Current weather · Sep 26, 6:34 PM EDT

35.8324, -76.0080

67°

Mostly CloudyFeels like 67° · Humidity 68%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC · grid 78,111
High
70°
Low
61°
Rain today
5%
Sunrise
6:55 AM
Sunset
6:55 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sat 6 PM67°67°56°68%4%NNW17 mph22 mph80%3%—7 mi4,000 ft
Sat 7 PM66°66°56°70%4%NNW17 mph22 mph80%3%—7 mi4,000 ft
Sat 8 PM65°65°56°73%3%NNW17 mph22 mph80%2%—7 mi3,500 ft
Sat 9 PM65°65°56°73%4%NNW16 mph21 mph77%3%—7 mi3,000 ft
Sat 10 PM64°64°56°75%4%NNW16 mph21 mph71%3%—7 mi3,000 ft
Sat 11 PM64°64°56°75%5%NW17 mph22 mph68%3%—7 mi3,000 ft
Sun 12 AM63°63°56°78%6%NW16 mph21 mph68%4%—7 mi3,000 ft
Sun 1 AM63°63°56°78%6%NW16 mph21 mph69%5%—7 mi3,000 ft
Sun 2 AM63°63°56°78%5%NW16 mph21 mph70%1%—7 mi3,500 ft
Sun 3 AM62°62°55°78%5%NW15 mph18 mph68%1%—7 mi4,000 ft
Sun 4 AM62°62°55°78%6%NW16 mph21 mph64%1%—7 mi4,500 ft
Sun 5 AM62°62°55°78%5%WNW16 mph21 mph63%1%—7 mi5,000 ft
Sun 6 AM61°61°55°81%4%WNW15 mph18 mph62%1%—7 mi5,000 ft
Sun 7 AM61°61°55°81%6%W15 mph18 mph61%1%—7 mi6,000 ft
Sun 8 AM62°62°56°81%4%W15 mph18 mph60%1%—7 mi6,000 ft
Sun 9 AM65°65°56°73%3%WNW15 mph18 mph52%1%—7 mi
Sun 10 AM68°68°57°68%3%WNW16 mph21 mph36%1%—7 mi
Sun 11 AM71°71°57°61%3%WNW16 mph21 mph28%1%—7 mi
Sun 12 PM73°73°57°57%4%WNW16 mph21 mph27%1%—7 mi
Sun 1 PM75°75°57°54%4%WNW16 mph21 mph27%1%—7 mi
Sun 2 PM77°77°57°50%4%W16 mph21 mph27%—7 mi
Sun 3 PM78°78°57°48%4%W15 mph18 mph24%—7 mi
Sun 4 PM78°78°57°48%4%W14 mph17 mph17%—7 mi
Sun 5 PM77°77°57°50%3%W13 mph16 mph14%—7 mi
Sun 6 PM75°75°57°54%3%W10 mph13 mph18%—7 mi
Sun 7 PM73°73°58°59%3%W7 mph9 mph27%—7 mi
Sun 8 PM70°70°58°66%0%W6 mph7 mph31%—7 mi
Sun 9 PM69°69°58°68%0%W6 mph7 mph28%—7 mi
Sun 10 PM68°68°58°70%0%WNW6 mph7 mph21%—7 mi
Sun 11 PM68°68°58°70%0%WNW7 mph9 mph17%—7 mi
Mon 12 AM67°67°58°73%0%WNW7 mph9 mph17%—7 mi
Mon 1 AM66°66°58°75%0%WNW8 mph10 mph17%—7 mi
Mon 2 AM65°65°58°78%0%WNW9 mph12 mph17%—7 mi
Mon 3 AM65°65°58°78%0%WNW9 mph10 mph16%—7 mi
Mon 4 AM65°65°59°81%0%W8 mph10 mph14%—7 mi
Mon 5 AM65°65°59°81%0%W8 mph9 mph13%—7 mi
Mon 6 AM65°65°59°81%0%W7 mph9 mph13%—7 mi
Mon 7 AM65°65°59°81%0%W6 mph8 mph14%—7 mi
Mon 8 AM65°65°59°81%0%W6 mph7 mph14%—7 mi
Mon 9 AM67°67°59°75%0%W6 mph7 mph14%—7 mi
Mon 10 AM71°71°59°66%0%W6 mph7 mph14%—7 mi
Mon 11 AM75°75°59°58%0%W6 mph7 mph13%—7 mi
Mon 12 PM77°77°59°54%0%W6 mph8 mph14%—7 mi
Mon 1 PM78°78°59°52%0%W7 mph8 mph16%—7 mi
Mon 2 PM79°79°59°50%0%W7 mph9 mph18%—7 mi
Mon 3 PM80°81°59°49%0%W7 mph8 mph18%—7 mi
Mon 4 PM80°81°60°51%0%W6 mph8 mph19%—7 mi
Mon 5 PM80°81°60°51%0%WNW6 mph7 mph19%—7 mi

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 26, 6:21 PM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2670°61°Mostly Cloudy5%wind 20 mph
  2. SunSep 2778°63°Mostly Sunny6%wind 16 mph
  3. MonSep 2880°65°Sunny0%wind 9 mph
  4. TueSep 2982°65°Sunny1%wind 7 mph
  5. WedSep 3084°66°Sunny1%wind 9 mph
  6. ThuOct 185°68°Sunny1%wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
  7. FriOct 285°69°Mostly Sunny10%wind 10 mph · gusts 16 mph
  8. SatOct 383°71°Slight Chance Rain Showers28%wind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
  9. SunOct 481°71°National Blend47%0.57 inwind 14 mph · gusts 20 mph
  10. MonOct 580°67°National Blend44%0.10 inwind 17 mph · gusts 23 mph
  11. TueOct 673°64°National Blend21%0.37 inwind 24 mph
  12. WedOct 7~70°63°Model mean0.30 in
  13. ThuOct 8~69°60°Model mean0.04 in
  14. FriOct 9~72°58°Model mean
  15. SatOct 10~74°59°Model mean
  16. SunOct 11~76°58°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like67°
  • WindNNW 17 mphgusts 22 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity68%
  • Dew point56°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility7 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise6:46 PMMoonset 6:46 AM
  • Moon phaseFull moon100% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 26—63°NWS grid 70° / 61°rain 6%wind 24 mph · gusts 31 mph
  2. SunSep 2780°64°NWS grid 78° / 63°rain 10%wind 23 mph
  3. MonSep 2881°67°NWS grid 80° / 65°rain 2%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  4. TueSep 2982°68°NWS grid 82° / 65°rain 1%wind 8 mph
  5. WedSep 3084°69°NWS grid 84° / 66°rain 1%wind 10 mph
  6. ThuOct 184°71°NWS grid 85° / 68°rain 1%wind 12 mph
  7. FriOct 284°71°NWS grid 85° / 69°rain 15%wind 12 mph
  8. SatOct 382°71°NWS grid 83° / 71°rain 28%thunder 13%0.02 inwind 13 mph · gusts 18 mph
  9. SunOct 481°71°Beyond the NWS gridrain 47%thunder 11%0.57 inwind 14 mph · gusts 20 mph
  10. MonOct 580°67°Beyond the NWS gridrain 44%0.10 inwind 17 mph · gusts 23 mph
  11. TueOct 673°64°Beyond the NWS gridrain 21%0.37 inwind 24 mph
59°73°86°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 26, 2:00 PM EDT · GFS Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · GEFS Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 26, 8:00 AM EDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

50°73°95°SunMonTueWedThuFriSat

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2670° 61°69° 65°69° 60°69° 62°70° 62°~71° 63°
Sun Sep 2778° 63°75° 63°77° 57°76° 60°75° 59°~76° 62°
Mon Sep 2880° 65°75° 69°78° 57°78° 59°78° 60°~78° 65°
Tue Sep 2982° 65°—80° 62°80° 62°81° 59°0.03 in~79° 67°0.01 in
Wed Sep 3084° 66°—85° 63°82° 64°80° 62°0.07 in~81° 67°
Thu Oct 185° 68°—87° 67°83° 66°83° 65°~83° 68°
Fri Oct 285° 69°—90° 70°85° 68°0.01 in~87° 69°0.01 in~87° 71°
Sat Oct 383° 71°—88° 70°81° 69°0.05 in~83° 69°0.08 in~76° 70°
Sun Oct 4——83° 71°0.19 in80° 70°0.13 in~83° 70°0.30 in~79° 71°0.10 in
Mon Oct 5——86° 75°0.01 in77° 69°0.30 in~76° 72°0.87 in~78° 73°0.88 in
Tue Oct 6——~74° 58°0.20 in~67° 65°0.16 in~68° 61°~69° 67°1.02 in
Wed Oct 7——~68° 62°—~69° 58°~74° 70°0.89 in
Thu Oct 8——~66° 61°—~71° 54°~69° 64°0.11 in
Fri Oct 9——~69° 59°—~76° 55°~70° 61°
Sat Oct 10——~71° 59°—~77° 62°~73° 55°
Sun Oct 11——~76° 58°—~71° 70°0.08 in~58° 58°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Dare County Gunnery Range (2DP) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 26—92° (2025)43° (2011)no outlookno outlook
Oct 3—96° (2019)41° (2011)no outlookno outlook
Oct 10—88° (2009)38° (2010)no outlookno outlook
Oct 17—87° (2016)34° (2009)no outlookno outlook
Oct 24—85° (2023)29° (2008)no outlookno outlook
Oct 31—85° (2023)28° (2008)no outlookno outlook
Nov 7—83° (2015)30° (2011)no outlookno outlook
Nov 14—77° (2025)21° (2014)no outlookno outlook
Nov 21—78° (2025)23° (2008)no outlookno outlook
Nov 28—75° (2010)22° (2024)no outlookno outlook
Dec 5—79° (2011)16° (2010)no outlookno outlook
Dec 12—78° (2008)16° (2010)no outlookno outlook
Dec 19—78° (2013)17° (2022)no outlookno outlook

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowVery goodhot
  • HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowVery goodwind
  • Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
  • TickstomorrowHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SaturdayPoor8:20 PM to 5:31 AM0 of 10None100%17 mph
SundayFair8:18 PM to 5:32 AM7 of 10None98%Fair9 mph
MondayFair8:17 PM to 5:32 AM9 of 10None94%Fair6 mph
TuesdayFair8:15 PM to 5:33 AM10 of 10None88%Poor8 h7 mph
WednesdayFair8:14 PM to 5:34 AM6 of 101 h from 8:00 PM80%Poor7 h9 mph
ThursdayPoor8:12 PM to 5:35 AM0 of 10None71%6 h10 mph
FridayPoor8:11 PM to 5:36 AM0 of 10None60%8 h10 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sat6:30 AM to 6:40 AM6:40 AM to 7:29 AM6:21 PM to 7:11 PM7:11 PM to 7:20 PM
Sun6:30 AM to 6:40 AM6:40 AM to 7:30 AM6:20 PM to 7:09 PM7:09 PM to 7:19 PM
Mon6:31 AM to 6:41 AM6:41 AM to 7:31 AM6:18 PM to 7:08 PM7:08 PM to 7:17 PM
Tue6:32 AM to 6:42 AM6:42 AM to 7:31 AM6:17 PM to 7:06 PM7:06 PM to 7:16 PM
Wed6:33 AM to 6:43 AM6:43 AM to 7:32 AM6:15 PM to 7:05 PM7:05 PM to 7:15 PM
Thu6:34 AM to 6:43 AM6:43 AM to 7:33 AM6:14 PM to 7:03 PM7:03 PM to 7:13 PM
Fri6:34 AM to 6:44 AM6:44 AM to 7:34 AM6:12 PM to 7:02 PM7:02 PM to 7:12 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:55 AM, 91° E
  • SS Sunset 6:55 PM, 269° W
  • MR Moonrise 6:46 PM, 83° E
  • MS Moonset 6:46 AM, 273° W
  • Full moon, 100% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Mon 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:25 AM to sunrise 6:55 AM, and sunset 6:55 PM to 7:25 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sat6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sat 6 PMNo-fly1725304%7 mi400 ft67°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Sat 7 PMNo-fly1725304%7 mi400 ft66°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 8 PMNo-fly1725303%7 mi400 ft65°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 9 PMNo-fly1623284%7 mi400 ft65°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 10 PMNo-fly1623284%7 mi400 ft64°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 11 PMNo-fly1725305%7 mi400 ft64°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 12 AMNo-fly1623286%7 mi400 ft63°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 1 AMNo-fly1623286%7 mi400 ft63°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 2 AMNo-fly1623285%7 mi400 ft63°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 3 AMNo-fly1522255%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 4 AMNo-fly1623286%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 5 AMNo-fly1623285%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 6 AMNo-fly1522254%7 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 7 AMNo-fly1522256%7 mi400 ft61°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 8 AMNo-fly1522254%7 mi400 ft62°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 9 AMNo-fly1522253%7 mi65°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 10 AMNo-fly1623283%7 mi68°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 11 AMNo-fly1623283%7 mi71°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 12 PMNo-fly1623284%7 mi73°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 1 PMNo-fly1623284%7 mi75°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 2 PMNo-fly1623284%7 mi77°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 3 PMNo-fly1522254%7 mi78°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit
Sun 4 PMCaution1420244%7 mi78°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit
Sun 5 PMCaution1318223%7 mi77°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Sun 7 PM to Tue 2 AM 31 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Tue 9 AM to 9 PM 12 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Wed 10 AM to 10 PM 12 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 10 AM to 4 PM 6 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Fri 10 AM to 5 PM 7 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 10 AM to 3 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
Sat6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SaturdayDry5%0.00 in63%20 mph8 d
SundayDry4%0.00 in48%16 mph7 dGood
MondayDry0%0.00 in49%7 mph6 dGood
TuesdayDry1%0.00 in56%7 mph5 d
WednesdayDry1%0.00 in57%9 mph4 d
ThursdayDry1%0.00 in57%10 mph3 d
FridayDry8%0.00 in61%10 mph2 d
SaturdayDry24%0.00 in67%12 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Saturday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sat Best11:28 PM to 1:28 AM11:51 AM to 1:51 PM6:16 AM to 7:16 AM6:16 PM to 7:16 PM 100%6:55 AM, 6:55 PM
Sun Best12:14 AM to 2:14 AM12:37 PM to 2:37 PM7:22 AM to 8:22 AM6:44 PM to 7:44 PM 99%6:56 AM, 6:53 PM
Mon Good1:02 AM to 3:02 AM1:27 PM to 3:27 PM8:31 AM to 9:31 AM7:16 PM to 8:16 PM 95%6:57 AM, 6:52 PM
Tue Fair1:54 AM to 3:54 AM2:21 PM to 4:21 PM9:42 AM to 10:42 AM7:53 PM to 8:53 PM 90%6:58 AM, 6:51 PM
Wed Poor2:50 AM to 4:50 AM3:19 PM to 5:19 PM10:55 AM to 11:55 AM8:39 PM to 9:39 PM 83%6:58 AM, 6:49 PM
Thu Fair3:50 AM to 5:50 AM4:21 PM to 6:21 PM12:06 PM to 1:06 PM9:34 PM to 10:34 PM 74%6:59 AM, 6:48 PM
Fri Fair4:52 AM to 6:52 AM5:24 PM to 7:24 PM1:11 PM to 2:11 PM10:37 PM to 11:37 PM 64%7:00 AM, 6:46 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight61° · 6% · NW 17 mph

    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northwest wind around 17 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

  2. Sunday78° · 6% · W 13–16 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. West wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.

  3. Sunday Night63° · 3% · W 6–10 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 63. West wind 6 to 10 mph.

  4. Monday80° · W 7 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 80. West wind around 7 mph.

  5. Monday Night65° · N 6 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 65. North wind around 6 mph.

  6. Tuesday82° · 1% · NE 6 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 82.

  7. Tuesday Night65° · 1% · SE 2–7 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 65.

  8. Wednesday84° · 1% · S 2–8 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 84.

  9. Wednesday Night66° · 1% · S 5–9 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 66.

  10. Thursday85° · 1% · SW 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 85.

  11. Thursday Night68° · 1% · S 7–10 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 68.

  12. Friday85° · 8% · SW 6–10 mph

    Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

  13. Friday Night69° · 15% · SW 7–10 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 69.

  14. Saturday83° · 24% · SW 6–12 mph

    A slight chance of rain showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC · issued Sep 26, 1:23 PM EDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

What Has Changed

Adjusted CF and marine headlines based on trends.

KEY Messages

1) Large and slow moving Nor'easter continues to bring hazardous coastal and marine conditions to the area, gradually improving through the weekend.

2) High pressure builds in next week, bringing warm temperatures and lighter winds.

MARINE: Moderate winds and dangerous seas persist into tonight, with dangerous seas potentially lasting until Sunday.

Discussion

KEY MESSAGE 1...As of early this morning, a deepening Nor'easter will continue to lift along the Mid-Atlantic and NE coast tonight. Eventually, the system will weaken and lift NE away from the U.S. East Coast early next week.

The dry airmass should keep most of ENC dry today. The one exception, though, is along the NRN OBX. There, increasing CAA on the western periphery of the Nor'easter should lead to steep low- level lapse rates along the length of the Chesapeake Bay. This plus a favorable trajectory down the length of the Bay should support a band of light showers extending southeast from eastern VA into NE NC...though little on radar at this time.

Despite winds and seas gradually decreasing today, coastal impacts will continue to plague portions of the OBX. Buoys currently show wave heights of 10-13ft at 12-13 seconds, and this should continue to lead to wave runup and ocean overwash impacts along vulnerable stretches of the OBX, with a continued focus on Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands. Portions of NC-12 remain closed on both Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands. Adding to the impact of the wave runup and overwash is the already elevated astronomical tides ongoing through the weekend. Extended the CF Warnings/Advisory and the High Surf Advisory. In addition, as the Nor'easter pulls away from the area, a more moderate westerly wind is expected to develop by Sunday, and this may lead to a risk of very minor coastal flooding around Roanoke Island.

KEY MESSAGE 2...By mid to late next week, a notable upper level ridge is forecast to build over the Southeastern U.S. This combined with rising low-level thicknesses in southerly flow should support warming temperatures, including the potential for a period of above normal highs once again. Moisture is forecast to be slower to return, and this should support mostly dry conditions for much of the upcoming week.

Aviation · 18Z Saturday Through Thursday

Pred VFR conditions expected through the period. Afternoon heating plus residual low-level moisture may allow an area of SCT to BKN VFR-level cumulus (4-6k ft) to develop during this afternoon. East of the TAF sites, an area of MVFR CIGs may linger along the OUter Banks along with a band of light rain. Deep mixing plus modest northerly winds aloft should lead to a period of gusty NW winds, with gusts as high as 15-25 kt.

Outlook: Winds will continue to gradually decrease over the remainder of the weekend as the Nor'easter pulls slowly away from the area and weakens. A dry airmass in the wake of that system should allow VFR conditions to prevail into at least the first half of next week.

Marine

Deepening Nor'easter continues to push towards the Mid-Atlantic and NE coast this afternoon. Latest obs show N-NW winds 15-25 kt gusting 20-30 kt with seas 10-15 ft north of Ocracoke and 5-10 ft south. Dropped Gales based on obs, while SCAs continue for the coastal waters and sounds. A more substantial laying down of the winds is expected by tonight or Sunday as the Nor'easter finally lifts further away from the local area. For the coastal waters north of Cape Hatteras, dangerous seas of 10-15 ft will finally begin to lay down to 10ft, or less overnight. South of Cape Hatteras, the most dangerous seas are expected for the outer coastal waters, while the waters closer to shore will have elevated seas, but not as high as further out. W-NW winds 10-20 kt Sun with seas slowly subsiding with the offshore flow.

Outlook: Boating conditions are expected to substantially improve as we move into next week. Northerly flow is forecast to shift to southerly flow by the middle of the week.

MHX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ196- 203>205. Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ203. High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Sunday for NCZ203-205. Coastal Flood Warning until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ204- 205. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Sunday for AMZ131-135-156- 158-230-231. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ150. Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ152-154.

Hazardous weather outlook Sep 26, 1:57 PM EDT

The office’s own seven-day heads-up for spotters and emergency managers.

FLUS42 KMHX 261757
HWOMHX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193>195-198-271800-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-West Carteret-Inland Onslow-
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

NCZ205-271800-
Hatteras Island-
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

NCZ204-271800-
Ocracoke Island-
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

NCZ196-271800-
East Carteret-
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

NCZ203-271800-
Northern Outer Banks-
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

NCZ199-271800-
Coastal Onslow-
157 PM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sat Oct 3No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sat Sep 26Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 29–Sep 30Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 1–Oct 2Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · TemperatureEqual chances
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationEqual chances
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureEqual chances
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationEqual chances

Drought

  1. Drought MonitorNo drought

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Columbia Ag Gum Neck

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 29 and the first fall freeze around November 13: a growing season of about 231 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 31; one spring in ten still has one after April 10.

Climate of 35.83, -76.01: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 30 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSatSunMonTueWedThuFriSat
Heat index max70°78°81°82°86°87°88°86°
Chance of thunder max3%5%0%1%1%1%8%10%
Cloud ceiling min3,000 ft3,000 ft
Visibility min7 mi7 mi7 mi7 mi7 mi7 mi7 mi7 mi
Mixing height max3,200 ft4,400 ft4,500 ft3,800 ft
Transport wind max25 mph23 mph10 mph8 mph
Twenty-foot wind max17 mph17 mph8 mph6 mph
Atmospheric dispersion index max60515526
Low visibility risk max3356
Stability max4666
Wave height max1.0 ft1.0 ft1.0 ft1.0 ft1.0 ft1.0 ft1.0 ft
Wave period max3 s3 s2 s1 s

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Dare County Gunnery Range (2DP) · 13 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sat Sep 2670° / 61°—90° (2025)45° (2012)
Sun Sep 2778° / 63°—92° (2025)51° (2021)
Mon Sep 2880° / 65°—89° (2018)51° (2021)
Tue Sep 2982° / 65°—91° (2019)56° (2014)
Wed Sep 3084° / 66°—92° (2019)54° (2021)
Thu Oct 185° / 68°—86° (2015)48° (2009)
Fri Oct 285° / 69°—86° (2019)43° (2011)
Sat Oct 383° / 71°—90° (2019)41° (2011)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sat6:30 AM6:55 AM6:55 PM7:20 PM12 h 0 min Full moon · 100% lit
Sun6:30 AM6:56 AM6:53 PM7:19 PM11 h 57 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:31 AM6:57 AM6:52 PM7:17 PM11 h 55 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:32 AM6:58 AM6:51 PM7:16 PM11 h 53 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:33 AM6:58 AM6:49 PM7:15 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 83% lit
Thu6:34 AM6:59 AM6:48 PM7:13 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 74% lit
Fri6:34 AM7:00 AM6:46 PM7:12 PM11 h 46 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:35 AM7:01 AM6:45 PM7:10 PM11 h 44 min Last quarter · 54% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from