Current weather · Sep 29, 1:37 PM CDT

41.7140, -98.8690

67°

Light rain showersFeels like 67° · Humidity 93%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Hastings, NE · grid 51,121
High
70°
Low
63°
Rain today
90%
Sunrise
7:30 AM
Sunset
7:20 PM
Issued 8 hours agoExpires in 2 days · 7:00 PM CDT

All alerts for this county, and its warning history

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Tue 1 PMLight rain showers67°67°65°93%90%0.01 inSSW8 mph12 mph96%9%——
Tue 2 PMLight rain showers68°68°65°90%75%0.01 inSSW10 mph12 mph94%9%——
Tue 3 PMNumerous light rain showers69°69°66°90%61%0.01 inSSW8 mph10 mph92%9%——
Tue 4 PMScattered light rain showers70°70°66°87%47%0.01 inSSW7 mph9 mph91%14%——
Tue 5 PMScattered light rain showers70°70°66°87%41%0.01 inSSW6 mph8 mph91%14%——
Tue 6 PMScattered light rain showers68°68°66°93%28%0.01 inS5 mph8 mph91%14%——
Tue 7 PMSlight chance of light rain showers68°68°66°93%22%0.00 inS3 mph6 mph91%12%——
Tue 8 PMSlight chance of light rain showers67°67°65°93%22%0.00 inS2 mph6 mph93%12%——
Tue 9 PMSlight chance of light rain showers66°66°65°97%22%0.00 inS2 mph6 mph96%12%——
Tue 10 PMSlight chance of light rain showers65°65°64°97%15%0.00 inS2 mph5 mph98%5%——
Tue 11 PMSlight chance of light rain showers64°64°63°97%15%0.00 inSW2 mph5 mph96%5%——
Wed 12 AMSlight chance of light rain showers63°63°63°100%15%0.00 inSW2 mph5 mph93%5%——
Wed 1 AM62°62°62°100%7%0.00 inWSW2 mph6 mph91%3%——
Wed 2 AM61°61°61°100%7%0.00 inW2 mph6 mph91%3%——
Wed 3 AM61°61°61°100%7%0.00 inNW2 mph6 mph90%3%——
Wed 4 AM60°60°60°100%5%0.00 inNNW2 mph7 mph90%2%——
Wed 5 AM60°60°60°100%5%0.00 inN2 mph7 mph93%2%——
Wed 6 AM59°59°59°100%5%0.00 inN3 mph7 mph97%2%——
Wed 7 AMSlight chance of light rain showers59°59°59°100%15%0.01 inNNE3 mph7 mph100%——
Wed 8 AMSlight chance of light rain showers58°58°58°100%15%0.01 inNNE2 mph6 mph100%——
Wed 9 AMSlight chance of light rain showers60°60°60°100%15%0.01 inNNE3 mph6 mph100%——
Wed 10 AMChance of light rain showers61°61°61°100%25%0.01 inNE2 mph6 mph100%——
Wed 11 AMChance of light rain showers63°63°61°93%25%0.01 inNE3 mph6 mph100%——
Wed 12 PMChance of light rain showers64°64°62°93%25%0.01 inENE3 mph8 mph100%——
Wed 1 PMChance of moderate rain showers65°65°62°90%42%0.06 inNE5 mph9 mph100%3%——
Wed 2 PMChance of moderate rain showers65°65°62°90%42%0.06 inENE6 mph10 mph98%3%——
Wed 3 PMChance of moderate rain showers65°65°62°90%42%0.06 inENE6 mph12 mph97%3%——
Wed 4 PMModerate rain showers likely65°65°62°90%58%0.06 inENE7 mph12 mph95%5%——
Wed 5 PMModerate rain showers likely66°66°63°90%58%0.06 inNE7 mph13 mph96%5%——
Wed 6 PMModerate rain showers likely65°65°63°93%58%0.06 inNE7 mph13 mph97%5%——
Wed 7 PMModerate rain showers64°64°63°97%77%0.06 inNE6 mph12 mph98%9%——
Wed 8 PMModerate rain showers64°64°63°97%77%0.06 inNE6 mph13 mph97%9%——
Wed 9 PMModerate rain showers62°62°62°100%77%0.06 inENE6 mph14 mph96%9%——
Wed 10 PMModerate rain showers62°62°62°100%77%0.06 inNE7 mph14 mph95%8%——
Wed 11 PMModerate rain showers61°61°61°100%77%0.06 inNE7 mph14 mph91%8%——
Thu 12 AMModerate rain showers61°61°61°100%77%0.06 inNE8 mph15 mph89%8%——
Thu 1 AMLight rain showers likely60°60°60°100%57%0.02 inNE8 mph16 mph85%9%——
Thu 2 AMLight rain showers likely60°60°60°100%57%0.02 inNE9 mph17 mph89%9%——
Thu 3 AMLight rain showers likely60°60°60°100%57%0.02 inNE10 mph18 mph94%9%——
Thu 4 AMLight rain showers likely59°59°59°100%57%0.02 inNNE12 mph21 mph78%4%——
Thu 5 AMLight rain showers likely58°58°58°100%57%0.02 inNNE14 mph23 mph86%4%——
Thu 6 AMLight rain showers likely58°58°57°96%57%0.02 inNNE15 mph24 mph88%4%——
Thu 7 AMSlight chance of light rain showers58°58°56°93%24%0.01 inNNE16 mph25 mph83%3%——
Thu 8 AMSlight chance of light rain showers56°56°55°96%24%0.01 inNNE18 mph30 mph91%3%——
Thu 9 AMSlight chance of light rain showers57°57°55°93%24%0.01 inNNE18 mph31 mph88%3%——
Thu 10 AMSlight chance of light rain showers58°58°55°90%24%0.01 inNNE18 mph31 mph84%4%——
Thu 11 AMSlight chance of light rain showers59°59°54°83%24%0.01 inNNE18 mph32 mph83%4%——
Thu 12 PMSlight chance of light rain showers59°59°53°80%24%0.01 inNNE18 mph32 mph81%4%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 29, 1:31 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2970°63°Rain Showers90%0.16 inwind 13 mph
  2. WedSep 3067°56°Rain Showers Likely77%0.72 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  3. ThuOct 162°46°Rain Showers Likely77%0.18 inwind 18 mph · gusts 32 mph
  4. FriOct 260°47°Sunny1%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  5. SatOct 365°49°Sunny4%wind 14 mph · gusts 28 mph
  6. SunOct 464°50°Sunny2%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. MonOct 564°54°Mostly Sunny1%wind 18 mph · gusts 31 mph
  8. TueOct 669°56°5%wind 17 mph · gusts 31 mph
  9. WedOct 769°55°National Blend7%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. ThuOct 867°54°National Blend3%wind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  11. FriOct 969°54°National Blend8%wind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  12. SatOct 10~69°50°Model mean0.02 in
  13. SunOct 11~60°43°Model mean
  14. MonOct 12~55°37°Model mean
  15. TueOct 13~61°42°Model mean
  16. WedOct 14~76°53°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like67°
  • WindSSW 8 mphgusts 12 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity93%
  • Dew point65°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise8:40 PMMoonset 11:05 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2969°59°NWS grid 70° / 63°rain 75%thunder 19%wind 16 mph · gusts 26 mph
  2. WedSep 3066°56°NWS grid 67° / 56°rain 89%0.64 inwind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  3. ThuOct 161°45°NWS grid 62° / 46°rain 57%0.15 inwind 18 mph · gusts 32 mph
  4. FriOct 259°45°NWS grid 60° / 47°rain 1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. SatOct 364°48°NWS grid 65° / 49°rain 3%wind 12 mph · gusts 23 mph
  6. SunOct 464°50°NWS grid 64° / 50°rain 0%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. MonOct 564°55°NWS grid 64° / 54°rain 3%thunder 10%wind 17 mph · gusts 31 mph
  8. TueOct 670°56°NWS grid 69° / 56°rain 6%thunder 13%wind 16 mph · gusts 30 mph
  9. WedOct 769°55°Beyond the NWS gridrain 7%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. ThuOct 867°54°Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%wind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  11. FriOct 969°54°Beyond the NWS gridrain 8%wind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
41°59°77°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT · GFS Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT · GEFS Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Sep 28, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 7:00 AM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°59°77°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2970° 63°0.16 in74° 64°0.07 in72° 63°0.09 in70° 64°0.16 in71° 63°0.71 in~69° 65°0.37 in
Wed Sep 3067° 56°0.72 in71° 59°0.09 in66° 62°0.21 in69° 61°0.37 in72° 57°~68° 58°0.16 in
Thu Oct 162° 46°0.18 in61° 60°68° 56°66° 56°0.15 in67° 56°~64° 60°0.02 in
Fri Oct 260° 47°—65° 51°64° 50°64° 49°~63° 46°
Sat Oct 365° 49°—74° 49°70° 49°0.02 in71° 49°~70° 49°
Sun Oct 464° 50°—67° 49°68° 52°0.01 in68° 53°~69° 47°
Mon Oct 564° 54°—68° 52°66° 49°~63° 48°~68° 49°
Tue Oct 669° 56°—67° 54°0.05 in73° 55°0.07 in~72° 57°~72° 58°0.01 in
Wed Oct 7——71° 54°74° 57°~75° 55°~79° 51°
Thu Oct 8——69° 52°73° 53°~76° 59°~74° 49°
Fri Oct 9——~69° 49°~57° 53°~64° 50°~78° 49°
Sat Oct 10——~77° 56°—~66° 49°~64° 44°0.06 in
Sun Oct 11——~57° 45°—~73° 53°~49° 29°
Mon Oct 12——~62° 42°—~51° 42°~54° 27°
Tue Oct 13——~74° 54°—~50° 36°~58° 37°
Wed Oct 14——~76° 53°——~47° 42°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Ord/Sharp Field (ODX) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%40%warmer 33% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec-20°0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2970° / 41°93° (2000)23° (2012)33% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 667° / 40°95° (2015)12° (2000)40% chance above normal · days 8 to 1440% chance below normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1363° / 33°90° (2005)18° (2018)33% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 2059° / 35°89° (2022)13° (2020)33% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 2756° / 30°86° (2005)2° (2020)33% chance above normal · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Nov 357° / 27°83° (2020)6° (2019)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1052° / 24°83° (2025)-4° (2019)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1751° / 23°75° (2007)-11° (2000)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2443° / 18°76° (2017)-6° (2004)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 141° / 16°69° (2012)-15° (2011)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 838° / 16°69° (2024)-19° (2009)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1540° / 14°69° (2002)-26° (2016)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2235° / 13°72° (2025)-17° (2008)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayFairchance of rain
  • HikingtodayFairchance of rain
  • BikingtodayFairchance of rain
  • GolftodayFairchance of rain
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayPoorchance of rain
  • CampingtonightGoodchance of rain
  • StargazingtonightPoorovercast

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayFairchance of rain
  • GardeningtodayGoodchance of rain
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayFairchance of rain
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayPoorchance of rain
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayPoorchance of rain
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
  • TickstodayVery highwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighhumid

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
TuesdayPoor8:53 PM to 5:59 AM0 of 9None87%9 h2 mph
WednesdayPoor8:51 PM to 6:00 AM0 of 9None79%9 h14 mph
ThursdayFair8:49 PM to 6:01 AM5 of 9None70%Fair9 mph
FridayFair8:48 PM to 6:02 AM9 of 92 h from 9:00 PM60%Poor3 h10 mph
SaturdayGood8:46 PM to 6:03 AM9 of 94 h from 9:00 PM49%Poor8 h8 mph
SundayGood8:44 PM to 6:04 AM9 of 95 h from 9:00 PM39%Poor5 h7 mph
MondayPoor8:42 PM to 6:05 AM0 of 9None29%8 h16 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Tue7:03 AM to 7:13 AM7:13 AM to 8:07 AM6:44 PM to 7:37 PM7:37 PM to 7:48 PM
Wed7:04 AM to 7:14 AM7:14 AM to 8:08 AM6:42 PM to 7:36 PM7:36 PM to 7:46 PM
Thu7:05 AM to 7:15 AM7:15 AM to 8:09 AM6:40 PM to 7:34 PM7:34 PM to 7:45 PM
Fri7:06 AM to 7:17 AM7:17 AM to 8:11 AM6:38 PM to 7:32 PM7:32 PM to 7:43 PM
Sat7:07 AM to 7:18 AM7:18 AM to 8:12 AM6:37 PM to 7:31 PM7:31 PM to 7:41 PM
Sun7:08 AM to 7:19 AM7:19 AM to 8:13 AM6:35 PM to 7:29 PM7:29 PM to 7:40 PM
Mon7:09 AM to 7:20 AM7:20 AM to 8:14 AM6:33 PM to 7:27 PM7:27 PM to 7:38 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:30 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 7:20 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:40 PM, 59° ENE
  • MS Moonset 11:05 AM, 299° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 90% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (chance of rain). Next good stretch: Wed 8 AM to 1 PM, 5 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 7:00 AM to sunrise 7:30 AM, and sunset 7:20 PM to 7:50 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Tue6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Tue 1 PMNo-fly8121590%67°chance of rain
Tue 2 PMNo-fly10151675%68°chance of rain
Tue 3 PMNo-fly8121461%69°chance of rain
Tue 4 PMCaution7101247%70°chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Tue 5 PMCaution681141%70°chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Tue 6 PMCaution571028%68°thunderstorms possible
Tue 7 PMCaution35722%68°thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 8 PMCaution23722%67°thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 9 PMCaution23722%66°thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 10 PMCaution23615%65°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 11 PMCaution23615%64°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 12 AMCaution23615%63°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 1 AMCaution2377%62°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 2 AMCaution2377%61°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 3 AMCaution2377%61°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 4 AMCaution2385%60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 5 AMCaution2385%60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 6 AMCaution3585%59°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 7 AMCaution35815%59°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 8 AMGood23715%58°nothing against it
Wed 9 AMGood35715%60°nothing against it
Wed 10 AMGood23725%61°nothing against it
Wed 11 AMGood35725%63°nothing against it
Wed 12 PMGood351025%64°nothing against it

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Fri 4 AM to 10 PM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 7 PM to 9 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 11 AM to 10 PM 11 hours, every hour within the rules
Tue6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
TuesdayShowers possible90%0.16 in87%13 mph
WednesdayWet77%0.72 in90%7 mph
ThursdayShowers possible24%0.18 in69%18 mph
FridayDry0%0.00 in57%9 mph5 d
SaturdayDry4%0.00 in70%14 mph4 d
SundayDry0%0.00 in65%8 mph3 d
MondayDry1%0.00 in72%18 mph2 d
TuesdayDry5%0.00 in75%17 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Tue Good2:29 AM to 4:29 AM2:56 PM to 4:56 PM10:35 AM to 11:35 AM8:10 PM to 9:10 PM 90%7:30 AM, 7:20 PM
Wed Poor3:25 AM to 5:25 AM3:54 PM to 5:54 PM11:52 AM to 12:52 PM8:52 PM to 9:52 PM 82%7:31 AM, 7:19 PM
Thu Fair4:25 AM to 6:25 AM4:56 PM to 6:56 PM1:05 PM to 2:05 PM9:45 PM to 10:45 PM 73%7:32 AM, 7:17 PM
Fri Fair5:28 AM to 7:28 AM5:59 PM to 7:59 PM2:10 PM to 3:10 PM10:50 PM to 11:50 PM 64%7:34 AM, 7:15 PM
Sat Fair6:30 AM to 8:30 AM7:00 PM to 9:00 PM3:03 PM to 4:03 PM 53%7:35 AM, 7:14 PM
Sun Fair7:30 AM to 9:30 AM7:58 PM to 9:58 PM12:03 AM to 1:03 AM3:45 PM to 4:45 PM 43%7:36 AM, 7:12 PM
Mon Fair8:26 AM to 10:26 AM8:52 PM to 10:52 PM1:19 AM to 2:19 AM4:19 PM to 5:19 PM 32%7:37 AM, 7:10 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon70° · 90% · SSW 5–10 mph

    Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 70. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  2. Tonight58° · 28% · WSW 0–5 mph

    Scattered rain showers before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 58. West southwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  3. Wednesday67° · 58% · NE 0–5 mph

    Rain showers likely after 7am. Cloudy, with a high near 67. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  4. Wednesday Night56° · 77% · NE 5–15 mph

    Rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 56. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.

  5. Thursday62° · 57% · NNE 15–20 mph

    Rain showers likely before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. North northeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  6. Thursday Night46° · 8% · NNE 5–15 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

  7. Friday60° · 1% · E 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 60.

  8. Friday Night47° · 1% · SSE 5–10 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

  9. Saturday65° · 4% · SW 10–15 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 65.

  10. Saturday Night49° · 4% · NNW 5–10 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

  11. Sunday64° · 1% · ENE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 64.

  12. Sunday Night50° · 1% · SE 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

  13. Monday64° · 1% · SSE 10–20 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

  14. Monday Night54° · 4% · S 15 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Hastings, NE · issued Sep 29, 12:48 PM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Wet weather pattern begins today and continues through Thursday. Widespread total rainfall amounts of 1.5-3" are expected over the next three days.

Prospects for appreciable dry breaks in the rain are limited, effectively leading to "washout" type days Wednesday-Thursday.

Ensemble 90th percentile QPF forecast (reasonable worst case scenario) maxes out between 4-5", which, if comes to fruition, could lead to areas of flooding given already wet soils from last week's rain event. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire forecast area.

Much quieter weather arrives in time for the weekend. Slightly below normal temperatures are favored - highs 60s/70s, and lows in the 40s/50s.

Update

445 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Forecast focus remains the upcoming persistent, and likely at times heavy, rainfall over the next three days. Big picture, not a whole lot has changed. The remnants of Hurricane Polo are crossing the Baja now...and a deep upper trough is digging into the Four Corners region. Several weak lead impulses within broad, diffluent SWrly upper flow are already leading to several areas of scattered to widespread showers/embedded weak storms...with one such area currently moving through central Nebraska. Still appears that areas from around the Tri-Cities, and especially W and N, will be most affected by this lead impulse this morning...with areas from around Osborne/Mitchell Counties up towards York County perhaps staying mostly dry through at least the morning hrs.

Rain coverage, and rates, are forecast to increase substantially this afternoon into early evening, particularly along and S of the NE/KS state line...then moreso into other parts of south central Nebraska during the overnight. Bouts of moderate to heavy rain are likely continue all day Wednesday and Wednesday night...essentially making the day a complete "washout". Rain will probably taper off some for areas N of I-80 on Thursday, but at least moderate rates could continue elsewhere into Thursday night. Should FINALLY clear out for Friday, and, fortunately, the weekend into next week looks much much less active. In fact, the entire first half of October may be dry.

Unseasonably high PWATs are already in place, per 00Z regional ROABs, and values will only increase over the next 24 hours as deep, tropical and sub-tropical, Pacific moisture associated with the remnants of Hurricane Polo are drawn N/NE through the Plains...ahead of the aforementioned Four Corners upper trough. Latest 50-member EPS ensemble continues to support MEAN values increasing into 1.75-2.00" range tonight into Wednesday. PWATs of this magnitude are considered high during our climatologically peak months of July/August, much less late September into early October, and comes out to about +3 to +4 standard deviations. ***Simply put...atmospheric moisture content will likely be as high, or higher, than ever sampled by the upper air network, in our region, in late September.*** This aspect of the system/next few days is high confidence.

Now, translating the above into impacts and specific rain totals is much more nuanced...and there is the potential for significant spatial variability. To this point, several pieces of numerical guidance fits a conceptual model of a moisture- enhanced mid latitude cyclone, in which our region is located on the northern side within persistent mid level deformation and frontogenesis. These types of systems often have a very sharp precip gradient on the northern side of the system, similar to what we experience with winter storms. Exactly where and how sharp the gradient with this system will be is still uncertain...but it could come into play for our N zones. Also, various pieces of hi-res modeling suggest multiple, relatively narrow, swaths of very heavy rain (4-6"+) due to convective enhancements. These are extremely difficult to pin down ahead of time, owing to complex mesoscale interactions. However, the IDEA of such heavy swaths makes sense given mean mid/upper level flow that will be largely parallel to the deep layer deformation and forcing, which would favor training cells and/or stationary bands of enhanced rates. This is why we need to take 90th-95th percentile QPF output as a real possibility and concern. 00z HREF max QPF through the 00Z (not even the end of the event) is in the 5-7" range, and latest NBM 95th percentile for same period is also in the same 5-7" range...focused S of Hwy 6 into N KS. EPS values are slightly lower, but some of this may explained by coarser model resolution.

Finally, from a hydrology perspective...the high-end potential amounts mentioned above appear to be most favored within a corridor that already received 3-5" of rain last week. Areas such as areas in and around Harlan Co., and also from around Osborne up towards Superior and Hebron. I know, personally, that my yard in S Hall County and fields around my area are still quite damp, even though we've had 72 hours to "dry out". Lack of significant wind and sun, combined with shorter days in early fall, means we just don't dry out like we would in July/August. Furthermore...row crops simply aren't drawing nearly as much (if any?) moisture from the ground, either. Adding another 3-5" on top of last week's rain would essentially push us into top 3-5 wettest September's on record...with the impressive part being most of it occurring in the later half/third of the month and not the early part of the month.

Needless to say...the Flood Watch continues for the entire forecast area, and this could turn into one of the larger "weather stories/events" of the yr for at least a few of our counties. Folks in flood prone areas, particularly along and S of Highway 6 into northern Kansas, need to be prepared for potential flooding Wednesday into Thursday.

Discussion

343 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Rest of Monday and Tonight...

A few isolated showers and thunderstorms (primarily near and north of the KS / NE state line) cannot be ruled out this afternoon into evening, however a substantial cap casts a good deal of doubt on these storms successfully initiating. Regardless, if storms develop, no severe weather is expected.

As for tonight, a glancing blow of showers and a few thunderstorms is expected for our far northwestern CWA as a joint mid-level and low-level jet impinge on the area through Wednesday morning. No flooding is expected from these showers.

Tuesday...

The main show of the week arrives on Tuesday. Our initial jet streak will gradually pull off to the northeast through Tuesday morning, but a secondary pulse will arrive round noon. Vorticity advection is not expected to ever fully die down, and thus broken rounds of showers and storms are expected through the day. The likeliest times for precip will be from noon onwards, with the likeliest time for a break in the mid-morning between jet streaks.

Tuesday night (particularly 1 AM - 4 AM Wednesday morning) is expected to strongly uptick the intensity of precip (and thus flooding risk). At this time, the remnants of Hurricane Polo will advance into our area after getting sucked into our main trough. Vorticity advection, a favorable mid-level jet with strong diffluence, a 35+ kt low-level jet, and warm air advection all look to arrive with saturated profiles through the depth of the troposphere. By sunrise on Wednesday morning, mean 24-hr precip of 0.5 - 1.5 inches (with the heaviest favored south of I-80) is expected. As a potential worst-case scenario, 12z HREF 95th- percentile 24-hr totals by sunup on Wednesday exceed 3.5 inches with the heaviest yet to come on WED. Given antecedent wet soils, flooding will be a concern. WPC currently holds us in a Level 2 out of 4 Slight Risk for flash flood exceedance for TUE.

Wednesday...

Wednesday is highly likely to be a washout with rain and storms carrying us through the day. Our trough, jets, and saturated profiles with PWATs >150% of normal for this time of year will continue to provide for additional flooding risk. WPC maintains us us in a Level 2 out of 4 Slight Risk for flash flood exceedance on WED. 13z NBM guidance suggests new Wednesday and Wednesday night rainfall totals of 1.5 - 3 inches, with 95th- percentile wosrt-case totals locally exceeding 5 inches in our central CWA. Of note for our southern CWA, where forcing remains more optimal, a few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible, with SPC currently outlining these counties in a Level 1 out of 5 Marginal Risk for severe thunderstorms.

Exactly where the heaviest rain falls will depend on how far northward the nose of the jets can reach, and the northern edge of the jet will likely produce a sharp cutoff in rainfall totals. THE EPS and GEFS tend to favor our central CWA as the northern edge, while the 12z REFS favors our northern counties. In addition, some breaks in rainfall are expected, but dry time will be the exception and not the rule.

Thursday...

Precip looks to linger on Thursday, primarily for our KS counties. By evening, precip is expected to finally die off as our favorable forcing ejects to the east. Despite the heavy rainfall coming to an end, the trough core itself will likely linger on Thursday, bringing cooler temperature in the low 60s F with overnight lows into FRI able to dip into the mid 40s. Additionally, breezier conditions with wind gusts of 25 - 30 mph are expected.

In all, by sundown on Thursday when rain is expected to end, likeliest cumulative totals across the CWA look to be 2.5 - 4 inches, with a worst-case scenario of 5+ inches per 13z NBM guidance.

Friday into Weekend...

Friday, Saturday, and Sunday are expected to stay dry with relatively cooler temperatures prevailing. The 06s GEFS suggests that the next shortwave trough will move in from Canada on Saturday, but right now precipitation associated with this trough looks unlikely.

Aviation · 18Z TAFs Through 18Z Wednesday

1231 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Main forecast concern through this TAF period remains with precipitation chances pushing northeast across the region. One round is currently working its way through the forecast area...and will continue to bring increased chances through mid-late afternoon. Models showing the potential for a bit of a lull this evening...but confidence in the timing of that and how much of a lull it is isn't overly high, so kept PROB30 groups going at both terminal sites. The next best chances look to start swinging north into the terminal areas after sunrise Wednesday through the end of this period. Expecting ceilings to drop this evening/overnight, with LIFR conditions not out of the question. Winds through the period are light...generally southerly this afternoon, turning more variable overnight, then more easterly after sunrise Wed.

GID Watches / Warnings / Advisories

NE...Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday evening for NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087. KS...Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday evening for KSZ005>007-017>019.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 29, 5:08 AM CDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KGID 291008
HWOGID

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
508 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
301200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
508 AM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Periodic rounds of rain and thunderstorms will move into the area
today, and continue into the overnight. Severe weather is not
expected, but locally heavy rainfall is possible this evening and
overnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Periodic rounds of rain and thunderstorms will continue through 
Thursday. Widespread rain amounts of 1-3" are likely, and some 
areas may see total rain amounts as high as 4-5 inches, which 
could lead to areas of flooding. Due to the antecedent conditions
from last week's rain and the upcoming rainfall, a flood watch 
is in effect for the entire area from this evening through 7pm 
Thursday.


&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Thies

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29General Thunderstorms Risk
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 290.25 in
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 300.10 in
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 3Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 5Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Marginal
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Slight
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2Below marginal
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3Below marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 4–Oct 8
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 12
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 6–Oct 12

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Ericson 8 Wnw

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 2: a growing season of about 149 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 22; one spring in ten still has one after May 19.

Climate of 41.71, -98.87: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 22 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
Wet bulb globe temperature max69°65°61°56°62°61°60°66°
Heat index max70°
Wind chill min44°42°46°46°
Chance of thunder max19%9%9%0%2%2%1%5%
Mixing height max1,700 ft2,200 ft2,700 ft3,300 ft3,200 ft3,700 ft2,600 ft2,300 ft
Transport wind max17 mph14 mph23 mph12 mph18 mph12 mph20 mph18 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Ord/Sharp Field (ODX) · 7.6 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Tue Sep 2970° / 63°—90° (2024)30° (2009)
Wed Sep 3067° / 56°76° / 44°93° (2000)30° (2003)
Thu Oct 162° / 46°71° / 43°90° (2023)30° (2004)
Fri Oct 260° / 47°70° / 41°90° (2005)25° (2012)
Sat Oct 365° / 49°71° / 41°93° (2005)28° (2010)
Sun Oct 464° / 50°64° / 40°91° (2011)25° (2012)
Mon Oct 564° / 54°67° / 41°90° (2007)23° (2012)
Tue Oct 669° / 56°65° / 40°89° (2007)20° (2000)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Tue7:03 AM7:30 AM7:20 PM7:48 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed7:04 AM7:31 AM7:19 PM7:46 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu7:05 AM7:32 AM7:17 PM7:45 PM11 h 45 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri7:06 AM7:34 AM7:15 PM7:43 PM11 h 41 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:07 AM7:35 AM7:14 PM7:41 PM11 h 39 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun7:08 AM7:36 AM7:12 PM7:40 PM11 h 36 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon7:09 AM7:37 AM7:10 PM7:38 PM11 h 33 min Waning crescent · 32% lit
Tue7:10 AM7:38 AM7:09 PM7:36 PM11 h 31 min Waning crescent · 23% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from