Current weather · Oct 1, 11:47 AM PDT

34.2320, -117.2350

72°

SunnyFeels like 72° · Humidity 23%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS San Diego, CA · grid 65,81
High
77°
Low
56°
Rain today
0%
Sunrise
6:44 AM
Sunset
6:33 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Thu 11 AM72°72°32°23%0%NW1 mph6 mph1%——
Thu 12 PM74°74°34°23%0%WNW2 mph7 mph1%——
Thu 1 PM75°75°35°23%0%WNW3 mph8 mph1%——
Thu 2 PM76°76°37°24%0%W5 mph10 mph1%——
Thu 3 PM77°77°38°24%0%SW6 mph12 mph1%——
Thu 4 PM75°75°38°26%0%SSW7 mph13 mph1%——
Thu 5 PM74°74°38°28%0%SSW6 mph13 mph2%——
Thu 6 PM71°71°38°30%0%SSW5 mph9 mph2%——
Thu 7 PM66°66°38°35%0%S3 mph9 mph2%——
Thu 8 PM65°65°37°36%0%SE3 mph8 mph2%——
Thu 9 PM65°65°35°33%0%E2 mph7 mph2%——
Thu 10 PM64°64°33°31%0%E2 mph7 mph2%——
Thu 11 PM64°64°32°30%0%ENE3 mph8 mph3%——
Fri 12 AM63°63°32°30%0%E3 mph9 mph3%——
Fri 1 AM63°63°32°30%0%E5 mph9 mph3%——
Fri 2 AM63°63°32°32%0%E5 mph9 mph4%——
Fri 3 AM62°62°32°32%0%ENE3 mph9 mph4%——
Fri 4 AM62°62°32°32%0%N3 mph8 mph4%——
Fri 5 AM62°62°33°34%0%N2 mph7 mph5%——
Fri 6 AM62°62°34°35%0%N2 mph6 mph5%——
Fri 7 AM62°62°35°36%0%N2 mph6 mph5%——
Fri 8 AM64°64°36°35%0%N2 mph6 mph2%——
Fri 9 AM69°69°36°30%0%N2 mph7 mph2%——
Fri 10 AM72°72°36°27%0%NNW2 mph7 mph2%——
Fri 11 AM74°74°36°25%0%NNW3 mph8 mph4%——
Fri 12 PM76°76°36°24%0%NW5 mph10 mph4%——
Fri 1 PM76°76°36°23%0%W7 mph13 mph4%——
Fri 2 PM77°77°36°23%0%SW7 mph14 mph4%——
Fri 3 PM78°78°37°23%0%WSW6 mph12 mph4%——
Fri 4 PM76°76°38°25%0%W3 mph9 mph4%——
Fri 5 PM75°75°38°27%0%W2 mph7 mph4%——
Fri 6 PM72°72°39°30%0%WSW3 mph8 mph4%——
Fri 7 PM68°68°40°36%0%SSW5 mph10 mph4%——
Fri 8 PM67°67°40°38%0%S6 mph12 mph4%——
Fri 9 PM66°67°40°38%0%SSE6 mph12 mph4%——
Fri 10 PM66°66°40°38%0%ESE5 mph10 mph4%——
Fri 11 PM64°64°39°40%0%E3 mph9 mph7%——
Sat 12 AM64°64°40°41%0%E3 mph8 mph7%——
Sat 1 AM63°63°40°42%0%E2 mph7 mph7%——
Sat 2 AM62°63°40°43%0%E2 mph7 mph7%——
Sat 3 AM62°62°40°43%0%ENE2 mph6 mph7%——
Sat 4 AM62°62°39°42%0%NNE1 mph6 mph7%——
Sat 5 AM63°63°39°41%0%N2 mph7 mph6%——
Sat 6 AM62°63°40°43%0%NNE5 mph10 mph6%——
Sat 7 AM63°63°40°44%0%NE8 mph14 mph6%——
Sat 8 AM64°64°41°44%0%ENE9 mph16 mph6%——
Sat 9 AM66°66°42°41%0%ENE8 mph15 mph6%——
Sat 10 AM70°70°42°37%0%NE6 mph12 mph6%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Oct 1, 5:09 AM PDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodayOct 177°56°Sunny0%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  2. FriOct 278°62°Sunny0%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  3. SatOct 377°60°Sunny1%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  4. SunOct 476°62°Sunny1%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  5. MonOct 576°61°Sunny0%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  6. TueOct 676°61°Sunny0%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  7. WedOct 777°62°Sunny0%wind 7 mph · gusts 13 mph
  8. ThuOct 878°64°1%wind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
  9. FriOct 976°62°National Blend1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  10. SatOct 1073°59°National Blend2%wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
  11. SunOct 1170°57°National Blend4%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  12. MonOct 12~82°64°Model mean
  13. TueOct 13~80°63°Model mean
  14. WedOct 14~78°61°Model mean0.01 in
  15. ThuOct 15~74°59°Model mean0.03 in
  16. FriOct 16~83°64°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like72°
  • WindCalmgusts 6 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity23%
  • Dew point32°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility—
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset
  • Moonrise10:01 PMMoonset 12:23 PM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous73% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodayOct 178°63°NWS grid 77° / 56°rain 0%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  2. FriOct 280°65°NWS grid 78° / 62°rain 2%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  3. SatOct 378°65°NWS grid 77° / 60°rain 0%wind 9 mph · gusts 16 mph
  4. SunOct 478°65°NWS grid 76° / 62°rain 0%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  5. MonOct 576°64°NWS grid 76° / 61°rain 0%wind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  6. TueOct 677°64°NWS grid 76° / 61°rain 0%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
  7. WedOct 778°64°NWS grid 77° / 62°rain 0%wind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  8. ThuOct 878°64°NWS grid 78° / 64°rain 1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  9. FriOct 976°62°Beyond the NWS gridrain 1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  10. SatOct 1073°59°Beyond the NWS gridrain 2%wind 7 mph · gusts 15 mph
  11. SunOct 1170°57°Beyond the NWS gridrain 4%wind 6 mph · gusts 13 mph
59°73°86°FriSatSunMonTueWedThu

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDT · GFS Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDT · GEFS Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDT · ECMWF Sep 30, 5:00 PM PDT · ECMWF AI Oct 1, 5:00 AM PDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

59°77°95°FriSatSunMonTueWedThu

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Oct 177° 56°84° 61°90° 65°90° 61°~85° 72°~89° 73°
Fri Oct 278° 62°84° 65°92° 69°92° 66°91° 67°~91° 68°
Sat Oct 377° 60°65° 64°93° 69°92° 68°~88° 67°~91° 69°
Sun Oct 476° 62°—90° 70°91° 69°88° 66°~91° 69°
Mon Oct 576° 61°—89° 68°88° 68°~88° 69°~90° 69°
Tue Oct 676° 61°—91° 69°89° 67°89° 68°~90° 68°
Wed Oct 777° 62°—95° 72°92° 69°~87° 66°~91° 69°
Thu Oct 878° 64°—96° 73°93° 69°~89° 69°~91° 69°
Fri Oct 9——93° 72°91° 69°0.02 in~86° 69°~86° 69°
Sat Oct 10——91° 71°87° 67°0.02 in~80° 65°~78° 78°
Sun Oct 11——~86° 66°~64° 63°0.01 in~81° 64°~79° 60°
Mon Oct 12——~83° 64°—~84° 66°~81° 62°
Tue Oct 13——~80° 62°—~80° 63°~79° 64°0.02 in
Wed Oct 14——~76° 59°—~80° 62°~76° 64°0.04 in
Thu Oct 15——~83° 61°—~83° 61°~64° 57°0.06 in
Fri Oct 16——~83° 64°——~54° 54°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at San Bernardino (SBD) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Fri Oct 16, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean50%90%80%warmer 50%40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayNov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normal

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Oct 182° / 56°110° (1987)39° (1916)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 883° / 53°103° (1971)36° (1924)80% chance above normal · days 8 to 14near normal most likely · days 8 to 14
Oct 1582° / 54°104° (1958)34° (1920)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2278° / 52°101° (1959)34° (1970)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2977° / 49°98° (1898)28° (1971)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 574° / 49°98° (2006)32° (1935)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1275° / 47°95° (1906)27° (1958)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1971° / 44°93° (2006)26° (1931)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2669° / 43°88° (1980)28° (1931)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 366° / 42°90° (1958)23° (1978)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1065° / 41°87° (1958)23° (1967)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1764° / 41°85° (1917)24° (1968)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2465° / 40°86° (2005)24° (1924)40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

Each rating says which span it is for: the rest of today’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtodayModeratedry air
  • FlutodayModeratedry air
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstodayLowmild
  • SunburntodayLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtodayVery goodhot
  • HikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GolftodayIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltodayIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightVery goodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtodayIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetodayIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstodayIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestodayHighwarm
  • TickstodayHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststodayModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight: 2 dark, clear hours without a bright moon, from 8:00 PM. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
ThursdayFair7:56 PM to 5:21 AM9 of 92 h from 8:00 PM69%Good5 mph
FridayGood7:55 PM to 5:22 AM9 of 93 h from 8:00 PM59%Good6 mph
SaturdayExcellent7:53 PM to 5:23 AM9 of 94 h from 8:00 PM49%Good7 mph
SundayExcellent7:52 PM to 5:23 AM9 of 95 h from 8:00 PM38%Good6 mph
MondayExcellent7:51 PM to 5:24 AM9 of 97 h from 8:00 PM28%Good6 mph
TuesdayExcellent7:49 PM to 5:25 AM9 of 99 h from 8:00 PM19%Good6 mph
WednesdayExcellent7:48 PM to 5:26 AM9 of 99 h from 8:00 PM12%Good5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Thu6:19 AM to 6:28 AM6:28 AM to 7:17 AM6:00 PM to 6:48 PM6:48 PM to 6:58 PM
Fri6:19 AM to 6:29 AM6:29 AM to 7:18 AM5:58 PM to 6:47 PM6:47 PM to 6:56 PM
Sat6:20 AM to 6:30 AM6:30 AM to 7:18 AM5:57 PM to 6:45 PM6:45 PM to 6:55 PM
Sun6:21 AM to 6:30 AM6:30 AM to 7:19 AM5:55 PM to 6:44 PM6:44 PM to 6:54 PM
Mon6:22 AM to 6:31 AM6:31 AM to 7:20 AM5:54 PM to 6:43 PM6:43 PM to 6:52 PM
Tue6:22 AM to 6:32 AM6:32 AM to 7:21 AM5:53 PM to 6:41 PM6:41 PM to 6:51 PM
Wed6:23 AM to 6:33 AM6:33 AM to 7:22 AM5:51 PM to 6:40 PM6:40 PM to 6:50 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:44 AM, 94° E
  • SS Sunset 6:33 PM, 266° W
  • MR Moonrise 10:01 PM, 56° NE
  • MS Moonset 12:23 PM, 304° NW
  • Waning gibbous, 73% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: good to fly. Next good stretch: Thu 11 AM to 6 PM, 7 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:14 AM to sunrise 6:44 AM, and sunset 6:33 PM to 7:03 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Thu12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Thu 11 AMGood1160%72°nothing against it
Thu 12 PMGood2370%74°nothing against it
Thu 1 PMGood3490%75°nothing against it
Thu 2 PMGood55110%76°nothing against it
Thu 3 PMGood67130%77°nothing against it
Thu 4 PMGood79150%75°nothing against it
Thu 5 PMGood67140%74°nothing against it
Thu 6 PMCaution518230%71°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Thu 7 PMCaution314190%66°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 8 PMCaution314180%65°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 9 PMCaution29140%65°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 10 PMCaution29140%64°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Thu 11 PMCaution314180%64°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 12 AMCaution314190%63°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 1 AMCaution518230%63°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 2 AMCaution518230%63°wind at 400 ft near or over your limit, gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 3 AMCaution314190%62°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 4 AMCaution314180%62°gusts near or over your limit, night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 5 AMCaution29140%62°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 6 AMCaution29130%62°night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Fri 7 AMGood2360%62°nothing against it
Fri 8 AMGood2360%64°nothing against it
Fri 9 AMGood2370%69°nothing against it
Fri 10 AMGood2370%72°nothing against it

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Thu 6 PM to 9 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Thu 11 PM to Fri 5 AM 6 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Fri 6 PM to Sat 1 AM 7 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sat 6 AM to 8 AM 2 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sat 9 AM to 12 PM 3 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sat 3 PM to 7 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Sat 10 PM to Sun 8 AM 10 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Sun 11 AM to 8 PM 9 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
Thu12 PM6 PM
Fri12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sat12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Sun12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
ThursdayDry0%0.00 in23%7 mph8 dGood
FridayDry0%0.00 in23%7 mph7 dGood
SaturdayDry1%0.00 in33%9 mph6 dGood
SundayDry1%0.00 in37%9 mph5 dGood
MondayDry0%0.00 in35%8 mph4 dGood
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in32%6 mph3 dGood
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in28%6 mph2 dGood
ThursdayDry1%0.00 in26%5 mph1 d

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Thursday, rated fair.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Thu Fair3:42 AM to 5:42 AM4:13 PM to 6:13 PM11:53 AM to 12:53 PM9:31 PM to 10:31 PM 73%6:44 AM, 6:33 PM
Fri Fair4:44 AM to 6:44 AM5:16 PM to 7:16 PM12:57 PM to 1:57 PM10:36 PM to 11:36 PM 63%6:44 AM, 6:31 PM
Sat Fair5:47 AM to 7:47 AM6:17 PM to 8:17 PM1:53 PM to 2:53 PM 52%6:45 AM, 6:30 PM
Sun Fair6:46 AM to 8:46 AM7:15 PM to 9:15 PM11:45 PM to 12:45 AM2:39 PM to 3:39 PM 42%6:46 AM, 6:29 PM
Mon Fair7:42 AM to 9:42 AM8:08 PM to 10:08 PM12:57 AM to 1:57 AM3:17 PM to 4:17 PM 31%6:47 AM, 6:27 PM
Tue Poor8:33 AM to 10:33 AM8:58 PM to 10:58 PM2:06 AM to 3:06 AM3:50 PM to 4:50 PM 22%6:47 AM, 6:26 PM
Wed Fair9:21 AM to 11:21 AM9:45 PM to 11:45 PM3:13 AM to 4:13 AM4:20 PM to 5:20 PM 14%6:48 AM, 6:25 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Today77° · W 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 0 to 5 mph.

  2. Tonight61° · E 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 61. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

  3. Friday78° · W 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 78. West wind 0 to 5 mph.

  4. Friday Night62° · SE 0–5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 62. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.

  5. Saturday77° · 1% · E 0–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 77. East wind 0 to 10 mph.

  6. Saturday Night60° · E 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 60.

  7. Sunday76° · 1% · SE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 76.

  8. Sunday Night62° · SE 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 62.

  9. Monday76° · W 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 76.

  10. Monday Night61° · E 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 61.

  11. Tuesday76° · N 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 76.

  12. Tuesday Night61° · NE 5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 61.

  13. Wednesday77° · NE 5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 77.

  14. Wednesday Night62° · NE 0–5 mph

    Clear, with a low around 62.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS San Diego, CA · issued Oct 1, 2:23 AM PDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

Synopsis

Strengthening high pressure aloft will bring a warming trend with a long-duration heat wave likely for this weekend through much of next week into the following weekend. The highest HeatRisk is expected for the coast and valleys with widespread Moderate or greater HeatRisk for the coast and valleys for Friday through next week with widespread Major to Extreme HeatRisk for the weekend into next week for inland coastal areas into the western valleys. There will also be periods of gusty easterly Santa Ana winds along and below the coastal slopes of the mountains in Riverside and San Diego Counties for Friday through Sunday.

Discussion

FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES...

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

Short Term (Today Through Saturday)

High pressure aloft will strengthen across southern California through the weekend with periods of easterly offshore flow for Friday through Sunday, strongest on Friday and Saturday with east winds along and below the coastal slopes of the mountains in Riverside and San Diego Counties gusting to 30 to 40 mph. The ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index has those easterly wind gusts locally reaching the 80th to 90th percentile on Saturday and Sunday.

High temperatures for the coast and valleys will warm 5 to locally 10 degrees with downslope warming from the easterly offshore flow bringing the greater warming on Friday to the western valleys and inland coastal areas in San Diego County. High temperatures for Friday and Saturday for the coast and valleys will be mostly 15 to 20 degrees above average, except locally 20 to 25 degrees above average for inland coastal and western valley areas in San Diego County.

High temperatures on Friday and Saturday will be around 90 at the beaches with the hottest temperatures for the coast and valleys of 100 to 106 for inland coastal areas into the western valleys. Warming low temperatures for Saturday for the coast and valleys will be mostly in the mid 60s to mid 70s, 10 to 15 degrees above average and locally 20 to 25 degrees above average near the coastal foothills of the mountains in San Diego County.

Long Term (Sunday Through Wednesday)

While some coastal and western valleys areas could be slightly cooler for Monday and Tuesday, this long duration heat wave is expected to continue through much of next week. HeatRisk will be highest for the coast and valleys with at least Moderate HeatRisk with mostly Major to Extreme HeatRisk areas just inland from the beaches into the western valleys.

Aviation

010930Z...Coast/western valleys: Somewhat patchy low clouds based 700-1000 ft MSL will continue to fill into western valleys through about 13Z. Areas of vis reductions (1-5SM) expected for areas of elevated coastal terrain and western valleys (I-15 corridor). Clouds scatter back toward the coast 15-17Z. Clouds will be far patchier and intermittent when they reform late Thursday evening, impacting coastal sites late, if they do (30-50% chance for cigs, highest vcnty KSAN).

Otherwise...clear skies today and tonight.

Marine

No hazardous marine conditions are expected through Monday.

SGX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

CA...Extreme Heat Warning from 10 AM Friday to 8 PM PDT Thursday for Orange County Coastal Areas-Orange County Inland Areas-San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys-The Inland Empire- San Diego County Coastal Areas-San Diego County Valleys- Santa Ana Mountains and Foothills.

PZ...None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Sun Oct 4No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Mon Oct 5No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Tue Oct 6No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Wed Oct 7No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Thu Oct 8No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Thu Oct 1Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Fri Oct 2Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Sat Oct 3Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Oct 4–Oct 5Under 0.01 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 6–Oct 7Under 0.01 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature90% chance above normalOct 6–Oct 10
  2. Days 6–10 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 6–Oct 10
  3. Days 8–14 · Temperature80% chance above normalOct 8–Oct 14
  4. Days 8–14 · PrecipitationNear normal most likelyOct 8–Oct 14

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Lake Arrowhead

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around November 2: a growing season of about 176 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 12; one spring in ten still has one after May 31.

Climate of 34.23, -117.23: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 33 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementThuFriSatSunMonTueWedThu
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor
Wet bulb globe temperature max68°68°70°69°70°70°70°69°
Heat index max77°78°76°74°75°76°77°78°
Snow level min11,600 ft11,500 ft11,500 ft11,700 ft12,000 ft12,000 ft11,900 ft12,100 ft
Mixing height max5,400 ft7,400 ft8,700 ft9,100 ft9,400 ft8,900 ft8,100 ft
Transport wind max7 mph6 mph9 mph9 mph8 mph8 mph9 mph
Twenty-foot wind max6 mph5 mph7 mph6 mph6 mph5 mph5 mph5 mph

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · San Bernardino (SBD) · 9.4 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Thu Oct 177° / 56°91° / 60°109° (1980)40° (1971)
Fri Oct 278° / 62°89° / 59°108° (1980)43° (1971)
Sat Oct 377° / 60°86° / 57°104° (1917)44° (1916)
Sun Oct 476° / 62°82° / 56°110° (1987)40° (1928)
Mon Oct 576° / 61°83° / 55°103° (1964)42° (1916)
Tue Oct 676° / 61°84° / 54°102° (1964)43° (1913)
Wed Oct 777° / 62°86° / 55°104° (1996)39° (1916)
Thu Oct 878° / 64°86° / 55°101° (1910)42° (1902)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Thu6:19 AM6:44 AM6:33 PM6:58 PM11 h 49 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:19 AM6:44 AM6:31 PM6:56 PM11 h 47 min Waning gibbous · 63% lit
Sat6:20 AM6:45 AM6:30 PM6:55 PM11 h 45 min Last quarter · 52% lit
Sun6:21 AM6:46 AM6:29 PM6:54 PM11 h 43 min Last quarter · 42% lit
Mon6:22 AM6:47 AM6:27 PM6:52 PM11 h 40 min Waning crescent · 31% lit
Tue6:22 AM6:47 AM6:26 PM6:51 PM11 h 39 min Waning crescent · 22% lit
Wed6:23 AM6:48 AM6:25 PM6:50 PM11 h 37 min Waning crescent · 14% lit
Thu6:24 AM6:49 AM6:23 PM6:48 PM11 h 34 min Waning crescent · 7% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from