Current weather · Sep 30, 6:23 AM EDT
40.1400, -74.2240
58°
- High
- 75°
- Low
- 61°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 6:52 AM
- Sunset
- 6:41 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 6 AM | 58° | 58° | 57° | 96% | 0% | NW | 1 mph | 3 mph | 35% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 7 AM | 58° | 58° | 56° | 93% | 0% | NW | 1 mph | 3 mph | 25% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 8 AM | 59° | 59° | 58° | 96% | 0% | NW | 1 mph | 3 mph | 22% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 9 AM | 63° | 63° | 60° | 90% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 2 mph | 22% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 10 AM | 67° | 67° | 61° | 81% | 0% | NW | 1 mph | 3 mph | 32% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 11 AM | 71° | 71° | 62° | 73% | 0% | WNW | 1 mph | 5 mph | 48% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 12 PM | 72° | 72° | 62° | 71% | 0% | WNW | 2 mph | 6 mph | 44% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 1 PM | 74° | 74° | 63° | 69% | 0% | W | 2 mph | 6 mph | 47% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 2 PM | 74° | 74° | 63° | 69% | 0% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 54% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 3 PM | 74° | 74° | 63° | 69% | 0% | W | 2 mph | 6 mph | 53% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 4 PM | 75° | 75° | 64° | 69% | 0% | WSW | 2 mph | 6 mph | 43% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 5 PM | 73° | 73° | 64° | 73% | 0% | S | 2 mph | 7 mph | 51% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 6 PM | 72° | 72° | 65° | 79% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 46% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 7 PM | 69° | 69° | 64° | 84% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 66% | — | 10 mi | 20,000 ft | ||||
| Wed 8 PM | 66° | 66° | 64° | 93% | 0% | S | 2 mph | 6 mph | 75% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Wed 9 PM | 65° | 65° | 63° | 93% | 0% | S | 2 mph | 6 mph | 67% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Wed 10 PM | 64° | 64° | 63° | 97% | 0% | SSW | 2 mph | 6 mph | 71% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Wed 11 PM | 63° | 63° | 63° | 100% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 8 mph | 75% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 AM | 63° | 63° | 62° | 97% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 8 mph | 77% | — | 10 mi | 20,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 1 AM | 63° | 63° | 62° | 97% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 7 mph | 79% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 2 AM | 62° | 62° | 61° | 97% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 8 mph | 77% | — | 10 mi | 20,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 3 AM | 62° | 62° | 61° | 97% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 8 mph | 86% | — | 10 mi | 20,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 4 AM | 62° | 62° | 61° | 97% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 7 mph | 92% | — | 10 mi | 20,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 5 AM | 61° | 61° | 61° | 100% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 7 mph | 93% | — | 10 mi | 15,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 6 AM | 62° | 62° | 62° | 100% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 7 mph | 89% | — | 10 mi | 14,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 7 AM | 62° | 62° | 62° | 100% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 7 mph | 70% | — | 10 mi | 13,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 8 AM | 63° | 63° | 63° | 100% | 1% | SW | 3 mph | 8 mph | 60% | — | 9 mi | 7,700 ft | ||||
| Thu 9 AM | 66° | 66° | 65° | 97% | 2% | SW | 3 mph | 8 mph | 58% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 10 AM | 69° | 69° | 66° | 90% | 0% | SW | 3 mph | 9 mph | 66% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | ||||
| Thu 11 AM | 72° | 72° | 67° | 84% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 78% | — | 10 mi | 12,100 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 PM | 74° | 74° | 67° | 79% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 70% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Thu 1 PM | 76° | 76° | 68° | 76% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 68% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Thu 2 PM | 77° | 77° | 68° | 74% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 74% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Thu 3 PM | 77° | 77° | 67° | 71% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 72% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 4 PM | 79° | 79° | 67° | 67% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 62% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 5 PM | 77° | 77° | 68° | 74% | 0% | SW | 3 mph | 9 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 6 PM | 77° | 77° | 68° | 74% | 0% | SSW | 3 mph | 9 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 7 PM | 74° | 74° | 67° | 79% | 0% | SSW | 3 mph | 9 mph | 43% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 8 PM | 72° | 72° | 66° | 81% | 0% | SSW | 3 mph | 10 mph | 29% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 9 PM | 70° | 70° | 66° | 87% | 0% | SSW | 3 mph | 10 mph | 26% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 10 PM | 69° | 69° | 66° | 90% | 0% | SSW | 3 mph | 10 mph | 29% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 11 PM | 69° | 69° | 65° | 87% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 32% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 12 AM | 69° | 69° | 64° | 84% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 32% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 1 AM | 68° | 68° | 64° | 87% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 13 mph | 33% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 2 AM | 68° | 68° | 63° | 84% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 13 mph | 33% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 3 AM | 67° | 67° | 62° | 84% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 13 mph | 33% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 4 AM | 66° | 66° | 62° | 87% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 13 mph | 33% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 5 AM | 66° | 66° | 62° | 87% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 13 mph | 33% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 30, 4:09 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 3075°61°Mostly Sunnywind 2 mph · gusts 8 mph
- ThuOct 179°65°Partly Sunnywind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- FriOct 284°60°Mostly Sunnywind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- SatOct 368°55°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunnywind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SunOct 465°54°Chance Rain Showerswind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- MonOct 565°45°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- TueOct 659°44°Sunnywind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- WedOct 761°48°wind 3 mph
- ThuOct 866°52°National Blendwind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
- FriOct 965°50°National Blendwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SatOct 10~66°52°Model mean
- SunOct 11~67°51°Model mean
- MonOct 12~67°51°Model mean
- TueOct 13~67°49°Model mean
- WedOct 14~64°47°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~62°60°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like58°
- WindCalm
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity96%
- Dew point57°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
- Moonrise8:46 PMMoonset 11:32 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous83% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 3075°61°NWS grid 75° / 61°wind 2 mph · gusts 8 mph
- ThuOct 179°65°NWS grid 79° / 65°wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- FriOct 284°60°NWS grid 84° / 60°wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- SatOct 368°55°NWS grid 68° / 55°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SunOct 465°54°NWS grid 65° / 54°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- MonOct 565°45°NWS grid 65° / 45°wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- TueOct 658°44°NWS grid 59° / 44°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- WedOct 761°48°NWS grid 61° / 48°wind 3 mph
- ThuOct 866°52°Beyond the NWS gridwind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
- FriOct 965°50°Beyond the NWS gridwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SatOct 1063°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 30, 2:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 30 | 75° 61° | 73° 57° | 76° 58° | 76° 60° | 74° 56° | ~73° 61° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 79° 65° | 73° 60° | 77° 62° | 75° 64° | 78° 61° | ~79° 65° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 84° 60° | ~65° 64° | 85° 65°0.06 in | 84° 66°0.03 in | 84° 65°0.12 in | ~87° 68°0.08 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 68° 55° | — | 68° 57° | 70° 61°0.02 in | 70° 56°0.05 in | ~72° 62°0.06 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 65° 54° | — | 66° 55° | 65° 59°0.19 in | 67° 53° | ~67° 57° |
| Mon Oct 5 | 65° 45° | — | 70° 53°0.03 in | 69° 59°0.09 in | 71° 52° | ~72° 53° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 59° 44° | — | 58° 46°0.02 in | 60° 51° | ~57° 50° | ~60° 47° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 61° 48° | — | 64° 45° | 62° 48° | ~63° 46° | ~66° 42° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | 72° 49° | 67° 53°0.03 in | ~71° 51° | ~75° 54° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 70° 57° | 68° 56°0.12 in | ~66° 53° | ~74° 54°0.01 in |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~64° 61°0.19 in | — | ~69° 48° | ~65° 48° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~62° 50°0.40 in | — | ~62° 49° | ~77° 54°0.07 in |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~64° 48° | — | ~72° 50° | ~63° 55° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~67° 50° | — | ~75° 55° | ~57° 44° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~66° 53° | — | ~62° 60° | ~62° 40° |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~62° 60°0.03 in | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Belmar-Farmdale (BLM) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normal
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | 71° / 53° | 95° (2019) | 32° (1945) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 7 | 69° / 51° | 89° (1939) | 31° (1929) | 33% chance below normal · days 8 to 14 | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 14 | 65° / 47° | 86° (1938) | 28° (1978) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 21 | 60° / 42° | 84° (1979) | 26° (1969) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 28 | 61° / 42° | 86° (1919) | 23° (1980) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 4 | 59° / 39° | 82° (2003) | 21° (1976) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 11 | 53° / 36° | 81° (1993) | 15° (1933) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 18 | 53° / 37° | 80° (1985) | 14° (2018) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 25 | 54° / 34° | 77° (1988) | 11° (1976) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 2 | 50° / 33° | 77° (1998) | 8° (1976) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 9 | 46° / 31° | 73° (1946) | 3° (1982) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 16 | 45° / 27° | 69° (1971) | -1° (1919) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 23 | 44° / 26° | 72° (2013) | -2° (1980) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayVery goodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightPoorpartly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayVery goodhumid
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
- TickstodayVery highwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:11 PM to 5:23 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 80% | 9 h | 2 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:09 PM to 5:24 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 71% | 1 h | 5 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:08 PM to 5:25 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 61% | 6 mph | ||
| Saturday | Poor | 8:06 PM to 5:26 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 2 mph | ||
| Sunday | Poor | 8:04 PM to 5:27 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 8 h | 2 mph | |
| Monday | Fair | 8:03 PM to 5:28 AM | 3 of 9 | None | 29% | Good | 7 mph | |
| Tuesday | Good | 8:01 PM to 5:29 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 8:00 PM | 20% | Fair | 1 mph | |
| Wednesday | Poor | 7:59 PM to 5:30 AM | 0 of 1 | None | 12% | 1 mph |
The last night runs past the end of the forecast and is rated on the hours it covers.
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:25 AM to 6:36 AM | 6:36 AM to 7:28 AM | 6:05 PM to 6:57 PM | 6:57 PM to 7:08 PM |
| Thu | 6:26 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:29 AM | 6:03 PM to 6:56 PM | 6:56 PM to 7:06 PM |
| Fri | 6:27 AM to 6:38 AM | 6:38 AM to 7:30 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:54 PM | 6:54 PM to 7:04 PM |
| Sat | 6:28 AM to 6:39 AM | 6:39 AM to 7:31 AM | 6:00 PM to 6:52 PM | 6:52 PM to 7:03 PM |
| Sun | 6:29 AM to 6:40 AM | 6:40 AM to 7:32 AM | 5:58 PM to 6:51 PM | 6:51 PM to 7:01 PM |
| Mon | 6:30 AM to 6:41 AM | 6:41 AM to 7:33 AM | 5:56 PM to 6:49 PM | 6:49 PM to 7:00 PM |
| Tue | 6:31 AM to 6:42 AM | 6:42 AM to 7:35 AM | 5:55 PM to 6:48 PM | 6:48 PM to 6:58 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:52 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 6:41 PM, 267° W
- MR Moonrise 8:46 PM, 55° NE
- MS Moonset 11:32 AM, 303° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 83% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:22 AM to sunrise 6:52 AM, and sunset 6:41 PM to 7:11 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Wed | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 6 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 10 mi | 58° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 7 AM | Good | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0% | 10 mi | 58° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 8 AM | Good | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0% | 10 mi | 59° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 9 AM | Good | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 10 mi | 63° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 10 AM | Good | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0% | 10 mi | 67° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 11 AM | Good | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0% | 10 mi | 71° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 12 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 72° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 1 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 74° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 2 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0% | 10 mi | 74° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 3 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 74° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 4 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 75° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 5 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0% | 10 mi | 73° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 6 PM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0% | 10 mi | 72° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 7 PM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 69° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 8 PM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 9 PM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 65° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 10 PM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Wed 11 PM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 12 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 1 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 2 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 3 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Thu 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Thu 11 AM to 9 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
- Fri 10 AM to 4 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sat 9 AM to 6 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 4 PM to Tue 7 PM 27 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 10 AM to 5 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
| Wed | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 69% | 2 mph | 4 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 2% | 0.00 in | 67% | 5 mph | 3 d | |
| Friday | Dry | 4% | 0.01 in | 61% | 7 mph | 2 d | |
| Saturday | Dry | 6% | 0.00 in | 59% | 7 mph | 1 d | |
| Sunday | Showers possible | 37% | 0.00 in | 78% | 7 mph | ||
| Monday | Dry | 4% | 0.00 in | 53% | 8 mph | 3 d | |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 45% | 7 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 57% | 3 mph | 1 d |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | Poor | 2:42 AM to 4:42 AM3:12 PM to 5:12 PM | 11:02 AM to 12:02 PM8:16 PM to 9:16 PM | 83% | 6:52 AM, 6:41 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 3:42 AM to 5:42 AM4:13 PM to 6:13 PM | 12:15 PM to 1:15 PM9:09 PM to 10:09 PM | 74% | 6:53 AM, 6:39 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:45 AM to 6:45 AM5:16 PM to 7:16 PM | 1:21 PM to 2:21 PM10:13 PM to 11:13 PM | 64% | 6:54 AM, 6:37 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:47 AM to 7:47 AM6:18 PM to 8:18 PM | 2:15 PM to 3:15 PM11:25 PM to 12:25 AM | 54% | 6:55 AM, 6:36 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:47 AM to 8:47 AM7:16 PM to 9:16 PM | 2:59 PM to 3:59 PM | 43% | 6:56 AM, 6:34 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:43 AM to 9:43 AM8:10 PM to 10:10 PM | 12:40 AM to 1:40 AM3:34 PM to 4:34 PM | 33% | 6:57 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:35 AM to 10:35 AM9:00 PM to 11:00 PM | 1:54 AM to 2:54 AM4:03 PM to 5:03 PM | 23% | 6:58 AM, 6:31 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedToday75° · 0 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. West wind around 0 mph.
Tonight61° · 0 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind around 0 mph.
Thursday79° · 2% · SW 0–5 mph
Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Thursday Night65° · SW 5 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Friday84° · 4% · SW 5 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Friday Night60° · 32% · W 5 mph
A chance of rain showers after 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Saturday68° · 23% · NE 5 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 68.
Saturday Night55° · 13% · E 0–5 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Sunday65° · 37% · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday Night54° · 37% · SW 0–5 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday65° · 15% · NW 5–10 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 65.
Monday Night45° · 2% · NW 5 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Tuesday59° · NW 5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 59.
Tuesday Night44° · NW 0–5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Philadelphia/Mt Holly · issued Sep 30, 3:21 AM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
What Has Changed
No significant changes.
KEY Messages
1. Low pressure over the Gulf of Maine departs as high pressure builds over the area.
2. Tidal flooding continues to recede in the back bays of New Jersey and Delaware.
3. Unsettled weather possible Friday through Sunday.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1...Patchy fog this morning as high pressure builds over the area.
The former nor'easter, now weak low pressure, over the Gulf of Maine continues to depart the Northeast. High pressure centered near West Virginia will build east today and into Wednesday.
With winds becoming nearly calm and abundant low level moisture over the area, patchy fog will develop during the early morning hours. Fog will lift and dissipate this morning, giving way to mostly sunny skies. Mild with slightly above normal temperatures on Wednesday with highs in the mid to upper 70s.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Tidal flooding continues to recede in the back bays of New Jersey and Delaware.
Tidal levels continue to decline and recede as offshore flow continues to allow the back bays to drain. While some of the back bays of Barnegat Bay, Rehoboth Bay, Jefferson Creek and Little Assawoman Bay may see some spotty minor tidal flooding continue through Wednesday, the bulk of the threat has now ended. As a result, no coastal flooding headlines are currently in effect.
Outside of these areas, a few locales may touch spotty minor with tonight's high tide cycle, otherwise, no further tidal flooding is expected elsewhere.
KEY MESSAGE 3...Unsettled weather possible Friday through Sunday.
A cold front is forecast to move across the area late Friday into Friday night. As it moves into the area, there will be a chance of showers. However, as the vorticity impulse aloft weakens, the showers may dissipate for many areas as the move eastward. The frontal boundary will then stall south and east of the region with a surface high wedging in from the north. A stronger high to the north would force the frontal boundary to stall further south, allowing for a drier Saturday. A weaker high and a frontal boundary that stalls further north, however, would increase the chance for showers across the Delmarva and southern New Jersey. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along the stalled front on Saturday then move north Sunday. Showers will increase Saturday night into Sunday as a couple of short wave/vorticity impulses move into the area, along with the surface low pressure.
High pressure will then build in behind the departing low to keep conditions dry early next week.
Aviation · 06Z Wednesday Through Sunday
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.
Rest of tonight (through 12Z)...Predominantly VFR with a low chance ~30% for MVFR vis restrictions in fog after 08z. Light to calm wind. Moderate confidence.
Wednesday...VFR. W-SW winds less than 10 kt. High confidence.
Wednesday night...VFR. Winds light and variable. High confidence.
Outlook...
Thursday through Friday...VFR.
Friday night through Saturday...Occasional MVFR conditions with a chance of showers.
Saturday night through Sunday...MVFR conditions increase, possible IFR, with increasing rain chances.
Marine
Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions tonight through Wednesday. Overall, a westerly flow around 10 kt, becoming south to southwest Wednesday afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Outlook...
Wednesday through Saturday night...Conditions expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory levels.
Sunday...SCA conditions possible.
Rip Currents...
For Wednesday...Northwest winds in the morning around 5 to 10 mph will become south in the afternoon. Breaking wave heights of 1 to 2 feet are expected with a lingering 1 to 2 foot easterly swell around 8 seconds. Given these conditions, have opted to maintain a LOW risk for dangerous rip currents for both the Jersey Shore and Delaware Beaches.
For Thursday...South-southwest winds increase to around 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Breaking wave heights of 1 to 3 feet are expected with a 2 foot easterly swell around 9 seconds. Given the increasing parallel flow along the New Jersey Coast and slightly longer period swell, have opted to go with a MODERATE risk for rip currents for New Jersey beaches; with a LOW risk for rip currents for the Delaware beaches.
The surf season will conclude for the year on September 30th. No further rip current forecasts will be issued beyond September 30th until 2027.
For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/phi
PHI Watches / Warnings / Advisories
PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 5:05 AM EDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS41 KPHI 300905 HWOPHI Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 505 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026 MDZ012-015-019-020-010915- Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline- 505 AM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Maryland. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 2 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 3 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 4 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 5 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 6 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 7 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 8 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Fri Oct 2Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 3–Oct 40.10 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 5–Oct 9
- Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
- Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 7–Oct 13
- Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13
Drought
- Drought MonitorNo drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Freehold-MarlboroThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 23: a growing season of about 190 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 9; one spring in ten still has one after May 6.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 29 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 73° | 75° | 78° | 66° | 64° | 62° | 55° | 58° |
| Heat index max | 75° | 79° | 86° | |||||
| Wind chill min | 42° | 44° | ||||||
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 20,000 ft | 7,700 ft | ||||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 9 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 3,500 ft | 2,400 ft | 3,000 ft | 3,700 ft | 3,500 ft | 4,700 ft | 4,800 ft | 4,200 ft |
| Transport wind max | 9 mph | 12 mph | 16 mph | 14 mph | 15 mph | 15 mph | 17 mph | 9 mph |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 2 mph | 5 mph | 6 mph | 6 mph | 6 mph | 7 mph | 6 mph | 3 mph |
| Atmospheric dispersion index max | 33 | 29 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Low visibility risk max | 9 | 9 | 7 | 6 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Belmar-Farmdale (BLM) · 5.7 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30 | 75° / 61° | 71° / 52° | 82° (1952) | 35° (1942) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 79° / 65° | 70° / 51° | 87° (1986) | 35° (1947) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 84° / 60° | 71° / 51° | 85° (1986) | 37° (1997) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 68° / 55° | 71° / 53° | 95° (2019) | 35° (2003) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 65° / 54° | 69° / 51° | 88° (1941) | 32° (1945) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 65° / 45° | 70° / 51° | 95° (1941) | 33° (1935) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 59° / 44° | 68° / 50° | 91° (1941) | 34° (1943) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 61° / 48° | 69° / 50° | 87° (1944) | 32° (1984) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:25 AM | 6:52 AM | 6:41 PM | 7:08 PM | 11 h 49 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 6:26 AM | 6:53 AM | 6:39 PM | 7:06 PM | 11 h 46 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 6:27 AM | 6:54 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:04 PM | 11 h 43 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:28 AM | 6:55 AM | 6:36 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 41 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 6:29 AM | 6:56 AM | 6:34 PM | 7:01 PM | 11 h 38 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:30 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:33 PM | 7:00 PM | 11 h 36 min | Waning crescent · 33% lit |
| Tue | 6:31 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:31 PM | 6:58 PM | 11 h 33 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:32 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:29 PM | 6:56 PM | 11 h 30 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from