Current weather · Sep 28, 5:01 PM EDT

37.9420, -83.2200

74°

SunnyFeels like 74° · Humidity 43%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Jackson, KY · grid 64,67
High
74°
Low
44°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:26 AM
Sunset
7:20 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Mon 5 PM74°74°50°43%0%N2 mph7 mph8%——
Mon 6 PM72°72°51°48%0%N2 mph6 mph9%——
Mon 7 PM69°69°51°53%0%N0 mph5 mph8%——
Mon 8 PM65°65°52°63%0%N0 mph2 mph19%——
Mon 9 PM60°60°52°75%0%N0 mph2 mph14%——
Mon 10 PM59°59°52°78%0%NNE0 mph2 mph11%——
Mon 11 PM58°58°53°83%0%NE0 mph2 mph11%——
Tue 12 AM56°56°54°93%0%N0 mph1 mph10%——
Tue 1 AM56°56°55°96%0%N0 mph1 mph5%——
Tue 2 AM55°55°55°100%0%N0 mph1 mph5%——
Tue 3 AM55°55°54°96%0%N0 mph1 mph9%——
Tue 4 AM54°54°54°100%0%N0 mph1 mph23%——
Tue 5 AM53°53°53°100%0%N0 mph1 mph20%——
Tue 6 AM52°52°52°100%0%N0 mph1 mph37%——
Tue 7 AM51°51°51°100%0%N0 mph1 mph35%——
Tue 8 AM51°51°51°100%0%N0 mph1 mph36%——
Tue 9 AM55°55°55°100%0%N0 mph1 mph27%——
Tue 10 AM61°61°56°84%0%N0 mph1 mph28%——
Tue 11 AM65°65°55°70%0%E0 mph2 mph19%——
Tue 12 PM69°69°54°59%0%E1 mph3 mph13%——
Tue 1 PM73°73°52°48%0%E1 mph3 mph19%——
Tue 2 PM76°76°52°43%0%E1 mph3 mph20%——
Tue 3 PM77°77°51°40%0%ENE1 mph3 mph9%——
Tue 4 PM77°77°51°40%0%ENE1 mph3 mph7%——
Tue 5 PM78°78°51°39%0%ENE1 mph3 mph3%——
Tue 6 PM75°75°52°45%0%ENE1 mph3 mph1%——
Tue 7 PM71°71°52°51%0%ENE0 mph3 mph2%——
Tue 8 PM67°67°54°63%0%ENE0 mph2 mph4%——
Tue 9 PM61°61°53°75%0%N0 mph2 mph0%——
Tue 10 PM59°59°53°80%0%N0 mph2 mph0%——
Tue 11 PM57°57°54°90%0%N0 mph2 mph0%——
Wed 12 AM57°57°54°90%0%N0 mph2 mph1%——
Wed 1 AM56°56°54°93%0%N0 mph1 mph0%——
Wed 2 AM56°56°54°93%0%N0 mph1 mph1%——
Wed 3 AM54°54°54°100%0%N0 mph1 mph18%——
Wed 4 AM53°53°53°100%0%N0 mph1 mph25%——
Wed 5 AM51°51°51°100%0%N0 mph2 mph44%——
Wed 6 AM50°50°50°100%0%SSE0 mph2 mph42%——
Wed 7 AM50°50°50°100%0%SSE0 mph2 mph41%——
Wed 8 AM49°49°49°100%0%S0 mph2 mph53%——
Wed 9 AM54°54°53°96%0%S0 mph3 mph66%——
Wed 10 AM61°61°58°90%0%S0 mph5 mph42%——
Wed 11 AM68°68°56°65%0%S1 mph6 mph17%——
Wed 12 PM73°73°55°53%0%SSW2 mph7 mph19%——
Wed 1 PM76°76°54°46%0%SSW3 mph8 mph22%——
Wed 2 PM80°80°53°39%0%SW3 mph9 mph24%——
Wed 3 PM82°81°52°35%0%SW3 mph9 mph23%——
Wed 4 PM83°82°52°34%0%SSW3 mph8 mph21%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 28, 2:29 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2874°44°Sunny0%wind 6 mph
  2. TueSep 2978°49°Sunny0%wind 1 mph
  3. WedSep 3083°56°Mostly Sunny0%wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  4. ThuOct 186°64°Mostly Sunny1%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  5. FriOct 283°61°Chance Rain Showers32%0.07 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  6. SatOct 371°60°Rain Showers Likely56%0.90 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  7. SunOct 471°53°Rain Showers Likely55%1.34 inwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  8. MonOct 566°49°34%0.16 inwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  9. TueOct 668°51°National Blend13%0.01 inwind 3 mph
  10. WedOct 770°54°National Blend20%0.19 inwind 2 mph
  11. ThuOct 870°51°National Blend20%0.42 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  12. FriOct 9~70°50°Model mean
  13. SatOct 10~69°48°Model mean
  14. SunOct 11~70°44°Model mean
  15. MonOct 12~77°50°Model mean
  16. TueOct 13~67°45°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like74°
  • WindN 2 mphgusts 7 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity43%
  • Dew point50°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise8:11 PMMoonset 9:35 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous95% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 28, 2:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 28—52°NWS grid 74° / 44°rain 0%wind 3 mph
  2. TueSep 2978°53°NWS grid 78° / 49°rain 0%wind 1 mph
  3. WedSep 3083°61°NWS grid 83° / 56°rain 0%wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  4. ThuOct 186°65°NWS grid 86° / 64°rain 9%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  5. FriOct 283°62°NWS grid 83° / 61°rain 51%thunder 19%0.07 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  6. SatOct 372°63°NWS grid 71° / 60°rain 56%thunder 18%1.03 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  7. SunOct 471°54°NWS grid 71° / 53°rain 55%1.30 inwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  8. MonOct 566°49°NWS grid 66° / 49°rain 30%0.11 inwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  9. TueOct 668°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 13%0.01 inwind 3 mph
  10. WedOct 770°54°Beyond the NWS gridrain 20%0.19 inwind 2 mph
  11. ThuOct 870°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 20%0.42 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
41°64°86°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT · GEFS Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 28, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°68°95°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2874° 44°77° 46°76° 50°76° 52°77° 51°~76° 51°
Tue Sep 2978° 49°80° 49°80° 52°83° 51°80° 54°~78° 52°
Wed Sep 3083° 56°60° 53°85° 55°83° 55°87° 57°~85° 55°
Thu Oct 186° 64°—89° 61°86° 60°89° 65°~86° 61°
Fri Oct 283° 61°0.07 in—89° 66°0.18 in83° 65°0.12 in88° 69°0.04 in~86° 66°0.05 in
Sat Oct 371° 60°0.90 in—62° 57°0.50 in71° 60°0.35 in70° 57°0.07 in~69° 63°0.60 in
Sun Oct 471° 53°1.34 in—73° 58°0.01 in72° 62°0.69 in~78° 59°~68° 63°0.45 in
Mon Oct 566° 49°0.16 in—71° 49°65° 52°0.26 in~71° 54°~65° 55°
Tue Oct 6——65° 45°64° 44°0.04 in~71° 47°~62° 39°
Wed Oct 7——67° 38°68° 47°0.15 in~78° 48°~72° 42°
Thu Oct 8——~71° 50°~53° 51°0.09 in~82° 54°~70° 54°0.02 in
Fri Oct 9——~71° 48°—~65° 53°~75° 48°
Sat Oct 10——~72° 46°—~61° 42°~74° 56°
Sun Oct 11——~74° 48°—~73° 41°~62° 43°
Mon Oct 12——~82° 58°—~77° 51°~72° 41°
Tue Oct 13——~67° 45°—~56° 56°~56° 55°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Jackson/J. Carroll (JKL) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Tue Oct 13, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%warmer 40% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2873° / 52°97° (2019)31° (1987)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 571° / 51°89° (2007)30° (2000)near normal most likely · days 6 to 1033% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 1270° / 48°87° (2016)28° (1988)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1966° / 46°87° (2016)26° (1987)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2664° / 44°86° (1991)28° (2023)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 261° / 43°84° (2016)17° (1991)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 956° / 38°84° (2020)13° (1986)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1657° / 39°79° (1985)15° (2014)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2355° / 37°79° (1990)15° (2005)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 3052° / 36°79° (1982)7° (1984)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 748° / 31°74° (2007)3° (1995)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1449° / 33°73° (1984)-4° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 2144° / 30°76° (1982)-13° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayVery goodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightFairbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
MondayFair8:48 PM to 5:59 AM8 of 9None94%Poor6 h0 mph
TuesdayFair8:46 PM to 6:00 AM7 of 9None87%Poor7 h0 mph
WednesdayPoor8:45 PM to 6:01 AM0 of 9None80%8 h2 mph
ThursdayPoor8:43 PM to 6:02 AM0 of 9None70%2 mph
FridayPoor8:41 PM to 6:03 AM0 of 9None60%9 h2 mph
SaturdayPoor8:40 PM to 6:04 AM0 of 9None50%9 h2 mph
SundayPoor8:38 PM to 6:05 AM0 of 9None39%9 h3 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Mon7:00 AM to 7:10 AM7:10 AM to 8:01 AM6:46 PM to 7:36 PM7:36 PM to 7:47 PM
Tue7:01 AM to 7:11 AM7:11 AM to 8:02 AM6:44 PM to 7:35 PM7:35 PM to 7:45 PM
Wed7:01 AM to 7:12 AM7:12 AM to 8:03 AM6:42 PM to 7:33 PM7:33 PM to 7:43 PM
Thu7:02 AM to 7:13 AM7:13 AM to 8:04 AM6:41 PM to 7:32 PM7:32 PM to 7:42 PM
Fri7:03 AM to 7:13 AM7:13 AM to 8:04 AM6:39 PM to 7:30 PM7:30 PM to 7:40 PM
Sat7:04 AM to 7:14 AM7:14 AM to 8:05 AM6:38 PM to 7:29 PM7:29 PM to 7:39 PM
Sun7:05 AM to 7:15 AM7:15 AM to 8:06 AM6:36 PM to 7:27 PM7:27 PM to 7:37 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:26 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 7:20 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:11 PM, 67° ENE
  • MS Moonset 9:35 AM, 290° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 95% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Mon 5 PM to 7 PM, 2 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:56 AM to sunrise 7:26 AM, and sunset 7:20 PM to 7:50 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Mon6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Mon 5 PMGood2370%74°nothing against it
Mon 6 PMGood2360%72°nothing against it
Mon 7 PMCaution0050%69°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 8 PMCaution0020%65°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 9 PMCaution0020%60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 10 PMCaution0020%59°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 11 PMCaution0020%58°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 12 AMCaution0010%56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 1 AMCaution0010%56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 2 AMCaution0010%55°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 3 AMCaution0010%55°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 4 AMCaution0010%54°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 5 AMCaution0010%53°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 6 AMCaution0010%52°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 7 AMCaution0010%51°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Tue 8 AMGood0010%51°nothing against it
Tue 9 AMGood0010%55°nothing against it
Tue 10 AMGood0010%61°nothing against it
Tue 11 AMGood0020%65°nothing against it
Tue 12 PMGood1140%69°nothing against it
Tue 1 PMGood1140%73°nothing against it
Tue 2 PMGood1140%76°nothing against it
Tue 3 PMGood1140%77°nothing against it
Tue 4 PMGood1140%77°nothing against it

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 1 PM to 3 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Thu 10 AM to 8 PM 10 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 2 PM to 5 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
Mon6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
MondayDry0%0.00 in43%6 mph4 dGood
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in39%1 mph3 d
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in34%3 mph2 d
ThursdayDry0%0.00 in39%6 mph1 dGood
FridayShowers possible32%0.07 in61%5 mph
SaturdayWet56%0.90 in93%3 mph
SundayWet54%1.34 in93%5 mph
MondayShowers possible20%0.16 in73%5 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Monday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Mon Good1:32 AM to 3:32 AM1:57 PM to 3:57 PM9:05 AM to 10:05 AM7:41 PM to 8:41 PM 95%7:26 AM, 7:20 PM
Tue Good2:24 AM to 4:24 AM2:51 PM to 4:51 PM10:18 AM to 11:18 AM8:17 PM to 9:17 PM 90%7:27 AM, 7:19 PM
Wed Poor3:20 AM to 5:20 AM3:49 PM to 5:49 PM11:32 AM to 12:32 PM9:01 PM to 10:01 PM 83%7:28 AM, 7:17 PM
Thu Fair4:20 AM to 6:20 AM4:51 PM to 6:51 PM12:44 PM to 1:44 PM9:56 PM to 10:56 PM 74%7:29 AM, 7:16 PM
Fri Fair5:22 AM to 7:22 AM5:54 PM to 7:54 PM1:49 PM to 2:49 PM11:00 PM to 12:00 AM 64%7:30 AM, 7:14 PM
Sat Fair6:25 AM to 8:25 AM6:55 PM to 8:55 PM2:44 PM to 3:44 PM 54%7:30 AM, 7:13 PM
Sun Fair7:25 AM to 9:25 AM7:53 PM to 9:53 PM12:11 AM to 1:11 AM3:29 PM to 4:29 PM 43%7:31 AM, 7:11 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon74° · N 2 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 74. North wind around 2 mph.

  2. Tonight51° · NNE 2 mph

    Mostly clear. Low around 51, with temperatures rising to around 53 overnight. North northeast wind around 2 mph.

  3. Tuesday78° · NE 1 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 78. Northeast wind around 1 mph.

  4. Tuesday Night49° · NE 1 mph

    Mostly clear. Low around 49, with temperatures rising to around 51 overnight. Northeast wind around 1 mph.

  5. Wednesday83° · S 0–3 mph

    Mostly sunny. High near 83, with temperatures falling to around 82 in the afternoon. South wind 0 to 3 mph.

  6. Wednesday Night56° · S 2 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

  7. Thursday86° · SSW 2–6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

  8. Thursday Night64° · 9% · SSW 3 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.

  9. Friday83° · 32% · WSW 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 8am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  10. Friday Night61° · 49% · NNE 3 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  11. Saturday71° · 56% · ENE 3 mph

    Rain showers likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  12. Saturday Night60° · 56% · ESE 3 mph

    Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  13. Sunday71° · 55% · W 5 mph

    Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  14. Sunday Night53° · 50% · NNW 1–5 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Jackson, KY · issued Sep 28, 4:46 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

High pressure supports cool early autumn weather for the start of the week.

Warmer temperatures return from the middle to the end of the week, along with our next reasonable shot at seeing some rain.

Short Term

245 PM EDT MON SEP 28 2026

(This evening through Tuesday night)

A cool, dry, and stable air mass remains in place over eastern Kentucky under surface high pressure and north-northwesterly flow aloft between upstream ridging extending from Texas to the Great Lakes and a large downstream occluded low over southern New England.

Northwesterly upper flow will continue but will decrease with time as the upper ridge axis moves over the Ohio Valley Tuesday night. This will occur as the downstream occluded low departs to farther to the northeast while leaving a remnant upper trough along the Eastern Seaboard. Surface high pressure ridging will continue to slide east with time, allowing for surface winds to gradually become more south to southeasterly by the end of the short-term. This will mean a change from continued weak cold advection today to neutral advection tonight into Tuesday, before weak warm advection commences Tuesday evening through the overnight.

Manual edits were made to lower dew point temperatures, especially during the afternoon periods, and for ridge-valley splits with MinTs, primarily during the evening through overnight periods. Otherwise, the forecast is fairly quiet with minimal edits needed otherwise.

Temperatures will rise several degrees Tuesday from today, as skies remain sunny and advection trends more neutral. Nighttime lows will also rise each night through Tuesday night, but not as much so especially in the valleys. Expect continued fog formation both tonight and Tuesday night, with locally dense fog probable in some locations, likely to be covered again by Special Weather Statements.

Long Term

446 PM EDT MON SEP 28 2026

(Wednesday through Monday)

The long-term period opens Wednesday morning with upper level ridging in place over the Southeast CONUS, mirrored at the surface by high pressure offset to the east over the Western Atlantic. This will be maintaining a mild southerly flow across the Ohio Valley. Looking upstream, a mean 500 hPa trough will be in place over western Canada while a closed ~568 dam low spins over the Lower Colorado River Valley. The trough will be supporting an ~991 mb surface low over the Upper Mackenzie River Valley with a cold front extending southward into the Northern High Plains and then westward across the Columbia River Basin. Another ~1000 mb low is noted over the Southern Rockies ahead of the aforementioned closed low.

For the first few days of the long-term, the upper level ridging will drift eastward to off the Southeast Coast. This will keep southerly flow and an unseasonably warm air mass (mean 850 hPa temperatures ~16-18C, as per the LREF) and mostly dry conditions in place over eastern Kentucky through Friday. In the meantime, the closed low over the Desert Southwest will open up and be captured the eastward-propagating northern-stream trough. As that trough shifts eastward, it will suppress the 500 hPa ridging over the Ohio Valley, transitioning the flow aloft to quasi-zonal/weakly troughed. The cold front associated with the trough will move into the Ohio Valley but then struggle to make further southeastward progress Friday night-Saturday night as energy ejects out of the opening low and rides along the boundary. Meanwhile, PWATs could exceed the 90th percentile if the NAEFS/ECMWF mean solution materializes, amidst deep moisture advection from the Gulf of America. If ingredients come together ideally, a decent soaking rainfall is possible across portions of eastern Kentucky or adjacent regions this weekend, but forecaster confidence is low. From a more sensible standpoint, this pattern will bring back the return of a summer-like feel for the remainder of the work week with dew points recovering back through the 50s and into the 60s while afternoon temperatures peak in the low to mid 80s from Wednesday through Friday. Some of the hotter portions of the Cumberland could flirt with the upper 80s. Rain chances will then knock back the high temperatures for Saturday but it will still be quite humid with the threat of rainfall and possibly a few rumbles of thunder.

Change will be around the corner to close out the first weekend of October. Within the broad upper level troughing, a quick-moving shortwave trough transiting the 49th Parallel (US-Canada border) over the weekend will phase with northern stream energy diving southeast from the Yukon. This will bring height falls to the Ohio Valley early next week while slinging an associated cold front across the Coalfields Sunday into Monday. Behind that front, LREF mean 850 hPa temperatures drop to ~9-11C with much drier PWATs (0.6 to 0.8 inches) by late Monday. Rain chances taper off behind the first cold front on Sunday and appear minimal with this second boundary. Instead, the more noticeable effect will be a decline in temperatures to more seasonable levels for Monday with highs returning to the mid 60s to lower 70s and cool nighttime lows in the 40s and 50s.

Aviation

151 PM EDT MON SEP 28 2026

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)

VFR conditions are expected with light winds through the period, with the one exception being valley fog development late this evening and continuing into the couple of hours after sunrise Tuesday morning. Models continue to show the best moisture to the east, so fog may linger to 14z or slightly later before fully dissipating in some locations. As of right now, fog is not expected to impact TAF locations for an extended period of time, so will leave out and let future TAF issuances address this as confidence hopefully increases.

JKL Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 28, 2:41 PM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KJKL 281841
HWOJKL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
241 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-291845-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
241 PM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

CMC

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Mon Oct 5No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 1–Oct 20.50 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 3–Oct 41.50 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 8
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 6–Oct 12
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 6–Oct 12

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 3–Oct 4Heavy Rain

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, W Liberty 3NW

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 29 and the first fall freeze around October 16: a growing season of about 169 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 3; one spring in ten still has one after May 16.

Climate of 37.94, -83.22: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementMonTueWedThuFriSatSunMon
HeatRisk max0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max69°71°73°77°78°71°70°65°
Heat index max74°78°82°85°86°70°70°
Wind chill min44°49°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%1%11%11%13%13%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft
Mixing height max4,900 ft4,300 ft4,000 ft5,000 ft5,500 ft1,900 ft2,500 ft
Transport wind max8 mph3 mph7 mph15 mph8 mph8 mph12 mph
Twenty-foot wind max5 mph1 mph3 mph5 mph3 mph3 mph3 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max461433
Low visibility risk max71010

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Jackson/J. Carroll (JKL) · 25 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Mon Sep 2874° / 44°74° / 55°94° (2019)41° (1985)
Tue Sep 2978° / 49°72° / 52°95° (2019)41° (1984)
Wed Sep 3083° / 56°73° / 51°94° (2019)36° (2003)
Thu Oct 186° / 64°73° / 52°97° (2019)40° (1992)
Fri Oct 283° / 61°74° / 54°95° (2019)38° (2003)
Sat Oct 371° / 60°74° / 53°95° (2019)33° (2003)
Sun Oct 471° / 53°74° / 54°87° (2018)31° (1987)
Mon Oct 566° / 49°75° / 53°88° (2019)36° (1988)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Mon7:00 AM7:26 AM7:20 PM7:47 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue7:01 AM7:27 AM7:19 PM7:45 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed7:01 AM7:28 AM7:17 PM7:43 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu7:02 AM7:29 AM7:16 PM7:42 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri7:03 AM7:30 AM7:14 PM7:40 PM11 h 44 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:04 AM7:30 AM7:13 PM7:39 PM11 h 43 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun7:05 AM7:31 AM7:11 PM7:37 PM11 h 40 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon7:06 AM7:32 AM7:10 PM7:36 PM11 h 38 min Waning crescent · 33% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from