Current weather · Sep 29, 7:53 PM EDT

36.7300, -83.7740

72°

ClearFeels like 72° · Humidity 59%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Jackson, KY · grid 49,11
High
78°
Low
56°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
7:29 AM
Sunset
7:21 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Tue 7 PM72°72°57°59%0%SE1 mph5 mph1%——
Tue 8 PM66°66°58°75%0%ESE1 mph5 mph2%——
Tue 9 PM63°63°58°84%0%SSE1 mph3 mph1%——
Tue 10 PM61°61°58°90%0%SE1 mph3 mph1%——
Tue 11 PM60°60°57°90%0%SE1 mph5 mph1%——
Wed 12 AM59°59°57°93%0%SE1 mph5 mph4%——
Wed 1 AM58°58°57°96%0%SSE1 mph5 mph5%——
Wed 2 AM57°57°56°96%0%SSE1 mph5 mph5%——
Wed 3 AM57°57°56°96%0%SSE1 mph5 mph7%——
Wed 4 AM57°57°56°96%0%SSE2 mph5 mph11%——
Wed 5 AM56°56°55°96%0%SSE2 mph5 mph27%——
Wed 6 AM56°56°55°96%0%SSE2 mph6 mph30%——
Wed 7 AMPatchy fog56°56°55°96%0%SSE2 mph7 mph43%——
Wed 8 AM57°57°56°96%0%S2 mph6 mph42%——
Wed 9 AM60°60°56°87%0%SSE3 mph7 mph40%——
Wed 10 AM65°65°56°73%0%S2 mph7 mph42%——
Wed 11 AM72°72°56°57%0%SSW5 mph9 mph11%——
Wed 12 PM76°76°55°48%0%SSW6 mph9 mph9%——
Wed 1 PM78°78°54°43%0%SSW6 mph10 mph23%——
Wed 2 PM80°80°53°39%0%SSW6 mph10 mph17%——
Wed 3 PM81°80°52°37%0%SSW6 mph10 mph17%——
Wed 4 PM82°81°52°35%0%SSW6 mph10 mph17%——
Wed 5 PM81°80°52°37%0%SSW5 mph9 mph24%——
Wed 6 PM79°79°52°39%0%S5 mph8 mph21%——
Wed 7 PM74°74°54°50%0%S3 mph6 mph13%——
Wed 8 PM69°69°57°66%0%S2 mph6 mph10%——
Wed 9 PM67°67°57°70%0%SSE2 mph6 mph9%——
Wed 10 PM65°65°57°75%0%SSE2 mph6 mph6%——
Wed 11 PM64°64°56°75%0%SSE2 mph7 mph7%——
Thu 12 AM63°63°56°78%0%SSE2 mph6 mph8%——
Thu 1 AM63°63°56°78%0%SSE2 mph7 mph25%——
Thu 2 AM63°63°56°78%0%SSE2 mph7 mph32%——
Thu 3 AM62°62°57°84%0%SSE2 mph7 mph31%——
Thu 4 AM62°62°57°84%0%SSE2 mph8 mph33%——
Thu 5 AM61°61°57°87%0%SSE3 mph8 mph44%——
Thu 6 AM61°61°57°87%0%S3 mph8 mph34%——
Thu 7 AM61°61°57°87%0%S3 mph8 mph28%——-100 ft
Thu 8 AM61°61°57°87%0%SSE3 mph9 mph30%——-100 ft
Thu 9 AM65°65°58°78%0%S3 mph10 mph2%——-100 ft
Thu 10 AM69°69°58°68%0%S3 mph10 mph8%——-100 ft
Thu 11 AM75°75°57°54%0%S5 mph10 mph14%——-100 ft
Thu 12 PM77°77°57°50%0%S5 mph10 mph17%——-100 ft
Thu 1 PM80°80°57°45%0%SSW6 mph12 mph19%——-100 ft
Thu 2 PM83°82°57°41%0%SSW6 mph12 mph22%——-100 ft
Thu 3 PM83°82°57°41%0%SSW6 mph12 mph22%——-100 ft
Thu 4 PM83°82°57°41%0%SSW6 mph12 mph23%——-100 ft
Thu 5 PM84°84°58°41%0%SSW5 mph10 mph23%——-100 ft
Thu 6 PM81°81°58°46%0%S3 mph9 mph22%——-100 ft

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 29, 7:06 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2978°56°Mostly Clear0%wind 2 mph
  2. WedSep 3082°61°Patchy Fog then Mostly Sunny0%wind 6 mph
  3. ThuOct 184°65°Sunny0%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  4. FriOct 284°64°Mostly Sunny then Showers And Thunderstorms Likely72%0.23 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. SatOct 373°62°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely74%0.90 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  6. SunOct 472°56°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely74%1.41 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  7. MonOct 570°47°Slight Chance Rain Showers27%0.13 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. TueOct 671°50°Sunny5%wind 5 mph · gusts 13 mph
  9. WedOct 773°53°National Blend12%wind 2 mph
  10. ThuOct 874°53°National Blend13%wind 2 mph
  11. FriOct 973°51°National Blend6%0.06 inwind 3 mph
  12. SatOct 10~71°52°Model mean0.09 in
  13. SunOct 11~65°52°Model mean0.13 in
  14. MonOct 12~67°49°Model mean
  15. TueOct 13~70°46°Model mean0.04 in
  16. WedOct 14~74°49°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like72°
  • WindCalmgusts 5 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity59%
  • Dew point57°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise8:53 PMMoonset 10:47 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 29, 2:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 29—56°NWS grid 78° / 56°rain 0%wind 1 mph
  2. WedSep 3082°60°NWS grid 82° / 61°rain 0%wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  3. ThuOct 184°65°NWS grid 84° / 65°rain 1%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  4. FriOct 284°65°NWS grid 84° / 64°rain 72%thunder 23%0.26 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  5. SatOct 375°63°NWS grid 73° / 62°rain 74%thunder 17%0.94 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  6. SunOct 472°56°NWS grid 72° / 56°rain 68%thunder 11%1.42 inwind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
  7. MonOct 570°48°NWS grid 70° / 47°rain 17%0.07 inwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. TueOct 671°50°NWS grid 71° / 50°rain 6%wind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
  9. WedOct 773°53°Beyond the NWS gridrain 12%wind 2 mph
  10. ThuOct 874°53°Beyond the NWS gridrain 13%wind 2 mph
  11. FriOct 973°51°Beyond the NWS gridrain 6%0.06 inwind 3 mph
41°64°86°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 29, 2:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 29, 2:00 PM EDT · GEFS Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

32°59°86°WedThuFriSatSunMonTue

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2978° 56°78° 63°~78° 58°80° 52°77° 49°~78° 51°
Wed Sep 3082° 61°84° 57°80° 55°80° 55°80° 58°~81° 55°
Thu Oct 184° 65°85° 62°82° 58°82° 58°83° 61°~83° 60°
Fri Oct 284° 64°0.23 in—85° 63°0.14 in80° 62°0.17 in82° 68°0.17 in~81° 67°0.30 in
Sat Oct 373° 62°0.90 in—67° 61°0.07 in69° 61°0.28 in67° 60°0.33 in~68° 65°0.27 in
Sun Oct 472° 56°1.41 in—66° 60°0.19 in66° 61°0.92 in68° 61°1.02 in~73° 62°0.13 in
Mon Oct 570° 47°0.13 in—69° 49°67° 53°0.26 in~69° 54°~72° 55°
Tue Oct 671° 50°—68° 40°68° 46°~67° 45°~71° 45°
Wed Oct 7——73° 45°68° 49°0.05 in~70° 45°~75° 50°
Thu Oct 8——73° 47°69° 50°0.12 in~73° 50°~76° 52°
Fri Oct 9——69° 48°~52° 49°~76° 52°~80° 55°
Sat Oct 10——~60° 44°—~76° 56°~76° 57°0.26 in
Sun Oct 11——~52° 47°0.12 in—~76° 55°~67° 55°0.26 in
Mon Oct 12——~68° 44°—~78° 55°~55° 47°
Tue Oct 13——~70° 45°—~78° 58°0.11 in~60° 36°
Wed Oct 14——~74° 49°—~50° 46°~46° 45°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Middlesboro-Bell (1A6) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean40%warmer 40% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec0°20°40°60°80°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2974° / 46°91° (2019)22° (1974)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 673° / 46°90° (2007)24° (2000)near normal most likely · days 6 to 10near normal most likely · days 6 to 10
Oct 1371° / 41°84° (1969)20° (1988)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2068° / 37°85° (2016)20° (1974)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2765° / 36°83° (1991)18° (1976)40% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 361° / 35°82° (2003)13° (1991)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1057° / 32°78° (2005)10° (2019)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 1758° / 30°78° (1985)10° (2014)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Nov 2454° / 28°76° (1990)6° (1970)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 152° / 29°78° (1982)3° (1977)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 849° / 27°73° (1966)4° (1977)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 1549° / 26°73° (1984)-2° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec
Dec 2246° / 24°76° (1982)-8° (1989)33% chance above normal · Oct to Decequal chances · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowGoodhot
  • HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowGoodfog
  • Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hGoodfog
  • Drivingnext 24 hGoodfog

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
  • TickstomorrowHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
TuesdayFair8:47 PM to 6:04 AM8 of 9None87%Poor8 h2 mph
WednesdayFair8:46 PM to 6:04 AM4 of 91 h from 9:00 PM80%Fair3 mph
ThursdayPoor8:44 PM to 6:05 AM0 of 9None70%1 h3 mph
FridayPoor8:43 PM to 6:06 AM0 of 9None60%8 h1 mph
SaturdayPoor8:41 PM to 6:07 AM0 of 9None50%9 h2 mph
SundayPoor8:40 PM to 6:08 AM0 of 9None39%9 h2 mph
MondayGood8:38 PM to 6:09 AM9 of 96 h from 9:00 PM29%Poor8 h5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Tue7:03 AM to 7:13 AM7:13 AM to 8:03 AM6:47 PM to 7:37 PM7:37 PM to 7:47 PM
Wed7:04 AM to 7:14 AM7:14 AM to 8:04 AM6:46 PM to 7:36 PM7:36 PM to 7:46 PM
Thu7:05 AM to 7:15 AM7:15 AM to 8:05 AM6:44 PM to 7:34 PM7:34 PM to 7:44 PM
Fri7:05 AM to 7:15 AM7:15 AM to 8:06 AM6:43 PM to 7:33 PM7:33 PM to 7:43 PM
Sat7:06 AM to 7:16 AM7:16 AM to 8:07 AM6:41 PM to 7:31 PM7:31 PM to 7:41 PM
Sun7:07 AM to 7:17 AM7:17 AM to 8:07 AM6:40 PM to 7:30 PM7:30 PM to 7:40 PM
Mon7:08 AM to 7:18 AM7:18 AM to 8:08 AM6:38 PM to 7:28 PM7:28 PM to 7:38 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 7:29 AM, 93° E
  • SS Sunset 7:21 PM, 267° W
  • MR Moonrise 8:53 PM, 61° ENE
  • MS Moonset 10:47 AM, 296° WNW
  • Waning gibbous, 90% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Wed 8 AM to 7 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:59 AM to sunrise 7:29 AM, and sunset 7:21 PM to 7:51 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Tue
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Tue 7 PMCaution1580%72°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 8 PMCaution1580%66°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 9 PMCaution1570%63°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 10 PMCaution1570%61°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Tue 11 PMCaution1580%60°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 12 AMCaution1580%59°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 1 AMCaution1580%58°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 2 AMCaution1580%57°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 3 AMCaution1580%57°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 4 AMCaution29110%57°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 5 AMCaution29110%56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 6 AMCaution29130%56°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Wed 7 AMCaution29140%56°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Wed 8 AMGood2360%57°nothing against it
Wed 9 AMGood3480%60°nothing against it
Wed 10 AMGood2370%65°nothing against it
Wed 11 AMGood55100%72°nothing against it
Wed 12 PMGood67100%76°nothing against it
Wed 1 PMGood67110%78°nothing against it
Wed 2 PMGood67110%80°nothing against it
Wed 3 PMGood67110%81°nothing against it
Wed 4 PMGood67120%82°nothing against it
Wed 5 PMGood56110%81°nothing against it
Wed 6 PMGood5690%79°nothing against it

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 11 AM to 4 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 5 PM to 8 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Thu 9 AM to 8 PM 11 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 12 PM to 9 PM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 1 PM to 5 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
Tue
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Thu12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in35%6 mph2 dGood
ThursdayDry0%0.00 in41%6 mph1 dGood
FridayShowers possible56%0.23 in55%7 mph
SaturdayWet74%0.90 in79%3 mph
SundayWet64%1.41 in79%3 mph
MondayShowers possible15%0.13 in53%7 mph
TuesdayDry3%0.00 in47%3 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Tue Fair2:26 AM to 4:26 AM2:53 PM to 4:53 PM10:17 AM to 11:17 AM8:23 PM to 9:23 PM 90%7:29 AM, 7:21 PM
Wed Poor3:22 AM to 5:22 AM3:52 PM to 5:52 PM11:31 AM to 12:31 PM9:08 PM to 10:08 PM 83%7:30 AM, 7:20 PM
Thu Fair4:22 AM to 6:22 AM4:53 PM to 6:53 PM12:42 PM to 1:42 PM10:03 PM to 11:03 PM 74%7:30 AM, 7:18 PM
Fri Fair5:25 AM to 7:25 AM5:56 PM to 7:56 PM1:47 PM to 2:47 PM11:07 PM to 12:07 AM 64%7:31 AM, 7:17 PM
Sat Fair6:27 AM to 8:27 AM6:58 PM to 8:58 PM2:42 PM to 3:42 PM 54%7:32 AM, 7:15 PM
Sun Fair7:27 AM to 9:27 AM7:56 PM to 9:56 PM12:17 AM to 1:17 AM3:28 PM to 4:28 PM 43%7:33 AM, 7:14 PM
Mon Fair8:23 AM to 10:23 AM8:49 PM to 10:49 PM1:30 AM to 2:30 AM4:06 PM to 5:06 PM 33%7:34 AM, 7:12 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight56° · SE 2 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southeast wind around 2 mph.

  2. Wednesday82° · S 2–6 mph

    Patchy fog between 7am and 8am. Mostly sunny. High near 82, with temperatures falling to around 81 in the afternoon. South wind 2 to 6 mph.

  3. Wednesday Night61° · SSE 5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 61. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

  4. Thursday84° · S 6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 84. South wind around 6 mph.

  5. Thursday Night65° · 1% · S 3 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind around 3 mph.

  6. Friday84° · 56% · SSW 3–7 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  7. Friday Night64° · 72% · N 3 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  8. Saturday73° · 74% · NNE 0–3 mph

    Rain showers likely before 8am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  9. Saturday Night62° · 74% · NE 3 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  10. Sunday72° · 74% · NNE 3 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

  11. Sunday Night56° · 44% · N 3 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

  12. Monday70° · 15% · NNE 2–7 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers before 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

  13. Monday Night47° · 4% · NNE 2–6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

  14. Tuesday71° · 3% · NE 3 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 71.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Jackson, KY · issued Sep 29, 7:08 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

Temperatures warm through Thursday, while humidity gradually increases through Friday and lingers this weekend.

A slow moving boundary will likely bring showers and stray thunderstorms from Friday afternoon into the weekend until a secondary boundary passes to end the weekend.

Short Term

410 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026

(This evening through Wednesday night)

As of mid to late afternoon, the axis of an upper level ridge extended from Mexico and the western Gulf across parts of the Southern Plains/Arklatex to the mid MS Valley to Great Lakes to Ontario and Quebec while an upper low and associated trough extended from parts of Canada in the New Brunswick and Nova Scotia area to the and the Northeast to Mid Atlantic coast. Further west and northwest, a broad upper trough was moving across western Canada to the Northern Rockies and an upper low was working across the Southwest Conus. At the sfc, a ridge of high pressure extended from the eastern Great Lakes to Appalachians. Skies have been sunny today, and mixing has allowed for afternoon dewpoints mainly in the upper 40s to mid 50s range. Temperatures moderated a bit from previous days into the mid 70s to around 80 degree range.

Tonight through Wednesday, guidance builds the upper ridge into the Southeast Conus downstream of a broad upper trough from Central Canada into the Northern Plains/High Plains and the upper level low moving from the southwest Conus to NM. A general trend of rising heights is anticipated across eastern KY. Also, a shortwave trough in advance of the troughing to the west will trek across the Great Lakes and parts of Ontario and Quebec. At the same time, sfc high pressure is expected to remain from the Appalachians to the eastern seaboard. On Wednesday night, the axis of the ridge will shift to the east/southeast of eastern KY while troughing moves into the Central Conus with the upper low reaching the Southern Plains. Meanwhile, the sfc ridge remains from the Southern to Central Appalachians to the coast of the Carolinas. The pressure gradient will begin to increase late in the period the frontal zone in advance of the troughing entering the Central Conus.

The pattern will favor a continued warming trend and ridge/valley temperature splits the next couple of nights, though the split is likely to be a bit larger in magnitude for Wednesday night and bit more confined to eastern and southeastern sections given the increasing pressure gradient and some southerly breezes on ridges. In the east and southeast, hollows and deeper valleys should more readily decouple and remain decoupled. Fog should also be common in the river valleys and along the larger creeks and lakes as has been the case the past few nights. Tonight, there may be some sections of patchy dense fog especially in the KY and Big Sandy basins. Fog could be more limited in the western sections for Wednesday night, with higher confidence for the east and southeastern valleys.

Long Term

340 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026

(Thursday through Tuesday)

The extended period opens Thursday morning with a ~1020 mb surface high over the Southeast beneath a building upper-level ridge. Further upstream, an upper-level closed low (with central 500 mb heights around 570-576 dam) embedded within a broader southern-stream trough will be centered over the Southern Rockies and Southwest. Recent LREF runs have trended noticeably more amplified with this pattern, deepening the southwestern low while strengthening the ridge over the Eastern US. This enhanced downstream ridge and strong southerly warm- air advection (WAA) across the Ohio Valley account for the warming pre-frontal temperatures in recent guidance, supporting highs across Eastern Kentucky in the mid to upper 80s on Thursday and low to mid 80s on Friday.

An initial cold front will sink eastward toward the Commonwealth on Friday, drawing rich Gulf moisture up the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and bringing an increasing coverage of showers and a few embedded thunderstorms. As the southern-stream upper trough opens up and the surface boundary stalls near the Ohio River/Appalachians, shower and thunderstorm chances will linger across Eastern Kentucky through Saturday. Temperatures will cool into the upper 60s to mid 70s on Saturday under persistent cloud cover and intermittent rain.

A secondary northern-stream trough will dig into the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley Sunday morning, pushing a reinforcing cold front through the region and steadily lowering rain chances from northwest to southeast through Sunday afternoon and evening (highs in the lower 70s). However, as the main trough axis slowly sweeps across the Appalachians, isolated shower chances could remain along the KY-TN and KY-VA borders through Monday morning. Drier continental high pressure takes full control by Monday afternoon, shutting off any remaining precipitation. While daytime temperatures remain pleasant in the upper 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday, clear skies and light winds Monday night will allow cooler lows in the 40s to return to the area.

Aviation

708 PM EDT TUE SEP 29 2026

(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)

Upper level ridging extending from the western Gulf into the Appalachians and sfc high pressure centered east of the Commonwealth will lead to mainly VFR conditions and light winds through the period. The caveat will be valley fog between about 04Z and 14Z that may bring MVFR to localized IFR to VLIFR conditions, though this is not expected to impact any TAF sites. Winds will favor a south to southwesterly direction at 5 to 8 kts after 15z Wednesday.

JKL Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 29, 3:34 PM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS43 KJKL 291934
HWOJKL

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
334 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-301945-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
334 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a small chance for thunderstorms Friday through Saturday, 
mainly during the afternoon and evening hours each day. 

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

JP

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 10.25 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 32.00 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 50.10 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Flash flood risk

  1. Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
  2. Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal
  3. Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
  4. Day 4 · Fri Oct 2Below marginal
  5. Day 5 · Sat Oct 3Marginal

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 9
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 13

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 3–Oct 6Heavy Rain

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Barbourville

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 19 and the first fall freeze around October 24: a growing season of about 187 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 11; one spring in ten still has one after May 6.

Climate of 36.73, -83.77: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 27 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementTueWedThuFriSatSunMonTue
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor0 · Little0 · Little
Wet bulb globe temperature max73°74°77°78°70°69°66°66°
Heat index max78°81°84°85°72°71°70°71°
Wind chill min47°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%26%22%16%4%3%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft
Mixing height max4,400 ft4,100 ft3,900 ft3,300 ft3,500 ft1,800 ft
Transport wind max3 mph9 mph17 mph15 mph8 mph7 mph
Twenty-foot wind max2 mph5 mph5 mph6 mph3 mph3 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max124559
Low visibility risk max465

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Middlesboro-Bell (1A6) · 8.5 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Tue Sep 2978° / 56°76° / 49°89° (1998)34° (1969)
Wed Sep 3082° / 61°73° / 47°90° (2019)30° (1967)
Thu Oct 184° / 65°74° / 46°87° (1998)31° (1974)
Fri Oct 284° / 64°74° / 46°90° (2019)30° (1974)
Sat Oct 373° / 62°75° / 47°91° (2019)22° (1974)
Sun Oct 472° / 56°75° / 47°91° (2019)22° (1974)
Mon Oct 570° / 47°75° / 48°85° (1986)23° (1974)
Tue Oct 671° / 50°76° / 47°88° (1998)29° (1980)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Tue7:03 AM7:29 AM7:21 PM7:47 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed7:04 AM7:30 AM7:20 PM7:46 PM11 h 50 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu7:05 AM7:30 AM7:18 PM7:44 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri7:05 AM7:31 AM7:17 PM7:43 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat7:06 AM7:32 AM7:15 PM7:41 PM11 h 43 min Last quarter · 54% lit
Sun7:07 AM7:33 AM7:14 PM7:40 PM11 h 41 min Last quarter · 43% lit
Mon7:08 AM7:34 AM7:12 PM7:38 PM11 h 38 min Waning crescent · 33% lit
Tue7:09 AM7:35 AM7:11 PM7:37 PM11 h 36 min Waning crescent · 23% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from