Current weather · Oct 2, 11:26 AM PDT
34.2690, -118.2380
84°
- High
- 85°
- Low
- 74°
- Rain today
- 0%
- Sunrise
- 6:48 AM
- Sunset
- 6:35 PM
Hour by hour
NWS forecast gridScroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.
Every hour as a table48 hours
| Time | Weather | Temperature | Feels like | Dew point | Humidity | Chance | Amount | Snow | Dir | Wind | Gust | Sky cover | Thunder | Pressure | Visibility | Ceiling |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 11 AM | 84° | 81° | 40° | 21% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 9 mph | 18% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 12 PM | 84° | 82° | 44° | 25% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 9 mph | 18% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 1 PM | 85° | 83° | 48° | 28% | 0% | S | 7 mph | 9 mph | 18% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 2 PM | 85° | 83° | 48° | 28% | 0% | SW | 8 mph | 12 mph | 18% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 3 PM | 85° | 83° | 51° | 32% | 0% | SW | 8 mph | 12 mph | 18% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 4 PM | 85° | 83° | 52° | 34% | 0% | SW | 8 mph | 12 mph | 18% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 5 PM | 84° | 82° | 52° | 34% | 0% | WSW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 6 PM | 82° | 81° | 54° | 39% | 0% | WSW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 7 PM | 80° | 80° | 52° | 39% | 0% | WSW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 8 PM | 79° | 79° | 46° | 32% | 0% | NNW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 9 PM | 79° | 79° | 40° | 25% | 0% | NNW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 10 PM | 79° | 79° | 35° | 20% | 0% | NNW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Fri 11 PM | 78° | 78° | 31° | 18% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 9 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 12 AM | 78° | 78° | 30° | 17% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 9 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 1 AM | 78° | 78° | 30° | 17% | 0% | NE | 7 mph | 9 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 2 AM | 77° | 77° | 33° | 20% | 0% | ENE | 8 mph | 12 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 3 AM | 77° | 77° | 33° | 20% | 0% | ENE | 8 mph | 12 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 4 AM | 77° | 77° | 30° | 18% | 0% | ENE | 8 mph | 12 mph | 11% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 5 AM | 77° | 77° | 33° | 20% | 0% | E | 9 mph | 13 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 6 AM | 77° | 77° | 36° | 23% | 0% | E | 9 mph | 13 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 7 AM | 77° | 77° | 38° | 25% | 0% | E | 9 mph | 13 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 AM | 80° | 79° | 43° | 27% | 0% | E | 8 mph | 12 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 AM | 83° | 81° | 43° | 25% | 0% | E | 8 mph | 12 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 AM | 84° | 81° | 41° | 22% | 0% | E | 8 mph | 12 mph | 10% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 11 AM | 85° | 82° | 44° | 24% | 0% | SE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 12 PM | 86° | 83° | 46° | 25% | 0% | SE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 1 PM | 86° | 83° | 47° | 26% | 0% | SE | 6 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 2 PM | 87° | 84° | 47° | 26% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 3 PM | 87° | 84° | 48° | 27% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 4 PM | 87° | 84° | 48° | 27% | 0% | SSW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 4% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 5 PM | 86° | 83° | 48° | 27% | 0% | SW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 6 PM | 85° | 83° | 49° | 29% | 0% | SW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 7 PM | 82° | 80° | 45° | 28% | 0% | SW | 7 mph | 9 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 8 PM | 81° | 79° | 41° | 24% | 0% | NW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 9 PM | 81° | 79° | 36° | 20% | 0% | NW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 10 PM | 80° | 79° | 34° | 19% | 0% | NW | 6 mph | 8 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sat 11 PM | 80° | 78° | 33° | 18% | 0% | E | 8 mph | 12 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 12 AM | 80° | 78° | 31° | 17% | 0% | E | 8 mph | 12 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 1 AM | 79° | 79° | 31° | 17% | 0% | E | 8 mph | 12 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 2 AM | 79° | 79° | 32° | 18% | 0% | ENE | 9 mph | 13 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 3 AM | 79° | 79° | 33° | 19% | 0% | ENE | 9 mph | 13 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 4 AM | 79° | 79° | 32° | 18% | 0% | ENE | 9 mph | 13 mph | 7% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 5 AM | 79° | 79° | 32° | 18% | 0% | ESE | 10 mph | 15 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 6 AM | 79° | 79° | 35° | 20% | 0% | ESE | 10 mph | 15 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 7 AM | 78° | 78° | 35° | 21% | 0% | ESE | 10 mph | 15 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 8 AM | 80° | 79° | 37° | 21% | 0% | ENE | 9 mph | 13 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 9 AM | 82° | 80° | 39° | 22% | 0% | ENE | 9 mph | 13 mph | 1% | — | — | |||||
| Sun 10 AM | 83° | 81° | 42° | 24% | 0% | ENE | 9 mph | 13 mph | 1% | — | — |
The next 16 days
NWS grid published Oct 2, 11:16 AM PDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16- TodayOct 285°74°Sunnywind 8 mph
- SatOct 387°78°Sunnywind 9 mph
- SunOct 485°77°Sunnywind 10 mph
- MonOct 585°76°Sunnywind 7 mph
- TueOct 684°75°Sunnywind 7 mph
- WedOct 785°75°Sunnywind 8 mph
- ThuOct 884°74°Sunnywind 7 mph
- FriOct 981°71°wind 6 mph
- SatOct 1076°64°National Blendwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SunOct 1172°61°National Blendwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- MonOct 1272°61°National Blendwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
- TueOct 13~72°57°Model mean
- WedOct 14~77°58°Model mean
- ThuOct 15~81°62°Model mean
- FriOct 16~83°61°Model mean
- SatOct 17~87°69°Model mean
Right now
NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow- Feels like81°
- WindS 7 mph
- Radar over this pointno reading
- Humidity21%
- Dew point40°
- Pressure—
- UV index—
- Air quality—
- Visibility—
- Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
- Moonrise11:10 PMMoonset 1:32 PM
- Moon phaseWaning gibbous63% lit
The National Blend of Models
NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDTNOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.
- TodayOct 285°75°NWS grid 85° / 74°wind 9 mph · gusts 15 mph
- SatOct 386°76°NWS grid 87° / 78°wind 12 mph · gusts 17 mph
- SunOct 485°76°NWS grid 85° / 77°wind 12 mph
- MonOct 584°76°NWS grid 85° / 76°wind 8 mph
- TueOct 684°75°NWS grid 84° / 75°wind 7 mph
- WedOct 784°75°NWS grid 85° / 75°wind 8 mph
- ThuOct 884°75°NWS grid 84° / 74°wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
- FriOct 982°71°NWS grid 81° / 71°wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SatOct 1076°64°Beyond the NWS gridwind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
- SunOct 1172°61°Beyond the NWS gridwind 5 mph · gusts 10 mph
- MonOct 1272°61°Beyond the NWS gridwind 5 mph · gusts 12 mph
BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly
The models, side by side
HRRR Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT · GFS Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT · GEFS Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDT · ECMWF Oct 1, 5:00 PM PDT · ECMWF AI Oct 2, 5:00 AM PDTEach line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.
| Day | NWS grid | HRRR | GFS | GEFS | ECMWF | ECMWF AI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today Oct 2 | 85° 74° | 93° 71° | 94° 75° | 96° 72° | 94° 74° | ~95° 67° |
| Sat Oct 3 | 87° 78° | 93° 71° | 95° 78° | 97° 75° | ~96° 77° | ~96° 72° |
| Sun Oct 4 | 85° 77° | 75° 70° | 93° 78° | 95° 76° | 94° 76° | ~94° 73° |
| Mon Oct 5 | 85° 76° | — | 94° 78° | 95° 76° | 94° 76° | ~94° 73° |
| Tue Oct 6 | 84° 75° | — | 93° 78° | 95° 76° | ~93° 75° | ~93° 72° |
| Wed Oct 7 | 85° 75° | — | 95° 79° | 96° 76° | 95° 75° | ~93° 71° |
| Thu Oct 8 | 84° 74° | — | 95° 79° | 96° 76° | ~90° 77° | ~91° 71° |
| Fri Oct 9 | 81° 71° | — | 95° 79° | 93° 76° | ~88° 73° | ~85° 70° |
| Sat Oct 10 | — | — | 91° 75° | 88° 71°0.05 in | ~78° 69° | ~73° 63°0.02 in |
| Sun Oct 11 | — | — | 87° 70° | 85° 67° | ~69° 57° | ~65° 56°0.13 in |
| Mon Oct 12 | — | — | ~74° 62° | ~67° 66° | ~69° 54° | ~61° 53°0.08 in |
| Tue Oct 13 | — | — | ~72° 62° | — | ~81° 58° | ~65° 51°0.02 in |
| Wed Oct 14 | — | — | ~79° 62° | — | ~82° 61° | ~71° 50° |
| Thu Oct 15 | — | — | ~82° 65° | — | ~82° 67° | ~77° 53° |
| Fri Oct 16 | — | — | ~83° 64° | — | ~68° 68° | ~84° 57° |
| Sat Oct 17 | — | — | ~87° 69° | — | — | ~62° 62° |
A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.
ECMWF ensemble meteogram
The next 90 days
NOAA GHCN normals and records at Burbank/Glendale (BUR) · Climate Prediction Center outlooksNo forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.
The forecast reaches Sat Oct 17, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.
Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal
| Week of | Normal | Warmest on record | Coldest on record | Temperature lean | Precipitation lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2 | 80° / 57° | 102° (2012) | 48° (2007) | 50% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 9 | 81° / 57° | 104° (2015) | 47° (2021) | 80% chance above normal · days 8 to 14 | near normal most likely · days 8 to 14 |
| Oct 16 | 80° / 56° | 101° (2003) | 49° (2025) | 50% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 23 | 81° / 55° | 104° (2017) | 46° (2021) | 50% chance above normal · Oct 2026 | equal chances · Oct 2026 |
| Oct 30 | 77° / 52° | 97° (2010) | 41° (2019) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 6 | 72° / 51° | 94° (2006) | 39° (2000) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 13 | 74° / 50° | 95° (2013) | 36° (2000) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 20 | 71° / 47° | 95° (2017) | 35° (2010) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Nov 27 | 69° / 46° | 88° (2014) | 33° (2004) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 4 | 68° / 47° | 85° (2025) | 33° (1998) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 11 | 64° / 44° | 88° (2013) | 35° (2001) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 18 | 65° / 44° | 84° (2005) | 31° (1998) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
| Dec 25 | 66° / 42° | 85° (2017) | 31° (2015) | 40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec | 33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec |
Health and activities
Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollenNone of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.
Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.
Health
- Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Common coldtodayLowmild
- FlutodayLowmild
- Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
- Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
- Heat stresstodayLowmild
- SunburntodayLowweak sun
- Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
- SleepingtonightGoodwarm night
Outdoors
- RunningtodayGoodhot
- HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GolftodayIdealfine conditions
- FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
- CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
- StargazingtonightVery goodbright moon
Travel
- Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
- Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads
Home and garden
- Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
- GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
- Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
- Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
- Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
- FrosttonightLowmild
Pests
- MosquitoestodayHighwarm
- TickstodayModeratewarm
- Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
- Outdoor peststodayHighwarm
Stargazing
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moonTonight: 3 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated good.
| Night of | Rating | Dark | Clear hours | Clear and moonless | Moon lit | Transparency (est.) | Dew | Strongest wind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday | Good | 7:59 PM to 5:26 AM | 9 of 9 | 3 h from 8:00 PM | 59% | Good | 8 mph | |
| Saturday | Excellent | 7:57 PM to 5:27 AM | 9 of 9 | 4 h from 8:00 PM | 49% | Good | 9 mph | |
| Sunday | Excellent | 7:56 PM to 5:27 AM | 9 of 9 | 5 h from 8:00 PM | 38% | Good | 7 mph | |
| Monday | Excellent | 7:55 PM to 5:28 AM | 9 of 9 | 7 h from 8:00 PM | 28% | Good | 6 mph | |
| Tuesday | Excellent | 7:53 PM to 5:29 AM | 9 of 9 | 9 h from 8:00 PM | 19% | Good | 7 mph | |
| Wednesday | Excellent | 7:52 PM to 5:30 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 12% | Good | 7 mph | |
| Thursday | Excellent | 7:51 PM to 5:30 AM | 10 of 10 | 10 h from 8:00 PM | 6% | Good | 6 mph |
Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.
Golden hour and blue hour
Computed from the sun and moon positions| Day | Blue hour, morning | Golden hour, morning | Golden hour, evening | Blue hour, evening |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 6:23 AM to 6:33 AM | 6:33 AM to 7:22 AM | 6:02 PM to 6:51 PM | 6:51 PM to 7:01 PM |
| Sat | 6:24 AM to 6:34 AM | 6:34 AM to 7:22 AM | 6:01 PM to 6:49 PM | 6:49 PM to 6:59 PM |
| Sun | 6:25 AM to 6:35 AM | 6:35 AM to 7:23 AM | 5:59 PM to 6:48 PM | 6:48 PM to 6:58 PM |
| Mon | 6:26 AM to 6:35 AM | 6:35 AM to 7:24 AM | 5:58 PM to 6:47 PM | 6:47 PM to 6:56 PM |
| Tue | 6:26 AM to 6:36 AM | 6:36 AM to 7:25 AM | 5:57 PM to 6:45 PM | 6:45 PM to 6:55 PM |
| Wed | 6:27 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:26 AM | 5:55 PM to 6:44 PM | 6:44 PM to 6:54 PM |
| Thu | 6:28 AM to 6:37 AM | 6:37 AM to 7:26 AM | 5:54 PM to 6:43 PM | 6:43 PM to 6:52 PM |
- SR Sunrise 6:48 AM, 94° E
- SS Sunset 6:35 PM, 266° W
- MR Moonrise 11:10 PM, 56° NE
- MS Moonset 1:32 PM, 304° NW
- Waning gibbous, 63% lit
Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.
Drone flying
NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Fri 11 AM to 6 PM, 7 hours.
Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:18 AM to sunrise 6:48 AM, and sunset 6:35 PM to 7:05 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.
| Fri | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Caution No-fly
| Hour | Verdict | Wind (mph) | 400 ft est. (mph) | Gust (mph) | Rain | Visibility | Cloud allows | Temp | Kp | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 11 AM | Good | 7 | 8 | 11 | 0% | 84° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 12 PM | Good | 7 | 8 | 11 | 0% | 84° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 1 PM | Good | 7 | 8 | 11 | 0% | 85° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 2 PM | Good | 8 | 10 | 13 | 0% | 85° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 3 PM | Good | 8 | 10 | 13 | 0% | 85° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 4 PM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0% | 85° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 5 PM | Good | 7 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 84° | nothing against it | |||
| Fri 6 PM | Caution | 7 | 9 | 11 | 0% | 82° | civil twilight: lighting required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 7 PM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 80° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 8 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 79° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 9 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 79° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 10 PM | No-fly | 6 | 23 | 25 | 0% | 79° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Fri 11 PM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 78° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 12 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 78° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 1 AM | Caution | 7 | 17 | 19 | 0% | 78° | gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 2 AM | Caution | 8 | 19 | 23 | 0% | 77° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 3 AM | Caution | 8 | 19 | 23 | 0% | 77° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 4 AM | Caution | 8 | 19 | 23 | 0% | 77° | wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 5 AM | No-fly | 9 | 22 | 26 | 0% | 77° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 6 AM | No-fly | 9 | 22 | 26 | 0% | 77° | gusts near or over your limit, wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29) | |||
| Sat 7 AM | Good | 9 | 12 | 15 | 0% | 77° | nothing against it | |||
| Sat 8 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0% | 80° | nothing against it | |||
| Sat 9 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 14 | 0% | 83° | nothing against it | |||
| Sat 10 AM | Good | 8 | 10 | 13 | 0% | 84° | nothing against it |
Flight restrictions nearby
Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.
Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.
Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.
Spraying and field work
Worked out from the NWS hourly forecastHours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.
Spraying windows
- Fri 6 PM to 8 PM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Mon 3 PM to 9 PM 6 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 7 AM to 10 AM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Tue 4 PM to 9 PM 5 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 7 AM to 9 AM 2 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
- Wed 5 PM to 9 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
| Fri | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Sun | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Mon | 12 AM | 6 AM | 12 PM | 6 PM |
Good Marginal No
Field days
| Day | Daytime | Chance of rain | Rain | Lowest humidity | Strongest wind | Dry days in a row | Hay drying |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 15% | 8 mph | 8 d | Good |
| Saturday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 22% | 8 mph | 7 d | Good |
| Sunday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 21% | 9 mph | 6 d | Good |
| Monday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 29% | 7 mph | 5 d | Good |
| Tuesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 32% | 6 mph | 4 d | Good |
| Wednesday | Dry | 0% | 0.00 in | 28% | 7 mph | 3 d | Good |
| Thursday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 27% | 6 mph | 2 d | Good |
| Friday | Dry | 1% | 0.00 in | 28% | 6 mph | 1 d | Good |
Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.
Solunar times
Computed from the moon’s positionThe best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated good.
| Day | Rating | Major periods | Minor periods | Moon | Sunrise, sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | Fair | 4:48 AM to 6:48 AM5:20 PM to 7:20 PM | 1:02 PM to 2:02 PM10:40 PM to 11:40 PM | 63% | 6:48 AM, 6:35 PM |
| Sat | Fair | 5:51 AM to 7:51 AM6:21 PM to 8:21 PM | 1:57 PM to 2:57 PM | 52% | 6:49 AM, 6:34 PM |
| Sun | Fair | 6:50 AM to 8:50 AM7:19 PM to 9:19 PM | 11:49 PM to 12:49 AM2:43 PM to 3:43 PM | 42% | 6:50 AM, 6:33 PM |
| Mon | Fair | 7:46 AM to 9:46 AM8:12 PM to 10:12 PM | 1:01 AM to 2:01 AM3:22 PM to 4:22 PM | 31% | 6:51 AM, 6:31 PM |
| Tue | Poor | 8:38 AM to 10:38 AM9:02 PM to 11:02 PM | 2:10 AM to 3:10 AM3:54 PM to 4:54 PM | 22% | 6:51 AM, 6:30 PM |
| Wed | Fair | 9:26 AM to 11:26 AM9:49 PM to 11:49 PM | 3:18 AM to 4:18 AM4:24 PM to 5:24 PM | 14% | 6:52 AM, 6:29 PM |
| Thu | Good | 10:11 AM to 12:11 PM10:34 PM to 12:34 AM | 4:23 AM to 5:23 AM4:51 PM to 5:51 PM | 7% | 6:53 AM, 6:27 PM |
Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index
Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.
In words
NWS forecast periods, as issuedToday85° · SW 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 85. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight77° · NE 5–10 mph
Mostly clear, with a low around 77. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday87° · SSE 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 87. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday Night78° · E 5–10 mph
Clear, with a low around 78. East wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday85° · SSE 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 85. South southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night77° · SE 0–5 mph
Clear, with a low around 77.
Monday85° · WSW 5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Monday Night76° · NNE 5 mph
Clear, with a low around 76.
Tuesday84° · SW 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Tuesday Night75° · N 5–10 mph
Clear, with a low around 75.
Wednesday85° · SW 5–10 mph
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Wednesday Night75° · NNE 5 mph
Clear, with a low around 75.
Thursday84° · 1% · S 0–5 mph
Sunny, with a high near 84.
Thursday Night74° · ENE 0–5 mph
Clear, with a low around 74.
The forecaster’s discussion
NWS Los Angeles, CA · issued Oct 2, 9:35 AM PDTWritten by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.
Synopsis
02/144 AM.
A major and long lasting heat wave will begin today and last through all of next week with dangerously hot temperatures. Coastal clouds and fog are expected this morning and tonight into Saturday morning, with dense fog possible at times.
Short Term (Tdy-sun)
02/900 AM.
***UPDATE***
We are off to the races this morning as temperatures away from the immediate coast (and south of Pt Conception) are already 10-15 degrees above yesterday at this time. And some foothill and lower mountain locations stayed in the low to mid 80s overnight. So no change in the forecast today and through next week with valley highs from 99-107, Downtown in the upper 90s, and beach areas (up to 5 miles inland) in the mid 80s to mid 90s. The heat wave will reach SLO and northern Santa Barbara Counties Saturday.
***From Previous Discussion***
Coastal clouds and fog are expected to be limited to the coasts and perhaps some coastal valleys, with little change to the heights. Will have to watch for dense fog formation as the offshore gradients look quite weak (around 1 mb) this morning. Otherwise, expecting a hot day today through most of the area with building high pressure and ongoing offshore winds. Given the limited sea breeze, the most warming should be near the coasts. However, warming may be somewhat limited for northern Santa Barbara County and San Luis Obispo County as mid to high level clouds move in, and should persist through the day. By the weekend, high temperatures in the upper 80s and 90s are expected for the coasts from Santa Barbara southward.
***A VERY DANGEROUS AND LONG LASTING HEAT WAVE TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK***
No significant changes to the short or long term forecasts. A dangerous heat wave will begin today and last through at least next week as a strong high pressure system sets up over the eastern Pacific and West coast. Offshore pressure gradients are already weak today (currently near 0.5 mb), and will increase through Sunday, resulting in offshore gradients to the east and north in the 2 to 4 mb range. So while this is an offshore scenario in October, it's not a traditional Santa Ana as the upper support is not sufficient for persistent gusty winds, though there will be brief periods of some sub advisory level north to northeast winds at times. However, in typical Santa Ana fashion, this heat wave will include the beaches, at least south of Pt Conception.
During this heat wave, warmer valley highs are expected to be 102-107, Downtown LA 99-103, and coastal areas from Santa Barbara to LA 90-98. These are 15-20 degrees above normal.
It will be warming in SLO and northern Santa Barbara Counties as well but delayed by a day. By the weekend expecting highs away from the beaches to reach the low to mid 90s and lower 100s in the interior. Heat advisories may need to be extended in certain areas next week but models have been showing just enough cooling early next week to allow the advisories to drop off.
Long Term (Mon-thu)
02/138 AM.
Monday into the rest of the week will feel a lot like this coming weekend, with ongoing offshore winds and persistent high pressure. Will likely see some fluctuations in temperatures as the offshore gradient weakens a bit early in the week, though there are still some model solutions indicating a little more upper level northeast wind support and subsequently even hotter temperatures around Wednesday into Friday, leading to breaking daily high temperature records. Further out, models indicate tropical moisture along with an upper level trough could lead to cooling temperatures by the following weekend.
Aviation
02/1634Z.
At 16Z at KLAX, there was no marine layer. There was a surfaced based inversion with a top at 1700 ft and a temperature of 30 C.
High confidence in VFR TAFs for all sites expect for KSMX, KSBA, & KSBP. Chance for low clouds (LIFR or lower): KSMX (60%), KSBA (20%), & KSBP (20%). No wind issues expected.
KLAX...High confidence in VFR TAF. Good confidence that any east wind component remains below 8 kts.
KBUR...High confidence in the VFR TAF. No wind issues expected.
Marine
02/845 AM.
Generally quiet conditions expected across the coastal waters through the forecast period. Localized Small Craft Advisory (SCA) gusts may occur each afternoon and evening near Point Conception, off the coast of Point Dume, and across the San Pedro Channel.
Beaches
02/845 AM.
While we will get a break from the coastal flooding concerns for the rest of the week, another hurricane swell (from Rachel) will likely bring a larger-than-Polo south swell to southern California for much of the coming work week. The window of most concern is Tuesday through Friday. Elevated surf up to 5-6 ft is likely with a lower chance of high surf 7ft or higher across exposed south facing beaches. High tides of 6.5-7.0 ft are expected. Unlike previous events, morning and evening tides will be similar. Initially, the swell will have a more SE direction (150-160) targeting areas like Long Beach Tuesday and Wednesday. As Rachel moves westward, the swell direction will become more southerly (170-190) Thursday and Friday targeting areas like Zuma. There is a high risk for Beach Hazard Statements and a moderate risk for Coastal Flood Advisories along the LA/VTA coastline. Stay tuned for future updates.
LOX Watches / Warnings / Advisories
CA...Extreme Heat Warning in effect until 8 PM PDT Thursday for zones 38-87-88-349>358-362-366>375-548-550. (See LAXNPWLOX). Heat Advisory in effect from 10 AM Saturday to 8 PM PDT Sunday for zones 341>345-347-348. (See LAXNPWLOX). PZ...NONE.
The outlooks beyond
SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this pointThe national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.
Severe weather
- Day 1 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
- Day 2 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
- Day 3 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
- Day 4 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
- Day 5 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
- Day 6 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
- Day 7 · Thu Oct 8No risk area
- Day 8 · Fri Oct 9No risk area
Rainfall
- Day 1 · Fri Oct 2Under 0.01 in
- Day 2 · Sat Oct 3Under 0.01 in
- Day 3 · Sun Oct 4Under 0.01 in
- Day 4-5 · Oct 5–Oct 6Under 0.01 in
- Day 6-7 · Oct 7–Oct 8Under 0.01 in
Six to fourteen days
- Days 6–10 · Temperature90% chance above normalOct 7–Oct 11
- Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 7–Oct 11
- Days 8–14 · Temperature80% chance above normalOct 9–Oct 15
- Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 9–Oct 15
Hazards, 3 to 14 days
- Oct 5–Oct 9Hazardous Heat
Drought
- Drought MonitorNo drought
Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook
Frost and climate
NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Burbank Valley Pump PltThe last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around January 2 and the first fall freeze around December 26: a growing season of about 364 days.
One fall in ten brings a freeze by December 5; one spring in ten still has one after January 31.
Everything else on the grid
NWS forecast grid · 31 elementsThe forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.
| Element | Fri | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HeatRisk max | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate | 2 · Moderate |
| Wet bulb globe temperature max | 73° | 72° | 72° | 72° | 73° | 73° | 73° | 72° |
| Heat index max | 83° | 84° | 83° | 83° | 81° | 81° | 81° | 79° |
| Chance of thunder max | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% |
| Snow level min | 11,400 ft | 11,600 ft | 11,700 ft | 12,000 ft | 12,000 ft | 11,800 ft | 12,000 ft | 11,900 ft |
| Mixing height max | 8,700 ft | 9,600 ft | 8,600 ft | 9,500 ft | ||||
| Transport wind max | 9 mph | 7 mph | 18 mph | 9 mph |
Against the record
NOAA GHCN · Burbank/Glendale (BUR) · 8.4 mi awayEach forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.
| Day | Forecast | Normal | Record high | Record low |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Oct 2 | 85° / 74° | 84° / 61° | 102° (2012) | 51° (2002) |
| Sat Oct 3 | 87° / 78° | 80° / 59° | 97° (2014) | 50° (2002) |
| Sun Oct 4 | 85° / 77° | 78° / 58° | 99° (2014) | 51° (1998) |
| Mon Oct 5 | 85° / 76° | 80° / 57° | 97° (2014) | 51° (2009) |
| Tue Oct 6 | 84° / 75° | 82° / 56° | 97° (2023) | 48° (2007) |
| Wed Oct 7 | 85° / 75° | 83° / 58° | 97° (2008) | 49° (2011) |
| Thu Oct 8 | 84° / 74° | 83° / 57° | 102° (2015) | 50° (2011) |
| Fri Oct 9 | 81° / 71° | 80° / 58° | 104° (2015) | 50° (2007) |
Sun and moon
| Day | Civil twilight | Sunrise | Sunset | Civil twilight | Daylight | Moon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri | 6:23 AM | 6:48 AM | 6:35 PM | 7:01 PM | 11 h 47 min | Waning gibbous · 63% lit |
| Sat | 6:24 AM | 6:49 AM | 6:34 PM | 6:59 PM | 11 h 45 min | Last quarter · 52% lit |
| Sun | 6:25 AM | 6:50 AM | 6:33 PM | 6:58 PM | 11 h 43 min | Last quarter · 42% lit |
| Mon | 6:26 AM | 6:51 AM | 6:31 PM | 6:56 PM | 11 h 40 min | Waning crescent · 31% lit |
| Tue | 6:26 AM | 6:51 AM | 6:30 PM | 6:55 PM | 11 h 39 min | Waning crescent · 22% lit |
| Wed | 6:27 AM | 6:52 AM | 6:29 PM | 6:54 PM | 11 h 37 min | Waning crescent · 14% lit |
| Thu | 6:28 AM | 6:53 AM | 6:27 PM | 6:52 PM | 11 h 34 min | Waning crescent · 7% lit |
| Fri | 6:29 AM | 6:54 AM | 6:26 PM | 6:51 PM | 11 h 32 min | Waning crescent · 3% lit |
Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).
What is here
- Seven days
- The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
- Hour by hour
- Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
- Everything else on the grid
- The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
- The discussion
- The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
- Beyond the week
- The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
- Against the record
- Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
- The next 90 days
- The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.
Common questions
Where does this forecast come from?
From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.
How far ahead does it go?
The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.
Why is this different from the app on my phone?
Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.
What is a place’s address here?
Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.
What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from