Current weather · Sep 30, 6:23 AM EDT

40.1400, -74.2240

58°

Mostly SunnyFeels like 58° · Humidity 96%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Philadelphia/Mt Holly · grid 81,92
High
75°
Low
61°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
6:52 AM
Sunset
6:41 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Wed 6 AM58°58°57°96%0%NW1 mph3 mph35%—10 mi
Wed 7 AM58°58°56°93%0%NW1 mph3 mph25%—10 mi
Wed 8 AM59°59°58°96%0%NW1 mph3 mph22%—10 mi
Wed 9 AM63°63°60°90%0%N0 mph2 mph22%—10 mi
Wed 10 AM67°67°61°81%0%NW1 mph3 mph32%—10 mi
Wed 11 AM71°71°62°73%0%WNW1 mph5 mph48%—10 mi
Wed 12 PM72°72°62°71%0%WNW2 mph6 mph44%—10 mi
Wed 1 PM74°74°63°69%0%W2 mph6 mph47%—10 mi
Wed 2 PM74°74°63°69%0%W2 mph7 mph54%—10 mi
Wed 3 PM74°74°63°69%0%W2 mph6 mph53%—10 mi
Wed 4 PM75°75°64°69%0%WSW2 mph6 mph43%—10 mi
Wed 5 PM73°73°64°73%0%S2 mph7 mph51%—10 mi
Wed 6 PM72°72°65°79%0%SSE2 mph7 mph46%—10 mi
Wed 7 PM69°69°64°84%0%SSE2 mph7 mph66%—10 mi20,000 ft
Wed 8 PM66°66°64°93%0%S2 mph6 mph75%—10 mi25,000 ft
Wed 9 PM65°65°63°93%0%S2 mph6 mph67%—10 mi25,000 ft
Wed 10 PM64°64°63°97%0%SSW2 mph6 mph71%—10 mi25,000 ft
Wed 11 PM63°63°63°100%0%SW2 mph8 mph75%—10 mi25,000 ft
Thu 12 AM63°63°62°97%0%SW2 mph8 mph77%—10 mi20,000 ft
Thu 1 AM63°63°62°97%0%SW2 mph7 mph79%—10 mi25,000 ft
Thu 2 AM62°62°61°97%0%SW2 mph8 mph77%—10 mi20,000 ft
Thu 3 AM62°62°61°97%0%SW2 mph8 mph86%—10 mi20,000 ft
Thu 4 AM62°62°61°97%0%SW2 mph7 mph92%—10 mi20,000 ft
Thu 5 AM61°61°61°100%0%SW2 mph7 mph93%—10 mi15,000 ft
Thu 6 AM62°62°62°100%0%SW2 mph7 mph89%—10 mi14,000 ft
Thu 7 AM62°62°62°100%0%SW2 mph7 mph70%—10 mi13,000 ft
Thu 8 AM63°63°63°100%1%SW3 mph8 mph60%—9 mi7,700 ft
Thu 9 AM66°66°65°97%2%SW3 mph8 mph58%—10 mi25,000 ft
Thu 10 AM69°69°66°90%0%SW3 mph9 mph66%—10 mi11,000 ft
Thu 11 AM72°72°67°84%0%SW5 mph10 mph78%—10 mi12,100 ft
Thu 12 PM74°74°67°79%0%SW5 mph12 mph70%—10 mi
Thu 1 PM76°76°68°76%0%SW5 mph12 mph68%—10 mi
Thu 2 PM77°77°68°74%0%SW5 mph12 mph74%—10 mi
Thu 3 PM77°77°67°71%0%SW5 mph12 mph72%——
Thu 4 PM79°79°67°67%0%SW5 mph10 mph62%——
Thu 5 PM77°77°68°74%0%SW3 mph9 mph38%——
Thu 6 PM77°77°68°74%0%SSW3 mph9 mph38%——
Thu 7 PM74°74°67°79%0%SSW3 mph9 mph43%——
Thu 8 PM72°72°66°81%0%SSW3 mph10 mph29%——
Thu 9 PM70°70°66°87%0%SSW3 mph10 mph26%——
Thu 10 PM69°69°66°90%0%SSW3 mph10 mph29%——
Thu 11 PM69°69°65°87%0%SSW5 mph12 mph32%——
Fri 12 AM69°69°64°84%0%SSW5 mph12 mph32%——
Fri 1 AM68°68°64°87%0%SW5 mph13 mph33%——
Fri 2 AM68°68°63°84%0%SW5 mph13 mph33%——
Fri 3 AM67°67°62°84%0%SW5 mph13 mph33%——
Fri 4 AM66°66°62°87%0%SW5 mph13 mph33%——
Fri 5 AM66°66°62°87%0%SW5 mph13 mph33%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 30, 4:09 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 3075°61°Mostly Sunny0%wind 2 mph · gusts 8 mph
  2. ThuOct 179°65°Partly Sunny2%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. FriOct 284°60°Mostly Sunny32%wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
  4. SatOct 368°55°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny32%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. SunOct 465°54°Chance Rain Showers37%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  6. MonOct 565°45°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny27%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  7. TueOct 659°44°Sunny1%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  8. WedOct 761°48°1%wind 3 mph
  9. ThuOct 866°52°National Blend11%wind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
  10. FriOct 965°50°National Blend15%0.29 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  11. SatOct 10~66°52°Model mean0.06 in
  12. SunOct 11~67°51°Model mean0.16 in
  13. MonOct 12~67°51°Model mean
  14. TueOct 13~67°49°Model mean
  15. WedOct 14~64°47°Model mean
  16. ThuOct 15~62°60°Model mean0.03 in

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like58°
  • WindCalm
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity96%
  • Dew point57°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise8:46 PMMoonset 11:32 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous83% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 3075°61°NWS grid 75° / 61°rain 0%wind 2 mph · gusts 8 mph
  2. ThuOct 179°65°NWS grid 79° / 65°rain 5%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  3. FriOct 284°60°NWS grid 84° / 60°rain 31%thunder 10%0.01 inwind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
  4. SatOct 368°55°NWS grid 68° / 55°rain 18%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. SunOct 465°54°NWS grid 65° / 54°rain 39%0.15 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  6. MonOct 565°45°NWS grid 65° / 45°rain 11%0.01 inwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  7. TueOct 658°44°NWS grid 59° / 44°rain 0%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. WedOct 761°48°NWS grid 61° / 48°rain 1%wind 3 mph
  9. ThuOct 866°52°Beyond the NWS gridrain 11%wind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
  10. FriOct 965°50°Beyond the NWS gridrain 15%0.29 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  11. SatOct 1063°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%0.03 inwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
41°64°86°ThuFriSatSunMonTueWed

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°68°95°ThuFriSatSunMonTueWed

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 3075° 61°73° 57°76° 58°76° 60°74° 56°~73° 61°
Thu Oct 179° 65°73° 60°77° 62°75° 64°78° 61°~79° 65°
Fri Oct 284° 60°~65° 64°85° 65°0.06 in84° 66°0.03 in84° 65°0.12 in~87° 68°0.08 in
Sat Oct 368° 55°—68° 57°70° 61°0.02 in70° 56°0.05 in~72° 62°0.06 in
Sun Oct 465° 54°—66° 55°65° 59°0.19 in67° 53°~67° 57°
Mon Oct 565° 45°—70° 53°0.03 in69° 59°0.09 in71° 52°~72° 53°
Tue Oct 659° 44°—58° 46°0.02 in60° 51°~57° 50°~60° 47°
Wed Oct 761° 48°—64° 45°62° 48°~63° 46°~66° 42°
Thu Oct 8——72° 49°67° 53°0.03 in~71° 51°~75° 54°
Fri Oct 9——70° 57°68° 56°0.12 in~66° 53°~74° 54°0.01 in
Sat Oct 10——~64° 61°0.19 in—~69° 48°~65° 48°
Sun Oct 11——~62° 50°0.40 in—~62° 49°~77° 54°0.07 in
Mon Oct 12——~64° 48°—~72° 50°~63° 55°
Tue Oct 13——~67° 50°—~75° 55°~57° 44°
Wed Oct 14——~66° 53°—~62° 60°~62° 40°
Thu Oct 15——~62° 60°0.03 in———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Belmar-Farmdale (BLM) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%33%33%warmer 40% · Oct 202640% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 3071° / 53°95° (2019)32° (1945)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 769° / 51°89° (1939)31° (1929)33% chance below normal · days 8 to 14near normal most likely · days 8 to 14
Oct 1465° / 47°86° (1938)28° (1978)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2160° / 42°84° (1979)26° (1969)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2861° / 42°86° (1919)23° (1980)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 459° / 39°82° (2003)21° (1976)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1153° / 36°81° (1993)15° (1933)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1853° / 37°80° (1985)14° (2018)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2554° / 34°77° (1988)11° (1976)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 250° / 33°77° (1998)8° (1976)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 946° / 31°73° (1946)3° (1982)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1645° / 27°69° (1971)-1° (1919)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2344° / 26°72° (2013)-2° (1980)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayVery goodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoorpartly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayVery goodhumid
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
  • TickstodayVery highwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
WednesdayPoor8:11 PM to 5:23 AM0 of 9None80%9 h2 mph
ThursdayPoor8:09 PM to 5:24 AM0 of 9None71%1 h5 mph
FridayPoor8:08 PM to 5:25 AM0 of 9None61%6 mph
SaturdayPoor8:06 PM to 5:26 AM0 of 9None50%2 mph
SundayPoor8:04 PM to 5:27 AM0 of 9None39%8 h2 mph
MondayFair8:03 PM to 5:28 AM3 of 9None29%Good7 mph
TuesdayGood8:01 PM to 5:29 AM9 of 99 h from 8:00 PM20%Fair1 mph
WednesdayPoor7:59 PM to 5:30 AM0 of 1None12%1 mph

The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Wed6:25 AM to 6:36 AM6:36 AM to 7:28 AM6:05 PM to 6:57 PM6:57 PM to 7:08 PM
Thu6:26 AM to 6:37 AM6:37 AM to 7:29 AM6:03 PM to 6:56 PM6:56 PM to 7:06 PM
Fri6:27 AM to 6:38 AM6:38 AM to 7:30 AM6:01 PM to 6:54 PM6:54 PM to 7:04 PM
Sat6:28 AM to 6:39 AM6:39 AM to 7:31 AM6:00 PM to 6:52 PM6:52 PM to 7:03 PM
Sun6:29 AM to 6:40 AM6:40 AM to 7:32 AM5:58 PM to 6:51 PM6:51 PM to 7:01 PM
Mon6:30 AM to 6:41 AM6:41 AM to 7:33 AM5:56 PM to 6:49 PM6:49 PM to 7:00 PM
Tue6:31 AM to 6:42 AM6:42 AM to 7:35 AM5:55 PM to 6:48 PM6:48 PM to 6:58 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:52 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 6:41 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:46 PM, 55° NE
  • MS Moonset 11:32 AM, 303° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 83% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:22 AM to sunrise 6:52 AM, and sunset 6:41 PM to 7:11 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Wed6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Wed 6 AMCaution1570%10 mi58°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 7 AMGood1140%10 mi58°nothing against it
Wed 8 AMGood1140%10 mi59°nothing against it
Wed 9 AMGood0020%10 mi63°nothing against it
Wed 10 AMGood1140%10 mi67°nothing against it
Wed 11 AMGood1150%10 mi71°nothing against it
Wed 12 PMGood2360%10 mi72°nothing against it
Wed 1 PMGood2360%10 mi74°nothing against it
Wed 2 PMGood2370%10 mi74°nothing against it
Wed 3 PMGood2360%10 mi74°nothing against it
Wed 4 PMGood2360%10 mi75°nothing against it
Wed 5 PMGood2370%10 mi73°nothing against it
Wed 6 PMCaution2370%10 mi72°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Wed 7 PMCaution26100%10 mi400 ft69°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 8 PMCaution2690%10 mi400 ft66°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 9 PMCaution2690%10 mi400 ft65°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 10 PMCaution2690%10 mi400 ft64°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 11 PMCaution26110%10 mi400 ft63°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 12 AMCaution26110%10 mi400 ft63°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 1 AMCaution26100%10 mi400 ft63°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 2 AMCaution26110%10 mi400 ft62°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 3 AMCaution2390%10 mi400 ft62°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 4 AMCaution2380%10 mi400 ft62°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 5 AMCaution2380%10 mi400 ft61°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Thu 11 AM to 9 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 10 AM to 4 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 9 AM to 6 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 4 PM to Tue 7 PM 27 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 10 AM to 5 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
Wed6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in69%2 mph4 d
ThursdayDry2%0.00 in67%5 mph3 d
FridayDry4%0.01 in61%7 mph2 d
SaturdayDry6%0.00 in59%7 mph1 d
SundayShowers possible37%0.00 in78%7 mph
MondayDry4%0.00 in53%8 mph3 d
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in45%7 mph2 dGood
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in57%3 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Wed Poor2:42 AM to 4:42 AM3:12 PM to 5:12 PM11:02 AM to 12:02 PM8:16 PM to 9:16 PM 83%6:52 AM, 6:41 PM
Thu Fair3:42 AM to 5:42 AM4:13 PM to 6:13 PM12:15 PM to 1:15 PM9:09 PM to 10:09 PM 74%6:53 AM, 6:39 PM
Fri Fair4:45 AM to 6:45 AM5:16 PM to 7:16 PM1:21 PM to 2:21 PM10:13 PM to 11:13 PM 64%6:54 AM, 6:37 PM
Sat Fair5:47 AM to 7:47 AM6:18 PM to 8:18 PM2:15 PM to 3:15 PM11:25 PM to 12:25 AM 54%6:55 AM, 6:36 PM
Sun Fair6:47 AM to 8:47 AM7:16 PM to 9:16 PM2:59 PM to 3:59 PM 43%6:56 AM, 6:34 PM
Mon Fair7:43 AM to 9:43 AM8:10 PM to 10:10 PM12:40 AM to 1:40 AM3:34 PM to 4:34 PM 33%6:57 AM, 6:33 PM
Tue Poor8:35 AM to 10:35 AM9:00 PM to 11:00 PM1:54 AM to 2:54 AM4:03 PM to 5:03 PM 23%6:58 AM, 6:31 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Today75° · 0 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. West wind around 0 mph.

  2. Tonight61° · 0 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 0 mph.

  3. Thursday79° · 2% · SW 0–5 mph

    Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

  4. Thursday Night65° · SW 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

  5. Friday84° · 4% · SW 5 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

  6. Friday Night60° · 32% · W 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  7. Saturday68° · 23% · NE 5 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 68.

  8. Saturday Night55° · 13% · E 0–5 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.

  9. Sunday65° · 37% · E 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  10. Sunday Night54° · 37% · SW 0–5 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  11. Monday65° · 15% · NW 5–10 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

  12. Monday Night45° · 2% · NW 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.

  13. Tuesday59° · NW 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 59.

  14. Tuesday Night44° · NW 0–5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Philadelphia/Mt Holly · issued Sep 30, 3:21 AM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

No significant changes.

KEY Messages

1. Low pressure over the Gulf of Maine departs as high pressure builds over the area.

2. Tidal flooding continues to recede in the back bays of New Jersey and Delaware.

3. Unsettled weather possible Friday through Sunday.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1...Patchy fog this morning as high pressure builds over the area.

The former nor'easter, now weak low pressure, over the Gulf of Maine continues to depart the Northeast. High pressure centered near West Virginia will build east today and into Wednesday.

With winds becoming nearly calm and abundant low level moisture over the area, patchy fog will develop during the early morning hours. Fog will lift and dissipate this morning, giving way to mostly sunny skies. Mild with slightly above normal temperatures on Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Tidal flooding continues to recede in the back bays of New Jersey and Delaware.

Tidal levels continue to decline and recede as offshore flow continues to allow the back bays to drain. While some of the back bays of Barnegat Bay, Rehoboth Bay, Jefferson Creek and Little Assawoman Bay may see some spotty minor tidal flooding continue through Wednesday, the bulk of the threat has now ended. As a result, no coastal flooding headlines are currently in effect.

Outside of these areas, a few locales may touch spotty minor with tonight's high tide cycle, otherwise, no further tidal flooding is expected elsewhere.

KEY MESSAGE 3...Unsettled weather possible Friday through Sunday.

A cold front is forecast to move across the area late Friday into Friday night. As it moves into the area, there will be a chance of showers. However, as the vorticity impulse aloft weakens, the showers may dissipate for many areas as the move eastward. The frontal boundary will then stall south and east of the region with a surface high wedging in from the north. A stronger high to the north would force the frontal boundary to stall further south, allowing for a drier Saturday. A weaker high and a frontal boundary that stalls further north, however, would increase the chance for showers across the Delmarva and southern New Jersey. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along the stalled front on Saturday then move north Sunday. Showers will increase Saturday night into Sunday as a couple of short wave/vorticity impulses move into the area, along with the surface low pressure.

High pressure will then build in behind the departing low to keep conditions dry early next week.

Aviation · 06Z Wednesday Through Sunday

The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of tonight (through 12Z)...Predominantly VFR with a low chance ~30% for MVFR vis restrictions in fog after 08z. Light to calm wind. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday...VFR. W-SW winds less than 10 kt. High confidence.

Wednesday night...VFR. Winds light and variable. High confidence.

Outlook...

Thursday through Friday...VFR.

Friday night through Saturday...Occasional MVFR conditions with a chance of showers.

Saturday night through Sunday...MVFR conditions increase, possible IFR, with increasing rain chances.

Marine

Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions tonight through Wednesday. Overall, a westerly flow around 10 kt, becoming south to southwest Wednesday afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Saturday night...Conditions expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory levels.

Sunday...SCA conditions possible.

Rip Currents...

For Wednesday...Northwest winds in the morning around 5 to 10 mph will become south in the afternoon. Breaking wave heights of 1 to 2 feet are expected with a lingering 1 to 2 foot easterly swell around 8 seconds. Given these conditions, have opted to maintain a LOW risk for dangerous rip currents for both the Jersey Shore and Delaware Beaches.

For Thursday...South-southwest winds increase to around 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Breaking wave heights of 1 to 3 feet are expected with a 2 foot easterly swell around 9 seconds. Given the increasing parallel flow along the New Jersey Coast and slightly longer period swell, have opted to go with a MODERATE risk for rip currents for New Jersey beaches; with a LOW risk for rip currents for the Delaware beaches.

The surf season will conclude for the year on September 30th. No further rip current forecasts will be issued beyond September 30th until 2027.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/phi

PHI Watches / Warnings / Advisories

PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 5:05 AM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS41 KPHI 300905
HWOPHI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
505 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026

MDZ012-015-019-020-010915-
Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
505 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Wed Oct 7No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Fri Oct 2Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 3–Oct 40.10 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 5–Oct 9
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 7–Oct 13
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Freehold-Marlboro

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 23: a growing season of about 190 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 9; one spring in ten still has one after May 6.

Climate of 40.14, -74.22: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 29 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWed
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max73°75°78°66°64°62°55°58°
Heat index max75°79°86°
Wind chill min42°44°
Chance of thunder max0%0%10%6%4%4%1%0%
Cloud ceiling min20,000 ft7,700 ft
Visibility min10 mi9 mi
Mixing height max3,500 ft2,400 ft3,000 ft3,700 ft3,500 ft4,700 ft4,800 ft4,200 ft
Transport wind max9 mph12 mph16 mph14 mph15 mph15 mph17 mph9 mph
Twenty-foot wind max2 mph5 mph6 mph6 mph6 mph7 mph6 mph3 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max332900
Low visibility risk max9976

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Belmar-Farmdale (BLM) · 5.7 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Wed Sep 3075° / 61°71° / 52°82° (1952)35° (1942)
Thu Oct 179° / 65°70° / 51°87° (1986)35° (1947)
Fri Oct 284° / 60°71° / 51°85° (1986)37° (1997)
Sat Oct 368° / 55°71° / 53°95° (2019)35° (2003)
Sun Oct 465° / 54°69° / 51°88° (1941)32° (1945)
Mon Oct 565° / 45°70° / 51°95° (1941)33° (1935)
Tue Oct 659° / 44°68° / 50°91° (1941)34° (1943)
Wed Oct 761° / 48°69° / 50°87° (1944)32° (1984)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Wed6:25 AM6:52 AM6:41 PM7:08 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:26 AM6:53 AM6:39 PM7:06 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:27 AM6:54 AM6:37 PM7:04 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:28 AM6:55 AM6:36 PM7:03 PM11 h 41 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun6:29 AM6:56 AM6:34 PM7:01 PM11 h 38 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon6:30 AM6:57 AM6:33 PM7:00 PM11 h 36 min Waning crescent · 33% lit
Tue6:31 AM6:58 AM6:31 PM6:58 PM11 h 33 min Waning crescent · 23% lit
Wed6:32 AM6:59 AM6:29 PM6:56 PM11 h 30 min Waning crescent · 15% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from