Current weather · Sep 26, 2:15 AM PDT

42.0810, -122.7160

39°

Mostly CloudyFeels like 34° · Humidity 75%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Medford, OR · grid 108,61
High
54°
Low
42°
Rain today
1%
Sunrise
7:03 AM
Sunset
7:01 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 2 AM39°34°32°75%0%N7 mph10 mph53%——
Sat 3 AM39°34°31°73%0%N7 mph10 mph64%——
Sat 4 AM38°33°29°70%0%N7 mph10 mph53%——
Sat 5 AM38°32°29°69%0%ENE9 mph14 mph54%——
Sat 6 AM38°32°27°64%0%ENE9 mph14 mph50%——
Sat 7 AM37°30°27°66%0%ENE9 mph14 mph38%——
Sat 8 AM38°32°27°65%0%E8 mph12 mph25%——
Sat 9 AM41°36°28°59%0%E8 mph12 mph31%——
Sat 10 AM44°39°28°53%0%E8 mph12 mph17%——
Sat 11 AM46°42°28°49%0%ESE7 mph10 mph8%——
Sat 12 PM49°46°32°51%0%ESE7 mph10 mph20%——
Sat 1 PM51°51°31°47%0%ESE7 mph10 mph35%——
Sat 2 PM53°53°31°43%0%SE3 mph7 mph34%——
Sat 3 PM53°53°31°43%0%SE3 mph7 mph40%——
Sat 4 PM53°53°32°44%0%SE3 mph7 mph54%——
Sat 5 PM53°53°33°47%1%NNW7 mph10 mph44%——
Sat 6 PM51°51°34°53%1%NNW7 mph10 mph26%——
Sat 7 PM49°46°36°60%1%NNW7 mph10 mph19%——
Sat 8 PM48°45°36°62%1%NNW6 mph9 mph25%——
Sat 9 PM45°42°33°62%1%NNW6 mph9 mph31%——
Sat 10 PM44°41°32°62%1%NNW6 mph9 mph50%——
Sat 11 PM44°41°32°62%1%NNW5 mph8 mph47%——
Sun 12 AM44°41°30°58%1%NNW5 mph8 mph50%——
Sun 1 AM44°41°30°57%1%NNW5 mph8 mph50%——
Sun 2 AM44°42°29°55%1%NNE3 mph7 mph60%——
Sun 3 AM44°42°29°55%1%NNE3 mph7 mph56%——
Sun 4 AM43°41°27°54%1%NNE3 mph7 mph65%——
Sun 5 AM43°41°28°55%0%NNE3 mph7 mph45%——
Sun 6 AM44°42°28°52%0%NNE3 mph7 mph43%——
Sun 7 AM43°41°28°55%0%NNE3 mph7 mph38%——
Sun 8 AM42°40°27°55%0%NE3 mph7 mph20%——
Sun 9 AM45°44°28°52%0%NE3 mph7 mph3%——
Sun 10 AM47°46°29°49%0%NE3 mph7 mph8%——
Sun 11 AM48°46°28°46%0%N5 mph8 mph49%——
Sun 12 PM50°48°32°50%0%N5 mph8 mph49%——
Sun 1 PM51°51°31°47%0%N5 mph8 mph49%——
Sun 2 PM52°52°31°44%2%NNW8 mph13 mph55%——
Sun 3 PM52°52°31°44%3%NNW8 mph13 mph55%——
Sun 4 PM53°53°33°46%4%NNW8 mph13 mph55%——
Sun 5 PM52°52°33°49%4%NNW10 mph16 mph27%——
Sun 6 PM51°51°35°55%4%NNW10 mph16 mph27%——
Sun 7 PM48°43°34°59%4%NNW10 mph16 mph27%——
Sun 8 PM45°39°33°62%4%NNW12 mph17 mph20%——
Sun 9 PM44°38°32°63%4%NNW12 mph17 mph20%——
Sun 10 PM43°37°31°63%4%NNW12 mph17 mph20%——
Sun 11 PM42°38°30°62%0%NNW6 mph9 mph4%——
Mon 12 AM42°38°30°61%0%NNW6 mph9 mph4%——
Mon 1 AM42°38°29°59%0%NNW6 mph9 mph4%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 1:41 AM PDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2654°42°Mostly Sunny1%wind 9 mph
  2. SunSep 2753°41°Mostly Sunny4%wind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  3. MonSep 2855°41°Sunny0%wind 8 mph
  4. TueSep 2956°42°Sunny1%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. WedSep 3055°44°Sunny1%wind 6 mph
  6. ThuOct 153°41°Mostly Sunny1%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. FriOct 252°42°Sunny2%wind 8 mph
  8. SatOct 359°48°1%wind 8 mph
  9. SunOct 461°49°National Blend2%wind 14 mph
  10. MonOct 560°48°National Blend5%0.06 inwind 12 mph
  11. TueOct 6~77°54°Model mean
  12. WedOct 7~80°55°Model mean
  13. ThuOct 8~78°56°Model mean
  14. FriOct 9~78°55°Model mean
  15. SatOct 10~78°55°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~80°60°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like34°
  • WindN 7 mphgusts 10 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity75%
  • Dew point32°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise6:51 PMMoonset 7:04 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2653°41°NWS grid 54° / 42°rain 1%wind 8 mph
  2. SunSep 2752°39°NWS grid 53° / 41°rain 2%wind 8 mph
  3. MonSep 2853°41°NWS grid 55° / 41°rain 0%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  4. TueSep 2956°42°NWS grid 56° / 42°rain 1%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. WedSep 3055°44°NWS grid 55° / 44°rain 3%wind 6 mph
  6. ThuOct 153°41°NWS grid 53° / 41°rain 2%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. FriOct 252°42°NWS grid 52° / 42°rain 1%wind 8 mph
  8. SatOct 359°48°NWS grid 59° / 48°rain 0%wind 8 mph
  9. SunOct 461°49°Beyond the NWS gridrain 2%wind 14 mph
  10. MonOct 560°48°Beyond the NWS gridrain 5%0.06 inwind 12 mph
  11. TueOct 658°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 8%0.01 inwind 8 mph
32°46°59°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 25, 11:00 PM PDT · GFS Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT · GEFS Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT · ECMWF Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT · ECMWF AI Sep 25, 5:00 PM PDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°59°86°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2654° 42°59° 38°67° 39°73° 39°65° 39°~65° 38°
Sun Sep 2753° 41°57° 42°69° 45°70° 42°66° 44°~62° 44°0.02 in
Mon Sep 2855° 41°—71° 43°69° 39°63° 42°~66° 40°
Tue Sep 2956° 42°—74° 46°75° 42°74° 49°~71° 43°
Wed Sep 3055° 44°—76° 45°76° 43°75° 46°~75° 45°
Thu Oct 153° 41°—77° 48°76° 46°77° 52°~75° 48°
Fri Oct 252° 42°—77° 49°72° 46°~76° 56°~73° 49°
Sat Oct 359° 48°—77° 48°77° 44°~81° 61°~78° 47°
Sun Oct 4——83° 52°83° 48°~83° 63°~79° 51°
Mon Oct 5——87° 57°84° 51°~81° 61°~75° 49°
Tue Oct 6——~75° 55°—~77° 60°~78° 48°
Wed Oct 7——~82° 55°—~78° 60°~79° 51°
Thu Oct 8——~84° 59°—~78° 58°~71° 50°
Fri Oct 9——~86° 60°—~79° 60°~68° 46°
Sat Oct 10——~84° 61°—~81° 61°~69° 44°
Sun Oct 11——~80° 60°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Medford/Jackson Co. (MFR) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%60%warmer 33% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2681° / 49°104° (1963)29° (1950)no outlookno outlook
Oct 376° / 44°97° (1980)25° (1985)60% chance above normal · days 8 to 1433% chance below normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1073° / 42°94° (1991)26° (1966)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1769° / 41°87° (1936)20° (1949)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2464° / 38°88° (2003)18° (1971)33% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 3160° / 38°80° (1929)19° (2002)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 755° / 37°76° (2025)10° (1978)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1454° / 36°69° (1999)11° (1978)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2150° / 35°72° (2017)16° (1929)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2847° / 34°68° (1979)15° (1952)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 548° / 32°69° (1993)-6° (1972)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1244° / 32°72° (1962)8° (1932)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1946° / 30°66° (1964)-4° (1990)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayPoorcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayVery goodcold
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayLowcool
  • TickstodayModeratewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayLowcool

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor8:34 PM to 5:30 AM0 of 9None100%6 mph
SundayFair8:32 PM to 5:31 AM9 of 9None97%Good12 mph
MondayFair8:30 PM to 5:33 AM10 of 10None93%Good6 mph
TuesdayFair8:29 PM to 5:34 AM10 of 10None87%Good6 mph
WednesdayFair8:27 PM to 5:35 AM3 of 101 h from 8:00 PM79%Fair6 mph
ThursdayFair8:25 PM to 5:36 AM10 of 102 h from 8:00 PM69%Good8 mph
FridayGood8:23 PM to 5:37 AM10 of 103 h from 8:00 PM59%Good8 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:35 AM to 6:46 AM6:46 AM to 7:40 AM6:24 PM to 7:18 PM7:18 PM to 7:29 PM
Sun6:36 AM to 6:47 AM6:47 AM to 7:41 AM6:22 PM to 7:16 PM7:16 PM to 7:27 PM
Mon6:37 AM to 6:48 AM6:48 AM to 7:42 AM6:20 PM to 7:14 PM7:14 PM to 7:25 PM
Tue6:38 AM to 6:49 AM6:49 AM to 7:43 AM6:19 PM to 7:13 PM7:13 PM to 7:23 PM
Wed6:39 AM to 6:50 AM6:50 AM to 7:44 AM6:17 PM to 7:11 PM7:11 PM to 7:22 PM
Thu6:40 AM to 6:51 AM6:51 AM to 7:45 AM6:15 PM to 7:09 PM7:09 PM to 7:20 PM
Fri6:41 AM to 6:52 AM6:52 AM to 7:46 AM6:13 PM to 7:07 PM7:07 PM to 7:18 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:03 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 7:01 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:51 PM, 81° E
  • MS Moonset 7:04 AM, 274° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sat 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:33 AM to sunrise 7:03 AM, and sunset 7:01 PM to 7:31 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 2 AMCaution710130%39°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 3 AMCaution710130%39°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 4 AMCaution710130%38°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 5 AMCaution913180%38°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 6 AMCaution913180%38°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 7 AMCaution912160%37°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sat 8 AMGood810140%38°nothing against it
Sat 9 AMGood810140%41°nothing against it
Sat 10 AMGood810140%44°nothing against it
Sat 11 AMGood78120%46°nothing against it
Sat 12 PMGood78120%49°nothing against it
Sat 1 PMGood78120%51°nothing against it
Sat 2 PMGood3480%53°nothing against it
Sat 3 PMGood3480%53°nothing against it
Sat 4 PMGood3480%53°nothing against it
Sat 5 PMGood79121%53°nothing against it
Sat 6 PMGood79121%51°nothing against it
Sat 7 PMCaution717201%49°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 8 PMNo-fly623261%48°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMNo-fly623261%45°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMCaution614171%44°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMCaution518221%44°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMCaution511141%44°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMCaution511141%44°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 2 AM to Sun 5 PM 39 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 11 PM to Mon 11 AM 12 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 2 PM to Tue 11 AM 21 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 5 PM to Wed 11 AM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 5 PM to Thu 11 AM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 5 PM to Fri 11 AM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 5 PM to Sat 2 PM 21 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry1%0.00 in43%8 mph8 dGood
SundayDry4%0.00 in44%10 mph7 dGood
MondayDry0%0.00 in40%8 mph6 dGood
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in34%6 mph5 dGood
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in47%5 mph4 d
ThursdayDry1%0.00 in49%7 mph3 dGood
FridayDry2%0.00 in46%5 mph2 d
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in29%6 mph1 dGood

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:41 PM to 1:41 AM12:03 PM to 2:03 PM6:34 AM to 7:34 AM6:21 PM to 7:21 PM 100%7:03 AM, 7:01 PM
Sun Best12:27 AM to 2:27 AM12:50 PM to 2:50 PM7:45 AM to 8:45 AM6:45 PM to 7:45 PM 98%7:04 AM, 6:59 PM
Mon Good1:15 AM to 3:15 AM1:41 PM to 3:41 PM9:00 AM to 10:00 AM7:13 PM to 8:13 PM 95%7:05 AM, 6:57 PM
Tue Good2:07 AM to 4:07 AM2:35 PM to 4:35 PM10:16 AM to 11:16 AM7:46 PM to 8:46 PM 89%7:06 AM, 6:56 PM
Wed Poor3:04 AM to 5:04 AM3:34 PM to 5:34 PM11:34 AM to 12:34 PM8:29 PM to 9:29 PM 82%7:07 AM, 6:54 PM
Thu Fair4:05 AM to 6:05 AM4:36 PM to 6:36 PM12:47 PM to 1:47 PM9:23 PM to 10:23 PM 73%7:08 AM, 6:52 PM
Fri Fair5:07 AM to 7:07 AM5:39 PM to 7:39 PM1:51 PM to 2:51 PM10:28 PM to 11:28 PM 63%7:09 AM, 6:50 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight36° · NE 9 mph

    Mostly cloudy. Low around 36, with temperatures rising to around 38 overnight. Northeast wind around 9 mph.

  2. Saturday54° · 1% · E 3–9 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 54. East wind 3 to 9 mph.

  3. Saturday Night42° · 1% · N 3–7 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 42. North wind 3 to 7 mph.

  4. Sunday53° · 4% · N 3–10 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 53. North wind 3 to 10 mph.

  5. Sunday Night41° · 4% · NNW 6–12 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 41. North northwest wind 6 to 12 mph.

  6. Monday55° · NNW 2–8 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 55.

  7. Monday Night41° · NW 5–8 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 41.

  8. Tuesday56° · WSW 1–6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 56.

  9. Tuesday Night42° · 1% · NW 6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 42.

  10. Wednesday55° · NNW 2–6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 55.

  11. Wednesday Night44° · 1% · NW 6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

  12. Thursday53° · 1% · NW 2–7 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 53.

  13. Thursday Night41° · 1% · NW 5–8 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 41.

  14. Friday52° · 2% · NNW 1–8 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 52.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Medford, OR · issued Sep 25, 10:28 PM PDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

Update Aviation Discussion

Aviation

26/06Z TAFs...VFR conditions prevail across the region and will likely do so through the TAF period for most locations. Some low end VFR ceilings linger in portions of the Umpqua Basin and Cascade Foothills, but should gradually clear overnight as offshore flow develops. This offshore flow should maintain VFR conditions along the coast by keeping the marine layer from developing. High level cloud cover streaming overhead should limit low cloud/fog development for the most part. Still, with the recent rainfall and moist ground, there ought to be some local valley IFR/LIFR late tonight into early Saturday, most likely in the Coquille and Umpqua Basins.

Prev Discussion

/Issued 442 PM PDT Fri Sep 25 2026/

KEY MESSAGES...

Cloud cover continues west of the Cascades, with scattered showers over Coos and Douglas counties through the evening.

Overnight lows reach near or just below freezing east of the Cascades, but overnight cloud cover will prevent lower temperatures.

Seasonal weather and overall uneventful weather is expected through much of the week ahead.

DISCUSSION...Westerly flow aloft continues this afternoon, bringing cumulus clouds across the area. Post-frontal showers continue over Coos and Douglas counties, with isolated activity possible over adjacent counties. Precipitation chances dissipate into the evening. Overnight in the mid to low 30s are expected tonight, but evening cloud cover look to keep temperatures from getting much colder.

Cool air lingering over the area will keep daytime highs 5-10 degrees below seasonal norms over the weekend. For west side areas, this means highs in low to mid 70s while the east side will be in the mid to high 60s. Deterministic imagery shows an upper trough around a cutoff low passing over central California, which might bring just enough instability to allow a stray thunderstorm or two to develop along or east of the Cascades on Sunday afternoon. Chances of thunderstorm activity on Sunday afternoon is in the single digits over those areas.

The week ahead looks to be fairly uneventful. Zonal/northwest flow follows the upper trough will bring temperatures back up to seasonal norms through midweek. A weak front passing to the north may bring a few light showers to parts of Coos and Douglas counties, but accumulated rainfall is unlikely. There's some divergence in long- term models into next weekend, but the overall difference looks to be whether temperatures say seasonal or warm a little. Additional widespread precipitation looks to remain absent through the forecast period at this point. -TAD

MARINE...Updated 230 PM PDT Friday, September 25, 2026... Steep seas continue across area waters this afternoon. Winds are turning northerly as a thermal trough develops. Winds north of Cape Blanco will drop below advisory levels early Saturday morning, while gusty northerly winds support an ongoing advisory to the south. Gusty winds and steep seas spread north of Cape Blanco Saturday afternoon and continue through the day Sunday. Winds and seas look to ease on Monday. While westerly swell increases on Monday, this increase does not look to support ongoing unsettled seas. -TAD

MFR Watches / Warnings / Advisories

OR...CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM PDT Sunday for PZZ350-356-370-376.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 2Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 1–Oct 5
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature60% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 9
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 3–Oct 9

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D1 Moderate drought
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought remains but improves

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Ashland

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 8: a growing season of about 154 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 21; one spring in ten still has one after May 27.

Climate of 42.08, -122.72: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 31 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Wind chill min30°37°37°38°38°39°37°38°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%
Snow level min7,100 ft7,900 ft7,900 ft9,500 ft9,500 ft8,800 ft8,000 ft8,300 ft
Mixing height max4,600 ft5,200 ft4,500 ft3,700 ft2,900 ft2,800 ft2,400 ft
Transport wind max10 mph12 mph12 mph12 mph13 mph12 mph10 mph
Haines index max333

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Medford/Jackson Co. (MFR) · 22 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2654° / 42°83° / 48°104° (1963)34° (1934)
Sun Sep 2753° / 41°85° / 48°102° (1963)32° (1929)
Mon Sep 2855° / 41°84° / 49°98° (2020)31° (1929)
Tue Sep 2956° / 42°81° / 49°98° (2020)31° (1961)
Wed Sep 3055° / 44°80° / 49°98° (1987)29° (1950)
Thu Oct 153° / 41°78° / 47°98° (1988)29° (1950)
Fri Oct 252° / 42°75° / 46°99° (1980)31° (1950)
Sat Oct 359° / 48°73° / 47°96° (1958)33° (1973)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:35 AM7:03 AM7:01 PM7:29 PM11 h 58 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:36 AM7:04 AM6:59 PM7:27 PM11 h 55 min Waning gibbous · 98% lit
Mon6:37 AM7:05 AM6:57 PM7:25 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:38 AM7:06 AM6:56 PM7:23 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 89% lit
Wed6:39 AM7:07 AM6:54 PM7:22 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:40 AM7:08 AM6:52 PM7:20 PM11 h 44 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:41 AM7:09 AM6:50 PM7:18 PM11 h 41 min Waning gibbous · 63% lit
Sat6:42 AM7:10 AM6:49 PM7:17 PM11 h 39 min Last quarter · 52% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from