38.1800, -104.0220

1. Wed4 AM59°89%9 mph
2. 5 AM58°94%10 mph
3. 6 AM59°94%13 mph
4. 7 AM59°94%14 mph
5. 8 AM58°94%15 mph
6. 9 AM58°86%16 mph
7. 10 AM59°81%17 mph
8. 11 AM60°76%18 mph
9. 12 PM60°89%18 mph
10. 1 PM61°82%20 mph
11. 2 PM61°82%20 mph
12. 3 PM60°85%20 mph
13. 4 PM60°84%20 mph
14. 5 PM60°83%20 mph
15. 6 PM56°81%18 mph
16. 7 PM55°83%18 mph
17. 8 PM54°83%20 mph
18. 9 PM54°85%20 mph
19. 10 PM54°87%21 mph
20. 11 PM55°84%21 mph
21. Thu12 AM55°86%22 mph
22. 1 AM54°85%23 mph
23. 2 AM54°78%23 mph
24. 3 AM54°68%24 mph
25. 4 AM52°69%24 mph
26. 5 AM52°68%25 mph
27. 6 AM52°64%25 mph
28. 7 AM51°48%24 mph
29. 8 AM53°50%23 mph
30. 9 AM54°17%22 mph
31. 10 AM56°11%23 mph
32. 11 AM58°9%24 mph
33. 12 PM59°11%24 mph
34. 1 PM61°26%24 mph
35. 2 PM62°31%22 mph
36. 3 PM63°25%20 mph
37. 4 PM63°20%17 mph
38. 5 PM64°12%15 mph
39. 6 PM61°3%10 mph
40. 7 PM58°3%8 mph
41. 8 PM56°3%6 mph
42. 9 PM53°3%5 mph
43. 10 PM52°3%3 mph
44. 11 PM51°3%3 mph
45. Fri12 AM51°1%3 mph
46. 1 AM50°1%3 mph
47. 2 AM49°1%2 mph
48. 3 AM47°1%2 mph

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

1. TodaySep 3062°50°Showers And Thunderstorms94%1.83 inwind 21 mph · gusts 31 mph
2. ThuOct 164°45°Rain Showers Likely86%0.27 inwind 25 mph · gusts 37 mph
3. FriOct 267°44°Sunny1%wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
4. SatOct 374°48°Sunny0%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
5. SunOct 473°48°Sunny2%wind 13 mph · gusts 23 mph
6. MonOct 578°51°Sunny1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
7. TueOct 680°52°Mostly Sunny8%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
8. WedOct 778°53°5%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
9. ThuOct 876°51°National Blend4%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
10. FriOct 976°49°National Blend3%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
11. SatOct 10~75°51°Model mean
12. SunOct 11~74°52°Model mean
13. MonOct 12~71°50°Model mean
14. TueOct 13~66°51°Model mean
15. WedOct 14~66°49°Model mean0.02 in
16. ThuOct 15~72°56°Model mean

• Feels like59°
• WindNNE 9 mphgusts 14 mph
• Radar over this pointno reading
• Humidity93%
• Dew point57°
• Pressure—
• UV index—
• Air quality—
• Visibility—
• Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
• Moonrise8:57 PMMoonset 11:31 AM
• Moon phaseWaning gibbous82% lit

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

1. TodaySep 3062°49°NWS grid 62° / 50°rain 100%thunder 35%1.83 inwind 24 mph · gusts 38 mph
2. ThuOct 164°45°NWS grid 64° / 45°rain 66%0.27 inwind 28 mph · gusts 41 mph
3. FriOct 267°44°NWS grid 67° / 44°rain 0%wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
4. SatOct 374°48°NWS grid 74° / 48°rain 2%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
5. SunOct 472°48°NWS grid 73° / 48°rain 3%thunder 10%wind 14 mph · gusts 23 mph
6. MonOct 578°52°NWS grid 78° / 51°rain 1%thunder 12%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
7. TueOct 680°53°NWS grid 80° / 52°rain 9%thunder 12%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
8. WedOct 778°52°NWS grid 78° / 53°rain 5%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
9. ThuOct 876°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 4%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
10. FriOct 976°49°Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
11. SatOct 1077°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 7%wind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

NWS gridBlendHRRRGFSGEFS ± spreadECMWFECMWF AI

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

10 daysTemperature plume

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

This hour: no-fly (chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Fri 7 AM to 1 PM, 6 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:21 AM to sunrise 6:51 AM, and sunset 6:40 PM to 7:10 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Good Caution No-fly

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

• Thu 7 PM to 9 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
• Fri 11 AM to 1 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sat 11 AM to 3 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sat 6 PM to Sun 12 AM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
• Sun 10 AM to 12 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
• Mon 10 AM to Tue 3 AM 17 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
• Tue 8 AM to 1 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
• Tue 6 PM to Wed 2 PM 20 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C

Good Marginal No

Field days

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

1. Overnight57° · 94% · NNE 10 mph

   Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 57. North northeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

2. Wednesday62° · 94% · N 15–20 mph

   Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 62. North wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

3. Wednesday Night50° · 87% · NNW 20–25 mph

   Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 50. North northwest wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

4. Thursday64° · 64% · N 15–25 mph

   Rain showers likely before 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. North wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

5. Thursday Night45° · 3% · ESE 0–10 mph

   Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. East southeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

6. Friday67° · SE 0–15 mph

   Sunny, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 0 to 15 mph.

7. Friday Night44° · NE 0–10 mph

   Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Northeast wind 0 to 10 mph.

8. Saturday74° · WSW 0–10 mph

   Sunny, with a high near 74. West southwest wind 0 to 10 mph.

9. Saturday Night48° · 2% · NE 5 mph

   Mostly clear, with a low around 48. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

10. Sunday73° · 1% · E 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 73. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

11. Sunday Night48° · 1% · ESE 5–15 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 48. East southeast wind 5 to 15 mph.

12. Monday78° · SSW 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 78. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

13. Monday Night51° · 1% · SSW 5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. South southwest wind around 5 mph.

14. Tuesday80° · 4% · NW 5 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

FLUS45 KPUB 300651
HWOPUB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1251 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-010700-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1251 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will continue across the 
region today and tonight. Heaviest fains will be along and south of 
the Highway 50 corridor, along the southeast mountains and parts of 
the southeast plains. Some areas could see between 1 and 3 inches of 
rainfall, with elevated concerns for flash flooding over the burn 
scars and other vulnerable areas. Strong, gusty winds will also be 
possible tonight into early Thursday, gusting out of the north 
around 45 mph at times. Several inches of snow are expected during 
this timeframe as well, falling over the higher peaks of the 
mountains above 12 kft.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Monday

Activity will push east on Thursday, though pockets of heavy 
rainfall will still be possible through the first half of the day
along with wind gusts up to 45 mph. There is also a chance for 
some embedded thunderstorm activity in the afternoon over the
southeast plains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

$$

GARBEROGLIO/GARBEROGLIO

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 6: a growing season of about 153 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 26; one spring in ten still has one after May 16.

Climate of 38.18, -104.02: normals, records and every month

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.