Current weather · Sep 30, 4:31 PM EDT
37.5010, -82.2280
81°
- High
- 81°
- Low
- 54°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 7:24 AM
- Sunset
- 7:13 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 PM | 81° | 81° | 55° | 41% | 0% | WSW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 41% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 5 PM | 80° | 80° | 55° | 42% | 0% | WSW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 50% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 6 PM | 77° | 77° | 57° | 50% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 5 mph | 43% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 7 PM | 73° | 73° | 57° | 57% | 0% | SW | 2 mph | 5 mph | 38% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 8 PM | 68° | 68° | 58° | 70% | 0% | SSW | 3 mph | 6 mph | 38% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 9 PM | 66° | 66° | 57° | 73% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 7 mph | 40% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 10 PM | 65° | 65° | 56° | 73% | 0% | S | 5 mph | 8 mph | 24% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Wed 11 PM | 63° | 63° | 55° | 75% | 0% | S | 6 mph | 9 mph | 12% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 AM | 64° | 64° | 55° | 73% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 12 mph | 10% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 1 AM | 63° | 63° | 55° | 75% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 12 mph | 20% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 2 AM | 63° | 63° | 55° | 75% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 13 mph | 14% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 3 AM | 63° | 63° | 55° | 75% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 13 mph | 21% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 4 AM | 62° | 62° | 55° | 78% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 23% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 5 AM | 62° | 62° | 54° | 75% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 13 mph | 24% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 6 AM | 62° | 62° | 54° | 75% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 13 mph | 19% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 7 AM | 61° | 61° | 54° | 78% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 13 mph | 17% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 8 AM | 61° | 61° | 54° | 78% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 13 mph | 18% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 9 AM | 63° | 63° | 56° | 78% | 0% | S | 6 mph | 12 mph | 19% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 10 AM | 67° | 67° | 58° | 73% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 5% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 11 AM | 73° | 73° | 60° | 64% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 12 mph | 8% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 PM | 78° | 78° | 59° | 52% | 0% | SW | 6 mph | 12 mph | 16% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 1 PM | 80° | 81° | 59° | 49% | 0% | WSW | 6 mph | 10 mph | 7% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 2 PM | 82° | 82° | 59° | 46% | 0% | WSW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 13% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 3 PM | 83° | 83° | 59° | 44% | 0% | WSW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 31% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 4 PM | 82° | 82° | 58° | 44% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 45% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 5 PM | 82° | 82° | 57° | 43% | 0% | SW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 35% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 6 PM | 79° | 79° | 59° | 50% | 0% | SW | 3 mph | 8 mph | 25% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 7 PM | 73° | 73° | 59° | 62% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 8 mph | 15% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 8 PM | 71° | 71° | 59° | 66% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 31% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 9 PM | 69° | 69° | 59° | 70% | 0% | SSW | 7 mph | 12 mph | 35% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 10 PM | 68° | 68° | 58° | 70% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 13 mph | 28% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 11 PM | 67° | 67° | 57° | 70% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 32% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 12 AM | 66° | 66° | 57° | 73% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 29% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 1 AM | 66° | 66° | 57° | 73% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 16% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 2 AM | 66° | 66° | 58° | 75% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 12% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 3 AM | 67° | 67° | 58° | 73% | 0% | S | 9 mph | 15 mph | 12% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 4 AM | 67° | 67° | 58° | 73% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 15 mph | 15% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 5 AM | 66° | 66° | 58° | 75% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 15 mph | 16% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 6 AM | 67° | 67° | 58° | 73% | 0% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 25% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 7 AM | 66° | 66° | 57° | 73% | 3% | S | 8 mph | 13 mph | 39% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 8 AM | 66° | 66° | 59° | 78% | 4% | S | 8 mph | 14 mph | 42% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 9 AM | 67° | 67° | 61° | 81% | 4% | SSW | 7 mph | 13 mph | 47% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 10 AM | 72° | 72° | 64° | 76% | 5% | SW | 7 mph | 14 mph | 51% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Fri 11 AM | 76° | 76° | 66° | 71% | 5% | SW | 8 mph | 16 mph | 54% | 3% | — | — | -100 ft | |||
| Fri 12 PM | 78° | 78° | 67° | 69% | 6% | WSW | 9 mph | 17 mph | 55% | 3% | — | — | -100 ft | |||
| Fri 1 PM | 79° | 79° | 68° | 69% | 6% | WSW | 9 mph | 17 mph | 55% | 3% | — | — | -100 ft | |||
| Fri 2 PM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 79° | 79° | 68° | 69% | 25% | 0.05 in | WSW | 9 mph | 17 mph | 57% | 20% | — | — | 3,000 ft | |
| Fri 3 PM | Chance of light rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms | 78° | 78° | 69° | 74% | 45% | 0.05 in | W | 9 mph | 16 mph | 66% | 20% | — | — | 3,200 ft |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 30, 2:26 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 3081°54°Mostly Sunnywind 6 mph
- ThuOct 183°66°Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- FriOct 281°60°Partly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstormswind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- SatOct 366°59°Chance Rain Showerswind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SunOct 467°55°Rain Showers Likelywind 3 mph
- MonOct 567°44°Mostly Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- TueOct 665°45°Sunnywind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- WedOct 770°48°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- ThuOct 871°49°National Blendwind 6 mph
- FriOct 969°48°National Blendwind 6 mph
- SatOct 1067°48°National Blendwind 6 mph
- SunOct 11~73°55°Model mean
- MonOct 12~69°55°Model mean
- TueOct 13~64°47°Model mean
- WedOct 14~60°41°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~55°36°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like81°
- WindWSW 3 mphgusts 7 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity41%
- Dew point55°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility—
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise9:29 PMMoonset 11:57 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous83% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 30, 2:00 PM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 30—59°NWS grid 81° / 54°wind 6 mph
- ThuOct 183°64°NWS grid 83° / 66°wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- FriOct 281°60°NWS grid 81° / 60°wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- SatOct 366°60°NWS grid 66° / 59°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SunOct 467°56°NWS grid 67° / 55°wind 5 mph
- MonOct 566°44°NWS grid 67° / 44°wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- TueOct 664°45°NWS grid 65° / 45°wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- WedOct 770°48°NWS grid 70° / 48°wind 7 mph
- ThuOct 871°49°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph
- FriOct 969°48°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph
- SatOct 1067°48°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · GEFS Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 30, 8:00 AM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 30 | 81° 54° | 81° 60° | 82° 53° | 82° 54° | 82° 56° | ~80° 56° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 83° 66° | 84° 66° | 86° 58° | 85° 58° | 85° 62° | ~84° 59° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 81° 60°0.34 in | 72° 70° | 85° 64°0.15 in | 81° 63°0.19 in | 85° 66°0.12 in | ~81° 65°0.36 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 66° 59°0.11 in | — | 65° 61°0.12 in | 71° 57°0.07 in | 64° 54°0.60 in | ~64° 57°0.11 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 67° 55°0.49 in | — | 67° 63°0.82 in | 66° 59°0.49 in | 74° 59°0.06 in | ~68° 60°0.10 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 67° 44° | — | 69° 51°0.03 in | 67° 51°0.09 in | 73° 55° | ~71° 53° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 65° 45° | — | 64° 40° | 65° 40° | ~69° 52° | ~71° 44° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 70° 48° | — | 73° 43° | 72° 42°0.01 in | ~74° 49° | ~67° 51° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | 72° 53° | 73° 48°0.03 in | ~78° 55° | ~75° 56° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 76° 49° | 73° 50°0.04 in | ~70° 53° | ~71° 44° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~79° 53° | ~52° 50° | ~73° 45° | ~80° 48° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~61° 58°0.39 in | — | ~80° 48° | ~78° 58° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~62° 55°1.07 in | — | ~82° 57° | ~64° 53°0.63 in |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~65° 44° | — | ~78° 54° | ~47° 42°1.04 in |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~67° 49° | — | ~65° 55° | ~53° 33° |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~55° 36° | — | — | ~37° 37° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Pikeville (PBX) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Thu Oct 15, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | — | 90° (2007) | 34° (2003) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 7 | 76° / 51° | 93° (2007) | 32° (2006) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 14 | — | 88° (2016) | 32° (2006) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 21 | — | 88° (2016) | 27° (1997) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 28 | 68° / 40° | 86° (2024) | 25° (2023) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 4 | — | 88° (2003) | 23° (1993) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 11 | — | 85° (1993) | 18° (2014) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 18 | 60° / 35° | 78° (1993) | 14° (2014) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 25 | — | 76° (2010) | 18° (2005) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 2 | — | 79° (2001) | 14° (2010) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 9 | 48° / 29° | 76° (2007) | 9° (1995) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 16 | 49° / 31° | 75° (2013) | 5° (2004) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 23 | 45° / 29° | 80° (2015) | 1° (2022) | no outlook | no outlook |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayGoodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightGoodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayModeratewarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Fair | 8:40 PM to 5:58 AM | 4 of 9 | None | 80% | Fair | 8 mph | |
| Thursday | Fair | 8:39 PM to 5:58 AM | 5 of 9 | None | 70% | Fair | 9 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:37 PM to 5:59 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 60% | 9 h | 7 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:36 PM to 6:00 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 9 h | 3 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:34 PM to 6:01 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 9 h | 2 mph | |
| Monday | Good | 8:33 PM to 6:02 AM | 9 of 9 | 6 h from 9:00 PM | 29% | Poor | 9 h | 6 mph |
| Tuesday | Good | 8:31 PM to 6:03 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 9:00 PM | 20% | Poor | 8 h | 6 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:58 AM to 7:08 AM | 7:08 AM to 7:58 AM | 6:39 PM to 7:29 PM | 7:29 PM to 7:39 PM |
| Thu | 6:58 AM to 7:09 AM | 7:09 AM to 7:59 AM | 6:37 PM to 7:28 PM | 7:28 PM to 7:38 PM |
| Fri | 6:59 AM to 7:09 AM | 7:09 AM to 8:00 AM | 6:36 PM to 7:26 PM | 7:26 PM to 7:36 PM |
| Sat | 7:00 AM to 7:10 AM | 7:10 AM to 8:01 AM | 6:34 PM to 7:25 PM | 7:25 PM to 7:35 PM |
| Sun | 7:01 AM to 7:11 AM | 7:11 AM to 8:02 AM | 6:33 PM to 7:23 PM | 7:23 PM to 7:33 PM |
| Mon | 7:02 AM to 7:12 AM | 7:12 AM to 8:03 AM | 6:31 PM to 7:22 PM | 7:22 PM to 7:32 PM |
| Tue | 7:03 AM to 7:13 AM | 7:13 AM to 8:04 AM | 6:30 PM to 7:20 PM | 7:20 PM to 7:31 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:24 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 7:13 PM, 267° W
- MR Moonrise 9:29 PM, 56° ENE
- MS Moonset 11:57 AM, 302° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 83% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51)). No stretch of two good hours in the next three days.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:54 AM to sunrise 7:24 AM, and sunset 7:13 PM to 7:43 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Wed | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 PM | No-fly | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 81° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Wed 5 PM | No-fly | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 80° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Wed 6 PM | No-fly | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 77° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Wed 7 PM | No-fly | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 73° | low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 8 PM | No-fly | 3 | 14 | 16 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 68° | low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 9 PM | No-fly | 3 | 14 | 17 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 66° | low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 10 PM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 22 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 65° | low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 11 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 26 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 63° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 12 AM | No-fly | 7 | 17 | 21 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 64° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 1 AM | No-fly | 7 | 17 | 21 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 63° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 2 AM | No-fly | 7 | 17 | 22 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 63° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 3 AM | No-fly | 8 | 19 | 24 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 63° | low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 4 AM | No-fly | 8 | 19 | 25 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 62° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 5 AM | No-fly | 7 | 17 | 22 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 62° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 6 AM | No-fly | 8 | 19 | 24 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 62° | low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 7 AM | No-fly | 7 | 9 | 15 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 61° | low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Thu 8 AM | No-fly | 7 | 9 | 15 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 61° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 9 AM | No-fly | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 63° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 10 AM | No-fly | 5 | 6 | 12 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 67° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 11 AM | No-fly | 5 | 5 | 12 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 73° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 12 PM | No-fly | 6 | 7 | 13 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 78° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 1 PM | No-fly | 6 | 7 | 11 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 80° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 2 PM | No-fly | 5 | 5 | 11 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 82° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | ||
| Thu 3 PM | No-fly | 5 | 5 | 11 | 0% | up to 0 ft | 83° | low cloud limits height (107.51) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Wed 4 PM to 6 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 8 PM to Fri 10 AM 38 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Mon 2 PM to 8 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 12 PM to 9 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 11 AM to 1 PM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
| Wed | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 41% | 5 mph | 2 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 43% | 7 mph | 1 d | Good |
| Friday | Wet | 88% | 0.34 in | 69% | 9 mph | ||
| Saturday | Showers possible | 46% | 0.11 in | 97% | 6 mph | ||
| Sunday | Wet | 47% | 0.49 in | 100% | 3 mph | ||
| Monday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 70% | 8 mph | 3 d | |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 56% | 6 mph | 2 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 53% | 6 mph | 1 d |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | Poor | 3:16 AM to 5:16 AM3:45 PM to 5:45 PM | 11:27 AM to 12:27 PM8:59 PM to 9:59 PM | 83% | 7:24 AM, 7:13 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 4:16 AM to 6:16 AM4:47 PM to 6:47 PM | 12:38 PM to 1:38 PM9:53 PM to 10:53 PM | 74% | 7:25 AM, 7:12 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 5:18 AM to 7:18 AM5:50 PM to 7:50 PM | 1:43 PM to 2:43 PM10:57 PM to 11:57 PM | 64% | 7:25 AM, 7:10 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 6:21 AM to 8:21 AM6:51 PM to 8:51 PM | 2:39 PM to 3:39 PM | 54% | 7:26 AM, 7:09 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 7:21 AM to 9:21 AM7:49 PM to 9:49 PM | 12:08 AM to 1:08 AM3:24 PM to 4:24 PM | 43% | 7:27 AM, 7:07 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 8:17 AM to 10:17 AM8:43 PM to 10:43 PM | 1:21 AM to 2:21 AM4:01 PM to 5:01 PM | 33% | 7:28 AM, 7:06 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 9:09 AM to 11:09 AM9:33 PM to 11:33 PM | 2:33 AM to 3:33 AM4:32 PM to 5:32 PM | 23% | 7:29 AM, 7:04 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedThis Afternoon81° · WSW 3 mph
Mostly sunny. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 80 in the afternoon. West southwest wind around 3 mph.
Tonight61° · SSW 2–8 mph
Mostly clear. Low around 61, with temperatures rising to around 62 overnight. South southwest wind 2 to 8 mph.
Thursday83° · SW 5–8 mph
Sunny. High near 83, with temperatures falling to around 82 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Thursday Night66° · SSW 3–9 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 66. South southwest wind 3 to 9 mph.
Friday81° · 83% · WSW 9 mph
Showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny. High near 81, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. West southwest wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Friday Night60° · 88% · NNW 3–7 mph
Showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Saturday66° · 49% · NNE 7 mph
A chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 66. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday Night59° · 56% · ENE 5 mph
A chance of rain showers before 7pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday67° · 56% · S 3 mph
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night55° · 34% · N 3 mph
A chance of rain showers before 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday67° · 13% · N 1–8 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Monday Night44° · NNE 3–7 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Tuesday65° · NE 6 mph
Sunny, with a high near 65.
Tuesday Night45° · 1% · E 6 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 45.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Jackson, KY · issued Sep 30, 3:48 PM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
Temperatures climb through Thursday, while humidity gradually increases heading into the weekend.
A slow moving front will likely bring showers and stray thunderstorms to the area from Friday afternoon into the weekend until a secondary boundary passes through ahead of the new work week.
Short Term
348 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2026
(This evening through Thursday night)
As of 330 PM EDT, high-level clouds continue to stream across the region under fair skies, with surface temperatures having warmed into the low-to-mid 80s. High pressure remains anchored in the vicinity of eastern Kentucky, bolstered by an expansive upper-level ridge centered over the Eastern U.S. and Ohio Valley, characterized by a 588 dam ridge at the 85th-95th percentile relative to climatology. Farther west, a cut-off low remains centered over the Southwest while a northern stream trough traverses the Northern Plains. Under light winds tonight, a decent ridge/valley temperature split is expected, with valley locations cooling into the low-to- mid 50s while ridge tops remain in the upper 50s to low 60s.
This persistent pattern will maintain unseasonably warm conditions through Thursday, with daytime highs reaching the mid to upper 80s across the area under generally fair skies; some locations may flirt with 90 degrees as the upper ridge axis slowly begins to shift toward the Atlantic Seaboard. Meanwhile, as the northern stream trough advances into the Great Lakes, it will push a surface cold front through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley on Thursday. Thursday night will feature quiet, dry weather across nearly the entire forecast area for the vast majority of the night as the front slows its eastward push upon approaching Kentucky. Light southerly flow ahead of the boundary will keep overnight lows on Thursday night mild while maintaining a moderate ridge/ valley split, with valleys cooling into the mid-to-upper 50s while ridge tops remain in the mid-to-upper 60s. Rain chances will begin creeping into the western Bluegrass between 6-8 AM Friday, with isolated to scattered coverage.
Long Term
345 AM EDT WED SEP 30 2026
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
The extended period opens Thursday evening with a weak surface ridge over the Southeast CONUS with a ~1020 mb surface high over the Southeast beneath a strong upper-level high centered over the Southeast coastline. Further upstream, an upper-level closed low will be rapidly dampening into an upper trough over the Central Plains while another upper low develops in vicinity of the Western TX Panhandle Friday. Recent LREF runs have trended noticeably more amplified with this pattern, deepening the southwestern low while strengthening the ridge over the Eastern US. This enhanced downstream ridge and strong southerly warm-air advection (WAA) across the Ohio Valley account for the warming pre-frontal temperatures in recent guidance, supporting highs across Eastern Kentucky in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday and upper 70s to mid 80s on Friday.
An initial cold front will sink eastward toward the Commonwealth on Friday, drawing rich Gulf moisture up the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and bringing an increasing coverage of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms. As the southern-stream upper trough opens up and the surface boundary stalls near the Ohio River/Appalachians, shower and thunderstorm chances will linger across Eastern Kentucky through Saturday. Temperatures will cool into the mid 60s to mid 70s on Saturday under persistent cloud cover and intermittent rain.
A secondary northern-stream trough will dig into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Sunday morning, pushing a reinforcing cold front through the region and steadily lowering rain chances from northwest to southeast through Sunday afternoon and evening (highs in the lower 70s). However, as the main trough axis slowly sweeps across the Appalachians, isolated shower chances could remain along the KY-TN and KY-VA borders through Sunday evening. Drier continental high pressure takes full control by Monday morning, shutting off any remaining precipitation. While daytime temperatures remain pleasant in the mid 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday, clear skies and light winds Monday night will allow cooler lows in the 40s to return to the area.
Aviation
138 PM EDT WED SEP 30 2026
(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
High pressure remains in the vicinity of Eastern Kentucky through the TAF period, leading to VFR conditions at all terminals and mostly clear skies. Winds generally remain light out of the south to southwest; however, tomorrow morning may become breezy as boundary layer mixing engages a 20-25 kt LLJ. TAF sites may see gusts out of the southwest as high as 20 kt from 14-18Z Thursday.
JKL Watches / Warnings / Advisories
None.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 30, 3:24 PM EDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS43 KJKL 301924 HWOJKL Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 324 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-011100- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- 324 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. There is a small chance for thunderstorms at times from Friday through Saturday night. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ JKL
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Reading the outlooks…
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, WilliamsonThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around November 2: a growing season of about 206 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 21; one spring in ten still has one after April 25.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 27 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 73° | 76° | 77° | 66° | 68° | 66° | 62° | 66° |
| Heat index max | 81° | 83° | 79° | 70° | ||||
| Wind chill min | 42° | 42° | ||||||
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 22% | 16% | 16% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| Cloud ceiling min | -100 ft | -100 ft | -100 ft | 400 ft | ||||
| Mixing height max | 5,000 ft | 5,400 ft | 5,500 ft | 1,300 ft | 1,700 ft | |||
| Transport wind max | 12 mph | 15 mph | 24 mph | 16 mph | 8 mph | |||
| Twenty-foot wind max | 3 mph | 7 mph | 8 mph | 5 mph | 3 mph | |||
| Atmospheric dispersion index max | 67 | 68 | 97 | |||||
| Low visibility risk max | 6 | 4 | 7 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Pikeville (PBX) · 19 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Sep 30 | 81° / 54° | — | 86° (2002) | 40° (1993) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 83° / 66° | — | 87° (2007) | 35° (1993) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 81° / 60° | — | 88° (2025) | 34° (2003) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 66° / 59° | — | 89° (2007) | 36° (1993) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 67° / 55° | 75° / 50° | 89° (2002) | 34° (2003) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 67° / 44° | — | 88° (2023) | 39° (2014) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 65° / 45° | — | 90° (2007) | 43° (1996) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 70° / 48° | 76° / 49° | 90° (2007) | 36° (2001) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 6:58 AM | 7:24 AM | 7:13 PM | 7:39 PM | 11 h 49 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 6:58 AM | 7:25 AM | 7:12 PM | 7:38 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 6:59 AM | 7:25 AM | 7:10 PM | 7:36 PM | 11 h 45 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 7:00 AM | 7:26 AM | 7:09 PM | 7:35 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 7:01 AM | 7:27 AM | 7:07 PM | 7:33 PM | 11 h 40 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 7:02 AM | 7:28 AM | 7:06 PM | 7:32 PM | 11 h 38 min | Waning crescent · 33% lit |
| Tue | 7:03 AM | 7:29 AM | 7:04 PM | 7:31 PM | 11 h 35 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 7:04 AM | 7:30 AM | 7:03 PM | 7:29 PM | 11 h 33 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from