Current weather · Sep 27, 9:05 PM CDT

32.3820, -86.2930

68°

Mostly ClearFeels like 68° · Humidity 53%NWS forecast for this hour; no recent station reportForecast by NWS NWS Birmingham, Alabama · grid 81,35
High
87°
Low
59°
Rain today
1%
Sunrise
6:37 AM
Sunset
6:35 PM

Hour by hour

NWS forecast grid

Scroll sideways for more hours. Pick an hour for every number.

Every hour as a table48 hours
TimeWeatherTemperatureFeels likeDew pointHumidityChanceAmountSnowDirWindGustSky coverThunderPressureVisibilityCeiling
Sun 9 PM68°68°50°53%1%N2 mph7 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 10 PM66°66°50°56%1%N1 mph7 mph7%—10 mi-100 ft
Sun 11 PM65°65°49°56%1%N1 mph6 mph7%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 12 AM64°64°49°58%1%NNE1 mph5 mph7%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 1 AM63°63°49°60%1%ENE1 mph5 mph9%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 2 AM62°62°49°62%1%NNE1 mph5 mph10%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 3 AM61°61°49°65%1%N1 mph5 mph19%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 4 AM61°61°49°65%1%N1 mph6 mph16%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 5 AM60°60°49°67%1%N1 mph5 mph26%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 6 AM59°59°49°69%1%N1 mph6 mph21%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 7 AM60°60°50°69%1%NNE2 mph6 mph22%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 8 AM63°63°51°65%1%NNE2 mph7 mph15%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 9 AM66°66°52°61%1%NE2 mph7 mph10%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 10 AM71°71°52°51%1%NE2 mph7 mph9%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 11 AM74°74°51°44%1%N2 mph7 mph10%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 12 PM76°76°49°39%1%N2 mph7 mph9%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 1 PM80°79°47°31%0%N3 mph8 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 2 PM81°80°47°30%0%N3 mph8 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 3 PM81°80°45°28%0%N5 mph8 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 4 PM83°81°45°26%0%N3 mph8 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 5 PM80°79°46°30%0%N3 mph8 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 6 PM78°78°48°35%0%N2 mph7 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 7 PM74°74°49°41%0%N2 mph8 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 8 PM70°70°50°49%0%N2 mph8 mph6%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 9 PM68°68°53°59%0%NNE2 mph8 mph5%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 10 PM66°66°53°63%0%NNE2 mph7 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Mon 11 PM64°64°53°67%0%NE1 mph6 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 12 AM63°63°53°70%0%S0 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 1 AM62°62°53°72%0%S0 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 2 AM61°61°53°75%0%S0 mph3 mph4%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 3 AM60°60°53°78%0%S0 mph3 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 4 AM59°59°53°80%0%S0 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 5 AM58°58°53°83%0%NE1 mph5 mph3%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 6 AM58°58°53°83%0%NE1 mph5 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 7 AM58°58°53°83%0%NE1 mph5 mph2%—10 mi-100 ft
Tue 8 AM62°62°54°75%0%ENE1 mph5 mph3%——
Tue 9 AM67°67°55°65%0%ENE1 mph5 mph4%——
Tue 10 AM73°73°55°53%0%ENE2 mph6 mph5%——
Tue 11 AM77°77°54°45%0%ENE2 mph6 mph5%——
Tue 12 PM80°80°53°39%0%ENE1 mph5 mph6%——
Tue 1 PM84°82°52°33%0%ENE2 mph5 mph6%——
Tue 2 PM85°83°51°31%0%ENE2 mph5 mph6%——
Tue 3 PM85°83°50°30%0%ENE2 mph5 mph6%——
Tue 4 PM86°84°50°29%0%ENE2 mph6 mph6%——
Tue 5 PM83°82°51°33%0%ENE2 mph6 mph1%——
Tue 6 PM79°79°53°41%0%ENE1 mph6 mph1%——
Tue 7 PM76°76°54°46%0%ENE1 mph6 mph2%——
Tue 8 PM73°73°54°51%0%ENE1 mph6 mph1%——

The next 16 days

NWS grid published Sep 27, 6:26 PM CDT to day 8, the National Blend of Models to day 11, the mean of GFS, ECMWF, ECMWF AI to day 16
  1. TodaySep 2787°59°Mostly Clear1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  2. MonSep 2883°58°Sunny1%wind 5 mph
  3. TueSep 2987°62°Sunny0%wind 2 mph
  4. WedSep 3091°68°Sunny0%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  5. ThuOct 192°71°Sunny14%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  6. FriOct 289°72°Chance Rain Showers48%0.36 inwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. SatOct 385°72°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely61%1.66 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  8. SunOct 482°72°Showers And Thunderstorms Likely65%0.74 inwind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  9. MonOct 580°67°National Blend53%0.87 inwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. TueOct 679°64°National Blend42%0.83 inwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. WedOct 778°63°National Blend30%0.47 inwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  12. ThuOct 8~77°63°Model mean0.05 in
  13. FriOct 9~71°56°Model mean0.05 in
  14. SatOct 10~70°54°Model mean0.01 in
  15. SunOct 11~73°51°Model mean
  16. MonOct 12~74°49°Model mean

Right now

NWS grid for this hour · UV from the EPA · air quality from AirNow
  • Feels like68°
  • WindN 2 mphgusts 7 mph
  • Radar over this pointno reading
  • Humidity53%
  • Dew point50°
  • Pressure—
  • UV index—
  • Air quality—
  • Visibility10 mi
  • Sunrise and sunsetSunrise · Sunset · set
  • Moonrise7:00 PMMoonset 7:32 AM
  • Moon phaseWaning gibbous99% lit

The National Blend of Models

NOAA NBM v5.0 · run of Sep 27, 1:00 PM CDT

NOAA’s weighted blend of every model it runs, to eleven days, with the chances the grid above does not carry. Where the local office’s grid reaches, its figure sits beneath the blend’s; where it does not, the blend stands alone.

  1. TodaySep 27—59°NWS grid 87° / 59°rain 1%wind 8 mph · gusts 14 mph
  2. MonSep 2883°58°NWS grid 83° / 58°rain 1%wind 3 mph
  3. TueSep 2987°63°NWS grid 87° / 62°rain 0%wind 2 mph
  4. WedSep 3091°69°NWS grid 91° / 68°rain 1%wind 6 mph · gusts 12 mph
  5. ThuOct 191°72°NWS grid 92° / 71°rain 19%wind 9 mph · gusts 17 mph
  6. FriOct 289°72°NWS grid 89° / 72°rain 51%thunder 23%0.38 inwind 6 mph · gusts 14 mph
  7. SatOct 385°72°NWS grid 85° / 72°rain 65%thunder 24%1.76 inwind 7 mph · gusts 14 mph
  8. SunOct 482°69°NWS grid 82° / 72°rain 65%thunder 19%0.85 inwind 9 mph · gusts 18 mph
  9. MonOct 580°67°Beyond the NWS gridrain 53%0.87 inwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
  10. TueOct 679°64°Beyond the NWS gridrain 42%0.83 inwind 8 mph · gusts 17 mph
  11. WedOct 778°63°Beyond the NWS gridrain 30%0.47 inwind 8 mph · gusts 16 mph
50°73°95°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

BlendNWS gridChance of rain, hourly

The models, side by side

HRRR Sep 27, 1:00 PM CDT · GFS Sep 27, 1:00 PM CDT · GEFS Sep 27, 1:00 PM CDT · ECMWF Sep 27, 7:00 AM CDT · ECMWF AI Sep 27, 7:00 AM CDT

Each line is one model’s own forecast at its own grid cell: three kilometers for HRRR, a quarter of a degree for the global models, which can sit a few hundred meters above or below the town. Where they agree the forecast is settled; where they part is where it is not.

50°73°95°MonTueWedThuFriSatSun

DayNWS gridHRRRGFSGEFSECMWFECMWF AI
Today Sep 2787° 59°87° 70°~85° 66°~83° 66°83° 59°~82° 61°
Mon Sep 2883° 58°89° 61°86° 60°84° 59°84° 61°~82° 57°
Tue Sep 2987° 62°90° 59°88° 58°87° 58°86° 59°~84° 55°
Wed Sep 3091° 68°—92° 63°89° 62°89° 61°~87° 60°
Thu Oct 192° 71°—89° 69°88° 68°0.06 in87° 69°~87° 70°0.01 in
Fri Oct 289° 72°0.36 in—74° 71°0.94 in83° 70°0.30 in88° 71°~83° 75°0.38 in
Sat Oct 385° 72°1.66 in—75° 71°0.78 in82° 71°0.39 in~85° 74°0.28 in~84° 75°0.46 in
Sun Oct 482° 72°0.74 in—72° 62°1.50 in80° 70°0.34 in~82° 75°0.17 in~85° 75°0.49 in
Mon Oct 5——78° 60°0.01 in77° 68°0.44 in~84° 74°0.26 in~82° 75°0.40 in
Tue Oct 6——73° 67°0.03 in77° 66°0.48 in~84° 72°0.26 in~79° 72°0.08 in
Wed Oct 7——82° 66°~77° 64°0.11 in~79° 73°0.37 in~78° 68°
Thu Oct 8——~67° 49°—~83° 72°0.03 in~79° 68°0.11 in
Fri Oct 9——~68° 45°—~66° 55°~80° 68°0.15 in
Sat Oct 10——~67° 45°—~62° 48°~81° 68°0.03 in
Sun Oct 11——~72° 45°—~65° 45°~81° 63°
Mon Oct 12——~74° 49°—~53° 51°~61° 54°

A ~ marks a high or low read from six-hourly steps, which miss the true extreme by a degree or two.

ECMWF ensemble meteogram

ECMWF ensemble meteogram for this place: box plots of cloud cover, precipitation, wind speed and temperature from the 51 ensemble members for ten days.
Rendered by ECMWF from its 51-member ensemble, in metric units: each box spans the middle half of the members, the whiskers the rest, the line the control run. A forecast, not an observation. © ECMWF, CC BY 4.0.

The next 90 days

NOAA GHCN normals and records at Maxwell Afb/Montgom (MXF) · Climate Prediction Center outlooks

No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one. Where the models stop, the calendar takes over: the 1991 to 2020 normal for each date, the record high and low ever set on it, and where the Climate Prediction Center leans warm, cool, wet or dry over the coming weeks, the month and the season. A site that shows a high for a date three months out is showing you this normal with a wobble.

The forecast reaches Mon Oct 12, from the NWS grid, then the National Blend, then the mean of the global models. Beyond it the lines are the calendar.

Climate Prediction Center (CPC) temperature lean33%warmer 50% · Oct 202633% chance above normal · Oct to Dec20°40°60°80°100°TodayOct 1Nov 1Dec 1

Forecast high and lowNormal high and lowRecord high and lowCPC leans warmer than normalCPC near normal or equal chances

Week ofNormalWarmest on recordColdest on recordTemperature leanPrecipitation lean
Sep 2784° / 59°102° (2019)38° (1984)no outlookno outlook
Oct 481° / 60°102° (2019)35° (1991)33% chance above normal · days 6 to 1050% chance above normal · days 6 to 10
Oct 1181° / 55°92° (2017)34° (1988)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 1879° / 51°92° (2016)29° (2022)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Oct 2576° / 50°90° (2024)26° (1952)50% chance above normal · Oct 2026equal chances · Oct 2026
Nov 173° / 46°91° (2016)22° (1991)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 870° / 42°87° (1986)23° (2025)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 1567° / 40°85° (1957)16° (2014)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2266° / 41°84° (1990)13° (1950)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Nov 2966° / 38°85° (1982)19° (2006)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 662° / 42°83° (2013)9° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 1363° / 40°83° (1971)5° (1962)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec
Dec 2061° / 39°82° (2016)5° (1983)33% chance above normal · Oct to Dec40% chance above normal · Oct to Dec

Health and activities

Rules of thumb over the next 24 hours of forecast, the warnings in force, the station’s report, air quality and pollen

None of these is a measurement. Each is a rating of the forecast ahead, and of what is happening at the point right now, against what the activity or the ailment is known to mind, and each names the figure that decided it. An ailment or a pest is rated as a risk, low to extreme; an activity, a chore or a journey as a condition, poor to ideal.

The sun is down, so each rating says which span it is for: tomorrow’s daylight, tonight, or the next 24 hours.

Health

  • Arthritisnext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Sinus pressurenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Common coldtomorrowLowmild
  • FlutomorrowLowmild
  • Migrainenext 24 hLowsteady conditions
  • Asthmanext 24 hLowclean air
  • Heat stresstomorrowLowmild
  • SunburntomorrowLowweak sun
  • Frostbitenext 24 hLowmild
  • SleepingtonightIdealcool, quiet night

Outdoors

  • RunningtomorrowGoodhot
  • HikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • BikingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GolftomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FishingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Boating and paddlingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Beach and pooltomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • CampingtonightIdealfine conditions
  • StargazingtonightGoodbright moon

Travel

  • Air travelnext 24 hIdealclear skies
  • Drivingnext 24 hIdealclear roads

Home and garden

  • Lawn mowingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • GardeningtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Outdoor entertainingtomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Drying laundry outsidetomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • Painting and outdoor projectstomorrowIdealfine conditions
  • FrosttonightLowmild

Pests

  • MosquitoestomorrowHighwarm
  • TickstomorrowHighwarm
  • Indoor pestsnext 24 hLowmild
  • Outdoor peststomorrowModeratewarm

Stargazing

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast and the sun and moon

Tonight has no dark, clear hour without a bright moon in this forecast. Rated fair.

Night ofRatingDarkClear hoursClear and moonlessMoon litTransparency (est.)DewStrongest wind
SundayFair7:57 PM to 5:16 AM8 of 9None98%Good2 mph
MondayFair7:55 PM to 5:16 AM9 of 9None94%Fair2 mph
TuesdayFair7:54 PM to 5:17 AM9 of 9None87%Fair1 mph
WednesdayFair7:53 PM to 5:18 AM9 of 91 h from 8:00 PM79%Fair4 h3 mph
ThursdayPoor7:51 PM to 5:18 AM0 of 9None70%4 h5 mph
FridayPoor7:50 PM to 5:19 AM0 of 9None60%8 h3 mph
SaturdayPoor7:49 PM to 5:20 AM0 of 9None50%9 h5 mph

Dark is the sun 18 degrees below the horizon; where it never gets that low, 12 degrees, marked nautical. Clear is sky cover of 20% or less. A bright moon is one above the horizon with a quarter or more of its disc lit. Transparency in the table is estimated from surface humidity (70% and 85% mark fair and poor) and visibility, since the forecast carries no haze or high cloud moisture. Seeing and transparency by hour, where shown, are Environment and Climate Change Canada’s astronomy forecast (regional model; seeing from cloud, wind shear, turbulence near the ground and the surface temperature trend; transparency from the moisture through the whole air column), under the Open Government Licence - Canada. Dew is the air within 2 °C of its dew point. Excellent is four or more clear moonless hours with good transparency; good is three; fair is one, or two clear hours.

Golden hour and blue hour

Computed from the sun and moon positions
DayBlue hour, morningGolden hour, morningGolden hour, eveningBlue hour, evening
Sun6:12 AM to 6:22 AM6:22 AM to 7:09 AM6:03 PM to 6:50 PM6:50 PM to 6:59 PM
Mon6:13 AM to 6:22 AM6:22 AM to 7:10 AM6:01 PM to 6:49 PM6:49 PM to 6:58 PM
Tue6:13 AM to 6:23 AM6:23 AM to 7:10 AM6:00 PM to 6:47 PM6:47 PM to 6:57 PM
Wed6:14 AM to 6:24 AM6:24 AM to 7:11 AM5:59 PM to 6:46 PM6:46 PM to 6:56 PM
Thu6:15 AM to 6:24 AM6:24 AM to 7:12 AM5:57 PM to 6:45 PM6:45 PM to 6:54 PM
Fri6:15 AM to 6:25 AM6:25 AM to 7:13 AM5:56 PM to 6:43 PM6:43 PM to 6:53 PM
Sat6:16 AM to 6:26 AM6:26 AM to 7:13 AM5:55 PM to 6:42 PM6:42 PM to 6:52 PM
NESWSRSSMRMS
  • SR Sunrise 6:37 AM, 92° E
  • SS Sunset 6:35 PM, 268° W
  • MR Moonrise 7:00 PM, 76° ENE
  • MS Moonset 7:32 AM, 281° W
  • Waning gibbous, 99% lit

Golden hour is the sun between 6 degrees above the horizon and 4 degrees below it; blue hour is the sun between 4 and 6 degrees below. These are the definitions timeanddate.com and PhotoPills use. Directions are degrees clockwise from true north, where the sun’s upper edge and the moon’s center cross a flat horizon; hills and buildings change both. None means the sun does not reach that height on the day; all day means it stays inside the band.

Drone flying

NWS hourly forecast, SWPC Kp, FAA TFRs and 14 CFR Part 107

This hour: no-fly (low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)). Next good stretch: Tue 8 AM to 6 PM, 10 hours.

Today: civil twilight for Part 107 6:07 AM to sunrise 6:37 AM, and sunset 6:35 PM to 7:05 PM. Anti-collision lighting is required in those minutes and at night.

Sun
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Caution No-fly

HourVerdictWind (mph)400 ft est. (mph)Gust (mph)RainVisibilityCloud allowsTempKpWhy
Sun 9 PMNo-fly29141%10 miup to 0 ft68°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 10 PMNo-fly15101%10 miup to 0 ft66°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Sun 11 PMNo-fly1591%10 miup to 0 ft65°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 12 AMNo-fly1581%10 miup to 0 ft64°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 1 AMNo-fly1581%10 miup to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 2 AMNo-fly1581%10 miup to 0 ft62°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 3 AMNo-fly1581%10 miup to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 4 AMNo-fly1591%10 miup to 0 ft61°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 5 AMNo-fly1581%10 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 6 AMNo-fly1591%10 miup to 0 ft59°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 7 AMNo-fly2361%10 miup to 0 ft60°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 8 AMNo-fly2371%10 miup to 0 ft63°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 9 AMNo-fly2371%10 miup to 0 ft66°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 10 AMNo-fly2371%10 miup to 0 ft71°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 11 AMNo-fly2371%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 12 PMNo-fly2371%10 miup to 0 ft76°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 1 PMNo-fly3490%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 2 PMNo-fly3490%10 miup to 0 ft81°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 3 PMNo-fly5590%10 miup to 0 ft81°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 4 PMNo-fly3490%10 miup to 0 ft83°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 5 PMNo-fly3490%10 miup to 0 ft80°low cloud limits height (107.51)
Mon 6 PMNo-fly29140%10 miup to 0 ft78°low cloud limits height (107.51), civil twilight: lighting required (107.29)
Mon 7 PMNo-fly29150%10 miup to 0 ft74°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)
Mon 8 PMNo-fly29150%10 miup to 0 ft70°low cloud limits height (107.51), night: lighting and night training required (107.29)

Flight restrictions nearby

Reading the FAA’s temporary flight restrictions.

Flight restrictions on the map. TFRs are not the whole picture: controlled airspace around airports needs LAANC authorization. Check the FAA’s B4UFLY.

Wind at 400 ft is estimated from the 10 m forecast by the power law, with exponents for each Pasquill stability class (Irwin 1979, rural, as in EPA dispersion models; the class from wind, sun height and cloud, after Turner 1970); gusts keep the ground gust’s margin. Caution from three quarters of your limit; the default 24 mph is the wind resistance printed for common sub-250 g drones. 14 CFR 107.51: “The minimum flight visibility, as observed from the location of the control station must be no less than 3 statute miles” and at least “500 feet below the cloud”. 14 CFR 107.29: “No person may operate a small unmanned aircraft system during periods of civil twilight unless the small unmanned aircraft has lighted anti-collision lighting visible for at least 3 statute miles”; civil twilight is the 30 minutes before sunrise and after sunset, in Alaska the Air Almanac’s. Kp: SWPC’s scales say satellite navigation problems may occur at G3 (Kp 7) and navigation is “degraded for hours” at G4 (Kp 8); Kp 5 is the typical app warning. Typical limits, not rules: rain chance 30% caution and 60% no-fly, thunder 10% and 20%, below 0 °C caution and −10 °C no-fly, over 40 °C caution. Your drone’s manual and the airspace come first.

Spraying and field work

Worked out from the NWS hourly forecast

Hours fit for spraying, and the days dry enough for fieldwork and hay, read from this forecast’s wind, gusts, humidity, temperature and rain.

Spraying windows

  • Wed 11 AM to 3 PM 4 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Wed 5 PM to 11 PM 6 hours, some with delta T between 8 and 10 °C
  • Thu 10 AM to 1 PM 3 hours, every hour within the rules
  • Thu 6 PM to 11 PM 5 hours, every hour within the rules
Sun
Mon12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Tue12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM
Wed12 AM6 AM12 PM6 PM

Good Marginal No

Field days

DayDaytimeChance of rainRainLowest humidityStrongest windDry days in a rowHay drying
SundayDry1%0.00 in24%8 mph5 dGood
MondayDry1%0.00 in26%5 mph4 d
TuesdayDry0%0.00 in29%2 mph3 d
WednesdayDry0%0.00 in38%6 mph2 dGood
ThursdayDry14%0.00 in47%9 mph1 dGood
FridayWet48%0.36 in55%6 mph
SaturdayWet61%1.66 in65%7 mph
SundayWet65%0.74 in72%9 mph

Spraying: sustained wind 3 to 10 mph, the range US extension services and most labels give; gusts no more than 15 mph (this page’s limit); delta T (air minus wet-bulb temperature) 2 to 8 °C preferred and 8 to 10 °C marginal, from GRDC guidance, with the wet bulb by Stull’s formula; no hour at a 30% chance of rain or 0.25 mm forecast during the rain-free time. Follow the product label, which overrides all of this. Field days: dry is no daytime hour at a 30% chance and under 1 mm all day, wet is 6 mm (0.25 in) or more; soil moisture is not in the forecast, so ground still wet from earlier rain is not accounted for. Hay drying marks a dry day with humidity down to 50% and a breeze of 5 mph or more.

Solunar times

Computed from the moon’s position

The best-rated day this week is Sunday, rated best.

DayRatingMajor periodsMinor periodsMoonSunrise, sunset
Sun Best11:56 PM to 1:56 AM12:20 PM to 2:20 PM7:02 AM to 8:02 AM6:30 PM to 7:30 PM 99%6:37 AM, 6:35 PM
Mon Good12:44 AM to 2:44 AM1:10 PM to 3:10 PM8:08 AM to 9:08 AM7:05 PM to 8:05 PM 95%6:37 AM, 6:34 PM
Tue Fair1:36 AM to 3:36 AM2:04 PM to 4:04 PM9:17 AM to 10:17 AM7:45 PM to 8:45 PM 90%6:38 AM, 6:32 PM
Wed Poor2:32 AM to 4:32 AM3:02 PM to 5:02 PM10:28 AM to 11:28 AM8:32 PM to 9:32 PM 82%6:39 AM, 6:31 PM
Thu Fair3:33 AM to 5:33 AM4:04 PM to 6:04 PM11:38 AM to 12:38 PM9:28 PM to 10:28 PM 73%6:39 AM, 6:30 PM
Fri Fair4:35 AM to 6:35 AM5:07 PM to 7:07 PM12:42 PM to 1:42 PM10:32 PM to 11:32 PM 64%6:40 AM, 6:28 PM
Sat Fair5:38 AM to 7:38 AM6:08 PM to 8:08 PM1:39 PM to 2:39 PM 53%6:41 AM, 6:27 PM

Periods in bold fall within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The weather’s side is the fishing index

Major periods are two hours centered on the moon’s passage overhead and underfoot; minor periods are one hour centered on moonrise and moonset: the conventional durations of John Alden Knight’s solunar tables (1936). The rating is this site’s: one point to start, two more within a day and a half of a new or full moon (one more within three and a half days), and one more when a period falls within an hour of sunrise or sunset. The theory has mixed support in fisheries research; the times are exact astronomy.

In words

NWS forecast periods, as issued
  1. Tonight59° · 1% · 0 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

  2. Monday83° · 1% · N 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 83. North wind 0 to 5 mph.

  3. Monday Night58° · 0 mph

    Clear, with a low around 58. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

  4. Tuesday87° · 0 mph

    Sunny. High near 87, with temperatures falling to around 83 in the afternoon. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

  5. Tuesday Night62° · 0 mph

    Clear, with a low around 62. East wind around 0 mph.

  6. Wednesday91° · SE 0–5 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 91.

  7. Wednesday Night68° · SE 0–5 mph

    Mostly clear, with a low around 68.

  8. Thursday92° · 14% · SE 5–10 mph

    Sunny, with a high near 92.

  9. Thursday Night71° · 14% · SE 0–5 mph

    Partly cloudy, with a low around 71.

  10. Friday89° · 48% · E 0–5 mph

    A chance of rain showers after 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 89. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  11. Friday Night72° · 48% · E 0–5 mph

    A chance of rain showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

  12. Saturday85° · 61% · E 0–5 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  13. Saturday Night72° · 61% · E 0–5 mph

    Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

  14. Sunday82° · 65% · SE 5–10 mph

    A chance of rain showers before 1pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

The forecaster’s discussion

NWS NWS Birmingham, Alabama · issued Sep 27, 11:27 AM CDT

Written by the forecaster on duty for their own colleagues and for anyone who wants to know why the forecast says what it says. It is not edited for the public, so it uses the office’s shorthand; it is also the most honest thing any weather service publishes.

KEY Messages

1124 AM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026

Dry weather with warm afternoons and cool mornings continues for much of the work week, though a wetter weather pattern featuring medium to high rain chances is forecast for the upcoming weekend.

Discussion

1124 AM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026

(This afternoon through Saturday)

If you take a quick glance at the KBMX radar this morning, you'd think some light showers are moving into the area from the northwest. However, the 12Z KBMX sounding reveals an extremely dry layer just off the surface to about 700mb. It is pretty unlikely that any precipitation is making it through this much drier air. As a result, we will just see some mid to upper level clouds streaming by through the day. Otherwise, with little pattern change, we would expect to see another round of patchy river fog again early Monday morning.

The upper level pattern begins to change early next week as a weak shortwave cuts into the Tennessee Valley on Monday and Tuesday, followed by a stronger upper trough late in the work week. However, limited moisture in place keeps dry conditions in place through mid week. Low to medium chances for showers and storms return to the forecast late in the week as the aforementioned upper trough and accompanying cold front near the region. There is a bit more uncertainty late in the week as there are both spatial and temporal differences between the latest model suite. We will keep a close eye on the model trends over the coming days.

We kick off a warming trend as we head into the work week with highs rebounding into the low 90s by Wednesday. Drier air in place will help us maintain our cooler mornings with lows dropping down into the mid 50s to around 60 degrees through mid week. As we head into the late stages of the work week, a moist southerly flow will bump out overnight lows up into the upper 60s to low 70s.

95/Castillo

Aviation

1124 AM CDT SUN SEP 27 2026

(18Z TAFS)

VFR conditions are currently in place across all terminals. Light northerly winds, from 5-8 knots, will continue through this TAF cycle. Based on observations from this morning and little overall pattern change, we went ahead and included a brief TEMPO group for MVFR vis at MGM as patchy river fog is expected again overnight. Considered including it at TCL too but confidence was much lower.

95/Castillo

Fire Weather

Dry weather will persist through the first half of the upcoming week with light winds keeping overall concerns low. Afternoon minimum relative humidity values will drop into the middle 20 to lower 30 percent range this afternoon through Tuesday as the drying trend continues. Humidity values slowly start to increase starting Wednesday. Rain chances return for the latter part of the upcoming week into next weekend.

Preliminary Point Temps / Pops

Gadsden 84 53 84 53 / 0 0 0 0 Anniston 82 53 81 52 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 85 57 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 88 59 88 56 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 86 57 84 55 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 84 58 80 57 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 87 59 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 87 58 83 57 / 0 0 0 0

BMX Watches / Warnings / Advisories

None.

The outlooks beyond

SPC, WPC, CPC and the Drought Monitor, read at this point

The national centers each publish a judgment the local grid does not carry. Read here at this exact coordinate.

Severe weather

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27No risk area
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28No risk area
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29No risk area
  4. Day 4 · Wed Sep 30No risk area
  5. Day 5 · Thu Oct 1No risk area
  6. Day 6 · Fri Oct 2No risk area
  7. Day 7 · Sat Oct 3No risk area
  8. Day 8 · Sun Oct 4No risk area

Rainfall

  1. Day 1 · Sun Sep 27Under 0.01 in
  2. Day 2 · Mon Sep 28Under 0.01 in
  3. Day 3 · Tue Sep 29Under 0.01 in
  4. Day 4-5 · Sep 30–Oct 10.25 in
  5. Day 6-7 · Oct 2–Oct 32.00 in

The rainfall forecast on the map, days 1 to 7

Six to fourteen days

  1. Days 6–10 · Temperature33% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 7
  2. Days 6–10 · Precipitation50% chance above normalOct 3–Oct 7
  3. Days 8–14 · TemperatureNear normal most likelyOct 5–Oct 11
  4. Days 8–14 · Precipitation33% chance above normalOct 5–Oct 11

Hazards, 3 to 14 days

  1. Oct 3–Oct 4Heavy Rain

Drought

  1. Drought Monitor, map of Sep 22D0 Abnormally dry

Drought in this county: the map, the record since 2000 and the outlook

Frost and climate

NOAA 1991-2020 normals, Montgomery AP

The last spring freeze (32°F) usually comes around March 13 and the first fall freeze around November 13: a growing season of about 244 days.

One fall in ten brings a freeze by October 31; one spring in ten still has one after March 31.

Climate of 32.38, -86.29: normals, records and every month

Everything else on the grid

NWS forecast grid · 29 elements

The forecast office edits about sixty fields for every cell of its grid. The common ones are above; these are the rest, as the daily extreme, for anyone who needs the mixing height, the fire danger or the swell.

ElementSunMonTueWedThuFriSatSun
HeatRisk max1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor1 · Minor2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate2 · Moderate
Wet bulb globe temperature max74°72°76°81°84°83°81°79°
Heat index max82°81°84°92°95°93°89°85°
Chance of thunder max0%0%0%0%6%11%15%19%
Cloud ceiling min-100 ft-100 ft-100 ft
Visibility min10 mi10 mi10 mi
Mixing height max4,700 ft4,800 ft6,700 ft400 ft
Transport wind max12 mph7 mph7 mph6 mph
Twenty-foot wind max7 mph3 mph2 mph5 mph7 mph5 mph6 mph7 mph
Dispersion index max6336423
Low visibility risk max3354
Stability max6666

Against the record

NOAA GHCN · Maxwell Afb/Montgom (MXF) · 4.2 mi away

Each forecast day against the same calendar date at the nearest long-record station: the 1991 to 2020 normal, and the record high and low with the year they were set.

DayForecastNormalRecord highRecord low
Sun Sep 2787° / 59°85° / 64°99° (2019)43° (2001)
Mon Sep 2883° / 58°85° / 62°97° (2019)44° (2001)
Tue Sep 2987° / 62°84° / 60°98° (2019)42° (1967)
Wed Sep 3091° / 68°84° / 59°98° (2019)39° (1967)
Thu Oct 192° / 71°84° / 59°101° (2019)44° (1967)
Fri Oct 289° / 72°83° / 59°99° (2019)40° (1984)
Sat Oct 385° / 72°83° / 60°102° (2019)38° (1984)
Sun Oct 482° / 72°84° / 60°102° (2019)40° (1974)

Sun and moon

DayCivil twilightSunriseSunsetCivil twilightDaylightMoon
Sun6:12 AM6:37 AM6:35 PM6:59 PM11 h 58 min Waning gibbous · 99% lit
Mon6:13 AM6:37 AM6:34 PM6:58 PM11 h 57 min Waning gibbous · 95% lit
Tue6:13 AM6:38 AM6:32 PM6:57 PM11 h 54 min Waning gibbous · 90% lit
Wed6:14 AM6:39 AM6:31 PM6:56 PM11 h 52 min Waning gibbous · 82% lit
Thu6:15 AM6:39 AM6:30 PM6:54 PM11 h 51 min Waning gibbous · 73% lit
Fri6:15 AM6:40 AM6:28 PM6:53 PM11 h 48 min Waning gibbous · 64% lit
Sat6:16 AM6:41 AM6:27 PM6:52 PM11 h 46 min Last quarter · 53% lit
Sun6:17 AM6:41 AM6:26 PM6:50 PM11 h 45 min Last quarter · 43% lit

Forecast from the National Weather Service forecast grid at api.weather.gov, updated by the local office through the day; the written periods and hourly digest are the NWS’s own. Outlooks from the Storm Prediction Center, the Weather Prediction Center and the Climate Prediction Center via NOAA’s map services. Records and normals from NOAA’s Global Historical Climatology Network. Sun and moon computed here. Place names from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0).

What is here

Seven days
The high, the low, the chance and amount of rain and snow, the wind and the forecaster’s words for each day and night, from the National Weather Service grid for the exact cell your town sits in.
Hour by hour
Temperature, what it feels like, dew point, humidity, chance and amount of precipitation, wind and gusts, sky cover, the chance of thunder, pressure, visibility and ceiling, as a chart and as a table, with nights shaded.
Everything else on the grid
The office edits about sixty fields for every cell. The ones the mainstream forecast pages leave out are here as a daily table: HeatRisk, wet bulb globe temperature, lightning activity, mixing height, transport wind, the fire weather indices, and at the coast the waves and swell.
The discussion
The Area Forecast Discussion the forecaster wrote to explain the forecast, in their own words, with the specialist annexes folded away. Also the office’s hazardous weather outlook.
Beyond the week
The Storm Prediction Center’s severe weather category for each of the next eight days, the Weather Prediction Center’s rainfall forecast to day seven and its winter storm severity, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for days six to fourteen, all read at your coordinate.
Against the record
Each forecast day beside the same date at the nearest long-record station: the thirty-year normal and the record high and low with their years, so a forecast high that would break a record says so.
The next 90 days
The forecast as far as the grid, the National Blend and the global models reach, and the calendar after that: the normal and the record for every date, with the Climate Prediction Center’s lean for the weeks, the month and the season drawn over them. No made-up highs for a date three months out.

Common questions

Where does this forecast come from?

From the National Weather Service forecast grid published at api.weather.gov, the same grid the local forecast office edits through the day and the source of every forecast on weather.gov. The written periods, the hourly digest and the forecaster’s discussion are the NWS’s own products, shown as issued. Nothing here is a blend a website made.

How far ahead does it go?

The grid runs seven days ahead, hour by hour for the first days and in three to six hour steps after that. The National Blend of Models carries the days to eleven and the global models to sixteen. Beyond that the page carries the national centers’ outlooks, severe weather to day eight, rainfall to day seven, and the Climate Prediction Center’s odds for the coming weeks, month and season, over a ninety-day calendar of the normal and the record for each date. No forecast has skill day by day past about two weeks, and this page does not print one.

Why is this different from the app on my phone?

Most forecast apps show a blend of models chosen by the company that makes the app. This page shows the forecast the local National Weather Service office issues, edited by the forecasters who will also issue the warnings, and it shows all of it rather than the six numbers that fit on a phone. The discussion explains the reasoning, which no app carries.

What is a place’s address here?

Every town has its own page, such as /forecast/us/oklahoma/oklahoma-city/, and every day at a town has one too. A ZIP code typed into the search goes to the town it belongs to. Any coordinate at all can be looked up, and the page names the nearest town.

What the weather actually was · Open the live radar · Where the data comes from