Current weather · Sep 26, 1:29 PM EDT

41.2710, -82.0230

67°

SunnyFeels like 67° · Humidity 68%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Cleveland, OH · grid 73,54
High
68°
Low
49°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:20 AM
Sunset
7:18 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 1 PM67°67°56°68%0%N12 mph17 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 2 PM68°68°55°64%0%N12 mph18 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 3 PM68°68°55°64%0%N13 mph18 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 4 PM68°68°54°62%0%N12 mph20 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 5 PM67°67°54°63%0%NNE12 mph18 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 6 PM65°65°55°70%0%N9 mph15 mph15%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 7 PM62°62°54°76%0%N7 mph10 mph15%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 8 PM58°58°54°86%0%N5 mph7 mph19%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 9 PM57°57°54°91%0%N5 mph6 mph22%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 10 PM57°57°54°91%0%NNW3 mph5 mph26%—10 mi-100 ft
Sat 11 PM57°57°54°92%0%NNW3 mph5 mph30%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 AM57°57°55°95%0%NW3 mph5 mph33%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 1 AM57°57°56°96%0%NW3 mph5 mph37%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 2 AM56°56°55°95%0%WNW3 mph5 mph36%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 3 AM55°55°54°97%0%WNW3 mph5 mph35%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 4 AM55°55°54°98%0%WNW3 mph5 mph34%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 AM55°55°54°97%0%WNW2 mph3 mph33%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 AM55°55°54°97%0%WNW2 mph3 mph32%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 AM54°54°53°96%0%WNW3 mph5 mph31%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 AM55°55°54°98%0%WNW3 mph6 mph27%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 AM58°58°57°94%0%NW6 mph8 mph23%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 AM63°63°57°80%0%NNW8 mph12 mph19%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 AM66°66°58°74%0%N10 mph14 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 PM67°67°57°71%0%N12 mph16 mph12%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 1 PM68°68°57°67%0%N13 mph17 mph8%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 2 PM69°69°56°64%0%N13 mph18 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 3 PM69°69°56°63%0%N14 mph18 mph23%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 4 PM69°69°55°62%0%N13 mph18 mph30%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 PM69°69°55°62%0%N12 mph17 mph37%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 PM68°68°57°68%0%N10 mph15 mph45%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 PM66°66°56°72%0%NNW9 mph13 mph52%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 PM62°62°57°84%0%NNW7 mph10 mph50%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 PM60°60°57°90%0%NNW7 mph9 mph55%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 PM60°60°58°93%0%NNW7 mph9 mph46%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 PM60°60°58°95%0%NNW7 mph9 mph42%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 12 AM59°59°58°98%0%NNW6 mph8 mph38%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 1 AM59°59°58°97%0%N5 mph7 mph25%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 2 AM58°58°57°95%0%N5 mph6 mph28%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 3 AM57°57°57°99%0%N3 mph6 mph32%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 4 AM57°57°57°99%0%N3 mph5 mph40%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 5 AM57°57°57°98%0%NNW3 mph5 mph52%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 6 AM57°57°57°99%0%NNW3 mph6 mph42%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 7 AM57°57°56°98%1%NNW5 mph6 mph46%—9 mi-100 ft
Mon 8 AM58°58°57°99%1%NNW5 mph7 mph41%1%—8 mi-100 ft
Mon 9 AM60°60°59°97%1%NNW7 mph9 mph59%1%——
Mon 10 AM63°63°60°89%1%N8 mph12 mph59%1%——
Mon 11 AM66°66°59°80%1%N9 mph14 mph59%——
Mon 12 PM67°67°59°76%1%N10 mph14 mph57%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 12:01 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2668°49°Sunny0%wind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
  2. SunSep 2769°57°Sunny0%wind 14 mph
  3. MonSep 2869°56°Partly Sunny1%wind 10 mph
  4. TueSep 2973°56°Mostly Sunny0%wind 3 mph
  5. WedSep 3072°60°Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers16%0.02 inwind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
  6. ThuOct 173°60°Chance Rain Showers37%0.12 inwind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  7. FriOct 270°58°Chance Rain Showers45%0.59 inwind 10 mph · gusts 18 mph
  8. SatOct 371°60°40%1.10 inwind 9 mph
  9. SunOct 469°54°National Blend38%0.42 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. MonOct 564°49°National Blend16%0.06 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. TueOct 665°51°National Blend15%0.07 inwind 12 mph
  12. WedOct 7~62°46°Model mean0.01 in
  13. ThuOct 8~64°49°Model mean
  14. FriOct 9~65°48°Model mean
  15. SatOct 10~61°48°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~58°42°Model mean0.06 in

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like67°
  • WindN 12 mphgusts 17 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity68%
  • Dew point56°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise7:07 PMMoonset 7:13 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2670°55°NWS grid 68° / 49°rain 0%wind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
  2. SunSep 2770°57°NWS grid 69° / 57°rain 1%wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  3. MonSep 2871°56°NWS grid 69° / 56°rain 2%wind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
  4. TueSep 2975°57°NWS grid 73° / 56°rain 4%wind 5 mph
  5. WedSep 3074°60°NWS grid 72° / 60°rain 28%0.15 inwind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
  6. ThuOct 176°60°NWS grid 73° / 60°rain 52%thunder 14%0.04 inwind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
  7. FriOct 270°57°NWS grid 70° / 58°rain 53%thunder 12%0.67 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  8. SatOct 371°58°NWS grid 71° / 60°rain 38%0.90 inwind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  9. SunOct 469°54°Beyond the NWS gridrain 38%0.42 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. MonOct 564°49°Beyond the NWS gridrain 16%0.06 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. TueOct 665°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 15%0.07 inwind 12 mph
50°64°77°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 2:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 25, 8:00 PM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°64°86°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2668° 49°69° 46°66° 49°67° 49°67° 51°~70° 51°
Sun Sep 2769° 57°69° 46°67° 51°67° 52°68° 54°~71° 54°
Mon Sep 2869° 56°55° 50°68° 55°67° 54°65° 58°~69° 57°0.01 in
Tue Sep 2973° 56°—73° 54°72° 53°72° 59°~74° 53°
Wed Sep 3072° 60°0.02 in—64° 57°72° 57°0.07 in72° 58°~78° 58°
Thu Oct 173° 60°0.12 in—64° 62°0.22 in74° 62°0.13 in68° 63°0.52 in~82° 66°0.11 in
Fri Oct 270° 58°0.59 in—72° 62°0.04 in72° 64°0.39 in~68° 61°0.69 in~67° 59°0.43 in
Sat Oct 371° 60°1.10 in—80° 62°0.14 in72° 62°0.24 in~64° 55°~63° 54°0.02 in
Sun Oct 4——79° 64°0.19 in69° 60°0.25 in~64° 51°~57° 53°0.32 in
Mon Oct 5——71° 53°1.89 in58° 49°0.13 in~61° 46°0.01 in~60° 54°0.04 in
Tue Oct 6——~57° 48°0.29 in~48° 48°0.01 in~58° 48°~66° 53°0.02 in
Wed Oct 7——~53° 39°—~62° 42°~69° 57°0.03 in
Thu Oct 8——~52° 43°—~67° 46°~73° 58°
Fri Oct 9——~60° 39°—~59° 50°0.02 in~76° 54°
Sat Oct 10——~60° 46°—~55° 43°~69° 55°
Sun Oct 11——~58° 42°0.06 in———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Lorain/Elyria (LPR) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean60%warmer 40% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2669° / 49°92° (1998)33° (2003)no outlookno outlook
Oct 369° / 48°90° (2007)30° (2001)near normal most likely · days 8 to 1433% chance above normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1066° / 45°84° (2010)29° (2012)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1762° / 43°83° (2007)29° (2015)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2457° / 41°79° (2023)27° (2008)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 3156° / 38°79° (2003)23° (2006)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 755° / 38°77° (2020)8° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1447° / 34°74° (2016)9° (2014)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2148° / 32°70° (1999)6° (2000)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2845° / 31°68° (2005)1° (2002)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 538° / 25°70° (1998)-1° (2005)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1240° / 27°69° (2015)-2° (2017)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1939° / 27°65° (2015)-7° (2004)40% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayVery goodwind
  • Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoorbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor8:50 PM to 5:49 AM0 of 9None100%9 h5 mph
SundayPoor8:49 PM to 5:50 AM0 of 9None98%9 h7 mph
MondayPoor8:47 PM to 5:51 AM0 of 9None94%9 h1 mph
TuesdayPoor8:45 PM to 5:52 AM0 of 9None87%8 h6 mph
WednesdayPoor8:43 PM to 5:53 AM0 of 9None80%12 mph
ThursdayPoor8:42 PM to 5:54 AM0 of 9None70%3 h12 mph
FridayPoor8:40 PM to 5:55 AM0 of 9None60%1 h6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:52 AM to 7:03 AM7:03 AM to 7:56 AM6:42 PM to 7:35 PM7:35 PM to 7:46 PM
Sun6:53 AM to 7:04 AM7:04 AM to 7:57 AM6:40 PM to 7:33 PM7:33 PM to 7:44 PM
Mon6:54 AM to 7:05 AM7:05 AM to 7:58 AM6:38 PM to 7:32 PM7:32 PM to 7:42 PM
Tue6:55 AM to 7:06 AM7:06 AM to 7:59 AM6:37 PM to 7:30 PM7:30 PM to 7:41 PM
Wed6:56 AM to 7:07 AM7:07 AM to 8:00 AM6:35 PM to 7:28 PM7:28 PM to 7:39 PM
Thu6:57 AM to 7:08 AM7:08 AM to 8:02 AM6:33 PM to 7:27 PM7:27 PM to 7:37 PM
Fri6:58 AM to 7:09 AM7:09 AM to 8:03 AM6:31 PM to 7:25 PM7:25 PM to 7:36 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:20 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 7:18 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:07 PM, 83° E
  • MS Moonset 7:13 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit). Next good stretch: Mon 9 AM to 7 PM, 10 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:50 AM to sunrise 7:20 AM, and sunset 7:18 PM to 7:48 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 1 PMNo-fly1215210%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sat 2 PMNo-fly1215220%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sat 3 PMNo-fly1316220%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sat 4 PMNo-fly1217250%10 miup to 0 ft68°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 5 PMNo-fly1217240%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sat 6 PMNo-fly912180%10 miup to 0 ft65°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sat 7 PMNo-fly717200%10 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 8 PMNo-fly518210%10 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMNo-fly518190%10 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft57°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft56°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMNo-fly314150%10 miup to 0 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMNo-fly29100%10 miup to 0 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMNo-fly29100%10 miup to 0 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMNo-fly3450%10 miup to 0 ft54°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 8 AMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft55°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 9 AMNo-fly67100%10 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 10 AMNo-fly810140%10 miup to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 11 AMNo-fly1012160%10 miup to 0 ft66°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 12 PMNo-fly1215190%10 miup to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sat 6 PM to 8 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 2 PM to 8 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 2 PM to 7 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 10 AM to 11 PM 13 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in62%13 mph5 d
SundayDry0%0.00 in62%14 mph4 d
MondayDry1%0.00 in69%10 mph3 d
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in62%3 mph2 d
WednesdayDry16%0.02 in63%9 mph1 d
ThursdayShowers possible37%0.12 in71%14 mph
FridayWet45%0.59 in68%10 mph
SaturdayWet39%1.10 in75%9 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:53 PM to 1:53 AM12:15 PM to 2:15 PM6:43 AM to 7:43 AM6:37 PM to 7:37 PM 100%7:20 AM, 7:18 PM
Sun Best12:39 AM to 2:39 AM1:02 PM to 3:02 PM7:53 AM to 8:53 AM7:01 PM to 8:01 PM 99%7:21 AM, 7:17 PM
Mon Good1:27 AM to 3:27 AM1:52 PM to 3:52 PM9:07 AM to 10:07 AM7:28 PM to 8:28 PM 95%7:22 AM, 7:15 PM
Tue Good2:19 AM to 4:19 AM2:46 PM to 4:46 PM10:22 AM to 11:22 AM8:02 PM to 9:02 PM 90%7:23 AM, 7:13 PM
Wed Poor3:15 AM to 5:15 AM3:44 PM to 5:44 PM11:39 AM to 12:39 PM8:44 PM to 9:44 PM 83%7:24 AM, 7:11 PM
Thu Fair4:15 AM to 6:15 AM4:46 PM to 6:46 PM12:53 PM to 1:53 PM9:37 PM to 10:37 PM 74%7:25 AM, 7:10 PM
Fri Fair5:17 AM to 7:17 AM5:49 PM to 7:49 PM1:58 PM to 2:58 PM10:41 PM to 11:41 PM 64%7:26 AM, 7:08 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon68° · N 13 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 68. North wind around 13 mph.

  2. Tonight54° · NW 2–9 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northwest wind 2 to 9 mph.

  3. Sunday69° · NW 2–14 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 2 to 14 mph.

  4. Sunday Night57° · N 3–10 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. North wind 3 to 10 mph.

  5. Monday69° · 1% · N 3–10 mph

    Partly sunny, with a high near 69. North wind 3 to 10 mph.

  6. Monday Night56° · NW 0–6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

  7. Tuesday73° · W 3 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.

  8. Tuesday Night56° · 4% · SE 2–6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

  9. Wednesday72° · 16% · S 9 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.

  10. Wednesday Night60° · 24% · SW 8–12 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.

  11. Thursday73° · 37% · S 14 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  12. Thursday Night60° · 44% · S 9–13 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  13. Friday70° · 45% · SW 10 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  14. Friday Night58° · 44% · S 5–8 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Cleveland, OH · issued Sep 26, 1:04 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

No significant changes needed to the prior forecast or messaging.

KEY Messages

1) Mainly dry weather and fall temperatures are expected through Tuesday with scattered rain chances returning by the middle of next week.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1... Fall weather with dry conditions is expected through Tuesday evening as high pressure affects the region. The exception may be Sunday evening when a few light rain showers may briefly drift in from the east across Northwest Pennsylvania. Temperatures will be near to slightly below normal over the next several days with highs in the upper 60s and lower 70s and lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s each day. By late Wednesday, weak low pressure will move into the Midwest and Great Lakes region. Forecast has trended drier on Wednesday with only isolated rain showers, increasing a bit in coverage on Thursday and Friday. No thunderstorms are forecast.

Aviation · 18Z Saturday Through Wednesday

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period as high pressure maintains influence over the region. Winds will be out of the north/northeast at 6 to 12 knots through this evening with winds at many locations becoming light tonight. Winds will once again increase by several knots by late Sunday morning/early Sunday afternoon. Periodic gusts to around 20 knots are possible this afternoon and again towards the end of the TAF period.

Outlook...Mainly VFR expected through Wednesday, though periods of overnight patchy fog are possible.

Marine

Northeast winds to 10 to 15 knots with periods of winds close to 20 knots are expected through Monday morning with light and variable flow Monday afternoon through Tuesday evening. Waves in the central and western basins will generally be between 1 and 3 ft through early Monday morning, though the forecast has trended a bit higher for Sunday afternoon into Sunday night when the likelihood for 20 knots winds and some 4 ft waves could be possible.

CLE Watches / Warnings / Advisories

OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 26, 3:45 AM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS41 KCLE 260745
HWOCLE

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
345 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

LEZ061-142>149-162>169-OHZ003-006>009-013-014-017>023-027>033-
036>038-047-PAZ002-003-270745-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Geauga-
Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow-
Holmes-Knox-Southern Erie-
345 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie, north central 
Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

OHZ010>012-089-PAZ001-270745-
Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
345 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast 
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents across Lake Erie beaches on
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 300.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 20.75 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature60% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 3–Oct 9
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 9

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Elyria 3 E

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 22 and the first fall freeze around November 1: a growing season of about 192 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 17; one spring in ten still has one after May 7.

Climate of 41.27, -82.02: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 31 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max66°67°67°71°68°70°67°68°
Heat index max73°73°73°70°70°
Wind chill min49°
Chance of thunder max0%0%1%0%4%10%7%6%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min6 mi10 mi8 mi
Mixing height max3,400 ft3,600 ft3,200 ft4,400 ft3,000 ft2,000 ft2,300 ft2,900 ft
Transport wind max15 mph18 mph14 mph9 mph13 mph14 mph14 mph10 mph
Twenty-foot wind max12 mph13 mph9 mph3 mph8 mph13 mph9 mph8 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max38458
Low visibility risk max699

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Lorain/Elyria (LPR) · 9.6 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2668° / 49°73° / 53°92° (1998)42° (2001)
Sun Sep 2769° / 57°72° / 53°86° (2021)44° (2000)
Mon Sep 2869° / 56°70° / 51°85° (1999)37° (2000)
Tue Sep 2973° / 56°69° / 49°80° (2014)35° (2000)
Wed Sep 3072° / 60°68° / 49°84° (2019)37° (2022)
Thu Oct 173° / 60°70° / 48°90° (2019)36° (2017)
Fri Oct 270° / 58°70° / 50°85° (2013)33° (2003)
Sat Oct 371° / 60°68° / 50°86° (2013)32° (2003)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:52 AM7:20 AM7:18 PM7:46 PM11 h 58 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:53 AM7:21 AM7:17 PM7:44 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:54 AM7:22 AM7:15 PM7:42 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:55 AM7:23 AM7:13 PM7:41 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:56 AM7:24 AM7:11 PM7:39 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:57 AM7:25 AM7:10 PM7:37 PM11 h 45 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:58 AM7:26 AM7:08 PM7:36 PM11 h 42 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:59 AM7:27 AM7:06 PM7:34 PM11 h 39 min Last quarter · 54% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from