Current weather · Sep 30, 3:40 AM MDT
37.9090, -103.4370
60°
- High
- 64°
- Low
- 51°
- Rain today
- 95%
- Sunrise
- 6:49 AM
- Sunset
- 6:38 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 3 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 60° | 60° | 59° | 96% | 93% | 0.07 in | NNE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 95% | 20% | — | — | ||
| Wed 4 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 60° | 60° | 59° | 96% | 95% | 0.07 in | NNE | 8 mph | 12 mph | 95% | 20% | — | — | ||
| Wed 5 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 59° | 59° | 58° | 96% | 93% | 0.07 in | NNE | 12 mph | 16 mph | 95% | 20% | — | — | ||
| Wed 6 AM | Heavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 59° | 59° | 58° | 96% | 94% | 0.17 in | NNE | 14 mph | 21 mph | 95% | 16% | — | — | ||
| Wed 7 AM | Heavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 58° | 58° | 58° | 100% | 94% | 0.17 in | NNE | 15 mph | 23 mph | 95% | 16% | — | — | ||
| Wed 8 AM | Heavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 58° | 58° | 58° | 100% | 92% | 0.17 in | NNE | 17 mph | 25 mph | 95% | 16% | — | — | ||
| Wed 9 AM | Heavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 59° | 59° | 59° | 100% | 86% | 0.17 in | NNE | 17 mph | 26 mph | 95% | 18% | — | — | ||
| Wed 10 AM | Heavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 60° | 60° | 59° | 96% | 81% | 0.17 in | NNE | 18 mph | 28 mph | 95% | 18% | — | — | ||
| Wed 11 AM | Heavy rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 61° | 61° | 59° | 93% | 76% | 0.17 in | NNE | 18 mph | 28 mph | 96% | 18% | — | — | ||
| Wed 12 PM | Moderate rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms | 62° | 62° | 59° | 90% | 74% | 0.11 in | NNE | 18 mph | 28 mph | 96% | 30% | — | — | ||
| Wed 1 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 62° | 62° | 58° | 87% | 80% | 0.11 in | NNE | 18 mph | 28 mph | 95% | 30% | — | — | ||
| Wed 2 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 63° | 63° | 58° | 84% | 79% | 0.11 in | NNE | 18 mph | 28 mph | 95% | 30% | — | — | ||
| Wed 3 PM | Moderate rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms | 63° | 63° | 58° | 84% | 72% | 0.11 in | NNE | 18 mph | 28 mph | 94% | 36% | — | — | ||
| Wed 4 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 63° | 63° | 57° | 81% | 76% | 0.11 in | N | 18 mph | 28 mph | 94% | 36% | — | — | ||
| Wed 5 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 62° | 62° | 56° | 81% | 81% | 0.11 in | N | 18 mph | 28 mph | 95% | 36% | — | — | ||
| Wed 6 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 58° | 58° | 55° | 90% | 77% | 0.13 in | N | 18 mph | 26 mph | 95% | 36% | — | — | ||
| Wed 7 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 55° | 55° | 55° | 100% | 81% | 0.13 in | N | 17 mph | 26 mph | 94% | 36% | — | — | ||
| Wed 8 PM | Moderate rain showers and chance of thunderstorms | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 81% | 0.13 in | N | 17 mph | 26 mph | 92% | 36% | — | — | ||
| Wed 9 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 54° | 54° | 54° | 100% | 83% | 0.13 in | N | 17 mph | 26 mph | 91% | 24% | — | — | ||
| Wed 10 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 54° | 54° | 53° | 96% | 85% | 0.13 in | N | 18 mph | 28 mph | 90% | 24% | — | — | ||
| Wed 11 PM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 53° | 53° | 52° | 96% | 84% | 0.13 in | NNW | 18 mph | 28 mph | 90% | 24% | — | — | ||
| Thu 12 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 53° | 53° | 52° | 96% | 80% | 0.07 in | NNW | 20 mph | 29 mph | 89% | 17% | — | — | ||
| Thu 1 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 52° | 52° | 52° | 100% | 79% | 0.07 in | NNW | 20 mph | 30 mph | 91% | 17% | — | — | ||
| Thu 2 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 52° | 52° | 51° | 96% | 80% | 0.07 in | NNW | 21 mph | 31 mph | 93% | 17% | — | — | ||
| Thu 3 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 53° | 53° | 51° | 93% | 80% | 0.07 in | NNW | 21 mph | 32 mph | 95% | 10% | — | — | ||
| Thu 4 AM | Moderate rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 51° | 51° | 51° | 100% | 79% | 0.07 in | NNW | 22 mph | 33 mph | 95% | 10% | — | — | ||
| Thu 5 AM | Moderate rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms | 52° | 52° | 51° | 96% | 73% | 0.07 in | N | 24 mph | 36 mph | 94% | 10% | — | — | ||
| Thu 6 AM | Light rain showers | 52° | 52° | 51° | 96% | 85% | 0.02 in | N | 25 mph | 35 mph | 93% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Thu 7 AM | Light rain showers likely | 51° | 51° | 50° | 96% | 74% | 0.02 in | NNW | 25 mph | 37 mph | 91% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Thu 8 AM | Light rain showers likely | 53° | 53° | 51° | 93% | 67% | 0.02 in | NNW | 25 mph | 36 mph | 88% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Thu 9 AM | Light rain showers likely | 54° | 54° | 52° | 93% | 63% | 0.02 in | NNW | 23 mph | 35 mph | 87% | 3% | — | — | ||
| Thu 10 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 56° | 56° | 52° | 86% | 37% | 0.02 in | N | 25 mph | 37 mph | 90% | 3% | — | — | ||
| Thu 11 AM | Chance of light rain showers | 57° | 57° | 52° | 83% | 37% | 0.02 in | N | 24 mph | 36 mph | 91% | 3% | — | — | ||
| Thu 12 PM | Light rain showers likely | 59° | 59° | 52° | 78% | 55% | 0.01 in | N | 23 mph | 36 mph | 93% | 5% | — | — | ||
| Thu 1 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 61° | 61° | 51° | 70% | 52% | 0.01 in | N | 24 mph | 36 mph | 97% | 5% | — | — | ||
| Thu 2 PM | Light rain showers likely | 62° | 62° | 50° | 65% | 55% | 0.01 in | N | 22 mph | 35 mph | 97% | 5% | — | — | ||
| Thu 3 PM | Light rain showers likely | 63° | 63° | 50° | 62% | 57% | 0.01 in | N | 21 mph | 32 mph | 89% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Thu 4 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 63° | 63° | 49° | 60% | 45% | 0.01 in | NNE | 18 mph | 30 mph | 97% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Thu 5 PM | Chance of light rain showers | 64° | 64° | 49° | 58% | 28% | 0.01 in | NNE | 16 mph | 28 mph | 83% | 8% | — | — | ||
| Thu 6 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 61° | 61° | 50° | 67% | 16% | 0.00 in | NNE | 13 mph | 22 mph | 59% | 2% | — | — | ||
| Thu 7 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 58° | 58° | 52° | 80% | 16% | 0.00 in | NNE | 9 mph | 18 mph | 100% | 2% | — | — | ||
| Thu 8 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 55° | 55° | 52° | 90% | 16% | 0.00 in | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 79% | 2% | — | — | ||
| Thu 9 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 54° | 54° | 50° | 86% | 16% | 0.00 in | NE | 7 mph | 13 mph | 57% | — | — | |||
| Thu 10 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 53° | 53° | 49° | 86% | 16% | 0.00 in | NE | 6 mph | 10 mph | 54% | — | — | |||
| Thu 11 PM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 53° | 53° | 49° | 86% | 16% | 0.00 in | NE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 50% | — | — | |||
| Fri 12 AM | 52° | 52° | 49° | 89% | 10% | NE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 47% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 1 AM | 51° | 51° | 49° | 93% | 10% | NE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 47% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 2 AM | 50° | 49° | 48° | 93% | 10% | NE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 48% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 30, 12:31 AM MDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 3064°51°Showers And Thunderstormswind 18 mph · gusts 28 mph
- ThuOct 164°46°Rain Showerswind 25 mph · gusts 37 mph
- FriOct 268°46°Sunnywind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
- SatOct 375°49°Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SunOct 474°51°Sunnywind 16 mph · gusts 28 mph
- MonOct 580°53°Sunnywind 15 mph · gusts 29 mph
- TueOct 681°52°Mostly Sunnywind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
- WedOct 779°52°wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- ThuOct 878°52°National Blendwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- FriOct 977°51°National Blendwind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SatOct 10~75°52°Model mean
- SunOct 11~74°54°Model mean
- MonOct 12~71°52°Model mean
- TueOct 13~65°51°Model mean
- WedOct 14~65°51°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~71°54°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like60°
- WindNNE 6 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity96%
- Dew point59°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility—
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · not yet up
- Moonrise8:55 PMMoonset 11:27 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous82% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 12:00 AM MDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 3066°51°NWS grid 64° / 51°wind 22 mph · gusts 33 mph
- ThuOct 164°46°NWS grid 64° / 46°wind 26 mph · gusts 37 mph
- FriOct 268°46°NWS grid 68° / 46°wind 12 mph · gusts 21 mph
- SatOct 375°49°NWS grid 75° / 49°wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SunOct 474°51°NWS grid 74° / 51°wind 16 mph · gusts 28 mph
- MonOct 580°53°NWS grid 80° / 53°wind 15 mph · gusts 29 mph
- TueOct 681°53°NWS grid 81° / 52°wind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
- WedOct 779°52°NWS grid 79° / 52°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- ThuOct 878°52°Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- FriOct 977°51°Beyond the NWS gridwind 7 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SatOct 1078°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 30, 12:00 AM MDT · GFS Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT · GEFS Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 6:00 PM MDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 30 | 64° 51°2.86 in | 62° 52°3.24 in | 67° 59°0.81 in | 67° 57°1.29 in | 66° 58°1.56 in | ~64° 60°1.79 in |
| Thu Oct 1 | 64° 46°0.58 in | 62° 50°0.89 in | 60° 54°0.46 in | 61° 55°0.68 in | 69° 54°0.85 in | ~64° 56°0.72 in |
| Fri Oct 2 | 68° 46° | ~51° 51° | 69° 50° | 69° 51° | 67° 48° | ~65° 50° |
| Sat Oct 3 | 75° 49° | — | 79° 56° | 77° 54° | 78° 49° | ~73° 48° |
| Sun Oct 4 | 74° 51° | — | 78° 58° | 76° 57° | 76° 49° | ~73° 49° |
| Mon Oct 5 | 80° 53° | — | 85° 62° | 80° 59° | 74° 52° | ~74° 52° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 81° 52° | — | 83° 63°0.03 in | 81° 61° | ~73° 61° | ~74° 53° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 79° 52° | — | 82° 62° | 79° 61° | ~75° 55° | ~75° 53° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | 80° 60° | 79° 59° | ~76° 55° | ~77° 50° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 67° 52° | 78° 59°0.01 in | ~72° 52° | ~80° 51° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~75° 51° | — | ~77° 51° | ~74° 53° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~78° 59° | — | ~80° 58° | ~63° 44° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~80° 58° | — | ~62° 54° | ~73° 43° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~68° 58° | — | ~50° 45°0.06 in | ~78° 49° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~70° 51° | — | ~45° 40° | ~61° 50°0.02 in |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~71° 54° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at La Junta Municipal (LHX) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | 79° / 45° | 98° (2019) | 22° (1985) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 7 | 71° / 40° | 95° (2015) | 14° (1969) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 14 | 72° / 38° | 94° (2020) | 19° (1989) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 21 | 66° / 35° | 91° (1973) | 3° (2020) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 28 | 59° / 32° | 90° (1950) | -9° (1991) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 4 | 64° / 31° | 85° (1980) | -4° (1950) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 11 | 55° / 27° | 82° (1973) | -9° (2014) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 18 | 55° / 25° | 84° (2007) | -1° (1975) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 25 | 52° / 24° | 86° (2017) | -11° (1976) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 2 | 47° / 21° | 76° (1979) | -15° (1978) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 9 | 47° / 19° | 78° (2004) | -20° (1961) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 16 | 43° / 18° | 81° (1980) | -21° (1989) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 23 | 44° / 16° | 79° (1955) | -18° (1983) | no outlook | no outlook |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hModeratehumid
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hModeratehumid
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightVery goodFlood Watch in force
Outdoors
- RunningtodayPoorchance of rain
- HikingtodayFairchance of rain
- BikingtodayPoorchance of rain
- GolftodayPoorchance of rain
- FishingtodayVery goodthunderstorms
- Boating and paddlingtodayPoorwind
- Beach and pooltodayPoorchance of rain
- CampingtonightPoorFlood Watch in force
- StargazingtonightPoorovercast
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hGoodthunderstorms
- Drivingnext 24 hPoorFlood Watch in force
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayFairchance of rain
- GardeningtodayFairchance of rain
- Outdoor entertainingtodayPoorchance of rain
- Drying laundry outsidetodayPoorchance of rain
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayPoorchance of rain
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayVery highwarm
- TickstodayVery highwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayHighhumid
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:05 PM to 5:22 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 79% | 9 h | 22 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:04 PM to 5:23 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 70% | 6 h | 8 mph | |
| Friday | Good | 8:02 PM to 5:24 AM | 8 of 9 | 3 h from 8:00 PM | 60% | Fair | 2 h | 12 mph |
| Saturday | Good | 8:01 PM to 5:25 AM | 9 of 9 | 4 h from 8:00 PM | 49% | Fair | 3 h | 6 mph |
| Sunday | Good | 7:59 PM to 5:26 AM | 9 of 9 | 5 h from 8:00 PM | 39% | Fair | 2 h | 16 mph |
| Monday | Poor | 7:58 PM to 5:27 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 29% | 1 h | 15 mph | |
| Tuesday | Poor | 7:56 PM to 5:28 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 20% | 6 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:22 AM to 6:33 AM | 6:33 AM to 7:23 AM | 6:03 PM to 6:54 PM | 6:54 PM to 7:04 PM |
| Thu | 6:23 AM to 6:33 AM | 6:33 AM to 7:24 AM | 6:02 PM to 6:53 PM | 6:53 PM to 7:03 PM |
| Fri | 6:24 AM to 6:34 AM | 6:34 AM to 7:25 AM | 6:00 PM to 6:51 PM | 6:51 PM to 7:01 PM |
| Sat | 6:25 AM to 6:35 AM | 6:35 AM to 7:26 AM | 5:59 PM to 6:50 PM | 6:50 PM to 7:00 PM |
| Sun | 6:26 AM to 6:36 AM | 6:36 AM to 7:27 AM | 5:57 PM to 6:48 PM | 6:48 PM to 6:58 PM |
| Mon | 6:27 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:28 AM | 5:55 PM to 6:47 PM | 6:47 PM to 6:57 PM |
| Tue | 6:28 AM to 6:38 AM | 6:38 AM to 7:29 AM | 5:54 PM to 6:45 PM | 6:45 PM to 6:55 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:49 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 6:38 PM, 267° W
- MR Moonrise 8:55 PM, 56° NE
- MS Moonset 11:27 AM, 302° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 82% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: no-fly (chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Fri 7 AM to 3 PM, 8 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:19 AM to sunrise 6:49 AM, and sunset 6:38 PM to 7:08 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Wed | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 3 AM | No-fly | 6 | 8 | 11 | 93% | 60° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 4 AM | No-fly | 8 | 12 | 15 | 95% | 60° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 5 AM | No-fly | 12 | 17 | 21 | 93% | 59° | chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 6 AM | No-fly | 14 | 20 | 27 | 94% | 59° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 7 AM | No-fly | 15 | 22 | 30 | 94% | 58° | gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |||
| Wed 8 AM | No-fly | 17 | 25 | 33 | 92% | 58° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible | |||
| Wed 9 AM | No-fly | 17 | 25 | 34 | 86% | 59° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible | |||
| Wed 10 AM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 81% | 60° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |||
| Wed 11 AM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 76% | 61° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible | |||
| Wed 12 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 74% | 62° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit | |||
| Wed 1 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 80% | 62° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit | |||
| Wed 2 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 79% | 63° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit | |||
| Wed 3 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 72% | 63° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit | |||
| Wed 4 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 76% | 63° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit | |||
| Wed 5 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 81% | 62° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit | |||
| Wed 6 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 35 | 77% | 58° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 7 PM | No-fly | 17 | 25 | 34 | 81% | 55° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 8 PM | No-fly | 17 | 25 | 34 | 81% | 54° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 9 PM | No-fly | 17 | 25 | 34 | 83% | 54° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 10 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 85% | 54° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 11 PM | No-fly | 18 | 27 | 36 | 84% | 53° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, thunderstorms possible, ground wind near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Thu 12 AM | No-fly | 20 | 28 | 38 | 80% | 53° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Thu 1 AM | No-fly | 20 | 28 | 39 | 79% | 52° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Thu 2 AM | No-fly | 21 | 30 | 40 | 80% | 52° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, ground wind near or over your limit, thunderstorms possible, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Fri 11 AM to 2 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
- Sat 10 AM to Sun 1 AM 15 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Sun 10 AM to 12 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 12 PM to 2 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 5 PM to Wed 3 AM 10 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 7 AM to 3 PM 8 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Wed | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Wet | 92% | 2.86 in | 81% | 18 mph | ||
| Thursday | Wet | 67% | 0.58 in | 58% | 25 mph | ||
| Friday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 49% | 12 mph | 6 d | Good |
| Saturday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 40% | 6 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Sunday | Dry | 2% | 0.00 in | 43% | 16 mph | 4 d | Good |
| Monday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 34% | 15 mph | 3 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 6% | 0.00 in | 32% | 9 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 5% | 0.00 in | 32% | 6 mph | 1 d | Good |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | Poor | 2:44 AM to 4:44 AM3:14 PM to 5:14 PM | 10:57 AM to 11:57 AM8:25 PM to 9:25 PM | 82% | 6:49 AM, 6:38 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 3:44 AM to 5:44 AM4:15 PM to 6:15 PM | 12:09 PM to 1:09 PM9:20 PM to 10:20 PM | 73% | 6:50 AM, 6:37 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:47 AM to 6:47 AM5:18 PM to 7:18 PM | 1:13 PM to 2:13 PM10:25 PM to 11:25 PM | 63% | 6:50 AM, 6:35 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:49 AM to 7:49 AM6:19 PM to 8:19 PM | 2:08 PM to 3:08 PM | 53% | 6:51 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:49 AM to 8:49 AM7:17 PM to 9:17 PM | 11:36 PM to 12:36 AM2:52 PM to 3:52 PM | 42% | 6:52 AM, 6:32 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:45 AM to 9:45 AM8:11 PM to 10:11 PM | 12:49 AM to 1:49 AM3:29 PM to 4:29 PM | 32% | 6:53 AM, 6:30 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:36 AM to 10:36 AM9:01 PM to 11:01 PM | 2:02 AM to 3:02 AM3:59 PM to 4:59 PM | 22% | 6:54 AM, 6:29 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedOvernight58° · 95% · NNE 5–10 mph
Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 58. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday64° · 94% · NNE 15–20 mph
Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Cloudy, with a high near 64. North northeast wind 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Wednesday Night51° · 85% · NNW 15–25 mph
Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 51. North northwest wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible.
Thursday64° · 85% · N 15–25 mph
Rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 64. North wind 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Thursday Night46° · 16% · NE 5–15 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Friday68° · SE 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night46° · SSE 5–10 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday75° · SW 5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 75. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday Night49° · 2% · NE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday74° · SSW 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 74. South southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night51° · 2% · SE 15 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 51. Southeast wind around 15 mph.
Monday80° · 1% · S 10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 80. South wind around 10 mph.
Monday Night53° · 1% · S 10–15 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. South wind 10 to 15 mph.
Tuesday81° · 3% · WNW 5–10 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Pueblo, CO · issued Sep 30, 12:49 AM MDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
High-impact system will bring heavy rainfall and flash flooding concerns to SE Colorado through Thursday. System will also come with strong north winds and some high mountain snow.
Some aspects of the forecast are prone to changes, including heaviest rain amounts and locations.
Warmer and drier conditions return to the region Friday and into this weekend.
Short Term · Through Thursday
1234 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Upper low continues to spin towards the Four Corners, strengthening and bringing up moisture from the remnants of hurricane Polo. Showers will continue spreading from south to north across the region overnight and into Wednesday, with widespread light to moderate rainfall.
Where the challenge with this forecast comes in will be the exact placement of both the upper and surface lows, along with the highest axis of QPF. Even a minor north of south shift of the upper low, or a few hours of difference in the intensification of the surface low, could cause dramatic changes in the overall rainfall amounts we receive. The general trends have sent the upper low through New Mexico, lifting northeast through early Thursday with the surface low just ahead of it, tracking through the OK Panhandle.
Light to moderate rainfall will be widespread across most areas, though the spacial coverage of rain showers will decrease somewhat the further north you go. Where the tricky part of the QPF comes in is the higher-end amounts. Our heaviest QPF over the next 48 hours will fall in bands and more isolated pockets of intense rainfall. These are what will shift the most with the position of the system, and they are what the models have been struggling the most with. We'll rely on a combination of deformation banding, upsloping winds, some orographic assistance, and the intensification of the low.
Our highest QPF remains along and east of our southeast mountains, with some high bullseyes over portions of the eastern plains south of highway 50. These areas have remained consistent across recent model trends, with even the NBM and ensemble means highlighting these areas as potentially receiving the highest impacts. That being said, locally higher QPF will also be possible over the San Juans, Pikes Peak, the southwest San Luis Valley, and other portions of our higher terrain, depending on orographics.
Looking at the specific numbers amongst the models, forecast confidence increases further south and east. The south and east plains, mainly along and south of highway 50, look to receive anywhere from 1-3 inches by Thursday evening. Areas north of 50 will typically get 1-2 inches in total, with some areas in and around El Paso County getting between a half-inch and an inch, thanks to some localized downsloping. That being said, some models have far more precip in places, while others have noticeably less. Will have to keep a close eye on how the system evolves, given the amount of dynamic factors in place.
Several inches of snowfall are also expected over our highest peaks, mainly above 12 thousand feet. While the snowfall will be confined to these higher elevations, it may accumulate quickly at times. Travel over the higher terrain may be hazardous for the next few days.
The Wet Mountains and the Aspen Acres burn scar will continue to be at heightened chances for flash flooding, mudslides, and debris flow, with some flooding and related impacts having already occurred. Some gusty winds are also expected with the intensifying system, with gusts 30-40 mph possible through early Thursday, with some more localized gusts up to 45 mph possible. This could result in some tree damage as well as power line concerns, particularly in areas with unstable or flooded ground.
Outside of the burn scars, steeper areas in the terrain, areas with already-saturated soils, and other low-lying areas will also be at heightened risk for flash flooding. Flash flooding can occur quickly, so be sure to remain aware, and have multiple ways of receiving warnings and other weather information.
For Thursday, the low continues east, as will the axis of heaviest rainfall and strongest winds. Focus will shift onto the eastern plains, with the system finally pushing east of us by the evening. That being said, any ongoing flooding may persist past the end of the actual rainfall. So again, make sure to remain situationally aware, especially if you are near a higher risk area.
Additionally, there is a very low-end but still realistic chance for a few embedded severe storms on Thursday. These would occur on the back side of the departing low over the far southeast plains, sometime Thursday afternoon into evening. While this portion of the forecast remains low in terms of confidence, we cannot completely rule out some severe impacts given how moist and dynamically driven this system is.
Finally, temperatures will be noticeably cooler today, with highs in the 50s to low-60s along and west of I-25, warming slightly further east. Thursday will be slightly warmer, with low-mid 60s across most of our area.
Long Term · Thursday Night Through Tuesday
1234 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Looking at Friday and into this weekend, warmer and drier conditions are expected to return to the region. Upper ridging will build back in over the western CONUS, with very little expected in terms of precipitation. Temperatures will warm a bit as well, with highs climbing into the 70s to possibly low-80s by next week. There will still be chances for isolated convection over the mountains each day, but overall not much is expected. With the drier air moving in, may need to monitor for freezing overnight temps in the high valleys, but as of now latest NBM keeps things in the mid to upper- 30s.
Aviation · 06Z TAFs Through 06Z Thursday
1059 PM MDT Tue Sep 29 2026
KCOS, KPUB, and KALS: MVFR conditions are expected to quickly develop tonight and persist through the rest of this TAF period, with near IFR conditions at time as well. Clouds will steadily increase in coverage and lower tonight, reaching MVFR to IFR ceiling heights. Along with that, rain showers are expected to increase in coverage as a moist storm system influences the area. Visibility is expected to drop to MVFR, to possibly IFR, visibility reductions when rain fills in. In addition, isolated instances of lightning and thunder will be possible through this TAF period. Looking at winds, lighter winds tonight will increase tomorrow, but especially for KCOS and KPUB given closer proximity to the surface associated with the storm system.
PUB Watches / Warnings / Advisories
Flood Watch through late tonight for COZ067>071. Flood Watch through Thursday morning for COZ072>089-093>099.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 12:51 AM MDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS45 KPUB 300651 HWOPUB Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1251 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026 COZ058>089-093>099-010700- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1251 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2026 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall will continue across the region today and tonight. Heaviest fains will be along and south of the Highway 50 corridor, along the southeast mountains and parts of the southeast plains. Some areas could see between 1 and 3 inches of rainfall, with elevated concerns for flash flooding over the burn scars and other vulnerable areas. Strong, gusty winds will also be possible tonight into early Thursday, gusting out of the north around 45 mph at times. Several inches of snow are expected during this timeframe as well, falling over the higher peaks of the mountains above 12 kft. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Monday Activity will push east on Thursday, though pockets of heavy rainfall will still be possible through the first half of the day along with wind gusts up to 45 mph. There is also a chance for some embedded thunderstorm activity in the afternoon over the southeast plains. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be possible over portions of the region. $$ GARBEROGLIO/GARBEROGLIO
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Reading the outlooks…
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, La JuntaThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 15: a growing season of about 171 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 3; one spring in ten still has one after May 9.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 23 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 61° | 58° | 63° | 68° | 67° | 70° | 71° | 70° |
| Heat index max | 75° | 74° | 79° | 80° | 79° | |||
| Wind chill min | 45° | 43° | 48° | |||||
| Chance of thunder max | 36% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 6% | 5% |
| Snow level min | 12,000 ft | 11,600 ft | 10,900 ft | 11,100 ft | 11,200 ft | 11,300 ft | 11,800 ft | 11,500 ft |
| Mixing height max | 2,400 ft | 5,300 ft | 4,300 ft | 3,300 ft | 4,900 ft | 3,400 ft | 3,300 ft | 2,800 ft |
| Transport wind max | 25 mph | 26 mph | 15 mph | 14 mph | 18 mph | 17 mph | 17 mph | 14 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · La Junta Municipal (LHX) · 11 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30 | 64° / 51° | 82° / 49° | 98° (2019) | 22° (1985) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 64° / 46° | 79° / 47° | 92° (1963) | 30° (1985) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 68° / 46° | 78° / 46° | 94° (1954) | 29° (2009) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 75° / 49° | 79° / 45° | 95° (2018) | 32° (1999) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 74° / 51° | 75° / 44° | 92° (1963) | 28° (1999) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 80° / 53° | 76° / 44° | 94° (1947) | 28° (1985) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 81° / 52° | 73° / 42° | 93° (1993) | 29° (2001) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 79° / 52° | 75° / 42° | 92° (1956) | 27° (1970) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:22 AM | 6:49 AM | 6:38 PM | 7:04 PM | 11 h 49 min | Waning gibbous · 82% lit |
| Thu | 6:23 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 73% lit |
| Fri | 6:24 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:35 PM | 7:01 PM | 11 h 45 min | Waning gibbous · 63% lit |
| Sat | 6:25 AM | 6:51 AM | 6:33 PM | 7:00 PM | 11 h 42 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
| Sun | 6:26 AM | 6:52 AM | 6:32 PM | 6:58 PM | 11 h 40 min | Last quarter · 42% lit |
| Mon | 6:27 AM | 6:53 AM | 6:30 PM | 6:57 PM | 11 h 37 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
| Tue | 6:28 AM | 6:54 AM | 6:29 PM | 6:55 PM | 11 h 35 min | Waning crescent · 22% lit |
| Wed | 6:29 AM | 6:55 AM | 6:27 PM | 6:54 PM | 11 h 32 min | Waning crescent · 14% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from