Current weather · Sep 26, 11:49 PM EDT

36.8160, -76.4670

62°

Chance of light rainFeels like 59° · Humidity 78%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Wakefield, VA · grid 84,49
High
70°
Low
59°
Rain today
32%
Sunrise
6:57 AM
Sunset
6:57 PM
First issued 4 hours agoExpires in 14 hours · 2:00 PM EDT

All alerts for this county, and its warning history

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 11 PMChance of light rain62°59°55°78%32%0.01 inNW12 mph18 mph83%7%0.01 inHg7 mi1,200 ft
Sun 12 AMChance of light rain62°60°55°78%35%0.01 inNW10 mph17 mph80%7%0.01 inHg7 mi1,200 ft
Sun 1 AMChance of light rain62°60°55°78%33%0.01 inNW10 mph16 mph83%7%0.01 inHg7 mi1,200 ft
Sun 2 AMSlight chance of light rain61°59°55°81%20%NW9 mph15 mph83%2%0.01 inHg7 mi1,500 ft
Sun 3 AM61°59°55°81%14%NW9 mph15 mph73%2%0.01 inHg7 mi2,000 ft
Sun 4 AM61°59°54°78%14%WNW9 mph15 mph69%2%0.01 inHg7 mi2,000 ft
Sun 5 AM60°58°54°81%6%WNW8 mph14 mph63%0.01 inHg7 mi2,000 ft
Sun 6 AM60°58°54°81%5%WNW9 mph15 mph67%0.01 inHg7 mi3,000 ft
Sun 7 AM60°58°54°81%5%WNW9 mph15 mph56%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 8 AM62°60°54°75%1%W9 mph15 mph48%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 9 AM64°61°54°70%1%W10 mph16 mph47%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 10 AM67°64°54°63%1%WNW12 mph18 mph46%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 11 AM69°66°54°59%1%WNW13 mph21 mph39%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 12 PM71°68°54°55%1%WNW13 mph21 mph34%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 1 PM72°69°54°53%1%WNW13 mph22 mph28%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 2 PM73°70°54°51%2%WNW14 mph22 mph30%2%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 3 PM74°71°54°50%2%WNW13 mph22 mph33%2%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 4 PM75°72°54°48%2%WNW12 mph21 mph41%2%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 5 PM73°70°54°51%1%WNW12 mph18 mph53%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 6 PM72°70°54°53%1%WNW9 mph16 mph66%0.01 inHg7 mi9,000 ft
Sun 7 PM70°69°54°57%1%WNW7 mph13 mph60%0.01 inHg7 mi9,000 ft
Sun 8 PM68°67°54°61%0%NW6 mph10 mph57%0.01 inHg7 mi9,000 ft
Sun 9 PM66°65°55°68%0%WNW5 mph9 mph49%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 10 PM65°64°55°70%0%WNW5 mph8 mph48%0.01 inHg7 mi
Sun 11 PM64°64°56°75%0%WNW3 mph5 mph47%0.01 inHg7 mi
Mon 12 AM64°64°56°75%0%WNW3 mph5 mph45%0.01 inHg7 mi
Mon 1 AM63°63°56°78%0%WNW3 mph5 mph39%0.01 inHg7 mi
Mon 2 AM63°63°56°78%0%WNW3 mph5 mph38%0.01 inHg7 mi
Mon 3 AM62°62°56°81%0%WNW3 mph5 mph40%0.01 inHg—
Mon 4 AM62°62°56°81%0%W3 mph6 mph41%0.01 inHg—
Mon 5 AM61°61°56°84%0%W3 mph6 mph45%0.01 inHg—
Mon 6 AM61°61°56°84%0%W3 mph6 mph39%0.01 inHg—
Mon 7 AM61°61°56°84%0%W3 mph5 mph35%0.01 inHg—
Mon 8 AM63°63°56°78%0%W3 mph5 mph39%0.01 inHg—
Mon 9 AM65°65°57°75%0%W3 mph6 mph32%0.01 inHg—
Mon 10 AM68°68°58°70%0%WNW5 mph7 mph36%0.01 inHg—
Mon 11 AM71°71°59°66%0%WNW5 mph8 mph40%0.01 inHg—
Mon 12 PM73°73°59°62%0%WNW5 mph9 mph38%0.01 inHg—
Mon 1 PM74°74°59°59%0%W6 mph9 mph36%0.01 inHg—
Mon 2 PM75°75°60°60%0%W6 mph9 mph34%0.01 inHg—
Mon 3 PM76°76°60°58%0%WNW6 mph9 mph38%0.01 inHg—
Mon 4 PM77°77°60°56%0%WNW6 mph9 mph41%0.01 inHg—
Mon 5 PM75°75°60°60%0%WNW5 mph7 mph45%0.01 inHg—
Mon 6 PM74°75°60°62%0%NW3 mph6 mph48%0.01 inHg—
Mon 7 PM72°73°61°68%0%NNW2 mph3 mph51%0.01 inHg—
Mon 8 PM70°72°61°73%0%NNW1 mph1 mph54%0.01 inHg—
Mon 9 PM68°70°61°78%0%NNW0 mph0 mph55%0.01 inHg—
Mon 10 PM67°69°61°81%0%NNW0 mph0 mph55%0.01 inHg—

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 9:40 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2670°59°Chance Light Rain32%0.02 inwind 15 mph · gusts 25 mph
  2. SunSep 2775°60°Mostly Sunny35%0.01 inwind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
  3. MonSep 2877°62°Mostly Sunny0%wind 6 mph
  4. TueSep 2980°62°Mostly Sunny1%wind 2 mph
  5. WedSep 3084°64°Sunny2%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  6. ThuOct 185°67°Mostly Sunny2%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  7. FriOct 285°67°Mostly Sunny13%wind 8 mph
  8. SatOct 381°66°Partly Sunny then Chance Rain Showers33%wind 8 mph
  9. SunOct 480°64°National Blend48%0.55 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. MonOct 578°59°National Blend44%0.93 inwind 12 mph
  11. TueOct 673°57°National Blend21%0.45 inwind 10 mph
  12. WedOct 7~69°58°Model mean0.41 in
  13. ThuOct 8~72°55°Model mean0.03 in
  14. FriOct 9~69°55°Model mean
  15. SatOct 10~70°53°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~62°42°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like59°
  • WindNW 12 mphgusts 18 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity78%
  • Dew point55°
  • Pressure0.01 inHg
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility7 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise6:47 PMMoonset 6:48 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 26—57°NWS grid 70° / 59°rain 51%wind 13 mph · gusts 23 mph
  2. SunSep 2775°58°NWS grid 75° / 60°rain 20%0.01 inwind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
  3. MonSep 2877°60°NWS grid 77° / 62°rain 4%wind 7 mph
  4. TueSep 2980°60°NWS grid 80° / 62°rain 1%wind 3 mph
  5. WedSep 3084°63°NWS grid 84° / 64°rain 1%wind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  6. ThuOct 186°66°NWS grid 85° / 67°rain 2%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. FriOct 285°66°NWS grid 85° / 67°rain 15%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. SatOct 381°65°NWS grid 81° / 66°rain 33%thunder 13%0.05 inwind 8 mph
  9. SunOct 480°64°Beyond the NWS gridrain 48%thunder 11%0.55 inwind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. MonOct 578°59°Beyond the NWS gridrain 44%0.93 inwind 12 mph
  11. TueOct 673°57°Beyond the NWS gridrain 21%0.45 inwind 10 mph
  12. WedOct 774°—Beyond the NWS gridrain 14%wind 8 mph
50°68°86°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 8:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

50°73°95°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2670° 59°0.02 in~63° 59°~67° 59°~67° 59°0.01 in68° 59°0.03 in~69° 62°0.09 in
Sun Sep 2775° 60°0.01 in72° 58°77° 57°0.04 in73° 58°0.01 in73° 58°0.07 in~73° 60°0.04 in
Mon Sep 2877° 62°76° 58°73° 61°75° 61°0.02 in75° 60°~76° 63°0.02 in
Tue Sep 2980° 62°—76° 65°80° 62°0.01 in77° 65°0.03 in~78° 66°0.03 in
Wed Sep 3084° 64°—85° 62°82° 63°82° 62°0.01 in~82° 65°
Thu Oct 185° 67°—88° 65°85° 65°83° 65°~85° 67°
Fri Oct 285° 67°—90° 68°87° 68°0.02 in~86° 70°~89° 68°
Sat Oct 381° 66°—83° 70°0.01 in78° 67°0.06 in~76° 67°0.50 in~73° 67°0.03 in
Sun Oct 4——74° 69°0.32 in76° 66°0.28 in~78° 64°0.29 in~74° 66°0.49 in
Mon Oct 5——81° 61°0.24 in77° 68°0.27 in~75° 70°0.78 in~75° 69°0.78 in
Tue Oct 6——70° 55°~68° 62°0.29 in~68° 58°~66° 64°0.33 in
Wed Oct 7——~71° 54°—~67° 54°~69° 65°1.22 in
Thu Oct 8——~77° 53°—~73° 50°~65° 62°0.08 in
Fri Oct 9——~63° 54°—~75° 56°~69° 57°
Sat Oct 10——~60° 50°—~76° 60°~74° 50°
Sun Oct 11——~62° 42°—~68° 67°0.23 in~56° 54°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Norfolk/Hampton Roads (PVG) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%warmer 40% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2676° / 58°97° (2004)32° (1946)no outlookno outlook
Oct 376° / 57°98° (1954)34° (1974)40% chance above normal · days 6 to 1040% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 1073° / 54°92° (2004)29° (1945)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1771° / 50°90° (1947)26° (1952)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2469° / 50°85° (2010)23° (1952)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 3165° / 44°85° (1950)25° (1954)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 764° / 42°83° (2020)21° (1976)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1460° / 39°83° (1993)21° (1951)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2159° / 39°81° (1973)18° (1951)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2860° / 39°81° (1973)17° (1946)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 552° / 34°79° (1998)12° (1954)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1255° / 37°78° (1971)5° (1958)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1954° / 35°79° (2013)7° (1983)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightFairCoastal Flood Warning in force

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowVery goodhot
  • HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowGoodwind
  • Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightPoorCoastal Flood Warning in force
  • StargazingtonightPoorCoastal Flood Warning in force

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hGoodCoastal Flood Warning in force
  • Drivingnext 24 hPoorCoastal Flood Warning in force

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
  • TickstomorrowHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor8:23 PM to 5:32 AM0 of 10None100%13 mph
SundayPoor8:21 PM to 5:32 AM0 of 10None98%6 mph
MondayPoor8:20 PM to 5:33 AM0 of 10None94%3 h1 mph
TuesdayFair8:18 PM to 5:34 AM4 of 10None88%Poor7 h2 mph
WednesdayPoor8:17 PM to 5:35 AM0 of 10None80%6 h5 mph
ThursdayPoor8:15 PM to 5:36 AM0 of 10None71%3 h6 mph
FridayPoor8:14 PM to 5:37 AM0 of 10None60%5 h5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:31 AM to 6:41 AM6:41 AM to 7:31 AM6:22 PM to 7:12 PM7:12 PM to 7:22 PM
Sun6:32 AM to 6:42 AM6:42 AM to 7:32 AM6:21 PM to 7:11 PM7:11 PM to 7:21 PM
Mon6:33 AM to 6:43 AM6:43 AM to 7:33 AM6:19 PM to 7:09 PM7:09 PM to 7:19 PM
Tue6:34 AM to 6:44 AM6:44 AM to 7:34 AM6:18 PM to 7:08 PM7:08 PM to 7:18 PM
Wed6:35 AM to 6:45 AM6:45 AM to 7:35 AM6:16 PM to 7:06 PM7:06 PM to 7:16 PM
Thu6:35 AM to 6:45 AM6:45 AM to 7:36 AM6:15 PM to 7:05 PM7:05 PM to 7:15 PM
Fri6:36 AM to 6:46 AM6:46 AM to 7:36 AM6:13 PM to 7:03 PM7:03 PM to 7:13 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:57 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 6:57 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:47 PM, 83° E
  • MS Moonset 6:48 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sun 7 AM to 9 AM, 2 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:27 AM to sunrise 6:57 AM, and sunset 6:57 PM to 7:27 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 11 PMCaution12172432%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMCaution10152235%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMCaution10152133%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, chance of rain, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMCaution9131920%7 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMCaution9131914%7 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMCaution9131914%7 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMCaution812176%7 mi400 ft60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMCaution913195%7 mi400 ft60°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMGood912185%7 mi60°nothing against it
Sun 8 AMGood912181%7 mi62°nothing against it
Sun 9 AMCaution1013191%7 mi64°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 10 AMCaution1215221%7 mi67°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 11 AMNo-fly1316241%7 mi69°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 12 PMNo-fly1316241%7 mi71°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 1 PMNo-fly1316251%7 mi72°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 2 PMNo-fly1420282%7 mi73°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 3 PMNo-fly1316252%7 mi74°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 4 PMNo-fly1217262%7 mi75°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 5 PMCaution1217241%7 mi73°gusts near or over your limit
Sun 6 PMCaution912191%7 mi400 ft72°gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sun 7 PMCaution710161%7 mi400 ft70°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 8 PMCaution614180%7 mi400 ft68°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 9 PMCaution518230%7 mi66°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMCaution518220%7 mi65°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sun 2 AM to 9 AM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 7 PM to Mon 5 AM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Mon 8 AM to 7 PM 11 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 1 PM to 11 PM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 10 AM to Fri 2 AM 16 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 10 AM to Sat 12 AM 14 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 10 AM to 4 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SundayDry2%0.01 in48%14 mph7 dGood
MondayDry0%0.00 in56%6 mph6 d
TuesdayDry1%0.00 in56%2 mph5 d
WednesdayDry2%0.00 in57%5 mph4 d
ThursdayDry1%0.00 in53%7 mph3 d
FridayDry6%0.00 in59%8 mph2 d
SaturdayDry26%0.00 in67%8 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:30 PM to 1:30 AM11:53 AM to 1:53 PM6:18 AM to 7:18 AM6:17 PM to 7:17 PM 100%6:57 AM, 6:57 PM
Sun Best12:16 AM to 2:16 AM12:39 PM to 2:39 PM7:25 AM to 8:25 AM6:44 PM to 7:44 PM 99%6:58 AM, 6:55 PM
Mon Good1:04 AM to 3:04 AM1:29 PM to 3:29 PM8:34 AM to 9:34 AM7:16 PM to 8:16 PM 95%6:59 AM, 6:54 PM
Tue Good1:56 AM to 3:56 AM2:23 PM to 4:23 PM9:47 AM to 10:47 AM7:52 PM to 8:52 PM 90%7:00 AM, 6:52 PM
Wed Poor2:52 AM to 4:52 AM3:21 PM to 5:21 PM11:00 AM to 12:00 PM8:37 PM to 9:37 PM 83%7:00 AM, 6:51 PM
Thu Fair3:52 AM to 5:52 AM4:23 PM to 6:23 PM12:12 PM to 1:12 PM9:32 PM to 10:32 PM 74%7:01 AM, 6:49 PM
Fri Fair4:54 AM to 6:54 AM5:26 PM to 7:26 PM1:17 PM to 2:17 PM10:36 PM to 11:36 PM 64%7:02 AM, 6:48 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight59° · 35% · NW 8–12 mph

    A chance of rain before 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Northwest wind 8 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.

  2. Sunday75° · 5% · W 9–14 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. West wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

  3. Sunday Night60° · 1% · W 3–9 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind 3 to 9 mph.

  4. Monday77° · W 6 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind around 6 mph.

  5. Monday Night62° · NW 0–3 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph.

  6. Tuesday80° · 1% · N 2 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.

  7. Tuesday Night62° · 1% · SE 2 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 62.

  8. Wednesday84° · 2% · SW 0–3 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 84.

  9. Wednesday Night64° · 2% · S 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 64.

  10. Thursday85° · 1% · SW 7 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

  11. Thursday Night67° · 2% · S 6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.

  12. Friday85° · 6% · SW 8 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

  13. Friday Night67° · 13% · SW 6 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 67.

  14. Saturday81° · 26% · SW 5–8 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Wakefield, VA · issued Sep 26, 9:34 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

Wind Advisories and Storm Warnings have ended. Gale Warnings remain in effect for the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters into this evening with Small Craft Advisories elsewhere. Tides have underperformed slightly. However, still expect widespread moderate with localized major coastal flooding with this evening's high tide. Otherwise, rainfall amounts have trended slightly lower through Sunday.

KEY Messages

1) Rain chances continue through tonight, especially NE. However, rain could make it to the I-95 Corridor and Hampton Roads this evening. Significant rainfall is not expected. Except for lingering light rain over the eastern shore on Sunday, dry weather is expected next week. Temperatures will warm above average with mid to upper 80s forecast by late week.

2) Widespread moderate to locally major tidal flooding (inundation of 2-3+ feet AGL in vulnerable areas) continues tonight into Sunday morning. Tides begin to subside Sunday at most spots, with some locations especially in the middle Bay seeing flooding persist through the weekend.

Discussion

As of 330 PM EDT Saturday...

KEY MESSAGE 1...Rain chances continue through tonight, especially NE. However, rain could make it to the I-95 Corridor and Hampton Roads this evening. Significant rainfall is not expected. Except for lingering light rain over the eastern shore on Sunday, dry weather is expected next week. Temperatures will warm above average with mid to upper 80s forecast by late week.

The impressive Nor'easter continues to strengthen offshore, and the center is well defined on visible satellite. Rather pleasant and conditions prevail along and west of I-95, with lower-mid 70s, partly to mostly sunny skies, and low humidity. Temps are in the 60s in the coast with gusty winds and cloudy skies. Rain has underperformed so far today, with only spotty light rain on the northern neck and eastern shore. The Wind Advisory has been dropped, but gusty winds to 35-40 mph are possible on the eastern shore through this evening (though the greatest impacts by far from here on out will be coastal flooding). A shortwave is progged to rotate around the back side of the low, tracking from NNW-SSE over eastern portions of the area this evening-tonight. This will allow steadier light to moderate rain to move back in from the north. The highest rain chances are from 5 PM-1 AM on the eastern shore and northern neck. However, the rain could make it as far south and west as the northern I-95 Corridor, RIC Metro, and Hampton Roads after sunset before rain chances drop off later tonight after the shortwave passes by. Additional rain amounts likely will be in the 0.25-0.75" range on the eastern shore, with 0.10" at best toward the I-95 Corridor.

With the low tracking to the NE on Sunday and low-level flow turning to the WNW (gusts to 30 mph possible during the day), expect partly cloudy skies/dry wx for most of the area with highs in the 70s. However, clouds and light rain will linger on the eastern shore with highs likely not making it out of the 60s. The low weakens and will be far enough away from the area on Monday for another day in the 70s...with 70F readings even possible on the eastern shore where at least some sun is expected.

High pressure moves over the area on Tuesday before pushing offshore on Wed as upper ridging builds over the E/SE CONUS. This will lead to a warming trend with mainly dry wx for the rest of the week. Above average temperatures in the mid to upper 80s are possible by Thu/Fri.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Widespread moderate to locally major tidal flooding (inundation of 2-3+ feet AGL in vulnerable areas) continues tonight into Sunday morning. Tides begin to subside Sunday at most spots, with some locations especially in the middle Bay seeing flooding persist through the weekend.

The Nor'easter continues to develop off the DELMARVA coast this afternoon. This has allowed N/NW winds to remain elevated, resulting in elevated tides. Tidal anomalies of 1-3 ft above normal astronomical tide continue with at least one more round of widespread moderate to locally major coastal flooding expected with this evening's high tide. Tidal anomalies decrease Sunday as winds become NW. However, widespread minor to moderate coastal flooding is still expected Sunday morning. Locally major coastal flooding is possible Sunday, mainly across the middle Ches Bay along the Eastern Shore as the NW winds push water towards the eastern side of the bay. Conditions finally begin to notably improve Sun evening into Mon as winds diminish. Nevertheless, additional rounds of nuisance to minor coastal flooding will continue to be possible through Mon. Coastal Flood Warnings remain in effect through this evening's high tide. However, additional extensions are likely, especially across the middle Ches Bay.

Aviation · 01Z Sunday Through Thursday

As of 930 PM EDT Saturday...

Mix of flying conditions across the region this evening. IFR is confined to MD with a band of MVFR extending to the SW across the Ches Bay, including PHF and ORF. Expect RIC and ECG to go MVFR over the next hour or so as mainly light rainfall spreads south prior to midnight. Expecting VSBYs to stay VFR or MVFR. Precip has ended for the moment at SBY but additional light rain is expected later tonight. MVFR CIGs largely hang on across the region overnight before improving on Sunday from SW to NE. SBY likely stays MVFR through the period, however. NW winds will remain elevated overnight and into Sunday, becoming gusty once again as mixing gets underway by mid morning.

Outlook: Flight conditions improve, even near the coast, late Sunday and especially next week.

Marine

As of 350 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

A deepening Nor'easter will lift north offshore of the Delmarva coast toward Long Island through the weekend. Gale Warnings remain in effect across the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters with SCAs in effect elsewhere.

Much improved marine conditions are expected next week.

Latest analysis reveals a ~992 mb Nor'easter centered off the Delmarva coast. Meanwhile, ~1027 mb high pressure was situated over the upper Great Lakes region, extending NE into SE QC. Dangerous boating conditions continue over the local waters, with the latest obs showing N/NNW winds 25-30 kt with gusts up to 35-40 kt across the Ches Bay and coastal waters with 15-20 kt winds with gusts up to 25-30 kt over the tidal rivers and Currituck Sound. The strongest winds are likely over the offshore coastal waters off the coast of MD where gusts up to 45 kt are possible. Meanwhile, seas were 8-13 ft nearshore and 12-15 ft offshore.

Gale Warnings remain in effect through midnight tonight for the Ches Bay and most of the coastal waters with Gale Warnings across the offshore waters from Fenwick Island DE to Chintoteague VA (20 to 60 NM) continuing through tonight.

Winds gradually diminish tonight as the low slowly weakens and meanders toward the NJ coast into Sunday/Sunday night. The system is then forecast to exit slowly to the NNE Monday into Monday night. Wind direction gradually shifts to the NW tonight. However, a secondary surge is expected Sun with winds increasing to 20-25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt (possibly higher across the northern waters). As such, once Gale Warnings end, they will likely need to be replaced with SCAs through Sun. Much lighter winds are expected by Mon as high pressure builds in. Calmer marine conditions then continue through at least mid-late week next week.

Additionally, given the nearshore waves of 8-12 ft, High Surf Advisories remain in effect through tonight. Localized beach and dune erosion remain possible along with a high risk of rip currents through Sun. The rip current risk improves to moderate by Mon.

AKQ Watches / Warnings / Advisories

MD...Coastal Flood Warning until 8 PM EDT Sunday for MDZ021>023. Coastal Flood Warning until noon EDT Sunday for MDZ024-025. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Sunday for MDZ025. NC...Coastal Flood Warning until noon EDT Sunday for NCZ102. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Sunday for NCZ102. VA...Coastal Flood Warning until noon EDT Sunday for VAZ083-084-099- 100-518-520-523. High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EDT Sunday for VAZ098>100. Coastal Flood Warning until 5 PM EDT Sunday for VAZ075>078-085- 086-089-090-521-522-524-528. Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM EDT Sunday for VAZ081-082. Coastal Flood Warning until 2 PM EDT Sunday for VAZ097-098-525- 529>531. MARINE...Gale Warning until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ630>632-634-650- 652-654-656-658-682-684-686-688. Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ633. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ635>637. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Monday for ANZ639. Gale Warning until 7 AM EDT Sunday for ANZ680.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 26, 10:43 PM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS41 KAKQ 270243
HWOAKQ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-079-080-087-088-092-
509>517-519-280245-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-
Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Greensville-Sussex-Southampton-Western Louisa-
Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Western King and Queen-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina, 
central Virginia, east central Virginia, north central Virginia, 
south central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

VAZ097-525-529>531-280245-
Chesapeake-Hampton/Poquoson-Suffolk-Norfolk-Portsmouth-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

VAZ098-280245-
Virginia Beach-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

NCZ102-VAZ099-100-280245-
Eastern Currituck-Accomack-Northampton-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina, 
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

MDZ021>023-280245-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

MDZ024-280245-
Inland Worcester-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

VAZ075-077-078-085-086-089-090-524-528-280245-
Westmoreland-Northumberland-Lancaster-Middlesex-Mathews-Surry-
James City-Newport News-Isle of Wight-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia, 
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

VAZ076-521-522-280245-
Richmond-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

VAZ083-084-518-520-523-280245-
New Kent-Gloucester-Eastern King William-Eastern King and Queen-York-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia, 
eastern Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

MDZ025-280245-
Maryland Beaches-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

VAZ081-082-280245-
Prince George (including Hopewell and Petersburg)-Charles City-
1043 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Virginia and 
south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 260.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 20.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 2–Oct 6
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 4–Oct 10
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 10

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Suffolk Lake Kilby

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 27 and the first fall freeze around November 15: a growing season of about 233 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 2; one spring in ten still has one after April 9.

Climate of 36.82, -76.47: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 31 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
HeatRisk max0 · Little1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max66°70°72°75°77°78°78°76°
Heat index max72°77°81°85°87°87°82°
Wind chill min-120°
Chance of thunder max7%7%0%1%2%2%6%9%
Cloud ceiling min1,200 ft1,200 ft
Visibility min7 mi7 mi7 mi
Pressure min0.01 inHg0.01 inHg0.01 inHg0.01 inHg
Mixing height max2,900 ft4,300 ft4,700 ft4,600 ft
Transport wind max31 mph20 mph13 mph7 mph
Twenty-foot wind max13 mph10 mph5 mph2 mph3 mph6 mph7 mph7 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max72756337
Low visibility risk max3456
Stability max4566

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Norfolk/Hampton Roads (PVG) · 2.7 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2670° / 59°78° / 62°94° (1986)40° (1950)
Sun Sep 2775° / 60°79° / 63°91° (1986)45° (1952)
Mon Sep 2877° / 62°79° / 62°91° (1945)41° (1952)
Tue Sep 2980° / 62°76° / 58°90° (1945)43° (1951)
Wed Sep 3084° / 64°75° / 57°97° (2004)40° (1951)
Thu Oct 185° / 67°75° / 56°91° (1952)39° (1947)
Fri Oct 285° / 67°76° / 56°93° (2019)32° (1946)
Sat Oct 381° / 66°78° / 57°93° (2019)36° (1946)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:31 AM6:57 AM6:57 PM7:22 PM12 h 0 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:32 AM6:58 AM6:55 PM7:21 PM11 h 57 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:33 AM6:59 AM6:54 PM7:19 PM11 h 55 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:34 AM7:00 AM6:52 PM7:18 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:35 AM7:00 AM6:51 PM7:16 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:35 AM7:01 AM6:49 PM7:15 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:36 AM7:02 AM6:48 PM7:13 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:37 AM7:03 AM6:46 PM7:12 PM11 h 43 min Last quarter · 54% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from