Current weather · Oct 1, 11:08 PM PDT
35.3610, -120.6570
70°
- High
- 83°
- Low
- 65°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 6:58 AM
- Sunset
- 6:46 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 11 PM | 70° | 70° | 55° | 58% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 12 AM | 70° | 70° | 53° | 55% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 1 AM | 70° | 70° | 53° | 55% | 0% | NNE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 2 AM | 70° | 70° | 53° | 55% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 9 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 3 AM | 69° | 69° | 53° | 56% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 9 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 4 AM | 70° | 70° | 54° | 56% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 9 mph | 19% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 5 AM | 70° | 70° | 53° | 55% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 10 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 6 AM | 70° | 70° | 53° | 55% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 10 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 7 AM | 70° | 70° | 54° | 56% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 10 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 8 AM | 74° | 74° | 57° | 56% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 6 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 9 AM | 79° | 79° | 57° | 47% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 6 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 10 AM | 84° | 83° | 56° | 38% | 0% | NE | 5 mph | 6 mph | 38% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 11 AM | 88° | 85° | 51° | 28% | 0% | W | 7 mph | 9 mph | 59% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 12 PM | 87° | 84° | 47° | 25% | 0% | W | 7 mph | 9 mph | 59% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 1 PM | 90° | 87° | 47° | 23% | 0% | W | 7 mph | 9 mph | 59% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 2 PM | 83° | 81° | 39° | 21% | 0% | W | 8 mph | 12 mph | 59% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 3 PM | 82° | 80° | 38° | 21% | 0% | W | 8 mph | 12 mph | 59% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 4 PM | 83° | 81° | 39° | 21% | 0% | W | 8 mph | 12 mph | 59% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 5 PM | 82° | 81° | 52° | 36% | 0% | WSW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 41% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 6 PM | 77° | 77° | 50° | 39% | 0% | WSW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 41% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 7 PM | 75° | 75° | 50° | 42% | 0% | WSW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 41% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 8 PM | 74° | 74° | 45° | 36% | 0% | N | 6 mph | 8 mph | 41% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 9 PM | 74° | 74° | 43° | 33% | 0% | N | 6 mph | 8 mph | 41% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 10 PM | 75° | 75° | 41° | 30% | 0% | N | 6 mph | 8 mph | 41% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 11 PM | 74° | 74° | 38° | 27% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 10 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 12 AM | 73° | 73° | 37° | 27% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 10 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 1 AM | 73° | 73° | 42° | 33% | 0% | NE | 8 mph | 10 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 2 AM | 73° | 73° | 44° | 36% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 14 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 3 AM | 72° | 72° | 48° | 42% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 14 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 4 AM | 73° | 73° | 50° | 45% | 0% | NE | 10 mph | 14 mph | 20% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 5 AM | 73° | 73° | 52° | 47% | 0% | ENE | 16 mph | 22 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 6 AM | 74° | 74° | 53° | 47% | 0% | ENE | 16 mph | 22 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 7 AM | 75° | 75° | 55° | 50% | 0% | ENE | 16 mph | 22 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 AM | 78° | 78° | 58° | 51% | 0% | E | 14 mph | 18 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 AM | 83° | 83° | 60° | 46% | 0% | E | 14 mph | 18 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 AM | 89° | 88° | 58° | 35% | 0% | E | 14 mph | 18 mph | 5% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 11 AM | 94° | 91° | 53° | 25% | 0% | WSW | 9 mph | 12 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 12 PM | 94° | 90° | 44° | 18% | 0% | WSW | 9 mph | 12 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 1 PM | 93° | 89° | 37° | 14% | 0% | WSW | 9 mph | 12 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 2 PM | 91° | 87° | 33° | 13% | 0% | WSW | 10 mph | 14 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 3 PM | 90° | 86° | 36° | 15% | 0% | WSW | 10 mph | 14 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 4 PM | 88° | 84° | 39° | 18% | 0% | WSW | 10 mph | 14 mph | 0% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 5 PM | 86° | 83° | 42° | 21% | 0% | WSW | 9 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 6 PM | 84° | 82° | 43° | 24% | 0% | WSW | 9 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 7 PM | 84° | 82° | 45° | 26% | 0% | WSW | 9 mph | 12 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 PM | 83° | 81° | 47° | 28% | 0% | WSW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 PM | 82° | 80° | 47° | 29% | 0% | WSW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 2% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 PM | 80° | 79° | 46° | 30% | 0% | WSW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 2% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Oct 1, 12:21 PM PDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF AI, ECMWF to day 16- TodayOct 183°65°Mostly Clearwind 8 mph
- FriOct 290°72°Mostly Sunnywind 8 mph
- SatOct 394°74°Sunnywind 16 mph · gusts 22 mph
- SunOct 493°68°Sunnywind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
- MonOct 593°67°Sunnywind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- TueOct 693°68°Sunnywind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- WedOct 794°69°Sunnywind 13 mph · gusts 21 mph
- ThuOct 894°69°Sunnywind 13 mph · gusts 22 mph
- FriOct 988°65°National Blendwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SatOct 1084°62°National Blendwind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
- SunOct 1181°60°National Blendwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
- MonOct 12~68°59°Model mean
- TueOct 13~69°58°Model mean
- WedOct 14~66°55°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~67°54°Model mean
- FriOct 16~71°56°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like70°
- WindNNE 6 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity58%
- Dew point55°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility—
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
- Moonrise10:11 PMMoonset 12:42 PM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous73% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 1, 5:00 PM PDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodayOct 1—61°NWS grid 83° / 65°wind 6 mph
- FriOct 286°65°NWS grid 90° / 72°wind 9 mph
- SatOct 393°68°NWS grid 94° / 74°wind 13 mph · gusts 20 mph
- SunOct 493°68°NWS grid 93° / 68°wind 9 mph · gusts 20 mph
- MonOct 591°68°NWS grid 93° / 67°wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- TueOct 692°68°NWS grid 93° / 68°wind 10 mph · gusts 17 mph
- WedOct 793°69°NWS grid 94° / 69°wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
- ThuOct 892°67°NWS grid 94° / 69°wind 14 mph · gusts 22 mph
- FriOct 988°65°Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
- SatOct 1084°62°Beyond the NWS gridwind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
- SunOct 1181°60°Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
- MonOct 1279°—Beyond the NWS gridwind 8 mph · gusts 18 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Oct 1, 5:00 PM PDT · GFS Oct 1, 5:00 PM PDT · GEFS Oct 1, 11:00 AM PDT · ECMWF Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDT · ECMWF AI Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 1 | 83° 65° | 73° 63° | ~68° 60° | ~71° 62° | ~72° 60° | ~71° 64° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 90° 72° | 83° 61° | 77° 65° | 77° 65° | 79° 60° | ~74° 62° |
| Sat Oct 3 | 94° 74° | 90° 66° | 85° 69° | 86° 70° | 89° 63° | ~82° 65° |
| Sun Oct 4 | 93° 68° | — | 85° 69° | 85° 71° | 91° 68° | ~81° 68° |
| Mon Oct 5 | 93° 67° | — | 84° 71° | 83° 71° | 88° 67° | ~77° 67° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 93° 68° | — | 82° 70° | 84° 71° | ~88° 64° | ~76° 63° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 94° 69° | — | 85° 71° | 85° 72° | ~93° 63° | ~81° 66° |
| Thu Oct 8 | 94° 69° | — | 82° 70° | 82° 70° | ~96° 64° | ~78° 66° |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | 79° 69° | 80° 68° | ~80° 61° | ~68° 61° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | 77° 65° | 77° 67° | ~73° 59° | ~64° 64° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | 74° 63° | ~76° 66° | ~66° 57° | ~63° 56° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~70° 62° | — | ~— — | ~65° 56° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~66° 61° | — | ~74° 56° | ~67° 58° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~64° 53° | — | ~69° 55° | ~64° 59°0.02 in |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~65° 49° | — | ~75° 56° | ~62° 56°0.02 in |
| Fri Oct 16 | — | — | ~71° 56° | — | ~57° 57° | ~58° 58° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at San Luis Obispo (SBP) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Fri Oct 16, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 75° / 52° | 106° (2023) | 39° (2002) | 50% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 8 | 77° / 49° | 105° (2015) | 38° (2019) | 80% chance above normal · days 6 to 10 | near normal most likely · days 6 to 10 |
| Oct 15 | 78° / 51° | 100° (2022) | 39° (2002) | 50% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 22 | 76° / 50° | 108° (2017) | 38° (2002) | 50% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 29 | 77° / 48° | 95° (2015) | 33° (2019) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 5 | 70° / 47° | 96° (2012) | 29° (2000) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 12 | 74° / 46° | 93° (2008) | 28° (2000) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 19 | 70° / 43° | 91° (2017) | 29° (2000) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 26 | 67° / 42° | 89° (2021) | 29° (2004) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 3 | 66° / 40° | 87° (2023) | 25° (2013) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 10 | 65° / 40° | 86° (2017) | 30° (1998) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 17 | 64° / 40° | 83° (2024) | 22° (1998) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 24 | 65° / 39° | 85° (2013) | 23° (1998) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtomorrowLowmild
- FlutomorrowLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstomorrowModerateheat
- SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtomorrowFairhot
- HikingtomorrowVery goodhot
- BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightVery goodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
- TickstomorrowModeratewarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststomorrowHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight: 2 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated fair.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday | Fair | 8:11 PM to 5:34 AM | 9 of 10 | 2 h from 8:00 PM | 69% | Good | 8 mph | |
| Friday | Fair | 8:09 PM to 5:35 AM | 7 of 10 | None | 59% | Good | 16 mph | |
| Saturday | Excellent | 8:08 PM to 5:36 AM | 10 of 10 | 4 h from 8:00 PM | 49% | Good | 8 mph | |
| Sunday | Excellent | 8:06 PM to 5:36 AM | 10 of 10 | 6 h from 8:00 PM | 38% | Good | 8 mph | |
| Monday | Excellent | 8:05 PM to 5:37 AM | 10 of 10 | 7 h from 8:00 PM | 28% | Good | 9 mph | |
| Tuesday | Excellent | 8:03 PM to 5:38 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 19% | Good | 13 mph | |
| Wednesday | Excellent | 8:02 PM to 5:39 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 12% | Good | 13 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 6:32 AM to 6:42 AM | 6:42 AM to 7:31 AM | 6:12 PM to 7:02 PM | 7:02 PM to 7:12 PM |
| Fri | 6:33 AM to 6:43 AM | 6:43 AM to 7:32 AM | 6:11 PM to 7:00 PM | 7:00 PM to 7:10 PM |
| Sat | 6:34 AM to 6:44 AM | 6:44 AM to 7:33 AM | 6:10 PM to 6:59 PM | 6:59 PM to 7:09 PM |
| Sun | 6:35 AM to 6:44 AM | 6:44 AM to 7:34 AM | 6:08 PM to 6:58 PM | 6:58 PM to 7:07 PM |
| Mon | 6:35 AM to 6:45 AM | 6:45 AM to 7:35 AM | 6:07 PM to 6:56 PM | 6:56 PM to 7:06 PM |
| Tue | 6:36 AM to 6:46 AM | 6:46 AM to 7:36 AM | 6:05 PM to 6:55 PM | 6:55 PM to 7:05 PM |
| Wed | 6:37 AM to 6:47 AM | 6:47 AM to 7:36 AM | 6:04 PM to 6:53 PM | 6:53 PM to 7:03 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:58 AM, 94° E
- SS Sunset 6:46 PM, 266° W
- MR Moonrise 10:11 PM, 55° NE
- MS Moonset 12:42 PM, 305° NW
- Waning gibbous, 73% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: no-fly (gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Fri 7 AM to 6 PM, 11 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:28 AM to sunrise 6:58 AM, and sunset 6:46 PM to 7:16 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 11 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 70° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 12 AM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 70° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 1 AM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 70° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 2 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 70° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 3 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 69° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 4 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 70° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 5 AM | Caution | 8 | 19 | 22 | 0% | 70° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 6 AM | Caution | 8 | 19 | 22 | 0% | 70° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 7 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 13 | 0% | 70° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 8 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 7 | 0% | 74° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 9 AM | Good | 5 | 6 | 7 | 0% | 79° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 10 AM | Good | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 84° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 11 AM | Good | 7 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 88° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 12 PM | Good | 7 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 87° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 1 PM | Good | 7 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 90° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 2 PM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0% | 83° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 3 PM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0% | 82° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 4 PM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0% | 83° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 5 PM | Good | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0% | 82° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 6 PM | Caution | 6 | 7 | 10 | 0% | 77° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 7 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 75° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 8 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 74° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 9 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 74° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 10 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 75° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Thu 11 PM to Fri 11 AM 12 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Fri 5 PM to 10 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Sun 12 AM to 10 AM 10 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Sun 11 PM to Mon 11 AM 12 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Mon 11 PM to Tue 8 AM 9 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 10 PM to Wed 2 AM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 11 PM to Thu 2 AM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Thu | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thursday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 33% | 8 mph | 8 d | Good |
| Friday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 21% | 8 mph | 7 d | Good |
| Saturday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 13% | 14 mph | 6 d | Good |
| Sunday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 27% | 9 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 26% | 7 mph | 4 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 25% | 10 mph | 3 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 24% | 13 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Thursday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 23% | 12 mph | 1 d | Good |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | Fair | 3:56 AM to 5:56 AM4:27 PM to 6:27 PM | 12:12 PM to 1:12 PM9:41 PM to 10:41 PM | 73% | 6:58 AM, 6:46 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 4:59 AM to 6:59 AM5:30 PM to 7:30 PM | 1:16 PM to 2:16 PM10:46 PM to 11:46 PM | 63% | 6:58 AM, 6:45 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 6:01 AM to 8:01 AM6:31 PM to 8:31 PM | 2:10 PM to 3:10 PM | 52% | 6:59 AM, 6:43 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 7:01 AM to 9:01 AM7:29 PM to 9:29 PM | 11:56 PM to 12:56 AM2:56 PM to 3:56 PM | 42% | 7:00 AM, 6:42 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:56 AM to 9:56 AM8:22 PM to 10:22 PM | 1:08 AM to 2:08 AM3:34 PM to 4:34 PM | 31% | 7:01 AM, 6:41 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:48 AM to 10:48 AM9:12 PM to 11:12 PM | 2:19 AM to 3:19 AM4:06 PM to 5:06 PM | 22% | 7:02 AM, 6:39 PM |
| Wed | Fair | 9:36 AM to 11:36 AM9:59 PM to 11:59 PM | 3:27 AM to 4:27 AM4:34 PM to 5:34 PM | 14% | 7:02 AM, 6:38 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedTonight68° · NE 5–10 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 68. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday90° · WNW 5–10 mph
Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night72° · NNE 5–15 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 72. North northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday94° · SSE 10–15 mph
Sunny, with a high near 94. South southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday Night74° · ENE 5–10 mph
Clear, with a low around 74. East northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday93° · SSW 0–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Sunday Night68° · SE 0–10 mph
Clear, with a low around 68.
Monday93° · NW 0–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Monday Night67° · ENE 0–10 mph
Clear, with a low around 67.
Tuesday93° · N 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 93.
Tuesday Night68° · 1% · N 5–15 mph
Clear, with a low around 68.
Wednesday94° · NW 5–15 mph
Sunny, with a high near 94.
Wednesday Night69° · NNE 5–15 mph
Clear, with a low around 69.
Thursday94° · 1% · WNW 5–15 mph
Sunny, with a high near 94.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Los Angeles, CA · issued Oct 1, 8:04 PM PDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
Synopsis
01/131 PM.
A major and long lasting heat wave will begin Friday and last through all of next week at least with with dangerously hot temperatures.
Short Term (Thu-sun)
01/804 PM.
***UPDATE***
Latest satellite and surface observations indicate mostly clear skies across the area except for some stratus/fog along the immediate coast. Current sounding data indicates marine inversion in the 800-1300 foot range. No significant winds are observed.
Forecast-wise for the immediate short term, no significant issues are expected. Weak onshore gradients will continue through the overnight hours, allowing for stratus/fog to become a bit more widespread across the Central Coast as well as the Ventura/LA coastal plain. With H5 heights remaining stagnant overnight, do not expect any appreciable deepening of the marine inversion. So, most stratus/fog should remain confined to the coastal plain. Other than the stratus, skies should remain clear overnight.
For the remainder of the short term period, main focus will be a long duration heat wave. The details from the short term discussion below are still valid.
***From Previous Discussion***
***A VERY DANGEROUS AND LONG LASTING HEAT WAVE FRIDAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK AND LIKELY EXTENDING INTO THE SECOND WEEK IN OCTOBER***
No significant changes to the short or long term forecasts. A dangerous heat wave will begin Friday and last through at least next week as a strong high pressure system sets up over the eastern Pacific and West coast. Pressure gradients are already starting to weaken today and that trend will continue through Saturday morning, resulting in offshore gradients to the east and north in the -2 to -4 range. So while this is an offshore scenario in October, it's not a traditional Santa Ana as the upper support is not sufficient for persistent gusty winds, though there will be brief periods of some sub advisory level north to northeast winds at times. However, in typical Santa Ana fashion, this heat wave will include the beaches, at least south of Pt Conception.
Temperatures will ramp up quickly Friday by 5-10 degrees and "peak" Saturday, though "peak" is misleading because day to day high temps will likely not change much at least through early next week. During this heat wave, warmer valley highs are expected to be 102-107, Downtown LA 99-103, and coastal areas from Santa Barbara to LA 90-98. These are 15-20 degrees above normal.
It will be warming in SLO and northern Santa Barbara Counties as well but delayed by a day. By the weekend expecting highs away from the beaches to reach the low to mid 90s and lower 100s in the interior. Heat advisories have been issued for these areas Saturday and Sunday. These may need to be extended in certain areas next week but models have been showing just enough cooling early next week to allow the advisories to drop off.
Long Term (Mon-thu)
01/219 PM.
This period will feel a lot like this coming weekend, though there are still some model solutions indicating a little more upper level northeast wind support and subsequently even hotter temperatures. This would be in the Wed-Fri period, so there is the potential for even hotter weather later next week with a better chance of breaking daily temperature records. Longer range models are starting to at least hint at some cooling next weekend.
Aviation
02/0034Z.
At 2352Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 900 ft deep. The top of the inversion was near 2600 ft with a temp of 29 C.
High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPRB, KBUR, KVNY, KWJF and KPMD.
Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing of change groups may be off +/- 2 hours. VLIFR conds expected for Central Coast sites, with LIFR for KSBA. IFR to low MVFR for the Ventura and LA Coastal sites.
KLAX...Moderate confidence in the 00Z TAF. Arrival and clearing times of IFR CIGs may be off by 2 hrs. CIGs may be intermittent between 07Z to 16Z. No significant east wind component expected.
KBUR...High confidence in the VFR 00Z TAF. No wind issues expected.
Marine
01/722 PM.
Generally quiet conditions expected across the coastal waters through the forecast period. Localized Small Craft Advisory (SCA) gusts may occur each afternoon and evening near Point Conception, off the coast of Point Dume, and across the San Pedro Channel.
Beaches
01/1245 PM.
While we will get a break from the coastal flooding concerns for the rest of the week, another hurricane swell (from Rachel) will likely bring a larger-than-Polo south swell to southern California for the early to middle part of next week. Thankfully tides at that time will not be extreme, but they should be around 6.5 feet which is high enough to cause some concern, but it all depends on how big the surf ends up. Stay tuned for future updates.
LOX Watches / Warnings / Advisories
CA...Extreme Heat Warning in effect from 10 AM Friday to 8 PM PDT Thursday for zones 38-87-88-349>358-362-366>375-548-550. (See LAXNPWLOX). Heat Advisory in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for zones 341>345-347-348. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...NONE.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 2 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 3 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 4 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 5 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 6 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 7 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
- Day 8 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Fri Oct 2Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Sat Oct 3Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 4–Oct 5Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 6–Oct 7Under 0.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature80% chance above normalOct 7–Oct 11
- Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 11
- Days 8–14 · Temperature70% chance above normalOct 9–Oct 15
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance below normalOct 9–Oct 15
Drought
- Drought MonitorNo drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, San Luis Obispo PolyThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around January 16 and the first fall freeze around December 25: a growing season of about 349 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by November 25; one spring in ten still has one after February 26.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 31 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 75° | 77° | 80° | 81° | 80° | 80° | 80° | 80° |
| Heat index max | 82° | 87° | 91° | 91° | 90° | 91° | 91° | 91° |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Snow level min | 11,600 ft | 11,600 ft | 11,600 ft | 11,700 ft | 11,900 ft | 11,700 ft | 11,800 ft | 12,100 ft |
| Mixing height max | 2,000 ft | 2,500 ft | 6,900 ft | |||||
| Transport wind max | 7 mph | 7 mph | 13 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · San Luis Obispo (SBP) · 8.5 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 1 | 83° / 65° | 82° / 53° | 105° (2020) | 45° (2002) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 90° / 72° | 81° / 53° | 105° (2020) | 40° (2002) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 94° / 74° | 76° / 52° | 100° (2020) | 39° (2002) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 93° / 68° | 75° / 52° | 103° (2014) | 41° (2002) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 93° / 67° | 79° / 52° | 101° (2023) | 42° (2002) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 93° / 68° | 81° / 51° | 106° (2023) | 43° (2007) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 94° / 69° | 82° / 50° | 100° (2008) | 42° (1998) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 94° / 69° | 80° / 51° | 100° (2015) | 44° (1998) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 6:32 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:46 PM | 7:12 PM | 11 h 48 min | Waning gibbous · 73% lit |
| Fri | 6:33 AM | 6:58 AM | 6:45 PM | 7:10 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 63% lit |
| Sat | 6:34 AM | 6:59 AM | 6:43 PM | 7:09 PM | 11 h 44 min | Last quarter · 52% lit |
| Sun | 6:35 AM | 7:00 AM | 6:42 PM | 7:07 PM | 11 h 42 min | Last quarter · 42% lit |
| Mon | 6:35 AM | 7:01 AM | 6:41 PM | 7:06 PM | 11 h 40 min | Waning crescent · 31% lit |
| Tue | 6:36 AM | 7:02 AM | 6:39 PM | 7:05 PM | 11 h 37 min | Waning crescent · 22% lit |
| Wed | 6:37 AM | 7:02 AM | 6:38 PM | 7:03 PM | 11 h 36 min | Waning crescent · 14% lit |
| Thu | 6:38 AM | 7:03 AM | 6:36 PM | 7:02 PM | 11 h 33 min | Waning crescent · 7% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from