Current weather · Sep 28, 7:15 AM CDT
36.6930, -88.5360
52°
- High
- 78°
- Low
- 52°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 6:47 AM
- Sunset
- 6:42 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 AM | 52° | 52° | 49° | 89% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 5 mph | 14% | — | 10 mi | 24,600 ft | ||||
| Mon 8 AM | 57° | 57° | 49° | 76% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 9 AM | 61° | 61° | 50° | 66% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 10 AM | 66° | 66° | 51° | 58% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 11 AM | 70° | 70° | 50° | 49% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 12 PM | 73° | 73° | 47° | 40% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 1 PM | 75° | 75° | 46° | 36% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 9 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 2 PM | 77° | 77° | 45° | 32% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 9 mph | 13% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 3 PM | 78° | 78° | 44° | 30% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 9 mph | 13% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 4 PM | 78° | 78° | 44° | 30% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 6% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 5 PM | 76° | 76° | 45° | 33% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 8% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 6 PM | 74° | 74° | 46° | 37% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 5 mph | 9% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 7 PM | 70° | 70° | 49° | 47% | 0% | NNE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 7% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 8 PM | 65° | 65° | 52° | 63% | 0% | NNE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 9% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 9 PM | 63° | 63° | 52° | 67% | 0% | NNE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 8% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 10 PM | 61° | 61° | 52° | 72% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Mon 11 PM | 60° | 60° | 52° | 75% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 12 AM | 59° | 59° | 52° | 78% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 1 AM | 58° | 58° | 52° | 80% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 3 mph | 7% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 2 AM | 57° | 57° | 52° | 83% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 3 mph | 6% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 3 AM | 56° | 56° | 52° | 86% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 3 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 4 AM | 55° | 55° | 52° | 90% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 3 mph | 7% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 5 AM | 55° | 55° | 52° | 90% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 3 mph | 6% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 6 AM | 54° | 54° | 52° | 93% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 3 mph | 6% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 7 AM | 54° | 54° | 52° | 93% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 3 mph | 7% | — | 10 mi | |||||
| Tue 8 AM | 58° | 58° | 54° | 87% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 9 AM | 62° | 62° | 55° | 78% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 10 AM | 70° | 70° | 55° | 59% | 0% | ESE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 11 AM | 75° | 75° | 54° | 48% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 12 PM | 78° | 78° | 52° | 40% | 0% | ESE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 1 PM | 80° | 80° | 51° | 36% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 2 PM | 81° | 80° | 51° | 35% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 3 PM | 82° | 81° | 51° | 34% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 4 PM | 82° | 81° | 50° | 33% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 5 PM | 81° | 80° | 51° | 35% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 6 PM | 78° | 78° | 54° | 43% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 7 PM | 73° | 73° | 53° | 49% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 8 PM | 68° | 68° | 53° | 59% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 9 PM | 66° | 66° | 53° | 63% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 10 PM | 65° | 65° | 52° | 63% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 11 PM | 64° | 64° | 52° | 65% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 15% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 12 AM | 63° | 63° | 52° | 67% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 1 AM | 62° | 62° | 52° | 70% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 25% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 2 AM | 61° | 61° | 52° | 72% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 6 mph | 28% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 3 AM | 61° | 61° | 51° | 70% | 0% | SSE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 32% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 4 AM | 60° | 60° | 51° | 72% | 0% | SSE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 35% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 5 AM | 59° | 59° | 50° | 72% | 0% | SSE | 5 mph | 7 mph | 32% | — | — | |||||
| Wed 6 AM | 59° | 59° | 50° | 72% | 0% | SSE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 30% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 28, 5:36 AM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 10, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 2878°52°Sunnywind 6 mph
- TueSep 2982°59°Sunnywind 3 mph
- WedSep 3089°68°Sunnywind 9 mph
- ThuOct 189°68°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 13 mph
- FriOct 280°64°Chance Rain Showerswind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
- SatOct 376°64°Chance Rain Showerswind 9 mph
- SunOct 474°60°Chance Rain Showerswind 9 mph
- MonOct 572°60°wind 10 mph
- TueOct 674°58°National Blendwind 7 mph
- WedOct 775°57°National Blendwind 6 mph
- ThuOct 8~77°57°Model mean
- FriOct 9~72°52°Model mean
- SatOct 10~74°51°Model mean
- SunOct 11~75°52°Model mean
- MonOct 12~77°54°Model mean
- TueOct 13~84°67°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like52°
- WindNE 3 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity89%
- Dew point49°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise7:35 PMMoonset 8:55 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous95% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 28, 1:00 AM CDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 2878°54°NWS grid 78° / 52°wind 6 mph
- TueSep 2982°60°NWS grid 82° / 59°wind 3 mph
- WedSep 3088°68°NWS grid 89° / 68°wind 9 mph
- ThuOct 189°68°NWS grid 89° / 68°wind 13 mph
- FriOct 280°64°NWS grid 80° / 64°wind 9 mph
- SatOct 376°64°NWS grid 76° / 64°wind 9 mph
- SunOct 474°61°NWS grid 74° / 60°wind 9 mph
- MonOct 572°57°NWS grid 72° / 60°wind 10 mph
- TueOct 674°58°Beyond the NWS gridwind 7 mph
- WedOct 775°57°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph
- ThuOct 874°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 28, 1:00 AM CDT · GFS Sep 28, 1:00 AM CDT · GEFS Sep 28, 1:00 AM CDT · ECMWF Sep 27, 7:00 PM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 27, 7:00 PM CDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 28 | 78° 52° | 78° 51° | 82° 54° | 83° 54° | 79° 55° | ~80° 52° |
| Tue Sep 29 | 82° 59° | 82° 53° | 87° 57° | 86° 56° | 84° 59° | ~84° 53° |
| Wed Sep 30 | 89° 68° | ~62° 61° | 93° 63° | 91° 61° | 89° 65° | ~88° 60° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 89° 68°0.07 in | — | 94° 70° | 90° 70°0.07 in | 89° 71° | ~89° 67° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 80° 64°0.87 in | — | 89° 70°0.24 in | 82° 69°0.28 in | 87° 72°0.34 in | ~84° 72°0.25 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 76° 64°0.33 in | — | 78° 68°0.28 in | 77° 68°0.54 in | 72° 65°0.15 in | ~73° 70°0.48 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 74° 60°1.68 in | — | 80° 64° | 76° 67°0.59 in | ~75° 63° | ~76° 70°0.19 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 72° 60°0.95 in | — | 71° 53° | 71° 58°0.32 in | ~70° 56° | ~71° 60° |
| Tue Oct 6 | — | — | 76° 43° | 73° 51°0.06 in | ~73° 51° | ~71° 47° |
| Wed Oct 7 | — | — | 82° 57° | 72° 56°0.16 in | ~79° 58° | ~73° 62°0.32 in |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | ~78° 58° | ~60° 60° | ~82° 57° | ~71° 55° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | ~70° 47° | — | ~68° 60°0.01 in | ~78° 50° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~73° 51° | — | ~63° 46° | ~84° 56° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~76° 47° | — | ~70° 46° | ~81° 63° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~86° 60° | — | ~78° 52° | ~69° 51° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~84° 67° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Mayfield (M25) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Tue Oct 13, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | 78° / 55° | 101° (1953) | 31° (1935) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 5 | 74° / 53° | 94° (1951) | 28° (1952) | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 | 33% chance below normal · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 12 | 72° / 50° | 93° (1928) | 25° (1948) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 19 | 69° / 47° | 90° (1953) | 23° (1952) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 26 | 66° / 45° | 89° (1927) | 18° (1930) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 2 | 63° / 44° | 83° (1987) | 13° (1951) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 9 | 57° / 37° | 83° (1955) | 12° (2019) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 16 | 57° / 39° | 86° (1930) | 8° (1959) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 23 | 56° / 37° | 80° (1931) | -1° (1950) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 30 | 52° / 37° | 77° (1933) | -11° (1929) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 7 | 48° / 31° | 76° (1927) | -5° (1962) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 14 | 48° / 33° | 74° (2016) | -1° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 21 | 44° / 29° | 75° (2021) | -13° (1989) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayVery goodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightGoodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Fair | 8:08 PM to 5:22 AM | 9 of 9 | None | 93% | Fair | 1 h | 2 mph |
| Tuesday | Fair | 8:06 PM to 5:23 AM | 5 of 9 | None | 87% | Good | 5 mph | |
| Wednesday | Poor | 8:05 PM to 5:24 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 79% | 8 mph | ||
| Thursday | Poor | 8:03 PM to 5:24 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 70% | 6 h | 5 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:02 PM to 5:25 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 60% | 8 h | 7 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:00 PM to 5:26 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 9 h | 6 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 7:59 PM to 5:27 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 9 h | 8 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 6:21 AM to 6:31 AM | 6:31 AM to 7:21 AM | 6:08 PM to 6:58 PM | 6:58 PM to 7:08 PM |
| Tue | 6:22 AM to 6:32 AM | 6:32 AM to 7:22 AM | 6:06 PM to 6:56 PM | 6:56 PM to 7:06 PM |
| Wed | 6:23 AM to 6:33 AM | 6:33 AM to 7:23 AM | 6:05 PM to 6:55 PM | 6:55 PM to 7:05 PM |
| Thu | 6:24 AM to 6:34 AM | 6:34 AM to 7:24 AM | 6:03 PM to 6:53 PM | 6:53 PM to 7:03 PM |
| Fri | 6:25 AM to 6:35 AM | 6:35 AM to 7:25 AM | 6:02 PM to 6:52 PM | 6:52 PM to 7:02 PM |
| Sat | 6:25 AM to 6:35 AM | 6:35 AM to 7:26 AM | 6:00 PM to 6:50 PM | 6:50 PM to 7:00 PM |
| Sun | 6:26 AM to 6:36 AM | 6:36 AM to 7:26 AM | 5:59 PM to 6:49 PM | 6:49 PM to 6:59 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:47 AM, 92° E
- SS Sunset 6:42 PM, 268° W
- MR Moonrise 7:35 PM, 68° ENE
- MS Moonset 8:55 AM, 289° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 95% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Mon 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:17 AM to sunrise 6:47 AM, and sunset 6:42 PM to 7:12 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Mon | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 7 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 52° | nothing against it | |
| Mon 8 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 57° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 9 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 10 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | 10 mi | 66° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 11 AM | Good | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 70° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 12 PM | Good | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 73° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 1 PM | Good | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 75° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 2 PM | Good | 5 | 5 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 77° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 3 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 78° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 4 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 9 | 0% | 10 mi | 78° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 5 PM | Good | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0% | 10 mi | 76° | nothing against it | ||
| Mon 6 PM | Caution | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0% | 10 mi | 74° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Mon 7 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 70° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Mon 8 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 65° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Mon 9 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Mon 10 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Mon 11 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 12 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 59° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 1 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 58° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 2 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 57° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 3 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 56° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 55° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 55° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 6 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 10 | 0% | 10 mi | 54° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Mon 8 AM to 2 PM 6 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Mon 5 PM to 7 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 12 AM to 1 PM 13 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 5 PM to Thu 9 AM 16 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Mon | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 30% | 6 mph | 3 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 33% | 3 mph | 2 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 35% | 9 mph | 1 d | Good |
| Thursday | Showers possible | 31% | 0.07 in | 50% | 13 mph | ||
| Friday | Wet | 47% | 0.87 in | 69% | 8 mph | ||
| Saturday | Wet | 43% | 0.33 in | 74% | 9 mph | ||
| Sunday | Wet | 53% | 1.68 in | 79% | 9 mph | ||
| Monday | Wet | 27% | 0.95 in | 68% | 10 mph |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Monday, rated good.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | Good | 12:54 AM to 2:54 AM1:19 PM to 3:19 PM | 8:25 AM to 9:25 AM7:05 PM to 8:05 PM | 95% | 6:47 AM, 6:42 PM |
| Tue | Fair | 1:46 AM to 3:46 AM2:13 PM to 4:13 PM | 9:37 AM to 10:37 AM7:42 PM to 8:42 PM | 90% | 6:48 AM, 6:40 PM |
| Wed | Poor | 2:42 AM to 4:42 AM3:11 PM to 5:11 PM | 10:51 AM to 11:51 AM8:28 PM to 9:28 PM | 82% | 6:49 AM, 6:39 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 3:42 AM to 5:42 AM4:13 PM to 6:13 PM | 12:02 PM to 1:02 PM9:23 PM to 10:23 PM | 73% | 6:50 AM, 6:37 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:44 AM to 6:44 AM5:16 PM to 7:16 PM | 1:07 PM to 2:07 PM10:27 PM to 11:27 PM | 64% | 6:50 AM, 6:36 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:47 AM to 7:47 AM6:17 PM to 8:17 PM | 2:02 PM to 3:02 PM | 53% | 6:51 AM, 6:34 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:47 AM to 8:47 AM7:15 PM to 9:15 PM | 11:37 PM to 12:37 AM2:48 PM to 3:48 PM | 43% | 6:52 AM, 6:33 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedToday78° · NE 6 mph
Sunny. High near 78, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Tonight54° · ENE 3 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. East northeast wind around 3 mph.
Tuesday82° · ESE 3 mph
Sunny, with a high near 82. East southeast wind around 3 mph.
Tuesday Night59° · ESE 5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 59. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday89° · S 5–9 mph
Sunny, with a high near 89. South wind 5 to 9 mph.
Wednesday Night68° · SSE 5–8 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Thursday89° · 16% · S 8–13 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. South wind 8 to 13 mph.
Thursday Night68° · 43% · S 6 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind around 6 mph.
Friday80° · 47% · S 5–8 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 80. South wind 5 to 8 mph.
Friday Night64° · 47% · NNE 8 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. North northeast wind around 8 mph.
Saturday76° · 43% · NE 6–9 mph
A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. Northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Saturday Night64° · 44% · ENE 3–7 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. East northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Sunday74° · 53% · ENE 6–9 mph
A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. East northeast wind 6 to 9 mph.
Sunday Night60° · 53% · NNE 8 mph
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. North northeast wind around 8 mph.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Paducah, KY · issued Sep 28, 6:20 AM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
It will be a cool start to the week, but the heat will return for Wednesday and Thursday, when high temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to around 90 degrees.
A cold front will bring a 40-60% chance of showers as it passes through the Quad State late Thursday through Friday morning. Chances of showers will linger through the weekend, with a slight chance of thunderstorms mixed in Sunday afternoon.
Discussion
204 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026
Surface high pressure will linger over the Quad State today into Tuesday, then build to the east, allowing south winds to return to the region Wednesday. Temperatures will start out a few degrees below normal today and then trend upward through Wednesday and Thursday, when highs in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees are expected. The NBM has a 30-50% chance of temperatures reaching at least 90 on Wednesday, and a 30-90% chance on Thursday. The best chances will generally be in the south and east each day.
Guidance continues to struggle with the strength of mixing, therefore temperatures may outperform the NBM numbers today and Tuesday. Expect relative humidity to drop into the 20-30% range over much of the region both days. Thankfully, winds will remain light, so fire danger should remain in check.
A storm system moving through Ontario on Thursday will push a cold front through the Quad State Thursday night into early Friday. The NBM has a 40-60% chance of showers near the front, as it passes through the region, but instability will be very limited, so no thunder or heavy rainfall is expected.
The forecast for the weekend and beyond is quite murky, and appears to be in flux at this time. The 00Z EC and GFS have a similar scenario that goes like this. The southern stream system now shears out over the southern Plains Friday into Saturday. Some of its energy will stream over the Quad State Friday night and Saturday producing widespread showers. Then a northern stream system will descend on the Great Lakes and push another cold front through the area, bringing an end to the rain Saturday evening.
As always the NBM lags the trend, and that may not be a bad thing in this situation, with influences from multiple streams aloft. This NBM-based forecast still has PoPs beginning Thursday and continuing every period through next Monday.
Temperatures will drop back below normal behind Thursday night's cold front and will then trend even cooler Sunday and Monday.
Aviation · 12Z TAFs Through 12Z Tuesday
619 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026
Some shallow fog at KMVN may take an hour or so to burn off at the beginning of the period. Otherwise, VFR conditions are forecast. Some more fog cannot be ruled out tonight, but confidence is too low to mention in the forecast at this time.
PAH Watches / Warnings / Advisories
IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
Hazardous weather outlook Sep 28, 2:15 AM CDT
The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.
FLUS43 KPAH 280715 HWOPAH Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Paducah KY 215 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-291000- Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton- White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope- Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh- Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves- Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell- Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean- Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter- Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid- 215 AM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026 /315 AM EDT Mon Sep 28 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast Missouri. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday A slight chance of thunderstorms is forecast mainly over west Kentucky and southwest Indiana Sunday afternoon. No severe storms or heavy rainfall is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated. $$
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
- Day 2 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
- Day 3 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 4 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 5 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 6 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 7 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 8 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 1–Oct 20.75 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 3–Oct 42.00 in
Flash flood risk
- Day 1 · Mon Sep 28Below marginal
- Day 2 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
- Day 3 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal
- Day 4 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
- Day 5 · Fri Oct 2Marginal
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 3–Oct 7
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 7
- Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 11
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 5–Oct 11
Drought
- Drought MonitorNo drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, MurrayThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 5 and the first fall freeze around November 1: a growing season of about 209 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 20; one spring in ten still has one after April 20.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 27 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 69° | 73° | 78° | 82° | 77° | 74° | 73° | 70° |
| Heat index max | 78° | 81° | 88° | 93° | 79° | 76° | 74° | 72° |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 18% | 12% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 24,600 ft | |||||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 10 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 4,500 ft | 5,400 ft | 6,200 ft | 600 ft | ||||
| Transport wind max | 9 mph | 8 mph | 13 mph | 13 mph | ||||
| Twenty-foot wind max | 5 mph | 2 mph | 7 mph | |||||
| Davis stability index max | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Mayfield (M25) · 5.9 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon Sep 28 | 78° / 52° | 80° / 57° | 97° (1953) | 35° (1942) |
| Tue Sep 29 | 82° / 59° | 78° / 54° | 101° (1953) | 32° (1935) |
| Wed Sep 30 | 89° / 68° | 77° / 54° | 98° (1953) | 31° (1935) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 89° / 68° | 78° / 55° | 96° (1953) | 36° (1928) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 80° / 64° | 78° / 56° | 95° (2019) | 33° (1984) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 76° / 64° | 78° / 55° | 97° (2019) | 32° (1974) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 74° / 60° | 78° / 55° | 95° (2019) | 34° (1987) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 72° / 60° | 77° / 55° | 94° (1951) | 36° (1968) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 6:21 AM | 6:47 AM | 6:42 PM | 7:08 PM | 11 h 55 min | Waning gibbous · 95% lit |
| Tue | 6:22 AM | 6:48 AM | 6:40 PM | 7:06 PM | 11 h 52 min | Waning gibbous · 90% lit |
| Wed | 6:23 AM | 6:49 AM | 6:39 PM | 7:05 PM | 11 h 50 min | Waning gibbous · 82% lit |
| Thu | 6:24 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 73% lit |
| Fri | 6:25 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:36 PM | 7:02 PM | 11 h 46 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 6:25 AM | 6:51 AM | 6:34 PM | 7:00 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
| Sun | 6:26 AM | 6:52 AM | 6:33 PM | 6:59 PM | 11 h 41 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:27 AM | 6:53 AM | 6:32 PM | 6:57 PM | 11 h 39 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from