Current weather · Sep 30, 3:40 AM MDT

37.9090, -103.4370

60°

Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstormsFeels like 60° · Humidity 96%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Pueblo, CO · grid 136,46
High
64°
Low
51°
Rain today
95%
Sunrise
6:49 AM
Sunset
6:38 PM
First issued 8 hours agoExpires in 32 hours · 12:00 PM MDT

All alerts for this county, and its warning history

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Wed 3 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms60°60°59°96%93%0.07 inNNE6 mph8 mph95%20%——
Wed 4 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms60°60°59°96%95%0.07 inNNE8 mph12 mph95%20%——
Wed 5 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms59°59°58°96%93%0.07 inNNE12 mph16 mph95%20%——
Wed 6 AMHeavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms59°59°58°96%94%0.17 inNNE14 mph21 mph95%16%——
Wed 7 AMHeavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms58°58°58°100%94%0.17 inNNE15 mph23 mph95%16%——
Wed 8 AMHeavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms58°58°58°100%92%0.17 inNNE17 mph25 mph95%16%——
Wed 9 AMHeavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms59°59°59°100%86%0.17 inNNE17 mph26 mph95%18%——
Wed 10 AMHeavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms60°60°59°96%81%0.17 inNNE18 mph28 mph95%18%——
Wed 11 AMHeavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms61°61°59°93%76%0.17 inNNE18 mph28 mph96%18%——
Wed 12 PMModerate rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms62°62°59°90%74%0.11 inNNE18 mph28 mph96%30%——
Wed 1 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms62°62°58°87%80%0.11 inNNE18 mph28 mph95%30%——
Wed 2 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms63°63°58°84%79%0.11 inNNE18 mph28 mph95%30%——
Wed 3 PMModerate rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms63°63°58°84%72%0.11 inNNE18 mph28 mph94%36%——
Wed 4 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms63°63°57°81%76%0.11 inN18 mph28 mph94%36%——
Wed 5 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms62°62°56°81%81%0.11 inN18 mph28 mph95%36%——
Wed 6 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms58°58°55°90%77%0.13 inN18 mph26 mph95%36%——
Wed 7 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms55°55°55°100%81%0.13 inN17 mph26 mph94%36%——
Wed 8 PMModerate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms54°54°54°100%81%0.13 inN17 mph26 mph92%36%——
Wed 9 PMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms54°54°54°100%83%0.13 inN17 mph26 mph91%24%——
Wed 10 PMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms54°54°53°96%85%0.13 inN18 mph28 mph90%24%——
Wed 11 PMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms53°53°52°96%84%0.13 inNNW18 mph28 mph90%24%——
Thu 12 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms53°53°52°96%80%0.07 inNNW20 mph29 mph89%17%——
Thu 1 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms52°52°52°100%79%0.07 inNNW20 mph30 mph91%17%——
Thu 2 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms52°52°51°96%80%0.07 inNNW21 mph31 mph93%17%——
Thu 3 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms53°53°51°93%80%0.07 inNNW21 mph32 mph95%10%——
Thu 4 AMModerate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms51°51°51°100%79%0.07 inNNW22 mph33 mph95%10%——
Thu 5 AMModerate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms52°52°51°96%73%0.07 inN24 mph36 mph94%10%——
Thu 6 AMLight rain showers52°52°51°96%85%0.02 inN25 mph35 mph93%8%——
Thu 7 AMLight rain showers likely51°51°50°96%74%0.02 inNNW25 mph37 mph91%8%——
Thu 8 AMLight rain showers likely53°53°51°93%67%0.02 inNNW25 mph36 mph88%8%——
Thu 9 AMLight rain showers likely54°54°52°93%63%0.02 inNNW23 mph35 mph87%3%——
Thu 10 AMChance of light rain showers56°56°52°86%37%0.02 inN25 mph37 mph90%3%——
Thu 11 AMChance of light rain showers57°57°52°83%37%0.02 inN24 mph36 mph91%3%——
Thu 12 PMLight rain showers likely59°59°52°78%55%0.01 inN23 mph36 mph93%5%——
Thu 1 PMChance of light rain showers61°61°51°70%52%0.01 inN24 mph36 mph97%5%——
Thu 2 PMLight rain showers likely62°62°50°65%55%0.01 inN22 mph35 mph97%5%——
Thu 3 PMLight rain showers likely63°63°50°62%57%0.01 inN21 mph32 mph89%8%——
Thu 4 PMChance of light rain showers63°63°49°60%45%0.01 inNNE18 mph30 mph97%8%——
Thu 5 PMChance of light rain showers64°64°49°58%28%0.01 inNNE16 mph28 mph83%8%——
Thu 6 PMSlight chance of light rain showers61°61°50°67%16%0.00 inNNE13 mph22 mph59%2%——
Thu 7 PMSlight chance of light rain showers58°58°52°80%16%0.00 inNNE9 mph18 mph100%2%——
Thu 8 PMSlight chance of light rain showers55°55°52°90%16%0.00 inNNE8 mph15 mph79%2%——
Thu 9 PMSlight chance of light rain showers54°54°50°86%16%0.00 inNE7 mph13 mph57%——
Thu 10 PMSlight chance of light rain showers53°53°49°86%16%0.00 inNE6 mph10 mph54%——
Thu 11 PMSlight chance of light rain showers53°53°49°86%16%0.00 inNE6 mph8 mph50%——
Fri 12 AM52°52°49°89%10%NE5 mph7 mph47%——
Fri 1 AM51°51°49°93%10%NE5 mph7 mph47%——
Fri 2 AM50°49°48°93%10%NE3 mph7 mph48%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 30, 12:31 AM MDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 3064°51°Showers And Thunderstorms95%2.86 inwind 18 mph · gusts 28 mph
  2. ThuOct 164°46°Rain Showers85%0.58 inwind 25 mph · gusts 37 mph
  3. FriOct 268°46°Sunny10%wind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
  4. SatOct 375°49°Sunny0%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. SunOct 474°51°Sunny2%wind 16 mph · gusts 28 mph
  6. MonOct 580°53°Sunny2%wind 15 mph · gusts 29 mph
  7. TueOct 681°52°Mostly Sunny6%wind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  8. WedOct 779°52°5%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  9. ThuOct 878°52°National Blend4%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. FriOct 977°51°National Blend2%wind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
  11. SatOct 10~75°52°Model mean
  12. SunOct 11~74°54°Model mean
  13. MonOct 12~71°52°Model mean
  14. TueOct 13~65°51°Model mean0.02 in
  15. WedOct 14~65°51°Model mean0.01 in
  16. ThuOct 15~71°54°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like60°
  • WindNNE 6 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity96%
  • Dew point59°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
  • Moonrise8:55 PMMoonset 11:27 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous82% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 12:00 AM MDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 3066°51°NWS grid 64° / 51°rain 100%thunder 44%2.86 inwind 22 mph · gusts 33 mph
  2. ThuOct 164°46°NWS grid 64° / 46°rain 87%0.58 inwind 26 mph · gusts 37 mph
  3. FriOct 268°46°NWS grid 68° / 46°rain 0%wind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
  4. SatOct 375°49°NWS grid 75° / 49°rain 3%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  5. SunOct 474°51°NWS grid 74° / 51°rain 2%wind 16 mph · gusts 28 mph
  6. MonOct 580°53°NWS grid 80° / 53°rain 3%thunder 12%wind 15 mph · gusts 29 mph
  7. TueOct 681°53°NWS grid 81° / 52°rain 8%thunder 13%wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
  8. WedOct 779°52°NWS grid 79° / 52°rain 7%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  9. ThuOct 878°52°Beyond the NWS gridrain 4%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. FriOct 977°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 2%wind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
  11. SatOct 1078°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 7%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
41°64°86°ThuFriSatSunMonTueWed

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 30, 12:00 AM MDT · GFS Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT · GEFS Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

41°64°86°ThuFriSatSunMonTueWed

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 3064° 51°2.86 in62° 52°3.24 in67° 59°0.81 in67° 57°1.29 in66° 58°1.56 in~64° 60°1.79 in
Thu Oct 164° 46°0.58 in62° 50°0.89 in60° 54°0.46 in61° 55°0.68 in69° 54°0.85 in~64° 56°0.72 in
Fri Oct 268° 46°~51° 51°69° 50°69° 51°67° 48°~65° 50°
Sat Oct 375° 49°—79° 56°77° 54°78° 49°~73° 48°
Sun Oct 474° 51°—78° 58°76° 57°76° 49°~73° 49°
Mon Oct 580° 53°—85° 62°80° 59°74° 52°~74° 52°
Tue Oct 681° 52°—83° 63°0.03 in81° 61°~73° 61°~74° 53°
Wed Oct 779° 52°—82° 62°79° 61°~75° 55°~75° 53°
Thu Oct 8——80° 60°79° 59°~76° 55°~77° 50°
Fri Oct 9——67° 52°78° 59°0.01 in~72° 52°~80° 51°
Sat Oct 10——~75° 51°—~77° 51°~74° 53°
Sun Oct 11——~78° 59°—~80° 58°~63° 44°
Mon Oct 12——~80° 58°—~62° 54°~73° 43°
Tue Oct 13——~68° 58°—~50° 45°0.06 in~78° 49°
Wed Oct 14——~70° 51°—~45° 40°~61° 50°0.02 in
Thu Oct 15——~71° 54°———

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at La Junta Municipal (LHX) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

-20°0°20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 3079° / 45°98° (2019)22° (1985)no outlookno outlook
Oct 771° / 40°95° (2015)14° (1969)no outlookno outlook
Oct 1472° / 38°94° (2020)19° (1989)no outlookno outlook
Oct 2166° / 35°91° (1973)3° (2020)no outlookno outlook
Oct 2859° / 32°90° (1950)-9° (1991)no outlookno outlook
Nov 464° / 31°85° (1980)-4° (1950)no outlookno outlook
Nov 1155° / 27°82° (1973)-9° (2014)no outlookno outlook
Nov 1855° / 25°84° (2007)-1° (1975)no outlookno outlook
Nov 2552° / 24°86° (2017)-11° (1976)no outlookno outlook
Dec 247° / 21°76° (1979)-15° (1978)no outlookno outlook
Dec 947° / 19°78° (2004)-20° (1961)no outlookno outlook
Dec 1643° / 18°81° (1980)-21° (1989)no outlookno outlook
Dec 2344° / 16°79° (1955)-18° (1983)no outlookno outlook

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightVery goodFlood Watch in force

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayPoorchance of rain
  • HikingtodayFairchance of rain
  • BikingtodayPoorchance of rain
  • GolftodayPoorchance of rain
  • FishingtodayVery goodthunderstorms
  • Boating and paddlingtodayPoorwind
  • Beach and pooltodayPoorchance of rain
  • CampingtonightPoorFlood Watch in force
  • StargazingtonightPoorovercast

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hGoodthunderstorms
  • Drivingnext 24 hPoorFlood Watch in force

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayFairchance of rain
  • GardeningtodayFairchance of rain
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayPoorchance of rain
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayPoorchance of rain
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayPoorchance of rain
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
  • TickstodayVery highwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighhumid

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
WednesdayPoor8:05 PM to 5:22 AM0 of 9None79%9 h22 mph
ThursdayPoor8:04 PM to 5:23 AM0 of 9None70%6 h8 mph
FridayGood8:02 PM to 5:24 AM8 of 93 h from 8:00 PM60%Fair2 h12 mph
SaturdayGood8:01 PM to 5:25 AM9 of 94 h from 8:00 PM49%Fair3 h6 mph
SundayGood7:59 PM to 5:26 AM9 of 95 h from 8:00 PM39%Fair2 h16 mph
MondayPoor7:58 PM to 5:27 AM0 of 9None29%1 h15 mph
TuesdayPoor7:56 PM to 5:28 AM0 of 9None20%6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Wed6:22 AM to 6:33 AM6:33 AM to 7:23 AM6:03 PM to 6:54 PM6:54 PM to 7:04 PM
Thu6:23 AM to 6:33 AM6:33 AM to 7:24 AM6:02 PM to 6:53 PM6:53 PM to 7:03 PM
Fri6:24 AM to 6:34 AM6:34 AM to 7:25 AM6:00 PM to 6:51 PM6:51 PM to 7:01 PM
Sat6:25 AM to 6:35 AM6:35 AM to 7:26 AM5:59 PM to 6:50 PM6:50 PM to 7:00 PM
Sun6:26 AM to 6:36 AM6:36 AM to 7:27 AM5:57 PM to 6:48 PM6:48 PM to 6:58 PM
Mon6:27 AM to 6:37 AM6:37 AM to 7:28 AM5:55 PM to 6:47 PM6:47 PM to 6:57 PM
Tue6:28 AM to 6:38 AM6:38 AM to 7:29 AM5:54 PM to 6:45 PM6:45 PM to 6:55 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:49 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 6:38 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:55 PM, 56° NE
  • MS Moonset 11:27 AM, 302° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 82% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Fri 7 AM to 3 PM, 8 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:19 AM to sunrise 6:49 AM, and sunset 6:38 PM to 7:08 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Wed6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Wed 3 AMNo-fly681193%60°chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 4 AMNo-fly8121595%60°chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 5 AMNo-fly12172193%59°chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 6 AMNo-fly14202794%59°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 7 AMNo-fly15223094%58°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible
Wed 8 AMNo-fly17253392%58°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Wed 9 AMNo-fly17253486%59°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible
Wed 10 AMNo-fly18273681%60°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible
Wed 11 AMNo-fly18273676%61°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible
Wed 12 PMNo-fly18273674%62°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit
Wed 1 PMNo-fly18273680%62°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit
Wed 2 PMNo-fly18273679%63°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit
Wed 3 PMNo-fly18273672%63°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit
Wed 4 PMNo-fly18273676%63°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit
Wed 5 PMNo-fly18273681%62°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit
Wed 6 PMNo-fly18273577%58°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Wed 7 PMNo-fly17253481%55°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 8 PMNo-fly17253481%54°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 9 PMNo-fly17253483%54°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 10 PMNo-fly18273685%54°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 11 PMNo-fly18273684%53°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 12 AMNo-fly20283880%53°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 1 AMNo-fly20283979%52°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 2 AMNo-fly21304080%52°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Fri 11 AM to 2 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 10 AM to Sun 1 AM 15 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sun 10 AM to 12 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 12 PM to 2 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Tue 5 PM to Wed 3 AM 10 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 7 AM to 3 PM 8 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
Wed6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
WednesdayWet92%2.86 in81%18 mph
ThursdayWet67%0.58 in58%25 mph
FridayDry0%0.00 in49%12 mph6 dGood
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in40%6 mph5 dGood
SundayDry2%0.00 in43%16 mph4 dGood
MondayDry1%0.00 in34%15 mph3 dGood
TuesdayDry6%0.00 in32%9 mph2 dGood
WednesdayDry5%0.00 in32%6 mph1 dGood

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Wed Poor2:44 AM to 4:44 AM3:14 PM to 5:14 PM10:57 AM to 11:57 AM8:25 PM to 9:25 PM 82%6:49 AM, 6:38 PM
Thu Fair3:44 AM to 5:44 AM4:15 PM to 6:15 PM12:09 PM to 1:09 PM9:20 PM to 10:20 PM 73%6:50 AM, 6:37 PM
Fri Fair4:47 AM to 6:47 AM5:18 PM to 7:18 PM1:13 PM to 2:13 PM10:25 PM to 11:25 PM 63%6:50 AM, 6:35 PM
Sat Fair5:49 AM to 7:49 AM6:19 PM to 8:19 PM2:08 PM to 3:08 PM 53%6:51 AM, 6:33 PM
Sun Fair6:49 AM to 8:49 AM7:17 PM to 9:17 PM11:36 PM to 12:36 AM2:52 PM to 3:52 PM 42%6:52 AM, 6:32 PM
Mon Fair7:45 AM to 9:45 AM8:11 PM to 10:11 PM12:49 AM to 1:49 AM3:29 PM to 4:29 PM 32%6:53 AM, 6:30 PM
Tue Poor8:36 AM to 10:36 AM9:01 PM to 11:01 PM2:02 AM to 3:02 AM3:59 PM to 4:59 PM 22%6:54 AM, 6:29 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Overnight58° · 95% · NNE 5–10 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 58. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  2. Wednesday64° · 94% · NNE 15–20 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Cloudy, with a high near 64. North northeast wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

  3. Wednesday Night51° · 85% · NNW 15–25 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 51. North northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.

  4. Thursday64° · 85% · N 15–25 mph

    Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 64. North wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.

  5. Thursday Night46° · 16% · NE 5–15 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  6. Friday68° · SE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

  7. Friday Night46° · SSE 5–10 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 46. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

  8. Saturday75° · SW 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

  9. Saturday Night49° · 2% · NE 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

  10. Sunday74° · SSW 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 74. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

  11. Sunday Night51° · 2% · SE 15 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Southeast wind around 15 mph.

  12. Monday80° · 1% · S 10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 80. South wind around 10 mph.

  13. Monday Night53° · 1% · S 10–15 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind 10 to 15 mph.

  14. Tuesday81° · 3% · WNW 5–10 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Pueblo, CO · issued Sep 30, 12:49 AM MDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

High-impact system will bring heavy rainfall and flash flooding concerns to SE Colorado through Thursday. System will also come with strong north winds and some high mountain snow.

Some aspects of the forecast are prone to changes, including heaviest rain amounts and locations.

Warmer and drier conditions return to the region Friday and into this weekend.

Short Term · Through Thursday

1234 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Upper low continues to spin towards the Four Corners, strengthening and bringing up moisture from the remnants of hurricane Polo. Showers will continue spreading from south to north across the region overnight and into Wednesday, with widespread light to moderate rainfall.

Where the challenge with this forecast comes in will be the exact placement of both the upper and surface lows, along with the highest axis of QPF. Even a minor north of south shift of the upper low, or a few hours of difference in the intensification of the surface low, could cause dramatic changes in the overall rainfall amounts we receive. The general trends have sent the upper low through New Mexico, lifting northeast through early Thursday with the surface low just ahead of it, tracking through the OK Panhandle.

Light to moderate rainfall will be widespread across most areas, though the spacial coverage of rain showers will decrease somewhat the further north you go. Where the tricky part of the QPF comes in is the higher-end amounts. Our heaviest QPF over the next 48 hours will fall in bands and more isolated pockets of intense rainfall. These are what will shift the most with the position of the system, and they are what the models have been struggling the most with. We'll rely on a combination of deformation banding, upsloping winds, some orographic assistance, and the intensification of the low.

Our highest QPF remains along and east of our southeast mountains, with some high bullseyes over portions of the eastern plains south of highway 50. These areas have remained consistent across recent model trends, with even the NBM and ensemble means highlighting these areas as potentially receiving the highest impacts. That being said, locally higher QPF will also be possible over the San Juans, Pikes Peak, the southwest San Luis Valley, and other portions of our higher terrain, depending on orographics.

Looking at the specific numbers amongst the models, forecast confidence increases further south and east. The south and east plains, mainly along and south of highway 50, look to receive anywhere from 1-3 inches by Thursday evening. Areas north of 50 will typically get 1-2 inches in total, with some areas in and around El Paso County getting between a half-inch and an inch, thanks to some localized downsloping. That being said, some models have far more precip in places, while others have noticeably less. Will have to keep a close eye on how the system evolves, given the amount of dynamic factors in place.

Several inches of snowfall are also expected over our highest peaks, mainly above 12 thousand feet. While the snowfall will be confined to these higher elevations, it may accumulate quickly at times. Travel over the higher terrain may be hazardous for the next few days.

The Wet Mountains and the Aspen Acres burn scar will continue to be at heightened chances for flash flooding, mudslides, and debris flow, with some flooding and related impacts having already occurred. Some gusty winds are also expected with the intensifying system, with gusts 30-40 mph possible through early Thursday, with some more localized gusts up to 45 mph possible. This could result in some tree damage as well as power line concerns, particularly in areas with unstable or flooded ground.

Outside of the burn scars, steeper areas in the terrain, areas with already-saturated soils, and other low-lying areas will also be at heightened risk for flash flooding. Flash flooding can occur quickly, so be sure to remain aware, and have multiple ways of receiving warnings and other weather information.

For Thursday, the low continues east, as will the axis of heaviest rainfall and strongest winds. Focus will shift onto the eastern plains, with the system finally pushing east of us by the evening. That being said, any ongoing flooding may persist past the end of the actual rainfall. So again, make sure to remain situationally aware, especially if you are near a higher risk area.

Additionally, there is a very low-end but still realistic chance for a few embedded severe storms on Thursday. These would occur on the back side of the departing low over the far southeast plains, sometime Thursday afternoon into evening. While this portion of the forecast remains low in terms of confidence, we cannot completely rule out some severe impacts given how moist and dynamically driven this system is.

Finally, temperatures will be noticeably cooler today, with highs in the 50s to low-60s along and west of I-25, warming slightly further east. Thursday will be slightly warmer, with low-mid 60s across most of our area.

Long Term · Thursday Night Through Tuesday

1234 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

Looking at Friday and into this weekend, warmer and drier conditions are expected to return to the region. Upper ridging will build back in over the western CONUS, with very little expected in terms of precipitation. Temperatures will warm a bit as well, with highs climbing into the 70s to possibly low-80s by next week. There will still be chances for isolated convection over the mountains each day, but overall not much is expected. With the drier air moving in, may need to monitor for freezing overnight temps in the high valleys, but as of now latest NBM keeps things in the mid to upper- 30s.

Aviation · 06Z TAFs Through 06Z Thursday

1059 PM MDT Tue Sep 29 2026

KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: MVFR conditions are expected to quickly develop tonight and persist through the rest of this TAF period, with near IFR conditions at time as well. Clouds will steadily increase in coverage and lower tonight, reaching MVFR to IFR ceiling heights. Along with that, rain showers are expected to increase in coverage as a moist storm system influences the area. Visibility is expected to drop to MVFR, to possibly IFR, visibility reductions when rain fills in. In addition, isolated instances of lightning and thunder will be possible through this TAF period. Looking at winds, lighter winds tonight will increase tomorrow, but especially for KCOS and KPUB given closer proximity to the surface associated with the storm system.

PUB Watches / Warnings / Advisories

Flood Watch through late tonight for COZ067>071. Flood Watch through Thursday morning for COZ072>089-093>099.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 12:51 AM MDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS45 KPUB 300651
HWOPUB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1251 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

COZ058>089-093>099-010700-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1251 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will continue across the 
region today and tonight. Heaviest fains will be along and south of 
the Highway 50 corridor, along the southeast mountains and parts of 
the southeast plains. Some areas could see between 1 and 3 inches of 
rainfall, with elevated concerns for flash flooding over the burn 
scars and other vulnerable areas. Strong, gusty winds will also be 
possible tonight into early Thursday, gusting out of the north 
around 45 mph at times. Several inches of snow are expected during 
this timeframe as well, falling over the higher peaks of the 
mountains above 12 kft.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Monday

Activity will push east on Thursday, though pockets of heavy 
rainfall will still be possible through the first half of the day
along with wind gusts up to 45 mph. There is also a chance for 
some embedded thunderstorm activity in the afternoon over the
southeast plains.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will
be possible over portions of the region.

$$

GARBEROGLIO/GARBEROGLIO

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Reading the outlooks…

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, La Junta

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 15: a growing season of about 171 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 3; one spring in ten still has one after May 9.

Climate of 37.91, -103.44: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 23 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWed
HeatRisk max0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max61°58°63°68°67°70°71°70°
Heat index max75°74°79°80°79°
Wind chill min45°43°48°
Chance of thunder max36%17%0%0%2%2%6%5%
Snow level min12,000 ft11,600 ft10,900 ft11,100 ft11,200 ft11,300 ft11,800 ft11,500 ft
Mixing height max2,400 ft5,300 ft4,300 ft3,300 ft4,900 ft3,400 ft3,300 ft2,800 ft
Transport wind max25 mph26 mph15 mph14 mph18 mph17 mph17 mph14 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · La Junta Municipal (LHX) · 11 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Wed Sep 3064° / 51°82° / 49°98° (2019)22° (1985)
Thu Oct 164° / 46°79° / 47°92° (1963)30° (1985)
Fri Oct 268° / 46°78° / 46°94° (1954)29° (2009)
Sat Oct 375° / 49°79° / 45°95° (2018)32° (1999)
Sun Oct 474° / 51°75° / 44°92° (1963)28° (1999)
Mon Oct 580° / 53°76° / 44°94° (1947)28° (1985)
Tue Oct 681° / 52°73° / 42°93° (1993)29° (2001)
Wed Oct 779° / 52°75° / 42°92° (1956)27° (1970)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Wed6:22 AM6:49 AM6:38 PM7:04 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:23 AM6:50 AM6:37 PM7:03 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:24 AM6:50 AM6:35 PM7:01 PM11 h 45 min Waning gibbous · 63% lit
Sat6:25 AM6:51 AM6:33 PM7:00 PM11 h 42 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:26 AM6:52 AM6:32 PM6:58 PM11 h 40 min Last quarter · 42% lit
Mon6:27 AM6:53 AM6:30 PM6:57 PM11 h 37 min Waning crescent · 32% lit
Tue6:28 AM6:54 AM6:29 PM6:55 PM11 h 35 min Waning crescent · 22% lit
Wed6:29 AM6:55 AM6:27 PM6:54 PM11 h 32 min Waning crescent · 14% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from