Current weather · Sep 27, 6:15 AM EDT

39.6580, -84.3170

48°

SunnyFeels like 46° · Humidity 89%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Wilmington, OH · grid 40,64
High
73°
Low
48°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:30 AM
Sunset
7:26 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sun 6 AM48°46°45°89%0%N5 mph8 mph2%—10 mi
Sun 7 AM48°46°45°91%0%N5 mph9 mph4%—10 mi
Sun 8 AM48°46°46°95%0%N5 mph9 mph5%—10 mi
Sun 9 AM52°52°49°89%0%N6 mph10 mph13%—10 mi
Sun 10 AM57°57°52°82%0%N6 mph10 mph19%—10 mi
Sun 11 AM63°63°54°71%0%N7 mph12 mph17%—10 mi
Sun 12 PM66°66°54°65%0%N8 mph12 mph8%—10 mi
Sun 1 PM69°69°54°58%0%N8 mph13 mph3%—10 mi
Sun 2 PM71°71°53°52%0%N9 mph14 mph3%—10 mi
Sun 3 PM71°71°54°53%0%N10 mph15 mph3%—10 mi
Sun 4 PM71°71°54°53%0%N10 mph15 mph4%—10 mi
Sun 5 PM72°72°53°51%0%N10 mph15 mph2%—10 mi
Sun 6 PM69°69°54°59%0%N9 mph14 mph2%—10 mi
Sun 7 PM67°67°54°63%0%N7 mph12 mph1%—10 mi
Sun 8 PM64°64°53°69%0%NNW6 mph10 mph4%—10 mi
Sun 9 PM60°60°53°78%0%NNW5 mph9 mph3%—10 mi
Sun 10 PM59°59°53°81%0%NNW5 mph8 mph5%—10 mi
Sun 11 PM57°57°53°84%0%NNW3 mph8 mph4%—10 mi
Mon 12 AM57°57°53°87%0%NNW3 mph7 mph3%—10 mi
Mon 1 AM56°56°53°90%0%NNW3 mph7 mph7%—10 mi
Mon 2 AM55°55°52°92%0%N3 mph8 mph16%—10 mi
Mon 3 AM54°54°52°94%0%N3 mph8 mph15%—10 mi
Mon 4 AM53°53°52°96%0%NNW3 mph7 mph14%—10 mi
Mon 5 AM53°53°52°97%0%NNW3 mph7 mph14%—10 mi
Mon 6 AM52°52°52°99%0%NNW3 mph7 mph16%—10 mi
Mon 7 AM51°51°51°100%0%NNW3 mph8 mph40%—10 mi
Mon 8 AM52°52°52°100%0%NNW5 mph8 mph35%—10 mi
Mon 9 AM55°55°54°96%0%N5 mph9 mph30%—10 mi
Mon 10 AM59°59°56°88%0%N5 mph9 mph16%—10 mi
Mon 11 AM65°65°57°75%0%N6 mph9 mph12%—10 mi
Mon 12 PM67°67°57°69%0%N6 mph9 mph6%—10 mi
Mon 1 PM70°70°57°63%0%N6 mph9 mph6%—10 mi
Mon 2 PM72°72°57°58%0%N6 mph9 mph1%—10 mi
Mon 3 PM72°72°57°58%0%N7 mph9 mph1%—10 mi
Mon 4 PM72°72°56°57%0%N7 mph9 mph0%—10 mi
Mon 5 PM73°73°56°54%0%N7 mph10 mph8%—10 mi
Mon 6 PM70°70°56°63%0%N7 mph9 mph3%——
Mon 7 PM67°67°56°68%0%N5 mph8 mph6%——
Mon 8 PM65°65°55°71%0%N5 mph8 mph19%——
Mon 9 PM61°61°55°83%0%N3 mph6 mph49%——
Mon 10 PM59°59°55°88%0%N2 mph5 mph34%——
Mon 11 PM59°59°55°88%0%N2 mph5 mph18%——
Tue 12 AM58°58°55°91%0%NNE1 mph5 mph18%——
Tue 1 AM57°57°55°92%0%NNE1 mph3 mph17%——
Tue 2 AM56°56°55°95%0%NNE0 mph3 mph17%——
Tue 3 AM55°55°54°97%0%NNE0 mph3 mph15%——
Tue 4 AM54°54°54°99%0%NNE0 mph3 mph13%——
Tue 5 AM54°54°53°98%0%NNE0 mph3 mph11%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 27, 6:04 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2773°48°Sunny0%wind 10 mph
  2. MonSep 2874°52°Sunny0%wind 7 mph
  3. TueSep 2975°58°Sunny0%wind 3 mph
  4. WedSep 3078°63°Partly Sunny3%wind 7 mph
  5. ThuOct 179°64°Slight Chance Rain Showers38%wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  6. FriOct 272°59°Chance Rain Showers50%wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  7. SatOct 369°59°Chance Rain Showers42%wind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  8. SunOct 468°56°47%wind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  9. MonOct 565°51°National Blend25%0.60 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. TueOct 664°51°National Blend10%wind 7 mph
  11. WedOct 7~68°51°Model mean
  12. ThuOct 8~67°54°Model mean
  13. FriOct 9~57°43°Model mean0.02 in
  14. SatOct 10~56°42°Model mean0.08 in
  15. SunOct 11~65°45°Model mean0.04 in
  16. MonOct 12~48°44°Model mean0.08 in

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like46°
  • WindN 5 mphgusts 8 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity89%
  • Dew point45°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise7:42 PMMoonset 8:31 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous99% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2771°51°NWS grid 73° / 48°rain 0%wind 10 mph
  2. MonSep 2872°53°NWS grid 74° / 52°rain 0%wind 7 mph
  3. TueSep 2975°58°NWS grid 75° / 58°rain 0%wind 3 mph
  4. WedSep 3078°63°NWS grid 78° / 63°rain 9%wind 7 mph
  5. ThuOct 180°64°NWS grid 79° / 64°rain 50%thunder 13%0.08 inwind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  6. FriOct 272°59°NWS grid 72° / 59°rain 53%thunder 11%0.40 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  7. SatOct 369°59°NWS grid 69° / 59°rain 42%thunder 15%0.57 inwind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  8. SunOct 468°56°NWS grid 68° / 56°rain 49%thunder 14%0.86 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  9. MonOct 565°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 25%0.60 inwind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  10. TueOct 664°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 10%wind 7 mph
  11. WedOct 767°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 10%0.06 inwind 8 mph
41°64°86°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 27, 2:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°64°86°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2773° 48°69° 46°70° 48°70° 49°69° 49°~72° 47°
Mon Sep 2874° 52°71° 47°73° 51°72° 52°70° 52°~73° 50°
Tue Sep 2975° 58°~56° 54°76° 55°76° 55°73° 51°~75° 51°
Wed Sep 3078° 63°—82° 57°79° 58°82° 57°~81° 56°
Thu Oct 179° 64°—86° 63°0.04 in81° 64°0.09 in81° 65°~86° 62°
Fri Oct 272° 59°—69° 53°0.12 in73° 62°0.28 in66° 57°0.19 in~69° 59°0.15 in
Sat Oct 369° 59°—63° 51°68° 56°0.20 in~64° 50°~66° 51°
Sun Oct 468° 56°—64° 54°2.13 in71° 57°0.26 in~66° 54°1.81 in~62° 57°0.41 in
Mon Oct 5——59° 43°0.03 in64° 53°0.20 in~68° 59°0.50 in~64° 60°0.06 in
Tue Oct 6——59° 40°62° 46°0.03 in~68° 54°~64° 56°0.02 in
Wed Oct 7——~63° 45°—~71° 51°~70° 56°
Thu Oct 8——~66° 52°—~64° 55°~68° 56°
Fri Oct 9——~58° 45°0.05 in—~56° 43°~57° 42°
Sat Oct 10——~50° 48°0.23 in—~58° 42°~61° 36°
Sun Oct 11——~61° 50°0.11 in—~66° 47°~68° 38°
Mon Oct 12——~48° 44°0.08 in———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Dayton (MGY) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Mon Oct 12, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%warmer 40% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2771° / 49°95° (2019)32° (2003)no outlookno outlook
Oct 471° / 49°89° (2007)30° (2000)near normal most likely · days 8 to 14near normal most likely · days 8 to 14
Oct 1166° / 46°84° (2010)30° (2006)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1862° / 44°81° (2016)27° (2009)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2558° / 40°80° (2014)26° (2005)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 158° / 39°80° (2016)21° (2006)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 855° / 35°80° (2020)10° (2019)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1551° / 34°76° (2016)11° (2014)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2249° / 32°71° (1999)11° (2005)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2945° / 31°69° (1998)14° (2025)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 642° / 28°71° (1998)5° (2013)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1341° / 28°66° (2015)-2° (2025)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 2041° / 27°66° (2013)-10° (2004)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayVery goodcool
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightFairbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hHighcool nights, warm days
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SundayFair8:56 PM to 6:01 AM9 of 9None98%Poor5 h5 mph
MondayFair8:54 PM to 6:02 AM7 of 9None94%Poor6 h3 mph
TuesdayFair8:52 PM to 6:03 AM2 of 9None87%Fair4 h3 mph
WednesdayPoor8:51 PM to 6:04 AM0 of 9None80%6 mph
ThursdayPoor8:49 PM to 6:05 AM0 of 9None70%5 h8 mph
FridayPoor8:47 PM to 6:06 AM0 of 9None60%5 h9 mph
SaturdayPoor8:46 PM to 6:07 AM0 of 9None50%7 h10 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sun7:03 AM to 7:13 AM7:13 AM to 8:05 AM6:50 PM to 7:42 PM7:42 PM to 7:53 PM
Mon7:04 AM to 7:14 AM7:14 AM to 8:06 AM6:49 PM to 7:41 PM7:41 PM to 7:51 PM
Tue7:05 AM to 7:15 AM7:15 AM to 8:07 AM6:47 PM to 7:39 PM7:39 PM to 7:50 PM
Wed7:06 AM to 7:16 AM7:16 AM to 8:08 AM6:45 PM to 7:38 PM7:38 PM to 7:48 PM
Thu7:07 AM to 7:17 AM7:17 AM to 8:09 AM6:44 PM to 7:36 PM7:36 PM to 7:46 PM
Fri7:08 AM to 7:18 AM7:18 AM to 8:10 AM6:42 PM to 7:34 PM7:34 PM to 7:45 PM
Sat7:09 AM to 7:19 AM7:19 AM to 8:11 AM6:41 PM to 7:33 PM7:33 PM to 7:43 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:30 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 7:26 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:42 PM, 74° ENE
  • MS Moonset 8:31 AM, 282° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 99% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sun 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 7:00 AM to sunrise 7:30 AM, and sunset 7:26 PM to 7:56 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sun6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sun 6 AMCaution518220%10 mi48°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMCaution518230%10 mi48°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 8 AMGood56110%10 mi48°nothing against it
Sun 9 AMGood67120%10 mi52°nothing against it
Sun 10 AMGood67120%10 mi57°nothing against it
Sun 11 AMGood78130%10 mi63°nothing against it
Sun 12 PMGood810130%10 mi66°nothing against it
Sun 1 PMGood810140%10 mi69°nothing against it
Sun 2 PMGood911160%10 mi71°nothing against it
Sun 3 PMGood1012170%10 mi71°nothing against it
Sun 4 PMGood1013180%10 mi71°nothing against it
Sun 5 PMGood1013180%10 mi72°nothing against it
Sun 6 PMGood912160%10 mi69°nothing against it
Sun 7 PMCaution717210%10 mi67°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 8 PMNo-fly623270%10 mi64°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 9 PMCaution518230%10 mi60°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMCaution518220%10 mi59°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 11 PMCaution314180%10 mi57°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 12 AMCaution314170%10 mi57°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 1 AMCaution314170%10 mi56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 2 AMCaution314180%10 mi55°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 3 AMCaution314180%10 mi54°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 4 AMCaution314170%10 mi53°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 5 AMCaution314170%10 mi53°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sun 10 AM to 3 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 6 PM to 11 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 11 AM to 9 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 4 PM to Wed 12 AM 8 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 10 AM to Thu 12 PM 26 hours, every hour within the rules
Sun6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SundayDry0%0.00 in51%10 mph5 d
MondayDry0%0.00 in54%7 mph4 d
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in54%3 mph3 d
WednesdayDry3%0.00 in52%7 mph2 d
ThursdayDry23%0.00 in66%12 mph1 d
FridayShowers possible48%0.00 in77%10 mph
SaturdayShowers possible42%0.00 in78%12 mph
SundayShowers possible47%0.00 in86%12 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sun Best12:48 AM to 2:48 AM1:12 PM to 3:12 PM8:01 AM to 9:01 AM7:12 PM to 8:12 PM 99%7:30 AM, 7:26 PM
Mon Good1:36 AM to 3:36 AM2:02 PM to 4:02 PM9:13 AM to 10:13 AM7:41 PM to 8:41 PM 95%7:31 AM, 7:24 PM
Tue Good2:28 AM to 4:28 AM2:56 PM to 4:56 PM10:27 AM to 11:27 AM8:16 PM to 9:16 PM 90%7:32 AM, 7:23 PM
Wed Poor3:24 AM to 5:24 AM3:54 PM to 5:54 PM11:43 AM to 12:43 PM9:00 PM to 10:00 PM 83%7:33 AM, 7:21 PM
Thu Fair4:24 AM to 6:24 AM4:55 PM to 6:55 PM12:55 PM to 1:55 PM9:54 PM to 10:54 PM 74%7:34 AM, 7:20 PM
Fri Fair5:27 AM to 7:27 AM5:58 PM to 7:58 PM2:01 PM to 3:01 PM10:58 PM to 11:58 PM 64%7:35 AM, 7:18 PM
Sat Fair6:29 AM to 8:29 AM7:00 PM to 9:00 PM2:55 PM to 3:55 PM 54%7:35 AM, 7:16 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Today73° · N 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 73. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

  2. Tonight51° · N 3–9 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 51. North wind 3 to 9 mph.

  3. Monday74° · N 3–7 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind 3 to 7 mph.

  4. Monday Night52° · N 0–7 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 52. North wind 0 to 7 mph.

  5. Tuesday75° · SE 0–3 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.

  6. Tuesday Night58° · SE 3 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

  7. Wednesday78° · 3% · S 2–7 mph

    Partly sunny, with a high near 78.

  8. Wednesday Night63° · 9% · S 6 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63.

  9. Thursday79° · 23% · SW 6–12 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 79.

  10. Thursday Night64° · 50% · W 6–12 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  11. Friday72° · 50% · N 10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  12. Friday Night59° · 40% · NE 6–10 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  13. Saturday69° · 42% · E 8–12 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  14. Saturday Night59° · 42% · SE 7–12 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Wilmington, OH · issued Sep 27, 1:48 AM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

No significant changes.

KEY Messages

1) A stretch of dry weather and seasonable temperatures will continue into early next week. Warmer temperatures and rain chances will arrive later in the work week.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1) River valley fog will burn off shortly after daybreak this morning. We may continue to observe some cirrus clouds in our CWA as they pivot around the upper low off the Atlantic Coast. The Ohio Valley remains in the dry slot of this low, which continues to sit and spin before it gets carried off to the northeast early in the work week.

Return flow develops after the low is carried off, which will result in a warming trend as we progress through the work week. Temperatures will likely be back above seasonal normals by Wednesday.

Rain chances look to return on Thursday as a boundary lays out across the Midwest region. Rain chances look to persist through next weekend.

Aviation · 06Z Sunday Through Thursday

Continue to mention vsby reductions at KLUK due to valley fog. Elsewhere, VFR conditions prevail.

Surface winds increase to around 10 kts by the afternoon, with a subtle shift towards the NNW. Some cirrus clouds may move across the terminals, but otherwise skies remain mostly clear.

OUTLOOK...No significant weather is expected.

ILN Watches / Warnings / Advisories

OH...None. KY...None. IN...None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 27, 1:52 AM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS41 KILN 270552
HWOILN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
152 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-280600-
Wayne-Fayette-Union-Franklin-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-
Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Hardin-Mercer-Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-
Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-Madison-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-
Greene-Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-
Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
152 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Indiana, 
southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, northern Kentucky, central 
Ohio, south central Ohio, southwest Ohio and west central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sun Oct 4No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 30–Oct 10.10 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 2–Oct 30.75 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 10

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Dayton Wright Bros AP

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 26: a growing season of about 192 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 13; one spring in ten still has one after May 6.

Climate of 39.66, -84.32: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 26 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
HeatRisk max0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max67°69°71°72°74°69°67°67°
Heat index max72°73°75°78°78°71°
Wind chill min46°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%2%11%18%14%12%
Visibility min10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max3,600 ft4,100 ft4,600 ft2,700 ft3,100 ft2,600 ft2,700 ft1,900 ft
Transport wind max13 mph9 mph8 mph9 mph13 mph12 mph13 mph12 mph
Twenty-foot wind max8 mph6 mph3 mph6 mph10 mph9 mph10 mph10 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Dayton (MGY) · 6.8 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sun Sep 2773° / 48°74° / 54°91° (2019)42° (2000)
Mon Sep 2874° / 52°73° / 53°92° (2019)42° (2022)
Tue Sep 2975° / 58°71° / 51°91° (2019)38° (2000)
Wed Sep 3078° / 63°71° / 49°94° (2019)38° (2003)
Thu Oct 179° / 64°70° / 49°94° (2019)37° (2003)
Fri Oct 272° / 59°73° / 51°95° (2019)33° (2003)
Sat Oct 369° / 59°72° / 52°90° (2019)32° (2003)
Sun Oct 468° / 56°72° / 52°86° (2007)38° (2022)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sun7:03 AM7:30 AM7:26 PM7:53 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon7:04 AM7:31 AM7:24 PM7:51 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue7:05 AM7:32 AM7:23 PM7:50 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed7:06 AM7:33 AM7:21 PM7:48 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu7:07 AM7:34 AM7:20 PM7:46 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri7:08 AM7:35 AM7:18 PM7:45 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:09 AM7:35 AM7:16 PM7:43 PM11 h 41 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun7:10 AM7:36 AM7:15 PM7:42 PM11 h 39 min Last quarter · 43% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from