Current weather · Sep 29, 7:53 PM EDT
36.7300, -83.7740
72°
- High
- 78°
- Low
- 56°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 7:29 AM
- Sunset
- 7:21 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 7 PM | 72° | 72° | 57° | 59% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 8 PM | 66° | 66° | 58° | 75% | 0% | ESE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 9 PM | 63° | 63° | 58° | 84% | 0% | SSE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 10 PM | 61° | 61° | 58° | 90% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 11 PM | 60° | 60° | 57° | 90% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 12 AM | 59° | 59° | 57° | 93% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 1 AM | 58° | 58° | 57° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 2 AM | 57° | 57° | 56° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 3 AM | 57° | 57° | 56° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 4 AM | 57° | 57° | 56° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 5 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 27% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 6 AM | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 30% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 7 AM | Patchy fog | 56° | 56° | 55° | 96% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 43% | — | — | ||||
| Wed 8 AM | 57° | 57° | 56° | 96% | 0% | S | 2 mph | 6 mph | 42% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 9 AM | 60° | 60° | 56° | 87% | 0% | SSE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 40% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 10 AM | 65° | 65° | 56° | 73% | 0% | S | 2 mph | 7 mph | 42% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 11 AM | 72° | 72° | 56° | 57% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 12 PM | 76° | 76° | 55° | 48% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 9 mph | 9% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 1 PM | 78° | 78° | 54° | 43% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 10 mph | 23% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 2 PM | 80° | 80° | 53° | 39% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 10 mph | 17% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 3 PM | 81° | 80° | 52° | 37% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 10 mph | 17% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 4 PM | 82° | 81° | 52° | 35% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 10 mph | 17% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 5 PM | 81° | 80° | 52° | 37% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 9 mph | 24% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 6 PM | 79° | 79° | 52° | 39% | 0% | S | 5 mph | 8 mph | 21% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 7 PM | 74° | 74° | 54° | 50% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 6 mph | 13% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 8 PM | 69° | 69° | 57° | 66% | 0% | S | 2 mph | 6 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 9 PM | 67° | 67° | 57° | 70% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 9% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 10 PM | 65° | 65° | 57° | 75% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 6% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 11 PM | 64° | 64° | 56° | 75% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 12 AM | 63° | 63° | 56° | 78% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 8% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 1 AM | 63° | 63° | 56° | 78% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 25% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 2 AM | 63° | 63° | 56° | 78% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 32% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 3 AM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 84% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 31% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 4 AM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 84% | 0% | SSE | 2 mph | 8 mph | 33% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 5 AM | 61° | 61° | 57° | 87% | 0% | SSE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 44% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 6 AM | 61° | 61° | 57° | 87% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 8 mph | 34% | — | — | |||||
| Thu 7 AM | 61° | 61° | 57° | 87% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 8 mph | 28% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 8 AM | 61° | 61° | 57° | 87% | 0% | SSE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 30% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 9 AM | 65° | 65° | 58° | 78% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 10 mph | 2% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 10 AM | 69° | 69° | 58° | 68% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 10 mph | 8% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 11 AM | 75° | 75° | 57° | 54% | 0% | S | 5 mph | 10 mph | 14% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 12 PM | 77° | 77° | 57° | 50% | 0% | S | 5 mph | 10 mph | 17% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 1 PM | 80° | 80° | 57° | 45% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 12 mph | 19% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 2 PM | 83° | 82° | 57° | 41% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 12 mph | 22% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 3 PM | 83° | 82° | 57° | 41% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 12 mph | 22% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 4 PM | 83° | 82° | 57° | 41% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 12 mph | 23% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 5 PM | 84° | 84° | 58° | 41% | 0% | SSW | 5 mph | 10 mph | 23% | — | — | -100 ft | ||||
| Thu 6 PM | 81° | 81° | 58° | 46% | 0% | S | 3 mph | 9 mph | 22% | — | — | -100 ft |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 29, 7:06 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 2978°56°Mostly Clearwind 2 mph
- WedSep 3082°61°Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunnywind 6 mph
- ThuOct 184°65°Sunnywind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- FriOct 284°64°Mostly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SatOct 373°62°Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
- SunOct 472°56°Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
- MonOct 570°47°Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- TueOct 671°50°Sunnywind 5 mph · gusts 13 mph
- WedOct 773°53°National Blendwind 2 mph
- ThuOct 874°53°National Blendwind 2 mph
- FriOct 973°51°National Blendwind 3 mph
- SatOct 10~71°52°Model mean
- SunOct 11~65°52°Model mean
- MonOct 12~67°49°Model mean
- TueOct 13~70°46°Model mean
- WedOct 14~74°49°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like72°
- WindCalmgusts 5 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity59%
- Dew point57°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility—
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
- Moonrise8:53 PMMoonset 10:47 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 29, 2:00 PM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 29—56°NWS grid 78° / 56°wind 1 mph
- WedSep 3082°60°NWS grid 82° / 61°wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- ThuOct 184°65°NWS grid 84° / 65°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- FriOct 284°65°NWS grid 84° / 64°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SatOct 375°63°NWS grid 73° / 62°wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
- SunOct 472°56°NWS grid 72° / 56°wind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
- MonOct 570°48°NWS grid 70° / 47°wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- TueOct 671°50°NWS grid 71° / 50°wind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
- WedOct 773°53°Beyond the NWS gridwind 2 mph
- ThuOct 874°53°Beyond the NWS gridwind 2 mph
- FriOct 973°51°Beyond the NWS gridwind 3 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 29, 2:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 29, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 29 | 78° 56° | 78° 63° | ~78° 58° | 80° 52° | 77° 49° | ~78° 51° |
| Wed Sep 30 | 82° 61° | 84° 57° | 80° 55° | 80° 55° | 80° 58° | ~81° 55° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 84° 65° | 85° 62° | 82° 58° | 82° 58° | 83° 61° | ~83° 60° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 84° 64°0.23 in | — | 85° 63°0.14 in | 80° 62°0.17 in | 82° 68°0.17 in | ~81° 67°0.30 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 73° 62°0.90 in | — | 67° 61°0.07 in | 69° 61°0.28 in | 67° 60°0.33 in | ~68° 65°0.27 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 72° 56°1.41 in | — | 66° 60°0.19 in | 66° 61°0.92 in | 68° 61°1.02 in | ~73° 62°0.13 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 70° 47°0.13 in | — | 69° 49° | 67° 53°0.26 in | ~69° 54° | ~72° 55° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 71° 50° | — | 68° 40° | 68° 46° | ~67° 45° | ~71° 45° |
| Wed Oct 7 | — | — | 73° 45° | 68° 49°0.05 in | ~70° 45° | ~75° 50° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | 73° 47° | 69° 50°0.12 in | ~73° 50° | ~76° 52° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 69° 48° | ~52° 49° | ~76° 52° | ~80° 55° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~60° 44° | — | ~76° 56° | ~76° 57°0.26 in |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~52° 47°0.12 in | — | ~76° 55° | ~67° 55°0.26 in |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~68° 44° | — | ~78° 55° | ~55° 47° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~70° 45° | — | ~78° 58°0.11 in | ~60° 36° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~74° 49° | — | ~50° 46° | ~46° 45° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Middlesboro-Bell (1A6) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | 74° / 46° | 91° (2019) | 22° (1974) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 6 | 73° / 46° | 90° (2007) | 24° (2000) | near normal most likely · days 6 to 10 | near normal most likely · days 6 to 10 |
| Oct 13 | 71° / 41° | 84° (1969) | 20° (1988) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 20 | 68° / 37° | 85° (2016) | 20° (1974) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 27 | 65° / 36° | 83° (1991) | 18° (1976) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 3 | 61° / 35° | 82° (2003) | 13° (1991) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 10 | 57° / 32° | 78° (2005) | 10° (2019) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 17 | 58° / 30° | 78° (1985) | 10° (2014) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 24 | 54° / 28° | 76° (1990) | 6° (1970) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 1 | 52° / 29° | 78° (1982) | 3° (1977) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 8 | 49° / 27° | 73° (1966) | 4° (1977) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 15 | 49° / 26° | 73° (1984) | -2° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 22 | 46° / 24° | 76° (1982) | -8° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | equal chances · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtomorrowLowmild
- FlutomorrowLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
- SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtomorrowGoodhot
- HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtomorrowGoodfog
- Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightGoodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hGoodfog
- Drivingnext 24 hGoodfog
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
- TickstomorrowHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststomorrowModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday | Fair | 8:47 PM to 6:04 AM | 8 of 9 | None | 87% | Poor | 8 h | 2 mph |
| Wednesday | Fair | 8:46 PM to 6:04 AM | 4 of 9 | 1 h from 9:00 PM | 80% | Fair | 3 mph | |
| Thursday | Poor | 8:44 PM to 6:05 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 70% | 1 h | 3 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:43 PM to 6:06 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 60% | 8 h | 1 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:41 PM to 6:07 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 9 h | 2 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:40 PM to 6:08 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 9 h | 2 mph | |
| Monday | Good | 8:38 PM to 6:09 AM | 9 of 9 | 6 h from 9:00 PM | 29% | Poor | 8 h | 5 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 7:03 AM to 7:13 AM | 7:13 AM to 8:03 AM | 6:47 PM to 7:37 PM | 7:37 PM to 7:47 PM |
| Wed | 7:04 AM to 7:14 AM | 7:14 AM to 8:04 AM | 6:46 PM to 7:36 PM | 7:36 PM to 7:46 PM |
| Thu | 7:05 AM to 7:15 AM | 7:15 AM to 8:05 AM | 6:44 PM to 7:34 PM | 7:34 PM to 7:44 PM |
| Fri | 7:05 AM to 7:15 AM | 7:15 AM to 8:06 AM | 6:43 PM to 7:33 PM | 7:33 PM to 7:43 PM |
| Sat | 7:06 AM to 7:16 AM | 7:16 AM to 8:07 AM | 6:41 PM to 7:31 PM | 7:31 PM to 7:41 PM |
| Sun | 7:07 AM to 7:17 AM | 7:17 AM to 8:07 AM | 6:40 PM to 7:30 PM | 7:30 PM to 7:40 PM |
| Mon | 7:08 AM to 7:18 AM | 7:18 AM to 8:08 AM | 6:38 PM to 7:28 PM | 7:28 PM to 7:38 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:29 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 7:21 PM, 267° W
- MR Moonrise 8:53 PM, 61° ENE
- MS Moonset 10:47 AM, 296° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 90% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:59 AM to sunrise 7:29 AM, and sunset 7:21 PM to 7:51 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 7 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 72° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Tue 8 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Tue 9 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Tue 10 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Tue 11 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 12 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 59° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 1 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 58° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 2 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 3 AM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 6 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 7 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 14 | 0% | 56° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |||
| Wed 8 AM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0% | 57° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 9 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | 60° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 10 AM | Good | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0% | 65° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 11 AM | Good | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0% | 72° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 12 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0% | 76° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 1 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 11 | 0% | 78° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 2 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 11 | 0% | 80° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 3 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 11 | 0% | 81° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 4 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 12 | 0% | 82° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 5 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 11 | 0% | 81° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 6 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 9 | 0% | 79° | nothing against it |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Wed 11 AM to 4 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 5 PM to 8 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 9 AM to 8 PM 11 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Mon 12 PM to 9 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 1 PM to 5 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
| Tue | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 35% | 6 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 41% | 6 mph | 1 d | Good |
| Friday | Showers possible | 56% | 0.23 in | 55% | 7 mph | ||
| Saturday | Wet | 74% | 0.90 in | 79% | 3 mph | ||
| Sunday | Wet | 64% | 1.41 in | 79% | 3 mph | ||
| Monday | Showers possible | 15% | 0.13 in | 53% | 7 mph | ||
| Tuesday | Dry | 3% | 0.00 in | 47% | 3 mph | 1 d |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | Fair | 2:26 AM to 4:26 AM2:53 PM to 4:53 PM | 10:17 AM to 11:17 AM8:23 PM to 9:23 PM | 90% | 7:29 AM, 7:21 PM |
| Wed | Poor | 3:22 AM to 5:22 AM3:52 PM to 5:52 PM | 11:31 AM to 12:31 PM9:08 PM to 10:08 PM | 83% | 7:30 AM, 7:20 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 4:22 AM to 6:22 AM4:53 PM to 6:53 PM | 12:42 PM to 1:42 PM10:03 PM to 11:03 PM | 74% | 7:30 AM, 7:18 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 5:25 AM to 7:25 AM5:56 PM to 7:56 PM | 1:47 PM to 2:47 PM11:07 PM to 12:07 AM | 64% | 7:31 AM, 7:17 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 6:27 AM to 8:27 AM6:58 PM to 8:58 PM | 2:42 PM to 3:42 PM | 54% | 7:32 AM, 7:15 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 7:27 AM to 9:27 AM7:56 PM to 9:56 PM | 12:17 AM to 1:17 AM3:28 PM to 4:28 PM | 43% | 7:33 AM, 7:14 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 8:23 AM to 10:23 AM8:49 PM to 10:49 PM | 1:30 AM to 2:30 AM4:06 PM to 5:06 PM | 33% | 7:34 AM, 7:12 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedTonight56° · SE 2 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Wednesday82° · S 2–6 mph
Patchy fog between 7am and 8am. Mostly sunny. High near 82, with temperatures falling to around 81 in the afternoon. South wind 2 to 6 mph.
Wednesday Night61° · SSE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday84° · S 6 mph
Sunny, with a high near 84. South wind around 6 mph.
Thursday Night65° · 1% · S 3 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind around 3 mph.
Friday84° · 56% · SSW 3–7 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night64° · 72% · N 3 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday73° · 74% · NNE 0–3 mph
Rain showers likely before 8am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night62° · 74% · NE 3 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday72° · 74% · NNE 3 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night56° · 44% · N 3 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday70° · 15% · NNE 2–7 mph
A slight chance of rain showers before 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Monday Night47° · 4% · NNE 2–6 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Tuesday71° · 3% · NE 3 mph
Sunny, with a high near 71.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Jackson, KY · issued Sep 29, 7:08 PM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
Temperatures warm through Thursday, while humidity gradually increases through Friday and lingers this weekend.
A slow moving boundary will likely bring showers and stray thunderstorms from Friday afternoon into the weekend until a secondary boundary passes to end the weekend.
Short Term
410 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026
(This evening through Wednesday night)
As of mid to late afternoon, the axis of an upper level ridge extended from Mexico and the western Gulf across parts of the Southern Plains/Arklatex to the mid MS Valley to Great Lakes to Ontario and Quebec while an upper low and associated trough extended from parts of Canada in the New Brunswick and Nova Scotia area to the and the Northeast to Mid Atlantic coast. Further west and northwest, a broad upper trough was moving across western Canada to the Northern Rockies and an upper low was working across the Southwest Conus. At the sfc, a ridge of high pressure extended from the eastern Great Lakes to Appalachians. Skies have been sunny today, and mixing has allowed for afternoon dewpoints mainly in the upper 40s to mid 50s range. Temperatures moderated a bit from previous days into the mid 70s to around 80 degree range.
Tonight through Wednesday, guidance builds the upper ridge into the Southeast Conus downstream of a broad upper trough from Central Canada into the Northern Plains/High Plains and the upper level low moving from the southwest Conus to NM. A general trend of rising heights is anticipated across eastern KY. Also, a shortwave trough in advance of the troughing to the west will trek across the Great Lakes and parts of Ontario and Quebec. At the same time, sfc high pressure is expected to remain from the Appalachians to the eastern seaboard. On Wednesday night, the axis of the ridge will shift to the east/southeast of eastern KY while troughing moves into the Central Conus with the upper low reaching the Southern Plains. Meanwhile, the sfc ridge remains from the Southern to Central Appalachians to the coast of the Carolinas. The pressure gradient will begin to increase late in the period the frontal zone in advance of the troughing entering the Central Conus.
The pattern will favor a continued warming trend and ridge/valley temperature splits the next couple of nights, though the split is likely to be a bit larger in magnitude for Wednesday night and bit more confined to eastern and southeastern sections given the increasing pressure gradient and some southerly breezes on ridges. In the east and southeast, hollows and deeper valleys should more readily decouple and remain decoupled. Fog should also be common in the river valleys and along the larger creeks and lakes as has been the case the past few nights. Tonight, there may be some sections of patchy dense fog especially in the KY and Big Sandy basins. Fog could be more limited in the western sections for Wednesday night, with higher confidence for the east and southeastern valleys.
Long Term
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026
(Thursday through Tuesday)
The extended period opens Thursday morning with a ~1020 mb surface high over the Southeast beneath a building upper-level ridge. Further upstream, an upper-level closed low (with central 500 mb heights around 570-576 dam) embedded within a broader southern-stream trough will be centered over the Southern Rockies and Southwest. Recent LREF runs have trended noticeably more amplified with this pattern, deepening the southwestern low while strengthening the ridge over the Eastern US. This enhanced downstream ridge and strong southerly warm- air advection (WAA) across the Ohio Valley account for the warming pre-frontal temperatures in recent guidance, supporting highs across Eastern Kentucky in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday and low to mid 80s on Friday.
An initial cold front will sink eastward toward the Commonwealth on Friday, drawing rich Gulf moisture up the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and bringing an increasing coverage of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms. As the southern-stream upper trough opens up and the surface boundary stalls near the Ohio River/Appalachians, shower and thunderstorm chances will linger across Eastern Kentucky through Saturday. Temperatures will cool into the upper 60s to mid 70s on Saturday under persistent cloud cover and intermittent rain.
A secondary northern-stream trough will dig into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Sunday morning, pushing a reinforcing cold front through the region and steadily lowering rain chances from northwest to southeast through Sunday afternoon and evening (highs in the lower 70s). However, as the main trough axis slowly sweeps across the Appalachians, isolated shower chances could remain along the KY-TN and KY-VA borders through Monday morning. Drier continental high pressure takes full control by Monday afternoon, shutting off any remaining precipitation. While daytime temperatures remain pleasant in the upper 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday, clear skies and light winds Monday night will allow cooler lows in the 40s to return to the area.
Aviation
708 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026
(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Upper level ridging extending from the western Gulf into the Appalachians and sfc high pressure centered east of the Commonwealth will lead to mainly VFR conditions and light winds through the period. The caveat will be valley fog between about 04Z and 14Z that may bring MVFR to localized IFR to VLIFR conditions, though this is not expected to impact any TAF sites. Winds will favor a south to southwesterly direction at 5 to 8 kts after 15z Wednesday.
JKL Watches / Warnings / Advisories
None.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 29, 3:34 PM EDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS43 KJKL 291934 HWOJKL Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Jackson KY 334 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-301945- Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle- Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan- Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott- Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike- 334 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky. .DAY ONE...Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. There is a small chance for thunderstorms Friday through Saturday, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours each day. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ JP
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
- Day 2 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 3 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Thu Oct 10.25 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 32.00 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 50.10 in
Flash flood risk
- Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
- Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal
- Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
- Day 4 · Fri Oct 2Below marginal
- Day 5 · Sat Oct 3Marginal
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
- Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
- Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13
- Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13
Hazards, 3 to 14 days
- Oct 3–Oct 6Heavy Rain
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, BarbourvilleThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 24: a growing season of about 187 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 11; one spring in ten still has one after May 6.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 27 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 73° | 74° | 77° | 78° | 70° | 69° | 66° | 66° |
| Heat index max | 78° | 81° | 84° | 85° | 72° | 71° | 70° | 71° |
| Wind chill min | 47° | |||||||
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 0% | 26% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 3% |
| Cloud ceiling min | -100 ft | -100 ft | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 4,400 ft | 4,100 ft | 3,900 ft | 3,300 ft | 3,500 ft | 1,800 ft | ||
| Transport wind max | 3 mph | 9 mph | 17 mph | 15 mph | 8 mph | 7 mph | ||
| Twenty-foot wind max | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5 mph | 6 mph | 3 mph | 3 mph | ||
| Atmospheric dispersion index max | 12 | 45 | 59 | |||||
| Low visibility risk max | 4 | 6 | 5 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Middlesboro-Bell (1A6) · 8.5 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Sep 29 | 78° / 56° | 76° / 49° | 89° (1998) | 34° (1969) |
| Wed Sep 30 | 82° / 61° | 73° / 47° | 90° (2019) | 30° (1967) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 84° / 65° | 74° / 46° | 87° (1998) | 31° (1974) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 84° / 64° | 74° / 46° | 90° (2019) | 30° (1974) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 73° / 62° | 75° / 47° | 91° (2019) | 22° (1974) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 72° / 56° | 75° / 47° | 91° (2019) | 22° (1974) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 70° / 47° | 75° / 48° | 85° (1986) | 23° (1974) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 71° / 50° | 76° / 47° | 88° (1998) | 29° (1980) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 7:03 AM | 7:29 AM | 7:21 PM | 7:47 PM | 11 h 52 min | Waning gibbous · 90% lit |
| Wed | 7:04 AM | 7:30 AM | 7:20 PM | 7:46 PM | 11 h 50 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 7:05 AM | 7:30 AM | 7:18 PM | 7:44 PM | 11 h 48 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 7:05 AM | 7:31 AM | 7:17 PM | 7:43 PM | 11 h 46 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 7:06 AM | 7:32 AM | 7:15 PM | 7:41 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 7:07 AM | 7:33 AM | 7:14 PM | 7:40 PM | 11 h 41 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 7:08 AM | 7:34 AM | 7:12 PM | 7:38 PM | 11 h 38 min | Waning crescent · 33% lit |
| Tue | 7:09 AM | 7:35 AM | 7:11 PM | 7:37 PM | 11 h 36 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from