Current weather · Oct 3, 11:44 PM CDT
36.0580, -89.4410
68°
- High
- 76°
- Low
- 63°
- Rain today
- 10%
- Sunrise
- 6:55 AM
- Sunset
- 6:38 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 11 PM | 68° | 68° | 64° | 87% | 10% | NNE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 91% | 7% | — | 10 mi | 5,800 ft | |||
| Sun 12 AM | 67° | 67° | 64° | 90% | 13% | NNE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 74% | 7% | — | 10 mi | 5,800 ft | |||
| Sun 1 AM | 66° | 66° | 64° | 93% | 9% | NNE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 89% | 6% | — | 10 mi | 4,500 ft | |||
| Sun 2 AM | 66° | 66° | 64° | 93% | 10% | NNE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 84% | 6% | — | 10 mi | 3,500 ft | |||
| Sun 3 AM | Slight chance of light rain showers | 66° | 66° | 64° | 93% | 15% | N | 3 mph | 8 mph | 91% | 6% | — | 10 mi | 3,500 ft | ||
| Sun 4 AM | 65° | 65° | 64° | 97% | 12% | N | 3 mph | 9 mph | 91% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 3,500 ft | |||
| Sun 5 AM | 65° | 65° | 63° | 93% | 11% | N | 5 mph | 9 mph | 83% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 3,500 ft | |||
| Sun 6 AM | 64° | 64° | 63° | 97% | 12% | N | 5 mph | 10 mph | 93% | 5% | — | 10 mi | 3,500 ft | |||
| Sun 7 AM | 63° | 63° | 63° | 100% | 7% | N | 5 mph | 10 mph | 82% | 3% | — | 10 mi | 3,500 ft | |||
| Sun 8 AM | 65° | 65° | 63° | 93% | 6% | N | 6 mph | 12 mph | 66% | 3% | — | 10 mi | 4,500 ft | |||
| Sun 9 AM | 66° | 66° | 63° | 90% | 3% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 62% | 3% | — | 10 mi | 5,800 ft | |||
| Sun 10 AM | 70° | 70° | 63° | 78% | 3% | NNE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 52% | 1% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | |||
| Sun 11 AM | 72° | 72° | 62° | 71% | 2% | NNE | 9 mph | 16 mph | 73% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 7,300 ft | |||
| Sun 12 PM | 76° | 76° | 61° | 60% | 2% | NNE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 47% | 1% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | |||
| Sun 1 PM | 77° | 77° | 60° | 56% | 1% | NNE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 61% | — | 10 mi | 11,000 ft | ||||
| Sun 2 PM | 78° | 78° | 59° | 52% | 1% | NNE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 53% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 3 PM | 79° | 79° | 58° | 49% | 1% | NNE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 46% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 4 PM | 78° | 78° | 57° | 48% | 0% | NNE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 29% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 5 PM | 77° | 77° | 57° | 50% | 0% | NNE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 34% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 6 PM | 76° | 76° | 56° | 50% | 0% | NNE | 9 mph | 16 mph | 29% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 7 PM | 70° | 70° | 56° | 61% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 15 mph | 26% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 8 PM | 67° | 67° | 56° | 68% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 14 mph | 33% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 9 PM | 66° | 66° | 55° | 68% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 20% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 10 PM | 65° | 65° | 55° | 70% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 10 mph | 11% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Sun 11 PM | 63° | 63° | 54° | 72% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 12 AM | 62° | 62° | 53° | 72% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 1 AM | 61° | 61° | 53° | 75% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 9% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 2 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 81% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 10 mph | 16% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 3 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 81% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 11% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 4 AM | 59° | 59° | 53° | 80% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 5 AM | 58° | 58° | 53° | 83% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 6 AM | 58° | 58° | 53° | 83% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 9% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 7 AM | 57° | 57° | 53° | 86% | 0% | NNE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 8 AM | 59° | 59° | 54° | 83% | 0% | NNE | 9 mph | 16 mph | 32% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 9 AM | 63° | 63° | 55° | 75% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 10 AM | 67° | 67° | 55° | 65% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 18 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 11 AM | 71° | 71° | 55° | 57% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 20 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 12 PM | 74° | 74° | 55° | 51% | 0% | NNE | 12 mph | 20 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 1 PM | 76° | 76° | 54° | 46% | 0% | NNE | 12 mph | 20 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 2 PM | 77° | 77° | 53° | 43% | 0% | NNE | 12 mph | 20 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 3 PM | 78° | 78° | 52° | 40% | 0% | NNE | 12 mph | 20 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 4 PM | 77° | 77° | 51° | 40% | 0% | NNE | 12 mph | 20 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 5 PM | 75° | 75° | 51° | 43% | 0% | NNE | 10 mph | 18 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 6 PM | 73° | 73° | 51° | 46% | 0% | NNE | 9 mph | 17 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 7 PM | 70° | 70° | 51° | 51% | 0% | NNE | 8 mph | 16 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 8 PM | 67° | 67° | 51° | 56% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 15 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 9 PM | 64° | 64° | 50° | 60% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 15 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Mon 10 PM | 62° | 62° | 50° | 65% | 0% | NE | 6 mph | 14 mph | 3% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Oct 3, 6:16 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodayOct 376°63°Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
- SunOct 479°57°Partly Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- MonOct 578°51°Sunnywind 12 mph · gusts 20 mph
- TueOct 680°52°Sunnywind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- WedOct 783°55°Sunnywind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- ThuOct 885°55°Sunnywind 5 mph
- FriOct 987°59°Sunnywind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SatOct 1087°59°Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SunOct 1182°63°National Blendwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- MonOct 1284°62°National Blendwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
- TueOct 1381°58°National Blendwind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- WedOct 14~80°65°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~82°72°Model mean
- FriOct 16~71°60°Model mean
- SatOct 17~68°54°Model mean
- SunOct 18~73°49°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like68°
- WindNNE 3 mphgusts 9 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity87%
- Dew point64°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
- Moonrise—Moonset 2:34 PM
- Moon phaseLast quarter53% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 3, 7:00 PM CDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodayOct 3—63°NWS grid 76° / 63°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- SunOct 479°57°NWS grid 79° / 57°wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- MonOct 577°51°NWS grid 78° / 51°wind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
- TueOct 680°53°NWS grid 80° / 52°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- WedOct 783°56°NWS grid 83° / 55°wind 6 mph
- ThuOct 884°56°NWS grid 85° / 55°wind 5 mph
- FriOct 986°60°NWS grid 87° / 59°wind 8 mph
- SatOct 1086°62°NWS grid 87° / 59°wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- SunOct 1182°63°Beyond the NWS gridwind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
- MonOct 1284°62°Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
- TueOct 1381°58°Beyond the NWS gridwind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- WedOct 1479°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Oct 3, 7:00 PM CDT · GFS Oct 3, 1:00 PM CDT · GEFS Oct 3, 1:00 PM CDT · ECMWF Oct 3, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF AI Oct 3, 7:00 AM CDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 3 | 76° 63° | ~70° 67° | ~80° 70°0.01 in | ~78° 70°0.02 in | 77° 65° | ~73° 64°0.06 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 79° 57° | 80° 62° | 82° 63°0.02 in | 82° 64° | 77° 64° | ~78° 66°0.11 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 78° 51° | 76° 57° | 81° 56° | 81° 56° | 77° 59° | ~79° 58° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 80° 52° | — | 85° 55° | 86° 53° | 80° 54° | ~80° 54° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 83° 55° | — | 89° 61° | 89° 59° | 80° 56° | ~83° 55° |
| Thu Oct 8 | 85° 55° | — | 91° 64° | 90° 62° | 84° 59° | ~85° 59° |
| Fri Oct 9 | 87° 59° | — | 92° 64° | 89° 63°0.02 in | ~87° 61° | ~89° 60° |
| Sat Oct 10 | 87° 59°0.03 in | — | 91° 65° | 83° 64°0.14 in | ~85° 65° | ~85° 65° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | 72° 64°0.08 in | 78° 65°0.19 in | ~85° 64° | ~74° 69°1.10 in |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | 76° 66°0.41 in | 80° 62°0.11 in | ~86° 65° | ~75° 69°0.23 in |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | 71° 67°0.11 in | ~77° 63°0.05 in | ~78° 64° | ~80° 72°0.07 in |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~71° 64°0.04 in | — | ~87° 61° | ~84° 72°0.15 in |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~76° 67°0.59 in | — | ~86° 75°0.04 in | ~82° 73°0.10 in |
| Fri Oct 16 | — | — | ~65° 49° | — | ~68° 59° | ~81° 71°0.03 in |
| Sat Oct 17 | — | — | ~64° 44° | — | ~68° 59° | ~72° 59° |
| Sun Oct 18 | — | — | ~73° 49° | — | ~60° 56° | ~72° 72°0.05 in |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Dyersburg(Awos) (DYR) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sun Oct 18, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | — | 94° (2019) | 33° (1917) | equal chances · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 10 | — | 88° (1912) | 27° (1917) | 60% chance above normal · days 6 to 10 | 40% chance above normal · days 6 to 10 |
| Oct 17 | — | 87° (2016) | 27° (1895) | equal chances · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 24 | — | 85° (1919) | 27° (1910) | equal chances · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 31 | — | 86° (1896) | 26° (1923) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 7 | — | 80° (1909) | 18° (1920) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 14 | — | 80° (2016) | 13° (1914) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 21 | — | 78° (1913) | 15° (1914) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 28 | — | 78° (1910) | 17° (2013) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 5 | — | 75° (1918) | -12° (1917) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 12 | — | 79° (1918) | 2° (1914) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 19 | — | 73° (2013) | 6° (1916) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 26 | — | 75° (2016) | 5° (1917) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtomorrowLowmild
- FlutomorrowLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
- SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtomorrowGoodhot
- HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
- TickstomorrowVery highwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststomorrowHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Poor | 8:03 PM to 5:30 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 50% | 6 h | 6 mph | |
| Sunday | Good | 8:02 PM to 5:31 AM | 9 of 10 | 4 h from 9:00 PM | 39% | Fair | 6 mph | |
| Monday | Good | 8:01 PM to 5:32 AM | 10 of 10 | 7 h from 8:00 PM | 29% | Fair | 1 h | 7 mph |
| Tuesday | Good | 7:59 PM to 5:33 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 20% | Fair | 2 h | 3 mph |
| Wednesday | Good | 7:58 PM to 5:34 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 12% | Fair | 2 h | 0 mph |
| Thursday | Good | 7:56 PM to 5:34 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 6% | Fair | 2 mph | |
| Friday | Excellent | 7:55 PM to 5:35 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 2% | Good | 3 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 6:29 AM to 6:39 AM | 6:39 AM to 7:29 AM | 6:04 PM to 6:54 PM | 6:54 PM to 7:04 PM |
| Sun | 6:30 AM to 6:40 AM | 6:40 AM to 7:30 AM | 6:03 PM to 6:53 PM | 6:53 PM to 7:02 PM |
| Mon | 6:31 AM to 6:40 AM | 6:40 AM to 7:30 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:51 PM | 6:51 PM to 7:01 PM |
| Tue | 6:31 AM to 6:41 AM | 6:41 AM to 7:31 AM | 6:00 PM to 6:50 PM | 6:50 PM to 7:00 PM |
| Wed | 6:32 AM to 6:42 AM | 6:42 AM to 7:32 AM | 5:58 PM to 6:48 PM | 6:48 PM to 6:58 PM |
| Thu | 6:33 AM to 6:43 AM | 6:43 AM to 7:33 AM | 5:57 PM to 6:47 PM | 6:47 PM to 6:57 PM |
| Fri | 6:34 AM to 6:44 AM | 6:44 AM to 7:34 AM | 5:56 PM to 6:46 PM | 6:46 PM to 6:56 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:55 AM, 95° E
- SS Sunset 6:38 PM, 265° W
- MR Moonrise not on this date
- MS Moonset 2:34 PM, 303° WNW
- Last quarter, 53% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: fly with caution (night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Sun 7 AM to 10 AM, 3 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:25 AM to sunrise 6:55 AM, and sunset 6:38 PM to 7:08 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sat | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 11 PM | Caution | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 68° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 12 AM | Caution | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 67° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 1 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 2 AM | Caution | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 3 AM | Caution | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 4 AM | Caution | 3 | 5 | 11 | 12% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 65° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 5 AM | Caution | 5 | 7 | 11 | 11% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 65° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 6 AM | Caution | 5 | 7 | 12 | 12% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 64° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 7 AM | Good | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | nothing against it | |
| Sun 8 AM | Good | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 65° | nothing against it | |
| Sun 9 AM | Good | 6 | 7 | 14 | 3% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 66° | nothing against it | |
| Sun 10 AM | No-fly | 7 | 9 | 16 | 3% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 70° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Sun 11 AM | Caution | 9 | 12 | 19 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 72° | gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 12 PM | No-fly | 10 | 12 | 19 | 2% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 76° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 1 PM | Caution | 10 | 13 | 20 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 77° | gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 2 PM | No-fly | 10 | 13 | 20 | 1% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 78° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 3 PM | No-fly | 10 | 13 | 20 | 1% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 79° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 4 PM | No-fly | 10 | 13 | 20 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 78° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 5 PM | No-fly | 10 | 13 | 20 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 77° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Sun 6 PM | No-fly | 9 | 12 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 76° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |
| Sun 7 PM | No-fly | 7 | 17 | 25 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 70° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 8 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 31 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 67° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 9 PM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 25 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 66° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 10 PM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 24 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 65° | low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Sun 7 PM to Mon 5 AM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 8 PM to Tue 3 AM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 8 AM to 3 PM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 5 PM to 10 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 12 PM to 3 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 11 AM to 2 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 6 PM to 8 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Fri 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Sat | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saturday | Dry | 7% | 0.00 in | 64% | 9 mph | 8 d | |
| Sunday | Dry | 6% | 0.00 in | 48% | 10 mph | 7 d | Good |
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 40% | 12 mph | 6 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 31% | 6 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 35% | 5 mph | 4 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 31% | 5 mph | 3 d | |
| Friday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 27% | 6 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Saturday | Dry | 20% | 0.03 in | 32% | 10 mph | 1 d | Good |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Friday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | Fair | 5:51 AM to 7:51 AM6:21 PM to 8:21 PM | 2:04 PM to 3:04 PM | 53% | 6:55 AM, 6:38 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:51 AM to 8:51 AM7:19 PM to 9:19 PM | 11:43 PM to 12:43 AM2:49 PM to 3:49 PM | 43% | 6:55 AM, 6:37 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:47 AM to 9:47 AM8:13 PM to 10:13 PM | 12:55 AM to 1:55 AM3:27 PM to 4:27 PM | 32% | 6:56 AM, 6:35 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:38 AM to 10:38 AM9:03 PM to 11:03 PM | 2:06 AM to 3:06 AM3:59 PM to 4:59 PM | 23% | 6:57 AM, 6:34 PM |
| Wed | Fair | 9:27 AM to 11:27 AM9:50 PM to 11:50 PM | 3:15 AM to 4:15 AM4:28 PM to 5:28 PM | 15% | 6:58 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Thu | Good | 10:13 AM to 12:13 PM10:35 PM to 12:35 AM | 4:22 AM to 5:22 AM4:54 PM to 5:54 PM | 8% | 6:59 AM, 6:31 PM |
| Fri | Best | 10:57 AM to 12:57 PM | 5:26 AM to 6:26 AM5:19 PM to 6:19 PM | 3% | 7:00 AM, 6:30 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedTonight63° · 15% · NNE 0–5 mph
A slight chance of rain showers between 3am and 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday79° · 12% · NNE 5–10 mph
Partly sunny, with a high near 79. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night57° · NNE 5–10 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday78° · NNE 5–10 mph
Sunny. High near 78, with temperatures falling to around 75 in the afternoon. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night51° · NE 5–10 mph
Clear, with a low around 51. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday80° · NE 5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 80. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday Night52° · NNE 0–5 mph
Clear, with a low around 52. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Wednesday83° · W 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 83. West wind 0 to 5 mph.
Wednesday Night55° · 0 mph
Clear, with a low around 55.
Thursday85° · N 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Thursday Night55° · NE 0–5 mph
Clear, with a low around 55.
Friday87° · 1% · ENE 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 87.
Friday Night59° · 3% · ENE 0–5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Saturday87° · 15% · ESE 0–10 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 7am. Sunny, with a high near 87. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Memphis, TN · issued Oct 3, 5:37 PM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
536 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
Light shower activity over northeast Mississippi will expand northward across parts of the Mid-South overnight into Sunday morning. Showers and isolated thunderstorms remain possible across north Mississippi through Sunday, while most other areas stay dry.
A secondary cold front moves through late Sunday, ushering in dry conditions across the region through late next week alongside highs in the mid-70s to lower 80s.
Discussion
1245 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
(This evening through next Friday)
Cloudy and mild conditions continue across the Mid-South late this morning. Cloud cover remains stubborn across the region, driven by deep southwesterly flow aloft and persistent northeast winds at the surface. Surface analysis places a 1017mb low over East Tennessee with a quasi-stationary boundary extending southwest into central Mississippi and northern Alabama. Water vapor imagery shows a shortwave trough digging across central Texas with a broad trough progressing through the Northern Plains.
Extensive cloudiness will persist through the weekend as persistent northeast surface flow keeps low-level moisture trapped beneath a passing shortwave traversing the Lower Mississippi Valley. Hi-res model guidance continues to indicate scattered post-frontal shower activity across northeast Mississippi today and tonight driven by weak broad ascent. Areas further north should remain dry with temperatures holding steady in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
As the shortwave and northern stream longwave phase this evening, additional isolated to scattered showers will spread across much of the Mid-South into Sunday morning. Rain chances will shift south and linger over northeast Mississippi through Sunday afternoon, where an isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out during the peak heating hours. A reinforcing cold front will move through Sunday night, shunting moisture south, ending precipitation, and ushering in a cooler, drier air mass.
Temperatures will return near seasonal norms early next week, with daily highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s and morning lows in the 50s under broad northwest flow aloft. Ensemble guidance (LREF) indicates a gradual warming trend through late week as a subtropical ridge builds over the region. Highs will likely top out in the mid to upper 80s by Friday-roughly 5 to 8 degrees above normal. Both deterministic GFS and ECMWF runs feature a cut- off low developing beneath the ridge by next weekend, which could bring a return of unsettled, wet weather to the area.
Aviation
536 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
(00Z TAFS)
MVFR prevailed at MEM and MKL this afternoon. PIREPs around MEM showed a relatively thick MVFR cloud layer, with base and tops around FL015 and FL030, respectively. This deck cleared JBR at 21Z, and the shallow frontal inversion appears to have mixed out completely at TUP, with VFR the result.
NBM and LAMP guidance depict a trend above fuel alternate minimums at MEM and MKL early this evening. Given the thickness of the lower deck, confidence in the optimistic guidance solutions is limited. KPAH radar VPW shows NE winds of 10-15KT in the FL010-020 layer, indicating some inflow of drier air into the evening hours. This may be offset by the return of scattered high- based -SHRA depicted in the global models after 06Z. Not a straightforward aviation forecast beyond mid-evening. TAFs will rely a good bit on persistence and continue the IFR trend at TUP toward sunrise.
Fire Weather
1245 PM CDT Sat Oct 3 2026
Mild and humid conditions persist through Sunday, with light, isolated rain chances confined mainly to northern Mississippi. A robust cold front passage late Sunday afternoon into the evening will usher in a significantly cooler and drier airmass. Behind the front, minimum relative humidity values are expected to drop near 30 percent south of Interstate 40 on Monday and Tuesday, with a medium-to-high probability of widespread relative humidity dropping below 30 percent on Wednesday and Thursday. Rain-free conditions and low fire weather moisture levels will likely continue through late next weekend.
MEG Watches / Warnings / Advisories
AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 2 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 3 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 4 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 5 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
- Day 6 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
- Day 7 · Fri Oct 9No risk area
- Day 8 · Sat Oct 10No risk area
Tornado chance
- Tomorrow, within 25 milesUnder 2%
Our own model, not an official forecast.
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Sat Oct 3Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Sun Oct 4Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Mon Oct 5Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 6–Oct 7Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 8–Oct 90.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature60% chance above normalOct 9–Oct 13
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 9–Oct 13
- Days 8–14 · Temperature40% chance above normalOct 11–Oct 17
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 11–Oct 17
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 29D1 Moderate drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Dyersburg Iii GolfThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 28 and the first fall freeze around November 2: a growing season of about 221 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 20; one spring in ten still has one after April 15.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 25 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor |
| Heat index max | 76° | 79° | 78° | 79° | 82° | 83° | 84° | 85° |
| Chance of thunder max | 7% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 8% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 1,300 ft | -100 ft | -100 ft | |||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 10 mi | 10 mi | |||||
| Mixing height max | 3,300 ft | 3,900 ft | 4,400 ft | 4,100 ft | 4,800 ft | 4,800 ft | 3,900 ft | 4,000 ft |
| Transport wind max | 12 mph | 14 mph | 15 mph | 12 mph | 9 mph | 10 mph | 9 mph | 10 mph |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 7 mph | 8 mph | 9 mph | 5 mph | 3 mph | 3 mph | 5 mph | 8 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Dyersburg(Awos) (DYR) · 4.6 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 | 76° / 63° | — | 94° (2019) | 36° (1895) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 79° / 57° | — | 94° (1903) | 41° (2014) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 78° / 51° | — | 92° (1903) | 38° (2014) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 80° / 52° | — | 89° (2018) | 40° (1917) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 83° / 55° | — | 88° (1903) | 40° (1917) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 85° / 55° | — | 88° (1916) | 36° (1921) |
| Fri Oct 9 | 87° / 59° would tie the record | — | 87° (2018) | 33° (1917) |
| Sat Oct 10 | 87° / 59° | — | 88° (1912) | 33° (1895) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 6:29 AM | 6:55 AM | 6:38 PM | 7:04 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 53% lit |
| Sun | 6:30 AM | 6:55 AM | 6:37 PM | 7:02 PM | 11 h 42 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:31 AM | 6:56 AM | 6:35 PM | 7:01 PM | 11 h 39 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
| Tue | 6:31 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:34 PM | 7:00 PM | 11 h 37 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:32 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:33 PM | 6:58 PM | 11 h 35 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
| Thu | 6:33 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:31 PM | 6:57 PM | 11 h 32 min | Waning crescent · 8% lit |
| Fri | 6:34 AM | 7:00 AM | 6:30 PM | 6:56 PM | 11 h 30 min | Waning crescent · 3% lit |
| Sat | 6:35 AM | 7:00 AM | 6:28 PM | 6:54 PM | 11 h 28 min | New moon · 1% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from