Current weather · Oct 3, 4:10 AM EDT
42.1060, -76.8710
49°
- High
- 61°
- Low
- 43°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 7:07 AM
- Sunset
- 6:45 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 4 AM | 49° | 47° | 46° | 89% | 0% | NNW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 4% | — | 1.1 mi | |||||
| Sat 5 AM | 47° | 45° | 46° | 96% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 9 mph | 10% | — | 0.8 mi | |||||
| Sat 6 AM | 47° | 45° | 46° | 96% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 9 mph | 12% | — | 1.4 mi | |||||
| Sat 7 AM | 46° | 45° | 45° | 96% | 0% | NNW | 3 mph | 8 mph | 10% | — | 2.1 mi | |||||
| Sat 8 AM | 45° | 44° | 45° | 100% | 0% | N | 3 mph | 9 mph | 10% | — | 2.8 mi | |||||
| Sat 9 AM | 48° | 46° | 46° | 93% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 9 mph | 7% | — | 5 mi | |||||
| Sat 10 AM | 52° | 52° | 46° | 80% | 0% | N | 5 mph | 10 mph | 1% | — | 8 mi | |||||
| Sat 11 AM | 56° | 56° | 45° | 66% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 12 PM | 58° | 58° | 44° | 60% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 1 PM | 60° | 60° | 43° | 53% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 2 PM | 60° | 60° | 42° | 51% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 3 PM | 61° | 61° | 42° | 50% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 10 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 4 PM | 61° | 61° | 43° | 51% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 5 PM | 60° | 60° | 43° | 53% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Sat 6 PM | 58° | 58° | 44° | 60% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 7 PM | 55° | 55° | 44° | 66% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 PM | 52° | 52° | 45° | 77% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 PM | 51° | 51° | 45° | 80% | 0% | NNE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 PM | 49° | 49° | 44° | 83% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 3 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 11 PM | 47° | 47° | 43° | 86% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 12 AM | 46° | 46° | 43° | 89% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 1 AM | 46° | 46° | 43° | 89% | 0% | ENE | 1 mph | 2 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 2 AM | 45° | 45° | 43° | 93% | 0% | ESE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 3 AM | 45° | 45° | 43° | 93% | 0% | SE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 4 AM | 45° | 45° | 43° | 93% | 0% | SE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 23% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 5 AM | 44° | 42° | 43° | 96% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 29% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 6 AM | 46° | 45° | 44° | 93% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 28% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 7 AM | 46° | 44° | 44° | 93% | 0% | SE | 5 mph | 9 mph | 21% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 8 AM | 47° | 45° | 45° | 93% | 6% | SE | 5 mph | 10 mph | 33% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 9 AM | 50° | 48° | 47° | 89% | 6% | SE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 43% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 10 AM | 53° | 53° | 49° | 86% | 0% | SSE | 7 mph | 15 mph | 47% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 11 AM | 56° | 56° | 50° | 80% | 1% | SSE | 8 mph | 17 mph | 51% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 12 PM | 58° | 58° | 50° | 75% | 8% | SSE | 9 mph | 18 mph | 51% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 1 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 59° | 59° | 50° | 72% | 15% | S | 9 mph | 18 mph | 60% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 2 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 59° | 59° | 50° | 72% | 15% | S | 9 mph | 18 mph | 67% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 3 PM | 60° | 60° | 51° | 72% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 17 mph | 63% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 4 PM | 60° | 60° | 52° | 75% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 16 mph | 67% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 5 PM | 59° | 59° | 53° | 80% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 15 mph | 44% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 6 PM | 59° | 59° | 53° | 80% | 0% | S | 6 mph | 13 mph | 58% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 7 PM | 58° | 58° | 54° | 87% | 0% | S | 6 mph | 12 mph | 75% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 8 PM | 58° | 58° | 54° | 87% | 2% | S | 6 mph | 10 mph | 73% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 9 PM | 57° | 57° | 54° | 90% | 2% | S | 5 mph | 9 mph | 68% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 10 PM | 56° | 56° | 54° | 93% | 2% | SSW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 66% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 11 PM | 56° | 56° | 54° | 93% | 2% | SSW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 64% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 12 AM | 55° | 55° | 54° | 96% | 2% | SSW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 60% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 1 AM | 55° | 55° | 53° | 93% | 2% | SW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 55% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 2 AM | 54° | 54° | 53° | 96% | 1% | SW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 51% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 3 AM | 53° | 53° | 52° | 96% | 1% | WSW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 48% | — | — |
The next 8 days
NWS forecast grid published Oct 3, 2:30 AM EDT, daily figures derived from the hourly- TodayOct 361°43°Sunnywind 7 mph
- SunOct 460°50°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
- MonOct 559°38°Mostly Sunnywind 13 mph · gusts 24 mph
- TueOct 656°36°Sunnywind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- WedOct 764°45°Sunnywind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- ThuOct 866°46°Mostly Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
- FriOct 963°42°Mostly Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- SatOct 1064°48°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like47°
- WindNNW 5 mphgusts 9 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity89%
- Dew point46°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility1.1 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
- Moonrise11:59 PMMoonset 3:04 PM
- Moon phaseLast quarter54% lit
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Elmira / Corning (ELM) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sat Oct 10, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | 67° / 40° | 90° (1951) | 20° (2001) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 10 | 63° / 39° | 88° (1949) | 20° (2012) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 17 | 61° / 36° | 84° (1947) | 21° (1948) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 24 | 55° / 36° | 81° (2023) | 19° (1952) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 31 | 54° / 31° | 81° (2024) | 7° (1951) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 7 | 54° / 32° | 77° (1938) | 13° (2003) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 14 | 46° / 29° | 73° (1956) | 10° (1959) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 21 | 47° / 27° | 70° (2014) | -7° (1938) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 28 | 45° / 28° | 69° (2006) | -1° (2002) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 5 | 37° / 19° | 70° (1998) | -11° (1958) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 12 | 39° / 24° | 67° (2015) | -8° (2005) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 19 | 40° / 23° | 66° (2018) | -10° (1951) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 26 | 36° / 21° | 63° (2024) | -16° (1950) | no outlook | no outlook |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayVery goodlow visibility
- Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightGoodhumid
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hVery goodlow visibility
- Drivingnext 24 hVery goodlow visibility
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight: 4 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated good.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Good | 8:18 PM to 5:35 AM | 8 of 10 | 4 h from 8:00 PM | 50% | Poor | 6 h | 3 mph |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:17 PM to 5:36 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 39% | 9 h | 6 mph | |
| Monday | Good | 8:15 PM to 5:37 AM | 10 of 10 | 7 h from 8:00 PM | 29% | Fair | 9 mph | |
| Tuesday | Good | 8:13 PM to 5:38 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 20% | Fair | 1 h | 2 mph |
| Wednesday | Good | 8:11 PM to 5:39 AM | 6 of 10 | 6 h from 8:00 PM | 12% | Fair | 8 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:10 PM to 5:40 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 6% | 6 mph | ||
| Friday | Good | 8:08 PM to 5:42 AM | 4 of 10 | 4 h from 2:00 AM | 2% | Poor | 1 h | 6 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 6:39 AM to 6:50 AM | 6:50 AM to 7:44 AM | 6:08 PM to 7:03 PM | 7:03 PM to 7:13 PM |
| Sun | 6:40 AM to 6:51 AM | 6:51 AM to 7:45 AM | 6:07 PM to 7:01 PM | 7:01 PM to 7:12 PM |
| Mon | 6:41 AM to 6:52 AM | 6:52 AM to 7:46 AM | 6:05 PM to 6:59 PM | 6:59 PM to 7:10 PM |
| Tue | 6:42 AM to 6:53 AM | 6:53 AM to 7:47 AM | 6:03 PM to 6:58 PM | 6:58 PM to 7:08 PM |
| Wed | 6:43 AM to 6:54 AM | 6:54 AM to 7:49 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:56 PM | 6:56 PM to 7:07 PM |
| Thu | 6:44 AM to 6:55 AM | 6:55 AM to 7:50 AM | 6:00 PM to 6:54 PM | 6:54 PM to 7:05 PM |
| Fri | 6:45 AM to 6:56 AM | 6:56 AM to 7:51 AM | 5:58 PM to 6:53 PM | 6:53 PM to 7:03 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:07 AM, 95° E
- SS Sunset 6:45 PM, 265° W
- MR Moonrise 11:59 PM, 55° NE
- MS Moonset 3:04 PM, 307° NW
- Last quarter, 54% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: no-fly (visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sat 9 AM to 6 PM, 9 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:37 AM to sunrise 7:07 AM, and sunset 6:45 PM to 7:15 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sat | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 4 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 mi | 49° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 5 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 23 | 0% | 0.8 mi | 47° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 6 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 23 | 0% | 1.4 mi | 47° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 7 AM | No-fly | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0% | 2.1 mi | 46° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Sat 8 AM | No-fly | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0% | 2.8 mi | 45° | visibility under 3 miles (107.51) | ||
| Sat 9 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 5 mi | 48° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 10 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 12 | 0% | 8 mi | 52° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 11 AM | Good | 5 | 5 | 12 | 0% | 10 mi | 56° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 12 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 58° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 1 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 2 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 3 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 12 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 4 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 5 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | nothing against it | ||
| Sat 6 PM | Caution | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | 58° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 7 PM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 17 | 0% | 55° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 8 PM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 16 | 0% | 52° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 9 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 51° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 10 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 49° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 11 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 47° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 12 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 46° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 1 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0% | 46° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 2 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 45° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 3 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 45° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Sat 10 AM to 9 PM 11 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sun 5 PM to 7 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 11 PM to Tue 3 AM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 10 AM to 7 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 9 AM to 1 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 8 PM to Thu 3 AM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
- Thu 9 AM to 1 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
- Thu 5 PM to Fri 2 AM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
| Sat | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 50% | 6 mph | 8 d | Good |
| Sunday | Dry | 15% | 0.00 in | 72% | 9 mph | 7 d | |
| Monday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 45% | 13 mph | 6 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 42% | 7 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 44% | 9 mph | 4 d | Good |
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 48% | 8 mph | 3 d | Good |
| Friday | Dry | 8% | 0.00 in | 48% | 10 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Saturday | Dry | 2% | 0.00 in | 46% | 7 mph | 1 d | Good |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Friday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | Fair | 5:58 AM to 7:58 AM6:29 PM to 8:29 PM | 2:34 PM to 3:34 PM11:29 PM to 12:29 AM | 54% | 7:07 AM, 6:45 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:58 AM to 8:58 AM7:27 PM to 9:27 PM | 3:17 PM to 4:17 PM | 43% | 7:08 AM, 6:44 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:54 AM to 9:54 AM8:21 PM to 10:21 PM | 12:45 AM to 1:45 AM3:50 PM to 4:50 PM | 33% | 7:09 AM, 6:42 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:46 AM to 10:46 AM9:11 PM to 11:11 PM | 2:01 AM to 3:01 AM4:17 PM to 5:17 PM | 23% | 7:10 AM, 6:40 PM |
| Wed | Good | 9:35 AM to 11:35 AM9:58 PM to 11:58 PM | 3:15 AM to 4:15 AM4:41 PM to 5:41 PM | 15% | 7:11 AM, 6:39 PM |
| Thu | Good | 10:21 AM to 12:21 PM10:43 PM to 12:43 AM | 4:26 AM to 5:26 AM5:03 PM to 6:03 PM | 8% | 7:12 AM, 6:37 PM |
| Fri | Best | 11:06 AM to 1:06 PM | 5:36 AM to 6:36 AM5:24 PM to 6:24 PM | 3% | 7:13 AM, 6:35 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedOvernight44° · N 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 44. North wind around 5 mph.
Saturday61° · N 6 mph
Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind around 6 mph.
Saturday Night43° · NE 3 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Sunday60° · 15% · SE 3–9 mph
A slight chance of rain showers between 1pm and 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night50° · 2% · SW 6 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Monday59° · 1% · W 5–13 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.
Monday Night38° · 1% · NW 5–12 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Tuesday56° · NW 7 mph
Sunny, with a high near 56.
Tuesday Night36° · W 0–3 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 36.
Wednesday64° · S 2–9 mph
Sunny, with a high near 64.
Wednesday Night45° · SW 5–9 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
Thursday66° · SW 5–8 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.
Thursday Night46° · 4% · W 7 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Friday63° · 8% · W 5–10 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Binghamton, NY · issued Oct 3, 1:47 AM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
What Has Changed
No major changes made to the forecast.
KEY Messages
1) High pressure will bring dry and seasonable conditions through Sunday morning.
2) Rain chances remain low Sunday afternoon, before much colder air arrives early next week, with freezing temperatures possible Tuesday night.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...
High pressure builds over the Great Lakes this morning, allowing drier air to advect into the region. Any lingering showers will dissipate as clouds gradually move east and skies clear. Patchy fog may develop towards sunrise as winds become light, but should quickly burn off shorty after sunrise. Northwest flow has also ushered cooler air into the region, with temperatures starting out in the 40s this morning. Despite plenty of sunshine, highs will only climb into the 60s today. High pressure remains in control through Sunday morning, brining dry conditions and cooler than normal temperatures. A ridge begins to build into the region Sunday, allowing winds to veer to the south/southwest. Despite the shift in flow, temperatures will remain in the 60s across the area.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Model guidance shows two features moving east Sunday afternoon into Sunday night, with one passing through the Great Lakes into Canada and the other tracking along the eastern seaboard. Our area will remain between these features, which should limit precipitation development to mainly a low end chance of rain showers across eastern portions of the area. The shortwaves are forecast to phase well east of the region Sunday night into Monday, generating a surface low off the New England coast that will track into Canada. Confidence continues to increase that widespread rain will not develop Sunday.
A cold front will move through Monday, ushering in the coldest air mass of the season so far. Temperatures at 850 mb near 0C combined with relatively warm lake temperatures will support lake effect clouds and a few isolated rain showers, while continued CAA will keep temperatures well below average through Tuesday. Highs Monday will generally reach the upper 50s with lower 60s in the valleys of the Southern Tier, NEPA and Catskills, followed by highs mainly in the low to mid 50s Tuesday. Overnight lows will fall into the low to mid 30s Monday and Tuesday nights, with some locations potentially reaching freezing, especially Tuesday night. Those with sensitive outdoor vegetation should take appropriate precautions. By Wednesday, the ridge axis will shift east and southwest flow will return, beginning a warming trend that should bring temperatures back toward average by the end of the week, with dry conditions prevailing.
Aviation · 06Z Saturday Through Wednesday
Mainly VFR flight conditions through the day today with clearing skies behind a passing cold front on Friday. The exception to this will be the potential for IFR VSBY conditions at ELM if winds weaken enough, allowing fog to develop. An area of high pressure will build across the region through Sunday morning. Light winds will remain mostly out of the northwest to north through early this afternoon, shifting more toward the northeast later in the afternoon. Wind speeds are expected to remain below 10 kts today.
Tonight, mainly VFR conditions continue, with valley fog restrictions possible at ELM.
Outlook...
Sunday through Wendesday...Mainly VFR, though valley fog restrictions possible at KELM early Sunday.
BGM Watches / Warnings / Advisories
PA...None. NY...None.
Hazardous weather outlook Oct 3, 12:26 AM EDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS41 KBGM 030426 HWOBGM Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1226 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043- 044-047-048-072-040430- Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben- Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango- Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna- Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne- 1226 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and northeast Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Reading the outlooks…
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, ElmiraThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 11: a growing season of about 158 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 29; one spring in ten still has one after May 21.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 28 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 58° | 58° | 55° | 51° | 58° | 61° | 59° | 59° |
| Wind chill min | 44° | 42° | 42° | 34° | 36° | 44° | 45° | 41° |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
| Snow level min | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | 13,000 ft | |||
| Visibility min | 0.8 mi | |||||||
| Mixing height max | 4,000 ft | 3,000 ft | 7,200 ft | 5,100 ft | 3,500 ft | 5,700 ft | 4,600 ft | |
| Transport wind max | 12 mph | 17 mph | 22 mph | 14 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph | |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 6 mph | 8 mph | 12 mph | 7 mph | 8 mph | 7 mph | 9 mph | |
| Davis stability index max | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Elmira / Corning (ELM) · 3.8 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 | 61° / 43° | 67° / 43° | 87° (1951) | 27° (2003) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 60° / 50° | 67° / 43° | 85° (2017) | 25° (1948) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 59° / 38° | 65° / 40° | 90° (1951) | 27° (2014) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 56° / 36° | 67° / 40° | 86° (2007) | 23° (1958) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 64° / 45° | 66° / 43° | 89° (1946) | 25° (1938) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 66° / 46° | 67° / 40° | 86° (2007) | 22° (1938) |
| Fri Oct 9 | 63° / 42° | 67° / 42° | 86° (1949) | 20° (2001) |
| Sat Oct 10 | 64° / 48° | 67° / 40° | 88° (1949) | 26° (2025) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 6:39 AM | 7:07 AM | 6:45 PM | 7:13 PM | 11 h 38 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 6:40 AM | 7:08 AM | 6:44 PM | 7:12 PM | 11 h 36 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:41 AM | 7:09 AM | 6:42 PM | 7:10 PM | 11 h 33 min | Waning crescent · 33% lit |
| Tue | 6:42 AM | 7:10 AM | 6:40 PM | 7:08 PM | 11 h 30 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:43 AM | 7:11 AM | 6:39 PM | 7:07 PM | 11 h 28 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
| Thu | 6:44 AM | 7:12 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:05 PM | 11 h 25 min | Waning crescent · 8% lit |
| Fri | 6:45 AM | 7:13 AM | 6:35 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 22 min | Waning crescent · 3% lit |
| Sat | 6:46 AM | 7:14 AM | 6:34 PM | 7:02 PM | 11 h 20 min | New moon · 1% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from