 ft | ||||
| Thu 4 AM | 57° | 57° | 55° | 93% | 2% | WSW | 10 mph | 12 mph | 79% | — | 9 mi | 5,400 ft | ||||
| Thu 5 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 1% | WSW | 10 mph | 13 mph | 81% | 1% | — | 9 mi | 3,900 ft | |||
| Thu 6 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 2% | SW | 10 mph | 13 mph | 80% | 1% | — | 9 mi | 4,600 ft | |||
| Thu 7 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 2% | SW | 9 mph | 13 mph | 82% | 1% | — | 9 mi | 6,100 ft | |||
| Thu 8 AM | 55° | 55° | 55° | 100% | 4% | WSW | 9 mph | 13 mph | 78% | 2% | — | 9 mi | 6,800 ft | |||
| Thu 9 AM | 57° | 57° | 56° | 96% | 6% | WSW | 9 mph | 13 mph | 77% | 1% | — | 9 mi | ||||
| Thu 10 AM | 60° | 60° | 56° | 87% | 8% | WSW | 8 mph | 14 mph | 73% | — | 10 mi | 4,600 ft | ||||
| Thu 11 AM | 61° | 61° | 55° | 81% | 10% | WSW | 8 mph | 15 mph | 77% | — | 10 mi | 3,900 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 PM | 63° | 63° | 55° | 75% | 12% | WSW | 8 mph | 16 mph | 78% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 1 PM | 64° | 64° | 55° | 73% | 13% | SW | 8 mph | 16 mph | 82% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 2 PM | 64° | 64° | 55° | 73% | 12% | SW | 9 mph | 16 mph | 79% | 2% | — | — | ||||
| Thu 3 PM | 66° | 66° | 55° | 68% | 9% | SW | 9 mph | 16 mph | 73% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 4 PM | 65° | 65° | 55° | 70% | 4% | SW | 8 mph | 16 mph | 67% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 5 PM | 65° | 65° | 55° | 70% | 0% | SW | 8 mph | 15 mph | 62% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 6 PM | 64° | 64° | 55° | 73% | 0% | SW | 9 mph | 15 mph | 55% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 7 PM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 1% | SW | 10 mph | 15 mph | 49% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Thu 8 PM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 2% | SW | 13 mph | 16 mph | 43% | 2% | — | — | ||||
| Thu 9 PM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 2% | SW | 15 mph | 17 mph | 44% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Thu 10 PM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 1% | SW | 16 mph | 18 mph | 44% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Thu 11 PM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 84% | 2% | SW | 16 mph | 18 mph | 45% | 2% | — | — | ||||
| Fri 12 AM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 84% | 2% | SW | 16 mph | 18 mph | 47% | 2% | — | — | ||||
| Fri 1 AM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 2% | SW | 16 mph | 18 mph | 48% | 2% | — | — | ||||
| Fri 2 AM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 12% | SW | 16 mph | 18 mph | 50% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 3 AM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 12% | SW | 16 mph | 18 mph | 51% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 4 AM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 84% | 12% | SW | 15 mph | 18 mph | 53% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 5 AM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 84% | 12% | SW | 15 mph | 18 mph | 55% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 30, 4:44 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 3066°55°Patchy Fog then Partly Sunnywind 8 mph
- ThuOct 166°59°Mostly Cloudywind 16 mph
- FriOct 265°45°Rain Showerswind 16 mph
- SatOct 359°41°Sunnywind 16 mph
- SunOct 457°43°Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- MonOct 552°32°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 21 mph
- TueOct 647°31°Sunnywind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
- WedOct 754°40°wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- ThuOct 859°43°National Blendwind 14 mph
- FriOct 956°39°National Blendwind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SatOct 10~58°47°Model mean
- SunOct 11~58°43°Model mean
- MonOct 12~58°43°Model mean
- TueOct 13~59°43°Model mean
- WedOct 14~61°39°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~58°47°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like45°
- WindW 6 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity100%
- Dew point48°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility1.5 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
- Moonrise8:39 PMMoonset 11:42 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous83% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 3066°54°NWS grid 66° / 55°wind 9 mph
- ThuOct 167°59°NWS grid 66° / 59°wind 17 mph
- FriOct 268°45°NWS grid 65° / 45°wind 17 mph
- SatOct 359°41°NWS grid 59° / 41°wind 14 mph
- SunOct 459°43°NWS grid 57° / 43°wind 13 mph
- MonOct 552°32°NWS grid 52° / 32°wind 16 mph
- TueOct 648°32°NWS grid 47° / 31°wind 14 mph
- WedOct 755°40°NWS grid 54° / 40°wind 12 mph
- ThuOct 859°43°Beyond the NWS gridwind 14 mph
- FriOct 956°39°Beyond the NWS gridwind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SatOct 1054°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 12 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 30 | 66° 55° | 66° 49° | 68° 48° | 68° 48° | 68° 47° | ~69° 51° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 66° 59° | 66° 58° | 65° 57°0.02 in | 65° 57°0.02 in | 71° 58°0.06 in | ~70° 59°0.05 in |
| Fri Oct 2 | 65° 45°0.13 in | ~61° 60° | 67° 50°0.11 in | 67° 51°0.09 in | 75° 53°0.13 in | ~74° 60°0.12 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 59° 41° | — | 58° 41° | 58° 42° | 60° 46° | ~62° 49° |
| Sun Oct 4 | 57° 43° | — | 64° 40° | 59° 41°0.03 in | 63° 41° | ~61° 42° |
| Mon Oct 5 | 52° 32° | — | 55° 34° | 56° 38°0.06 in | 58° 46°0.02 in | ~60° 46°0.01 in |
| Tue Oct 6 | 47° 31° | — | 47° 30° | 48° 33° | ~50° 38° | ~50° 33° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 54° 40° | — | 60° 30° | 55° 30° | ~58° 36° | ~65° 33° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | 60° 40° | 59° 40°0.05 in | ~63° 49°0.02 in | ~69° 52°0.10 in |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 67° 44° | 58° 44°0.12 in | ~55° 45°0.05 in | ~60° 45°0.05 in |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~61° 54°0.02 in | — | ~59° 45°0.03 in | ~56° 41° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~52° 40°0.96 in | — | ~57° 38° | ~66° 50°0.07 in |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~57° 41°0.04 in | — | ~69° 46° | ~49° 41°0.05 in |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~60° 40° | — | ~74° 54°0.09 in | ~43° 33° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~65° 44° | — | ~56° 46°0.04 in | ~57° 33° |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~58° 47° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Johnstown (NY0) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normal
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | — | 77° (2023) | 28° (2019) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 7 | — | 74° (2018) | 22° (2012) | 33% chance below normal · days 8 to 14 | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 14 | — | 72° (2016) | 18° (2015) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 21 | — | 69° (2024) | 23° (2024) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 28 | — | 70° (2024) | 15° (2020) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 4 | — | 69° (2022) | 16° (2012) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 11 | — | 65° (2020) | 4° (2019) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 18 | — | 55° (2011) | -13° (2018) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 25 | — | 56° (2015) | 6° (2013) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 2 | — | 49° (2022) | -12° (2025) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 9 | — | 52° (2015) | -9° (2025) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 16 | — | 52° (2021) | -14° (2013) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 23 | — | 60° (2015) | -14° (2024) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightVery goodSpecial Weather Statement in force
Outdoors
- RunningtodayVery goodhumid
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayFairfog
- Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
- CampingtonightVery goodSpecial Weather Statement in force
- StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hFairfog
- Drivingnext 24 hPoorlow visibility
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayGoodhumid
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayVery goodhumid
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayVery highwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hHighcool nights, warm days
- Outdoor peststodayModeratehumid
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:15 PM to 5:22 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 80% | 9 h | 10 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:13 PM to 5:23 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 71% | 16 mph | ||
| Friday | Poor | 8:11 PM to 5:24 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 60% | 9 h | 16 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:10 PM to 5:25 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 1 h | 2 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:08 PM to 5:27 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 8 h | 8 mph | |
| Monday | Poor | 8:06 PM to 5:28 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 29% | 8 mph | ||
| Tuesday | Good | 8:04 PM to 5:29 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 8:00 PM | 20% | Fair | 3 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:26 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:32 AM | 6:04 PM to 6:59 PM | 6:59 PM to 7:09 PM |
| Thu | 6:28 AM to 6:38 AM | 6:38 AM to 7:33 AM | 6:02 PM to 6:57 PM | 6:57 PM to 7:08 PM |
| Fri | 6:29 AM to 6:39 AM | 6:39 AM to 7:34 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:55 PM | 6:55 PM to 7:06 PM |
| Sat | 6:30 AM to 6:41 AM | 6:41 AM to 7:35 AM | 5:59 PM to 6:53 PM | 6:53 PM to 7:04 PM |
| Sun | 6:31 AM to 6:42 AM | 6:42 AM to 7:36 AM | 5:57 PM to 6:52 PM | 6:52 PM to 7:03 PM |
| Mon | 6:32 AM to 6:43 AM | 6:43 AM to 7:37 AM | 5:55 PM to 6:50 PM | 6:50 PM to 7:01 PM |
| Tue | 6:33 AM to 6:44 AM | 6:44 AM to 7:39 AM | 5:54 PM to 6:48 PM | 6:48 PM to 6:59 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:54 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 6:41 PM, 267° W
- MR Moonrise 8:39 PM, 54° NE
- MS Moonset 11:42 AM, 305° NW
- Waning gibbous, 83% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: no-fly (visibility under 3 miles (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 9 AM to 6 PM, 9 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:24 AM to sunrise 6:54 AM, and sunset 6:41 PM to 7:11 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Wed | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 6 AM | No-fly | 6 | 14 | 15 | 0% | 1.5 mi | 400 ft | 48° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 7 AM | No-fly | 6 | 7 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 mi | 400 ft | 48° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51) | |
| Wed 8 AM | No-fly | 6 | 7 | 10 | 1% | 2.5 mi | 400 ft | 49° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51) | |
| Wed 9 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0% | 9 mi | 400 ft | 50° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 10 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 9 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 54° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 11 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 58° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 12 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 1 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 2 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 3 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 4 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 5 PM | Good | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | nothing against it | |
| Wed 6 PM | Caution | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |
| Wed 7 PM | Caution | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 58° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 8 PM | Caution | 5 | 11 | 12 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 9 PM | Caution | 6 | 8 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 10 PM | Caution | 7 | 10 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 11 PM | Caution | 8 | 12 | 13 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 12 AM | Caution | 9 | 13 | 15 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 1 AM | Caution | 9 | 13 | 15 | 3% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 2 AM | Caution | 10 | 15 | 16 | 4% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 3 AM | Caution | 10 | 15 | 16 | 4% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 4 AM | Caution | 10 | 15 | 16 | 2% | 9 mi | 400 ft | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 5 AM | Caution | 10 | 15 | 17 | 1% | 9 mi | 400 ft | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Wed 12 PM to 7 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
- Thu 5 PM to 7 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sat 10 AM to 8 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sun 10 AM to 8 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 4 PM to 9 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 9 AM to 5 PM 8 hours, every hour within the rules
| Wed | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 65% | 6 mph | 2 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 13% | 0.00 in | 68% | 10 mph | 1 d | |
| Friday | Showers possible | 77% | 0.13 in | 75% | 13 mph | ||
| Saturday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 49% | 8 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Sunday | Dry | 22% | 0.00 in | 64% | 7 mph | 4 d | |
| Monday | Dry | 9% | 0.00 in | 52% | 10 mph | 3 d | |
| Tuesday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 45% | 9 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 50% | 6 mph | 1 d | Good |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | Poor | 2:44 AM to 4:44 AM3:13 PM to 5:13 PM | 11:12 AM to 12:12 PM8:09 PM to 9:09 PM | 83% | 6:54 AM, 6:41 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 3:44 AM to 5:44 AM4:15 PM to 6:15 PM | 12:26 PM to 1:26 PM9:01 PM to 10:01 PM | 74% | 6:56 AM, 6:40 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:46 AM to 6:46 AM5:18 PM to 7:18 PM | 1:32 PM to 2:32 PM10:05 PM to 11:05 PM | 64% | 6:57 AM, 6:38 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:49 AM to 7:49 AM6:19 PM to 8:19 PM | 2:26 PM to 3:26 PM11:18 PM to 12:18 AM | 54% | 6:58 AM, 6:36 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:49 AM to 8:49 AM7:17 PM to 9:17 PM | 3:08 PM to 4:08 PM | 43% | 6:59 AM, 6:35 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:45 AM to 9:45 AM8:11 PM to 10:11 PM | 12:34 AM to 1:34 AM3:42 PM to 4:42 PM | 33% | 7:00 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:37 AM to 10:37 AM9:01 PM to 11:01 PM | 1:51 AM to 2:51 AM4:09 PM to 5:09 PM | 23% | 7:01 AM, 6:31 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedToday66° · 1% · W 6 mph
Patchy fog before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. West wind around 6 mph.
Tonight55° · 4% · SW 3–10 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southwest wind 3 to 10 mph.
Thursday66° · 13% · SW 10 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Thursday Night59° · 12% · SW 9–16 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southwest wind 9 to 16 mph.
Friday65° · 77% · SW 8–14 mph
Rain showers after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind 8 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night45° · 77% · NW 9–16 mph
Rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Saturday59° · 4% · N 3–9 mph
Sunny, with a high near 59.
Saturday Night41° · 4% · E 3 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Sunday57° · 22% · S 3–7 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 57.
Sunday Night43° · 28% · SW 5–8 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday52° · 15% · W 10 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 52.
Monday Night32° · 6% · NW 9 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Tuesday47° · 5% · NW 9 mph
Sunny, with a high near 47.
Tuesday Night31° · 1% · W 2–6 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 31.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Binghamton, NY · issued Sep 30, 1:48 AM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
What Has Changed
No significant changes were made with the morning forecast package.
KEY Messages
1) High pressure continues today, with dry conditions expected.
2) A warm front brings chances for showers tomorrow morning, followed by a cold front with widepsread showers on Friday. Temperatures turn colder behind the front with frost possible across the north this weekend.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure conditions have begun to slowly erode away some cloud cover, which has blossomed fog in areas where skies have cleared. However, clouds will likely increase again today, and lasting through the day. Overall high pressure conditions will keep conditions dry, with very low to negligible chances for precipitation expected. Warm air advection from southwesterly flow will push temperatures into the 70s with upper 60s in the Catskills.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A weak warm front will cross through region late overnight tonight through tomorrow morning, which will bring a few light showers across the area, but nothing substantial. The next chance for more widespread rainfall will come on Friday, when the cold front crosses the region. Scattered showers are expected across the area on Friday, with rainfall amounts around a quarter to a half inch expected. The front exits the region Friday night with Canadian high pressure pushing in behind it. Temperatures will be 10 to 15 degrees cooler going into the weekend than tomorrow's and Friday's highs, which are forecasted to top out in the mid to upper 70s. Overnight lows could get into the low to mid 30s Saturday night across northern Oneida County, but there remains some uncertainty with cloud cover, as another system approaches by early Sunday morning.
There still remains some timing differences among model guidance runs on an upper trough/cold front dropping out of Canada Sunday into Monday, and low pressure tracking off the Mid Atlantic Coast to our south. With uncertainty remaining, we continued to utilize the NBM's solution for late weekend into early next week's forecast.
Aviation · 06Z Wednesday Through Sunday
Abundant low level moisture is bringing widespread restrictions to most of the Central NY terminals from fog and low stratus. As of 06Z, conditions are VFR around KAVP, but some patchy fog will also be possible there early this morning. Restrictions will linger until around 13Z across the area, before VFR conditions return area-wide.
Outlook...
Thursday..Morning fog in the favorable areas, especially at KELM will be possible, which will likely result in restrictions. Scattered showers developing across Central NY, which may bring occasional restrictions.
Friday...Scattered showers and associated restrictions possible.
Saturday through Saturday night...Mainly VFR.
Sunday...Scattered showers and associated restrictions possible.
BGM Watches / Warnings / Advisories
PA...None. NY...None.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 12:45 AM EDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS41 KBGM 300445 HWOBGM Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1245 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-010445- Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango- Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- 1245 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 2 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 3 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 4 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 5 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 6 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 7 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 8 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Fri Oct 20.10 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 3–Oct 4Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance below normalOct 5–Oct 9
- Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
- Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 7–Oct 13
- Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13
Drought
- Drought MonitorNo drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Lansing ManorThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 18 and the first fall freeze around October 2: a growing season of about 137 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 19; one spring in ten still has one after June 1.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 28 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 63° | 63° | 64° | 55° | 53° | 48° | 44° | 50° |
| Wind chill min | 45° | 40° | 40° | 32° | 27° | 27° | ||
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| Snow level min | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | |||
| Cloud ceiling min | 300 ft | 3,900 ft | ||||||
| Visibility min | 1.3 mi | 9 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 3,200 ft | 2,200 ft | 3,200 ft | 4,200 ft | 4,000 ft | 5,200 ft | 4,500 ft | |
| Transport wind max | 10 mph | 17 mph | 24 mph | 16 mph | 14 mph | 18 mph | 18 mph | |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 7 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph | 6 mph | 9 mph | 8 mph | |
| Davis stability index max | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Johnstown (NY0) · 43 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30 | 66° / 55° | — | 70° (2025) | 31° (2022) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 66° / 59° | — | 67° (2024) | 30° (2017) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 65° / 45° | — | 70° (2023) | 30° (2017) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 59° / 41° | — | 70° (2013) | 31° (2017) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 57° / 43° | — | 77° (2023) | 30° (2020) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 52° / 32° | — | 74° (2023) | 28° (2019) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 47° / 31° | — | 75° (2025) | 28° (2019) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 54° / 40° | — | 73° (2025) | 32° (2014) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:26 AM | 6:54 AM | 6:41 PM | 7:09 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 6:28 AM | 6:56 AM | 6:40 PM | 7:08 PM | 11 h 44 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 6:29 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:38 PM | 7:06 PM | 11 h 41 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:30 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:36 PM | 7:04 PM | 11 h 38 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 6:31 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:35 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 36 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:32 AM | 7:00 AM | 6:33 PM | 7:01 PM | 11 h 33 min | Waning crescent · 33% lit |
| Tue | 6:33 AM | 7:01 AM | 6:31 PM | 6:59 PM | 11 h 30 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:34 AM | 7:02 AM | 6:29 PM | 6:57 PM | 11 h 27 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from