41.0890, -91.9680

1. Mon1 AM59°5%2 mph
2. 2 AM58°4%2 mph
3. 3 AM57°4%2 mph
4. 4 AM57°4%2 mph
5. 5 AM57°3%2 mph
6. 6 AM56°3%2 mph
7. 7 AM56°3%2 mph
8. 8 AM58°3%2 mph
9. 9 AM59°3%1 mph
10. 10 AM63°3%2 mph
11. 11 AM65°2%2 mph
12. 12 PM67°2%2 mph
13. 1 PM69°2%2 mph
14. 2 PM70°2%2 mph
15. 3 PM71°2%2 mph
16. 4 PM72°2%2 mph
17. 5 PM70°2 mph
18. 6 PM69°1%2 mph
19. 7 PM66°2 mph
20. 8 PM62°2 mph
21. 9 PM60°3 mph
22. 10 PM59°3 mph
23. 11 PM58°3 mph
24. Tue12 AM57°3 mph
25. 1 AM57°3 mph
26. 2 AM56°3 mph
27. 3 AM55°3 mph
28. 4 AM55°3 mph
29. 5 AM55°5 mph
30. 6 AM55°5 mph
31. 7 AM55°5 mph
32. 8 AM57°6 mph
33. 9 AM60°7 mph
34. 10 AM63°7 mph
35. 11 AM66°8 mph
36. 12 PM69°8 mph
37. 1 PM71°9%9 mph
38. 2 PM73°9%9 mph
39. 3 PM74°9%9 mph
40. 4 PM74°9%9 mph
41. 5 PM74°9%8 mph
42. 6 PM73°9%8 mph
43. 7 PM71°21%7 mph
44. 8 PM69°21%7 mph
45. 9 PM67°21%8 mph
46. 10 PM66°21%8 mph
47. 11 PM66°21%8 mph
48. Wed12 AM66°21%8 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodaySep 2872°55°Mostly Sunny8%wind 3 mph
2. TueSep 2975°64°Partly Sunny21%0.03 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
3. WedSep 3074°65°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely70%0.50 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
4. ThuOct 168°54°Showers And Thunderstorms79%1.57 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
5. FriOct 265°50°Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms41%0.16 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
6. SatOct 366°53°Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms15%0.04 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
7. SunOct 466°51°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Sunny19%0.08 inwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
8. MonOct 563°52°National Blend3%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
9. TueOct 666°55°National Blend6%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
10. WedOct 767°54°National Blend4%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
11. ThuOct 8~68°55°Model mean0.07 in
12. FriOct 9~59°45°Model mean
13. SatOct 10~61°46°Model mean
14. SunOct 11~53°42°Model mean0.01 in
15. MonOct 12~48°30°Model mean0.02 in
16. TueOct 13~40°38°Model mean0.02 in

• Feels like59°
• WindNNE 2 mphgusts 6 mph
• Radar over this pointno reading
• Humidity100%
• Dew point59°
• Pressure—
• UV index—
• Air quality—
• Visibility9 mi
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
• Moonrise7:39 PMMoonset 9:18 AM
• Moon phaseWaning gibbous95% lit

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

1. TodaySep 2872°55°NWS grid 72° / 55°rain 2%wind 3 mph
2. TueSep 2974°64°NWS grid 75° / 64°rain 43%0.03 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
3. WedSep 3075°65°NWS grid 74° / 65°rain 71%thunder 24%0.37 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
4. ThuOct 171°55°NWS grid 68° / 54°rain 86%thunder 33%1.33 inwind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
5. FriOct 266°52°NWS grid 65° / 50°rain 35%0.14 inwind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
6. SatOct 366°54°NWS grid 66° / 53°rain 23%0.06 inwind 7 mph
7. SunOct 466°52°NWS grid 66° / 51°rain 20%thunder 11%0.07 inwind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
8. MonOct 563°52°Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
9. TueOct 666°55°Beyond the NWS gridrain 6%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
10. WedOct 767°54°Beyond the NWS gridrain 4%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
11. ThuOct 866°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 5%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridBlendHRRRGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Tue Oct 13, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Mon 8 AM to 6 PM, 10 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:32 AM to sunrise 7:02 AM, and sunset 6:55 PM to 7:25 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Good Caution No-fly

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Tue 11 AM to 8 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
• Fri 4 PM to 7 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sat 1 PM to 7 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sun 2 PM to 4 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

The best-rated day this week is Monday, rated good.

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

1. Overnight56° · 5% · 0 mph

   Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

2. Monday72° · 3% · 0 mph

   Mostly sunny. High near 72, with temperatures falling to around 70 in the afternoon. East wind around 0 mph.

3. Monday Night55° · 1% · SE 0–5 mph

   Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

4. Tuesday75° · 9% · SE 5–10 mph

   Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

5. Tuesday Night64° · 52% · SE 5–10 mph

   A chance of rain showers between 7pm and 4am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

6. Wednesday74° · 70% · S 5–10 mph

   Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

7. Wednesday Night65° · 79% · S 5–10 mph

   Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

8. Thursday68° · 79% · W 10 mph

   Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

9. Thursday Night54° · 64% · N 10 mph

   Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

10. Friday65° · 31% · N 10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 7am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

11. Friday Night50° · 15% · NE 5 mph

    A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

12. Saturday66° · 15% · E 5 mph

    A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1pm. Sunny, with a high near 66.

13. Saturday Night53° · 19% · SE 5 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.

14. Sunday66° · 19% · W 5 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

FLUS43 KDVN 271947
HWODVN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
247 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-282000-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
247 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

$$

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 12: a growing season of about 168 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 27; one spring in ten still has one after May 14.

Climate of 41.09, -91.97: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.