Current weather · Oct 3, 4:10 AM EDT

42.1060, -76.8710

49°

ClearFeels like 47° · Humidity 89%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Binghamton, NY · grid 34,53
High
61°
Low
43°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:07 AM
Sunset
6:45 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 4 AM49°47°46°89%0%NNW5 mph9 mph4%—1.1 mi
Sat 5 AM47°45°46°96%0%N5 mph9 mph10%—0.8 mi
Sat 6 AM47°45°46°96%0%N5 mph9 mph12%—1.4 mi
Sat 7 AM46°45°45°96%0%NNW3 mph8 mph10%—2.1 mi
Sat 8 AM45°44°45°100%0%N3 mph9 mph10%—2.8 mi
Sat 9 AM48°46°46°93%0%N5 mph9 mph7%—5 mi
Sat 10 AM52°52°46°80%0%N5 mph10 mph1%—8 mi
Sat 11 AM56°56°45°66%0%NNE5 mph12 mph2%—10 mi
Sat 12 PM58°58°44°60%0%NNE6 mph12 mph2%—10 mi
Sat 1 PM60°60°43°53%0%NNE6 mph12 mph2%—10 mi
Sat 2 PM60°60°42°51%0%NNE6 mph12 mph3%—10 mi
Sat 3 PM61°61°42°50%0%NNE6 mph10 mph2%—10 mi
Sat 4 PM61°61°43°51%0%NNE5 mph9 mph1%—10 mi
Sat 5 PM60°60°43°53%0%NNE5 mph8 mph2%—10 mi
Sat 6 PM58°58°44°60%0%NNE3 mph7 mph1%——
Sat 7 PM55°55°44°66%0%NNE3 mph7 mph2%——
Sat 8 PM52°52°45°77%0%NNE3 mph6 mph2%——
Sat 9 PM51°51°45°80%0%NNE2 mph5 mph3%——
Sat 10 PM49°49°44°83%0%N2 mph3 mph2%——
Sat 11 PM47°47°43°86%0%NNE1 mph3 mph2%——
Sun 12 AM46°46°43°89%0%NNE1 mph3 mph4%——
Sun 1 AM46°46°43°89%0%ENE1 mph2 mph3%——
Sun 2 AM45°45°43°93%0%ESE1 mph3 mph3%——
Sun 3 AM45°45°43°93%0%SE2 mph3 mph3%——
Sun 4 AM45°45°43°93%0%SE2 mph5 mph23%——
Sun 5 AM44°42°43°96%0%SE3 mph7 mph29%——
Sun 6 AM46°45°44°93%0%SE3 mph8 mph28%——
Sun 7 AM46°44°44°93%0%SE5 mph9 mph21%——
Sun 8 AM47°45°45°93%6%SE5 mph10 mph33%——
Sun 9 AM50°48°47°89%6%SE6 mph12 mph43%——
Sun 10 AM53°53°49°86%0%SSE7 mph15 mph47%——
Sun 11 AM56°56°50°80%1%SSE8 mph17 mph51%——
Sun 12 PM58°58°50°75%8%SSE9 mph18 mph51%——
Sun 1 PMSlight chance of light rain showers59°59°50°72%15%S9 mph18 mph60%——
Sun 2 PMSlight chance of light rain showers59°59°50°72%15%S9 mph18 mph67%——
Sun 3 PM60°60°51°72%0%S8 mph17 mph63%——
Sun 4 PM60°60°52°75%0%S8 mph16 mph67%——
Sun 5 PM59°59°53°80%0%S7 mph15 mph44%——
Sun 6 PM59°59°53°80%0%S6 mph13 mph58%——
Sun 7 PM58°58°54°87%0%S6 mph12 mph75%——
Sun 8 PM58°58°54°87%2%S6 mph10 mph73%——
Sun 9 PM57°57°54°90%2%S5 mph9 mph68%——
Sun 10 PM56°56°54°93%2%SSW5 mph8 mph66%——
Sun 11 PM56°56°54°93%2%SSW5 mph8 mph64%——
Mon 12 AM55°55°54°96%2%SSW5 mph8 mph60%——
Mon 1 AM55°55°53°93%2%SW5 mph8 mph55%——
Mon 2 AM54°54°53°96%1%SW5 mph8 mph51%——
Mon 3 AM53°53°52°96%1%WSW5 mph8 mph48%——

The next 8 days

NWS forecast grid published Oct 3, 2:30 AM EDT, daily figures derived from the hourly
  1. TodayOct 361°43°Sunny0%wind 7 mph
  2. SunOct 460°50°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers15%wind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  3. MonOct 559°38°Mostly Sunny2%wind 13 mph · gusts 24 mph
  4. TueOct 656°36°Sunny0%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. WedOct 764°45°Sunny0%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  6. ThuOct 866°46°Mostly Sunny4%wind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
  7. FriOct 963°42°Mostly Sunny8%wind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
  8. SatOct 1064°48°4%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like47°
  • WindNNW 5 mphgusts 9 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity89%
  • Dew point46°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility1.1 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise11:59 PMMoonset 3:04 PM
  • Moon phaseLast quarter54% lit

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Elmira / Corning (ELM) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sat Oct 10, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

-20°0°20°40°60°80°TodayNov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Oct 367° / 40°90° (1951)20° (2001)no outlookno outlook
Oct 1063° / 39°88° (1949)20° (2012)no outlookno outlook
Oct 1761° / 36°84° (1947)21° (1948)no outlookno outlook
Oct 2455° / 36°81° (2023)19° (1952)no outlookno outlook
Oct 3154° / 31°81° (2024)7° (1951)no outlookno outlook
Nov 754° / 32°77° (1938)13° (2003)no outlookno outlook
Nov 1446° / 29°73° (1956)10° (1959)no outlookno outlook
Nov 2147° / 27°70° (2014)-7° (1938)no outlookno outlook
Nov 2845° / 28°69° (2006)-1° (2002)no outlookno outlook
Dec 537° / 19°70° (1998)-11° (1958)no outlookno outlook
Dec 1239° / 24°67° (2015)-8° (2005)no outlookno outlook
Dec 1940° / 23°66° (2018)-10° (1951)no outlookno outlook
Dec 2636° / 21°63° (2024)-16° (1950)no outlookno outlook

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayVery goodlow visibility
  • Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodhumid

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hVery goodlow visibility
  • Drivingnext 24 hVery goodlow visibility

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight: 4 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated good.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayGood8:18 PM to 5:35 AM8 of 104 h from 8:00 PM50%Poor6 h3 mph
SundayPoor8:17 PM to 5:36 AM0 of 10None39%9 h6 mph
MondayGood8:15 PM to 5:37 AM10 of 107 h from 8:00 PM29%Fair9 mph
TuesdayGood8:13 PM to 5:38 AM10 of 1010 h from 8:00 PM20%Fair1 h2 mph
WednesdayGood8:11 PM to 5:39 AM6 of 106 h from 8:00 PM12%Fair8 mph
ThursdayPoor8:10 PM to 5:40 AM0 of 10None6%6 mph
FridayGood8:08 PM to 5:42 AM4 of 104 h from 2:00 AM2%Poor1 h6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:39 AM to 6:50 AM6:50 AM to 7:44 AM6:08 PM to 7:03 PM7:03 PM to 7:13 PM
Sun6:40 AM to 6:51 AM6:51 AM to 7:45 AM6:07 PM to 7:01 PM7:01 PM to 7:12 PM
Mon6:41 AM to 6:52 AM6:52 AM to 7:46 AM6:05 PM to 6:59 PM6:59 PM to 7:10 PM
Tue6:42 AM to 6:53 AM6:53 AM to 7:47 AM6:03 PM to 6:58 PM6:58 PM to 7:08 PM
Wed6:43 AM to 6:54 AM6:54 AM to 7:49 AM6:01 PM to 6:56 PM6:56 PM to 7:07 PM
Thu6:44 AM to 6:55 AM6:55 AM to 7:50 AM6:00 PM to 6:54 PM6:54 PM to 7:05 PM
Fri6:45 AM to 6:56 AM6:56 AM to 7:51 AM5:58 PM to 6:53 PM6:53 PM to 7:03 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:07 AM, 95° E
  • SS Sunset 6:45 PM, 265° W
  • MR Moonrise 11:59 PM, 55° NE
  • MS Moonset 3:04 PM, 307° NW
  • Last quarter, 54% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sat 9 AM to 6 PM, 9 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:37 AM to sunrise 7:07 AM, and sunset 6:45 PM to 7:15 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 4 AMNo-fly518230%1.1 mi49°visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 5 AMNo-fly518230%0.8 mi47°visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 6 AMNo-fly518230%1.4 mi47°visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 7 AMNo-fly3490%2.1 mi46°visibility under 3 miles (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sat 8 AMNo-fly34100%2.8 mi45°visibility under 3 miles (107.51)
Sat 9 AMGood56110%5 mi48°nothing against it
Sat 10 AMGood56120%8 mi52°nothing against it
Sat 11 AMGood55120%10 mi56°nothing against it
Sat 12 PMGood67130%10 mi58°nothing against it
Sat 1 PMGood67130%10 mi60°nothing against it
Sat 2 PMGood67130%10 mi60°nothing against it
Sat 3 PMGood67120%10 mi61°nothing against it
Sat 4 PMGood56110%10 mi61°nothing against it
Sat 5 PMGood5690%10 mi60°nothing against it
Sat 6 PMCaution3480%58°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sat 7 PMCaution314170%55°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 8 PMCaution314160%52°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMCaution29110%51°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMCaution29100%49°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMCaution1570%47°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMCaution1570%46°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMCaution1560%46°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMCaution1570%45°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMCaution29100%45°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 10 AM to 9 PM 11 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 5 PM to 7 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 11 PM to Tue 3 AM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 10 AM to 7 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 9 AM to 1 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 8 PM to Thu 3 AM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 9 AM to 1 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 5 PM to Fri 2 AM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in50%6 mph8 dGood
SundayDry15%0.00 in72%9 mph7 d
MondayDry1%0.00 in45%13 mph6 dGood
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in42%7 mph5 dGood
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in44%9 mph4 dGood
ThursdayDry0%0.00 in48%8 mph3 dGood
FridayDry8%0.00 in48%10 mph2 dGood
SaturdayDry2%0.00 in46%7 mph1 dGood

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Friday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Fair5:58 AM to 7:58 AM6:29 PM to 8:29 PM2:34 PM to 3:34 PM11:29 PM to 12:29 AM 54%7:07 AM, 6:45 PM
Sun Fair6:58 AM to 8:58 AM7:27 PM to 9:27 PM3:17 PM to 4:17 PM 43%7:08 AM, 6:44 PM
Mon Fair7:54 AM to 9:54 AM8:21 PM to 10:21 PM12:45 AM to 1:45 AM3:50 PM to 4:50 PM 33%7:09 AM, 6:42 PM
Tue Poor8:46 AM to 10:46 AM9:11 PM to 11:11 PM2:01 AM to 3:01 AM4:17 PM to 5:17 PM 23%7:10 AM, 6:40 PM
Wed Good9:35 AM to 11:35 AM9:58 PM to 11:58 PM3:15 AM to 4:15 AM4:41 PM to 5:41 PM 15%7:11 AM, 6:39 PM
Thu Good10:21 AM to 12:21 PM10:43 PM to 12:43 AM4:26 AM to 5:26 AM5:03 PM to 6:03 PM 8%7:12 AM, 6:37 PM
Fri Best11:06 AM to 1:06 PM5:36 AM to 6:36 AM5:24 PM to 6:24 PM 3%7:13 AM, 6:35 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight44° · N 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 44. North wind around 5 mph.

  2. Saturday61° · N 6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind around 6 mph.

  3. Saturday Night43° · NE 3 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Northeast wind around 3 mph.

  4. Sunday60° · 15% · SE 3–9 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers between 1pm and 3pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  5. Sunday Night50° · 2% · SW 6 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 6 mph.

  6. Monday59° · 1% · W 5–13 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.

  7. Monday Night38° · 1% · NW 5–12 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 38.

  8. Tuesday56° · NW 7 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 56.

  9. Tuesday Night36° · W 0–3 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 36.

  10. Wednesday64° · S 2–9 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 64.

  11. Wednesday Night45° · SW 5–9 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 45.

  12. Thursday66° · SW 5–8 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

  13. Thursday Night46° · 4% · W 7 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

  14. Friday63° · 8% · W 5–10 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Binghamton, NY · issued Oct 3, 1:47 AM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

No major changes made to the forecast.

KEY Messages

1) High pressure will bring dry and seasonable conditions through Sunday morning.

2) Rain chances remain low Sunday afternoon, before much colder air arrives early next week, with freezing temperatures possible Tuesday night.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure builds over the Great Lakes this morning, allowing drier air to advect into the region. Any lingering showers will dissipate as clouds gradually move east and skies clear. Patchy fog may develop towards sunrise as winds become light, but should quickly burn off shorty after sunrise. Northwest flow has also ushered cooler air into the region, with temperatures starting out in the 40s this morning. Despite plenty of sunshine, highs will only climb into the 60s today. High pressure remains in control through Sunday morning, brining dry conditions and cooler than normal temperatures. A ridge begins to build into the region Sunday, allowing winds to veer to the south/southwest. Despite the shift in flow, temperatures will remain in the 60s across the area.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

Model guidance shows two features moving east Sunday afternoon into Sunday night, with one passing through the Great Lakes into Canada and the other tracking along the eastern seaboard. Our area will remain between these features, which should limit precipitation development to mainly a low end chance of rain showers across eastern portions of the area. The shortwaves are forecast to phase well east of the region Sunday night into Monday, generating a surface low off the New England coast that will track into Canada. Confidence continues to increase that widespread rain will not develop Sunday.

A cold front will move through Monday, ushering in the coldest air mass of the season so far. Temperatures at 850 mb near 0C combined with relatively warm lake temperatures will support lake effect clouds and a few isolated rain showers, while continued CAA will keep temperatures well below average through Tuesday. Highs Monday will generally reach the upper 50s with lower 60s in the valleys of the Southern Tier, NEPA and Catskills, followed by highs mainly in the low to mid 50s Tuesday. Overnight lows will fall into the low to mid 30s Monday and Tuesday nights, with some locations potentially reaching freezing, especially Tuesday night. Those with sensitive outdoor vegetation should take appropriate precautions. By Wednesday, the ridge axis will shift east and southwest flow will return, beginning a warming trend that should bring temperatures back toward average by the end of the week, with dry conditions prevailing.

Aviation · 06Z Saturday Through Wednesday

Mainly VFR flight conditions through the day today with clearing skies behind a passing cold front on Friday. The exception to this will be the potential for IFR VSBY conditions at ELM if winds weaken enough, allowing fog to develop. An area of high pressure will build across the region through Sunday morning. Light winds will remain mostly out of the northwest to north through early this afternoon, shifting more toward the northeast later in the afternoon. Wind speeds are expected to remain below 10 kts today.

Tonight, mainly VFR conditions continue, with valley fog restrictions possible at ELM.

Outlook...

Sunday through Wendesday...Mainly VFR, though valley fog restrictions possible at KELM early Sunday.

BGM Watches / Warnings / Advisories

PA...None. NY...None.

Hazardous weather outlook Oct 3, 12:26 AM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS41 KBGM 030426
HWOBGM

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1226 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-
044-047-048-072-040430-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-
Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
1226 AM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and 
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Reading the outlooks…

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Elmira

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 11: a growing season of about 158 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 29; one spring in ten still has one after May 21.

Climate of 42.11, -76.87: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 28 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max58°58°55°51°58°61°59°59°
Wind chill min44°42°42°34°36°44°45°41°
Chance of thunder max0%0%1%0%0%3%4%2%
Snow level min13,000 ft13,000 ft13,000 ft13,000 ft13,000 ft
Visibility min0.8 mi
Mixing height max4,000 ft3,000 ft7,200 ft5,100 ft3,500 ft5,700 ft4,600 ft
Transport wind max12 mph17 mph22 mph14 mph15 mph15 mph15 mph
Twenty-foot wind max6 mph8 mph12 mph7 mph8 mph7 mph9 mph
Davis stability index max2133122

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Elmira / Corning (ELM) · 3.8 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Oct 361° / 43°67° / 43°87° (1951)27° (2003)
Sun Oct 460° / 50°67° / 43°85° (2017)25° (1948)
Mon Oct 559° / 38°65° / 40°90° (1951)27° (2014)
Tue Oct 656° / 36°67° / 40°86° (2007)23° (1958)
Wed Oct 764° / 45°66° / 43°89° (1946)25° (1938)
Thu Oct 866° / 46°67° / 40°86° (2007)22° (1938)
Fri Oct 963° / 42°67° / 42°86° (1949)20° (2001)
Sat Oct 1064° / 48°67° / 40°88° (1949)26° (2025)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:39 AM7:07 AM6:45 PM7:13 PM11 h 38 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun6:40 AM7:08 AM6:44 PM7:12 PM11 h 36 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:41 AM7:09 AM6:42 PM7:10 PM11 h 33 min Waning crescent · 33% lit
Tue6:42 AM7:10 AM6:40 PM7:08 PM11 h 30 min Waning crescent · 23% lit
Wed6:43 AM7:11 AM6:39 PM7:07 PM11 h 28 min Waning crescent · 15% lit
Thu6:44 AM7:12 AM6:37 PM7:05 PM11 h 25 min Waning crescent · 8% lit
Fri6:45 AM7:13 AM6:35 PM7:03 PM11 h 22 min Waning crescent · 3% lit
Sat6:46 AM7:14 AM6:34 PM7:02 PM11 h 20 min New moon · 1% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from