Current weather · Sep 26, 11:49 PM EDT

41.7080, -70.5640

58°

Heavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fogFeels like 58° · Humidity 100%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Boston / Norton, MA · grid 93,75
High
61°
Low
58°
Rain today
100%
Sunrise
6:34 AM
Sunset
6:32 PM
First issued 22 hours agoExpires in 20 hours · 8:00 PM EDT
First issued 22 hours agoExpires in 20 hours · 8:00 PM EDT
First issued 22 hours agoExpires in 8 hours · 8:00 AM EDT
Issued 12 hours agoExpires in 2 days · 2:00 AM EDT

All alerts for this county, and its warning history

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 11 PMHeavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog58°58°58°100%100%0.21 inENE22 mph47 mph100%27%—2.2 mi300 ft
Sun 12 AMHeavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog58°58°58°100%100%0.21 inENE22 mph47 mph100%27%—2.0 mi300 ft
Sun 1 AMHeavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog59°59°59°100%100%0.21 inENE22 mph48 mph100%27%—2.1 mi300 ft
Sun 2 AMHeavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog60°60°60°100%100%0.12 inENE22 mph47 mph100%29%—1.9 mi300 ft
Sun 3 AMHeavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%100%0.12 inENE22 mph47 mph100%29%—1.9 mi300 ft
Sun 4 AMHeavy rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%100%0.12 inENE22 mph47 mph100%29%—1.7 mi300 ft
Sun 5 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog62°62°62°100%78%0.09 inENE22 mph47 mph100%25%—1.8 mi300 ft
Sun 6 AMModerate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog64°64°63°97%69%0.08 inENE21 mph47 mph100%25%—2.4 mi300 ft
Sun 7 AMLight rain showers likely and isolated thunderstorms and patchy fog64°64°63°97%57%0.07 inENE21 mph48 mph100%25%—2.0 mi300 ft
Sun 8 AMChance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog65°65°64°97%43%0.04 inENE20 mph48 mph81%19%—1.5 mi300 ft
Sun 9 AMChance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog67°67°64°90%43%0.04 inENE18 mph48 mph75%19%—1.5 mi300 ft
Sun 10 AMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog67°67°65°93%38%0.03 inNE17 mph45 mph80%19%—1.3 mi300 ft
Sun 11 AMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog66°66°65°97%38%0.03 inNE16 mph41 mph76%20%—1.7 mi300 ft
Sun 12 PMChance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog66°66°65°97%43%0.04 inNE16 mph41 mph78%20%—2.2 mi300 ft
Sun 1 PMChance of moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog67°67°65°93%44%0.04 inNE16 mph40 mph82%20%—2.8 mi800 ft
Sun 2 PMLight rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog67°67°65°93%55%0.01 inENE16 mph39 mph79%31%—3 mi800 ft
Sun 3 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers and patchy fog67°67°65°93%54%0.01 inNE16 mph37 mph77%31%—3 mi800 ft
Sun 4 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers and patchy fog67°67°64°90%51%0.01 inNE16 mph36 mph79%31%—3 mi800 ft
Sun 5 PMChance of thunderstorms and chance of light rain showers and patchy fog66°66°64°93%47%0.01 inNE16 mph33 mph79%32%—3 mi800 ft
Sun 6 PMLight rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog65°65°63°93%59%0.02 inNE16 mph31 mph84%32%—3 mi800 ft
Sun 7 PMLight rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog63°63°63°100%75%0.02 inENE16 mph28 mph84%32%—3 mi300 ft
Sun 8 PMLight rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%90%0.01 inENE16 mph25 mph94%28%—3 mi300 ft
Sun 9 PMLight rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog62°62°62°100%86%0.01 inENE16 mph24 mph91%28%—4 mi300 ft
Sun 10 PMLight rain showers and chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog62°62°62°100%75%ENE15 mph23 mph85%28%—5 mi300 ft
Sun 11 PMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%62%ENE15 mph22 mph85%21%—5 mi300 ft
Mon 12 AMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%65%ENE15 mph21 mph86%21%—4 mi300 ft
Mon 1 AMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%67%ENE14 mph21 mph88%21%—3 mi300 ft
Mon 2 AMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog61°61°61°100%68%0.02 inENE14 mph20 mph90%18%—2.7 mi300 ft
Mon 3 AMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog60°60°60°100%66%0.02 inENE14 mph18 mph92%18%—2.8 mi300 ft
Mon 4 AMLight rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms and patchy fog60°60°60°100%66%0.02 inENE13 mph18 mph87%18%—3 mi300 ft
Mon 5 AMLight rain showers likely and patchy fog60°60°60°100%65%0.02 inENE13 mph17 mph89%10%—4 mi300 ft
Mon 6 AMLight rain showers likely and patchy fog61°61°61°100%61%0.02 inENE13 mph17 mph92%10%—4 mi300 ft
Mon 7 AMLight rain showers likely and patchy fog61°61°61°100%57%0.02 inENE12 mph16 mph86%10%—5 mi300 ft
Mon 8 AMLight rain showers likely and patchy fog62°62°62°100%55%E12 mph16 mph88%9%—5 mi300 ft
Mon 9 AMLight rain showers likely64°64°64°100%60%ENE12 mph16 mph75%9%—9 mi700 ft
Mon 10 AMLight rain showers likely65°65°65°100%65%ENE12 mph16 mph79%9%—9 mi1,100 ft
Mon 11 AMLight rain showers likely66°66°66°100%70%ENE12 mph16 mph83%9%—9 mi1,600 ft
Mon 12 PMLight rain showers likely67°67°66°97%70%ENE10 mph16 mph81%9%—9 mi1,800 ft
Mon 1 PMLight rain showers likely67°67°66°97%69%ENE10 mph16 mph80%9%—9 mi2,100 ft
Mon 2 PMLight rain showers likely67°67°65°93%69%ENE9 mph16 mph80%11%—9 mi2,300 ft
Mon 3 PMLight rain showers likely67°67°65°93%69%E9 mph15 mph80%11%—9 mi2,300 ft
Mon 4 PMLight rain showers likely67°67°64°90%68%E10 mph14 mph81%11%—9 mi2,300 ft
Mon 5 PMLight rain showers likely66°66°64°93%68%E10 mph13 mph82%9%—9 mi2,300 ft
Mon 6 PMLight rain showers likely65°65°63°93%65%E10 mph13 mph82%9%—9 mi2,100 ft
Mon 7 PMLight rain showers likely63°63°63°100%63%E12 mph13 mph83%9%—9 mi1,900 ft
Mon 8 PMChance of light rain showers62°62°62°100%48%E3 mph10 mph83%7%—9 mi1,700 ft
Mon 9 PMChance of light rain showers61°61°61°100%47%E0 mph9 mph83%7%—9 mi1,600 ft
Mon 10 PMChance of light rain showers60°60°60°100%45%E1 mph9 mph84%7%—9 mi1,400 ft

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 6:39 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2661°58°Patchy Fog100%1.52 inwind 22 mph · gusts 47 mph
  2. SunSep 2768°60°Patchy Fog100%1.34 inwind 22 mph · gusts 48 mph
  3. MonSep 2867°57°Rain Showers Likely70%0.12 inwind 15 mph · gusts 21 mph
  4. TueSep 2964°56°Mostly Cloudy38%wind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
  5. WedSep 3067°58°Partly Sunny2%wind 5 mph
  6. ThuOct 170°60°Mostly Sunny4%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  7. FriOct 270°58°Mostly Sunny9%wind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
  8. SatOct 366°55°Partly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers20%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  9. SunOct 464°55°National Blend39%0.21 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. MonOct 564°52°National Blend33%0.18 inwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
  11. TueOct 661°50°National Blend23%0.16 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  12. WedOct 7~62°48°Model mean0.02 in
  13. ThuOct 8~63°54°Model mean0.17 in
  14. FriOct 9~56°47°Model mean
  15. SatOct 10~59°45°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~46°40°Model mean0.02 in

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like58°
  • WindENE 22 mphgusts 47 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity100%
  • Dew point58°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility2.2 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise6:20 PMMoonset 6:25 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 26—59°NWS grid 61° / 58°rain 100%thunder 31%wind 23 mph · gusts 40 mph
  2. SunSep 2768°59°NWS grid 68° / 60°rain 99%thunder 32%1.38 inwind 21 mph · gusts 38 mph
  3. MonSep 2866°57°NWS grid 67° / 57°rain 89%thunder 21%0.54 inwind 9 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. TueSep 2963°55°NWS grid 64° / 56°rain 27%0.02 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  5. WedSep 3067°58°NWS grid 67° / 58°rain 3%wind 5 mph
  6. ThuOct 170°60°NWS grid 70° / 60°rain 4%wind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  7. FriOct 270°57°NWS grid 70° / 58°rain 17%wind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
  8. SatOct 365°55°NWS grid 66° / 55°rain 16%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  9. SunOct 464°55°Beyond the NWS gridrain 39%0.21 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. MonOct 564°52°Beyond the NWS gridrain 33%0.18 inwind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
  11. TueOct 661°50°Beyond the NWS gridrain 23%0.16 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  12. WedOct 761°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 13%wind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
50°64°77°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

50°64°77°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2661° 58°1.52 in~59° 59°0.20 in~60° 59°0.90 in~62° 59°0.71 in61° 58°1.68 in~59° 58°1.97 in
Sun Sep 2768° 60°1.34 in69° 60°0.48 in66° 61°0.61 in65° 62°1.00 in70° 61°1.71 in~67° 62°0.87 in
Mon Sep 2867° 57°0.12 in67° 60°0.06 in65° 62°0.21 in64° 61°0.32 in65° 59°1.13 in~65° 62°0.46 in
Tue Sep 2964° 56°—62° 58°0.05 in61° 58°0.17 in62° 56°0.04 in~63° 58°0.04 in
Wed Sep 3067° 58°—67° 58°0.01 in64° 57°69° 58°0.04 in~67° 61°0.01 in
Thu Oct 170° 60°—74° 62°68° 60°73° 60°~74° 61°
Fri Oct 270° 58°—71° 58°69° 62°0.04 in~74° 64°~73° 65°0.01 in
Sat Oct 366° 55°—61° 51°63° 58°~65° 55°~63° 56°
Sun Oct 4——62° 51°0.21 in62° 56°0.07 in~63° 55°0.13 in~59° 53°0.33 in
Mon Oct 5——70° 56°0.27 in61° 56°0.41 in~58° 53°0.67 in~61° 55°1.08 in
Tue Oct 6——61° 50°~58° 55°0.14 in~58° 51°~58° 51°
Wed Oct 7——~64° 50°—~61° 46°~61° 48°0.06 in
Thu Oct 8——~61° 53°—~69° 54°~58° 56°0.50 in
Fri Oct 9——~54° 43°—~56° 46°~58° 52°
Sat Oct 10——~52° 38°—~63° 46°~62° 49°0.02 in
Sun Oct 11——~46° 40°0.02 in—~59° 55°~55° 54°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Otis Angb (FMH) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%warmer 40% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 26—77° (2017)38° (2012)no outlookno outlook
Oct 3—79° (2025)35° (2014)40% chance above normal · days 6 to 1040% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 10—79° (2011)32° (2012)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 17—76° (2024)27° (2018)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 24—75° (2023)26° (2018)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 31—73° (2024)23° (2011)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 7—76° (2022)18° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 14—66° (2023)16° (2020)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 21—64° (2020)12° (2018)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 28—67° (2011)17° (2014)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 5—64° (2021)10° (2016)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 12—64° (2021)6° (2016)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 19—66° (2015)11° (2011)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightFairCoastal Flood Warning in force

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • HikingtomorrowFairchance of rain
  • BikingtomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • GolftomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • FishingtomorrowVery goodwind
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowPoorwind
  • Beach and pooltomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • CampingtonightPoorCoastal Flood Warning in force
  • StargazingtonightPoorCoastal Flood Warning in force

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hPoorHigh Wind Warning in force
  • Drivingnext 24 hPoorCoastal Flood Warning in force

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • GardeningtomorrowFairchance of rain
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowPoorchance of rain
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowExtremewarm
  • TickstomorrowExtremewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowVery highhumid

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor8:05 PM to 5:02 AM0 of 9None100%9 h22 mph
SundayPoor8:03 PM to 5:03 AM0 of 9None98%9 h16 mph
MondayPoor8:02 PM to 5:04 AM0 of 9None94%9 h5 mph
TuesdayPoor8:00 PM to 5:05 AM0 of 9None88%9 h1 mph
WednesdayPoor7:58 PM to 5:07 AM0 of 9None80%9 h3 mph
ThursdayPoor7:56 PM to 5:08 AM0 of 9None71%9 h7 mph
FridayPoor7:54 PM to 5:09 AM0 of 9None61%8 h7 mph
SaturdayPoor7:53 PM to 5:10 AM0 of 1None50%1 h3 mph

The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:06 AM to 6:17 AM6:17 AM to 7:11 AM5:56 PM to 6:49 PM6:49 PM to 7:00 PM
Sun6:07 AM to 6:18 AM6:18 AM to 7:12 AM5:54 PM to 6:48 PM6:48 PM to 6:58 PM
Mon6:08 AM to 6:19 AM6:19 AM to 7:13 AM5:52 PM to 6:46 PM6:46 PM to 6:57 PM
Tue6:09 AM to 6:20 AM6:20 AM to 7:14 AM5:51 PM to 6:44 PM6:44 PM to 6:55 PM
Wed6:10 AM to 6:21 AM6:21 AM to 7:15 AM5:49 PM to 6:43 PM6:43 PM to 6:53 PM
Thu6:11 AM to 6:22 AM6:22 AM to 7:16 AM5:47 PM to 6:41 PM6:41 PM to 6:52 PM
Fri6:13 AM to 6:23 AM6:23 AM to 7:17 AM5:45 PM to 6:39 PM6:39 PM to 6:50 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:34 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 6:32 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:20 PM, 83° E
  • MS Moonset 6:25 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Tue 2 PM to 6 PM, 4 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:04 AM to sunrise 6:34 AM, and sunset 6:32 PM to 7:02 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 11 PMNo-fly223257100%2.2 miup to 0 ft58°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMNo-fly223257100%2.0 miup to 0 ft58°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMNo-fly223258100%2.1 miup to 0 ft59°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMNo-fly223257100%1.9 miup to 0 ft60°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMNo-fly223257100%1.9 miup to 0 ft61°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMNo-fly223257100%1.7 miup to 0 ft61°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMNo-fly22325778%1.8 miup to 0 ft62°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMNo-fly21305769%2.4 miup to 0 ft64°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMNo-fly21305857%1.9 miup to 0 ft64°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, chance of rain
Sun 8 AMNo-fly20285743%1.5 miup to 0 ft65°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Sun 9 AMNo-fly18275743%1.5 miup to 0 ft67°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), ground wind near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Sun 10 AMNo-fly17255338%1.3 miup to 0 ft67°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Sun 11 AMNo-fly16234938%1.7 miup to 0 ft66°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain
Sun 12 PMNo-fly16234943%2.2 miup to 0 ft66°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain
Sun 1 PMNo-fly16234844%2.8 miup to 300 ft67°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, visibility under 3 miles (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 2 PMNo-fly16234655%3.3 miup to 300 ft67°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 3 PMNo-fly16234454%3.4 miup to 300 ft67°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 4 PMNo-fly16234351%3.4 miup to 300 ft67°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 5 PMNo-fly16234147%3.3 miup to 300 ft66°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 6 PMNo-fly16233859%3.1 miup to 300 ft65°gusts near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, chance of rain, low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 7 PMNo-fly16233575%3.1 miup to 0 ft63°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 8 PMNo-fly16233390%3.2 miup to 0 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 9 PMNo-fly16233186%3.9 miup to 0 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMNo-fly15223075%4.6 miup to 0 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 10 AM to 5 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayWet100%1.52 in96%22 mph
SundayWet75%1.34 in90%20 mph
MondayShowers possible70%0.12 in90%12 mph
TuesdayDry8%0.00 in90%8 mph5 d
WednesdayDry1%0.00 in81%5 mph4 d
ThursdayDry2%0.00 in78%9 mph3 d
FridayDry7%0.00 in73%10 mph2 d
SaturdayDry20%0.00 in73%8 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:06 PM to 1:06 AM11:28 AM to 1:28 PM5:55 AM to 6:55 AM5:50 PM to 6:50 PM 100%6:34 AM, 6:32 PM
Sun Best11:51 PM to 1:51 AM12:15 PM to 2:15 PM7:06 AM to 8:06 AM6:13 PM to 7:13 PM 99%6:35 AM, 6:31 PM
Mon Good12:39 AM to 2:39 AM1:05 PM to 3:05 PM8:19 AM to 9:19 AM6:41 PM to 7:41 PM 95%6:36 AM, 6:29 PM
Tue Good1:31 AM to 3:31 AM1:58 PM to 3:58 PM9:35 AM to 10:35 AM7:14 PM to 8:14 PM 90%6:37 AM, 6:27 PM
Wed Poor2:27 AM to 4:27 AM2:57 PM to 4:57 PM10:53 AM to 11:53 AM7:55 PM to 8:55 PM 83%6:38 AM, 6:26 PM
Thu Fair3:27 AM to 5:27 AM3:58 PM to 5:58 PM12:06 PM to 1:06 PM8:47 PM to 9:47 PM 74%6:39 AM, 6:24 PM
Fri Fair4:29 AM to 6:29 AM5:01 PM to 7:01 PM1:12 PM to 2:12 PM9:51 PM to 10:51 PM 64%6:40 AM, 6:22 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight58° · 100% · NE 22 mph

    Patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Cloudy, with a low around 58. Northeast wind around 22 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

  2. Sunday68° · 69% · NE 16–21 mph

    Patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms likely before 2pm, then patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms likely between 2pm and 3pm, then patchy fog and a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Northeast wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  3. Sunday Night60° · 90% · NE 13–16 mph

    Patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then patchy fog and showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 60. Northeast wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  4. Monday67° · 70% · E 9–13 mph

    Rain showers likely and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. East wind 9 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  5. Monday Night57° · 65% · SE 0–12 mph

    Rain showers likely before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Southeast wind 0 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  6. Tuesday64° · 11% · W 5–8 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 8 mph.

  7. Tuesday Night56° · 3% · N 3 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. North wind around 3 mph.

  8. Wednesday67° · W 1–5 mph

    Partly sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 1 to 5 mph.

  9. Wednesday Night58° · 2% · SW 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

  10. Thursday70° · 2% · SW 3–9 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 3 to 9 mph.

  11. Thursday Night60° · 7% · SW 8 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southwest wind around 8 mph.

  12. Friday70° · 7% · SW 6–10 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph.

  13. Friday Night58° · 14% · W 5–9 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. West wind 5 to 9 mph.

  14. Saturday66° · 20% · N 8 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. North wind around 8 mph.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Boston / Norton, MA · issued Sep 26, 7:31 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

A Flood Watch has been issued for central and eastern Massachusetts as well as Rhode Island. Periods of rain will continue, potentially moderate to heavy at times. Storm totals of 2-4" with localized 5-7" are possible. Issued Flood Watch in areas that may potentially see those higher amounts with potential for impacts to small rivers/streams and urban/poor drainage areas.

KEY Messages

Strong/long duration Nor'easter will continue to bring damaging wind gusts, coastal flooding/beach erosion, and periods of heavy rain through the weekend. Rain and gusty winds persist into Monday.

Marked improvement Tuesday, followed by mainly dry and warmer weather for the remainder of the week.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1...Strong/long duration Nor'easter will continue to bring damaging wind gusts, coastal flooding/beach erosion, and periods of heavy rain through the weekend. Rain and gusty winds persist into Monday.

Impacts from this Noreaster are well underway, with satellite imagery showing a distinct, rotating low-pressure center positioned just to our south. Evident bands of higher cloud tops indicate robust convection, which is being reflected on radar as convective showers and even a few embedded thunderstorms. This afternoon, these bands have pivoted into the South Coast and southeast MA. Expect these conditions to persist through the evening, bringing periods of moderate to heavy rainfall rates. Given the banded and scattered nature of the convection, impacts will be localized, but areas across southern MA, RI, and CT face the highest risk through tonight. While we will continue to monitor for isolated flash flooding under the heaviest downpours, the primary hydro threats remain urban ponding and poor-drainage flooding. Strong NE winds persist into tonight. Peak gusts of 4560 mph were observed along the coast early this morning, with localized gusts of 6070 mph across Block Island and the Cape and Islands. Expect 4555 mph gusts, occasionally up to 60 mph to continue this afternoon, highest along the immediate coast.

Strong to Damaging Wind Gusts:

Tonight, the low is forecast to slowly track northward, but west of the 40/70 benchmark before taking a sharp westward turn toward the NJ coast. As the low pivots, a potent 925mb low-level jet (LLJ) oriented SW-NE across southern New England will strengthen to 6070 kts. This introduces a renewed risk for a period of consistently stronger surface gusts, particularly across the South Coast, Block Island, and portions of CT if these winds can efficiently mix down. Gusts of 4560 mph are possible in these areas, and isolated higher gusts along the immediate coast cannot be ruled out. As the low shifts further west toward NJ on Sunday, the 925mb LLJ will weaken. In response, winds will veer to the E/ENE, with surface gusts decreasing into the 3045 mph range. The pressure gradient and associated jet will continue to gradually weaken as the low eventually loops back to the northeast and pushes offshore. Winds will follow suit, with gusts finally dropping below 30 mph by Monday night.

Prolonged Period of Steady Rain, Heavy at Times:

Abundant moisture, optimal dynamics, and marginal instability will maintain widespread rain impacts through the remainder of this event. Added low-level convergence along the higher terrain of the Worcester Hills and Berkshires will continue to support periods of moderate to heavy rain. High-resolution and global guidance highlights a broad footprint of 24 of rain, with localized maximums of 56 possible before the system and rain exit late Monday. Notably, the 48-hour HREF Probability Matched Mean (PMM) highlights areas of Rhode Island and eastern Massachusetts for potential 57 totals. Because this is primarily a prolonged rainfall event rather than a widespread torrential downpour, the overall flash flood threat is somewhat limited by the lack of widespread extreme rain rates. However, the sheer volume of water raises significant concerns for urban and poor-drainage flooding, as well as rapid rises on small rivers and streams. To address this threat, a Flood Watch has been issued for Rhode Island and eastern Massachusetts, aligning with the highest-confidence footprint for the 57 storm totals.

Coastal Flooding:

The prolonged period of strong northeast winds and high offshore seas will continue to result in beach erosion and coastal flooding over multiple high tide cycles through Sunday. Storm surge values of 1 to 2 feet, perhaps briefly approaching 2.5 feet, are expected along east-facing, ocean-exposed shorelines. Coastal Flood Warnings remain in effect along the eastern Massachusetts coast, including the Cape and Islands, through the Sunday night high tide cycle. Consideration is being given to extending these headlines into the Monday morning high tide cycle.

The combination of elevated water levels and 15 to 25 foot offshore seas will result in minor coastal flooding, with a few pockets of low-end moderate flooding possible during each high tide cycle. However, the most significant impact from this long-duration event is expected to be severe beach erosion given the persistent strong northeast winds and large waves. Astronomical tides peak this weekend, so coastal impacts will remain a concern even as winds gradually diminish. In addition, water may struggle to fully drain between successive high tide cycles, while heavy rainfall could further exacerbate drainage and flooding issues.

Coastal Flood Advisories remain in effect for the south coasts of Rhode Island and Massachusetts. While northeast winds are somewhat of a mitigating factor for coastal flooding in these areas, very large swell associated with the nor'easter to our south will propagate northward toward the coast. Pressure falls will also contribute to elevated water levels. Therefore, pockets of splashover and minor coastal flooding are expected, along with minor beach erosion through the weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Marked improvement Tuesday, followed by mainly dry and warmer weather for the remainder of the week.

The weekend's long-duration nor'easter exits east-northeast as the mid-level flow becomes less amplified and blocking diminishes. Throughout the coming week, the mid-level flow becomes fairly zonal, with a few weaker impulses passing through during the mid to late week. These may bring a low probability of a light shower or two.

Expect marked improvements Tuesday as the decaying nor'easter exits the region and winds shift to the northwest. With northwest flow, anticipate lower PWATs advecting into southern New England, bringing any lingering early morning showers to an end. While PWATs remain somewhat elevated into the afternoon, there is little forcing to support additional precipitation. Latest guidance has slowed the clearing trend compared to previous runs, so clouds may hang tough through much of the afternoon before some breaks develop later in the day. Northwest flow will also keep temperatures a few degrees below climatological normals, though it will be noticeably warmer than this past weekend. Highs Tuesday reach the upper 60s to around 70 degrees.

A mid-level ridge builds across the southeastern CONUS this week, while surface high pressure builds south of the region Wednesday through Friday, leading to a stretch of quieter and warmer weather. Guidance hints at a weak northern stream shortwave Wednesday night into early Thursday, followed by a secondary shortwave Thursday night into Friday. PWATs Wednesday night into Thursday remain below 1.2 inches and don't really align with the best forcing. Outside of a brief light shower, would anticipate more clouds than anything. PWATs increase to around 1.5 inches Thursday night with the passage of the secondary weak shortwave, when a few light showers could brush through the region. No significant impacts are anticipated with either disturbance. Temperatures trend warmer through the middle and latter half of the week, though latest guidance has trended cooler compared to previous runs. Highs generally return to the lower and middle 70s, with Thursday potentially the warmest day as highs reach the middle to upper 70s. As for overnight temperatures, there is no notable cold expected, with lows generally falling into the 50s.

Aviation · 00Z Sunday Through Thursday

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

00z TAF Update...

Today through Sunday...High confidence in trends, moderate confidence in timing.

Periods of windswept rain will impact the region through Sunday. IFR, potential for borderline LIFR ceilings tonight, though lower in confidence as we do have windy conditions that typically limit low ceilings. NE wind gusts of 30 to 50 knots expected with the strongest of those winds near the coast tonight. Wind gusts will diminish a bit on Sunday...But still expect NE wind gusts of 25 to 40 knots.

KBOS Terminal...High confidence in trends, moderate confidence in timing.

Confidence lower in ceiling heights overnight tonight. There is potential for borderline LIFR conditions. This is lower confidence as higher winds typically limit the potential for very low ceilings.

KBDL Terminal...High confidence in trends, moderate confidence in timing.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Thursday/...

Monday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Windy with local gusts up to 30 kt. SHRA.

Monday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Chance SHRA.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible.

Wednesday through Thursday: VFR.

Marine

Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent.

Through the Weekend...

Dangerous conditions for Mariners through the weekend with NE wind gusts of 45 to 60 knots and seas offshore of 15-25 feet.

The strengthening early season Nor'easter will bring strong NE wind gusts of 45-60 knots and seas offshore between 10 and 20 feet. Seas will remain quite high Sun into Mon along with NE wind gusts of 25 to 40 knots persisting. Main update was to extend Storm Warnings for the waters through late morning Sunday. Once these expire, these will be replaced by Gale Warnings for Sunday then SCAs for Monday more likely.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Thursday/...

Monday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Rough seas up to 9 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Rough seas up to 8 ft. Chance of rain showers.

Tuesday through Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft.

Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Wednesday Night through Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

BOX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

CT...Wind Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for CTZ002>004. MA...Wind Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for MAZ002>006-008>014-017- 018-026. Flood Watch through late Monday night for MAZ004>007-012>024- 026. High Wind Warning until 8 AM EDT Sunday for MAZ007-015-016- 019>024. Coastal Flood Warning until 8 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ007-015-016- 019-022>024. High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ007-015-016- 019-022>024. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for MAZ020-021. RI...Wind Advisory until noon EDT Sunday for RIZ001. Flood Watch through late Monday night for RIZ001>008. High Wind Warning until 8 AM EDT Sunday for RIZ002>008. Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for RIZ002- 004>008. MARINE...Storm Warning until 10 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ230>237-250-251- 254>256-280>283.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26General Thunderstorms Risk
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 262.00 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 270.25 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 2Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Marginal
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Slight
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Marginal
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Sep 29–Oct 3Severe Drought

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D2 Severe drought
  2. Outlook for Sep 2026Drought remains but improves

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, E Wareham

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 21 and the first fall freeze around October 24: a growing season of about 186 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 11; one spring in ten still has one after May 3.

Climate of 41.71, -70.56: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 29 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max59°67°68°64°67°70°69°64°
Heat index max70°70°
Chance of thunder max31%32%21%6%1%3%3%2%
Cloud ceiling min300 ft300 ft300 ft200 ft-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min1.4 mi1.3 mi2.7 mi9 mi9 mi9 mi9 mi9 mi
Mixing height max1,800 ft1,500 ft1,700 ft1,800 ft2,100 ft2,400 ft2,500 ft2,400 ft
Transport wind max33 mph28 mph15 mph14 mph12 mph15 mph15 mph10 mph
Low visibility risk max5910101010

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Otis Angb (FMH) · 4.1 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2661° / 58°—77° (2017)38° (2012)
Sun Sep 2768° / 60°—77° (2017)39° (2016)
Mon Sep 2867° / 57°—77° (2017)39° (2015)
Tue Sep 2964° / 56°—77° (2014)39° (2013)
Wed Sep 3067° / 58°—77° (2015)40° (2013)
Thu Oct 170° / 60°—73° (2011)43° (2021)
Fri Oct 270° / 58°—71° (2011)42° (2021)
Sat Oct 366° / 55°—76° (2013)38° (2025)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:06 AM6:34 AM6:32 PM7:00 PM11 h 58 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:07 AM6:35 AM6:31 PM6:58 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:08 AM6:36 AM6:29 PM6:57 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:09 AM6:37 AM6:27 PM6:55 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:10 AM6:38 AM6:26 PM6:53 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:11 AM6:39 AM6:24 PM6:52 PM11 h 45 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:13 AM6:40 AM6:22 PM6:50 PM11 h 42 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:14 AM6:41 AM6:20 PM6:48 PM11 h 39 min Last quarter · 54% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from