Current weather · Sep 29, 3:30 AM EDT

39.8540, -87.4080

50°

Patchy fogFeels like 50° · Humidity 100%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Indianapolis, IN · grid 14,70
High
81°
Low
57°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:44 AM
Sunset
7:35 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Tue 3 AMPatchy fog50°50°50°100%0%S0 mph0 mph3%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 4 AMPatchy fog49°49°49°100%0%S0 mph0 mph3%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 5 AMPatchy fog49°49°49°100%0%S0 mph0 mph3%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 6 AMPatchy fog49°49°49°100%0%S0 mph0 mph5%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 7 AMPatchy fog49°49°49°100%0%SE0 mph0 mph6%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 8 AMPatchy fog49°49°49°100%0%SE0 mph0 mph8%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 9 AMPatchy fog52°52°52°100%0%SE1 mph3 mph5%—6 mi-100 ft
Tue 10 AM58°58°55°90%0%SSE1 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 11 AM65°65°56°73%0%S2 mph6 mph1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 12 PM70°70°56°61%0%S3 mph6 mph1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 1 PM75°75°55°50%0%S3 mph7 mph1%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 2 PM77°77°54°45%0%S5 mph7 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 3 PM79°79°52°39%0%S5 mph7 mph9%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 4 PM80°80°52°38%0%S5 mph7 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 5 PM80°80°51°36%0%S5 mph7 mph23%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 6 PM78°78°52°40%0%S5 mph7 mph21%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 7 PM75°75°53°46%0%SSE5 mph7 mph19%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 8 PM68°68°52°57%0%SSE3 mph3 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 9 PM65°65°52°63%0%SSE3 mph3 mph23%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 10 PM63°63°52°67%0%SSE3 mph3 mph29%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 11 PM62°62°53°72%0%SSE3 mph3 mph36%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 12 AM61°61°53°75%0%SSE3 mph3 mph51%—10 mi-100 ft
Wed 1 AM60°60°53°78%0%SSE3 mph3 mph65%—10 mi20,400 ft
Wed 2 AM60°60°53°78%0%SSE2 mph2 mph80%—10 mi14,500 ft
Wed 3 AM59°59°53°80%0%SSE3 mph3 mph77%—10 mi13,000 ft
Wed 4 AM58°58°53°83%0%SSE3 mph3 mph74%—10 mi25,000 ft
Wed 5 AM58°58°52°80%0%SSE3 mph3 mph71%—10 mi24,600 ft
Wed 6 AM57°57°52°83%0%S3 mph3 mph74%—10 mi13,200 ft
Wed 7 AM57°57°52°83%0%S3 mph3 mph76%—10 mi13,000 ft
Wed 8 AM57°57°52°83%0%S3 mph3 mph79%—10 mi24,800 ft
Wed 9 AM60°60°53°78%0%S5 mph10 mph79%—10 mi21,100 ft
Wed 10 AM65°65°54°68%0%S7 mph12 mph79%—10 mi20,900 ft
Wed 11 AM69°69°54°59%0%S8 mph13 mph79%—10 mi24,400 ft
Wed 12 PM73°73°55°53%0%S8 mph13 mph74%—10 mi21,800 ft
Wed 1 PM76°76°54°46%0%S8 mph13 mph68%—10 mi19,200 ft
Wed 2 PM79°79°54°42%0%S8 mph14 mph63%—10 mi16,600 ft
Wed 3 PM81°80°53°38%0%S8 mph14 mph66%—10 mi17,400 ft
Wed 4 PM81°80°53°38%0%S8 mph14 mph69%—10 mi18,200 ft
Wed 5 PM83°82°54°37%0%S8 mph14 mph73%—10 mi19,000 ft
Wed 6 PM82°81°55°40%0%S8 mph14 mph73%—10 mi18,700 ft
Wed 7 PM79°79°55°44%0%SSE8 mph13 mph74%—10 mi18,400 ft
Wed 8 PM76°76°54°46%0%SSE8 mph13 mph74%—10 mi18,100 ft
Wed 9 PM71°71°54°55%0%SSE7 mph14 mph70%—10 mi18,400 ft
Wed 10 PM71°71°54°55%0%SSE7 mph14 mph66%—10 mi18,700 ft
Wed 11 PM70°70°54°57%0%SSE6 mph15 mph62%—10 mi19,000 ft
Thu 12 AM69°69°54°59%0%S6 mph15 mph63%——
Thu 1 AM69°69°54°59%0%S6 mph15 mph64%——
Thu 2 AM68°68°54°61%0%S6 mph15 mph65%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 29, 3:21 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2981°57°Patchy Fog then Sunny0%wind 5 mph
  2. WedSep 3084°65°Mostly Cloudy0%wind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
  3. ThuOct 187°63°Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers46%0.14 inwind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. FriOct 273°54°Showers And Thunderstorms77%0.36 inwind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
  5. SatOct 368°54°Chance Rain Showers36%wind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
  6. SunOct 469°47°Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunny19%wind 9 mph
  7. MonOct 567°44°Sunny3%wind 8 mph
  8. TueOct 668°50°2%wind 6 mph
  9. WedOct 772°52°National Blend12%wind 5 mph
  10. ThuOct 872°51°National Blend8%0.01 inwind 7 mph
  11. FriOct 9~66°49°Model mean
  12. SatOct 10~68°44°Model mean
  13. SunOct 11~70°51°Model mean
  14. MonOct 12~64°46°Model mean
  15. TueOct 13~70°43°Model mean
  16. WedOct 14~74°61°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like50°
  • WindCalm
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity100%
  • Dew point50°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility6 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise8:59 PMMoonset 11:11 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2981°58°NWS grid 81° / 57°rain 1%wind 3 mph
  2. WedSep 3085°68°NWS grid 84° / 65°rain 6%wind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  3. ThuOct 186°63°NWS grid 87° / 63°rain 73%thunder 19%0.27 inwind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
  4. FriOct 271°55°NWS grid 73° / 54°rain 77%thunder 21%0.87 inwind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  5. SatOct 369°54°NWS grid 68° / 54°rain 33%0.37 inwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
  6. SunOct 469°47°NWS grid 69° / 47°rain 10%wind 9 mph
  7. MonOct 566°45°NWS grid 67° / 44°rain 1%wind 8 mph
  8. TueOct 668°49°NWS grid 68° / 50°rain 5%wind 5 mph
  9. WedOct 772°52°Beyond the NWS gridrain 12%wind 5 mph
  10. ThuOct 872°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 8%0.01 inwind 7 mph
  11. FriOct 970°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 6%wind 8 mph
41°64°86°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°68°95°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2981° 57°78° 51°80° 55°80° 55°79° 53°~78° 49°
Wed Sep 3084° 65°84° 56°85° 61°81° 62°81° 58°~78° 64°0.01 in
Thu Oct 187° 63°0.14 in—90° 70°0.02 in86° 70°0.06 in86° 67°~86° 69°0.05 in
Fri Oct 273° 54°0.36 in—69° 54°0.57 in73° 57°0.67 in68° 57°0.84 in~71° 63°0.76 in
Sat Oct 368° 54°—68° 49°67° 53°0.08 in70° 50°~71° 51°
Sun Oct 469° 47°—71° 50°70° 53°0.09 in~71° 50°~74° 50°
Mon Oct 567° 44°—64° 45°66° 47°~64° 48°~68° 51°
Tue Oct 668° 50°—67° 43°67° 45°0.02 in~65° 43°~65° 41°
Wed Oct 7——71° 47°71° 51°0.09 in~71° 44°~69° 42°
Thu Oct 8——75° 55°71° 55°0.12 in~75° 58°~64° 51°0.04 in
Fri Oct 9——~70° 47°—~62° 51°~68° 49°0.02 in
Sat Oct 10——~74° 51°—~59° 40°~71° 40°0.01 in
Sun Oct 11——~74° 55°—~71° 46°~65° 53°
Mon Oct 12——~66° 44°—~70° 53°~58° 41°
Tue Oct 13——~76° 48°—~48° 48°~64° 39°
Wed Oct 14——~74° 61°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Paris (PRG) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%warmer 40% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec-20°0°20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2974° / 49°99° (1953)24° (1899)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 670° / 46°93° (1946)25° (1952)33% chance below normal · days 8 to 1433% chance below normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1366° / 42°90° (1938)22° (1896)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2065° / 44°89° (1953)19° (1962)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2759° / 40°87° (1927)15° (1925)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 355° / 38°80° (1915)2° (1991)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1050° / 32°80° (1971)2° (2019)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1751° / 32°77° (1952)4° (1959)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2447° / 30°74° (1905)-6° (1950)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 144° / 29°73° (1982)-5° (1929)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 839° / 24°70° (2015)-11° (1917)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1537° / 24°72° (1948)-20° (1951)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 2233° / 20°67° (1933)-22° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayGoodfog
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hGoodfog
  • Drivingnext 24 hGoodfog

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hHighcool nights, warm days
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
TuesdayPoor9:05 PM to 6:15 AM0 of 9None87%3 mph
WednesdayPoor9:03 PM to 6:16 AM0 of 9None79%8 mph
ThursdayPoor9:02 PM to 6:17 AM0 of 9None70%3 h5 mph
FridayPoor9:00 PM to 6:18 AM0 of 9None60%8 h12 mph
SaturdayPoor8:58 PM to 6:19 AM0 of 9None50%4 h5 mph
SundayGood8:57 PM to 6:20 AM9 of 95 h from 9:00 PM39%Fair1 h6 mph
MondayGood8:55 PM to 6:21 AM9 of 96 h from 9:00 PM29%Fair2 h5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Tue7:17 AM to 7:28 AM7:28 AM to 8:20 AM6:59 PM to 7:52 PM7:52 PM to 8:02 PM
Wed7:18 AM to 7:28 AM7:28 AM to 8:21 AM6:58 PM to 7:50 PM7:50 PM to 8:00 PM
Thu7:19 AM to 7:29 AM7:29 AM to 8:22 AM6:56 PM to 7:48 PM7:48 PM to 7:59 PM
Fri7:20 AM to 7:30 AM7:30 AM to 8:23 AM6:54 PM to 7:47 PM7:47 PM to 7:57 PM
Sat7:21 AM to 7:31 AM7:31 AM to 8:24 AM6:53 PM to 7:45 PM7:45 PM to 7:56 PM
Sun7:22 AM to 7:32 AM7:32 AM to 8:25 AM6:51 PM to 7:44 PM7:44 PM to 7:54 PM
Mon7:23 AM to 7:33 AM7:33 AM to 8:26 AM6:49 PM to 7:42 PM7:42 PM to 7:52 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:44 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 7:35 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:59 PM, 60° ENE
  • MS Moonset 11:11 AM, 298° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 90% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 7:14 AM to sunrise 7:44 AM, and sunset 7:35 PM to 8:05 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Tue6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Tue 3 AMNo-fly0000%6 miup to 0 ft50°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 4 AMNo-fly0000%6 miup to 0 ft49°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 5 AMNo-fly0000%6 miup to 0 ft49°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 6 AMNo-fly0000%6 miup to 0 ft49°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 7 AMNo-fly0000%6 miup to 0 ft49°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 8 AMNo-fly0000%6 miup to 0 ft49°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 9 AMNo-fly1140%6 miup to 0 ft52°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 10 AMNo-fly1150%10 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 11 AMNo-fly2360%10 miup to 0 ft65°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 12 PMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 1 PMNo-fly3480%10 miup to 0 ft75°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 2 PMNo-fly5580%10 miup to 0 ft77°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 3 PMNo-fly5580%10 miup to 0 ft79°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 4 PMNo-fly5680%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 5 PMNo-fly5680%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 6 PMNo-fly5680%10 miup to 0 ft78°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Tue 7 PMNo-fly5680%10 miup to 0 ft75°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Tue 8 PMNo-fly314140%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 9 PMNo-fly314140%10 miup to 0 ft65°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 10 PMNo-fly314140%10 miup to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 11 PMNo-fly314140%10 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 12 AMNo-fly3880%10 miup to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 1 AMCaution3880%10 mi400 ft60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 2 AMCaution2330%10 mi400 ft60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Tue 12 PM to Wed 2 AM 14 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 9 AM to Thu 4 AM 19 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sat 12 PM to 11 PM 11 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 11 AM to Mon 3 AM 16 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 10 AM to Tue 1 AM 15 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 11 AM to 5 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
Tue6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in36%5 mph2 d
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in37%8 mph1 dGood
ThursdayShowers possible25%0.14 in45%13 mph
FridayWet77%0.36 in73%13 mph
SaturdayDry23%0.00 in63%9 mph4 d
SundayDry9%0.00 in55%9 mph3 d
MondayDry3%0.00 in45%8 mph2 dGood
TuesdayDry1%0.00 in45%6 mph1 dGood

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Tue Good2:41 AM to 4:41 AM3:08 PM to 5:08 PM10:41 AM to 11:41 AM8:29 PM to 9:29 PM 90%7:44 AM, 7:35 PM
Wed Poor3:37 AM to 5:37 AM4:07 PM to 6:07 PM11:57 AM to 12:57 PM9:12 PM to 10:12 PM 83%7:45 AM, 7:33 PM
Thu Fair4:37 AM to 6:37 AM5:08 PM to 7:08 PM1:09 PM to 2:09 PM10:06 PM to 11:06 PM 74%7:46 AM, 7:32 PM
Fri Fair5:40 AM to 7:40 AM6:11 PM to 8:11 PM2:14 PM to 3:14 PM11:10 PM to 12:10 AM 64%7:47 AM, 7:30 PM
Sat Fair6:42 AM to 8:42 AM7:13 PM to 9:13 PM3:09 PM to 4:09 PM 54%7:48 AM, 7:29 PM
Sun Fair7:42 AM to 9:42 AM8:11 PM to 10:11 PM12:21 AM to 1:21 AM3:52 PM to 4:52 PM 43%7:49 AM, 7:27 PM
Mon Fair8:38 AM to 10:38 AM9:05 PM to 11:05 PM1:36 AM to 2:36 AM4:28 PM to 5:28 PM 33%7:50 AM, 7:25 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight48° · 0 mph

    Patchy fog. Clear, with a low around 48. Wind around 0 mph.

  2. Tuesday81° · SSE 0–5 mph

    Patchy fog before 10am. Sunny, with a high near 81. South southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  3. Tuesday Night57° · SSE 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

  4. Wednesday84° · S 3–8 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a high near 84. South wind 3 to 8 mph.

  5. Wednesday Night65° · SSE 8 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. South southeast wind around 8 mph.

  6. Thursday87° · 25% · SSW 8–13 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. South southwest wind 8 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  7. Thursday Night63° · 71% · NW 2–9 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 8pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northwest wind 2 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  8. Friday73° · 77% · NNE 3–12 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. North northeast wind 3 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

  9. Friday Night54° · 57% · NNE 7–13 mph

    Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. North northeast wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  10. Saturday68° · 36% · ENE 9 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. East northeast wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  11. Saturday Night54° · 22% · NNE 2–7 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  12. Sunday69° · 19% · NNW 2–9 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  13. Sunday Night47° · 7% · N 3–8 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

  14. Monday67° · 3% · NNE 3–8 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 67.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Indianapolis, IN · issued Sep 29, 2:51 AM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Patchy fog possible this morning

Warm and dry through mid week with temperatures well above normal

Rain chances return late week into the early weekend

Dry and substantially cooler weather expected next week

Discussion (Today Through Monday)

251 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

Dry and warm weather will remain the rule across central Indiana through mid week, as a surface and upper level ridge gradually push eastward. Our next chances for precipitation will come late this week into the weekend, courtesy of a slow-moving frontal system, after which a substantial change to far more fall-like conditions appears likely.

Clear skies and light winds under the surface high this morning should produce at least some patchy fog across the area, particularly just prior to daybreak. Isolated spots of dense fog will be possible, mainly north. This fog will mix out in typical diurnal fashion after sunrise.

Dry and warm conditions will continue through at least early Thursday as a slow moving upper level low gradually absorbs the remnants of Hurricane Polo and pushes eastward into the central CONUS. The frontal boundary between this system and another large upper low well to our northeast over the eastern Canadian provinces will be held up both by this slow eastward progression and the influence of the upper ridge over the Gulf Coast, but will eventually sag into the area Thursday night into Friday, which is when rain chances will be highest. Blend keeps low PoPs in the area into Sunday, though given the latest model data this appears to be far too long, and suspect that we'll see this window shrink as the week wears on.

A rumble of thunder or two cannot be ruled out at times, though for the most part, just showers will be expected, though locally heavy downpours will be at least a modest concern given precipitable water values near climatological maximum thanks in part to the presence of tropical moisture from the Polo remnants. Recent drier conditions across central Indiana will help to limit hydrologic concerns, however.

In the wake of the front, two areas of strong Canadian high pressure will drop into the region, bringing substantially cooler air and a return to dry conditions for much of the first full week of October, with max temperatures down as much as 15-20 degrees and min temperatures down a solid 10-15 degrees, a bit below seasonal normals and far more fall-like than conditions experienced through the first third of the Autumn season.

Aviation (06Z TAF Issuance)

1149 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

Impacts:

Fog possibly generating IFR vis at LAF between 08-12Z with MVFR vis possible at BMG/HUF

Discussion:

Predominately VFR conditions are expected through the period. Patchy fog may develop near the outlying TAF sites between 08-12Z, especially at LAF. MVFR visibilities are possible briefly at BMG/HUF while tempo IFR vis are possible at KLAF. Any fog that develops will quickly mix out after sunrise. Winds will remain light and veer into the afternoon hours as high pressure shifts to the east of central Indiana.

IND Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 29, 2:53 AM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KIND 290653
HWOIND

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Indianapolis IN
253 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-300700-
Carroll-Warren-Tippecanoe-Clinton-Howard-Fountain-Montgomery-Boone-
Tipton-Hamilton-Madison-Delaware-Randolph-Vermillion-Parke-Putnam-
Hendricks-Marion-Hancock-Henry-Vigo-Clay-Owen-Morgan-Johnson-Shelby-
Rush-Sullivan-Greene-Monroe-Brown-Bartholomew-Decatur-Knox-Daviess-
Martin-Lawrence-Jackson-Jennings-
253 AM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for central Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Patchy fog will end shortly after daybreak this morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms with the primary threat being 
cloud to ground lightning are possible Thursday night into Friday. 
In addition, locally heavy rainfall is also possible during this 
period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

&&
 
More information, along with other weather, hydrological and climate
information can be found at http://weather.gov/ind

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 10.50 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 30.50 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 5Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2Marginal
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3Marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 8
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 8
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 6–Oct 12
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 6–Oct 12

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Thu Oct 1Heavy Rain

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Rockville

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 12: a growing season of about 164 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 30; one spring in ten still has one after May 15.

Climate of 39.85, -87.41: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 28 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max72°72°76°70°64°66°62°64°
Heat index max80°82°86°72°
Wind chill min49°46°44°
Chance of thunder max0%0%18%26%4%4%2%1%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min6 mi10 mi
Mixing height max4,400 ft2,900 ft4,100 ft2,300 ft2,900 ft
Transport wind max9 mph14 mph17 mph14 mph13 mph
Twenty-foot wind max5 mph7 mph12 mph12 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max3649
Low visibility risk max95

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Paris (PRG) · 18 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Tue Sep 2981° / 57°73° / 48°99° (1953)31° (1899)
Wed Sep 3084° / 65°73° / 48°92° (1971)24° (1899)
Thu Oct 187° / 63°74° / 48°92° (1919)32° (1939)
Fri Oct 273° / 54°74° / 49°92° (1953)29° (1974)
Sat Oct 368° / 54°74° / 51°93° (1954)28° (1974)
Sun Oct 469° / 47°72° / 51°89° (1951)30° (1935)
Mon Oct 567° / 44°71° / 47°90° (1946)30° (1980)
Tue Oct 668° / 50°71° / 47°93° (1946)27° (1952)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Tue7:17 AM7:44 AM7:35 PM8:02 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed7:18 AM7:45 AM7:33 PM8:00 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu7:19 AM7:46 AM7:32 PM7:59 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri7:20 AM7:47 AM7:30 PM7:57 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:21 AM7:48 AM7:29 PM7:56 PM11 h 41 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun7:22 AM7:49 AM7:27 PM7:54 PM11 h 38 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon7:23 AM7:50 AM7:25 PM7:52 PM11 h 35 min Waning crescent · 33% lit
Tue7:24 AM7:51 AM7:24 PM7:51 PM11 h 33 min Waning crescent · 23% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from