Current weather · Sep 27, 4:15 AM MDT

39.2720, -102.3980

55°

ClearFeels like 55° · Humidity 64%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Goodland, KS · grid 31,51
High
84°
Low
57°
Rain today
1%
Sunrise
6:42 AM
Sunset
6:38 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sun 4 AM55°55°43°64%0%W6 mph9 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 AM55°55°41°59%0%W6 mph9 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 AM55°55°41°59%0%W6 mph9 mph10%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 7 AM56°56°42°58%0%WNW3 mph7 mph13%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 8 AM58°58°43°57%0%WNW3 mph7 mph8%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 AM64°64°45°50%0%NNW3 mph6 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 AM72°72°45°38%0%E5 mph9 mph14%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 AM76°76°46°34%0%ESE8 mph13 mph13%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 12 PM80°79°46°30%0%ESE10 mph17 mph14%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 1 PM82°80°46°28%0%SE12 mph18 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 2 PM82°80°46°28%0%SE13 mph20 mph19%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 3 PM83°81°46°27%0%SE14 mph23 mph22%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 4 PM82°80°47°29%0%SE15 mph24 mph21%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 5 PM79°79°49°35%0%SE15 mph26 mph31%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 6 PM76°76°51°42%0%SE14 mph26 mph33%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sun 7 PM70°70°52°53%1%SE15 mph28 mph48%1%—10 mi25,000 ft
Sun 8 PM67°67°54°63%1%SE16 mph28 mph53%1%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 9 PM65°65°55°70%1%SE17 mph28 mph63%1%—10 mi16,700 ft
Sun 10 PM64°64°56°75%1%SE17 mph29 mph79%1%—10 mi13,000 ft
Sun 11 PM62°62°57°84%1%SE17 mph28 mph71%1%—10 mi13,000 ft
Mon 12 AM61°61°58°90%3%SSE16 mph25 mph91%3%—10 mi13,000 ft
Mon 1 AM60°60°58°93%4%SSE16 mph26 mph92%4%——
Mon 2 AM60°60°58°93%5%SSE17 mph26 mph88%5%——
Mon 3 AM60°60°58°93%5%SSE17 mph28 mph81%5%——
Mon 4 AM59°59°58°96%4%SSE18 mph29 mph86%4%——
Mon 5 AM59°59°58°96%3%SSE20 mph31 mph85%3%——
Mon 6 AM59°59°58°96%4%SSE20 mph31 mph89%4%——
Mon 7 AM58°58°58°100%4%SSE22 mph33 mph91%4%——
Mon 8 AM60°60°59°96%0%SSE24 mph37 mph76%——
Mon 9 AM61°61°58°90%0%S24 mph38 mph82%——
Mon 10 AM65°65°57°75%0%S28 mph41 mph88%——
Mon 11 AM68°68°56°65%0%S28 mph41 mph85%——
Mon 12 PM71°71°55°57%0%S26 mph39 mph73%——
Mon 1 PM72°72°54°53%0%S26 mph39 mph74%——
Mon 2 PM73°73°54°51%5%S26 mph39 mph82%5%——
Mon 3 PM74°74°54°50%12%S25 mph38 mph90%12%——
Mon 4 PM72°72°54°53%7%S25 mph39 mph71%7%——
Mon 5 PM71°71°55°57%8%S23 mph38 mph74%8%——
Mon 6 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms70°70°55°59%41%S21 mph36 mph81%17%——
Mon 7 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms66°66°55°68%41%S22 mph37 mph100%17%——
Mon 8 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms65°65°55°70%41%S22 mph36 mph94%17%——
Mon 9 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms65°65°55°70%41%S22 mph33 mph87%15%——
Mon 10 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°55°73%41%S22 mph32 mph85%15%——
Mon 11 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms64°64°56°75%41%S21 mph31 mph82%15%——
Tue 12 AMLight rain showers likely63°63°56°78%60%0.01 inS20 mph30 mph80%9%——
Tue 1 AMLight rain showers likely62°62°56°81%60%0.01 inS18 mph28 mph82%9%——
Tue 2 AMLight rain showers likely61°61°56°84%60%0.01 inS17 mph26 mph85%9%——
Tue 3 AMLight rain showers likely59°59°56°90%60%0.01 inS16 mph24 mph87%4%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 27, 3:37 AM MDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2784°57°Sunny1%wind 17 mph · gusts 29 mph
  2. MonSep 2876°57°Mostly Cloudy41%wind 28 mph · gusts 41 mph
  3. TueSep 2972°53°Chance Rain Showers60%0.31 inwind 20 mph · gusts 30 mph
  4. WedSep 3069°51°Rain Showers Likely64%0.91 inwind 22 mph · gusts 35 mph
  5. ThuOct 166°47°Chance Rain Showers46%0.48 inwind 22 mph · gusts 32 mph
  6. FriOct 269°50°Sunny19%wind 14 mph · gusts 23 mph
  7. SatOct 372°48°Mostly Sunny15%wind 17 mph · gusts 28 mph
  8. SunOct 465°49°23%0.05 inwind 16 mph · gusts 26 mph
  9. MonOct 570°49°National Blend7%wind 15 mph · gusts 25 mph
  10. TueOct 675°52°National Blend5%wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  11. WedOct 7~68°55°Model mean
  12. ThuOct 8~68°48°Model mean
  13. FriOct 9~73°52°Model mean
  14. SatOct 10~72°54°Model mean0.07 in
  15. SunOct 11~67°52°Model mean0.07 in
  16. MonOct 12~62°45°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like55°
  • WindW 6 mphgusts 9 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity64%
  • Dew point43°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise6:57 PMMoonset 7:46 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous99% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 2784°57°NWS grid 84° / 57°rain 9%wind 17 mph · gusts 28 mph
  2. MonSep 2876°57°NWS grid 76° / 57°rain 61%thunder 18%wind 28 mph · gusts 41 mph
  3. TueSep 2972°53°NWS grid 72° / 53°rain 70%thunder 20%0.31 inwind 20 mph · gusts 30 mph
  4. WedSep 3069°51°NWS grid 69° / 51°rain 65%thunder 28%0.92 inwind 21 mph · gusts 33 mph
  5. ThuOct 168°47°NWS grid 66° / 47°rain 37%thunder 18%0.52 inwind 21 mph · gusts 32 mph
  6. FriOct 272°50°NWS grid 69° / 50°rain 7%0.01 inwind 14 mph · gusts 23 mph
  7. SatOct 374°48°NWS grid 72° / 48°rain 24%wind 17 mph · gusts 28 mph
  8. SunOct 467°46°NWS grid 65° / 49°rain 14%thunder 10%0.06 inwind 16 mph · gusts 26 mph
  9. MonOct 570°49°Beyond the NWS gridrain 7%wind 15 mph · gusts 25 mph
  10. TueOct 675°52°Beyond the NWS gridrain 5%wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  11. WedOct 778°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
41°64°86°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 27, 12:00 AM MDT · GFS Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT · GEFS Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 6:00 PM MDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°59°86°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2784° 57°82° 54°84° 65°83° 64°82° 54°~81° 55°
Mon Sep 2876° 57°71° 60°0.14 in73° 62°76° 62°0.06 in70° 61°0.04 in~71° 60°0.11 in
Tue Sep 2972° 53°0.31 in~61° 61°65° 60°0.26 in66° 61°0.74 in70° 59°0.21 in~64° 60°0.50 in
Wed Sep 3069° 51°0.91 in—60° 53°1.11 in65° 57°0.53 in66° 60°2.18 in~62° 58°1.76 in
Thu Oct 166° 47°0.48 in—62° 51°0.52 in64° 54°0.13 in59° 47°1.36 in~59° 53°0.30 in
Fri Oct 269° 50°—64° 44°66° 49°62° 43°~62° 40°
Sat Oct 372° 48°—79° 47°76° 53°~64° 44°~66° 43°
Sun Oct 465° 49°0.05 in—67° 53°63° 53°0.06 in~67° 52°~68° 49°
Mon Oct 5——77° 52°65° 47°0.02 in~75° 52°~69° 47°
Tue Oct 6——80° 58°75° 51°~79° 58°~80° 50°
Wed Oct 7——~71° 59°—~60° 50°~74° 56°
Thu Oct 8——~63° 49°—~57° 56°~72° 47°
Fri Oct 9——~66° 51°—~76° 56°~78° 49°
Sat Oct 10——~68° 50°—~67° 57°0.21 in~80° 55°
Sun Oct 11——~70° 57°—~51° 45°0.22 in~80° 54°
Mon Oct 12——~62° 45°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Burlington (ITR) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Mon Oct 12, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%50%equal chances · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2776° / 46°96° (2019)25° (2009)no outlookno outlook
Oct 473° / 40°95° (2024)18° (2009)50% chance above normal · days 8 to 1440% chance below normal · days 8 to 14
Oct 1168° / 36°92° (2015)13° (2019)equal chances · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 1865° / 36°90° (2003)20° (2008)equal chances · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Oct 2560° / 33°88° (2003)0° (2020)equal chances · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct 2026
Nov 162° / 31°83° (2025)12° (1999)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 847° / 24°81° (2006)-10° (2014)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1557° / 25°81° (2007)5° (2014)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2251° / 22°82° (2017)2° (2003)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2949° / 20°76° (2021)-8° (2011)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 644° / 15°74° (2025)-14° (2009)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1343° / 16°71° (2025)-15° (2016)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2038° / 14°77° (2025)-15° (1998)equal chances · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayGoodwind
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightFairbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SundayPoor8:08 PM to 5:14 AM0 of 9None98%5 h18 mph
MondayPoor8:06 PM to 5:15 AM0 of 9None93%2 h22 mph
TuesdayPoor8:04 PM to 5:16 AM0 of 9None87%8 h13 mph
WednesdayPoor8:03 PM to 5:17 AM0 of 9None79%5 h16 mph
ThursdayPoor8:01 PM to 5:18 AM0 of 9None70%7 h10 mph
FridayGood7:59 PM to 5:19 AM9 of 93 h from 8:00 PM60%Poor3 h14 mph
SaturdayPoor7:58 PM to 5:20 AM0 of 9None49%6 h14 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sun6:15 AM to 6:26 AM6:26 AM to 7:17 AM6:03 PM to 6:55 PM6:55 PM to 7:05 PM
Mon6:16 AM to 6:27 AM6:27 AM to 7:18 AM6:01 PM to 6:53 PM6:53 PM to 7:03 PM
Tue6:17 AM to 6:28 AM6:28 AM to 7:19 AM6:00 PM to 6:51 PM6:51 PM to 7:02 PM
Wed6:18 AM to 6:28 AM6:28 AM to 7:20 AM5:58 PM to 6:50 PM6:50 PM to 7:00 PM
Thu6:19 AM to 6:29 AM6:29 AM to 7:21 AM5:56 PM to 6:48 PM6:48 PM to 6:59 PM
Fri6:20 AM to 6:30 AM6:30 AM to 7:22 AM5:55 PM to 6:47 PM6:47 PM to 6:57 PM
Sat6:21 AM to 6:31 AM6:31 AM to 7:23 AM5:53 PM to 6:45 PM6:45 PM to 6:55 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:42 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 6:38 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:57 PM, 74° ENE
  • MS Moonset 7:46 AM, 282° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 99% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). No stretch of two good hours in the next three days.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:12 AM to sunrise 6:42 AM, and sunset 6:38 PM to 7:08 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sun6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sun 4 AMNo-fly623260%10 miup to 0 ft55°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMNo-fly623260%10 miup to 0 ft55°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMNo-fly623260%10 miup to 0 ft55°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMNo-fly3480%10 miup to 0 ft56°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 8 AMNo-fly3480%10 miup to 0 ft58°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 9 AMNo-fly3460%10 miup to 0 ft64°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 10 AMNo-fly55100%10 miup to 0 ft72°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 11 AMNo-fly810140%10 miup to 0 ft76°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Sun 12 PMNo-fly1012190%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sun 1 PMNo-fly1215220%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sun 2 PMNo-fly1316230%10 miup to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit
Sun 3 PMNo-fly1420290%10 miup to 0 ft83°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 4 PMNo-fly1522310%10 miup to 0 ft82°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 5 PMNo-fly1522330%10 miup to 0 ft79°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 6 PMNo-fly1420330%10 mi400 ft76°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 7 PMNo-fly1522341%10 mi400 ft70°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 8 PMNo-fly1623351%10 miup to 0 ft67°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 9 PMNo-fly1725351%10 mi400 ft65°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMNo-fly1725371%10 mi400 ft64°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 11 PMNo-fly1725351%10 mi400 ft62°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 12 AMNo-fly1623333%10 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 1 AMNo-fly1623344%60°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 2 AMNo-fly1725345%60°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 3 AMNo-fly1725355%60°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sun 4 AM to 12 PM 8 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
Sun6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SundayDry1%0.00 in27%15 mph1 dGood
MondayShowers possible41%0.00 in50%28 mph
TuesdayWet50%0.31 in57%16 mph
WednesdayWet64%0.91 in54%22 mph
ThursdayWet37%0.48 in52%22 mph
FridayDry7%0.00 in47%14 mph2 dGood
SaturdayDry15%0.00 in47%17 mph1 dGood
SundayShowers possible14%0.05 in52%16 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sun Best12:03 AM to 2:03 AM12:26 PM to 2:26 PM7:16 AM to 8:16 AM6:27 PM to 7:27 PM 99%6:42 AM, 6:38 PM
Mon Good12:51 AM to 2:51 AM1:17 PM to 3:17 PM8:28 AM to 9:28 AM6:56 PM to 7:56 PM 95%6:43 AM, 6:37 PM
Tue Good1:43 AM to 3:43 AM2:11 PM to 4:11 PM9:42 AM to 10:42 AM7:32 PM to 8:32 PM 89%6:44 AM, 6:35 PM
Wed Poor2:39 AM to 4:39 AM3:09 PM to 5:09 PM10:58 AM to 11:58 AM8:16 PM to 9:16 PM 82%6:45 AM, 6:34 PM
Thu Fair3:40 AM to 5:40 AM4:11 PM to 6:11 PM12:10 PM to 1:10 PM9:10 PM to 10:10 PM 73%6:46 AM, 6:32 PM
Fri Fair4:42 AM to 6:42 AM5:14 PM to 7:14 PM1:14 PM to 2:14 PM10:15 PM to 11:15 PM 63%6:47 AM, 6:30 PM
Sat Fair5:45 AM to 7:45 AM6:15 PM to 8:15 PM2:08 PM to 3:08 PM11:27 PM to 12:27 AM 53%6:48 AM, 6:29 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight54° · W 5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 54. West wind around 5 mph.

  2. Sunday84° · E 5–15 mph

    Sunny. High near 84, with temperatures falling to around 79 in the afternoon. East wind 5 to 15 mph.

  3. Sunday Night57° · 5% · SE 15–20 mph

    Mostly cloudy. Low around 57, with temperatures rising to around 59 overnight. Southeast wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph.

  4. Monday76° · 12% · S 20–30 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. South wind 20 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.

  5. Monday Night57° · 60% · S 15–20 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. South wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  6. Tuesday72° · 50% · NW 15 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  7. Tuesday Night53° · 64% · N 10–15 mph

    Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  8. Wednesday69° · 64% · N 15–20 mph

    Rain showers likely before noon, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  9. Wednesday Night51° · 58% · N 10–20 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  10. Thursday66° · 37% · N 15–20 mph

    A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  11. Thursday Night47° · 25% · N 10–15 mph

    A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  12. Friday69° · 7% · SW 10–15 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 69.

  13. Friday Night50° · 3% · S 15 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

  14. Saturday72° · 5% · NW 15 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Goodland, KS · issued Sep 27, 3:24 AM MDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Dense Fog Advisory in effect for portions of the Tri-State area this morning.

Slightly elevated fire weather concern along/west US-385 this afternoon.

Chances of rain increase Monday evening to as much as a medium to likely (40-90%) chance late Monday night, bringing the possibility of thunderstorms and heavy rain.

Short Term · Through Monday Night

321 AM MDT Sun Sep 27 2026

A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect this morning from Hitchcock County to Thomas County to Gove County and counties east. Low visibility of a half mile or less will make driving conditions hazardous. Fog will scour out by mid to late morning as winds increase and temperatures warm.

A weak surface trough over central Kansas will deepen slightly this morning before getting pushed down into Oklahoma and Red River Valley by this evening in response to the surface high getting squished between the deep low along the East Coast and a deepening trough over the Great Basin. In addition, a shortwave trough lifting across the Desert Southwest will allow for weak leeside troughing along the Front Range and Eastern Colorado Plains. This will enhance southeasterly flow across Kansas and eastern Colorado. Slightly elevated fire weather conditions for northeast Colorado this afternoon with relative humidity dropping below 30 percent and increasing winds with gusts of 30-35 mph. The gusty southeasterly winds will gradually advect low-level moisture and mitigate fire weather concerns by early evening.

Looking at the upcoming workweek... A longer duration widespread rainfall event is setting up across portions of the Southern and Central Plains from from early Tuesday morning through Thursday. Models have struggle with the timing and placement of the frontal boundary and the resultant heavier swath of rainfall. While there is still some discrepancies with some details still needing to be ironed out, there is enough confidence (50-70%) that a good portion of the tri-state area will see at least a tenth of an inch. Heavier rainfall amounts of a half inch or higher are looking more likely on over western Kansas and northeastwards into Nebraska. The system that is bringing this round of widespread rainfall is currently digging southwards across the eastern Pacific towards California. This negatively tilted trough will close off as it moves across the Great Basin towards the Four Corners region. Strong southwesterly flow will transport sub-tropical moisture over the Desert Southwest and into the Plains. Monday afternoon and evening could see some thunderstorms develop as the front moves east, but lack of instabilty will keep storms sub-severe. The front then stalls and heavier rainfall will set-up Monday night into Tuesday morning, with periods of moderate to heavy rain possible through Thursday.

Long Term · Tuesday Through Saturday

246 PM MDT Sat Sep 26 2026

A trough is favored to be trekking across the Southern and Central United States Tuesday morning, with an active jet streak to the north. A cold front is forecast to come through the area sometime during the morning and afternoon. LREF standard deviation in wind direction shows large amounts of spread south and east of a line from Cheyenne Wells, CO to Stratton, NE around noon. This would indicate that the cold front would be along or southeast of this line as well. High temperatures are currently forecast in the low to mid 70s across the forecast area. Precipitation appears likely along the front, as NBM 24 hr precipitation guidance suggests that most of the area has greater than a 50% chance of receiving greater than 0.1 inches of rain, with portions of Gove and Graham Counties in Kansas around an 80% chance. The only area at less than 50% is portions of Yuma County in Colorado and far northwest Dundy County in Nebraska. LREF guidance shows all areas having less than a 25% chance of seeing surface CAPE (a measure of atmospheric instability) greater than 1000 J/kg Tuesday afternoon and evening, which would suggest that this precipitation would be linked to widespread rain as opposed to convective thunderstorms. The exception to this would be if the cold front can manage to come through during the later afternoon or evening. NBM 75th percentile and higher solutions show temperatures in the upper 70s or higher for highs, which could correspond with this scenario. This would allow for extra instability and a higher chance for thunderstorms to develop. However, this is not the favored solution, as rain is primarily expected to exist ahead of the cold front, which would minimize temperatures and prevent more significant instability.

Cool and wet conditions are expected to continue going into Wednesday in association with the trough approaching from the west. Uncertainty continues to remain as to how fast this feature will move eastward. Ensembles show the trough centered in one of the 4- Corners States with a large amount of spread on the trailing edge, which would indicate a slower progression. Guidance also continues to show a modest 40-50 kt jet streak curved cyclonically around the base of the trough, which would favor a surface low developing in the Southern High Plains. Ensemble and deterministic guidance indicates this surface low may be very slow moving, and perhaps stationary Wednesday and Thursday in association with the slow- moving trough. This would create the potential for several days of precipitation. NBM 24 hr precipitation guidance shows most of the area higher than a 70% chance for greater than 0.1 inches of rain Wednesday, with a 40-45% chance on Thursday. Additionally, higher end (90th percentile and higher) 48 hr precipitation scenarios show between 3 and 4 inches of rain between Wednesday and Thursday. This is a low confidence scenario (5%), but could lead to some localized flash flooding if it occurs.

It should also be noted that the surface low may deepen enough to where northerly winds sustained at 15-20 kts are possible Wednesday and Thursday afternoon, particularly across portions of Eastern Colorado and far Western Counties in Kansas where NBM guidance shows a 40% chance or greater for such a solution. While highs are currently forecast in the upper 60s to lower 70s, we may see a broad area of highs in the low to mid 60s due to the strong northerly winds and rain. NBM guidance suggests about a 15-30% chance across most of the forecast area that highs are below 65 F.

Model guidance begins to diverge by Friday morning, as ensembles are inconsistent on whether the trough will be through the area or not. If the trough remains in the area, conditions similar to Wednesday and Thursday could be experienced. However, if the trough is through the area, warm and dry conditions are possible. An active jet streak to the north may also introduce a more active weather pattern to the forecast area, with EC and LREF ensemble 500-mb mean heights showing a northwesterly flow coming into the forecast area. This would suggest the potential for meandering temperatures as well as on and off precipitation with shortwave systems.

Aviation · 06Z TAFs Through 06Z Monday

1125 PM MDT Sat Sep 26 2026

KGLD: Calm to light and variable winds and clear skies may allow for some light fog to develop by 10-12Z...but overall confidence in fog development lowering visibility below MVFR is low. Winds become more southeasterly by 18Z, increasing to about 12 kt with gusts to 20 kt by mid to late afternoon. Higher level cloud cover will increase through the latter half of the prevailing period.

KMCK: Calm to light and variable winds, clear skies, and lower dewpoint depressions will allow fog to develop over the area by 08Z with dense fog bringing visibility to 1/2SM or less by 10Z. Dense fog will scour out by 16Z. Winds will become more easterly to southeasterly through 00Z Monday. Higher level cloud cover will increase through the latter half of the prevailing period.

GLD Watches / Warnings / Advisories

KS...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for KSZ002>004- 014>016-029. CO...None. NE...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT this morning for NEZ080-081.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 27, 2:29 AM MDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KGLD 270829
HWOGLD

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
229 AM MDT Sun Sep 27 2026

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-280830-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne CO-Cheyenne KS-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-
Sherman-Thomas-Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-
Dundy-Hitchcock-Red Willow-
229 AM MDT Sun Sep 27 2026 /329 AM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

Dense Fog Advisory in effect for areas along and east of a line from
Atwood to Colby to Gove. Visibility of a half mile or less expected 
for areas within the advisory. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

A long duration rainfall event midweek, with periods of moderate to 
heavy rainfall, may result in localized flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28General Thunderstorms Risk
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29General Thunderstorms Risk
  4. Day 4 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sun Oct 4No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 280.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 290.50 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 30–Oct 1Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 2–Oct 30.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28Below marginal
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29Marginal
  4. Day 4 · Wed Sep 30Slight
  5. Day 5 · Thu Oct 1Marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature50% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance below normalOct 4–Oct 10

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Burlington

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 6 and the first fall freeze around October 9: a growing season of about 155 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 27; one spring in ten still has one after May 19.

Climate of 39.27, -102.40: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 25 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max71°65°64°61°59°61°64°59°
Heat index max81°74°70°70°
Wind chill min43°45°43°
Chance of thunder max1%17%15%28%20%5%8%6%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft13,000 ft
Visibility min10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max6,500 ft6,700 ft4,300 ft2,700 ft2,800 ft2,300 ft2,700 ft3,100 ft
Transport wind max21 mph28 mph20 mph22 mph23 mph16 mph17 mph17 mph
Grassland fire danger max1526915128117

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Burlington (ITR) · 6.4 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sun Sep 2784° / 57°78° / 45°94° (2021)35° (2000)
Mon Sep 2876° / 57°73° / 44°93° (2023)29° (1999)
Tue Sep 2972° / 53°78° / 45°93° (2019)27° (1999)
Wed Sep 3069° / 51°76° / 46°96° (2019)37° (2011)
Thu Oct 166° / 47°74° / 44°89° (2000)32° (2009)
Fri Oct 269° / 50°72° / 43°92° (1997)28° (1999)
Sat Oct 372° / 48°73° / 42°92° (2018)25° (2009)
Sun Oct 465° / 49°68° / 41°85° (2011)29° (2014)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sun6:15 AM6:42 AM6:38 PM7:05 PM11 h 56 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:16 AM6:43 AM6:37 PM7:03 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:17 AM6:44 AM6:35 PM7:02 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 89% lit
Wed6:18 AM6:45 AM6:34 PM7:00 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:19 AM6:46 AM6:32 PM6:59 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:20 AM6:47 AM6:30 PM6:57 PM11 h 43 min Waning gibbous · 63% lit
Sat6:21 AM6:48 AM6:29 PM6:55 PM11 h 41 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:22 AM6:49 AM6:27 PM6:54 PM11 h 38 min Last quarter · 42% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from