Current weather · Sep 29, 2:01 PM EDT
34.5290, -83.3760
82°
- High
- 84°
- Low
- 54°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 7:27 AM
- Sunset
- 7:20 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 2 PM | 82° | 81° | 54° | 39% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 4% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 3 PM | 83° | 82° | 54° | 37% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 2% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 4 PM | 84° | 82° | 53° | 35% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 5 PM | 83° | 82° | 53° | 36% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 2% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 6 PM | 81° | 81° | 54° | 39% | 0% | SE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 2% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 7 PM | 77° | 77° | 54° | 44% | 0% | ESE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 8 PM | 71° | 71° | 54° | 56% | 0% | E | 0 mph | 3 mph | 1% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 9 PM | 69° | 69° | 55° | 62% | 0% | NE | 1 mph | 3 mph | 2% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 10 PM | 67° | 67° | 56° | 68% | 0% | N | 1 mph | 5 mph | 3% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Tue 11 PM | 66° | 66° | 57° | 71% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 5 mph | 2% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Wed 12 AM | 65° | 65° | 56° | 72% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Wed 1 AM | 64° | 64° | 56° | 75% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5% | 0.01 inHg | 9 mi | |||||
| Wed 2 AM | 63° | 63° | 56° | 79% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 4% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 3 AM | 62° | 62° | 56° | 82% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 5% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 4 AM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 84% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 5 AM | 61° | 61° | 54° | 80% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 7% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 6 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 81% | 0% | N | 2 mph | 6 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 7 AM | 60° | 60° | 54° | 82% | 0% | N | 3 mph | 6 mph | 8% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 8 AM | 60° | 60° | 55° | 83% | 0% | N | 3 mph | 6 mph | 5% | 0.01 inHg | 10 mi | |||||
| Wed 9 AM | 64° | 64° | 56° | 75% | 0% | NNE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 0% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 10 AM | 71° | 71° | 58° | 63% | 0% | ENE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 0% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 11 AM | 76° | 76° | 59° | 56% | 0% | E | 5 mph | 8 mph | 0% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 12 PM | 79° | 79° | 58° | 50% | 0% | E | 5 mph | 8 mph | 4% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 1 PM | 82° | 82° | 58° | 44% | 0% | ESE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 2 PM | 84° | 83° | 57° | 40% | 0% | SE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 11% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 3 PM | 85° | 84° | 57° | 38% | 0% | SE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 22% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 4 PM | 86° | 85° | 57° | 37% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 15% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 5 PM | 85° | 84° | 56° | 37% | 0% | SE | 3 mph | 8 mph | 11% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 6 PM | 84° | 83° | 57° | 40% | 0% | ESE | 2 mph | 7 mph | 14% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 7 PM | 80° | 80° | 57° | 46% | 0% | E | 2 mph | 6 mph | 21% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 8 PM | 74° | 74° | 58° | 58% | 0% | ENE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 13% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 9 PM | 71° | 71° | 58° | 64% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 18% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 10 PM | 70° | 70° | 59° | 70% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 13% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Wed 11 PM | 68° | 68° | 59° | 72% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 6 mph | 7% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 12 AM | 67° | 67° | 59° | 74% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 8% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 1 AM | 66° | 66° | 58° | 76% | 0% | NE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 10% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 2 AM | 65° | 65° | 58° | 78% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 11% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 3 AM | 64° | 64° | 57° | 79% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 9% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 4 AM | 63° | 63° | 57° | 80% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 8% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 5 AM | 62° | 63° | 56° | 80% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 6 AM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 82% | 0% | NNE | 1 mph | 5 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 7 AM | 61° | 61° | 56° | 84% | 0% | NNE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 8 AM | 62° | 62° | 57° | 82% | 1% | NNE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 6% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 9 AM | 66° | 66° | 59° | 77% | 2% | NE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 5% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 10 AM | 72° | 72° | 61° | 70% | 2% | E | 2 mph | 5 mph | 4% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 11 AM | 77° | 77° | 63° | 63% | 3% | ESE | 2 mph | 5 mph | 3% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 12 PM | 80° | 82° | 64° | 57% | 3% | ESE | 3 mph | 7 mph | 7% | 0.01 inHg | — | |||||
| Thu 1 PM | 83° | 84° | 64° | 52% | 3% | SE | 5 mph | 8 mph | 12% | 0.01 inHg | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Sep 29, 6:14 AM EDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodaySep 2984°54°Sunnywind 5 mph
- WedSep 3086°61°Sunnywind 5 mph
- ThuOct 187°66°Sunnywind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- FriOct 288°68°Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Light Rainwind 5 mph
- SatOct 383°67°Showers And Thunderstorms Likelywind 3 mph · gusts 9 mph
- SunOct 476°64°Rain Showers Likelywind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- MonOct 574°56°Chance Rain Showerswind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- TueOct 669°54°wind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- WedOct 770°57°National Blendwind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- ThuOct 874°58°National Blendwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
- FriOct 977°57°National Blendwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SatOct 10~74°52°Model mean
- SunOct 11~72°52°Model mean
- MonOct 12~69°51°Model mean
- TueOct 13~67°49°Model mean
- WedOct 14~75°49°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like81°
- WindESE 2 mphgusts 6 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity39%
- Dew point54°
- Pressure0.01 inHg
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility9 mi
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise8:57 PMMoonset 10:40 AM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous90% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodaySep 2984°63°NWS grid 84° / 54°wind 3 mph
- WedSep 3087°64°NWS grid 86° / 61°wind 5 mph
- ThuOct 188°68°NWS grid 87° / 66°wind 5 mph
- FriOct 289°70°NWS grid 88° / 68°wind 5 mph
- SatOct 385°68°NWS grid 83° / 67°wind 5 mph
- SunOct 477°65°NWS grid 76° / 64°wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- MonOct 574°59°NWS grid 74° / 56°wind 8 mph · gusts 15 mph
- TueOct 669°56°NWS grid 69° / 54°wind 13 mph · gusts 23 mph
- WedOct 770°57°Beyond the NWS gridwind 10 mph · gusts 20 mph
- ThuOct 874°58°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
- FriOct 977°57°Beyond the NWS gridwind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · GFS Sep 29, 8:00 AM EDT · GEFS Sep 29, 2:00 AM EDT · ECMWF Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDT · ECMWF AI Sep 28, 8:00 PM EDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Sep 29 | 84° 54° | 85° 57° | 84° 55° | 84° 55° | 83° 61° | ~82° 57° |
| Wed Sep 30 | 86° 61° | 88° 62° | 85° 58° | 85° 59° | 85° 63° | ~83° 59° |
| Thu Oct 1 | 87° 66° | 70° 63° | 86° 62° | 85° 61° | 86° 64° | ~83° 62° |
| Fri Oct 2 | 88° 68°0.02 in | — | 86° 66°0.06 in | 85° 64°0.06 in | 88° 68° | ~84° 67°0.20 in |
| Sat Oct 3 | 83° 67°0.84 in | — | 69° 66°1.79 in | 82° 67°0.31 in | 89° 70°0.44 in | ~75° 71°1.03 in |
| Sun Oct 4 | 76° 64°1.28 in | — | 67° 61°1.94 in | 70° 64°0.84 in | 70° 66°1.78 in | ~71° 69°0.96 in |
| Mon Oct 5 | 74° 56°0.93 in | — | 73° 60° | 72° 63°0.69 in | ~78° 64° | ~78° 66°0.02 in |
| Tue Oct 6 | 69° 54°0.20 in | — | 60° 53° | 64° 57°0.46 in | ~66° 58° | ~69° 59° |
| Wed Oct 7 | — | — | 58° 49°0.20 in | 64° 53°0.25 in | ~65° 50° | ~66° 50° |
| Thu Oct 8 | — | — | 68° 52°0.07 in | 69° 55°0.20 in | ~69° 51° | ~66° 52°0.33 in |
| Fri Oct 9 | — | — | ~76° 56° | ~58° 58°0.03 in | ~65° 58° | ~74° 57°0.02 in |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | ~71° 55° | — | ~77° 53° | ~74° 49° |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | ~78° 54° | — | ~61° 53° | ~77° 50° |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~65° 49° | — | ~69° 49° | ~73° 55° |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~64° 42° | — | ~72° 56° | ~65° 47° |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~75° 49° | — | — | — |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Toccoa (TOC) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Wed Oct 14, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | 77° / 55° | 99° (2019) | 30° (1974) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 6 | 74° / 56° | 95° (1951) | 30° (1906) | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 | 40% chance above normal · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 13 | 73° / 51° | 90° (2017) | 30° (1978) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 20 | 72° / 48° | 89° (2016) | 25° (1917) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 27 | 69° / 47° | 88° (1950) | 25° (1913) | 40% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Nov 3 | 66° / 45° | 86° (1974) | 18° (1954) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 10 | 63° / 41° | 89° (2003) | 15° (1969) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 17 | 62° / 41° | 81° (1958) | 15° (1937) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 24 | 61° / 38° | 80° (1913) | 9° (1950) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 1 | 60° / 38° | 80° (1998) | 9° (1937) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 8 | 56° / 36° | 78° (1943) | 1° (1962) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 15 | 56° / 35° | 79° (1924) | 8° (1951) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 22 | 54° / 34° | 80° (1955) | 4° (1983) | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayGoodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightGoodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayModeratewarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday | Fair | 8:44 PM to 6:04 AM | 9 of 9 | None | 87% | Fair | 2 mph | |
| Wednesday | Fair | 8:42 PM to 6:05 AM | 9 of 9 | 1 h from 9:00 PM | 80% | Fair | 2 mph | |
| Thursday | Fair | 8:41 PM to 6:05 AM | 4 of 9 | 2 h from 9:00 PM | 70% | Fair | 1 mph | |
| Friday | Poor | 8:40 PM to 6:06 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 60% | 4 h | 1 mph | |
| Saturday | Poor | 8:38 PM to 6:07 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 50% | 8 h | 2 mph | |
| Sunday | Poor | 8:37 PM to 6:08 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 39% | 9 h | 3 mph | |
| Monday | Poor | 8:35 PM to 6:08 AM | 0 of 9 | None | 29% | 8 h | 9 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 7:02 AM to 7:11 AM | 7:11 AM to 8:00 AM | 6:47 PM to 7:36 PM | 7:36 PM to 7:45 PM |
| Wed | 7:02 AM to 7:12 AM | 7:12 AM to 8:01 AM | 6:46 PM to 7:34 PM | 7:34 PM to 7:44 PM |
| Thu | 7:03 AM to 7:13 AM | 7:13 AM to 8:02 AM | 6:44 PM to 7:33 PM | 7:33 PM to 7:43 PM |
| Fri | 7:04 AM to 7:14 AM | 7:14 AM to 8:02 AM | 6:43 PM to 7:31 PM | 7:31 PM to 7:41 PM |
| Sat | 7:05 AM to 7:14 AM | 7:14 AM to 8:03 AM | 6:41 PM to 7:30 PM | 7:30 PM to 7:40 PM |
| Sun | 7:05 AM to 7:15 AM | 7:15 AM to 8:04 AM | 6:40 PM to 7:29 PM | 7:29 PM to 7:38 PM |
| Mon | 7:06 AM to 7:16 AM | 7:16 AM to 8:05 AM | 6:38 PM to 7:27 PM | 7:27 PM to 7:37 PM |
- SR Sunrise 7:27 AM, 93° E
- SS Sunset 7:20 PM, 267° W
- MR Moonrise 8:57 PM, 62° ENE
- MS Moonset 10:40 AM, 295° WNW
- Waning gibbous, 90% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Tue 2 PM to 7 PM, 5 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:57 AM to sunrise 7:27 AM, and sunset 7:20 PM to 7:50 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Tue | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 2 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0% | 9 mi | 82° | nothing against it | ||
| Tue 3 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 9 mi | 83° | nothing against it | ||
| Tue 4 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 9 mi | 84° | nothing against it | ||
| Tue 5 PM | Good | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0% | 9 mi | 83° | nothing against it | ||
| Tue 6 PM | Good | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0% | 9 mi | 81° | nothing against it | ||
| Tue 7 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 9 mi | 77° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 8 PM | Caution | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 9 mi | 71° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 9 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0% | 9 mi | 69° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 10 PM | Caution | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0% | 9 mi | 67° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Tue 11 PM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 9 mi | 66° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 12 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 9 mi | 65° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 1 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 9 mi | 64° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 2 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 63° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 3 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 62° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 4 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 5 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 61° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 6 AM | Caution | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 7 AM | Caution | 3 | 14 | 16 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | ||
| Wed 8 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0% | 10 mi | 60° | nothing against it | ||
| Wed 9 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | 64° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 10 AM | Good | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0% | 71° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 11 AM | Good | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 76° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 12 PM | Good | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 79° | nothing against it | |||
| Wed 1 PM | Good | 5 | 5 | 9 | 0% | 82° | nothing against it |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Wed 9 AM to 4 PM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Thu 12 PM to 7 PM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Fri 12 PM to 4 PM 4 hours, every hour within the rules
| Tue | 6 PM | |||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Thu | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fri | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 35% | 5 mph | 4 d | |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 37% | 5 mph | 3 d | |
| Thursday | Dry | 3% | 0.00 in | 44% | 5 mph | 2 d | |
| Friday | Dry | 20% | 0.02 in | 51% | 5 mph | 1 d | |
| Saturday | Wet | 73% | 0.84 in | 66% | 3 mph | ||
| Sunday | Wet | 74% | 1.28 in | 80% | 6 mph | ||
| Monday | Wet | 49% | 0.93 in | 71% | 7 mph | ||
| Tuesday | Showers possible | 21% | 0.20 in | 57% | 10 mph |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Tuesday, rated fair.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | Fair | 2:24 AM to 4:24 AM2:52 PM to 4:52 PM | 10:10 AM to 11:10 AM8:27 PM to 9:27 PM | 90% | 7:27 AM, 7:20 PM |
| Wed | Poor | 3:20 AM to 5:20 AM3:50 PM to 5:50 PM | 11:22 AM to 12:22 PM9:13 PM to 10:13 PM | 83% | 7:27 AM, 7:19 PM |
| Thu | Fair | 4:20 AM to 6:20 AM4:52 PM to 6:52 PM | 12:32 PM to 1:32 PM10:09 PM to 11:09 PM | 74% | 7:28 AM, 7:17 PM |
| Fri | Fair | 5:23 AM to 7:23 AM5:54 PM to 7:54 PM | 1:37 PM to 2:37 PM11:13 PM to 12:13 AM | 64% | 7:29 AM, 7:16 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 6:25 AM to 8:25 AM6:56 PM to 8:56 PM | 2:33 PM to 3:33 PM | 54% | 7:30 AM, 7:15 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 7:25 AM to 9:25 AM7:54 PM to 9:54 PM | 12:22 AM to 1:22 AM3:20 PM to 4:20 PM | 43% | 7:30 AM, 7:13 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 8:21 AM to 10:21 AM8:48 PM to 10:48 PM | 1:34 AM to 2:34 AM3:59 PM to 4:59 PM | 33% | 7:31 AM, 7:12 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedThis Afternoon84° · ESE 2 mph
Sunny, with a high near 84. East southeast wind around 2 mph.
Tonight60° · NE 2 mph
Clear, with a low around 60. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Wednesday86° · E 5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 86. East wind around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night61° · NE 2 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 61. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Thursday87° · 3% · E 1–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 87. East wind 1 to 5 mph.
Thursday Night66° · 6% · ENE 0–3 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 66.
Friday88° · 17% · SE 0–5 mph
A slight chance of rain after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 88.
Friday Night68° · 47% · WNW 0–3 mph
A slight chance of rain before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 68. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Saturday83° · 73% · ESE 0–3 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night67° · 73% · E 3 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday76° · 74% · S 2–6 mph
Rain showers likely before 2pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Sunday Night64° · 74% · NW 5 mph
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday74° · 49% · NE 3–7 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 74. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Monday Night56° · 49% · ENE 5–9 mph
A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC · issued Sep 29, 6:31 AM EDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
What Has Changed
The aviation discussion was updated for the 12z TAF issuance.
KEY Messages
1. Following a protracted period of clear, dry weather, accompanied by a slow but steady warming trend lasting most of this week, the signal is getting stronger for cold-air damming to develop over the weekend. Clouds and rain are expected to return by Saturday, and a strong cooling trend may be in store by Sunday.
Discussion
Key message 1: Following a protracted period of clear, dry weather, accompanied by a slow but steady warming trend lasting most of this week, the signal is getting stronger for cold-air damming to develop over the weekend. Clouds and rain are expected to return by Saturday, and a strong cooling trend may be in store by Sunday.
With a weakening coastal low now centered over the Nantucket/Cape Cod region and continuing its northeastward march, low-level northwesterly CAA has diminished somewhat across the Carolinas, leaving us in an increasingly stagnant pattern. The most recent upper-air analysis features a broad z500 ridge axis extending from the southern Great Plains, across the Ozarks, and into the Great Lakes, with weak northwesterly flow draped across the Carolinas. Water vapor imagery depicts a dry cyclonic circulation centered over the Appalachians...but think that'll pass with little fanfare tonight, other than perhaps lending an extra twinkle to the stars.
The forecast remains much the same as it has for days; upper ridging is still expected to build across the southeast over the next 24 hours or so, while at the surface broad, ill-defined high pressure will migrate off the Atlantic coast through the middle of the week, opening the Carolinas up to weak moisture return by Thursday and Friday. Some uncertainty remains in how quickly low-level upglide will begin to produce rainfall again...but long-range ensembles continue to trend more and more toward a later onset, with some 75% of the most recent LREF ensemble members now holding rain off until, at the earliest, Friday night. All three of the global deterministic models now hold rain off until early Saturday.
Having said all that, it still looks like a good case for a hybrid cold air damming setup, with incipient high pressure draped across the northeast Friday and Saturday contributing a synoptic component and the onset of rainfall providing a strong diabatic component. Still think, therefore, that a CAD wedge is likely to develop over the weekend. It should be short-lived, however, as guidance remains in excellent agreement (for this timescale) on the arrival of a strong cold front by Monday afternoon, ushering in a cool cP air mass by the end of forecast period. Accordingly, the latest forecast features cloudy skies and a strong cooling trend over the weekend...with highs in the 70s by Sunday and Monday...and lows approaching their coolest so far this fall to start out next week.
Aviation · 12Z Tuesday Through Saturday
At KCLT and elsewhere: Expect dry, VFR conditions and mostly clear skies to continue thru the 12z TAF period. Over the past few hrs, mountain valley fog/low stratus has developed again in the usual locations, but it's not expected to impact KAVL. Winds should be light thru the TAF period (generally 5 kts or less). They will continue to favor a N to NE direction, but will be light and VRB to calm at times thru the day/evening.
Outlook: Dry, VFR conditions should persist thru Thursday. Moisture will begin to increase across the area on Friday, with a chance of showers by Friday afternoon over the mountains and more widespread showers across the area on Saturday. Mountain valley fog/low stratus remains possible each morning.
GSP Watches / Warnings / Advisories
GA...None. NC...None. SC...None.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
- Day 2 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
- Day 3 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
- Day 4 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 5 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 6 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 7 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 8 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 2–Oct 3Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 4–Oct 51.25 in
Flash flood risk
- Day 1 · Tue Sep 29Below marginal
- Day 2 · Wed Sep 30Below marginal
- Day 3 · Thu Oct 1Below marginal
- Day 4 · Fri Oct 2Below marginal
- Day 5 · Sat Oct 3Marginal
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
- Days 6–10 · Precipitation60% chance above normalOct 4–Oct 8
- Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 6–Oct 12
- Days 8–14 · Precipitation40% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 12
Hazards, 3 to 14 days
- Oct 3–Oct 4Heavy Rain
Drought
- Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, ToccoaThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 23 and the first fall freeze around November 11: a growing season of about 233 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 29; one spring in ten still has one after April 9.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 31 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 1 · Minor | 0 · Little |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 75° | 77° | 80° | 81° | 78° | 73° | 72° | 65° |
| Heat index max | 82° | 85° | 88° | 90° | 86° | 75° | 74° | |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 2% | 16% | 31% | 19% | 13% | 5% |
| Visibility min | 9 mi | 9 mi | ||||||
| Pressure min | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg | 0.01 inHg |
| Mixing height max | 5,100 ft | 6,400 ft | 6,400 ft | 5,800 ft | 2,800 ft | 1,600 ft | 3,400 ft | 3,200 ft |
| Transport wind max | 7 mph | 7 mph | 6 mph | 7 mph | 8 mph | 8 mph | 8 mph | 10 mph |
| Twenty-foot wind max | 5 mph | 5 mph | 5 mph | 5 mph | 3 mph | 6 mph | 7 mph | 10 mph |
| Davis stability index max | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Atmospheric dispersion index max | 20 | 48 | 40 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 34 | 33 |
| Low visibility risk max | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| Stability max | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Toccoa (TOC) · 6.3 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Sep 29 | 84° / 54° | 80° / 59° | 93° (1941) | 40° (1942) |
| Wed Sep 30 | 86° / 61° | 78° / 57° | 97° (1904) | 34° (1967) |
| Thu Oct 1 | 87° / 66° | 78° / 56° | 93° (2019) | 37° (1924) |
| Fri Oct 2 | 88° / 68° | 77° / 55° | 93° (1998) | 35° (1966) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 83° / 67° | 77° / 56° | 96° (2019) | 30° (1974) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 76° / 64° | 78° / 57° | 99° (2019) | 31° (1974) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 74° / 56° | 78° / 56° | 96° (1954) | 36° (1968) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 69° / 54° | 79° / 57° | 95° (1951) | 36° (1974) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue | 7:02 AM | 7:27 AM | 7:20 PM | 7:45 PM | 11 h 53 min | Waning gibbous · 90% lit |
| Wed | 7:02 AM | 7:27 AM | 7:19 PM | 7:44 PM | 11 h 52 min | Waning gibbous · 83% lit |
| Thu | 7:03 AM | 7:28 AM | 7:17 PM | 7:43 PM | 11 h 49 min | Waning gibbous · 74% lit |
| Fri | 7:04 AM | 7:29 AM | 7:16 PM | 7:41 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 64% lit |
| Sat | 7:05 AM | 7:30 AM | 7:15 PM | 7:40 PM | 11 h 45 min | Last quarter · 54% lit |
| Sun | 7:05 AM | 7:30 AM | 7:13 PM | 7:38 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 43% lit |
| Mon | 7:06 AM | 7:31 AM | 7:12 PM | 7:37 PM | 11 h 41 min | Waning crescent · 33% lit |
| Tue | 7:07 AM | 7:32 AM | 7:11 PM | 7:36 PM | 11 h 39 min | Waning crescent · 23% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from