Current weather · Sep 26, 4:15 AM CDT
38.1690, -91.2190
59°
- High
- 72°
- Low
- 57°
- Rain today
- 14%
- Sunrise
- 6:56 AM
- Sunset
- 6:55 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 4 AM | Chance of very light rain showers | 59° | 59° | 57° | 93% | 13% | E | 2 mph | 7 mph | 72% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | ||
| Sat 5 AM | Chance of very light rain showers | 60° | 60° | 56° | 87% | 14% | E | 2 mph | 7 mph | 78% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | ||
| Sat 6 AM | Chance of very light rain showers | 59° | 59° | 54° | 83% | 14% | E | 2 mph | 7 mph | 77% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | ||
| Sat 7 AM | 59° | 59° | 54° | 83% | 8% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 69% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | |||
| Sat 8 AM | 60° | 60° | 55° | 84% | 8% | E | 2 mph | 7 mph | 78% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 8,500 ft | |||
| Sat 9 AM | 62° | 62° | 55° | 78% | 6% | ESE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 69% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | |||
| Sat 10 AM | 65° | 65° | 56° | 73% | 5% | ESE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 72% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |||
| Sat 11 AM | 67° | 67° | 57° | 70% | 4% | ESE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 81% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |||
| Sat 12 PM | 69° | 69° | 57° | 66% | 6% | ESE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 77% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |||
| Sat 1 PM | 69° | 69° | 57° | 66% | 3% | E | 3 mph | 8 mph | 67% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |||
| Sat 2 PM | 71° | 71° | 57° | 61% | 3% | E | 5 mph | 9 mph | 58% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | |||
| Sat 3 PM | 71° | 71° | 57° | 61% | 4% | E | 5 mph | 9 mph | 57% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | |||
| Sat 4 PM | 71° | 71° | 57° | 61% | 6% | E | 5 mph | 10 mph | 66% | 4% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | |||
| Sat 5 PM | 71° | 71° | 56° | 59% | 6% | E | 5 mph | 10 mph | 54% | 4% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | |||
| Sat 6 PM | 69° | 69° | 56° | 63% | 4% | E | 5 mph | 10 mph | 68% | 4% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | |||
| Sat 7 PM | 68° | 68° | 56° | 65% | 8% | E | 5 mph | 10 mph | 74% | 7% | — | 10 mi | 22,400 ft | |||
| Sat 8 PM | 66° | 66° | 55° | 68% | 8% | E | 3 mph | 10 mph | 59% | 7% | — | 10 mi | 23,200 ft | |||
| Sat 9 PM | 62° | 62° | 55° | 78% | 9% | E | 3 mph | 9 mph | 77% | 7% | — | 10 mi | 21,900 ft | |||
| Sat 10 PM | 61° | 61° | 54° | 78% | 5% | E | 3 mph | 9 mph | 68% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 16,900 ft | |||
| Sat 11 PM | 61° | 61° | 53° | 75% | 5% | ESE | 2 mph | 8 mph | 62% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 13,900 ft | |||
| Sun 12 AM | 60° | 60° | 52° | 75% | 5% | ESE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 60% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 13,800 ft | |||
| Sun 1 AM | 60° | 60° | 52° | 75% | 12% | 0.00 in | ESE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 61% | 9% | — | 10 mi | 14,900 ft | ||
| Sun 2 AM | 59° | 59° | 52° | 78% | 14% | 0.00 in | ESE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 72% | 9% | — | 10 mi | 15,800 ft | ||
| Sun 3 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 59° | 59° | 52° | 78% | 12% | 0.00 in | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 43% | 9% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | |
| Sun 4 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 58° | 58° | 51° | 77% | 16% | 0.00 in | SE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 52% | 6% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | |
| Sun 5 AM | 58° | 58° | 51° | 77% | 5% | 0.00 in | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 60% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 13,200 ft | ||
| Sun 6 AM | 57° | 57° | 51° | 80% | 12% | 0.00 in | ESE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 54% | 6% | — | 9 mi | -100 ft | ||
| Sun 7 AM | 57° | 57° | 51° | 80% | 7% | ESE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 63% | 4% | — | 9 mi | 9,400 ft | |||
| Sun 8 AM | 59° | 59° | 53° | 80% | 7% | ESE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 65% | 4% | — | 9 mi | 9,000 ft | |||
| Sun 9 AM | 62° | 62° | 55° | 78% | 4% | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 68% | 4% | — | 10 mi | 9,400 ft | |||
| Sun 10 AM | 66° | 66° | 55° | 68% | 5% | ESE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 69% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 9,900 ft | |||
| Sun 11 AM | 68° | 68° | 56° | 65% | 6% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 53% | 2% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | |||
| Sun 12 PM | 71° | 71° | 57° | 61% | 4% | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 59% | 2% | — | 10 mi | 10,200 ft | |||
| Sun 1 PM | 73° | 73° | 58° | 59% | 1% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 60% | 1% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 2 PM | 73° | 73° | 58° | 59% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 61% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 3 PM | 73° | 73° | 59° | 62% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 54% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 4 PM | 73° | 73° | 59° | 62% | 0% | ENE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 31% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 5 PM | 74° | 74° | 59° | 59% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 27% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 6 PM | 72° | 72° | 59° | 64% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 25% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 7 PM | 70° | 70° | 59° | 68% | 5% | ENE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 26% | 4% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 8 PM | 68° | 68° | 59° | 73% | 5% | ENE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 5% | 4% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 9 PM | 65° | 65° | 58° | 78% | 5% | ENE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 22% | 4% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 10 PM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 84% | 5% | E | 1 mph | 6 mph | 39% | 3% | — | — | ||||
| Sun 11 PM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 84% | 5% | E | 1 mph | 6 mph | 41% | 3% | — | — | ||||
| Mon 12 AM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 84% | 5% | E | 1 mph | 5 mph | 42% | 3% | — | — | ||||
| Mon 1 AM | 61° | 61° | 55° | 81% | 5% | E | 1 mph | 5 mph | 44% | 5% | — | — | ||||
| Mon 2 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 81% | 5% | E | 1 mph | 5 mph | 46% | 5% | — | — | ||||
| Mon 3 AM | 59° | 59° | 54° | 83% | 5% | E | 0 mph | 5 mph | 47% | 5% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 26, 1:41 AM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 2672°57°Chance Rain Showers then Partly Sunnywind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- SunSep 2775°57°Partly Sunnywind 5 mph
- MonSep 2876°59°Mostly Sunnywind 3 mph
- TueSep 2980°65°Partly Sunnywind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- WedSep 3076°66°Chance Showers And Thunderstormswind 9 mph · gusts 20 mph
- ThuOct 176°61°Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
- FriOct 276°61°Chance Showers And Thunderstormswind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SatOct 378°61°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SunOct 474°55°National Blendwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
- MonOct 570°52°National Blendwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- TueOct 6~63°48°Model mean
- WedOct 7~69°48°Model mean
- ThuOct 8~70°50°Model mean
- FriOct 9~67°49°Model mean
- SatOct 10~68°48°Model mean
- SunOct 11~56°43°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like59°
- WindE 2 mphgusts 7 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity93%
- Dew point57°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
- Moonrise6:46 PMMoonset 6:50 AM
- Moon phaseFull moon100% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 1:00 AM CDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 2672°57°NWS grid 72° / 57°wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- SunSep 2775°57°NWS grid 75° / 57°wind 3 mph
- MonSep 2876°59°NWS grid 76° / 59°wind 3 mph
- TueSep 2980°65°NWS grid 80° / 65°wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- WedSep 3077°66°NWS grid 76° / 66°wind 9 mph · gusts 20 mph
- ThuOct 176°61°NWS grid 76° / 61°wind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
- FriOct 276°61°NWS grid 76° / 61°wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SatOct 378°61°NWS grid 78° / 61°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SunOct 474°55°Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
- MonOct 570°52°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- TueOct 672°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 26, 1:00 AM CDT · GFS Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT · GEFS Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 25, 7:00 PM CDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 26 | 72° 57° | 80° 60° | 78° 59° | 75° 59°0.01 in | 77° 60°0.09 in | ~73° 61°0.11 in |
| Sun Sep 27 | 75° 57°0.01 in | 74° 62°0.07 in | 84° 58° | 80° 58°0.01 in | 78° 61°0.02 in | ~71° 61°0.16 in |
| Mon Sep 28 | 76° 59° | ~61° 61° | 81° 60° | 80° 58° | 71° 58° | ~78° 58° |
| Tue Sep 29 | 80° 65° | — | 86° 61° | 80° 61°0.13 in | 86° 60° | ~82° 55° |
| Wed Sep 30 | 76° 66°0.55 in | — | 67° 65°0.40 in | 74° 67°0.39 in | 72° 70°0.38 in | ~87° 66° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 76° 61°0.72 in | — | 84° 67°0.30 in | 75° 65°0.54 in | 86° 70°0.39 in | ~85° 73°0.19 in |
| Fri Oct 2 | 76° 61°0.36 in | — | 76° 68°0.39 in | 74° 65°0.42 in | ~72° 69°1.90 in | ~71° 69°1.54 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 78° 61°0.16 in | — | 72° 67°0.39 in | 77° 63°0.19 in | ~69° 61° | ~66° 62°0.43 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | — | — | 73° 59°0.46 in | 72° 59°0.10 in | ~67° 50° | ~63° 59°0.12 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | — | — | 60° 46° | 67° 53°0.09 in | ~69° 49° | ~60° 58°0.40 in |
| Tue Oct 6 | — | — | ~62° 40° | — | ~65° 49° | ~60° 56°0.32 in |
| Wed Oct 7 | — | — | ~71° 44° | — | ~67° 45° | ~70° 55°0.02 in |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | ~64° 51°0.04 in | — | ~71° 49° | ~76° 50° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | ~52° 36° | — | ~71° 56°0.02 in | ~79° 55° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~65° 37° | — | ~66° 48° | ~74° 58° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~56° 43° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Sullivan Regional (UUV) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | — | 104° (1953) | 27° (1958) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 3 | — | 96° (1938) | 22° (1952) | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 | 33% chance above normal · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 10 | — | 94° (1963) | 22° (1979) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 17 | — | 93° (1939) | 16° (1952) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 24 | — | 91° (1940) | 13° (1952) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 31 | — | 87° (1937) | 12° (1951) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 7 | — | 86° (1989) | 2° (1951) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 14 | — | 81° (1955) | 5° (1959) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 21 | — | 79° (1990) | -1° (1950) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 28 | — | 76° (1998) | 3° (1964) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 5 | — | 77° (1991) | -5° (1950) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 12 | — | 76° (1948) | -16° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 19 | — | 71° (1941) | -23° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayIdealfine conditions
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayGoodcool
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayVery goodhumid
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Poor | 8:23 PM to 5:29 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 100% | 3 mph | ||
| Sunday | Poor | 8:22 PM to 5:30 AM | 1 of 10 | None | 98% | Fair | 2 mph | |
| Monday | Fair | 8:20 PM to 5:31 AM | 3 of 10 | None | 93% | Fair | 3 mph | |
| Tuesday | Poor | 8:18 PM to 5:32 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 87% | 8 mph | ||
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:17 PM to 5:33 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 79% | 9 h | 7 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:15 PM to 5:34 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 70% | 10 h | 3 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:14 PM to 5:35 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 60% | 10 h | 2 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 6:30 AM to 6:40 AM | 6:40 AM to 7:31 AM | 6:21 PM to 7:11 PM | 7:11 PM to 7:22 PM |
| Sun | 6:31 AM to 6:41 AM | 6:41 AM to 7:32 AM | 6:19 PM to 7:10 PM | 7:10 PM to 7:20 PM |
| Mon | 6:32 AM to 6:42 AM | 6:42 AM to 7:33 AM | 6:17 PM to 7:08 PM | 7:08 PM to 7:19 PM |
| Tue | 6:33 AM to 6:43 AM | 6:43 AM to 7:34 AM | 6:16 PM to 7:07 PM | 7:07 PM to 7:17 PM |
| Wed | 6:33 AM to 6:44 AM | 6:44 AM to 7:35 AM | 6:14 PM to 7:05 PM | 7:05 PM to 7:15 PM |
| Thu | 6:34 AM to 6:45 AM | 6:45 AM to 7:36 AM | 6:13 PM to 7:04 PM | 7:04 PM to 7:14 PM |
| Fri | 6:35 AM to 6:45 AM | 6:45 AM to 7:37 AM | 6:11 PM to 7:02 PM | 7:02 PM to 7:12 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:56 AM, 91° E
- SS Sunset 6:55 PM, 269° W
- MR Moonrise 6:46 PM, 83° E
- MS Moonset 6:50 AM, 273° W
- Full moon, 100% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sat 7 AM to 5 PM, 10 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:26 AM to sunrise 6:56 AM, and sunset 6:55 PM to 7:25 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sat | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 6 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 7 AM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 8 AM | Good | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 9 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 10 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 65° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 11 AM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 67° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 12 PM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 69° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 1 PM | Good | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 69° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 2 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 3% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 71° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 3 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 71° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 4 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 71° | nothing against it | |
| Sat 5 PM | No-fly | 5 | 6 | 12 | 6% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 71° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Sat 6 PM | Caution | 5 | 6 | 12 | 4% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 69° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |
| Sat 7 PM | Caution | 5 | 11 | 17 | 8% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 68° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 8 PM | Caution | 3 | 8 | 15 | 8% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 9 PM | Caution | 3 | 8 | 14 | 9% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 10 PM | Caution | 3 | 8 | 14 | 5% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sat 11 PM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 12 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 5% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 1 AM | Caution | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 2 AM | Caution | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 3 AM | No-fly | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 59° | low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Sat 9 AM to 11 PM 14 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sun 3 PM to 8 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 12 PM to 9 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 3 AM to 9 PM 18 hours, every hour within the rules
| Sat | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Dry | 8% | 0.00 in | 59% | 5 mph | 4 d | |
| Sunday | Dry | 7% | 0.01 in | 59% | 5 mph | 3 d | |
| Monday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 54% | 3 mph | 2 d | |
| Tuesday | Dry | 10% | 0.00 in | 54% | 7 mph | 1 d | |
| Wednesday | Wet | 51% | 0.55 in | 78% | 9 mph | ||
| Thursday | Wet | 57% | 0.72 in | 74% | 8 mph | ||
| Friday | Wet | 39% | 0.36 in | 71% | 6 mph | ||
| Saturday | Showers possible | 37% | 0.16 in | 69% | 6 mph |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | Best | 11:31 PM to 1:31 AM11:53 AM to 1:53 PM | 6:20 AM to 7:20 AM6:16 PM to 7:16 PM | 100% | 6:56 AM, 6:55 PM |
| Sun | Best | 12:17 AM to 2:17 AM12:40 PM to 2:40 PM | 7:28 AM to 8:28 AM6:43 PM to 7:43 PM | 99% | 6:57 AM, 6:54 PM |
| Mon | Good | 1:05 AM to 3:05 AM1:30 PM to 3:30 PM | 8:39 AM to 9:39 AM7:13 PM to 8:13 PM | 95% | 6:58 AM, 6:52 PM |
| Tue | Good | 1:57 AM to 3:57 AM2:24 PM to 4:24 PM | 9:52 AM to 10:52 AM7:49 PM to 8:49 PM | 90% | 6:59 AM, 6:51 PM |
| Wed | Poor | 2:53 AM to 4:53 AM3:23 PM to 5:23 PM | 11:07 AM to 12:07 PM8:34 PM to 9:34 PM | 82% | 7:00 AM, 6:49 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 3:53 AM to 5:53 AM4:24 PM to 6:24 PM | 12:19 PM to 1:19 PM9:28 PM to 10:28 PM | 73% | 7:01 AM, 6:48 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:56 AM to 6:56 AM5:27 PM to 7:27 PM | 1:23 PM to 2:23 PM10:32 PM to 11:32 PM | 64% | 7:02 AM, 6:46 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedOvernight59° · 14% · E 2 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. East wind around 2 mph.
Saturday72° · 14% · E 5 mph
A chance of rain showers before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. East wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night57° · 16% · E 1–5 mph
A slight chance of rain showers between 3am and 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday75° · 12% · E 1–5 mph
Partly sunny, with a high near 75. East wind 1 to 5 mph.
Sunday Night57° · 5% · E 0–3 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind 0 to 3 mph.
Monday76° · 5% · E 3 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Monday Night59° · SE 3 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Tuesday80° · 10% · S 3–7 mph
Partly sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night65° · 34% · S 5–8 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Wednesday76° · 51% · S 9 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night66° · 50% · S 7 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Thursday76° · 57% · S 8 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Thursday Night61° · 51% · S 6 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Friday76° · 42% · SW 6 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS St. Louis, MO · issued Sep 26, 1:31 AM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
The chance of rain (30-60%) will continue through Sunday morning for portions of central Missouri, northeast Missouri, and west- central Illinois.
A gradual warm-up is expected through early next week. Highs near 80 degrees are forecast for most locations by Tuesday.
A widespread beneficial rainfall is expected next week. There is high confidence (90-100%) that everyone will see measurable rainfall. Much of the area has more than a 50% chance at seeing 0.50"+ of rain.
Short Term · Through Sunday
130 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
A mid-level high pressure center continues to swirl just off the Texas Coast, with its ridge axis extending into the Upper Mississippi Valley. Our CWA sits just south of its apex and, as a result, just south of a parade of weak vorticity lobes that keep rounding the ridge's crest. So despite the ridge helping to advect anomalously rich mid-level moisture into the region, weak lift and non-existent forcing have prevented anything more than light rain in portions of Missouri north of I-70 this morning. Low- level dry air advection from the east isn't helping, either. Surface observations show that much of the rain falling isn't hitting the ground because of it. As the ridge breaks down this morning, stronger mid-level pulses will be allowed to pass through the region. The increase in lift will bring our highest likelihood for showers of the weekend (40-60% chance), though its footprint will be mostly relegated to northeast Missouri and west-central Illinois and it will mostly fall as light rain due to the undercutting dry air. The passing of a shortwave early Sunday morning will reintroduce the potential for rain into northeast and central Missouri before sunrise (30-50%). Despite the early hour, MUCAPE is expected to be maximized during this period (up to 250 J/kg) with the return of low-level warm air advection and a rumble or two of thunder will be possible.
The temperature forecast will continue to be heavily influenced by cloud cover this weekend. Where clouds are most dense and linger the longest, highs will be cooler and lows will be warmer. The opposite is true for those who see more sun.
Long Term · Sunday Night Through Friday
130 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
Focus shifts to next week's rain chances. A deep longwave trough is forecast to be passing through the Desert Southwest Tuesday night. Despite the distance, model guidance shows the system ejecting lobes of vorticity into the Mid-Mississippi Valley during the same timeframe. Concurrently, high pressure will dominate the low-level wind pattern, resulting in moisture and warm air advection into the center of the country. In these southeast Missouri and southwest Illinois the low-levels may saturate immediately or remain dry for much longer than to the northwest. Though ensembles show a 100% chance of rain between 06z Wednesday and 06z Friday everywhere, these areas hold the most uncertainty regarding timing and amounts. Elsewhere, and in northeast Missouri especially, moisture is expected to pool along an approaching front with rain all but guaranteed (LREF 90-100% probability of 24 hour rainfall). The LREF probability of 24 hour rainfall >0.50" ending 06z Friday ranges from 40%-80% from southeast to northwest. Even with the uncertainty, this system still brings optimism regarding the ongoing drought.
Temperatures next week will be on the upswing as warm air is pulled into the Mid-Mississippi Valley ahead of the aforementioned system. By Tuesday, much of the area is forecast to reach the upper 70s to 80 degrees. Confidence in temperatures drops come Wednesday due to uncertainties regarding the timing of the rain's onset as seen in the 13 degrees NBM IQR spread at KSTL that day. The spread tightens some in the following days, but this false confidence is dispelled when considering the continued rain chances and potential cold frontal passage later in the week.
Aviation · 06Z TAFs Through 12Z Sunday
1210 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. The only exception is if the on-and-off light rain showers we'll see throughout the day are able to reduce visibilities to MVFR. UIN/COU/JEF have the greatest potential to see this, so maintained the PROB30 groups there. Though if ongoing light rain in the area is an indicator for later showers, visibilities may hold at VFR. Rain chances decrease with eastern extent. Cannot rule out a sprinkle here and there, but flight restrictions are unlikely to occur.
LSX Watches / Warnings / Advisories
MO...None. IL...None.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
- Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
- Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
- Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
- Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Sat Sep 260.01 in
- Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 300.50 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 20.75 in
Flash flood risk
- Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Below marginal
- Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Below marginal
- Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Below marginal
- Day 4 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
- Day 5 · Wed Sep 30Marginal
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature50% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 1–Oct 5
- Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 3–Oct 9
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 9
Hazards, 3 to 14 days
- Wed Sep 30Heavy Rain
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
- Outlook for Sep 2026Drought development likely
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, RosebudThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 27 and the first fall freeze around October 13: a growing season of about 168 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by September 29; one spring in ten still has one after May 12.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 24 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 68° | 70° | 72° | 74° | 74° | 75° | 73° | 76° |
| Heat index max | 71° | 74° | 76° | 81° | 75° | 76° | 75° | 77° |
| Chance of thunder max | 7% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 22% | 19% | 16% |
| Cloud ceiling min | -100 ft | -100 ft | ||||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 9 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 3,100 ft | 3,900 ft | 4,300 ft | |||||
| Transport wind max | 9 mph | 8 mph | 8 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Sullivan Regional (UUV) · 5.4 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 | 72° / 57° | — | 93° (1953) | 31° (1940) |
| Sun Sep 27 | 75° / 57° | — | 92° (1990) | 30° (1940) |
| Mon Sep 28 | 76° / 59° | — | 100° (1953) | 29° (1942) |
| Tue Sep 29 | 80° / 65° | — | 104° (1953) | 30° (1942) |
| Wed Sep 30 | 76° / 66° | — | 95° (1952) | 29° (1949) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 76° / 61° | — | 93° (1937) | 29° (1958) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 76° / 61° | — | 95° (1953) | 27° (1958) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 78° / 61° | — | 94° (2006) | 27° (1974) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 6:30 AM | 6:56 AM | 6:55 PM | 7:22 PM | 11 h 59 min | Full moon · 100% lit |
| Sun | 6:31 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:54 PM | 7:20 PM | 11 h 57 min | Waning gibbous · 99% lit |
| Mon | 6:32 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:52 PM | 7:19 PM | 11 h 54 min | Waning gibbous · 95% lit |
| Tue | 6:33 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:51 PM | 7:17 PM | 11 h 52 min | Waning gibbous · 90% lit |
| Wed | 6:33 AM | 7:00 AM | 6:49 PM | 7:15 PM | 11 h 49 min | Waning gibbous · 82% lit |
| Thu | 6:34 AM | 7:01 AM | 6:48 PM | 7:14 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 73% lit |
| Fri | 6:35 AM | 7:02 AM | 6:46 PM | 7:12 PM | 11 h 44 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:36 AM | 7:03 AM | 6:45 PM | 7:11 PM | 11 h 42 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from