Current weather · Oct 4, 5:32 PM CDT
35.5300, -88.7770
77°
- High
- 78°
- Low
- 65°
- Rain today
- 10%
- Sunrise
- 6:52 AM
- Sunset
- 6:34 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 5 PM | 77° | 77° | 62° | 60% | 2% | NNE | 7 mph | 13 mph | 67% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | |||
| Sun 6 PM | 76° | 76° | 61° | 60% | 2% | NNE | 6 mph | 12 mph | 64% | 1% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | |||
| Sun 7 PM | 74° | 74° | 61° | 64% | 1% | N | 6 mph | 13 mph | 74% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Sun 8 PM | 69° | 69° | 60° | 73% | 0% | N | 6 mph | 14 mph | 79% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Sun 9 PM | 67° | 67° | 59° | 75% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 69% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Sun 10 PM | 65° | 65° | 58° | 78% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 13 mph | 78% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Sun 11 PM | 63° | 63° | 57° | 81% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 63% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Mon 12 AM | 61° | 61° | 55° | 81% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 61% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Mon 1 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 81% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 61% | — | 10 mi | 25,000 ft | ||||
| Mon 2 AM | 59° | 59° | 54° | 83% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 41% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 3 AM | 57° | 57° | 53° | 86% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 41% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 4 AM | 56° | 56° | 52° | 86% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 25% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 5 AM | 55° | 55° | 52° | 90% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 20% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 6 AM | 54° | 54° | 51° | 90% | 0% | NNE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 23% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 7 AM | 53° | 53° | 51° | 93% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 17% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 8 AM | 56° | 56° | 54° | 93% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 15% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 9 AM | 61° | 61° | 55° | 81% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 7% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 10 AM | 69° | 69° | 55° | 61% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 15 mph | 8% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 11 AM | 72° | 72° | 55° | 55% | 0% | NE | 9 mph | 16 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 12 PM | 74° | 74° | 55° | 51% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 1 PM | 76° | 76° | 55° | 48% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 5% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 2 PM | 77° | 77° | 54° | 45% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 17 mph | 7% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 3 PM | 78° | 78° | 54° | 43% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 16 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 4 PM | 77° | 77° | 53° | 43% | 0% | NE | 9 mph | 15 mph | 2% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 5 PM | 76° | 76° | 53° | 45% | 0% | NNE | 9 mph | 15 mph | 3% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 6 PM | 73° | 73° | 53° | 49% | 0% | NNE | 7 mph | 14 mph | 4% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 7 PM | 70° | 70° | 54° | 57% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 14 mph | 1% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 8 PM | 66° | 66° | 54° | 65% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 1% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 9 PM | 63° | 63° | 54° | 72% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 13 mph | 0% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 10 PM | 61° | 61° | 54° | 78% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 1% | — | 10 mi | -100 ft | ||||
| Mon 11 PM | 59° | 59° | 54° | 83% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 12 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 12 AM | 58° | 58° | 53° | 83% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 1 AM | 57° | 57° | 51° | 80% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 10 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 2 AM | 56° | 56° | 50° | 80% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 3 AM | 55° | 55° | 49° | 80% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 4 AM | 53° | 53° | 48° | 83% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 5 AM | 52° | 52° | 48° | 86% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 6 AM | 52° | 52° | 47° | 83% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 3% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 7 AM | 50° | 49° | 46° | 86% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 8 AM | 54° | 54° | 48° | 80% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 9 AM | 60° | 60° | 49° | 67% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 10 AM | 67° | 67° | 50° | 54% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 11 AM | 72° | 72° | 51° | 48% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 12 PM | 75° | 75° | 52° | 45% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 8 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 1 PM | 78° | 78° | 53° | 42% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 2 PM | 80° | 80° | 52° | 38% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 3 PM | 81° | 80° | 52° | 37% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Tue 4 PM | 81° | 80° | 51° | 35% | 0% | NE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 1% | — | — |
The next 8 days
NWS forecast grid published Oct 4, 3:05 PM CDT, daily figures derived from the hourly- TodayOct 478°65°Partly Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
- MonOct 579°50°Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- TueOct 681°52°Sunnywind 3 mph · gusts 10 mph
- WedOct 784°53°Sunnywind 5 mph
- ThuOct 885°53°Sunnywind 5 mph
- FriOct 986°56°Sunnywind 6 mph
- SatOct 1081°57°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showerswind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
- SunOct 1179°58°wind 12 mph · gusts 18 mph
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like77°
- WindNNE 7 mphgusts 13 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity60%
- Dew point62°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility10 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise12:12 AMMoonset 3:15 PM
- Moon phaseLast quarter43% lit
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Jackson/Mckellar (MKL) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sun Oct 11, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and low
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | 77° / 51° | 93° (1951) | 28° (2000) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 11 | 74° / 48° | 92° (1975) | 27° (2006) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 18 | 72° / 46° | 91° (2016) | 25° (1952) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Oct 25 | 68° / 45° | 88° (2016) | 25° (1952) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 1 | 64° / 42° | 88° (2016) | 18° (1951) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 8 | 64° / 38° | 84° (2005) | 14° (2019) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 15 | 60° / 37° | 83° (2016) | 14° (2022) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 22 | 58° / 35° | 82° (1965) | 1° (1950) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Nov 29 | 55° / 33° | 77° (1982) | 11° (1976) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 6 | 53° / 33° | 78° (2021) | -0° (1962) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 13 | 54° / 34° | 77° (1984) | -1° (1962) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 20 | 51° / 33° | 78° (2025) | -10° (1963) | no outlook | no outlook |
| Dec 27 | 51° / 33° | 80° (1951) | 4° (1983) | no outlook | no outlook |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hModeratehumid
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayVery goodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightPoormostly cloudy
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayGoodlittle sun
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayHighwarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated poor.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | Poor | 7:59 PM to 5:29 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 6 mph | ||
| Monday | Good | 7:58 PM to 5:30 AM | 10 of 10 | 7 h from 8:00 PM | 29% | Fair | 6 mph | |
| Tuesday | Good | 7:56 PM to 5:30 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 20% | Poor | 5 h | 1 mph |
| Wednesday | Good | 7:55 PM to 5:31 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 12% | Poor | 4 h | 1 mph |
| Thursday | Good | 7:53 PM to 5:32 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 6% | Fair | 2 h | 2 mph |
| Friday | Poor | 7:52 PM to 5:33 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 2% | 3 mph | ||
| Saturday | Poor | 7:51 PM to 5:34 AM | 0 of 10 | None | 0% | 4 h | 13 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 6:27 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:26 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:50 PM | 6:50 PM to 7:00 PM |
| Mon | 6:28 AM to 6:38 AM | 6:38 AM to 7:27 AM | 5:59 PM to 6:49 PM | 6:49 PM to 6:59 PM |
| Tue | 6:29 AM to 6:38 AM | 6:38 AM to 7:28 AM | 5:58 PM to 6:47 PM | 6:47 PM to 6:57 PM |
| Wed | 6:29 AM to 6:39 AM | 6:39 AM to 7:29 AM | 5:56 PM to 6:46 PM | 6:46 PM to 6:56 PM |
| Thu | 6:30 AM to 6:40 AM | 6:40 AM to 7:30 AM | 5:55 PM to 6:45 PM | 6:45 PM to 6:54 PM |
| Fri | 6:31 AM to 6:41 AM | 6:41 AM to 7:31 AM | 5:53 PM to 6:43 PM | 6:43 PM to 6:53 PM |
| Sat | 6:32 AM to 6:42 AM | 6:42 AM to 7:32 AM | 5:52 PM to 6:42 PM | 6:42 PM to 6:52 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:52 AM, 95° E
- SS Sunset 6:34 PM, 265° W
- MR Moonrise 12:12 AM, 58° ENE
- MS Moonset 3:15 PM, 299° WNW
- Last quarter, 43% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Tue 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:22 AM to sunrise 6:52 AM, and sunset 6:34 PM to 7:04 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Sun | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 5 PM | Good | 7 | 9 | 15 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 77° | nothing against it | |
| Sun 6 PM | Caution | 6 | 7 | 13 | 2% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 76° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |
| Sun 7 PM | Caution | 6 | 14 | 21 | 1% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 74° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 8 PM | Caution | 6 | 14 | 22 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 69° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 9 PM | Caution | 6 | 14 | 21 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 67° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 10 PM | Caution | 5 | 11 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 65° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Sun 11 PM | Caution | 5 | 11 | 18 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 12 AM | Caution | 3 | 8 | 15 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 1 AM | Caution | 3 | 8 | 15 | 0% | 10 mi | 400 ft | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 2 AM | No-fly | 3 | 14 | 21 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 59° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 3 AM | No-fly | 3 | 14 | 21 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 57° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 4 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 25 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 56° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 5 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 25 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 55° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 6 AM | No-fly | 5 | 18 | 25 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 54° | gusts near or over your limit, low cloud limits height (107.51), wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |
| Mon 7 AM | No-fly | 6 | 7 | 14 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 53° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 8 AM | No-fly | 7 | 9 | 16 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 56° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 9 AM | No-fly | 7 | 9 | 16 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 61° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 10 AM | No-fly | 8 | 10 | 17 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 69° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 11 AM | No-fly | 9 | 11 | 18 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 72° | low cloud limits height (107.51) | |
| Mon 12 PM | No-fly | 10 | 12 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 74° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Mon 1 PM | No-fly | 10 | 12 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 76° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Mon 2 PM | No-fly | 10 | 12 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 77° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Mon 3 PM | No-fly | 10 | 13 | 19 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 78° | low cloud limits height (107.51), gusts near or over your limit | |
| Mon 4 PM | No-fly | 9 | 12 | 18 | 0% | 10 mi | up to 0 ft | 77° | low cloud limits height (107.51) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Sun 5 PM to Mon 2 AM 9 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 9 AM to 11 AM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
- Mon 4 PM to 11 PM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 1 AM to 4 AM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 8 AM to 12 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
- Tue 3 PM to 7 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 1 PM to 6 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 5 PM to 8 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Sun | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Tue | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday | Dry | 10% | 0.00 in | 60% | 8 mph | 6 d | |
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 43% | 10 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 35% | 3 mph | 4 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 37% | 5 mph | 3 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 32% | 5 mph | 2 d | |
| Friday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 31% | 6 mph | 1 d | Good |
| Saturday | Wet | 40% | 0.30 in | 41% | 13 mph | ||
| Sunday | Wet | 31% | 0.49 in | 58% | 12 mph |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Friday, rated best.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | Fair | 6:48 AM to 8:48 AM7:16 PM to 9:16 PM | 11:42 PM to 12:42 AM2:45 PM to 3:45 PM | 43% | 6:52 AM, 6:34 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:44 AM to 9:44 AM8:10 PM to 10:10 PM | 12:54 AM to 1:54 AM3:23 PM to 4:23 PM | 32% | 6:53 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:36 AM to 10:36 AM9:00 PM to 11:00 PM | 2:05 AM to 3:05 AM3:56 PM to 4:56 PM | 23% | 6:54 AM, 6:32 PM |
| Wed | Fair | 9:24 AM to 11:24 AM9:47 PM to 11:47 PM | 3:13 AM to 4:13 AM4:24 PM to 5:24 PM | 15% | 6:55 AM, 6:30 PM |
| Thu | Good | 10:10 AM to 12:10 PM10:32 PM to 12:32 AM | 4:19 AM to 5:19 AM4:51 PM to 5:51 PM | 8% | 6:56 AM, 6:29 PM |
| Fri | Best | 10:55 AM to 12:55 PM | 5:23 AM to 6:23 AM5:17 PM to 6:17 PM | 3% | 6:57 AM, 6:28 PM |
| Sat | Best | 11:17 PM to 1:17 AM11:40 AM to 1:40 PM | 6:27 AM to 7:27 AM5:44 PM to 6:44 PM | 1% | 6:57 AM, 6:26 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedThis Afternoon78° · 2% · NNE 5 mph
Partly sunny, with a high near 78. North northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight53° · 2% · NNE 5 mph
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. North northeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday79° · NE 5–10 mph
Sunny. High near 79, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night50° · NE 5 mph
Clear, with a low around 50. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday81° · NE 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 81. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tuesday Night52° · NNE 0–5 mph
Clear, with a low around 52. North northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Wednesday84° · WSW 0–5 mph
Sunny. High near 84, with temperatures falling to around 81 in the afternoon. West southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Wednesday Night53° · 0 mph
Clear, with a low around 53. West northwest wind around 0 mph.
Thursday85° · NNE 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Thursday Night53° · NE 0–5 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Friday86° · E 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 86.
Friday Night56° · 1% · E 0–5 mph
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Saturday81° · 22% · E 5–15 mph
A slight chance of rain showers after 1pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night57° · 40% · E 5–15 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Memphis, TN · issued Oct 4, 1:07 PM CDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
KEY Messages
107 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
A reinforcing cold front will arrive tonight, bringing cooler and much drier continental air into the beginning of the week.
Low relative humidity values will result in elevated fire danger over through the work week; please exercise caution and heed local burn bans.
Temperatures will moderate back into the mid to upper 80s by midweek with unsettled weather potentially returning late next weekend.
Discussion
107 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
(This evening through next Saturday)
Surface and satellite observations show clearing cloud cover over the region, removing a days-long area of stratus. Sunshine will begin to filter through the clouds, leading to a slightly warmer day today. However, northerly flow behind last week's front is still present which will keep highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. A few showers will stick around across northeastern Mississippi, but will not produce much in terms of accumulating precipitation. A cold front associated with a trough currently over Ontario will swing south through tonight leading to a punch of dry air and further cooling. This will lead to very pleasant weather Monday and Tuesday with light winds, highs in the 70s and low 80s, and low humidity.
The upper pattern will return to a more benign, zonal state over the southern CONUS into the middle of the week, keeping the region dry. At the surface, cold advection will begin to weaken by Tuesday, leading to a gradual increase in temperatures through the end of the week. Expect high temperatures to climb back into the 80s, reaching into the upper 80s by Thursday. On the other hand, dry air will remain throughout the region, leading to afternoon relative humidity values around 30% or lower starting Wednesday, likely lasting through the end of the week. So, elevated fire weather conditions will exist through the end of next week.
While the above is occurring, the original front from last week will settle across the Gulf, transitioning into a stationary boundary. In the past 24 hours, models have started to introduce the idea of a tropical system forming along the stationary front off the eastern coast of Mexico, eventually dragging it northward towards the CONUS along the Gulf coastline in MS/AL/FL. While models have indicated the potential for a landfalling tropical cyclone, there is not yet a clear consensus amongst either ensemble or deterministic guidance on if there will be a tropical cyclone or its strength. However, the presence of tropical activity would have large implications on the last few days of the forecast period, but with current uncertainties it is still too early to pin down exact impacts for the Mid-South.
Aviation
107 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
(18Z TAFS)
VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals this afternoon as dry air flows into the region from the north. Northeast winds will persist throughout the forecast period following the passage of a reinforcing cold front.
Fire Weather
107 PM CDT Sun Oct 4 2026
Minimum relative humidity values will remain above 40 percent for the majority of the region Sunday, but another frontal passage Sunday night will bring lower humidity into the Mid-South. Minimum relative humidity values will generally sit between 30 and 40 percent Monday and Tuesday. Warmer weather will enter the forecast by Wednesday, leading to a sharp decrease in relative humidity values through the end of the week, dropping to 30 percent or below. This will mark the return of elevated fire danger. Light 20-foot winds and recent wetting rains are expected to curtail a higher threat of fire danger.
MEG Watches / Warnings / Advisories
AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Reading the outlooks…
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Jackson Exp StnThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around April 2 and the first fall freeze around October 29: a growing season of about 207 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 16; one spring in ten still has one after April 18.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 25 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 0 · Little | 0 · Little | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little |
| Heat index max | 78° | 78° | 80° | 82° | 83° | 83° | 80° | 78° |
| Wind chill min | 49° | |||||||
| Chance of thunder max | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 9% |
| Cloud ceiling min | 7,300 ft | -100 ft | ||||||
| Visibility min | 10 mi | 10 mi | ||||||
| Mixing height max | 3,800 ft | 4,400 ft | 4,700 ft | 5,000 ft | 5,800 ft | 6,400 ft | 4,300 ft | 3,500 ft |
| Transport wind max | 12 mph | 17 mph | 10 mph | 8 mph | 9 mph | 9 mph | 17 mph | 12 mph |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 7 mph | 8 mph | 2 mph | 3 mph | 3 mph | 5 mph | 10 mph | 9 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Jackson/Mckellar (MKL) · 9.0 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 | 78° / 65° | 79° / 54° | 91° (1954) | 32° (1987) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 79° / 50° | 80° / 52° | 93° (1951) | 33° (1999) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 81° / 52° | 78° / 52° | 91° (2024) | 33° (1980) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 84° / 53° | 77° / 51° | 92° (2016) | 32° (1952) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 85° / 53° | 77° / 51° | 89° (1963) | 29° (2000) |
| Fri Oct 9 | 86° / 56° | 76° / 51° | 90° (2017) | 28° (2000) |
| Sat Oct 10 | 81° / 57° | 76° / 52° | 89° (2010) | 28° (2000) |
| Sun Oct 11 | 79° / 58° | 74° / 49° | 91° (1963) | 31° (1964) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun | 6:27 AM | 6:52 AM | 6:34 PM | 7:00 PM | 11 h 42 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 6:28 AM | 6:53 AM | 6:33 PM | 6:59 PM | 11 h 40 min | Waning crescent · 32% lit |
| Tue | 6:29 AM | 6:54 AM | 6:32 PM | 6:57 PM | 11 h 38 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
| Wed | 6:29 AM | 6:55 AM | 6:30 PM | 6:56 PM | 11 h 35 min | Waning crescent · 15% lit |
| Thu | 6:30 AM | 6:56 AM | 6:29 PM | 6:54 PM | 11 h 33 min | Waning crescent · 8% lit |
| Fri | 6:31 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:28 PM | 6:53 PM | 11 h 31 min | Waning crescent · 3% lit |
| Sat | 6:32 AM | 6:57 AM | 6:26 PM | 6:52 PM | 11 h 29 min | New moon · 1% lit |
| Sun | 6:33 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:25 PM | 6:50 PM | 11 h 27 min | New moon · 0% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from