Current weather · Oct 2, 11:26 AM PDT

34.2690, -118.2380

84°

SunnyFeels like 81° · Humidity 21%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS Los Angeles, CA · grid 157,54
High
85°
Low
74°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
6:48 AM
Sunset
6:35 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Fri 11 AM84°81°40°21%0%S7 mph9 mph18%——
Fri 12 PM84°82°44°25%0%S7 mph9 mph18%——
Fri 1 PM85°83°48°28%0%S7 mph9 mph18%——
Fri 2 PM85°83°48°28%0%SW8 mph12 mph18%——
Fri 3 PM85°83°51°32%0%SW8 mph12 mph18%——
Fri 4 PM85°83°52°34%0%SW8 mph12 mph18%——
Fri 5 PM84°82°52°34%0%WSW7 mph9 mph10%——
Fri 6 PM82°81°54°39%0%WSW7 mph9 mph10%——
Fri 7 PM80°80°52°39%0%WSW7 mph9 mph10%——
Fri 8 PM79°79°46°32%0%NNW6 mph8 mph10%——
Fri 9 PM79°79°40°25%0%NNW6 mph8 mph10%——
Fri 10 PM79°79°35°20%0%NNW6 mph8 mph10%——
Fri 11 PM78°78°31°18%0%NE7 mph9 mph11%——
Sat 12 AM78°78°30°17%0%NE7 mph9 mph11%——
Sat 1 AM78°78°30°17%0%NE7 mph9 mph11%——
Sat 2 AM77°77°33°20%0%ENE8 mph12 mph11%——
Sat 3 AM77°77°33°20%0%ENE8 mph12 mph11%——
Sat 4 AM77°77°30°18%0%ENE8 mph12 mph11%——
Sat 5 AM77°77°33°20%0%E9 mph13 mph10%——
Sat 6 AM77°77°36°23%0%E9 mph13 mph10%——
Sat 7 AM77°77°38°25%0%E9 mph13 mph10%——
Sat 8 AM80°79°43°27%0%E8 mph12 mph10%——
Sat 9 AM83°81°43°25%0%E8 mph12 mph10%——
Sat 10 AM84°81°41°22%0%E8 mph12 mph10%——
Sat 11 AM85°82°44°24%0%SE6 mph8 mph4%——
Sat 12 PM86°83°46°25%0%SE6 mph8 mph4%——
Sat 1 PM86°83°47°26%0%SE6 mph8 mph4%——
Sat 2 PM87°84°47°26%0%SSW6 mph8 mph4%——
Sat 3 PM87°84°48°27%0%SSW6 mph8 mph4%——
Sat 4 PM87°84°48°27%0%SSW6 mph8 mph4%——
Sat 5 PM86°83°48°27%0%SW7 mph9 mph1%——
Sat 6 PM85°83°49°29%0%SW7 mph9 mph1%——
Sat 7 PM82°80°45°28%0%SW7 mph9 mph1%——
Sat 8 PM81°79°41°24%0%NW6 mph8 mph1%——
Sat 9 PM81°79°36°20%0%NW6 mph8 mph1%——
Sat 10 PM80°79°34°19%0%NW6 mph8 mph1%——
Sat 11 PM80°78°33°18%0%E8 mph12 mph7%——
Sun 12 AM80°78°31°17%0%E8 mph12 mph7%——
Sun 1 AM79°79°31°17%0%E8 mph12 mph7%——
Sun 2 AM79°79°32°18%0%ENE9 mph13 mph7%——
Sun 3 AM79°79°33°19%0%ENE9 mph13 mph7%——
Sun 4 AM79°79°32°18%0%ENE9 mph13 mph7%——
Sun 5 AM79°79°32°18%0%ESE10 mph15 mph1%——
Sun 6 AM79°79°35°20%0%ESE10 mph15 mph1%——
Sun 7 AM78°78°35°21%0%ESE10 mph15 mph1%——
Sun 8 AM80°79°37°21%0%ENE9 mph13 mph1%——
Sun 9 AM82°80°39°22%0%ENE9 mph13 mph1%——
Sun 10 AM83°81°42°24%0%ENE9 mph13 mph1%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Oct 2, 11:16 AM PDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodayOct 285°74°Sunny0%wind 8 mph
  2. SatOct 387°78°Sunny0%wind 9 mph
  3. SunOct 485°77°Sunny0%wind 10 mph
  4. MonOct 585°76°Sunny0%wind 7 mph
  5. TueOct 684°75°Sunny0%wind 7 mph
  6. WedOct 785°75°Sunny0%wind 8 mph
  7. ThuOct 884°74°Sunny1%wind 7 mph
  8. FriOct 981°71°1%wind 6 mph
  9. SatOct 1076°64°National Blend2%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  10. SunOct 1172°61°National Blend3%wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  11. MonOct 1272°61°National Blend3%0.01 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
  12. TueOct 13~72°57°Model mean
  13. WedOct 14~77°58°Model mean
  14. ThuOct 15~81°62°Model mean
  15. FriOct 16~83°61°Model mean
  16. SatOct 17~87°69°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like81°
  • WindS 7 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity21%
  • Dew point40°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise11:10 PMMoonset 1:32 PM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous63% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodayOct 285°75°NWS grid 85° / 74°rain 1%wind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
  2. SatOct 386°76°NWS grid 87° / 78°rain 2%wind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
  3. SunOct 485°76°NWS grid 85° / 77°rain 0%wind 12 mph
  4. MonOct 584°76°NWS grid 85° / 76°rain 0%wind 8 mph
  5. TueOct 684°75°NWS grid 84° / 75°rain 0%wind 7 mph
  6. WedOct 784°75°NWS grid 85° / 75°rain 0%wind 8 mph
  7. ThuOct 884°75°NWS grid 84° / 74°rain 0%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  8. FriOct 982°71°NWS grid 81° / 71°rain 1%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  9. SatOct 1076°64°Beyond the NWS gridrain 2%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  10. SunOct 1172°61°Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%wind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
  11. MonOct 1272°61°Beyond the NWS gridrain 3%0.01 inwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
68°82°95°SatSunMonTueWedThuFri

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT · GFS Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT · GEFS Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT · ECMWF Oct 1, 5:00 PM PDT · ECMWF AI Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

68°86°104°SatSunMonTueWedThuFri

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Oct 285° 74°93° 71°94° 75°96° 72°94° 74°~95° 67°
Sat Oct 387° 78°93° 71°95° 78°97° 75°~96° 77°~96° 72°
Sun Oct 485° 77°75° 70°93° 78°95° 76°94° 76°~94° 73°
Mon Oct 585° 76°—94° 78°95° 76°94° 76°~94° 73°
Tue Oct 684° 75°—93° 78°95° 76°~93° 75°~93° 72°
Wed Oct 785° 75°—95° 79°96° 76°95° 75°~93° 71°
Thu Oct 884° 74°—95° 79°96° 76°~90° 77°~91° 71°
Fri Oct 981° 71°—95° 79°93° 76°~88° 73°~85° 70°
Sat Oct 10——91° 75°88° 71°0.05 in~78° 69°~73° 63°0.02 in
Sun Oct 11——87° 70°85° 67°~69° 57°~65° 56°0.13 in
Mon Oct 12——~74° 62°~67° 66°~69° 54°~61° 53°0.08 in
Tue Oct 13——~72° 62°—~81° 58°~65° 51°0.02 in
Wed Oct 14——~79° 62°—~82° 61°~71° 50°
Thu Oct 15——~82° 65°—~82° 67°~77° 53°
Fri Oct 16——~83° 64°—~68° 68°~84° 57°
Sat Oct 17——~87° 69°——~62° 62°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Burbank/Glendale (BUR) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Sat Oct 17, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean50%90%80%warmer 50%40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40°60°80°100°TodayNov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Oct 280° / 57°102° (2012)48° (2007)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 981° / 57°104° (2015)47° (2021)80% chance above normal · days 8 to 14near normal most likely · days 8 to 14
Oct 1680° / 56°101° (2003)49° (2025)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2381° / 55°104° (2017)46° (2021)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 3077° / 52°97° (2010)41° (2019)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 672° / 51°94° (2006)39° (2000)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1374° / 50°95° (2013)36° (2000)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2071° / 47°95° (2017)35° (2010)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2769° / 46°88° (2014)33° (2004)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 468° / 47°85° (2025)33° (1998)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1164° / 44°88° (2013)35° (2001)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1865° / 44°84° (2005)31° (1998)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2566° / 42°85° (2017)31° (2015)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayLowmild
  • FlutodayLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightGoodwarm night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayGoodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightVery goodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayModeratewarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayHighwarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight: 3 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated good.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
FridayGood7:59 PM to 5:26 AM9 of 93 h from 8:00 PM59%Good8 mph
SaturdayExcellent7:57 PM to 5:27 AM9 of 94 h from 8:00 PM49%Good9 mph
SundayExcellent7:56 PM to 5:27 AM9 of 95 h from 8:00 PM38%Good7 mph
MondayExcellent7:55 PM to 5:28 AM9 of 97 h from 8:00 PM28%Good6 mph
TuesdayExcellent7:53 PM to 5:29 AM9 of 99 h from 8:00 PM19%Good7 mph
WednesdayExcellent7:52 PM to 5:30 AM10 of 1010 h from 8:00 PM12%Good7 mph
ThursdayExcellent7:51 PM to 5:30 AM10 of 1010 h from 8:00 PM6%Good6 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Fri6:23 AM to 6:33 AM6:33 AM to 7:22 AM6:02 PM to 6:51 PM6:51 PM to 7:01 PM
Sat6:24 AM to 6:34 AM6:34 AM to 7:22 AM6:01 PM to 6:49 PM6:49 PM to 6:59 PM
Sun6:25 AM to 6:35 AM6:35 AM to 7:23 AM5:59 PM to 6:48 PM6:48 PM to 6:58 PM
Mon6:26 AM to 6:35 AM6:35 AM to 7:24 AM5:58 PM to 6:47 PM6:47 PM to 6:56 PM
Tue6:26 AM to 6:36 AM6:36 AM to 7:25 AM5:57 PM to 6:45 PM6:45 PM to 6:55 PM
Wed6:27 AM to 6:37 AM6:37 AM to 7:26 AM5:55 PM to 6:44 PM6:44 PM to 6:54 PM
Thu6:28 AM to 6:37 AM6:37 AM to 7:26 AM5:54 PM to 6:43 PM6:43 PM to 6:52 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:48 AM, 94° E
  • SS Sunset 6:35 PM, 266° W
  • MR Moonrise 11:10 PM, 56° NE
  • MS Moonset 1:32 PM, 304° NW
  • Waning gibbous, 63% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Fri 11 AM to 6 PM, 7 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:18 AM to sunrise 6:48 AM, and sunset 6:35 PM to 7:05 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Fri12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Fri 11 AMGood78110%84°nothing against it
Fri 12 PMGood78110%84°nothing against it
Fri 1 PMGood78110%85°nothing against it
Fri 2 PMGood810130%85°nothing against it
Fri 3 PMGood810130%85°nothing against it
Fri 4 PMGood810140%85°nothing against it
Fri 5 PMGood79110%84°nothing against it
Fri 6 PMCaution79110%82°civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Fri 7 PMCaution717190%80°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 8 PMNo-fly623250%79°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 9 PMNo-fly623250%79°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 10 PMNo-fly623250%79°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 11 PMCaution717190%78°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 12 AMCaution717190%78°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 1 AMCaution717190%78°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 2 AMCaution819230%77°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 3 AMCaution819230%77°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 4 AMCaution819230%77°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 5 AMNo-fly922260%77°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 6 AMNo-fly922260%77°gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sat 7 AMGood912150%77°nothing against it
Sat 8 AMGood810140%80°nothing against it
Sat 9 AMGood810140%83°nothing against it
Sat 10 AMGood810130%84°nothing against it

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Fri 6 PM to 8 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Mon 3 PM to 9 PM 6 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Tue 7 AM to 10 AM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Tue 4 PM to 9 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 7 AM to 9 AM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 5 PM to 9 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
Fri12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
FridayDry0%0.00 in15%8 mph8 dGood
SaturdayDry0%0.00 in22%8 mph7 dGood
SundayDry0%0.00 in21%9 mph6 dGood
MondayDry0%0.00 in29%7 mph5 dGood
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in32%6 mph4 dGood
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in28%7 mph3 dGood
ThursdayDry1%0.00 in27%6 mph2 dGood
FridayDry1%0.00 in28%6 mph1 dGood

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated good.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Fri Fair4:48 AM to 6:48 AM5:20 PM to 7:20 PM1:02 PM to 2:02 PM10:40 PM to 11:40 PM 63%6:48 AM, 6:35 PM
Sat Fair5:51 AM to 7:51 AM6:21 PM to 8:21 PM1:57 PM to 2:57 PM 52%6:49 AM, 6:34 PM
Sun Fair6:50 AM to 8:50 AM7:19 PM to 9:19 PM11:49 PM to 12:49 AM2:43 PM to 3:43 PM 42%6:50 AM, 6:33 PM
Mon Fair7:46 AM to 9:46 AM8:12 PM to 10:12 PM1:01 AM to 2:01 AM3:22 PM to 4:22 PM 31%6:51 AM, 6:31 PM
Tue Poor8:38 AM to 10:38 AM9:02 PM to 11:02 PM2:10 AM to 3:10 AM3:54 PM to 4:54 PM 22%6:51 AM, 6:30 PM
Wed Fair9:26 AM to 11:26 AM9:49 PM to 11:49 PM3:18 AM to 4:18 AM4:24 PM to 5:24 PM 14%6:52 AM, 6:29 PM
Thu Good10:11 AM to 12:11 PM10:34 PM to 12:34 AM4:23 AM to 5:23 AM4:51 PM to 5:51 PM 7%6:53 AM, 6:27 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Today85° · SW 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

  2. Tonight77° · NE 5–10 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

  3. Saturday87° · SSE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 87. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

  4. Saturday Night78° · E 5–10 mph

    Clear, with a low around 78. East wind 5 to 10 mph.

  5. Sunday85° · SSE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 85. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

  6. Sunday Night77° · SE 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 77.

  7. Monday85° · WSW 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 85.

  8. Monday Night76° · NNE 5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 76.

  9. Tuesday84° · SW 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 84.

  10. Tuesday Night75° · N 5–10 mph

    Clear, with a low around 75.

  11. Wednesday85° · SW 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 85.

  12. Wednesday Night75° · NNE 5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 75.

  13. Thursday84° · 1% · S 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 84.

  14. Thursday Night74° · ENE 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 74.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS Los Angeles, CA · issued Oct 2, 9:35 AM PDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

Synopsis

02/144 AM.

A major and long lasting heat wave will begin today and last through all of next week with dangerously hot temperatures. Coastal clouds and fog are expected this morning and tonight into Saturday morning, with dense fog possible at times.

Short Term (Tdy-sun)

02/900 AM.

***UPDATE***

We are off to the races this morning as temperatures away from the immediate coast (and south of Pt Conception) are already 10-15 degrees above yesterday at this time. And some foothill and lower mountain locations stayed in the low to mid 80s overnight. So no change in the forecast today and through next week with valley highs from 99-107, Downtown in the upper 90s, and beach areas (up to 5 miles inland) in the mid 80s to mid 90s. The heat wave will reach SLO and northern Santa Barbara Counties Saturday.

***From Previous Discussion***

Coastal clouds and fog are expected to be limited to the coasts and perhaps some coastal valleys, with little change to the heights. Will have to watch for dense fog formation as the offshore gradients look quite weak (around 1 mb) this morning. Otherwise, expecting a hot day today through most of the area with building high pressure and ongoing offshore winds. Given the limited sea breeze, the most warming should be near the coasts. However, warming may be somewhat limited for northern Santa Barbara County and San Luis Obispo County as mid to high level clouds move in, and should persist through the day. By the weekend, high temperatures in the upper 80s and 90s are expected for the coasts from Santa Barbara southward.

***A VERY DANGEROUS AND LONG LASTING HEAT WAVE TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK***

No significant changes to the short or long term forecasts. A dangerous heat wave will begin today and last through at least next week as a strong high pressure system sets up over the eastern Pacific and West coast. Offshore pressure gradients are already weak today (currently near 0.5 mb), and will increase through Sunday, resulting in offshore gradients to the east and north in the 2 to 4 mb range. So while this is an offshore scenario in October, it's not a traditional Santa Ana as the upper support is not sufficient for persistent gusty winds, though there will be brief periods of some sub advisory level north to northeast winds at times. However, in typical Santa Ana fashion, this heat wave will include the beaches, at least south of Pt Conception.

During this heat wave, warmer valley highs are expected to be 102-107, Downtown LA 99-103, and coastal areas from Santa Barbara to LA 90-98. These are 15-20 degrees above normal.

It will be warming in SLO and northern Santa Barbara Counties as well but delayed by a day. By the weekend expecting highs away from the beaches to reach the low to mid 90s and lower 100s in the interior. Heat advisories may need to be extended in certain areas next week but models have been showing just enough cooling early next week to allow the advisories to drop off.

Long Term (Mon-thu)

02/138 AM.

Monday into the rest of the week will feel a lot like this coming weekend, with ongoing offshore winds and persistent high pressure. Will likely see some fluctuations in temperatures as the offshore gradient weakens a bit early in the week, though there are still some model solutions indicating a little more upper level northeast wind support and subsequently even hotter temperatures around Wednesday into Friday, leading to breaking daily high temperature records. Further out, models indicate tropical moisture along with an upper level trough could lead to cooling temperatures by the following weekend.

Aviation

02/1634Z.

At 16Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer. There was a surfaced based inversion with a top at 1700 ft and a temperature of 30 C.

High confidence in VFR TAFs for all sites expect for KSMX, KSBA, & KSBP. Chance for low clouds (LIFR or lower): KSMX (60%), KSBA (20%), & KSBP (20%). No wind issues expected.

KLAX...High confidence in VFR TAF. Good confidence that any east wind component remains below 8 kts.

KBUR...High confidence in the VFR TAF. No wind issues expected.

Marine

02/845 AM.

Generally quiet conditions expected across the coastal waters through the forecast period. Localized Small Craft Advisory (SCA) gusts may occur each afternoon and evening near Point Conception, off the coast of Point Dume, and across the San Pedro Channel.

Beaches

02/845 AM.

While we will get a break from the coastal flooding concerns for the rest of the week, another hurricane swell (from Rachel) will likely bring a larger-than-Polo south swell to southern California for much of the coming work week. The window of most concern is Tuesday through Friday. Elevated surf up to 5-6 ft is likely with a lower chance of high surf 7ft or higher across exposed south facing beaches. High tides of 6.5-7.0 ft are expected. Unlike previous events, morning and evening tides will be similar. Initially, the swell will have a more SE direction (150-160) targeting areas like Long Beach Tuesday and Wednesday. As Rachel moves westward, the swell direction will become more southerly (170-190) Thursday and Friday targeting areas like Zuma. There is a high risk for Beach Hazard Statements and a moderate risk for Coastal Flood Advisories along the LA/VTA coastline. Stay tuned for future updates.

LOX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

CA...Extreme Heat Warning in effect until 8 PM PDT Thursday for zones 38-87-88-349>358-362-366>375-548-550. (See LAXNPWLOX). Heat Advisory in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for zones 341>345-347-348. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...NONE.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Fri Oct 9No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Fri Oct 2Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Sat Oct 3Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Sun Oct 4Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 7–Oct 8Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature90% chance above normalOct 7–Oct 11
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 11
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature80% chance above normalOct 9–Oct 15
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 9–Oct 15

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 5–Oct 9Hazardous Heat

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Burbank Valley Pump Plt

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around January 2 and the first fall freeze around December 26: a growing season of about 364 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by December 5; one spring in ten still has one after January 31.

Climate of 34.27, -118.24: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 31 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementFriSatSunMonTueWedThuFri
HeatRisk max2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate
Wet bulb globe temperature max73°72°72°72°73°73°73°72°
Heat index max83°84°83°83°81°81°81°79°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%
Snow level min11,400 ft11,600 ft11,700 ft12,000 ft12,000 ft11,800 ft12,000 ft11,900 ft
Mixing height max8,700 ft9,600 ft8,600 ft9,500 ft
Transport wind max9 mph7 mph18 mph9 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Burbank/Glendale (BUR) · 8.4 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Fri Oct 285° / 74°84° / 61°102° (2012)51° (2002)
Sat Oct 387° / 78°80° / 59°97° (2014)50° (2002)
Sun Oct 485° / 77°78° / 58°99° (2014)51° (1998)
Mon Oct 585° / 76°80° / 57°97° (2014)51° (2009)
Tue Oct 684° / 75°82° / 56°97° (2023)48° (2007)
Wed Oct 785° / 75°83° / 58°97° (2008)49° (2011)
Thu Oct 884° / 74°83° / 57°102° (2015)50° (2011)
Fri Oct 981° / 71°80° / 58°104° (2015)50° (2007)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Fri6:23 AM6:48 AM6:35 PM7:01 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 63% lit
Sat6:24 AM6:49 AM6:34 PM6:59 PM11 h 45 min Last quarter · 52% lit
Sun6:25 AM6:50 AM6:33 PM6:58 PM11 h 43 min Last quarter · 42% lit
Mon6:26 AM6:51 AM6:31 PM6:56 PM11 h 40 min Waning crescent · 31% lit
Tue6:26 AM6:51 AM6:30 PM6:55 PM11 h 39 min Waning crescent · 22% lit
Wed6:27 AM6:52 AM6:29 PM6:54 PM11 h 37 min Waning crescent · 14% lit
Thu6:28 AM6:53 AM6:27 PM6:52 PM11 h 34 min Waning crescent · 7% lit
Fri6:29 AM6:54 AM6:26 PM6:51 PM11 h 32 min Waning crescent · 3% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from