Current weather · Sep 27, 10:05 PM EDT
37.4370, -79.1240
66°
- High
- 79°
- Low
- 58°
- Rain today
- 4%
- Sunrise
- 7:09 AM
- Sunset
- 7:06 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 10 PM | 66° | 66° | 53° | 63% | 0% | WNW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 75% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 7,600 ft | ||||
| Sun 11 PM | 64° | 64° | 53° | 67% | 1% | W | 3 mph | 8 mph | 84% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 6,800 ft | ||||
| Mon 12 AM | 63° | 63° | 53° | 70% | 1% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 84% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 7,500 ft | ||||
| Mon 1 AM | 62° | 62° | 53° | 72% | 2% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 85% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 7,900 ft | ||||
| Mon 2 AM | 61° | 61° | 53° | 73% | 3% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 90% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 7,300 ft | ||||
| Mon 3 AM | 61° | 61° | 52° | 73% | 2% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 94% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 6,000 ft | ||||
| Mon 4 AM | 61° | 61° | 52° | 73% | 2% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 73% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 7,800 ft | ||||
| Mon 5 AM | 60° | 60° | 52° | 75% | 2% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 70% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 9,400 ft | ||||
| Mon 6 AM | 59° | 59° | 52° | 76% | 1% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 71% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 10,400 ft | ||||
| Mon 7 AM | 59° | 59° | 52° | 78% | 1% | W | 2 mph | 7 mph | 69% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 8,100 ft | ||||
| Mon 8 AM | 60° | 60° | 52° | 76% | 7% | W | 2 mph | 8 mph | 71% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 9,500 ft | ||||
| Mon 9 AM | 64° | 64° | 53° | 68% | 7% | NW | 3 mph | 8 mph | 77% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 6,300 ft | ||||
| Mon 10 AM | 67° | 67° | 54° | 62% | 7% | NW | 3 mph | 8 mph | 82% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 5,400 ft | ||||
| Mon 11 AM | 70° | 70° | 54° | 58% | 7% | NNW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 88% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,900 ft | ||||
| Mon 12 PM | 72° | 72° | 55° | 54% | 7% | NW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 84% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,600 ft | ||||
| Mon 1 PM | 74° | 74° | 55° | 51% | 7% | NW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 93% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,400 ft | ||||
| Mon 2 PM | 75° | 75° | 56° | 51% | 7% | NW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 89% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,300 ft | ||||
| Mon 3 PM | 76° | 76° | 56° | 50% | 7% | NW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 88% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,300 ft | ||||
| Mon 4 PM | 77° | 77° | 56° | 50% | 7% | NNW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 83% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,900 ft | ||||
| Mon 5 PM | 76° | 76° | 57° | 51% | 7% | NNW | 3 mph | 7 mph | 86% | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,900 ft | |||
| Mon 6 PM | 75° | 75° | 57° | 54% | 8% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 85% | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,900 ft | |||
| Mon 7 PM | 73° | 73° | 58° | 59% | 8% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 87% | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,800 ft | |||
| Mon 8 PM | 69° | 69° | 58° | 68% | 7% | N | 1 mph | 8 mph | 88% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 4,600 ft | ||||
| Mon 9 PM | 67° | 67° | 58° | 72% | 6% | NE | 1 mph | 7 mph | 79% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | 4,200 ft | ||||
| Mon 10 PM | 66° | 66° | 58° | 76% | 1% | NNE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 74% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 3,700 ft | ||||
| Mon 11 PM | 65° | 65° | 58° | 79% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 78% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 3,300 ft | ||||
| Tue 12 AM | 64° | 64° | 58° | 82% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 6 mph | 70% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 3,100 ft | ||||
| Tue 1 AM | 63° | 63° | 58° | 84% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 67% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 3,000 ft | ||||
| Tue 2 AM | 62° | 63° | 58° | 85% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 67% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | 2,900 ft | ||||
| Tue 3 AM | 61° | 61° | 58° | 88% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 56% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 4 AM | 60° | 60° | 57° | 92% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 52% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 5 AM | 59° | 59° | 57° | 92% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 47% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 6 AM | 59° | 59° | 57° | 91% | 0% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 44% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 7 AM | 59° | 59° | 57° | 92% | 1% | N | 0 mph | 5 mph | 50% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 8 AM | 60° | 60° | 57° | 90% | 1% | NW | 0 mph | 5 mph | 38% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 9 AM | 64° | 64° | 57° | 80% | 1% | N | 0 mph | 3 mph | 61% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 10 AM | 69° | 69° | 58° | 68% | 1% | W | 0 mph | 3 mph | 47% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 11 AM | 74° | 74° | 58° | 59% | 1% | W | 1 mph | 5 mph | 33% | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | ||||
| Tue 12 PM | 76° | 77° | 59° | 54% | 1% | WSW | 1 mph | 5 mph | 34% | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | ||||
| Tue 1 PM | 78° | 78° | 59° | 51% | 1% | SW | 2 mph | 5 mph | 35% | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | ||||
| Tue 2 PM | 79° | 79° | 59° | 50% | 1% | SSW | 2 mph | 6 mph | 36% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 3 PM | 80° | 81° | 59° | 48% | 1% | S | 2 mph | 6 mph | 38% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 4 PM | 81° | 81° | 59° | 47% | 1% | S | 2 mph | 5 mph | 40% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 5 PM | 80° | 81° | 59° | 49% | 1% | S | 2 mph | 5 mph | 42% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 6 PM | 78° | 78° | 60° | 53% | 1% | SSE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 35% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 7 PM | 75° | 75° | 60° | 60% | 1% | SE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 27% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 8 PM | 72° | 72° | 60° | 67% | 0% | ESE | 1 mph | 6 mph | 20% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 9 PM | 69° | 69° | 60° | 74% | 0% | ESE | 0 mph | 6 mph | 22% | — | 10 mi |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 27, 9:30 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 2779°58°Mostly Cloudywind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonSep 2877°59°Mostly Cloudywind 3 mph
- TueSep 2981°58°Mostly Sunnywind 2 mph
- WedSep 3086°58°Sunnywind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- ThuOct 190°62°Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- FriOct 289°60°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SatOct 373°55°Chance Rain Showerswind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SunOct 469°56°Chance Rain Showerswind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- MonOct 569°53°National Blendwind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- TueOct 667°51°National Blendwind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- WedOct 768°51°National Blendwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- ThuOct 8~68°55°Model mean
- FriOct 9~65°52°Model mean
- SatOct 10~64°49°Model mean
- SunOct 11~64°45°Model mean
- MonOct 12~69°44°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like66°
- WindWNW 5 mphgusts 10 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity63%
- Dew point53°
- Pressure0.01 inHg
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
- Moonrise7:24 PMMoonset 8:07 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous99% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 27—57°NWS grid 79° / 58°wind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
- MonSep 2877°59°NWS grid 77° / 59°wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
- TueSep 2981°59°NWS grid 81° / 58°wind 2 mph
- WedSep 3086°59°NWS grid 86° / 58°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- ThuOct 190°63°NWS grid 90° / 62°wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- FriOct 289°60°NWS grid 89° / 60°wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SatOct 373°56°NWS grid 73° / 55°wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SunOct 469°56°NWS grid 69° / 56°wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
- MonOct 569°53°Beyond the NWS gridwind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- TueOct 667°51°Beyond the NWS gridwind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
- WedOct 768°51°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 27, 2:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 27, 8:00 AM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 27 | 79° 58° | 80° 67° | ~78° 63° | ~77° 62° | 77° 59° | ~79° 59° |
| Mon Sep 28 | 77° 59° | 78° 60° | 74° 59° | 74° 60° | 76° 61°0.01 in | ~75° 62°0.01 in |
| Tue Sep 29 | 81° 58° | 74° 64°0.02 in | 81° 61° | 81° 59° | 78° 62° | ~78° 64°0.01 in |
| Wed Sep 30 | 86° 58° | — | 84° 57° | 83° 57° | 84° 60° | ~84° 60° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 90° 62° | — | 88° 60° | 85° 59° | 88° 61° | ~87° 60° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 89° 60° | — | 89° 63°0.06 in | 85° 63°0.07 in | 91° 62° | ~91° 62° |
| Sat Oct 3 | 73° 55° | — | 67° 51°0.98 in | 73° 62°0.17 in | ~71° 62° | ~76° 65°0.33 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 69° 56° | — | 56° 51°0.60 in | 71° 58°0.23 in | ~73° 56°0.06 in | ~64° 62°1.87 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | — | — | 69° 54°0.57 in | 72° 58°0.24 in | ~71° 62°0.71 in | ~76° 64°0.06 in |
| Tue Oct 6 | — | — | 73° 53° | 68° 53°0.19 in | ~78° 67° | ~68° 57° |
| Wed Oct 7 | — | — | 71° 57° | ~67° 52°0.07 in | ~76° 57° | ~72° 53° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | ~62° 52° | — | ~66° 59°0.69 in | ~78° 53° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | ~51° 48° | — | ~65° 50° | ~79° 59° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~63° 48° | — | ~57° 42° | ~74° 57°0.01 in |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~63° 40° | — | ~59° 40° | ~70° 55° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~69° 44° | — | ~43° 42° | ~46° 41° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Lynchburg/P. Glenn (LYH) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Mon Oct 12, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC leans cooler than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | 73° / 50° | 97° (2019) | 28° (2003) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 4 | 72° / 49° | 93° (1951) | 26° (1974) | near normal most likely · days 6 to 10 | 40% chance above normal · days 6 to 10 |
| Oct 11 | 70° / 46° | 89° (1954) | 27° (1964) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 18 | 68° / 42° | 87° (2016) | 21° (1969) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 25 | 65° / 43° | 86° (2023) | 21° (1962) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 1 | 60° / 37° | 85° (2024) | 19° (1967) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 8 | 60° / 35° | 83° (2023) | 16° (1986) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 15 | 55° / 35° | 81° (1955) | 13° (2014) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 22 | 55° / 33° | 79° (1973) | 8° (1970) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 29 | 53° / 29° | 76° (2001) | 8° (1976) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 6 | 48° / 29° | 79° (1998) | 7° (1968) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 13 | 48° / 30° | 78° (1971) | 3° (1962) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 20 | 51° / 31° | 72° (1982) | -4° (1983) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtomorrowLowmild
- FlutomorrowLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
- SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtomorrowVery goodhot
- HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltomorrowVery goodmostly cloudy
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetomorrowGoodlittle sun
- Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
- TickstomorrowHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststomorrowModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | Poor | 8:33 PM to 5:42 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 98% | 5 mph | ||
| Monday | Poor | 8:31 PM to 5:43 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 94% | 3 h | 1 mph | |
| Tuesday | Fair | 8:29 PM to 5:44 AM | 4 of 10 | 1 h from 8:00 PM | 87% | Poor | 6 h | 1 mph |
| Wednesday | Fair | 8:28 PM to 5:45 AM | 10 of 10 | 1 h from 8:00 PM | 80% | Poor | 3 h | 1 mph |
| Thursday | Fair | 8:26 PM to 5:46 AM | 4 of 10 | None | 70% | Fair | 3 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:25 PM to 5:47 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 60% | 7 mph | ||
| Saturday | Poor | 8:23 PM to 5:48 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 50% | 5 h | 5 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 6:43 AM to 6:53 AM | 6:53 AM to 7:43 AM | 6:31 PM to 7:22 PM | 7:22 PM to 7:32 PM |
| Mon | 6:43 AM to 6:54 AM | 6:54 AM to 7:44 AM | 6:30 PM to 7:20 PM | 7:20 PM to 7:30 PM |
| Tue | 6:44 AM to 6:54 AM | 6:54 AM to 7:45 AM | 6:28 PM to 7:19 PM | 7:19 PM to 7:29 PM |
| Wed | 6:45 AM to 6:55 AM | 6:55 AM to 7:46 AM | 6:26 PM to 7:17 PM | 7:17 PM to 7:27 PM |
| Thu | 6:46 AM to 6:56 AM | 6:56 AM to 7:47 AM | 6:25 PM to 7:16 PM | 7:16 PM to 7:26 PM |
| Fri | 6:47 AM to 6:57 AM | 6:57 AM to 7:48 AM | 6:23 PM to 7:14 PM | 7:14 PM to 7:24 PM |
| Sat | 6:48 AM to 6:58 AM | 6:58 AM to 7:49 AM | 6:22 PM to 7:13 PM | 7:13 PM to 7:23 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:09 AM, 92° E
- SS Sunset 7:06 PM, 268° W
- MR Moonrise 7:24 PM, 75° ENE
- MS Moonset 8:07 AM, 281° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 99% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Mon 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:39 AM to sunrise 7:09 AM, and sunset 7:06 PM to 7:36 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 10 PM | Caution | 5 | 11 | 17 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 11 PM | Caution | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 12 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 1 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 2 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 3 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 6 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 7 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 59° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |
| Mon 8 AM | Good | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 9 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 10 AM | Good | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 67° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 11 AM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 70° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 12 PM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 72° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 1 PM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 74° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 2 PM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 75° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 3 PM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 76° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 4 PM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 77° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 5 PM | Good | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 76° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 6 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 75° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 7 PM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 73° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 8 PM | Caution | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 69° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 9 PM | Caution | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6% | 9 mi | 400 ft | 67° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Sun 10 PM to Mon 12 AM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 9 AM to 6 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Wed 12 PM to 4 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 10 AM to 2 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 7 PM to 10 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Fri 9 AM to 4 PM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Fri 5 PM to Sat 1 AM 8 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Sun | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Dry | 8% | 0.00 in | 50% | 3 mph | 5 d | |
| Tuesday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 47% | 2 mph | 4 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 37% | 6 mph | 3 d | Good |
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 33% | 8 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Friday | Dry | 15% | 0.00 in | 39% | 8 mph | 1 d | Good |
| Saturday | Showers possible | 34% | 0.00 in | 55% | 8 mph | ||
| Sunday | Showers possible | 48% | 0.00 in | 66% | 7 mph |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | Best | 12:27 AM to 2:27 AM12:50 PM to 2:50 PM | 7:37 AM to 8:37 AM6:54 PM to 7:54 PM | 99% | 7:09 AM, 7:06 PM |
| Mon | Good | 1:15 AM to 3:15 AM1:40 PM to 3:40 PM | 8:47 AM to 9:47 AM7:25 PM to 8:25 PM | 95% | 7:09 AM, 7:04 PM |
| Tue | Good | 2:07 AM to 4:07 AM2:34 PM to 4:34 PM | 9:59 AM to 10:59 AM8:02 PM to 9:02 PM | 90% | 7:10 AM, 7:03 PM |
| Wed | Poor | 3:03 AM to 5:03 AM3:32 PM to 5:32 PM | 11:13 AM to 12:13 PM8:46 PM to 9:46 PM | 83% | 7:11 AM, 7:01 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 4:03 AM to 6:03 AM4:34 PM to 6:34 PM | 12:25 PM to 1:25 PM9:41 PM to 10:41 PM | 74% | 7:12 AM, 7:00 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 5:05 AM to 7:05 AM5:37 PM to 7:37 PM | 1:30 PM to 2:30 PM10:45 PM to 11:45 PM | 64% | 7:13 AM, 6:58 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 6:08 AM to 8:08 AM6:38 PM to 8:38 PM | 2:26 PM to 3:26 PM | 54% | 7:14 AM, 6:57 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedTonight58° · 3% · W 5 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. West wind around 5 mph.
Monday77° · 7% · NW 3 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Monday Night59° · 8% · N 2 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind around 2 mph.
Tuesday81° · 1% · SW 2 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Tuesday Night58° · 1% · SE 1 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 58. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Wednesday86° · SW 0–6 mph
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Wednesday Night58° · S 0–3 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Thursday90° · SW 0–8 mph
Sunny, with a high near 90.
Thursday Night62° · 1% · SW 2–6 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Friday89° · 15% · SW 3–8 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89.
Friday Night60° · 28% · NW 2–7 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday73° · 34% · NE 8 mph
A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday Night55° · 40% · NE 2–7 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Sunday69° · 48% · NE 7 mph
A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 69.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Blacksburg, VA · issued Sep 27, 8:13 PM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
What Has Changed
Evening aviation update.
Slightly increased PoPs north of I-64 and increased cloud cover for tonight and tomorrow.
KEY Messages
1) Quiet weather through the upcoming week. Isolated shower chances along and north of the I-64 corridor through early Monday.
Discussion
KEY MESSAGE 1: Quiet weather through the upcoming week. Isolated shower chances along and north of the I-64 corridor through early Monday.
The Nor'easter off the Mid-Atlantic coast looks to push slightly southwest through tonight. As this happens, some wrap around moisture and cloud cover may move into the area, especially for areas along and north of I-64. Overall, the impacts from this system will remain minimal for the region. Gusty northwest winds will continue to remain in the 15-25 mph range through this afternoon, with diminishing winds tonight into Monday morning.
By Tuesday, the Nor'easter and its associated upper level trough finally lift north and east of the region, which will allow for 500mb heights and upper level ridging to build back into the region. This will return daytime highs back into the upper 70s to low 80s for mountain locations, and upper 80s to low 90s for Piedmont locations starting Wednesday and continuing through the end of the work week. While temperatures will surge to above normal values again, dewpoints look to remain in the 40s/50s which will make the airmass feel much more tolerable.
A possible frontal passage late on Friday looks to moderate temperatures back to near normal to start the weekend, and return shower chances to the area.
Aviation · 00Z Monday Through Friday
VFR continues across all terminals this evening, though cloud cover is increasing for LWB/LYH, as a band of clouds and even a few light showers from the edge of the Nor'Easter swing south into the area. Any stray showers would be brief and limited to LWB/LYH, due to drier air in place over our area, especially for terminals south of I-64.
Wind gusts have begun to back off post-sunset, and will remain relatively light overnight, allowing for some patchy fog to form around BLF/LWB. BLF will fall to MVFR VSBY around 09z, along with LWB falling to IFR through sunrise due to VSBY, with MVFR cigs also expected.
After 14z, VFR returns to BLF/LWB, and continues for all other terminals, despite heavy cloud cover throughout the day on Monday. Clouds slowly try to break up late in the day, but will persist through the end of the TAF period.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...
Monday night will see less cloud cover, which will increase the chance of patchy fog, and sub-VFR due to VSBY. Tuesday through Thursday night is expected to remain dry with VFR flight conditions. The exception will be during each overnight, where patchy river/mountain valley fog will remain possible, especially for LWB. Rain chances return late Friday, which will increase the likelihood of sub-VFR cigs/vsbys, especially west of the Blue Ridge.
RNK Watches / Warnings / Advisories
VA...None. NC...None. WV...None.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 27, 4:10 AM EDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS41 KRNK 270810 HWORNK Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 410 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026 NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059- WVZ042>044-507-508-280815- Ashe-Alleghany NC-Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Watauga-Wilkes- Yadkin-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson- Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge- Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell- Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-Charlotte-Mercer-Summers-Monroe- Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- 410 AM EDT Sun Sep 27 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina, northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
- Day 2 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
- Day 3 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
- Day 4 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 5 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 6 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 7 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 8 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Sep 30–Oct 1Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 2–Oct 30.75 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 3–Oct 7
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 7
- Days 8–14 · Temperature33% chance below normalOct 5–Oct 11
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 5–Oct 11
Hazards, 3 to 14 days
- Sep 30–Oct 4Severe Drought
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D2 Severe drought
- Outlook for Sep 2026Drought persists
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Lynchburg #2The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 17 and the first fall freeze around October 25: a growing season of about 190 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 12; one spring in ten still has one after May 4.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 28 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 69° | 70° | 74° | 77° | 79° | 79° | 68° | 66° |
| Heat index max | 78° | 77° | 81° | 85° | 88° | 89° | 73° | |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 6,200 ft | 3,300 ft | 2,900 ft | |||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 9 mi | 10 mi | 10 mi | ||||
| Pressure min | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | |||||
| Mixing height max | 5,200 ft | 4,900 ft | 4,800 ft | |||||
| Transport wind max | 18 mph | 7 mph | 7 mph | |||||
| Atmospheric dispersion index max | 75 | 15 | 18 | |||||
| Low visibility risk max | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||||
| Stability max | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Lynchburg/P. Glenn (LYH) · 9.2 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 27 | 79° / 58° | 77° / 56° | 92° (1998) | 40° (1947) |
| Mon Sep 28 | 77° / 59° | 76° / 55° | 91° (1998) | 38° (1989) |
| Tue Sep 29 | 81° / 58° | 73° / 53° | 95° (2019) | 39° (2001) |
| Wed Sep 30 | 86° / 58° | 73° / 50° | 88° (1953) | 36° (1967) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 90° / 62° would tie the record | 73° / 50° | 90° (2019) | 34° (1947) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 89° / 60° | 74° / 49° | 96° (2019) | 32° (2003) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 73° / 55° | 76° / 50° | 97° (2019) | 28° (2003) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 69° / 56° | 75° / 51° | 90° (1986) | 26° (1974) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 6:43 AM | 7:09 AM | 7:06 PM | 7:32 PM | 11 h 57 min | Waning gibbous · 99% lit |
| Mon | 6:43 AM | 7:09 AM | 7:04 PM | 7:30 PM | 11 h 55 min | Waning gibbous · 95% lit |
| Tue | 6:44 AM | 7:10 AM | 7:03 PM | 7:29 PM | 11 h 53 min | Waning gibbous · 90% lit |
| Wed | 6:45 AM | 7:11 AM | 7:01 PM | 7:27 PM | 11 h 50 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 6:46 AM | 7:12 AM | 7:00 PM | 7:26 PM | 11 h 48 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 6:47 AM | 7:13 AM | 6:58 PM | 7:24 PM | 11 h 45 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:48 AM | 7:14 AM | 6:57 PM | 7:23 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 6:49 AM | 7:15 AM | 6:55 PM | 7:21 PM | 11 h 40 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from