Current weather · Sep 30, 4:31 PM EDT

37.5010, -82.2280

81°

Mostly SunnyFeels like 81° · Humidity 41%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Jackson, KY · grid 101,50
High
81°
Low
54°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:24 AM
Sunset
7:13 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Wed 4 PM81°81°55°41%0%WSW3 mph7 mph41%——-100 ft
Wed 5 PM80°80°55°42%0%WSW3 mph7 mph50%——-100 ft
Wed 6 PM77°77°57°50%0%SW2 mph5 mph43%——-100 ft
Wed 7 PM73°73°57°57%0%SW2 mph5 mph38%——-100 ft
Wed 8 PM68°68°58°70%0%SSW3 mph6 mph38%——-100 ft
Wed 9 PM66°66°57°73%0%S3 mph7 mph40%——-100 ft
Wed 10 PM65°65°56°73%0%S5 mph8 mph24%——-100 ft
Wed 11 PM63°63°55°75%0%S6 mph9 mph12%——-100 ft
Thu 12 AM64°64°55°73%0%S7 mph12 mph10%——-100 ft
Thu 1 AM63°63°55°75%0%S7 mph12 mph20%——-100 ft
Thu 2 AM63°63°55°75%0%S7 mph13 mph14%——-100 ft
Thu 3 AM63°63°55°75%0%S8 mph13 mph21%——-100 ft
Thu 4 AM62°62°55°78%0%S8 mph14 mph23%——-100 ft
Thu 5 AM62°62°54°75%0%S7 mph13 mph24%——-100 ft
Thu 6 AM62°62°54°75%0%S8 mph13 mph19%——-100 ft
Thu 7 AM61°61°54°78%0%S7 mph13 mph17%——-100 ft
Thu 8 AM61°61°54°78%0%S7 mph13 mph18%——-100 ft
Thu 9 AM63°63°56°78%0%S6 mph12 mph19%——-100 ft
Thu 10 AM67°67°58°73%0%SSW5 mph10 mph5%——-100 ft
Thu 11 AM73°73°60°64%0%SW5 mph12 mph8%——-100 ft
Thu 12 PM78°78°59°52%0%SW6 mph12 mph16%——-100 ft
Thu 1 PM80°81°59°49%0%WSW6 mph10 mph7%——-100 ft
Thu 2 PM82°82°59°46%0%WSW5 mph10 mph13%——-100 ft
Thu 3 PM83°83°59°44%0%WSW5 mph10 mph31%——-100 ft
Thu 4 PM82°82°58°44%0%SW5 mph9 mph45%——-100 ft
Thu 5 PM82°82°57°43%0%SW5 mph9 mph35%——-100 ft
Thu 6 PM79°79°59°50%0%SW3 mph8 mph25%——-100 ft
Thu 7 PM73°73°59°62%0%SSW5 mph8 mph15%——-100 ft
Thu 8 PM71°71°59°66%0%SSW5 mph10 mph31%——-100 ft
Thu 9 PM69°69°59°70%0%SSW7 mph12 mph35%——-100 ft
Thu 10 PM68°68°58°70%0%S7 mph13 mph28%——-100 ft
Thu 11 PM67°67°57°70%0%S8 mph14 mph32%——-100 ft
Fri 12 AM66°66°57°73%0%S8 mph14 mph29%——-100 ft
Fri 1 AM66°66°57°73%0%S8 mph14 mph16%——-100 ft
Fri 2 AM66°66°58°75%0%S8 mph14 mph12%——-100 ft
Fri 3 AM67°67°58°73%0%S9 mph15 mph12%——-100 ft
Fri 4 AM67°67°58°73%0%S8 mph15 mph15%——-100 ft
Fri 5 AM66°66°58°75%0%S8 mph15 mph16%——-100 ft
Fri 6 AM67°67°58°73%0%S8 mph14 mph25%——-100 ft
Fri 7 AM66°66°57°73%3%S8 mph13 mph39%——-100 ft
Fri 8 AM66°66°59°78%4%S8 mph14 mph42%——-100 ft
Fri 9 AM67°67°61°81%4%SSW7 mph13 mph47%——-100 ft
Fri 10 AM72°72°64°76%5%SW7 mph14 mph51%——-100 ft
Fri 11 AM76°76°66°71%5%SW8 mph16 mph54%3%——-100 ft
Fri 12 PM78°78°67°69%6%WSW9 mph17 mph55%3%——-100 ft
Fri 1 PM79°79°68°69%6%WSW9 mph17 mph55%3%——-100 ft
Fri 2 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms79°79°68°69%25%0.05 inWSW9 mph17 mph57%20%——3,000 ft
Fri 3 PMChance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms78°78°69°74%45%0.05 inW9 mph16 mph66%20%——3,200 ft

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 30, 2:26 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 3081°54°Mostly Sunny0%wind 6 mph
  2. ThuOct 183°66°Sunny0%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  3. FriOct 281°60°Partly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms88%0.34 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  4. SatOct 366°59°Chance Rain Showers64%0.11 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. SunOct 467°55°Rain Showers Likely56%0.49 inwind 3 mph
  6. MonOct 567°44°Mostly Sunny18%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. TueOct 665°45°Sunny1%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  8. WedOct 770°48°4%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  9. ThuOct 871°49°National Blend5%wind 6 mph
  10. FriOct 969°48°National Blend4%wind 6 mph
  11. SatOct 1067°48°National Blend8%wind 6 mph
  12. SunOct 11~73°55°Model mean0.13 in
  13. MonOct 12~69°55°Model mean0.57 in
  14. TueOct 13~64°47°Model mean0.35 in
  15. WedOct 14~60°41°Model mean
  16. ThuOct 15~55°36°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like81°
  • WindWSW 3 mphgusts 7 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity41%
  • Dew point55°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise9:29 PMMoonset 11:57 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous83% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 2:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 30—59°NWS grid 81° / 54°rain 0%wind 6 mph
  2. ThuOct 183°64°NWS grid 83° / 66°rain 0%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  3. FriOct 281°60°NWS grid 81° / 60°rain 91%thunder 25%0.36 inwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  4. SatOct 366°60°NWS grid 66° / 59°rain 57%thunder 20%0.09 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. SunOct 467°56°NWS grid 67° / 55°rain 55%thunder 14%0.90 inwind 5 mph
  6. MonOct 566°44°NWS grid 67° / 44°rain 10%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. TueOct 664°45°NWS grid 65° / 45°rain 1%wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  8. WedOct 770°48°NWS grid 70° / 48°rain 4%wind 7 mph
  9. ThuOct 871°49°Beyond the NWS gridrain 5%wind 6 mph
  10. FriOct 969°48°Beyond the NWS gridrain 4%wind 6 mph
  11. SatOct 1067°48°Beyond the NWS gridrain 8%wind 6 mph
41°64°86°ThuFriSatSunMonTueWed

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · GEFS Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°64°95°ThuFriSatSunMonTueWed

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 3081° 54°81° 60°82° 53°82° 54°82° 56°~80° 56°
Thu Oct 183° 66°84° 66°86° 58°85° 58°85° 62°~84° 59°
Fri Oct 281° 60°0.34 in72° 70°85° 64°0.15 in81° 63°0.19 in85° 66°0.12 in~81° 65°0.36 in
Sat Oct 366° 59°0.11 in—65° 61°0.12 in71° 57°0.07 in64° 54°0.60 in~64° 57°0.11 in
Sun Oct 467° 55°0.49 in—67° 63°0.82 in66° 59°0.49 in74° 59°0.06 in~68° 60°0.10 in
Mon Oct 567° 44°—69° 51°0.03 in67° 51°0.09 in73° 55°~71° 53°
Tue Oct 665° 45°—64° 40°65° 40°~69° 52°~71° 44°
Wed Oct 770° 48°—73° 43°72° 42°0.01 in~74° 49°~67° 51°
Thu Oct 8——72° 53°73° 48°0.03 in~78° 55°~75° 56°
Fri Oct 9——76° 49°73° 50°0.04 in~70° 53°~71° 44°
Sat Oct 10——~79° 53°~52° 50°~73° 45°~80° 48°
Sun Oct 11——~61° 58°0.39 in—~80° 48°~78° 58°
Mon Oct 12——~62° 55°1.07 in—~82° 57°~64° 53°0.63 in
Tue Oct 13——~65° 44°—~78° 54°~47° 42°1.04 in
Wed Oct 14——~67° 49°—~65° 55°~53° 33°
Thu Oct 15——~55° 36°——~37° 37°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Pikeville (PBX) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 30—90° (2007)34° (2003)no outlookno outlook
Oct 776° / 51°93° (2007)32° (2006)no outlookno outlook
Oct 14—88° (2016)32° (2006)no outlookno outlook
Oct 21—88° (2016)27° (1997)no outlookno outlook
Oct 2868° / 40°86° (2024)25° (2023)no outlookno outlook
Nov 4—88° (2003)23° (1993)no outlookno outlook
Nov 11—85° (1993)18° (2014)no outlookno outlook
Nov 1860° / 35°78° (1993)14° (2014)no outlookno outlook
Nov 25—76° (2010)18° (2005)no outlookno outlook
Dec 2—79° (2001)14° (2010)no outlookno outlook
Dec 948° / 29°76° (2007)9° (1995)no outlookno outlook
Dec 1649° / 31°75° (2013)5° (2004)no outlookno outlook
Dec 2345° / 29°80° (2015)1° (2022)no outlookno outlook

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayModeratewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
WednesdayFair8:40 PM to 5:58 AM4 of 9None80%Fair8 mph
ThursdayFair8:39 PM to 5:58 AM5 of 9None70%Fair9 mph
FridayPoor8:37 PM to 5:59 AM0 of 9None60%9 h7 mph
SaturdayPoor8:36 PM to 6:00 AM0 of 9None50%9 h3 mph
SundayPoor8:34 PM to 6:01 AM0 of 9None39%9 h2 mph
MondayGood8:33 PM to 6:02 AM9 of 96 h from 9:00 PM29%Poor9 h6 mph
TuesdayGood8:31 PM to 6:03 AM9 of 99 h from 9:00 PM20%Poor8 h6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Wed6:58 AM to 7:08 AM7:08 AM to 7:58 AM6:39 PM to 7:29 PM7:29 PM to 7:39 PM
Thu6:58 AM to 7:09 AM7:09 AM to 7:59 AM6:37 PM to 7:28 PM7:28 PM to 7:38 PM
Fri6:59 AM to 7:09 AM7:09 AM to 8:00 AM6:36 PM to 7:26 PM7:26 PM to 7:36 PM
Sat7:00 AM to 7:10 AM7:10 AM to 8:01 AM6:34 PM to 7:25 PM7:25 PM to 7:35 PM
Sun7:01 AM to 7:11 AM7:11 AM to 8:02 AM6:33 PM to 7:23 PM7:23 PM to 7:33 PM
Mon7:02 AM to 7:12 AM7:12 AM to 8:03 AM6:31 PM to 7:22 PM7:22 PM to 7:32 PM
Tue7:03 AM to 7:13 AM7:13 AM to 8:04 AM6:30 PM to 7:20 PM7:20 PM to 7:31 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:24 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 7:13 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 9:29 PM, 56° ENE
  • MS Moonset 11:57 AM, 302° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 83% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51)). No stretch of two good hours in the next three days.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:54 AM to sunrise 7:24 AM, and sunset 7:13 PM to 7:43 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Wed6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Wed 4 PMNo-fly3480%up to 0 ft81°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 5 PMNo-fly3480%up to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 6 PMNo-fly2350%up to 0 ft77°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Wed 7 PMNo-fly29110%up to 0 ft73°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 8 PMNo-fly314160%up to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 9 PMNo-fly314170%up to 0 ft66°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 10 PMNo-fly518220%up to 0 ft65°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 11 PMNo-fly623260%up to 0 ft63°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 12 AMNo-fly717210%up to 0 ft64°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 1 AMNo-fly717210%up to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 2 AMNo-fly717220%up to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 3 AMNo-fly819240%up to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 4 AMNo-fly819250%up to 0 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 5 AMNo-fly717220%up to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 6 AMNo-fly819240%up to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 7 AMNo-fly79150%up to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Thu 8 AMNo-fly79150%up to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 9 AMNo-fly67130%up to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 10 AMNo-fly56120%up to 0 ft67°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 11 AMNo-fly55120%up to 0 ft73°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 12 PMNo-fly67130%up to 0 ft78°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 1 PMNo-fly67110%up to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 2 PMNo-fly55110%up to 0 ft82°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Thu 3 PMNo-fly55110%up to 0 ft83°low cloud limits height (107.51)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 4 PM to 6 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 8 PM to Fri 10 AM 38 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 2 PM to 8 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 12 PM to 9 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 11 AM to 1 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
Wed6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in41%5 mph2 d
ThursdayDry0%0.00 in43%7 mph1 dGood
FridayWet88%0.34 in69%9 mph
SaturdayShowers possible46%0.11 in97%6 mph
SundayWet47%0.49 in100%3 mph
MondayDry1%0.00 in70%8 mph3 d
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in56%6 mph2 d
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in53%6 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Wed Poor3:16 AM to 5:16 AM3:45 PM to 5:45 PM11:27 AM to 12:27 PM8:59 PM to 9:59 PM 83%7:24 AM, 7:13 PM
Thu Fair4:16 AM to 6:16 AM4:47 PM to 6:47 PM12:38 PM to 1:38 PM9:53 PM to 10:53 PM 74%7:25 AM, 7:12 PM
Fri Fair5:18 AM to 7:18 AM5:50 PM to 7:50 PM1:43 PM to 2:43 PM10:57 PM to 11:57 PM 64%7:25 AM, 7:10 PM
Sat Fair6:21 AM to 8:21 AM6:51 PM to 8:51 PM2:39 PM to 3:39 PM 54%7:26 AM, 7:09 PM
Sun Fair7:21 AM to 9:21 AM7:49 PM to 9:49 PM12:08 AM to 1:08 AM3:24 PM to 4:24 PM 43%7:27 AM, 7:07 PM
Mon Fair8:17 AM to 10:17 AM8:43 PM to 10:43 PM1:21 AM to 2:21 AM4:01 PM to 5:01 PM 33%7:28 AM, 7:06 PM
Tue Poor9:09 AM to 11:09 AM9:33 PM to 11:33 PM2:33 AM to 3:33 AM4:32 PM to 5:32 PM 23%7:29 AM, 7:04 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. This Afternoon81° · WSW 3 mph

    Mostly sunny. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 80 in the afternoon. West southwest wind around 3 mph.

  2. Tonight61° · SSW 2–8 mph

    Mostly clear. Low around 61, with temperatures rising to around 62 overnight. South southwest wind 2 to 8 mph.

  3. Thursday83° · SW 5–8 mph

    Sunny. High near 83, with temperatures falling to around 82 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.

  4. Thursday Night66° · SSW 3–9 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 66. South southwest wind 3 to 9 mph.

  5. Friday81° · 83% · WSW 9 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. West southwest wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

  6. Friday Night60° · 88% · NNW 3–7 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

  7. Saturday66° · 49% · NNE 7 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  8. Saturday Night59° · 56% · ENE 5 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  9. Sunday67° · 56% · S 3 mph

    Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  10. Sunday Night55° · 34% · N 3 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

  11. Monday67° · 13% · N 1–8 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

  12. Monday Night44° · NNE 3–7 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

  13. Tuesday65° · NE 6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 65.

  14. Tuesday Night45° · 1% · E 6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 45.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Jackson, KY · issued Sep 30, 3:48 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Temperatures climb through Thursday, while humidity gradually increases heading into the weekend.

A slow moving front will likely bring showers and stray thunderstorms to the area from Friday afternoon into the weekend until a secondary boundary passes through ahead of the new work week.

Short Term

348 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2026

(This evening through Thursday night)

As of 330 PM EDT, high-level clouds continue to stream across the region under fair skies, with surface temperatures having warmed into the low-to-mid 80s. High pressure remains anchored in the vicinity of eastern Kentucky, bolstered by an expansive upper-level ridge centered over the Eastern U.S. and Ohio Valley, characterized by a 588 dam ridge at the 85th-95th percentile relative to climatology. Farther west, a cut-off low remains centered over the Southwest while a northern stream trough traverses the Northern Plains. Under light winds tonight, a decent ridge/valley temperature split is expected, with valley locations cooling into the low-to- mid 50s while ridge tops remain in the upper 50s to low 60s.

This persistent pattern will maintain unseasonably warm conditions through Thursday, with daytime highs reaching the mid to upper 80s across the area under generally fair skies; some locations may flirt with 90 degrees as the upper ridge axis slowly begins to shift toward the Atlantic Seaboard. Meanwhile, as the northern stream trough advances into the Great Lakes, it will push a surface cold front through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley on Thursday. Thursday night will feature quiet, dry weather across nearly the entire forecast area for the vast majority of the night as the front slows its eastward push upon approaching Kentucky. Light southerly flow ahead of the boundary will keep overnight lows on Thursday night mild while maintaining a moderate ridge/ valley split, with valleys cooling into the mid-to-upper 50s while ridge tops remain in the mid-to-upper 60s. Rain chances will begin creeping into the western Bluegrass between 6-8 AM Friday, with isolated to scattered coverage.

Long Term

345 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2026

(Thursday night through Tuesday)

The extended period opens Thursday evening with a weak surface ridge over the Southeast CONUS with a ~1020 mb surface high over the Southeast beneath a strong upper-level high centered over the Southeast coastline. Further upstream, an upper-level closed low will be rapidly dampening into an upper trough over the Central Plains while another upper low develops in vicinity of the Western TX Panhandle Friday. Recent LREF runs have trended noticeably more amplified with this pattern, deepening the southwestern low while strengthening the ridge over the Eastern US. This enhanced downstream ridge and strong southerly warm-air advection (WAA) across the Ohio Valley account for the warming pre-frontal temperatures in recent guidance, supporting highs across Eastern Kentucky in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday and upper 70s to mid 80s on Friday.

An initial cold front will sink eastward toward the Commonwealth on Friday, drawing rich Gulf moisture up the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and bringing an increasing coverage of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms. As the southern-stream upper trough opens up and the surface boundary stalls near the Ohio River/Appalachians, shower and thunderstorm chances will linger across Eastern Kentucky through Saturday. Temperatures will cool into the mid 60s to mid 70s on Saturday under persistent cloud cover and intermittent rain.

A secondary northern-stream trough will dig into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Sunday morning, pushing a reinforcing cold front through the region and steadily lowering rain chances from northwest to southeast through Sunday afternoon and evening (highs in the lower 70s). However, as the main trough axis slowly sweeps across the Appalachians, isolated shower chances could remain along the KY-TN and KY-VA borders through Sunday evening. Drier continental high pressure takes full control by Monday morning, shutting off any remaining precipitation. While daytime temperatures remain pleasant in the mid 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday, clear skies and light winds Monday night will allow cooler lows in the 40s to return to the area.

Aviation

138 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2026

(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)

High pressure remains in the vicinity of Eastern Kentucky through the TAF period, leading to VFR conditions at all terminals and mostly clear skies. Winds generally remain light out of the south to southwest; however, tomorrow morning may become breezy as boundary layer mixing engages a 20-25 kt LLJ. TAF sites may see gusts out of the southwest as high as 20 kt from 14-18Z Thursday.

JKL Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 3:24 PM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KJKL 301924
HWOJKL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
324 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-011100-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
324 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

There is a small chance for thunderstorms at times from Friday 
through Saturday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

JKL

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Reading the outlooks…

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Williamson

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around November 2: a growing season of about 206 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 21; one spring in ten still has one after April 25.

Climate of 37.50, -82.23: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementWedThuFriSatSunMonTueWed
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max73°76°77°66°68°66°62°66°
Heat index max81°83°79°70°
Wind chill min42°42°
Chance of thunder max0%0%22%16%16%4%1%3%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft-100 ft400 ft
Mixing height max5,000 ft5,400 ft5,500 ft1,300 ft1,700 ft
Transport wind max12 mph15 mph24 mph16 mph8 mph
Twenty-foot wind max3 mph7 mph8 mph5 mph3 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max676897
Low visibility risk max647

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Pikeville (PBX) · 19 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Wed Sep 3081° / 54°—86° (2002)40° (1993)
Thu Oct 183° / 66°—87° (2007)35° (1993)
Fri Oct 281° / 60°—88° (2025)34° (2003)
Sat Oct 366° / 59°—89° (2007)36° (1993)
Sun Oct 467° / 55°75° / 50°89° (2002)34° (2003)
Mon Oct 567° / 44°—88° (2023)39° (2014)
Tue Oct 665° / 45°—90° (2007)43° (1996)
Wed Oct 770° / 48°76° / 49°90° (2007)36° (2001)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Wed6:58 AM7:24 AM7:13 PM7:39 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:58 AM7:25 AM7:12 PM7:38 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:59 AM7:25 AM7:10 PM7:36 PM11 h 45 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:00 AM7:26 AM7:09 PM7:35 PM11 h 43 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun7:01 AM7:27 AM7:07 PM7:33 PM11 h 40 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon7:02 AM7:28 AM7:06 PM7:32 PM11 h 38 min Waning crescent · 33% lit
Tue7:03 AM7:29 AM7:04 PM7:31 PM11 h 35 min Waning crescent · 23% lit
Wed7:04 AM7:30 AM7:03 PM7:29 PM11 h 33 min Waning crescent · 15% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from