Current weather · Oct 3, 7:15 AM CDT
40.1260, -98.0680
46°
- High
- 76°
- Low
- 46°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 7:31 AM
- Sunset
- 7:11 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7 AM | 46° | 42° | 45° | 96% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 13 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 AM | 48° | 44° | 46° | 93% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 8% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 AM | 50° | 47° | 47° | 89% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 15 mph | 22% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 AM | 57° | 57° | 48° | 72% | 0% | S | 12 mph | 16 mph | 13% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 11 AM | 59° | 59° | 49° | 69% | 0% | S | 13 mph | 20 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 12 PM | 63° | 63° | 50° | 62% | 0% | S | 14 mph | 23 mph | 8% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 1 PM | 68° | 68° | 51° | 55% | 0% | S | 15 mph | 25 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 2 PM | 71° | 71° | 51° | 49% | 0% | S | 15 mph | 26 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 3 PM | 74° | 74° | 52° | 46% | 0% | SSW | 15 mph | 28 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 4 PM | 76° | 76° | 52° | 43% | 0% | SSW | 14 mph | 28 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 5 PM | 75° | 75° | 53° | 46% | 0% | SSW | 8 mph | 17 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 6 PM | 73° | 73° | 53° | 49% | 0% | S | 5 mph | 9 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 7 PM | 71° | 71° | 54° | 55% | 0% | S | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 PM | 67° | 67° | 54° | 63% | 0% | SSW | 0 mph | 1 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 PM | 62° | 62° | 54° | 75% | 0% | SSW | 1 mph | 1 mph | 9% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 PM | 63° | 63° | 54° | 72% | 0% | SSW | 2 mph | 3 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 11 PM | 63° | 63° | 54° | 72% | 0% | WSW | 3 mph | 5 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 12 AM | 61° | 61° | 54° | 78% | 0% | NW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 1 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 81% | 0% | NNW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 2 AM | 59° | 59° | 53° | 80% | 0% | N | 6 mph | 12 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 3 AM | 59° | 59° | 52° | 78% | 0% | N | 7 mph | 13 mph | 9% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 4 AM | 58° | 58° | 52° | 80% | 0% | N | 8 mph | 14 mph | 13% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 5 AM | 56° | 56° | 51° | 83% | 0% | N | 8 mph | 14 mph | 22% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 6 AM | 55° | 55° | 50° | 83% | 0% | N | 8 mph | 14 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 7 AM | 53° | 53° | 49° | 86% | 0% | N | 7 mph | 14 mph | 16% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 8 AM | 53° | 53° | 49° | 86% | 0% | N | 8 mph | 15 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 9 AM | 55° | 55° | 49° | 80% | 0% | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 10 AM | 58° | 58° | 50° | 75% | 0% | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 11 AM | 59° | 59° | 50° | 72% | 0% | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 12 PM | 62° | 62° | 50° | 65% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 15 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 1 PM | 65° | 65° | 51° | 60% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 2 PM | 66° | 66° | 50° | 56% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 3 PM | 66° | 66° | 50° | 56% | 0% | NE | 6 mph | 10 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 4 PM | 68° | 68° | 50° | 53% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 9 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 5 PM | 66° | 66° | 50° | 56% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 6 PM | 66° | 66° | 50° | 56% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 7 PM | 62° | 62° | 50° | 65% | 0% | ENE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 8 PM | 59° | 59° | 49° | 69% | 0% | E | 1 mph | 2 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 9 PM | 56° | 56° | 49° | 77% | 0% | E | 1 mph | 2 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 10 PM | 54° | 54° | 49° | 83% | 0% | E | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 11 PM | 53° | 53° | 48° | 83% | 0% | ESE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 12 AM | 51° | 51° | 48° | 89% | 0% | ESE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 1 AM | 50° | 50° | 47° | 89% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 2 AM | 49° | 49° | 47° | 93% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 3 AM | 48° | 48° | 46° | 93% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 4 AM | 48° | 48° | 46° | 93% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 5 AM | 47° | 47° | 46° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 6 AM | 47° | 47° | 45° | 93% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 2% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Oct 3, 6:11 AM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodayOct 376°46°Sunnywind 15 mph · gusts 28 mph
- SunOct 468°46°Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
- MonOct 568°56°Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 22 mph
- TueOct 675°56°Sunnywind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
- WedOct 777°60°Sunnywind 3 mph
- ThuOct 877°59°Sunnywind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- FriOct 978°64°Sunnywind 12 mph · gusts 23 mph
- SatOct 1079°62°wind 17 mph · gusts 30 mph
- SunOct 1172°56°National Blendwind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
- MonOct 1264°52°National Blendwind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
- TueOct 13~69°57°Model mean
- WedOct 14~63°50°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~62°48°Model mean
- FriOct 16~59°46°Model mean
- SatOct 17~60°41°Model mean
- SunOct 18~58°38°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like42°
- WindS 7 mphgusts 13 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity96%
- Dew point45°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility—
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
- Moonrise—Moonset 3:24 PM
- Moon phaseLast quarter53% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 3, 1:00 AM CDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodayOct 370°53°NWS grid 76° / 46°wind 12 mph · gusts 22 mph
- SunOct 468°46°NWS grid 68° / 46°wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- MonOct 568°56°NWS grid 68° / 56°wind 10 mph · gusts 21 mph
- TueOct 675°59°NWS grid 75° / 56°wind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
- WedOct 777°60°NWS grid 77° / 60°wind 3 mph
- ThuOct 877°61°NWS grid 77° / 59°wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- FriOct 978°64°NWS grid 78° / 64°wind 12 mph · gusts 23 mph
- SatOct 1079°62°NWS grid 79° / 62°wind 17 mph · gusts 31 mph
- SunOct 1172°56°Beyond the NWS gridwind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
- MonOct 1264°52°Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
- TueOct 1364°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Oct 3, 1:00 AM CDT · GFS Oct 3, 1:00 AM CDT · GEFS Oct 3, 1:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Oct 2, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Oct 2, 7:00 PM CDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 3 | 76° 46° | 67° 48° | 73° 50° | 72° 50° | 71° 51° | ~70° 49° |
| Sun Oct 4 | 68° 46° | 66° 52° | 72° 54° | 71° 54° | 68° 52° | ~70° 51° |
| Mon Oct 5 | 68° 56° | ~52° 51° | 74° 51° | 72° 50° | 68° 48° | ~71° 47° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 75° 56° | — | 83° 59° | 81° 58° | 77° 54° | ~77° 55° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 77° 60° | — | 84° 62° | 79° 60° | 72° 57° | ~74° 53° |
| Thu Oct 8 | 77° 59° | — | 83° 60° | 79° 57° | 76° 54° | ~76° 54°0.08 in |
| Fri Oct 9 | 78° 64° | — | 85° 64° | 82° 60° | ~76° 59° | ~74° 54°0.16 in |
| Sat Oct 10 | 79° 62° | — | 83° 66° | 82° 64° | ~77° 60° | ~79° 58° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | 80° 65° | 79° 65°0.12 in | ~76° 60° | ~77° 58° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | 74° 54° | 70° 59°0.05 in | ~78° 62° | ~77° 60°0.48 in |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~68° 50° | ~56° 56° | ~73° 64° | ~65° 59°0.50 in |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~57° 49° | — | ~78° 58° | ~55° 44°0.01 in |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~61° 40° | — | ~69° 60° | ~56° 45° |
| Fri Oct 16 | — | — | ~53° 41°0.17 in | — | ~71° 50° | ~54° 46°0.01 in |
| Sat Oct 17 | — | — | ~44° 33° | — | ~71° 53°0.04 in | ~65° 36° |
| Sun Oct 18 | — | — | ~58° 38° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Hebron (HJH) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sun Oct 18, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | 70° / 46° | 100° (1947) | 18° (2000) | 33% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 10 | 68° / 41° | 95° (1975) | 19° (1909) | 40% chance above normal · days 8 to 14 | 40% chance below normal · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 17 | 67° / 39° | 93° (1947) | 9° (2006) | 33% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 24 | 61° / 34° | 87° (1927) | 11° (1925) | 33% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 31 | 56° / 30° | 84° (1950) | -3° (1991) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Nov 7 | 57° / 29° | 86° (2006) | -3° (1940) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Nov 14 | 56° / 29° | 83° (1999) | -4° (1940) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Nov 21 | 48° / 24° | 79° (2017) | -11° (1898) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Nov 28 | 44° / 22° | 73° (1995) | -10° (1919) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Dec 5 | 40° / 17° | 74° (1939) | -22° (1919) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Dec 12 | 39° / 19° | 72° (2021) | -17° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Dec 19 | 39° / 17° | 72° (1964) | -26° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
| Dec 26 | 42° / 18° | 69° (1956) | -17° (1968) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | no outlook |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayVery goodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayGoodwind
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightVery goodhumid
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hHighcool nights, warm days
- Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight: 4 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 9:00 PM. Rated good.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Good | 8:41 PM to 6:02 AM | 8 of 9 | 4 h from 9:00 PM | 49% | Fair | 8 mph | |
| Sunday | Good | 8:39 PM to 6:03 AM | 9 of 9 | 5 h from 9:00 PM | 39% | Poor | 6 h | 2 mph |
| Monday | Good | 8:38 PM to 6:04 AM | 9 of 9 | 6 h from 9:00 PM | 29% | Fair | 9 mph | |
| Tuesday | Good | 8:36 PM to 6:05 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 9:00 PM | 20% | Poor | 9 h | 2 mph |
| Wednesday | Good | 8:35 PM to 6:06 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 9:00 PM | 12% | Poor | 8 h | 3 mph |
| Thursday | Good | 8:33 PM to 6:07 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 9:00 PM | 6% | Poor | 7 h | 5 mph |
| Friday | Good | 8:31 PM to 6:08 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 9:00 PM | 2% | Fair | 13 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 7:04 AM to 7:14 AM | 7:14 AM to 8:07 AM | 6:35 PM to 7:28 PM | 7:28 PM to 7:38 PM |
| Sun | 7:05 AM to 7:15 AM | 7:15 AM to 8:08 AM | 6:33 PM to 7:26 PM | 7:26 PM to 7:37 PM |
| Mon | 7:06 AM to 7:16 AM | 7:16 AM to 8:09 AM | 6:32 PM to 7:24 PM | 7:24 PM to 7:35 PM |
| Tue | 7:07 AM to 7:17 AM | 7:17 AM to 8:10 AM | 6:30 PM to 7:23 PM | 7:23 PM to 7:33 PM |
| Wed | 7:08 AM to 7:18 AM | 7:18 AM to 8:11 AM | 6:28 PM to 7:21 PM | 7:21 PM to 7:32 PM |
| Thu | 7:09 AM to 7:19 AM | 7:19 AM to 8:12 AM | 6:27 PM to 7:20 PM | 7:20 PM to 7:30 PM |
| Fri | 7:10 AM to 7:20 AM | 7:20 AM to 8:13 AM | 6:25 PM to 7:18 PM | 7:18 PM to 7:29 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:31 AM, 95° E
- SS Sunset 7:11 PM, 265° W
- MR Moonrise not on this date
- MS Moonset 3:24 PM, 305° NW
- Last quarter, 53% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sat 8 AM to 10 AM, 2 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 7:01 AM to sunrise 7:31 AM, and sunset 7:11 PM to 7:41 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sat | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 7 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 22 | 0% | 46° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 8 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 16 | 0% | 48° | nothing against it | |||
| Sat 9 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 17 | 0% | 50° | nothing against it | |||
| Sat 10 AM | Caution | 12 | 17 | 21 | 0% | 57° | gusts near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 11 AM | Caution | 13 | 16 | 23 | 0% | 59° | gusts near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 12 PM | No-fly | 14 | 20 | 29 | 0% | 63° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 1 PM | No-fly | 15 | 22 | 32 | 0% | 68° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 2 PM | No-fly | 15 | 22 | 33 | 0% | 71° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 3 PM | No-fly | 15 | 22 | 34 | 0% | 74° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 4 PM | No-fly | 14 | 20 | 34 | 0% | 76° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 5 PM | Caution | 8 | 10 | 20 | 0% | 75° | gusts near or over your limit | |||
| Sat 6 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 73° | nothing against it | |||
| Sat 7 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 71° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 8 PM | Caution | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 67° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 9 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0% | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 10 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 11 PM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 15 | 0% | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 12 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 17 | 0% | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 1 AM | Caution | 5 | 18 | 23 | 0% | 60° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 2 AM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 29 | 0% | 59° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 3 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 22 | 0% | 59° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 4 AM | No-fly | 8 | 19 | 25 | 0% | 58° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 5 AM | No-fly | 8 | 19 | 25 | 0% | 56° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sun 6 AM | No-fly | 8 | 19 | 25 | 0% | 55° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Sat 11 PM to Sun 5 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sun 9 AM to 7 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 3 PM to 7 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 12 PM to 9 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Thu 11 AM to 9 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
| Sat | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 43% | 15 mph | 8 d | Good |
| Sunday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 53% | 8 mph | 7 d | |
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 61% | 10 mph | 6 d | |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 71% | 9 mph | 5 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 66% | 3 mph | 4 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 69% | 6 mph | 3 d | |
| Friday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 69% | 12 mph | 2 d | |
| Saturday | Dry | 5% | 0.00 in | 64% | 17 mph | 1 d |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Friday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | Fair | 6:27 AM to 8:27 AM6:57 PM to 8:57 PM | 2:54 PM to 3:54 PM | 53% | 7:31 AM, 7:11 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 7:27 AM to 9:27 AM7:55 PM to 9:55 PM | 12:05 AM to 1:05 AM3:37 PM to 4:37 PM | 43% | 7:32 AM, 7:09 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 8:22 AM to 10:22 AM8:49 PM to 10:49 PM | 1:20 AM to 2:20 AM4:12 PM to 5:12 PM | 32% | 7:33 AM, 7:08 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 9:14 AM to 11:14 AM9:39 PM to 11:39 PM | 2:35 AM to 3:35 AM4:41 PM to 5:41 PM | 23% | 7:34 AM, 7:06 PM |
| Wed | Good | 10:02 AM to 12:02 PM10:25 PM to 12:25 AM | 3:47 AM to 4:47 AM5:06 PM to 6:06 PM | 15% | 7:35 AM, 7:05 PM |
| Thu | Good | 10:48 AM to 12:48 PM | 4:56 AM to 5:56 AM5:29 PM to 6:29 PM | 8% | 7:36 AM, 7:03 PM |
| Fri | Best | 11:11 PM to 1:11 AM11:33 AM to 1:33 PM | 6:04 AM to 7:04 AM5:52 PM to 6:52 PM | 3% | 7:37 AM, 7:02 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedToday76° · S 5–15 mph
Sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight53° · W 0–10 mph
Mostly clear. Low around 53, with temperatures rising to around 56 overnight. West wind 0 to 10 mph.
Sunday68° · NNE 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 68. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night46° · ESE 0–5 mph
Clear, with a low around 46. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Monday68° · SSE 0–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 68. South southeast wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night56° · S 10 mph
Clear, with a low around 56.
Tuesday75° · S 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 75.
Tuesday Night56° · SSW 0–5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Wednesday77° · NE 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 77.
Wednesday Night60° · 1% · SE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Thursday77° · 1% · SSW 5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 77.
Thursday Night59° · 3% · SSE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Friday78° · 3% · S 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Friday Night64° · S 10–15 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 64.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Hastings, NE · issued Oct 3, 6:25 AM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
The West Fork Big Blue River near Grafton continues to be in minor flood stage but is expected to slowly drop. This Flood Warning is in effect until 1 PM today.
Flood warnings continue until 1 PM today for the Little Blue River through parts of Nuckolls and Thayer Counties due to flooding concerns.
No precipitation is expected for the next 7 days (high confidence).
Update
117 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
The West Fork Big Blue River near Grafton continues to be in minor flood stage but is expected to slowly drop. This Flood Warning is in effect until 1 PM today. Flood warnings continue until 1 PM today for the Little Blue River through parts of Nuckolls and Thayer Counties. Even though the Little Blue River at these locations is not currently in flood stage, minor flooding concerns continue across nearby portions of this river. Currently across south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas, winds are out of the south at around 5 to 15 MPH. Clear skies are across the area with temperatures in the 40s and 50s. Temperatures are expected to drop into the 40s areawide overnight into Saturday morning.
Winds will strengthen some out of the south to southwest early this afternoon as a surface trough strengthens across the area in advance of an approaching cold front. Temperatures this afternoon are expected to warm up into the mid to upper 70s with sunny to mostly sunny skies. A northerly wind shift will occur this evening with cooler air pushing into the area on Sunday. High temperatures Sunday and Monday will be in the 60s and 70s. Highs mostly in the 70s with some lower 80s are expected Tuesday through Friday. Low temperatures will range from the mid 40s to mid 60s. No precipitation is expected for the whole 7 day forecast (high confidence).
Discussion
155 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026
After a VERY rainy few days across much of the area, a much drier pattern is now in-place. A few shortwaves will move through the region, but global ensembles have few, if any, members producing precipitation through the end of next week. This should be good news for areas with lingering flooding and for harvest operations.
Drier air allowed temperatures to dip into the 40s this morning, but temperatures quickly returned to mid to upper 60s in the afternoon under clear skies. Tonight will be a touch warmer than last night as southerly winds increase ahead of an approaching shortwave. Saturday morning low temperatures should range from the mid 40s to low 50s.
Continued south to southwesterly winds and clear skies on Saturday will promote another very effective warmup....likely into the 70s for most of the area. The NBM is on the cool side of guidance, likely due to warm- season bias correction carrying over into the the more fall-like regime we are currently in.
A cold front moves through Saturday evening, resulting in a cooler (but not overly cold) day on Sunday. Much like today (Friday), high temperatures should reach the 60s to low 70s, accompanied by light and variable winds.
Temperatures then gradually warm as we head into next week. Highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s will be common, which is slightly above our climatological normals for early October. Rain chances remain minimal (below 10%), even into next weekend (October 10-11th).
Aviation · 12Z TAFs Through 12Z Sunday
619 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will increase out of the south to southwest to around 15 knots with higher gusts (possibly up to 35 knots) later this morning into this afternoon. Winds will weaken some and become more westerly around 21z before transitioning to the north around 00z. Winds will become northwesterly at around 5 knots by 12z Sunday.
GID Watches / Warnings / Advisories
NE...None. KS...None.
Hazardous weather outlook Oct 3, 2:10 AM CDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS43 KGID 030710 HWOGID Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Hastings NE 210 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 040715- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 210 AM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Minor flooding lingers along parts of the Big Blue and Little Blue Rivers. These rivers have crested and will fall through the weekend. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 2 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 3 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 4 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 5 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
- Day 6 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
- Day 7 · Fri Oct 9No risk area
- Day 8 · Sat Oct 10No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Sat Oct 3Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Sun Oct 4Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Mon Oct 5Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 6–Oct 7Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 8–Oct 9Under 0.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature60% chance above normalOct 8–Oct 12
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 8–Oct 12
- Days 8–14 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 10–Oct 16
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 10–Oct 16
Drought
- Drought MonitorNo drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, SuperiorThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 10: a growing season of about 162 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 26; one spring in ten still has one after May 10.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 22 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 68° | 64° | 64° | 72° | 74° | 74° | 74° | 73° |
| Heat index max | 76° | 75° | 76° | 76° | 77° | 78° | ||
| Wind chill min | 42° | 46° | ||||||
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% |
| Mixing height max | 2,400 ft | 3,700 ft | 2,900 ft | 2,300 ft | 2,800 ft | 2,200 ft | 2,900 ft | 3,500 ft |
| Transport wind max | 18 mph | 15 mph | 16 mph | 16 mph | 9 mph | 13 mph | 16 mph | 22 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Hebron (HJH) · 25 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 | 76° / 46° | 73° / 46° | 98° (1938) | 30° (2004) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 68° / 46° | 74° / 46° | 98° (1938) | 30° (1901) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 68° / 56° | 70° / 44° | 100° (1947) | 31° (1902) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 75° / 56° | 70° / 46° | 96° (2024) | 22° (1952) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 77° / 60° | 69° / 44° | 92° (1916) | 19° (1952) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 77° / 59° | 71° / 43° | 93° (1893) | 18° (2000) |
| Fri Oct 9 | 78° / 64° | 72° / 43° | 91° (1928) | 18° (2000) |
| Sat Oct 10 | 79° / 62° | 69° / 42° | 93° (1928) | 20° (1906) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 7:04 AM | 7:31 AM | 7:11 PM | 7:38 PM | 11 h 40 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
| Sun | 7:05 AM | 7:32 AM | 7:09 PM | 7:37 PM | 11 h 37 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 7:06 AM | 7:33 AM | 7:08 PM | 7:35 PM | 11 h 35 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
| Tue | 7:07 AM | 7:34 AM | 7:06 PM | 7:33 PM | 11 h 32 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 7:08 AM | 7:35 AM | 7:05 PM | 7:32 PM | 11 h 30 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
| Thu | 7:09 AM | 7:36 AM | 7:03 PM | 7:30 PM | 11 h 27 min | Waning crescent · 8% lit |
| Fri | 7:10 AM | 7:37 AM | 7:02 PM | 7:29 PM | 11 h 25 min | Waning crescent · 3% lit |
| Sat | 7:11 AM | 7:38 AM | 7:00 PM | 7:27 PM | 11 h 22 min | New moon · 1% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from